Re-Examining the Origins of Policy Related to Violence Against Women:
The Role of Women’s Descriptive Representation in
Achieving Substantive Representation
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
It is estimated that 35 percent of women worldwide have
experienced either physical and/or sexual intimate partner violence
or sexual violence by a non-partner (not including sexual
harassment) at some point in their lives. (UN Women 2019)
Violence against women is an imminent problem devastating women’s physical and
mental health. According to UN Women, 35 percent of women worldwide have experienced
physical or sexual violence by an intimate partner or a non-partner. Violence against women
is not only problematic in developing countries but also developed countries. In South Korea,
an employee of a bar near Gangnam station in Seoul stabbed a woman who entered the
karaoke room on May 17, 2016. This crime is classified as a crime targeting women because
the criminal spent about half an hour sending six men to the bathroom and commit the crime
when a woman entered the bathroom. The criminal stated that “I committed the crime
because I was ignored by women, and I don’t know the victim.”
Why do some countries adopt laws and policies combating violence against women,
while others do not? Even though the fundamental way to eradicate and control violence
against women, and to help abused women is unquestionably adopting and implementing
laws and public policies addressing violence against women, studies about violence against
women have been largely conducted in other disciplines such as sociology, psychology, and
criminology rather than in political science. Even though some exceptional studies have dealt
with the above question (Htun & Weldon 2012; Weldon 2002, 2004, 2006a), there are still
holes needed to be filled. This dissertation tries to answer the question with the focus on the
role of women’s descriptive representation in parliaments to lead countries to promote laws
and public policies concerning violence against women.
Figure 1-1: Average Women in Parliaments (%) over the World
Source: The Inter-Parliamentary Union (IPU) database.
The level of women’s parliamentary descriptive representation has increased
continuously after the acquisition of passive suffrage, even if several reasons behind female
underrepresentation in political offices such as voters’ bias against female candidates (Anzia
& Berry 2011; Baskaran & Hessami 2018; Beaman 2007; Fréchette, Maniquet, & Morelli
2008), party leader’s bias against women (Casas-Arce & Saiz 2015; Esteve-Volart & Bagues
2012), and the unwillingness of women to be in competitive environments (Eisenkopf,
Hessami, Fischbacher, & Ursprung 2015; Niederle & Vesterlund 2007) still exist. The world
average percentage of female legislators was less than 1% before 1970, exceeding 10% in
2000 and reaching 22% in 2019. This optimistic upward trend is not confined to a specific
region but is occurring worldwide.
With the increased women’s parliamentary descriptive representation, the differences
of female representatives can make in politics have been examined both theoretically and
empirically. Theories behind the differences between female and male representatives are
largely based on the politics of presence (Mansbridge 1999a; Phillips 1995; Pitkin 1967) and
ethics of care (Chorodow 1978; Gilligan 1982; Ruddick 1980). Based on those theories, the
distinction between them are examined related to attitudes (Flammang 1997; Frankovic 1982;
Thomas 1991; Thomas & Wilcox 2014), priorities (Diaz 2005; Reingold 2003; Swers 1998;
Wängnerud 2000), and policy promotion (Berkman and O'connor 1993; Bratton and Ray
2002;
Caiazza 2004; Li-Ju 2008; Crowley 2004; Thomas 1991; Tolbert and Steuernagel 2001;
Cowell-Meyers and Langbein 2009). Compared to studies about the gendered-differences in
attitude and priority, studies about the difference in policy promotion female representatives
can make provide mixed empirical evidence because of the lack of a well-developed
timeseries cross-national analysis dealing with policy promotion “from the start”
(Courtemanche & Green 2017; Wängnerud 2009).
Figure 1-2: Average Women in Parliaments (%) by Geopolitical Regions
Source: The Inter-Parliamentary Union (IPU) database.
This study examines the influence of women’s parliamentary descriptive
representation on the adoption and implementation of laws and public policies addressing
against violence against women “from the start” of such laws and policies. By conducting
large-N cross-sectional time-series statistical analysis with 162 countries from 1908 to 2016,
and by examining the case of South Korea, I test the existing theories, including “the politics
of presence”, “the ethics of care” and “the Critical Mass”, about the influence of women’s
descriptive representation well-developed over decades and develop mechanisms behind the
influence of women’s descriptive representation.
This dissertation shows that higher women’s descriptive representation increases the
probability of adopting the first laws about violence against women in Chapter 4. In addition,
the conducive impacts of women’s descriptive representation in legislative branches on the
implementation of public policies concerning violence against women are also supported by
the empirical evidence from Chapter 5. Moreover, in Chapter 6, based on the case of the
Korean National Assembly, this dissertation demonstrates that female lawmakers are more
likely to cosponsor bills addressing violence against women compared to their male
counterparts and shows that male legislators who have sponsored any bills with female
counterparts tend to cosponsor such bills. In addition, it is revealed that female
representatives involved in centerleft political parties have a higher probability of sponsoring
violence against women bills rather than female colleges from center-right political parties.
Lastly, I find that a higher percentage of female legislators in the total number of sponsors of
violence against women bills tends to increase the success rate of such bills. Those empirical
findings are consistently robust in other modeling strategies and model specifications,
indicating that those relationships are not the artificial findings from an empirical strategy.
1.1. Violence Against Women
Violence against women, defined as “any act of gender-based violence that results in,
or is likely to result in, physical, sexual or psychological harm or suffering to women,
including threats of such acts, coercion or arbitrary deprivation of liberty, whether occurring
in public or in private life” (UN Woman), has received great attention based on not only
domestic but also international perspectives (Devries et al. 2013; Edwards 2011; Fitzpatrick
1993; Htun & Weldon 2012; Montoya 2013; Russell & Deven 1976; Watts & Zimmerman
2002). Even though definitions of violence against women can vary widely, violence against
women typically includes physical assault, sexual violence and harassment, and domestic
violence (Montoya 2013, 17). Moreover, violence against women sometimes also includes
emotional assault (Crowell & Burgess 1996). UN Women categorizes eight forms of violence
as violence against women: domestic and intimate partner violence, trafficking, sexual
violence, sexual harassment, Female Genital Mutilation and Cutting (FGM/C), Child, Early,
and Forced Marriage (CEFM), stalking, femicide or feminicide, and other forms of violence
against women.
Violence against women, which is not a new phenomenon, is an exacting problem
regardless of the level of developments, regime types, regions, religions, cultures, or histories
(Krug, Dahlberg, Mercy, Zwi, & Lozano 2002). Violence against women is one of the major
problems affecting women’s integrity and every socioeconomic group at every life stage
(True 2012). UNWOMEN (2018) provides a series of facts and figures about the severity of
violence against women in the world. According to its’ analysis, 35 percent of women in the
world experience sexual violence including trafficking, stalking, early childhood marriage,
forced marriage forced sex, female genital mutilation, etc. Also, Comprehensive research
from UNODC (2018) shows that 58 percent of women intentionally murdered in 2017 were
killed by intimate partners or family members.
In addition, World Health Organization (WHO) provides a summary of violence
against women including intimate partner violence and non-partner sexual violence around
the world by analyzing seemingly all available data.1 According to its summary, the estimates
1 WHO uses the following data: IVAWS, WHO multi-country study on women’s health and
domestic violence against women, DHS, GENACIS, CDC RHS, and crime surveys across
the globe (World Health Organization 2013).
of the percentage of women who experience physical and/or sexual intimate partner violence
among ever-partnered women are above 20% for all regions and high-income countries
(23.2%). The region with the highest estimate is South-East Asia (37.7%) followed by
Eastern Mediterranean (37%), Africa (36.6%), and Americas (29.8%). Even though the
estimates in Europe (25.4%) and Western Pacific (24.6%) are relatively low, the estimated
percentage is not negligible. The estimated proportion of women reporting intimate partner
violence and/or nonpartner sexual violence by each region and high-income countries is
averagely 10% higher. Violence against women is also widely spread in politics. Elected
women, female candidates, journalists, judges, academics, activists, and practitioners have
also suffered from violence against women at nearly all stages of the political process (Krook
2020b).
Violence against women imposes profoundly negative impacts on women’s life. Abused
women who experience violence against women have suffered from severe physical and
mental health consequences (Kilpatrick et al. 2003; Schnurr & Green 2004). Eby, Campbell,
Sullivan, and Davidson (1995) revealed that abused women tend to be suffered from physical
health symptoms including low energy, sleep problems, headaches, muscle tension/soreness,
constant fatigue, etc., gynecological symptoms such as Pelvic pain and Bladder infection, and
potential exposure to sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) or Human Immunodeficiency
Virus (HIV) infection.
Mentally, violence against women affects women’s mental health by influencing
dignity, self-identity, and self-esteem (Babu & Kar 2009; Bonomi et al. 2006; Coker et al.
2002;
Ellsberg, Jansen, Heise, Watts, & Garcia-Moreno 2008). Trevillion, Oram, Feder, and Howard
(2012) show that the probabilities of experiencing depressive disorders and anxiety disorders,
and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) for abused women are three times, four times, and
seven times higher. Oram, Khalifeh, and Howard (2017) also demonstrate that women who
suffered from domestic abuse or sexual violence tend to have an increased risk of mental
disorders.
Despite the severity of violence against women, public policies combating violence against
women are insufficient (Krook & Sanín 2016). Some countries do not have criminal laws that
are the very basic tools to penalize violence against women and others have laws without
specific words for indicating which behaviors should be considered as violence.
To explain the variation among countries and the reason behind the governmental
provision of public policies combating violence against women, I focus on the role of
women’s descriptive representation. The influence of women’s descriptive representation on
the substantive representation of women has been studied by scholars (Atkinson & Windett
2019; Mansbridge 1999b; Phillips 1995; Pitkin 1967; Swers 2002). Even though there are
strong theoretical backgrounds of the influence of women’s descriptive representation from
the politics of presence and the ethics of care, the empirical results about the influence of
women’s descriptive representation are at best mixed. For example, a study from Htun and
Weldon
(2012), which is might be the most relevant study to the topic of this dissertation, shows that
the influence of women’s descriptive representation is insignificant or marginal compared to
that of feminist autonomous movements on the policy changes combating violence against
women.
However, there are still some limitations that should be overcome through better research
design. First, the time span of the previous literature does not include the period when the
level of women’s descriptive representation was low enough. Second, years, when there was
the adoption of laws and policies about violence against women, are also excluded from the
previous empirical research. Moreover, even though there are various types of public policies
combating violence against women, no empirical studies test the influence of women’s
descriptive representation while controlling potential heterogeneities across different types of
public policies.
1.2. Research Design
To investigate the influence of women’s descriptive representation on the provision
of public policies about violence against women properly, I employ the triangulation research
strategy with a large-N cross-national time-series statistical analysis about 162 countries from
1908 to 2016, and statistical analysis with the data from the Korean National Assembly from
1948 (the start of 1st Congress) to 2020 (the end of 20th Congress). Widely employed in
comparative public policy research (Wolf 2010), triangulation refers to “the use of multiple
theories, data sources, methods or investigators within the study of a single phenomenon.”
(Heale and Forbes 2013, 98). To be specific, triangulation includes employing both qualitative
and quantitative approaches at the same time to answer a specific research question and
testing hypotheses with different data (Tarrow 1995). By relying on different data including
large-N cross-national time-series data and the Korean National Assembly data, this
dissertation examines the relationship between women’s descriptive representation and
substantive representation in terms of laws and policies concerning violence against women.
First, I conduct a large-N cross-national time-series statistical analysis. A large-N
cross-national time-series analysis has relatively less internal validity compared to properly
designed experiments because randomization cannot be used, but more internal validity and
external validity compared to comparative methods and case study approach generally. In the
statistical method, instead of randomization, conditional expectation function (CEF), also
called partial correlation (Lijphart 1971), is used to see whether there are statistically
significant relationships between dependent variables and independent variables by holding
other variables at constant values. In other words, CEF enables us to conduct quasi-
experiments (Collier 1993). If our sample is representative of the population that we are
interested in, the results from statistical methods can be generalized to the population.
Moreover, combined with other methods, the statistical method can be used as the start line
for further in-depth case studies (Lieberman 2005) or can be used for testing hypotheses
generated from the case and comparative methods. In addition, the statistical method is a
useful tool to check generalizability in the absence of randomization. It can efficiently test the
external validity of theories and give robustness to the existing theories or reject theories
(Zuckerman 2009).
Despite the strengths of a large-N cross-national time-series statistical analysis, the large-N
approach is not enough to unveil the relationship between women’s descriptive and
substantive representation related to legal reforms combating violence against women. For
instance, even though I can examine the influence of the percentage of women in legislative
branches on the adoption and implementation of violence against women laws and public
policies at the aggregated-level, it is hard to study how gender affects legislative behaviors
related to the issue of violence against women. For instance, are female legislators more
likely to sponsor bills concerning violence against women? Do male legislators with previous
experience of sponsoring bills with female legislators tend to sponsor violence against women
bills? In addition, violence against women bills sponsored by female legislators from different
political parties are more likely to be passed? Given that collecting information about all
individual legislators and proposed bills over the globe is nearly impossible, answering those
essential research questions with large-N time-series cross-national data is difficult.
