Globalization and Social Change Final Exam

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Chapter 13

Violent Conflict and Crime

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Objectives

This chapter will help you

differentiate types of intra-state conflicts

analyze causes of intra-societal conflict related to the historical development of global systems, the political legitimacy of states, and workings of the global economy.

provide examples of international and global processes such as liberalization contribute to violent conflict

explain the costs of war to women and children

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Objectives

assess the role of the UN and other international bodies in conflict situations

peace-building policies and programs

analyze how globalization has contributed to crime

cite the risks and costs of global crime

discuss proposals to mitigate against global crime

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Definitions of Armed Conflict Types

We define four types of conflict (UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook):

1. Extrasystemic armed conflict occurs between a state and a non-state group outside its own territory. (In the COW project, extrasystemic war is subdivided into colonial war and imperial war, but this distinction is not used here.) These conflicts are by definition territorial, since the government side is fighting to retain control of a territory outside the state system.

2. Interstate armed conflict occurs between two or more states.

3. Internal armed conflict occurs between the government of a state and one or more internal opposition group(s) without intervention from other states.

4. Internationalized internal armed conflict occurs between the government of a state and one or more internal opposition group(s) with intervention from other states (secondary parties) on one or both sides.

Source: http://www.pcr.uu.se/digitalAssets/124/124920_1codebook_ucdp_prio-armed-conflict-dataset-v4_2012.pdf

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Vulnerability to Violent Conflict

political processes that are closed to discourse and opposition party participation;

groups that are excluded from mainstream development;

unemployed youth;

impoverishment;

declining public services and employment opportunities;

human rights violations and other sources of indignities;

economically or politically motivated migratory flows (OECD 2001, 32).

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Questions for International Community

What is the global responsibility for mediating the situation?

How can the rights of people engaged in conflict be ensured?

How can spillover effects and destabilization in surrounding countries prevented?

Who has the authority to speak for and act on the behalf of the groups engaged in conflict?

What do we do about tyrants who are no longer legitimate in the eyes of their people?

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Governmental Forms

Democracy (rule by the people, “demos”—supreme power is vested in the people and exercised through a system of representation)

Anocracy (a mix of democratic and autocratic characteristics in the society’s institutions which are, in actuality, unstable). Of these three types, “anocracy is the most to dissolve into war” (Marshall and Cole 2009, 17)

Autocracy (rule by an authoritarian figure or by a “junta”)

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Center for Systemic Peace Index

Brookings Institute

to manage conflict, make and implement public policy and deliver essential services

to maintain system coherence, cohesion, and quality of life

to respond effectively to challenges and crises

to sustain progressive development

economic (income and GDP)

security (conflict and human rights)

political (rule of law)

social welfare (human development).

State Fragility

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A democracy has (statistically) no chance of collapsing in a country with a GDP of at least $6,000 per capita. The democratic institutions are safely locked in place”

(Andrew Kuper 2004, 10, emphasis original).

The full quote continues: “But in a very poor country, there is statistically a one in eight chance of democracy collapsing every year. Imagine: a 12 percent chance of your political system collapsing every year.”

This from the Second Report of the Empire and Democracy Project of the Carnegie Foundation (posted on BlackBoard).

State Fragility

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Social Structural Roots of Violence

failing institutions;

an economy that does not supply jobs,

weak government and rule of law,

poor educational systems,

family stressors,

discrimination,

inequality.

Whether within or among societies, globalization processes effect the social structural roots of violence. Interference in political systems that have prevented societies from developing strong and legitimate governments are among the roots of violence across many societies.

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War and Poverty

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1993 Study

65 of 126 developing countries experienced violence as either war or sub-war (less than 1,000 people killed annually)

Violent conflict was concentrated in the poorest of the poor.

31 of these countries were in the poorest third of developing nations

24 were in the middle third

(Smith 1994).

