During a recession a fiscal policy has limitations, but the most limiting factor is probably
the recognition lag. This is a lag between when action is needed for the economy but is
recognized at a later point in time. A fiscal policy will have less effect because of this lag.
There is also an administrative lag which occurs when the action is required but it is then
implemented at a later time during the recession. During the recession around COVID-19
the government spent a lot of money in the healthcare sector on buildings and equipment
and other medical infrastructure in order to fight off the pandemic. The government also
spent a large amount of funds on subsidies for the American people to survive and afford
their current standard of living while the nation shut down. This was a major difference
between the COVID-19 recession and previous recessions in American history. Because the
nation was at a shutdown and the government spent so much money on the public the
government spending was exponential. Entering previous recessions the government would
subsidize The cost of many goods in order to ensure the public could afford them but this
latest recession was about taking care of the physical and mental health of the nation. Fiscal
policy refers to the use of government spending and tax policies to influence economic
conditions. In the past, our government has used expansionary fiscal policy to help bring
our economy up. Expansionary fiscal policy includes tax cuts, transfer payments, rebates,
and increased government spending on projects such as infrastructure improvements.
During the covid pandemic, our government spent an insane amount of money early in the
pandemic to help keep people whole. We received multiple stimilus checks along with a lot
of government aid for small business and schools. Most kids received free breakfast and
lunch each day along with an EBT card for their other daily food needs. People's student
loans were forgiven amongst a lot of other debt. Fiscal policy is known for the government
to present the economy with tax cuts and spending in a discretionary manner. The fiscal
policy used in previous recessionary periods is known as expansionary fiscal policy. The
expansionary fiscal policy is what the government use to present to the economy the current
conditions. The United States had a large spending scale in the beginning of the pandemic.
According to an article the spending was 50 percent more than the United Kingdom. It is
different with a pandemic recession and a normal recession being that they require different
policy response. The pandemic is to aimed towards those who are in need rather than
increasing aggregate demand. Businesses whether small or big were able to get help to keep
their company in good standing. Unfortunately, there are always bad apples in a bunch. The
bad apples are the ones that can make the help hard to get in the future. I read that people
were getting loans illegally and some getting loans without the intention to repay the loan
back. Fiscal policy is used by the government to influence the economy. The government
uses fiscal policy to determine interest rates and gross investment. They use it to determine
what needs to be done in order to fix the economy in different stages. Whether in a
recession or at its peak.During Covid the government put out $5.2 trillion to help keep the
economy going. With so many people losing jobs and businesses closing the government
had to step in to help us no go broke. The pandemic stimulus helped keep families and
businesses going. Fiscal policy also saved the United States during the Great Depression.
Monetary policy is a tool for the Central Bank which is the Federal Reserve.
When the economy enters a contraction, the Federal Reserve tends to respond with
expansionary monetary policy - a decrease in interest rates using the three monetary policy
tools.
During the 1930s, 1987, and 2008, the real interest rate decreased to almost zero and in
some cases negative so holding money was not attractive.
Currently, the Federal Reserve is in the process of increasing interest rates to put the brakes
on inflation as we try to recover from the COVID-19 mandates, shut-downs, and
restrictions.
Government, through the central bank, can apply different tactics to handle recession and its
effects on the economy. In the previous recession, the government has been using the
expansionary fiscal policy. The government uses this fiscal policy to leverage tax policies
and define how the economy spends them. The expansionary fiscal policy used in the last
recession mainly allowed the government to employ various tax cuts. With this approach,
the government increases discretionary spending in some way. During Covid 19 recession,
the fiscal policy was completely different from the normal recession. There was enormous
spending, especially early in the pandemic, with initial debt loads being normal. The
primary fiscal policy was to help the population that was affected rather than working on
increasing the aggregate demand as it is in other recessions. Unlike different fiscal policy,
this kind of response was more about improving social security rather than growing broad
stimulus for the organizations. The was a kind of increased spending, especially in paying
the frontline workers, as well as working on ways to slow the progression of the pandemic,
such as through testing and vaccines. Fiscal policy for the duration of the Covid 19
recession during President Trump's presidency differs from ordinary recessions due to the
fact Covid 19 created a forced federal shut down starting in March 2020. This lead to a
recession going forward throughout the year and continuing into next year. Compared to the
everyday recession the United States government decided to go along with a more
aggressive spending policy to combat the Covid-19 recession for than the 2008 recession
during Obama's precedency. . The government federal provided PPP loans for business
which they did not have to pay back, a 1,200 stimulus payment (cares act) for Americans
and a bunch of various different breaks. In Illinois the state government provided additional
unemployment money through federal funding. During the recession, food production and
auto and other manufacturing had been hit the toughest in which as although with Covid 19
it affected the entertainment (movie theaters etc.) and restaurant hospitality industries all at
the same time. During Covid 19 thousands if not millions of Americans lost their jobs while
smaller businesses closed, had to lay off all employees and could not recover being forced
to close for business. While big businesses remained opened during the covid-19 with
restrictions. As far as previous recessions, by .Influences from the federal government to
the economy is usually through giving tax breaks and increasing the authorities' spending
capacity which was known as Expansionary monetary policy . Also throughout the previous
era the unemployment will grow and a there is a natural decrease in earnings. During
previous recessionary durations the economic policy that has been used is the expansionary
monetary coverage. Expansionary monetary policy can grow an alternate deficit, and
accelerating inflation. In the previous recessions the federal government may also decrease
tax fees or increase spending to encourage stimulating the economy out of a recession.