Therefore, I conduct a statistical analysis with the data on the Korean National Assembly
which provides more information about individual legislators and their legislative behaviors.
The combination of a large-N cross-national time-series statistical analysis with the data on
162 countries from 1908 to 2016, and statistical analysis with the Korean National Assembly
data enables me to examine the generalizability of the link between women descriptive and
substantive representation, and to unveil the mechanism of how the entrance of women in
legislative branches affect legal reforms concerning violence against women.
1.3. Organization of the Dissertation
The rest of this dissertation is divided into six chapters. In Chapter Two, which
follows, I thoroughly review previous literature on women’s descriptive representation and
violence against women. To be specific, previous literature about the relationship between
women’s parliamentary descriptive representation and countries’ efforts to combat violence
against women will be presented. In addition, theories related to the influence of women’s
descriptive representation in parliaments on social and political phenomena will also be
presented. Lastly, I point out the necessity to conduct mixed analysis of large-N and case
study which can support the generalizability of the findings from previous literature and re-
examine the theories behind the relationship between women’s descriptive representation and
substantive representation.
In Chapter 3, theories and hypotheses tested in this dissertation will be presented. First,
theories and hypotheses tested with the time-series cross-national data will be introduced
based on the long-lasting theories including the politics of presence, the critical mass, and the
ethics of care theories. I hypothesize that the improved women’s descriptive representation in
legislative branches leads countries to adopt and implement criminal laws and public policies
addressing violence against women. In addition, the conditional relationship between
women’s descriptive representation and the proliferation of global norms about violence
against women will be theorized. Furthermore, the hypotheses tested with the data on the
Korean National Assembly will be presented. To be specific, I hypothesize the relationship
between gender and bill sponsorship on violence against women bills, the conditional
relationship between gender and partisanship of individual legislators, and the influence of
previous cosponsorship experiences with female legislators on the legislative behaviors of
male counterparts. Moreover, related to bill success, the relationship between the percentage
of female cosponsors of the total number of cosponsors and bill success will be theorized.
Lastly, I theorize that violence against women bills sponsored by female legislators from
different political parties are more likely to be passed.
In Chapter 4, I, relying on time-series cross-national data on 162 countries from 1908
when Japan first adopted laws combating violence against women to 2016, examine the
influence of women’s descriptive representation in legislative branches on the adoption of
laws concerning violence against women. By estimating discrete event history models based
on logistic regression, I demonstrate that a higher percentage of women in parliaments leads
countries to adopt violence against women laws. In terms of predicted probabilities, this
relationship is not only statistically significant, but also substantially meaningful. After I
control the potential heterogeneous impacts of women’s descriptive representation on the
adoption of violence against women laws according to the types of violence, the relationship
is consistently robust.
In Chapter 5, I examine the relationship between women’s descriptive representation
and the implementation of public policies categorized into 20 types of policies. Based on
discrete pooled event history analysis (PEHA) developed by Kreitzer and Boehmke (2016), I
find that a higher percentage of women in legislative branches increases the log-odds of
implementing public policies concerning violence against women. The random effect of
women’s descriptive representation is not statistically significant, meaning that the positive
influence of women’s descriptive representation does not depend on the types of public
policies. More interestingly, by examining countries implementing violence against women
laws and public policies despite no female representative in legislative branches, I show that
the laws and public policies adopted and implemented without supports from female
legislators in Asian, MENA, and Sub-Saharan countries have non-negligible limitations in
terms of details of clauses and sentence. On the contrary, in Western European countries such
as Denmark and France, the adoption and implementation of successful violence against
women laws and public policies are rooted in the active feminist movements.
In Chapter 6, I further examine the mechanisms behind the link behind the statistically and
substantively significant relationship between women’s descriptive representation in
parliaments and the adoption and implementation of laws and public policies addressing
violence against women with the case of the Korean National Assembly. In this chapter, by
analyzing 85,860 bills proposed from 1948 (the start of 1st Congress) to 2020 (the end of 20th
Congress) based on the Bill Information System developed by the Korean National Assembly,
I demonstrate that female legislators are more likely to sponsor bills addressing violence
against women compared to their male counterparts, that the previous experience of
cosponsorship with female legislators leads male legislators to promote bills combating
violence against women, and that female legislators involved in the center left political parties
tend to focus on sponsoring violence against women bills rather than those from center-right
political parties. Moreover, I show that bills sponsored by a higher percentage of female
legislators have a higher probability of being passed.
Finally, Chapter 7 summarizes the empirical results from the two time-series
crossnational analysis chapters and the statistical analysis with the data on the Korean
National Assembly. In addition, this chapter discusses the contributions of my dissertation to
both the literature on Women and Politics and the literature on violence against women.
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
If the representation be so formed as to give one or more of the natural
classes of men in the society an undue ascendancy over the others, it is
imperfect; the former will gradually become masters, and the latter
slaves. (Storing 1981, 75)
The saying from (Storing 1981, 75) emphasizes the fact that representatives usually do
not represent all public regardless of gender, class, race, etc., but represent some of the public.
Given this fact, in Chapter 2, I review the literature about women’s descriptive representation
in parliaments and the differences female legislators or representatives can make in policy
outcomes. After the review of previous literature, I introduce theories and hypotheses that will
be tested throughout this dissertation.
2.1. Previous Literature on the Female Legislators and Differences They Make
Various previous studies handle the questions such as does women’s descriptive
representation lead to substantive representation (Pitkin 1967) and do female legislators can
make differences in a polity such as attitudes, interests, priorities, and differences of policy
outcomes (Bratton & Haynie 1999; Darcy 1994; Norris 1996; Thomas 1994). Representatives
sharing common experiences and social identity including gender, race, or class are more
likely to represent their own groups' interests rather than other representatives do
(Mansbridge 1999b; Phillips 1995; Sapiro 1981; Swers 2002). Gender differences between
female and male legislators have been studied with different focuses. I review the gender
differences among legislators depending on genders around attitudes, priorities, and policy
promotion.
Differences in attitudes between female and male legislators are widely studied by scholars
and there is a consent that gender influences the attitudes which individual legislators have
(Esaiasson & Holmberg 2017; Lovenduski & Norris 2003; McAllister & Studlar 1992; Narud
& Valen 2000; Norris & Lovenduski 1995), despite some debates about the degree of the
influence.
As Wängnerud (2009) summarized, the direction of the gender gap in political
attitudes between female and male legislators is relatively clear. A series of studies show that
female legislators tend to be more liberal or politically left compared to their male colleagues
(Flammang 1997; Frankovic 1982; Thomas 1991; Thomas & Wilcox 2014). By collecting
data from a mail survey of more than 2,500 legislators across states, Poggione (2004)
demonstrates that female legislators show more support on the welfare policy liberalism
which index is composed of 17 dichotomous items about legislators’ support on the principles
of welfare reform and initiatives. Also, even though McCarty, Poole, and Rosenthal (1997)
argue that the pro-liberal attitude of female legislators can be totally explained by district
factors, S. Welch
(1985) and Burrell (1996), based on conservative coalition support scores from the 93rd and
96th U.S. Congresses, demonstrate that congresswomen tend to be more ideologically liberal
rather than their male counterparts. Moreover, Swers (2002) creates a database about the
number of bills related to women’s issues and unveils that female legislators pay more
attention to women’s issues regardless of their partisanships by comparing male and female
members of House of Representatives in the United States during 103rd and 104th Congresses.
Differences in attitudes are also observed in the attitudes toward women’s issues or women’s
interests including social policy, affirmative actions, or pornography (Burrell 1996; Gehlen
1977; Leader 1977; Wängnerud 2009). Berkman and O'connor (1993) show that female
representatives are more likely to secure committee assignments allowing them to block
prolife legislation such as abortion policy. In addition, with the voting records of all
representatives in the 103rd Congress on women’s issues, Swers (1998) reveals that female
legislators are likely to vote for women’s issues while controlling other major factors of
congressional voting such as individual characteristics, ideology, and constituency factors.
I should note that some previous literature, especially the U.S. context, argues that
there has been a growing divide between Democratic and Republican women and similarity
among male and female legislators in the same political parties, and emphasize the crucial
role of a political party (Frederick 2009; Osborn 2012). Based on Aldrich (2011), Thomsen
(2015) demonstrates that both self-selection and party recruitment make the influence of
partisanship in determining the ideology of individual legislators.
While attitudes are the matter of “on the issues” which are already politicized or publicized,
priorities are related to what kinds of issues will be politicized or put on the agenda
(Wängnerud 2009). As the differences between female and male representatives on attitudes
toward issues have been studied broadly, the different priorities of issues from female and
male representatives are also widely studied by scholars (Diaz 2005; Reingold 2003; Swers
1998; Wängnerud 2000). The differences in priorities between female and male
representatives are largely based on the distinct psychological development of women and
men (Chorodow 1978; Jones 1997). As Childs and Krook (2006) said “There is some, albeit
inconclusive, evidence that increases in the percentage of female deputies also lead to the
advancement of policy issues that are important women, such as childcare, equal pay, and
protection against women”, there has been a consensus that female representatives tend to
prioritize women’s issues, even though empirical results can be different based on how
researchers determine and measure women’s issues.
In American Politics, Thomas and Welch (1991), based on the 1988 survey of members of
the lower houses of the state legislatures in twelve states, show that female state legislators’
list of priority bills tend to include more legislations about children and family than the lists
of men; that female representatives are likely to introduce more welfare bills than male
counterparts; that women tend to be on health and welfare committees; and that women are
likely to list women’s issues as accomplishments. They support the gender influence on the
issue priorities by saying that “Increased numbers of women legislators mean a larger
potential support network for women who push issues of importance to them”.
More recently, Atkinson and Windett (2019) analyze all bills introduced in the U.S. House of
Representatives from 1963 to 2009. They classify issues of bills into 19 topic areas and
demonstrate that female representative tends to devote more attention on the issues including
“civil rights, and liberties”, “education”, “health”, “law, crime, and family issues,” and “social
welfare compared to their male counterparts. Moreover, some studies also show that female
legislators tend to focus on social and family issues compared to male legislators (Diamond
1977; Kirkpatrick 1974; Werner 1968), and the influence of potential support network for
women is the pre-requisite of the difference between male and female priorities
(Flammang 1985; Saint-Germain 1989).
The differences in priorities between women and men also exist in other developed
and developing countries. Schwindt‐Bayer (2006) reveals that female legislators tend to place
a higher priority on women’s issues and children/family concerns by examining all bills
initiated during two congresses in Costa Rica and Colombia, 1994-98 and 1998-2002, and
two years in Argentina, 1995 and 1999. Taylor-Robinson and Heath (2003)’s case study on
Honduran Congress from 1990-93 also finds that female legislators are likely to emphasize
women’s rights issues, even though they show that there is no difference between female and
male legislator’s priorities on children’s and family issues. In addition, Wängnerud (2006)
analyzes Swedish parliaments over 20 years and finds that 75% of women in parliaments
focused on the issues of social policy, family policy, care for the elderly, and health care when
they conduct election campaigns. Compared to women, only 44% of men in parliaments
address those issues in 1985. More recently Tam (2017) finds that female legislators in an
undemocratic or semi-democratic legislature focus on women’s interests rather than male
legislators do by conducting a case study of Hong Kong.
Likewise, the differences between female and male representatives are widely studied and
empirically tested. However, the policy outcome or policy promotion that women legislators
can make has been relatively less examined. Wängnerud (2009) emphasized this relative
marginalization as “Although there are studies on policy promotion, the closer one gets to
outcomes in citizens’ everyday lives, the fewer empirical findings there are to report.” Given
the importance of politics on citizens’ everyday lives, the evaluation on the link between
women’s descriptive representation and substantive representation including policy changes
should be conducted to fully understand the influence of women’s descriptive representation
and the differences that women representatives can make. As Bratton and Ray (2002)
emphasize the importance of evaluating the connection between women’s descriptive
representation and policy outcomes by mentioning that “The link between descriptive
representation and substantive representation is most meaningful when descriptive
representation affects not only a representative’s attitudes and behavior but also the decisions
made by the overall legislative body”, studying the association between women’s descriptive
representation and substantive representation is essential.
Even though the relative deficiency of studies about policy outcomes that women can make,
there are also previous studies about this topic (Berkman & O'connor 1993; Bratton &
Ray 2002; Caiazza 2004; Cowell-Meyers & Langbein 2009; Crowley 2004; Li-Ju 2008;
Thomas 1991; Tolbert & Steuernagel 2001). Even though the previous studies on this issue
are concentrated on American Politics, there are also some studies in developing and other
developed countries.
Related to the United States, Saint-Germain (1989) conducts a longitudinal analysis about
public policy output in the Arizona State Legislature between 1969 and 1986 and reveals that
women legislators tend to initiate more bills about women’s interests and feminist issues than
male counterparts, which in turn produces more public policies about women’s interests.
More recently, Cowell-Meyers and Langbein (2009) investigate the association between
women’s descriptive representation and substantive representation by using logistic and
leastsquares estimations. Based on the examination of 34 policies including violence against
women, child policies, welfare policies, etc. which are identified by the Institute for Women’s
Policy Research (IWPR) as the interests of women in the U.S. States, they find evidence that
a higher level of women’s descriptive presentation in state legislatures tends to lead state-
level policies favoring women in the 1990s on 5 of the 34 policies such as favorable policies
and child support.