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World Map of Weak States— From the Brookings Institution

http://www.brookings.edu/research/reports/2008/02/weak-states-index

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Changing Nature of Warfare

Anti-colonial wars

Ideological during cold war

Ethnic/religious after cold war

Inequality along ethnic lines that resulted from colonialism, the spoils of the world wars, political and economic interference during the Cold War, and community breakdown due to industrialization, structural homogenization, and immigration pose threats and stimulate conflict (Conversi 2010, 349).

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Democratic processes following periods of autocratic rule shake up the system, leaving a power vacuum that competing groups try to fulfill.

Without strong legitimate institutions to mitigate conflict—political parties, elections, a judiciary and so on, conflict turns violent.

Two periods of liberalization, independence and the end of the Cold War spiked not only the level of war but of violent conflict in general. Arab Spring is a recent demonstration of this globalization effect.

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Terrorism

Among the factors that give rise to terrorism are:

prolonged unresolved conflicts

dehumanization of victims of terrorism in all its forms and manifestations (ideologies cultivate mindsets conducive to dehumanization)

lack of the rule of law and violations of human rights

ethnic, national and religious discrimination

political exclusion

socio-economic marginalization and lack of good governance (UN Global Strategy 2006).

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Fundamentalism and Religious Violence

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Northern Ireland, Palestine/Israel

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Animated map of ISIS-controlled territory

https:// www.youtube.com/watch?v=EyY1Bgst07U

This video covers only through early 2016. ISIS has lost territory throughout this year. See:

http:// www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-27838034

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The use of child soldiers has increased dramatically since the end of the Cold War. Estimates place at least 250,000 and probably well over 300,000 children in warfare by 2002; a figure thought to be outdated by 2006

(Achvarina and Reich 2006, 128). “No Place to Hide: Refugees, Displaced Persons, and the Recruitment of Child Soldiers” International Security 31 (1): 127-164.

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Peace Building

Autonomy (Sisk, 2003, http://www.beyondintractability.org/essay/power-sharing)

‘Autonomy, as eminent scholar Yash Ghai is not a term on which there is a consensus definition, [but he defines it as]: "a device to allow an ethnic group or other groups claiming a distinct identity to exercise direct control over important affairs of concern to them while allowing the larger entity to exercise those powers which are the common interests of both sections.“ Among the forms of autonomy is symmetrical federalism, in which all units enjoy similar powers, and asymmetrical federalism that might provide enhanced powers to a particular region.’

Power sharing (ibid.)

The consociational model (a looser form of autonomy, not always explicitly territorial, termed consociationalism. The option is in essence a group building-block approach that relies on accommodation by ethnic-group leaders at the political center and guarantees for group autonomy and minority rights; in essence, this approach is "consociational" in that it encourages collaborative decision-making by parties in conflict. The key institutions are federalism and the devolution of power to ethnic groups in territory that they control; minority vetoes on issues of particular importance to them; grand coalition cabinets in a parliamentary framework, and proportionality in all spheres of public life (e.g., budgeting and civil service appointments).[5] Bosnia's 1995 Dayton Accord is a good example of this approach in practice.

Cross divide districts

Role of civil society organizations

Domestic and international

Respect for local cultures

Important role for women

US National Action Plan on Women, Peace and Security

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Map of China showing its official autonomous regions

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Syria’s Civil War as of February 1st, 2016

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Transnational Organized Crime

Improvements in technology, open borders, and transportation make global crime more feasible

Counterfeiting

Cds, movies, software, and goods from tennis shoes, to purses to jewelry

Human trafficking

Poverty makes people desperate, war leaves children vulnerable

Drug trafficking

Drugs can be more profitable to grow than crops

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UN Convention Against Transnational Organized Crime (2000)

three or more persons, existing for a period of time and acting in concert with the aim of committing one or more serious crimes or offenses… in order to obtain directly or indirectly, a financial or material benefit” (UN 2004, 5).