Typically, an expansionary fiscal policy is used to recover from a recessionary period. This
policy would allow for an increased supply of money to reduce interest rates, and increase
investments, while also increasing government spending to raise the real GDP.During the
COVID-19 recession, the government had to deal with two major issues. The first was
quarantining it's population, to reduce the spread of the virus through close contact, and
second, limiting those deemed essential to continue with employment in person. There were
many factors of the pandemic that affected the recession, such as shortages of goods, and a
sharp decline in international trade, but the factors affecting employment and quarantining
the purchasing population were the most major factors under government control. In
previous recessions, the government would actively look to increase employment to full
natural employment. However, due to the fact that may people were quarantined in their
homes, full employment was drastically reduced across the country, and could not be
increased until all fears of the virus spreading could be alleviated. Another major difference
with previous recessions was the quarantined consumer population. The government
increased spending by giving multiple stimulus funds to consumers, however, since most of
the supply chain was broken, food shortages were prevalent, and many businesses were still
closed, the stimulus did not have nearly as much affect as could be expected in previous
recessions. The fiscal policy during the previous recessionary period that are expansionary
fiscal policy ,cause the expansionary fiscal policy will allows the government to influence
the economic conditions by doing tax cuts and increases for government spending an but
they are three main types of fiscal policy which are neutral policy expansionary,
contractionary and cuz the government May lower tax races are increased to spending to
encourage demand economic cause it may raise rates or cut spending to slow down the
economy,The two major examples of expansionary fiscal policy are tax cuts and increased
government spending. Both of these policies are intended to increase aggregate demand
while contributing to deficits or drawing down budget surpluses. I found an example that
really caught my attention so I decided to share.The economy was in the longest expansion
on record before the COVID-19 pandemic, but a sharp decline in economic activity is now
inevitable, with unemployment insurance claims skyrocketing and many forecasters saying
that the economy has already entered a recession. The last recession — the Great Recession
— was a stark reminder of the need to lessen the human hardship and economic dislocation
associated with a recession. It left key lessons for policymakers, who should now use a
wide array of available policy tools to keep this and future downturns as short and shallow
as possible. Fiscal Policy
The US Legislative Branch (Congress and Senate) define, implement, and govern US fiscal
policy which is the national expenditures and taxation employed to stabilize the economy
(https://www.britannica.com/topic/fiscal-policy)
Fiscal Policy Tools
Government expenditures (G) which are all Federal, State, and Local government purchases
from paper clips to aircraft carriers.
Taxation (T) which is imposition of compulsory levies on individuals or entities by
governments. Taxes are levied in almost every country of the world, primarily to raise
revenue for government expenditures, as well as to stabilize an economy
(https://www.britannica.com/topic/taxation)
Expansionary Fiscal policy is implemented during a contraction on the business cycle.
Expansionary Fiscal policy includes increasing G and/or decreasing T.
This allows Aggregate Demand to shift to the right and move an economy toward growth.
Contractionary Fiscal policy is implemented during an expansion on the business cycle.
Contractionary Fiscal policy includes decreasing G and/or increasing T.
This allows Aggregate Demand to shift to the left and minimize the economy’s overheating.
Monetary Policy
The Federal Reserve (the Fed) defines monetary policy as its actions to influence the
availability and cost of money and credit. Because the expectations of market participants
play an important role in determining prices and economic growth, monetary policy can
also be defined to include the directives, policies, statements, and actions of the Fed that
influence future perceptions. However, the Feds cannot control the inflation directly;
instead, indirectly by affecting the money supply, it is theorized that monetary policy can
establish ranges for inflation, unemployment, interest rates, and economic growth. The
Fed’s primary mission is to ensure that enough money and credit are available to sustain
economic growth without inflation. If there is an indication that inflation is threatening our
purchasing power, the Fed may need to slow the growth of the money supply. It does this
by using three tools—the discount rate, reserve requirements and, most important, open
market operations.