In addition, Eckhouse (2019) reveals that descriptive representation increases criminal justice
by conducting a case study in the United States.
In addition to the direct influence of women’s descriptive representation on substantive
representation, Caiazza (2004) shows the indirect effect of women’s descriptive
representation on policy outcomes. She suggests a two-staged relationship from party and
gender attitudes to women-friendly policies including employment protections of women,
legislation protecting sexual minorities, and reproductive rights, through women’s
representation. Using data about state policies in 2000, she revealed that the favorable
attitudes toward women representatives and Democratic dominance tend to increase the
proportion of female state legislators and in turn lead to a higher level of women-friendly
policies.
Studies about the link between women’s descriptive representation and substantive
representation are not confined only to the U.S., but also conducted with a focus on other
countries in various regions in the world. Bratton and Ray (2002) investigate the link between
women’s descriptive representation and substantive representation measured by the provision
of child care with the focus on the Norwegian municipalities in 1975, 1979, 1983, 1987, and
1991. They show that the proportion of women in the council leads the provision of child care
by using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regressions. In terms of the adoption of policies
related to family leave, Kittilson (2008) demonstrates that the presence of women in
parliaments significantly influences the adoption and scope of both maternity and childcare
leave policies by analyzing family leave policies in 19 democratic countries from 1970 to
2000. More importantly, she argues that the women’s descriptive representation in legislative
branches has played a more important role in adopting such policies rather than the ideology
of the party in power. A more recent study from Wiener (2021) relying on an experimental
approach provides evidence for the link between women’s descriptive and substantive
representation.
Some evidence comes from studies on non-democratic countries. Bauer and Burnet
(2013) conduct a case study about two different sub-Saharan African countries: Botswana
which is a democratic country and Rwanda which is an authoritarian single-party dominant
country. They argue that women’s descriptive representatives are helpful to achieve
substantive representation of women even in undemocratic countries. Nistotskaya and
Stensöta (2018) also demonstrate that the positive dynamics between women’s political
representation and womenfriendly policy outcomes in a large electoral autocracy, Russia.
Some of the previous cross-national studies also provide evidence for the influence of
women’s descriptive representation on substantive representation. Bolzendahl and Brooks
(2007) analyze the influence of women’s political power on welfare state effort within 12
capitalist democracies. With Prais-Winsten regression with panel-corrected standard errors,
they demonstrate that higher women’s descriptive representation tends to increase the levels
of social expenditure while controlling a series of variables such as year, unemployment,
GDP per capita, and constitutional structure. Moreover, Schwindt-Bayer and Mishler (2005)’s
seminal work shows that time-series cross-national study on the examination of the link is
promising. The main question they try to answer in their article is whether women’s
descriptive representation increases legislatures’ responsibilities to women’s issues or not. As
main dependent variables, they use a series of policies including weeks of maternity leave,
women’s social and political equality, and marital equality in law. Using data about 31
democracies, they provide evidence for the positive influence of women’s descriptive
representation on substantive representation.
However, findings on the association between women’s descriptive representation and
substantive representation are mixed at best. There are some studies which demonstrate that
the influence of women’s descriptive representation in parliaments on policy outcomes and
policy promotions is insignificant, at best very marginal.
Tolbert and Steuernagel (2001) build an index of women’s health mandates based on the
nine specific policies such as breast cancer screening and direct access to ob-gyns without a
referral from primary care physicians and test whether women’s descriptive representation in
state legislatures leads the adoption of women’s health mandates or not. They show that the
presence of women in the state legislature in the 1990s and of women in leadership positions
does not influence policy adoptions about women’s health policies. Also, Thomas (1994)
distinguishes between legislative procedures such as political speeches, co-work with
colleagues, and the interaction with lobbyists, and legislative products including voting
records, issue attitudes, and policy priorities. By empirically comparing the difference
between female and male legislators, she demonstrates that the gender gap in legislative
procedures is closing but that in legislative products is not.
2.2. Previous Literature on Violence Against Women Laws and Policies
To reiterate, violence against women and girls is a global phenomenon which is not limited
to certain geopolitical regions or to specific socio-economic classes (Alesina, Brioschi,
& La Ferrara 2021; García-Moreno et al. 2015; Krook 2018; Montoya 2013). In the era of the
COVID-19 pandemic, the problem of violence against women is getting worse (Roesch,
Amin, Gupta, & García-Moreno 2020). Even though a global consensus on that violence
against women is one of the most pressing global concerns has been made and the reparations
for the victims of violence had been addressed by the Convention on the Elimination of All
Forms of Discrimination against Women (CEDAW) over decades (Rubio-Marin & Estrada-
Tanck 2020), the problem of violence against women has not been completely mitigated.
Given that violence against women disproportionately imposes profound negative both
physical and psychological problems on women and girls (Reingold 2003; Swers 2002),
violence against women has been widely regarded as an issue of women’s rights and integrity
(Faxon, Furlong, & Sabe Phyu 2015; Swers 1998; Wiener 2021). However, previous
literature on the influence of women’s descriptive representation on the adoption and
implementation of laws and policies addressing violence against women also has provided
mixed results. Some studies demonstrate that a higher percentage of women in parliaments
tends to lead countries to adopt and implement public policies combating violence against
women (e.g., Woo (2021a) and Woo (2021b)), while others show that the role of women’s
descriptive representation in legislative branches is marginal or even not statistically
significant (e.g., Weldon and Htun (2013), Htun and Weldon (2012), and Weldon (2002)).
Htun and Weldon (2012)’s crucial cross-national study on the association between female
autonomous movement and progressive policy change focusing on violence against women
also does not support the influence of women’s descriptive representation on policy
outcomes. They build an index to measure the level of progressive policies in randomly
selected 70 countries in 1975, 1985, 1995, and 2005. The index of progressive policy, ranging
from 0 to 10, is based on whether a country has services to victims of violence against
women, legal reform, policy or program targeting vulnerable populations of women, training
professionals, prevention programs, and administrative reforms. Through OLS regression,
they reveal that strong autonomous domestic feminist movement, women’s policy machinery,
and global and regional norms tend to lead countries to redress violence against women. On
the contrary, they argue that women’s descriptive representation in legislatures measured by
the proportion of women is insignificant and has only negligible impacts.
In their subsequent study with the same dataset, Weldon and Htun (2013)
reemphasize the important role of feminist activism rather than the number of women
legislators. Previous to Htun and Weldon (2012), Weldon (2002) shows that the interaction
between the feminist autonomous movements and women’s policy machinery has a strong
significant impact on the policy action against violence against women in 36 democratic
countries. In addition, some studies on individual countries have also provided empirical
supports for the null effects of the women’s presence in legislative branches on the
comprehensiveness of violence against women legislations (Beer 2017).
Even though Htun and Weldon (2012)’s research is groundbreaking in the sense that it
provides an alternative factor of policy changes about violence against women, there are still
rooms to be improved. First, an analysis based on cross-sectional data only shows the
correlations among variables, not causalities. Moreover, Htun and Weldon (2012) do not
exactly test when countries adopt policies about violence against women, but they only test
how the policies change. In other words, Htun and Weldon (2012) evaluate the influence of
women’s descriptive representation on the “aggregated” index of progressive policies toward
violence against women. However, the influence of female legislators can be different among
the components of the index. For example, the influence can be relatively strong related to the
adoption laws, but less strong to the training professionals or administrative reforms.
Second, the four cross-sectional years from 1975 to 2005 (1975, 1985, 1995, and
2005) of Htun and Weldon’s (2012) study are not broad enough to test the influences of
independent variables on policy adoptions. For example, the influence of the percentage of
women in parliament can be biased downward with the limited time span because the global
average of women in parliament (%) has significantly increased after 1970. The limited time
span is also problematic because Japan firstly adopted laws, which is one of the components
of Htun and Weldon’s index, about violence against women in 1908. To fully understand the
influence of women’s descriptive representation, we need to go back to when the first
adoption happened, as Beckwith (2007) advises that researchers must follow what happens
“from the start” when women are few, up to the point when more women present in
parliaments.
At the same time, studies supporting the explanatory power of women’s descriptive
representation in parliaments on the adoption and implementation of laws and public policies
concerning violence against women have similar limitations. Even though the two previous
studies on the adoption and implementation of violence against women policies from Woo
(2021a) and Woo (2021b) and demonstrate the strong link between women’s descriptive and
substantive representation in terms of violence against women policies, those studies still do
not examine what happens “from the start.” For instance, Woo (2021b) find that an increase in
the percentage of women in parliaments leads countries to adopt laws addressing violence
against women based on a time-series cross-national analysis on 49 Asian countries from
1950 to 2016, which geographical focus of the study prevents us from generalizing the
finding. In addition, although Woo (2021a) examines the link between women’s descriptive
representation and the adoption of policies combating violence against women, the time span
of the countryyear observations is limited to four decades from 1975 to 2016. Given that
Japan first adopted violence against women law in 1908, the time span is quite limited to fully
evaluate the impact of women’s descriptive representation.
To sum up the previous research, the findings from the previous literature about the
link between women’s descriptive representation and substantive representation remain
ambiguous (Courtemanche & Green 2017) and there is a lack of good cross-country
comparative research (Wängnerud 2009). Given that careful examination about the
association between women’s descriptive representation and substantive representation is
essential, I believe that a well-developed time-series cross-national analysis “from the start” is
the next step to broaden the understandings of the influence of women’s descriptive
representation by overcoming the difficulties of conducting longitudinal analysis on this topic
(Wängnerud 2009).
Thus, this dissertation aims to empirically test the link based on unprecedentedly
large data about the policy outcomes combating violence against women in 162 countries
from 1908 when Japan firstly adopted a domestic law punishing violence against women to
2016. Also, I conduct statistical analysis with the data about legislative behaviors from the
first Korean National Assembly (1948-1950) to 20th (2016-2020). In the case of South Korea,
I will focus on the tests of mechanisms behind the potential link between women’s descriptive
representation and policy outcomes about violence against women.
CHAPTER 3
THEORIES AND HYPOTHESES
How does women’s descriptive representation lead countries to adopt and implement
laws and public policies combating violence against women? Pitkin (1967)’s explanation of
women’s descriptive and substantive representation gives a clue to the conducive influence of
women’s descriptive representation on the adoption and implementation of laws and public
policies related to violence against women. She defines political representation as an activity
that makes voters “present” in policy-making processes, descriptive representation as a body
mirroring the characteristics including gender and race of the represented groups, and
substantive representation as a body reflecting the interests of the community. Put simply,
substantive representation is “acting for” representation and descriptive representation is
“standing for” representation (Celis & Childs 2008). Pitkin (1967) argues that an increase in
“descriptive representation” tends to lead to greater “substantive representation” (Bailer,
Breunig, Giger, & Wüst 2021).
In a similar vein, the politics of presence theory developed by Phillips (1995) asserts
that the gender of representatives is an influential factor in representative democracy
(Mansbridge 1999b; Phillips 1998; Tamerius, Duerst-Lahti, & Kelly 2010; Williams 2000;
Young 2002). Based on the assumption that female legislators and female citizens have
shared life experiences such as child-rearing or exposure to violence, Phillips (1995, pp. 67–
68) underlines that the entrance of women into politics is a prerequisite for the politicization
of women’s issues. Some studies interviewing legislators and legislative staffers provide
empirical evidence for the politics of presence theory (Burden 2007; Grose 2011; Lawless
2015; Swers 2016; Wangnerud & Sundell 2012).
In addition to the politics of presence theory, the critical mass theory has also been
widely used as a theoretical framework to explain the association between women’s
descriptive and substantive representation (Celis & Childs 2008; Cowell-Meyers & Langbein
2009; Espírito-Santo, Freire, & Serra-Silva 2020; Homola 2021). The critical mass theory
posits that a certain proportion of female legislators in legislative bodies is needed for women
to make their voices audible in the policy-making process (Dahlerup 1988, 2006; Kanter
1977). According to Kanter (1977, pp. 966–972), in skewed groups where a large
preponderance of one dominant group exists, the dominant tends to control the minority (also
termed “tokens”). Due to their minority status, the tokens with more visibility in a society
tend to suffer from stereotypes, isolation from the society, and confirmation to dominant
models, which, in turn, reinforce the skewed structure (Kanter, 1977, pp. 971–2). In this case,
it is hard for female representatives to make their voice for women’s interests and rights
heard.
On the other hand, when the number of “tokens” increases to a certain point, this
prevents them from being isolated by the dominant group. The possible allies and coalitions
among female representatives under this condition make it possible for them to break the
vicious circle, to escape female stereotypes and role entrapment, and to pursue their interests
(Kanter 1977, p. 966). Therefore, once the proportion of female representatives reaches a
certain point, female legislators politicize women’s issues including violence against women
more efficiently and can make their male counterparts take bills related to women’s issues
more seriously (Celis 2007; Dahlerup, Campbell, & Childs 2014).
Theories developed by Gilligan (1982) and Mansbridge (1999b) also support the
positive influence of women’s descriptive representation on substantive representation.