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International Cooperation

Improvements needed:

Greater participation and implementation by states in the Convention against Transnational Organized Crime, not yet ratified by about one third of member states

Upgrading criminal justice systems in vulnerable countries,

Investigation of how crime networks operate

Developing a way to measure progress

Plugging the “black holes” in financial systems, such as “informal money transfers (hawala), offshore banking, recycling through real estates and liquid assets” that allow money laundering

Eliminating corruption which allows crime to prosper (UNODC 2010).

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INTERPOL

188 member states

Six Priorities

drugs and criminal organizations,

public safety and terrorism,

financial and high tech crimes,

fugitives,

trafficking in human beings

corruption.

Also: crimes against humanity, crimes against children, environmental crimes, and intellectual property crimes.

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Poverty, Failed States

Many regions of the world have no effective government

Weak law enforcement institutions

Poor economies

Ripe ground for organized crime

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Human Trafficking

9.5 billion annually

600,000 – 900,000 people trafficked across borders

Domestic trafficking another 1 – 3 million

12.3 million people in slavery or forced servitude

116 nations have national laws to combat trafficking

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Human Trafficking Laws

a broad definition of coercion, that would include all forms, financial, physical, reputational, or anything that would compel a person to continue in their activity to avoid harm

a well articulated definition of trafficking, to include all forms, not just recruitment and transportation

provision for the complete care of the victim-- mental, physical, and legal

immigration relief for victims regardless of their legal or illegal status

legal services to address financial compensation for the crimes committed against them

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(US State Dept. 2010, 13).

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USAID Efforts

Has worked in 70 countries

Works with local communities to build collective efficacy

strengthening government surveillance and monitoring capacity

monitoring private contracts with the government to insure adequate labor standards

working on legislative reform, including training prosecutors and judges

raising public awareness of techniques of traffickers and safe migration practices by mobilizing community resources for awareness campaigns, including neighborhood watch campaigns

working to develop local capacity for helping victims, including work with NGOs to establish reintegration and rehabilitation programs for victims, including shelter, health care, psychological counseling

providing literacy, life skill, self esteem, and vocational programs for victims

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(USAID 2006, 10 – 23).

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Recipients of US Foreign Aid

Foreign Assistance by Country

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MTV and USAID

MTV EXIT

A joint project of USAID and MTV

Educational concerts in regions subject to trafficking

CORPORATE Responsibility

Forced labor in sweatshops

Security procedures

Check subcontractors

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Drug Trafficking

Heroin $55 billion annually

Cocaine $88 billion annually

Down from $177

Decrease in market may explain increase in violence of trade

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Drug Trafficking and Terrorism

Taliban: protect drug routes in Pakistan

Al Qaeda: benefits from heroin trade

FARC: cocaine from Colombia

Hezbollah intercepts and fights trafficking but also may receive money

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States Destabilized by Trafficking

Guatemala

El Salvador

Honduras

Mexico

West Africa hub of trafficking

Guinea-Bissau, Mauritania, Mali, Guinea, Senegal, The Gambia, Cape Verde, Sierra Leone, Ghana, Togo, and Benin

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Cyber-Crime

Cybercriminals collaborate across countries

Line between cyber crime and cyber war is blurry

Russia attacked Estonia

US attacked Iraq’s financial system

US released Stuxnet against Iran

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4 Types of Cyber-threat

economic espionage: collecting information about various companies and other business information

political and military espionage is a technological update of traditional spying about military capabilities, a country’s intentions, etc.

cybercrime against the financial system for money as opposed to information

Cyberwar, including infrastructure attacks

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Combatting Security Threats

Development assistance is security assistance (President Kennedy)

OECD coordinates aid of rich countries

Aid still tends to be associated with strategic interests, not need

World Bank and UN agencies: concentrate on developing nations but also influenced by interests of rich donor nations

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Combatting Global Crime

Strong local governments—at the community level-- are a defense against corruption and can deter criminal practices

homogenizing criminal justice systems, including conforming laws across borders

Example: Swiss banking law shelters criminals

regularizing relationships among crime fighting agencies.

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