Monetary Policy Tools
Open market operation: This is the tool that the Federal Reserve uses the most frequently
(on a daily basis) monetary policy tool to involves the buying and selling of government
securities in order to influence short-term interest rates and the growth of the money and
credit aggregates. Whenever an increase in the growth rate of the money supply and credit
is needed, or if downward pressure on short-term interest rates is desired, the Fed sends
securities to brokers and dealers electronically and takes payment by debiting the accounts
of banks with which the brokers and dealers do business. These reserves leave the banking
system, thereby reducing the money supply and curtailing the expansion of credit.
To stimulate the economy that is experiencing a contraction, the Fed will increase the
money supply by buying securities.
To slow down an overheating economy that is experiencing an inflationary expansion, the
Fed will decrease the money supply by selling securities.
This is done on a daily basis and makes incremental changes to the money supply. In a
sense, open market operations tweak the money supply.
Reserve Requirements: Are the requirements regarding the amount of funds that the bank
must hold in reserve against deposits made by their customers. This money must be in the
bank's vaults or at the closest Federal Reserve Bank. This tool is used to maintain the
minimum amount of physical funds in their reserve.
Reserve requirement changes are not made very often at all. They are a policy used in an
extreme economic situation.
To stimulate the economy that is experiencing a contraction, the Fed will increase the
money supply by decreasing the reserve requirement allowing banks and other financial
institutions to loan out a greater fraction of the deposits.
To slow down an overheating economy that is experiencing an inflationary expansion, the
Fed will decrease the money supply by increasing the reserve requirement restricting even
more the amount of money banks and other financial institutions are allowed to loan out.
Discount Rate: interest rate charged commercial banks and other depository institutions for
loans that are received by the Federal Reserve Banks. This tool is important because it is a
visible announcement of change in the Fed's monetary policy and it will give insight to the
Fed's plans.
Like the reserve requirement, the discount rate changes are not made very often at all. This
policy is not used very often; however, the Fed is increasing the discount rate today.
To stimulate the economy that is experiencing a contraction, the Fed will decrease the
discount rate which makes borrowing for consumption and investment friendlier.
To slow down an overheating economy that is experiencing an inflationary expansion, the
Fed will increase the discount rate making savings more attractive than consumption and
investment.
The Federal Reserve focuses on influencing interest rates and keeping price level increases
at a healthy, sustainable level.
Inflation is caused by the demand side or the supply side.
Two Causes of Inflation
Demand-Pull Inflation is a general increase in the overall price level due to an increase in
aggregate demand.
This type of inflation is demonstrated by an outward shift to the right of the Aggregate
Demand curve. In small increments, it demonstrates creeping inflation which indicates a
healthy, growing economy. In larger increments, it may demonstrate galloping or
hyperinflation which are destabilizing to the economy.
Also, this type of inflation is demonstrated by the expansionary phase on the business cycle.
This type of inflation, if considered creeping inflation, is an indicator of a healthy, growing
economy due to the increases in price levels, decreases in unemployment, and the increases
in GDP.
If this type of inflation becomes a problem, it can be resolved using traditional
contractionary fiscal and/or monetary policies.
Cost-Push Inflation is a general increase in the overall price level due to a decrease in
aggregate supply.
This type of inflation is demonstrated by an inward shift to the left of the Aggregate Supply
curve due to an increase in price and/or decrease in availability of a significant input
(resource) into the production process.
This type of inflation cannot be demonstrated on the business cycle.
This type of inflation is an indicator of an economy experiencing loss and economic
challenges that cannot be resolved with traditional fiscal and/or monetary expansionary or
contractionary policies due to the increases in price levels, increases in unemployment, and
the decreases in GDP.
This type of inflation cannot be resolved using traditional fiscal and monetary policy tools.
Cost-Push Inflation can result in stagflation in which the government must step outside the
realm of economic policies and use diplomacy, political policies, military actions, and other
resolutions.
http://useconomy.about.com/od/inflationfaq/tp/Types-of-Inflation.htm
What type of inflation is the US economy experiencing at this time?
What fiscal policy is feasible to address the inflation issue at this time?
What monetary policy is feasible to address the inflation issue at this time?