Gilligan (1982) argues that men and women have been taught differently regarding views on
morality. The main thrust of her theory is that women, unlike men, tend to be taught empathy
and compassion as the core of morality from childhood. This difference in the “ethics of care”
between men and women makes women pay more attention to issues such as welfare policies
and the avoidance of using military forces. (Chorodow 1978; Ruddick 1980). In addition,
Mansbridge (1999), using a case study of the U.S., theorizes that female representatives can
appropriately reflect the needs of female citizens based on their shared experience.
Mansbridge (1999) argues that because of their common female identity, female legislators
are more likely than male legislators to understand the problems female citizens experience,
formulate legal solutions to those problems, and incorporate the solutions into the legislative
processes. She also demonstrates that female legislators tend to focus more on women’s
issues including education, health, and welfare than male legislators do, because female
representatives facilitate conversations with female citizens and politicize the problems
affecting them.
Even though the above-mentioned theories rely on different explanations, all aim to
explain how women’s descriptive representation can promote their substantive representation.
It should be noted that a wide array of studies with data about individual representatives has
highlighted heterogeneities among women representatives according to their partisanships
(Barnes & Cassese 2017; Osborn 2012; Schilling & Osborn 2020), individual characteristics
(Costa, Greenlee, Nteta, Rhodes, & Sharrow 2019; Deckman & Swers 2019), or
intersectionality related to race and class (Barnes 2016; Smooth 2011). Therefore, taking on
board the caveat that female representatives are not a homogenous group, this article based on
unprecedentedly large data on 162 countries from 1908 to 2016 tests whether higher levels of
women’s descriptive representation at the aggregate level leads countries to adopt and
implement laws and public policies combating VAW.
Hypothesis 1: Higher levels of women’s descriptive representation lead countries to
adopt laws addressing violence against women, while all other things being equal
(ceteris paribus).
Hypothesis 2: Higher levels of women’s descriptive representation lead countries to
implement public policies addressing violence against women, while all other things
being equal (ceteris paribus).
In addition to the independent impacts of women’s descriptive representation on the adoption
and implementation of laws and public policies concerning violence against women, this
dissertation sheds light on the conditional relationship between the presence of women in
legislative branches and the proliferation of global norms2 about violence against women. The
rich literature on global norms has emphasized the pivotal role of global norms on normative
and behavioral changes in states (Checkel 1998; Finnemore 1996). The strong linkage
between domestic and transnational actors generated from the proliferation of global norms
about violence against women can raise moral consciousness, support domestic movements
toward
human rights, and challenge norm-violating governments’ behaviors (Hovi, Huseby, & Sprinz
2005; Risse, Ropp, & Sikkink 1999).
I expect that the conducive influence of the proliferation of global norms about violence
against women on the adoption and implementation of violence against women laws and
public policies is magnified by a higher women’s descriptive representation in legislative
branches. This expectation is based on the previous findings that female legislators are more
responsive to women’s issues regardless of their partisanships compared to their male
counterparts (Swers 2002) and that differences in attitudes are also observed in the attitudes
toward women’s interests in terms of social policy area (Poggione 2004; Schwindt‐Bayer
2006). Given that national assemblies or legislatures play a crucial role in legal reforms which
are one of the ways to show countries’ commitment to the proliferated global norms about
violence against women, the higher percentage of women in decision-making positions may
amplify the impacts of the global norms on the adoption and implementation of laws and
public policies concerning violence against women.
2 Following Finnemore and & Sikkink (1998, 891), a norm in this dissertation is defined as “a
standard of appropriate behavior for actors with a given identity.”
Hypothesis 3: The impacts of the proliferation of global norms about violence
against women on the adoption of laws addressing violence against women are
magnified by the improved women’s descriptive representation in legislative
branches, while all other things being equal (ceteris paribus).
Hypothesis 4: The impacts of the proliferation of global norms about violence against
women on the implementation of public policies addressing violence against women are
magnified by the improved women’s descriptive representation in legislative branches,
while all other things being equal (ceteris paribus).
With the data on the Korean National Assembly from 1948 (the start of 1st Congress) to 2020
(the end of 20th Congress), I further examine why a higher percentage of women in
parliaments leads countries to adopt and implement laws and public policies about violence
against women. The focus on the Korean case is based on several reasons.
First, relying on the Korean case enables me to take analytical advantages. The Bill
Information System developed by Korean National Assembly provides bill sponsorship
record with detailed information about each proposed bill from the 1st Congress (1948-1950)
to the 20th Congress (2016-2020), which makes it possible to fully understand the influence of
women’s descriptive representation in legislative branches on the adoption and
implementation of laws and public policies concerning violence against women from the
start. Second, given that Tsebelis (2002) argues that executive dominance over legislative
bodies on agenda-setting in legislative branches has been observed frequently in
parliamentary democracies unlike presidential democracies, South Korea classified as a
presidential democracy is a valuable case where the Korean National Assembly has played a
crucial role in shaping legislative agenda on violence against women. Thrid, South Korea is a
country in which both women’s descriptive and substantive representation in terms of
violence against women laws and policies have progressed dramatically in a short period,
providing enough variations to be examined. In addition, examining the link between
women’s descriptive and substantive representation in terms of legal reforms combating
violence against women with the Korean case will broaden our understanding of the influence
of women’s descriptive representation in policy outcomes in the Asian context.
With the Korean case, I examine whether the gender of individual legislators is a
driving factor in sponsoring bills about violence against women. Even though previous
literature on the legislative behaviors demonstrates that female legislators are more likely to
support bills related to women’s issues rather than their male counterparts are, studies on this
association in Asian context especially with a focus on violence against women bills
relatively have not been developed. Based on the politics of presence and the critical mass
theories, I expect to observe a strong relationship between gender and legislative behaviors
related to bills about violence against women.
Hypothesis 5: Female legislators are more likely to sponsor bills addressing violence
against women compared to male legislators are, while all other things being equal
(ceteris paribus).
In addition to the direct influence of women’s descriptive representation, this
dissertation goes one step further based on those previous literature focusing on the influence
of women’s parliamentary descriptive representation and the difference between male and
female legislators (Dovi 2002; Mansbridge 1999a; Phillips 1995; Rosenthal 1995; Swers
2002; Wängnerud 2009; Williams 2000) and tests the influence of legislative networks with
female legislators on the legislative behaviors of male legislators. I relying on the data about
bills proposed in the Korean National Assembly test the indirect influence of female
representatives on the adoption and implementation of laws and public policies addressing
violence against women by changing the legislative behaviors of their male counterparts. I
argue that the previous experience of sponsoring bills with female legislators makes male
legislators focus on the issue of violence against women.
I build theories based on the rational approach and informational theories about
legislators’ policy-making behaviors. Proposing bills require legislators to invest their limited
resources including time and budgets. Assuming legislators are risk-averse, the limitation of
accessing information about specific issues will prevent legislators from engaging in
proposing bills about the issues, because the conditions of relative uncertainty legislators
cannot sure about the results (Krehbiel 1992).
Based on the previous findings, female legislators have more easy access to information
about women’s issues and they already have more information compared to male counterparts
because of women’s expertise and shared experience (Dovi 2002; Mansbridge 1999a; Phillips
1995; Rosenthal 1995; Swers 2002; Wängnerud 2009; Williams 2000). Thus, male legislators
with less information and interest about women’s issues relatively put less effort into
proposing bills about women’s issues. Male legislators can get access to the information by
conversing with other female representatives through legislative networks. Thus, male
legislators with legislative networks with female representatives have less informatic
limitations on proposing bills about women’s issues, because they can get information from
female legislators. The decreased uncertainty to propose bills about women’s issues will lead
male legislators to propose more bills about violence against women. Therefore, I expect that
male legislators with experience in sponsoring bills with female legislators are more likely to
sponsor bills addressing violence against women.
Hypothesis 6: Male legislators with experience of sponsoring bills with female
legislators are more likely to sponsor bills addressing violence against women, while
all other things being equal (ceteris paribus).
In addition to the independent and indirect impacts of the presence of women’s descriptive
representation in legislative branches, the interactions between gender and partisanship of
individual legislators will be examined. There have been a number of studies unveiling
heterogeneities among female legislators according to their partisanships rather than assuming
female legislators are homogeneous (Cooperman 2014; Kreitzer 2015; Osborn 2012; Osborn
& Kreitzer 2014; Reingold, Kreitzer, Osborn, & Swers 2021; Swers 2002). Recently,
Reingold et al. (2021) demonstrate that conservative Republican women tend to lead
antiabortion policy and their leadership is conditioned by policy contexts. To be specific, they
argue that such leadership is most likely to emerge under the conditions of competitive
partisan environments and when women-centered issue frames are used.
In the South Korean context, political parties and party systems have been developed
differently from those in other advanced democratic countries. Even after its democratization
in 1987, a comparable and stable party system did not emerge in South Korea over decades (J.
Kim 2020). The South Korean party system is highly structured both by elite networks and
political dynasties based on strong regional connections (H. Lee & Singer 2020). There have
been 87 political parties involving legislators from the 1st Congress (1948-1950) to the 20th
Congress (2016-2020). Despite a high number of political parties, there are actually two
political parties: “Center-Right (conservative)” and “Center-Left (liberal)” with different
names or labels. The high number of historically existing political parties is rooted in the
attempts of parties to distance themselves from the demeaning legacies of individual
presidents (Lim & Alsford 2021). In addition, South Korea’s heavy reliance on personalistic
party cues, centralization of power, and strong political attention in the public also contribute
to the immense party relabeling (M.-s. Kim 2015).
As mentioned earlier, even though several smaller leftist political parties have existed
and emerged during two recent decades, the two dominant wings can be categorized as
“CenterRight (conservative)” and “Center-Left (liberal)”. The two parties’ relationship to the
former authoritarian regime acts as the most salient programmatic cleavage within these
camps (Kang 2008). Like left-leaning political parties in young presidential democracies, the
center-left political parties that existed in South Korea are identified with political cleavages
over class conflicts and minority protection including the protection of women’s rights and
integrity (Shim 2019). Thus, as is common in other countries (Erickson 1997; Reynolds
2013), I expect that female legislators with liberal party affiliation are more likely to sponsor
bills concerning violence against women.
Hypothesis 7: Female lawmakers’ legislative behaviors in terms of sponsoring bills
addressing violence against women are not homogeneous across their partisanships.
In terms of the destinations of proposed bills, I examine whether the bills sponsored by
female legislators and whether the bills sponsored by female legislators from different
political parties have higher probabilities of being passed or not. Based on the recent study
from Holman, Mahoney, and Hurler (2021) arguing that one of the ways by which female
legislators overcome more electoral vulnerability and gendered performance expectation is
bill success, I expect that bills sponsored by female legislators are more likely to be passed.
On the contrary, some studies argue that female legislators are marginalized in legislative
branches and prevented from passing their bills, due to the restricted access to important
political resources compared to their male counterparts (Kerevel & Atkeson 2013; Miguel
2012).
Therefore, I will test the counterargument will be also tested at the same time.
Hypothesis 8: Bills sponsored by a higher percentage of female legislators are more
likely to be passed, while all other things being equal (ceteris paribus).
Hypothesis 9: Bills sponsosred by a higher percentage of female legislators are less likely
to be passed, while all other things being equal (ceteris paribus).
In addition, I will examine whether the bills supported by female legislators from
multiple political parties are more likely to be passed compared to other bills only supported
by female legislators from a certain political party. It is based on the rationale that female
legislators tend to reach across the aisle (Osborn 2012) and they often overperform their male
counterparts to overcome legislative marginalization and higher electoral standards imposed
by voters for women (Holman et al. 2021; Lazarus & Steigerwalt 2018; Thomsen & Sanders
2020). Given that previous studies on gender and partisanship are largely conducted with a
focus on the U.S. context, the hypothesis test on the relationship between the success of bills
and the composition of cosponsors according to the partisanships of female cosponsors will
also broaden our understanding of such relationship in the Asian context.
Hypothesis 10: Bills sponsored by female legislators from different political parties are
more likely to be passed, while all other things being equal (ceteris paribus).
In the following two empirical chapters based on the time-series cross-national data on 162
countries from 1908 to 2016, the relationship between women’s descriptive representation in
parliaments and the adoption and implementation of laws and public policies addressing
violence against women will be examined. In the last empirical chapter on the South Korean
case study, hypotheses related to bill sponsorship and the success of bills about violence
against women will be tested.
Given the fact that even the basic link between women’s descriptive and substantive
representation in terms of violence against women laws and public policies still has not been
empirically examined thoroughly with the data from the start of such laws and policies, this
dissertation only focuses on testing theories and hypotheses about how the gender
composition of legislative branches and gender of individual legislators affects legal reforms
and legislative behaviors on the issue of violence against women respectively.
However, I should note that previous literature on violence against women has
examined crucial roles of domestic feminist autonomous movements and transnational
feminist mobilization, and transnational advocacy and transnational actors such as the
European Union.
For instance, as mentioned in the previous section, Htun and Weldon (2012) with cross-
national policy data on 70 in four years demonstrate that strong feminist autonomous
movements tend to lead countries to promote legal reforms concerning violence against
women. They argue that feminist movements can raise the issue of violence against women
from the marginal issue to the central, and make it possible to challenge male privilege in
sexual matters (see also, Htun and Weldon 2018). In addition, Medie (2013), by examining
the Liberian women’s movement, argues that women’s NGOs with political and material
support from international supports can make an impression on the implementation process of
laws criminalizing rape and other forms of violence against women (see also, Medie (2020)
and Anyidoho, Crawford, and Medie (2020)).
Moreover, transnational advocacy and actors, and networks have also played crucial
roles to lead countries to pay attention to the issue of violence against women (Montoya 2008,
2013). For instance, by examining data on the Daphne program which is the primary
mechanism for the European Union to handle the problem of violence against women,
Montoya (2008) based on a network analysis shows how transnational cooperation provides
venues for domestic organizations to improve their strength to address violence against
women. More recently, Montoya (2013, 90) emphasizes that the role of World Conferences
on Women (especially the conference in Beijing in 1995) in raising the issue of violence
against women among European countries, and that the important roles of European Union
actors to facilitate transnational cooperation against the issue of violence against women.
Even though this dissertation does not extensively focus on those explanations in the large-N
cross-national time-series analyses, I take into account the influences of those factors on the
adoption and implementation of violence against women laws and public policies by
including relevant explanatory variables.
CHAPTER 4
ADOPTION OF LAWS ADDRESSING
VIOLENCE AGAINST WOMEN
Given that criminal law is the very basic tool to control violence, protect individual
rights, and maintain social justice (Harel 2014), unveiling the impacts of the presence of
women in legislative branches on the adoption of violence against women laws should be the
first step to examine the influence of women’s descriptive representation on legal reforms
combating violence against women. Even though interpretations of laws sometimes depend
on social norms (Macnamara & Sagarin 1977), the absence of laws prevents us from
discriminating whether a certain behavior is penalizable or not.
Does a higher percentage of women in legislative branches lead countries to adopt
laws addressing violence against women? To answer this academic question and test the
generalizability of long-lasting theories arguing that the improved women’s descriptive
representation tends to promote policy changes for women’s rights, this chapter conducts a
time-series cross-national analysis on 162 countries from 1908 when Japan first adopted laws
combating sexual violence to 2016. The data coverage is determined by data availabilities of
different time-series cross-national datasets and databases.
The rest of this chapter proceeds with the following orders. First, dependent,
independent, and control variables employed in this article to test the association between
women’s descriptive representation in legislative branches and adoption of laws addressing
violence against women will be introduced with coding rules and primary data sources. Then,
modeling strategies and empirical results will be followed. In addition, empirical results from
alternative model specifications will be presented to evaluate whether the results from the
main model are sensitive to model specifications or not. Finally, I conclude.
4.1. Data
4.1.1. Dependent Variable: Adoption of Laws Addressing Violence Against Women
To examine the impacts of women’s descriptive representation, the adoption of laws
addressing violence against women is employed as a dependent variable. To build this
dependent variable, I rely on the Global Database on Violence against Women developed by
the UN Women.
The Global Database provides detailed information about laws addressing violence
against women in the UN member states from 1908 to 2016. In addition to the information
about when a country adopts laws about violence against women, a brief summary and
primary source of each violence against women law are presented. Furthermore, the Global
Database categorizes such law by various forms of violence against women: 1) Feminicide, 2)
Forced Sterilization, 3) Stalking, 4) Trafficking, 5) Violence Against Women and Girls
(without clauses targeting certain forms of violence, 6) Domestic and Intimate Partner
Violence, 7) Sexual
Violence, 8) New Forms of Violence Against Women, 9) Sexual Harassment, 10) Female
Genital Mutilation, and 11) Child, Early and Forced Marriage. I assign 1 to a country-year
observation when a country adopted laws targeting any forms of violence against women in a
given year. Otherwise, 0 is assigned.
Figure 4-1: Maps for Countries with/without Violence Against Women Laws
(A) 1980
(B) 2016
Note: Figure 4-1 is visualized based on the information from the Global Database on
Violence against Women.
Figure 4-1 illustrates countries with and without laws about violence against women
in 1980 and 2016. As you can see, only 17 countries had laws about violence against women
in 1980. The number of countries with violence against women laws has increased
dramatically since 1980 regardless of geopolitical regions, and it reaches 164 in 2016. It
demonstrates that there is a non-negligible variation in the dependent variable.
4.1.2. Independent Variable: Percentage of Women in Parliaments
To examine the influence of women’s descriptive representation in legislative
branches on the adoption of laws addressing violence against women, I employ the
percentage of women in parliaments. This decision is based on the fact that the percentage of
women in parliaments has been widely used to measure women’s descriptive representation
(Coffé & Reiser 2021;
Htun & Weldon 2012; Smith, Reingold, & Owens 2012; Taflaga & Beauregard 2020). The
Inter-Parliamentary Union (IPU) database is used to construct this variable. The IPU database
provides data about the percentage of women in parliaments over decades with information
about when the first female legislator was elected in each country. To fill the missing
countryyear observations, I assign 0 to country-year observations before a country had its first
female legislator in legislative branches. Moreover, if there are missing values between
election terms, the percentage of women in parliaments of the previous election year is used
to fill in the missing values.
4.1.3. Control Variables
To evaluate the independent influence of women’s descriptive representation in parliaments
and to prevent the beta coefficient estimate of the independent variable from being biased due
to the omission of relevant variables, I include a series of control variables.
The Level of Economic Development
First, the level of economic development is controlled. Some previous literature on
the modernization theory has argued that economic development tends to lead countries to put
more emphasis on women’s rights and integrity (Doepke, Tertilt, & Voena 2012; Inglehart,
Norris, & Ronald 2003; Inglehart & Welzel 2005; Wilensky 1974). To control the positive
influence of economic development, this dissertation includes GDP per capita (real GDP per
capita in 2011$) as one of the control variables, using the Maddison Project Database (Bolt,
Inklaar, Jong, & Zamden 2018). This database provides historical information on comparative
economic performances of 169 countries up to the present.
In addition to the economic development, the level of democracy also has been
regarded as an important determinant of legal reforms to promote women’s rights and the
empowerment of women (Haggard & Kaufman 2008; Orenstein 2008; Ottaway & Ottaway
2004). With the focus on free and fair elections and political competition (Donno, Fox, &
Kaasik 2021), women’s rights are indispensable bundled norms from democracy based on
democratic equality and inclusion (Inglehart et al. 2003; Tremblay 2007).
The Level of Democracy
To parcel out the conducive impacts of democracy on the adoption of violence
against women laws, I rely on the Polyarchy Index developed by the Varieties of Democracy
(V-Dem) dataset (Coppedge et al. 2018). Given that the selection of measures for the level of
democracy can lead to totally different empirical results and inferences (Högström 2013;
Teorell, Coppedge, Skaaning, & Lindberg 2016), selecting appropriate measurements of the
level of democracy should be based on concrete reasons. In this dissertation, the Polyarchy
Index is employed instead of other time-series cross-national datasets regarding democracy
such as the Freedom House Index and the Polity Score. The Polyarchy Index covers a wide
range of country-year observations. For instance, while the Polyarchy Index covers from 1789
to the present, the Freedom House Index covers only from 1972. Furthermore, both the
Freedom House Index and the Polity Score have been criticized because of their
methodological performances. The Freedom House Index has been questioned by scholars
due to its bias and the lack of consistency, and the Polity Score is likely to overestimate the
level of democracy in countries (Knutsen et al. 2019). Therefore, the Polyarchy Index is
employed rather than the
Freedom House Index and the Polity Score.
Women’s Participation in Civil Society Organizations and Women’s Property Rights
Two women-related factors, women’s participation in civil society organizations
(CSO) and women’s property rights, are the two important variables requiring attention. Those
two factors have been emphasized as crucial factors positively influencing women’s rights and
integrity, and legal reforms for women. Some previous studies have demonstrated that the
improved women’s property rights are likely to increase women’s political efficacy and to lead
governments to take legal actions related to women’s issues (Mishra & Sam 2016; O'Hara &
Clement 2018; Pradhan, Meinzen-Dick, & Theis 2019), while others have argued that
women’s active participation in civil society organizations or feminist autonomous movements
make countries adopt progressive policies combating violence against women (García-Moreno
et al.
2015; Htun & Weldon 2012; Weldon & Htun 2013). Especially, Htun and Weldon (2012)
based on cross-national data in four years (1975, 1985, 1995, and 2005) emphasized the
relative importance of feminist autonomous movements compared to other women-related
variables.
To control the potential impacts of the two women-related factors, the indices for
women’s participation in civil society organizations and women’s property rights from the
VDem dataset are used. It should be noted that there are no available and reliable time-series
cross-national data to measure the feminist autonomous movement. Given that the
Spearman’s rho between the women’s participation in civil society organization index from
the V-Dem and the feminist autonomous movement measure from Htun and Weldon (2012) is
0.638 and statistically significant at the level of p < 0.001, Women’s CSO participation index
is used as a proxy measure for feminist autonomous movement.
The Ratification of the CEDAW
Furthermore, a binary variable indicating whether a country is a member state of the
Committee on the Elimination of Discrimination Against Women (CEDAW) is included as a
control variable. Adopted by the United Nations General Assembly on December 18, 1979,
the CEDAW has played an important role in dispersing women’s rights agenda including
violence against women over the world (True 2016). The CEDAW is the only international
human rights treaty aiming to handle the issue of sex and gender-based discrimination and to
improve women’s rights (Hellum 2021; Hellum & Aasen 2013). Even though the problem of
violence against women was not indicated as a priority for action when the CEDAW was
presented at Copenhagen in 1980 (Keck & Sikkink 1998; Weldon 2006a), the CEDAW has
expressed its concerns over the problem of violence against women through general
recommendations
(Qureshi 2020; Zada 2021). Especially based on the General Recommendation No.12 and
No.19, the CEDAW urges member states to submit periodic reports for legal measures taken
to combat violence against women (McQuigg 2007). Along with some pessimistic
quantitative literature arguing the null effects of the ratification of the CEDAW on promoting
women’s rights, some studies have demonstrated that the CEDAW has non-negligible impacts
on improving women’s rights and integrity (Gray, Kittilson, & Sandholtz 2006; Hill Jr 2010).
Thus, with an expectation that the ratification of the CEDAW increases the
probabilities of adopting violence against women laws, I control the membership of the
CEDAW. Based on the membership information of CEDAW provided by the United Nations
Human Rights Office of the High Commissioner, 1 is assigned to a country-year observation
after the country ratified CEDAW. Otherwise, 0 is assigned.
The Proliferation of Global Norms about Women’s Rights
In addition, the effect of the proliferation of global norms about women’s rights is also
controlled for. Individual countries follow international human rights norms to avoid the
pressure of being accused of violating those norms, which can lead to the imposition of
economic sanctions. Moreover, a strong linkage between domestic and transnational actors
generated from the proliferation of global norms related to VAW can also make countries
adopt and implement laws addressing VAW (J. Fitzpatrick 2012; Risse et al. 1999). The
percentage of countries ratifying the CEDAW treaty, the most prominent international treaty
related to women’s rights (Englehart & Miller 2014; Och 2018), is used to control for the
anticipated positive influence of the proliferation of global norms about women’s rights.
Legislature Corrupt Activities
Given that legislative rules directly affect policy adoptions and who benefits from legal
reforms (Cox 2006; Cox & McCubbins 2007), legislative corrupt activities and their impacts
on legislative effectiveness have been continuously discussed (Herzfeld & Weiss 2003;
McMann, Seim, Teorell, & Lindberg 2020; Warren 2006; Yadav 2012). Among comparative
political scientists, it has been regarded that legislative corrupt activities tend to decrease
institutional efficacy (Fish, Michel, & Lindberg 2015; Karklins 2002). For instance, Karklins
(2002, 32) mentions that “By distorting the purpose of public institutions, corruption
undermines good governance and democracy, both in the minds of the citizenry that no longer
trusts state and political institutions”.
Therefore, to control the anticipated negative impacts of legislature corrupt activities
on the adoption of violence against women laws, I use the legislature corrupt activities index
developed by the V-Dem. It measures legislature corrupt activities based on the behaviors of
1) “accepting bribes”, 2) “helping to obtain government contracts for firms that the legislator
own”, 3) “doing favors for firms in exchange for the opportunity of employment after leaving
the legislature”, and 4) “stealing money from the state or campaign donations for personal
use.”
Even though other cross-national measures such as the Transparency International’s
Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) and the index from the Freedom House’s “Nations in
Transit” project are available, it is revealed that these indicators are prone to measurement
error (Fish et al. 2015). In addition, the ordinary nature of these variables does not allow us to
capture the magnitude of corruption (Svensson 2005).
Reserved Seats Gender Quotas
After the introduction of gender quotas in Latin American and African countries, many
countries have implemented legislative gender quotas to promote women’s substantive
representation (Hillman 2018; Tan 2015). With the increase in the number of countries with
legislative gender quotas, previous studies have broadened our understanding of the
conducive impacts of gender quotas on various political phenomena including the improved
legislative diversity (Barnes & Holman 2020), women’s political efficacy, and engagement
(Franceschet, Krook, & Piscopo 2012; Kerevel & Atkeson 2017; Zetterberg 2009), and even
international reputation (Bush & Zetterberg 2020).
Especially, the association between the introduction of legislative gender quotas and
women’s substantive representation has been widely examined by literature on gender quotas
(Clayton & Zetterberg 2018; Franceschet & Piscopo 2008; Krook 2020a; Woo 2021b). The
findings on the impacts of gender quotas are mixed at best. Some scholars demonstrate that
female legislators are more likely to propose bills related to women’s rights after the
introduction of legislative gender quotas (Barnes 2012; Franceschet & Piscopo 2008), while
others find that the adoption of legislative gender quotas does not change legislative
behaviors of female legislators (Clayton, Josefsson, & Wang 2017; Kerevel & Atkeson 2013),
or sometimes negatively influence women’s substantive representation in terms of policy
outcomes (Htun, Lacalle, & Micozzi 2013).
Given this academic controversy about the impacts of legislative gender quotas, I
control the influence of reserved seat gender quotas to examine the independent influence of
women’s descriptive representation. The binary variable named Reserved Seats Gender
Quotas is built based on the information about individual countries’ legislative gender quotas
from the Gender Quotas Database from the International Institute for Democracy and
Electoral Assistance (IDEA). I assign 1 to the binary variable if a country has a reserved seat
gender quota.
The Ruling Party’s Political Ideology
The ruling party’s political ideology in terms of left and right scale is also included as
one of the control variables. This decision is based on the conflicting arguments and findings
of whether the political ideology of a ruling party has a meaningful influence on the
promotion of legal reforms for women’s rights and integrity. Some studies have supported the
important role of a ruling party’s political ideology in determining the probabilities of taking
legal reforms promoting women’s rights (Blofield, Ewig, & Piscopo 2017; Hieda 2013;
Mazur 2002). On the contrary, other scholars have empirically demonstrated that the political
ideology on the leftright scale is not associated with the adoption of feminist policies
including violence against women laws (Beer 2017; Weldon & Htun 2013). In this
dissertation, rather than disregarding this controversial variable and taking the risk of omitted
variable bias, I control the ruling party’s political ideology based on the inclusion of a binary
variable indicating whether a ruling party is left-oriented or not. To construct this variable, the
classification from the Quality of Government (QOG) database (Teorell, Charron, Samanni,
Holmberg, & Rothstein, 2010) is employed.
International and Civil Conflicts
The presence of international and civil conflicts in a country is controlled to parcel
out the negative impacts of those conflicts in legal reforms addressing the problem of
violence against women. It is based on the rationale that when a country is involved in
international or civil conflicts which intimidate national security, the country would be
expected to pay less attention to the problems of violence against women and legal reforms
promoting women’s rights. I assign 1 to a country-year observation when a country
experiences internal or international armed conflicts.
Government System
The potential impacts of different government systems of countries are also
considered. Some scholars argue that parliamentary systems are more efficient to provide
public goods and promote women’s rights than the presidential system (Bohlken 2018; Persson
& Tabellini 2005). Moreover, even though legislative branches play a considerable role in
policy-making and agenda-setting in some presidential and semi-presidential systems
(Schwindt‐Bayer 2006), some might argue that the existence of an additional veto player in
presidential systems and the presidential agenda setting can influence the adoption of laws
concerning violence against women. Thus, to parcel out the influence of government systems,
I categorize countries’ government systems into 1) Presidential, 2) Semi-Presidential, and 3)
Parliamentary by following the classification from the QOG database
Legal System
Legal systems of countries are controlled to isolate the influence of women’s descriptive
representation on the adoption of violence against women laws from potential impacts of
different legal systems. According to legal systems, the procedures of adopting new laws and
legal reforms are different, and the different procedures or characteristics of various legal
systems might affect the tendency of legal reforms. Some previous studies have demonstrated
that the probabilities of adopting new policies or laws are determined by legal systems. For
instance, Zehri and Chouaibi (2013) find that countries with the English Common Law legal
system are more likely to adopt the International Account Standards (IAS) and the
International Financial Reporting Standards compared to other legal systems.
Thus, to control the potential impacts of legal systems on the adoption of violence
against women laws, each country’s legal system is controlled based on the classification of
the legal system from the QOG database. The QOG database divides legal systems of
countries into five categories: 1) English Common Law, 2) French Commercial Code, 3)
Socialist/Communist Laws, 4) German Commercial Code, and 5) Scandinavian Commercial
Code.
Geopolitical Regions
Furthermore, to control unobserved and unmeasured factors related to geopolitical
regions such as cultural aspects related to violence against women, I control each country’s
geopolitical regions. In addition, the regional fixed variables allow us to control region-
specific characteristics such as the presence of regional organizations and agreements
combating violence against women. Following the classification of geopolitical regions from
the QOG database, I assign countries into the eight geopolitical regions: 1) Western Europe
and North America (including Australia and New Zealand), 2) Latin America (including
Cuba, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic), 3) the Middle East and North Africa (including
Israel, Turkey, and Cyprus), 4) Sub-Saharan Africa, 5) Eastern Europe and post Soviet Union
(including Central Asia), 6) East Asia (including Japan and Mongolia), 7) South-East Asia,
and 8) South Asia.
Regional Diffusion
Lastly, the percentage of countries adopting laws concerning violence against women is
included to take into account the regional diffusion mechanism. It has been demonstrated that
policy diffusion is likely to occur among countries in the same geo-political region. The
regular contacts in international regional organizations including both political and economic
organizations make countries learn or emulate other countries’ policies (Berry & Berry 1999;
Boushey 2010). In addition, feminist NGOs also can take ideas for laws concerning violence
against women from neighboring countries and lead governments to take legal reforms
combating violence against women (Htun & Weldon 2012). Thus, I include the percentage of
countries with violence against women laws in each geo-political region defined previously to
isolate the influence of women’s descriptive representation in legislative branches from the
regional diffusion mechanism.
Given that socio-economic and political factors are not translated into legal reforms in
a short period, independent and control variables are lagged by one year. Descriptive statistics
of dependent, independent, and all control variables are presented in Table 4-1a in Appendix.
4.2. Empirical Analysis
In this Empirical Analysis section, the selection of modeling strategy and empirical
results will be presented. In addition, a robustness check will be followed.
4.2.1. Modeling Strategy
Given that the dependent variable is the adoption of laws addressing violence against
women, this dissertation relies on the discrete event history model to examine the influence of
women’s descriptive representation in parliaments on the probability of adopting violence
against women laws. Event history analysis is the standard approach to analyze factors behind
policy diffusion or policy innovation (Kreitzer & Boehmke 2016). A great number of previous
studies have applied event history analysis to examine driving factors of the adoption of
various policies and laws such as stay-at-home orders (Shay 2020), social distancing policies
(Adolph,
Amano, Bang-Jensen, Fullman, & Wilkerson 2021), public communication reforms
(EckerEhrhardt 2018), and smoking bans (Pacheco 2012).
Among various types of event history models such as the Cox proportional hazard
model and other parametric models, a discrete event history model based on logistic
regression is employed because of the fact that the available data on the adoption of violence
against women laws follows the discrete-time process (observations year by year). Discrete
event history models estimate the probability of an event occurrence at a given time t and the
estimation can be expressed as below (Box-Steffensmeier & Jones 1997).
(t) = P(E=t | Tt; , `X)
After the individual unit experiences an event, the individual will be dropped from the
dataset. If we are interested in repeated events, we do not need to drop the observation with
the experience of an event. The above formula can be transformed as below.
ln ( (t) ) = + `X + .
1−(t)
Compared to Cox proportional hazard models, one of the advantages of a discrete event
history model is that the discrete event history model is not sensitive to the existence of tied
events since it is not based on partial likelihood. In other words, the order of events does not
matter for estimating coefficients of independent variables. Moreover, the interpretation of
coefficients can be easily translated into predicted probabilities. The unit of analysis is a
country-year and, given that Japan firstly adopted a law penalizing sexual violence in 1908,
the risk set is composed of country-year observations from 1908. Consistent with event
history analysis, if a country adopts a law combating violence against women, it is dropped
from the
risk set.
To isolate the influence of women’s descriptive representation on the adoption of violence
against women laws from duration dependency, I include time polynomial functions.
Compared to time fixed effects and splines, time polynomial functions allows us to avoid
inefficiency and perfect prediction problems that can be generated from time fixed effects,
and to avoid arbitrary selection of knots, and we can model any hazard shapes recovered by
parametric models and cox models by using time polynomial functions (Carter & Signorino
2010). Even though time variables will be highly correlated and introduce multicollinearity in
an estimated model, Carter and Signorino (2010) show that multicollinearity is not a problem
for a large data set and time cubic functions outperform time splines and time fixed effects
based on the results from Monte Carlo simulation. To be specific, they test biasness and
efficiency of estimates from models with time fixed effects, time splines, and time cubic
functions. Under the existence of constant, decreasing, increasing, and non-monotonic
duration dependency with 2,000 samples and 10,000 Monte Carlo iterations, they find that the
estimates from the models with time cubic functions recover duration dependency more
precisely than the other two models with time fixed effects and time splines. Moreover, they
argue that when the number of observations is large enough the multicollinearity problem
does not a big problem. Time stands for the years after the first adoption of violence against
women law by Japan in 1908.
4.2.2. Empirical Results
Figure 4-2 presents the point estimates of variables with 95% confidence intervals based on
the estimations from the discrete even history model based on logistic regression. The
variance inflation factor (VIF) test was conducted to check whether there is a
multicollinearity problem in the model. The mean VIF is 2.48 and individual VIFs are less
than 4 except time polynomials, indicating there is no problematic correlation among
independent and control variables.3 To deal with the potential heterogeneity problem in error
terms, I estimate robust cluster standard errors by countries instead of normal standard errors.
Consistent with Kanter’s Critical Mass theory and the politics of presence theory, the key
independent variable, Women in Parliaments (%), is statistically significant at the level of p <
0.05 with a positive direction as expected. It means that a higher percentage of women in
3 Even though there are no golden standards about the threshold of VIF to assure that there is
legislative branches tends to lead countries to adopt laws concerning violence against women.
To be specific, the estimated coefficient of Women in Parliaments (%) is 0.024, meaning that
one unit increase in the percentage of women in parliaments increases the log-odds of the
adoption of laws addressing violence against women by 0.024. In the line with previous
studies demonstrating the positive association between women’s descriptive and substantive
representation, this empirical result supports the arguments that the improved women’s
descriptive representation is likely to be followed by legal reforms for women’s rights and
integrity.
Turning to control variables, the level of economic development and democracy
measured by GDP per capita and the Polyarchy Index (V-Dem), and CEDAW (%) have
statistically significant relationships with the probability of adopting violence against women
laws at the level of p < 0.05. One unit increase in those three variables increases the log-odds
of introducing laws about violence against women by 0.079, 1.453, and 0.033 respectively.
These results imply that previous findings on the conducive roles of economic development,
democracy, and the proliferation of global norms for women’s rights in promoting women’s
rights can be applied to explaining variations of the adoption of violence against women laws
among countries. Furthermore, the Regional Diffusion (%) is statistically significant at the
level
no multicollinearity problem, VIFs less than 4 have been regarded as an indication of no
consequential collinearity. Please refer Mela and Kopalle (2002), James, Witten, Hastie, and
Tibshirani (2013), Akinwande, Dikko, and Samson (2015), and Zaman et al. (2015) for more
information about multicollinearity and VIF test.
of p < 0.01, indicating that a higher percentage of countries with violence against women
laws in the same geo-political region leads countries to adopt such laws.
Figure 4-2: Estimations from Discrete Event History Model
Note: Point estimates of variables are presented with 95% confidence intervals, visualized
based on the dotwhisker package developed by Solt and Hu (2015). See Table 4-2a in
Appendix for the detailed information about the result. In this figure, Women in Parliaments
(%), CEDAW (%), and Regional Diffusion (%) are presented as their proportion for
visualization sake.
Also, there are interesting findings in terms of the three categorical variables:
Government System, Legal System, and Geopolitical Regions. Related to Government System,
countries with a semi-presidential system are less likely to adopt violence against women
laws compared to countries with a presidential system. In terms of Legal System,
Scandinavian Commercial Code is statistically significant at the level of p <0.01 with a
negative sign, indicating that countries having Scandinavian Commercial Code, compared to
countries with English Common Law, tend to have a lower probability of adopting laws
addressing violence against women. Also, it is demonstrated that Latin American countries
have a lower probability of adopting violence against women laws compared to countries
located in Western Europe and North America.
To evaluate whether the influences of statistically significant variables are also substantially
meaningful or not, predicted probabilities of adopting laws concerning violence against
women are estimated by the different values of the variables.
According to the upper-left panel of Figure 4-3, the predicted probability of adopting laws
about violence against women is 1.492% when there are no female legislators. It increases to
1.855% if 10% of legislative seats are filled with female representatives. When the percentage
of women in parliaments reaches 20% and 30%, the predicted probabilities of introducing
violence against women laws are 2.297% and 2.829% respectively. Despite a smaller number of
country-year observations, the predicted probabilities are 4.216% and 5.095% when the
percentage of women in parliaments increases to 50% and 60%.
Figure 4-3: Predicted Probabilities of Adopting Violence Against Women Laws
Note: Predicted Probabilities are presented with 95% confidence intervals with the kernel or
normal density of each variable. Predicted Probabilities are estimated while all other variables
are held at their observed values.
The level of economic development and democracy have also substantial impacts on the
probability of introducing laws addressing violence against women. In terms of GDP per
capita, the predicted probabilities are less than 5% if a country has a GDP per capita lower
than
5. The predicted probabilities exceed 5% when GDP per capita is higher than 20. When the
Polyarchy Index increases from 0 to 0.5, the predicted probabilities increase from 1.043% to
1.916%. At the extreme, the predicted probability reaches over 3%. In addition, the impacts
of CEDAW (%) and Regional Diffusion (%) on the predicted probabilities of adopting
violence against women laws are also substantially significant as presented in Figure 4-3.
Figure 4-4 presents the predicted probabilities of adopting violence against women laws with
95% confidence intervals. As you can see, countries with a semi-presidential government
system and Scandinavian Commercial Code have substantially less predicted probabilities of
adopting laws about violence against women. To be specific, the predicted probability in
countries with a semi-presidential system is 1.285%. Considering the predicted probabilities
in countries with presidential and parliamentary systems are 2.261% and 1.803%, the
negative impact of a semi-presidential system on the predicted probability is substantially
meaningful. In terms of Legal System, the predicted probabilities of adopting such laws from
countries having an English Common Law system and countries with a Scandinavian
Commercial Code are 1.791% and 0.483%. Also, the predicted probability of introducing
violence against women laws in Latin American countries is 0.890%. Given that the predicted
probability in Western European and North American countries is 2.265%, Latin American
countries are substantially less likely to adopt laws addressing violence against women.
Figure 4-4: Predicted Probabilities based on the Categorical Variables
Figure 4-4—continued
Note: Predicted Probabilities are presented with 95% confidence intervals with the normal
density of each variable. Predicted Probabilities are estimated while all other variables are
held at their observed values.
To sum up the empirical results from the discrete event history model, it has been
revealed that women’s descriptive representation in legislative branches measured by the
percentage of women in parliaments is not only statistically significant, but also substantially
meaningful.
The empirical analysis is replicated with the interaction term between Women in Parliaments
(%) and CEDAW (%) to examine whether the percentage of women in legislative branches
magnified the positive influence of the proliferation of global norms about women’s rights
and integrity. Figure 4-5 demonstrates that the interaction term is not statistically significant
at any level of p-value, indicating that the influence of CEDAW (%) is not conditioned on the
women’s descriptive representation in parliaments and vice versa.
Figure 4-5: Estimations with the Interaction Term
between Women in Parliaments (%) and CEDAW (%)
Note: Point estimates of variables are presented with 95% confidence intervals, visualized
based on the dotwhisker package developed by Solt and Hu (2015). See Table 4-3a in
Appendix for the detailed information about the result.
In terms of control variables, the empirical results and inferences are similar to those of
Figure 4-2. As in Figure 4-2, GDP per capita, the Polyarchy Index (V-Dem), Regional
Diffusion (%) have statistically significant relationships with the log-odds of the adoption of
laws addressing violence against women at the level of p < 0.05. Also, Semi-Presidential,
Scandinavian Commercial Code, and Latin America are statistically significant at the level of
p < 0.05 with negative signs. Even if not presented, the influences of the statistically
significant explanatory variables are substantially meaningful.
Figure 4-6: Average Marginal Effects of CEDAW (%) and Women in Parliaments (%)
Note: Average marginal effects are presented with 95% confidence intervals with kernel density
of Women in Parliaments (%) and CEDAW (%). Predicted Probabilities are estimated while all
other variables are held at their observed values.
Given that “[t]he analyst cannot even infer whether X has a meaningful conditional effect on
Y from the magnitude and significant of the coefficient on the interaction term”
(Brambor, Clark, & Golder 2006, 74), I graph estimated average marginal effects of CEDAW
(%) and Women in Parliaments (%) based on the values of the other variable respectively.
Even in terms of average marginal effects, it turns out that the influence of Women in
Parliaments (%) is not conditioned on CEDAW (%) and vice versa. Although the point
estimate of the average marginal effect of CEDAW (%) increases with the increase in Women
in Parliaments (%), the estimates are not statistically different from each other. In the right
panel, the estimated average marginal effects are not statistically different from 0.
4.2.3. Robustness Check
Considering that the importance of a robustness check with alternative model
specifications has been widely emphasized by scholars over decades (Esarey & Danneman
2015; Neumayer & Plümper 2017), I conduct a robustness check to evaluate whether the
empirical findings in the discrete logistic event history models are sensitive to model
specifications or not.
Some previous studies have demonstrated that not all forms of violence against
women are identical (Bouché & Wittmer 2015; Keefer 2006; Vives-Cases, Ruiz-Cantero,
EscribàAgüir, & Miralles 2011; S. A. Welch 2016). Especially related to the influence of
women’s descriptive representation on the adoption of violence against women laws, O'Brien
(2010) argues that trafficking of women and girls should be regarded as one of the national
security issues and that Female Genital Mutilation is a religious issue. Therefore, the impacts
of women’s descriptive representation are relatively less conspicuous on the adoption of laws
about trafficking and Female Genital Mutilation.
Thus, to control the potential heterogeneous impacts of women’s descriptive
representation in parliaments on the adoption of violence against women laws according to
the various forms of violence against women, I conduct a pooled event history analysis
(PEHA) developed by Kreitzer and Boehmke (2016). In the pooled event history model, the
number of observations is multiplied by the eleven forms of violence against women, which
increases the degree of freedom in the model and, in turn, allows me to get more precise
estimates about coefficients of independent and control variables (Boehmke 2009). Moreover,
estimating the pooled event history model is more parsimonious than several separate event
history models by the eleven forms of violence against women and enables me to catch the
potential commonalities of the eleven forms of violence against women. For instance, the
adoption of laws addressing sexual harassment and sexual violence can be a function of
women’s descriptive representation in parliaments.
The unit of analysis in the pooled event history model is “country-forms of violence
against women-year”. Countries are not dropped out of the risk set until they adopt all laws
concerning the eleven forms of violence against women. In other words, countries remain in
the risk set if there are unadopted laws related to any forms of violence against women4. As in
previous estimated models, Time and Time Squared variables are included to model potential
linear and nonlinear time trends. In the pooled event history model, Time stands for years
after the first adoption of laws according to each form of violence against women (e.g., see
Table 46a in Appendix for the sample dataset).
According to Kreitzer and Boehmke (2016, 125), there are three potential approaches
to examine or to control heterogeneity across different forms of violence against women that
each law aims to penalize: 1) including fixed effects, 2) adjusting standard errors by
clustering the errors within the eleven forms of violence against women, 3) estimating
multilevel models
4 Please see Boehmke (2009, 235) for more detailed explanation on the risk set in the pooled
event history model.
with random effects. In this dissertation, I estimate pooled event history models based on
multilevel models with random effects of forms of violence against women and random
coefficients of Women in Parliaments (%).
This decision is based on the following rationale. Even though the inclusion of fixed
effects by forms of violence against women imposes fewer assumptions on the distribution of
the heterogeneity and the form-specific errors are not needed to be independent of the
explanatory variables, fixed effects model specification might introduce multicollinearity
problems (Kreitzer and Boehmke 2016, 126). Especially, given that some explanatory
variables such as GDP per capita and Polyarchy Index (V-Dem) are changing slowly, the
inclusion of binary indicators by the eleven forms of violence against women brings a high
level of multicollinearity (Cheah 2009). Moreover, although estimating clustered standard
errors have been widely employed in the application of the pooled event history analysis
(Boehmke 2009; Makse & Volden 2011), it does not enable me to examine and to control the
heterogenous impacts of women’s descriptive representation on the adoption of laws
concerning violence against women by forms of such violence.
Model 1 and Model 2 are estimated without and with the interaction term between
Women in Parliaments (%) and CEDAW (%). The empirical results from Figure 4-2 and
Figure
4-5 are consistent with the results from Figure 4-7. The independent variable, Women in
Parliaments (%), in Model 1, is statistically significant at the level of p < 0.05, while the
interaction term in Model 2 is not statistically significant at the level of p < 0.05. These
results demonstrate that the previous empirical results about the conducive impact of
women’s descriptive representation in parliaments are not sensitive to model specifications.
Even though the substantive influence of the independent variable is not presented, Women in
Parliaments (%) are substantially meaningful in terms of predicted probabilities. Even in a
repeated failure context (Table 4-5a in Appendix) with the consideration of the number of
adopted laws by 11 forms of violence against women, Women in Parliaments (%) is
statistically significant at the level of p < 0.05, while the interaction term is not statistically
significant at any level of pvalues.5
Related to control variables, GDP per capita is not anymore a statistically significant
determinant of probabilities of adopting violence against women laws, while the level of
democracy and Regional Diffusion (%) is statistically significant at the level of p < 0.01.
Interestingly, the adoption of reserved seat gender quotas is statistically significant in both
Model 1 and Model in Figure 4-7. Even though Reserved Seats Gender Quotas is not
statistically significant in Figure 4-2, the results from Figure 4-7 provide partial supports for
the argument that the adoption of reserved seat gender quotas tends to improve women’s
substantive and symbolic representation by increasing women’s political participation (Ciftci
& Bernick 2015) and awareness of gender rights (Htun & Jones 2002), while contradicts the
studies arguing the null or negative effects of gender quotas on the politicization of women’s
issues (Franceschet et al. 2012; Josefsson 2014).
5 I should note that countries remain in the analysis if they have not adopted laws addressing
11 forms of violence against women. For more information about the comparison between
pooled event history analyses in the first event context and in the repeated events contxt, see
Boehmke (2009).
Figure 4-7: Estimations from Pooled Event History Models
Note: Point estimates of variables are presented with 95% confidence intervals, visualized
based on the dotwhisker package developed by Solt and Hu (2015). See Table 4-4a in
Appendix for the detailed information about the result.
Furthermore, compared to countries with a presidential system, countries with
semipresidential and parliamentary systems are less likely to adopt violence against women
laws. In addition, unlike the results from Figure 4-2 and Figure 4-5, French Commercial Code
turns out to be statistically significant variables decreasing the log-odds of introducing
violence against women laws. The random effect according to the eleven forms of violence
against women is not statistically significant at any level of p-value, meaning that the
influence of women’s descriptive representation in parliaments on the adoption of laws
addressing violence against women is not heterogenous according to the various forms of
violence against women.
4.3. Conclusion
In Chapter 4, it has been demonstrated that a higher women’s descriptive
representation in legislative branches tends to lead countries to adopt laws concerning
violence against women. With the unprecedentedly large time-series cross-national data on
162 countries from 1908 to 2016, I find that the relationship between the percentage of
women in parliaments and the adoption of violence against women laws is not only
statistically significant in the discrete event history models, but also substantially meaningful
in terms of predicted probabilities. However, unlike my expectation, the conducive impacts of
the proliferation of global norms about women’s rights and integrity measured with the
percentage of countries ratifying the CEDAW are not conditioned by a higher percentage of
women in parliaments, and vice versa. Those findings are consistently robust in other model
specifications such as the PEHA and models with different combinations of explanatory
variables.
CHAPTER 5
IMPLEMENTATION OF PUBLIC POLICIES CONCERNING
VIOLENCE AGAINST WOMEN
Does a higher women’s descriptive representation in parliaments also lead countries
to promote public policies dealing with the problem of violence against women? In Chapter 5,
the relationship between women’s descriptive representation in legislative branches and the
implementation of public policies concerning violence against women will be examined with
the time-series cross-national data on 162 countries from 1908 to 2016.
Even though the adoption of domestic statutory laws penalizing violence against
women is the most basic and the first step to eliminate violence against women, the
implementations of other public policies such as preventive measures, police training,
shelters, and social and medical assistance for the abused women have also been essential
parts to overcome the problem of violence against women (Avdeyeva 2007; Htun & Weldon
2012; Weldon 2006b; Weldon & Htun 2013; Woo 2021a, 2021b). Given that introducing
multisectoral public policies is essential to women’s and girls’ safety, protection, and
recovery, examining the influence of women’s descriptive representation in parliaments as a
driving factor behind the implementation of public policies about violence against women, in
addition to the adoption of violence against women laws, is a crucial task.
The rest of Chapter 5 is organized as follows. First, I will introduce a new dependent
variable to examine the impacts of women’s descriptive representation on the implementation
of public policies addressing violence against women. Next, a modeling strategy and
empirical results will be presented. Then, I will further examine why some countries without
female representatives in legislative branches adopted public policies and laws combating
violence against women. Also, the potential limitations of such policies and laws will be
reviewed.
Finally, based on the results from the time-series cross-national analyses in Chapter 4 and
Chapter 5, I discuss empirical findings regarding the influence of women’s descriptive
representation on women’s substantive representation in terms of the adoption of violence
against women laws and public policies.
5.1. Data
To examine the potential conducive impacts of women’s descriptive representation in
legislative branches on the implementation of public policies addressing violence against
women, I use a binary dependent variable indicating whether a country implements public
policies combating violence against women.
To build the new dependent variable, I again rely on the Global Database on Violence against
Women developed by the UN Women. The database provides information about when each
UN member state implemented public policies addressing violence against women according
to 20 types of public policies: 1) national action plan to address violence against women, 2)
budget allocation, 3) regulation, 4) referral service, 5) integrated service, 6) onestop center, 7)
shelter, 8) psychosocial counseling, 9) hotline, 10) longer term service, 11) health protocols
and 12) health training, 13) justice protocols and 14) justice training, 15) police protocols and
16) police training, 17) prevention campaign, 18) prevention community, 19) formal and 20)
non-formal education.
Given that various types of public policies addressing violence against women have
their important roles to protect the abused women of violence against women and to address
violence against women (García-Moreno et al. 2015; Htun & Weldon 2012; Woo 2021a,
2021b), I do not arbitrary select certain types of public policies addressing violence against
women. Thus, when a country implements any type of violence against women public
policies in a given year, I assign 1 to the country-year observation. Otherwise, I assign 0.
Figure 5-1 demonstrates the maps for countries with a number of public policies addressing
violence against women in 1980 and 2016. As presented, the number of countries with any
type of public policy was much smaller in 1980 than in 2016. To be specific, France was the
only country with five different violence against women public policies: integrated service,
health training, justice training, police training, and prevention campaign. In addition,
Australia, Gabon, India, and Thailand have two such policies.
Figure 5-1: Maps for Countries with the Number of Public Policies
Concerning Violence Against Women
1980
2016
Note: Figure 5-1 is visualized based on the information from the Global Database on
Violence against Women.
With the entrance of women in politics, many countries have introduced various
types of public policies handling the problem of violence against women. In 2016, countries
with a relatively higher percentage of women in parliaments such as Canada (26%), Australia
(26.7%), Argentina (34.6%), Denmark (37.4%), Norway (39.6%), Spain (41.1%), Iceland
(41.3%), Ecuador (41.6%), and Mexico (42.4%) have implemented more than 10 types of
public policies addressing violence against women. On the contrary, countries with a lower
percentage of women in parliaments (%) including Oman (1.2%), Iran (3.1%), Haiti (4.2%),
Republic of the Congo (7.4%), Egypt (2%), Japan (9.5%), Brazil (9.9%), the United States
(19.4%) have introduced less than 10 types of such policies. The two-sample t-test
demonstrates that the difference of means in the percentage of women in parliaments between
countries with 10-20 public policies and countries with less than 10 policies is statistically
significant at the level of p < 0.056.
5.2. Empirical Analysis
5.2.1. Modeling Strategy
Some might argue that the influence of women’s descriptive representation may differ across
various types of public policies addressing violence against women. For instance, providing
formal or non-formal educations about the problem of violence against women and
developing budgets to combat violence against women can be followed by different functions
6 In 2016, the mean Women in Parliaments (%) of countries adopting less than 10 public
policies about violence against women is 19.731, while that of that of countries implementing
10 to 20 policies is 24.313.
of women’s descriptive representation in parliaments. The influence of women’s descriptive
representation on the adoption of budgets addressing violence against women might be
smaller than on the implementation of other public policies, because the implementation of
budgets
specific to the problem of violence against women is more likely to be affected by the
economic development of a country.
Therefore, to examine the influence of women’s descriptive representation in
legislative branches on the implementation of various types of public policies addressing
violence against women with the consideration of the potential heterogenous impacts of the
percentage of women in parliaments, I employ a discrete pooled event history analysis
(PEHA) developed by Kreitzer and Boehmke (2016) as in the robustness check in Chapter 4.
To reiterate, the application of the pooled event history analysis increases the degree of
freedom in the model, allowing me to get precise coefficient estimates of explanatory
variables (Boehmke 2009). Also, it enables me to examine the potential commonalities of the
20 types of public policies and this approach is more parsimonious than estimating separate
discrete event history models by 20 types of policies.
In the pooled event history models estimated in this chapter, the number of country-
year observations is multiplied by the 20 types of public policies addressing violence against
women. Thus, the unit of analysis is “country (𝑖)-policy (𝑘)-year(𝑡)” and the dependent
variable is whether a country 𝑖 implements a policy 𝑘 in year 𝑡.7 Countries are included in the
risk set if they do not implement all 20 public policies concerning violence against women.
7 I should note that the explanation and notation on the pooled event history model is largely
based on Kreitzer and Boehmke (2016).
To be specific, countries are included in the risk set from the years when the first adoption of
each policy occurred in any country to the years when a country adopts all 20 public policies.
Time and Time Squared are employed to control potential duration dependency. Time stands
for years
after the first implementation of public policies according to each type of policies addressing
violence against women (e.g., see Table 5-4a in Appendix for the sample dataset).
As pooled event history models estimated in Chapter 4, I estimate multilevel models
with random effects for policies rather than including fixed effects or adjusting standard
errors by clustering the errors within the twenty types of public policies concerning violence
against women. To reiterate, the inclusion of fixed effects of policies might introduce
multicollinearity problems given that some explanatory variables are changing slowly over
the years, and adjusting standard errors will not enable me to examine or to control the
potential heterogeneous impacts of violence against women according to the twenty types of
violence against women public policies (Cheah 2009; Kreitzer & Boehmke 2016). The
application of multilevel models with the policies as the second-level group and the random
effect of the percentage of women in parliaments allows me to model the potential
heterogeneous effects of women’s descriptive representation in legislative branches by
different public policies addressing violence against women.
Below is the formula for the pooled multilevel event history model estimated in this chapter.
Again, 𝑖 represents a country, 𝑘 indicates types of public policies, and 𝑡 denotes a year.
0 𝑖𝑓 𝑌𝑖𝑘𝑡
𝑌𝑖𝑘𝑡 = {1 𝑖𝑓 𝑌𝑖𝑘𝑡 ,
𝑌𝑖𝑘𝑡 𝑘 × 𝑊𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑛 𝑖𝑛 𝑃𝑎𝑟𝑙𝑖𝑎𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 (%)𝑖𝑡−1 + 𝛽2 × 𝐺𝐷𝑃 𝑝𝑒𝑟
𝑐𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑖𝑡−1 +
𝛽3 × 𝑃𝑜𝑙𝑦𝑎𝑟𝑐ℎ𝑦 𝐼𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥𝑖𝑡 𝛽𝑛 × 𝑅𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝐷𝑖𝑓𝑓𝑢𝑠𝑖𝑜𝑛
(%)𝑖𝑘𝑡−1 +𝑖𝑘𝑡,
𝐵0𝑘 = 𝐵00 + 0𝑘,
𝐵1𝑘 = 𝐵10 + 1𝑘.
𝑌𝑖𝑘𝑡 is the binary variable indicating whether a country adopts a policy 𝑘 in a year 𝑡, and
𝑌𝑖𝑘𝑡∗ is the latent variable. 𝐵0𝑘 and 𝐵1𝑘 are not fixed but they vary according to types of
violence against women public policies based on the random effect for policies (0𝑘) and the
random coefficient of women’s descriptive representation (1𝑘) by types of such policies. It is
assumed that 0𝑘, 1𝑘, and 𝑖𝑘𝑡 are not correlated with the explanatory variables, and that 0𝑘
and 1𝑘 are independent of 𝑖𝑘𝑡. While other explanatory variables are measured at the
country-time level, Regional Diffusion (%) is measured at the country-policy-year level. To
be specific, Regional Diffusion (%) in this chapter is the percentage of countries with a given
policy in the same geopolitical region according to the types of violence against women
policies.
5.2.2. Empirical Results
Figure 5-2: Estimations from Pooled Event History Models
Note: Point estimates of variables are presented with 95% confidence intervals, visualized
based on the dotwhisker package developed by Solt and Hu (2015). See Table 5-1a in
Appendix for the detailed information about the result. In this figure, Women in Parliaments
(%)is presented as its proportion for visualization sake.
Figure 5-2 shows the estimations from the pooled event history model (Model 1) with a
random intercept, and the model (Model 2) with a random coefficient for Women in
Parliaments (%). The VIF tests were conducted to check the presence of multicollinearity
problems in the two models. The mean VIF and the individual VIFs of explanatory variables
excluding time functions are less than 4, indicating no consequential collinearity among
independent and control variables. Even though the random coefficient for Women in
Parliaments (%) is not statistically significant at any level of p-value (see Table 5-1a in
Appendix), the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and the Bayesian Information Criterion
(BIC) are smaller in Model 2.
Across the two models, the estimated coefficients and robust standard errors are similar
despite some small differences. In both models, the key independent variable, Women in
Parliaments (%), is statistically significant at the level of p < 0.05 in a positive direction. The
estimated coefficients of the independent variable are 0.009 and 0.008, meaning that 1%
increase in Women in Parliaments (%) increases the log-odds of adopting public policies
addressing violence against women by 0.009 and 0.008. This result provides empirical
evidence for the positive impact of women’s descriptive representation in parliaments is not
limited to the adoption of violence against women laws, but leads countries to introduce
public policies regarding violence against women.
Related to control variables, like the empirical results concerning the adoption of violence
against women laws, GDP per capita, the Polyarchy Index (V-Dem), and CEDAW (%) have
statistically significant relationships at the level of p < 0.01 with the probability of
introducing public policies combating violence against women in the two models. Consistent
with previous studies, it emphasizes the important roles of the level of economic development
and democracy, and the global norms on women’s rights on the adoption of public policies
addressing violence against women. Moreover, Regional Diffusion (%) is also statistically
significant at the level of p < 0.01. At the same time, it is revealed that countries with a
semipresidential government system and Scandinavian Commercial Code are less likely to
adopt public policies concerning violence against women as well as violence against women
laws.
Unlike the results related to the adoption of violence against women laws, some other control
variables turned out to have statistically significant impacts on the dependent variable. The
three variables including Women’s CSO Participation, Women’s Property Rights, and
Ratification of CEDAW are statistically significant at the level of p < 0.01 with positive
directions, while the increase in the Legislature Corrupt Activities makes countries less likely
to adopt public policies concerning violence against women. One of the potential reasons why
those variables are not statistically significant in the models presented in Chapter 4, but
significant in the models in the two models in Figure 5-2 is that the implementation of public
policies, compared to the adoption of laws is more likely to be affected by factors less
relevant to decision-making processes.
In terms of the two women-related factors, the empirical results are in the line with
previous studies arguing that women’s active participation in civil society organizations and
the improved women’s property rights tend to lead countries to pay more attention to
women’s issues such as violence against women (Dahlum & Wig 2020; Datta 2006). In
addition, given the statistically significant correlation between Women’s CSO Participation
and the feminist autonomous movement index from Htun and Weldon (2012), this result also
provides indirect support for the crucial role of the feminist autonomous movements. The
results regarding the positive and negative influences of the ratification of the CEDAW and
the corrupt activities in legislative branches are also consistent with my expectations that the
monitoring body of the committee of CEDAW urges member states to take actions on policies
addressing violence against women, and that the corruption in legislature impede legislative
branches from performing effectively.
Lastly, the results from both Model 1 and Model 2 demonstrate that Sub-Saharan
African countries are less likely to implement public policies addressing violence against
women, while East Asian and South Asian countries are more likely to introduce such public
policies compared to Western European and North American countries. These findings also
make sense given that Sub-Saharan African countries are culturally more lenient to the
problem of violence against women. For instance, there is a relatively pervasive culture of
violence against women and “unfettered social and cultural acceptance of wife-beating”
intensifying such practices and creating public policies to mitigate violence against women
(Rani, Bonu, & Diop-Sidibe 2004, 117).
As in Sub-Saharan African countries, East and South Asian countries have the
practices of female genital mutilation (Muteshi, Miller, & Belizán 2016), sex-selective
abortion, and systematic neglect of girl children (Abrejo, Shaikh, & Rizvi 2009; Hesketh, Lu,
& Xing 2011), intimate partner violence (Jejeebhoy, Santhya, & Acharya 2014), and other
harmful practices related to the problem of violence against women (Hester 2004; Piper
2003). Especially in South Asia, there have been rigid cultures, discriminatory attitudes, and
inequitable practices and violent behaviors towards women at all stages of life (Niaz 2013).
However, unlike Sub-Saharan African countries, among East and South Asian
countries the state and women’s organizations have actively put their efforts on the
implementation of extensive constitutional and statutory safeguards addressing violence
against women. For instance, women’s movements in South Korea have taken the lead in
advocating policy changes addressing violence against women and brought the issue of
violence against women onto the public agenda in Korea (Jung 2013; Postmus & Ah Hahn
2007). Even though those activities from women’s organizations and governmental responses
aiming the problem of violence against women frequently face resistance at the community
level both in East and South Asian countries under the strong patriarchal moral code and
culture (Manderson, Bennett, & Bennett 2003; Mehta 2004; Najmah 2021), they have
engendered policy implementations handling violence against women.
Figure 5-3: Predicted Probabilities of Adopting Violence Against Women Public Policies
Figure 5-3—continued
Note: Predicted Probabilities are presented with 95% confidence intervals with the kernel or
normal density of each independent and control variable. Predicted Probabilities are estimated
while all other variables are held at their observed values.
To examine the substantive effects of statistically significant variables in Model 2 in Figure
5-2, I estimate predicted probabilities according to the different values of the significant
variables. Even if the changes in the predicted probabilities presented in Figure 5-2 are
relatively smaller than the changes related to the adoption of violence against women laws,
the small probability changes are still not negligible considering that the implementation of
public policies about violence against women is quite a rare event.
Based on the changes in the percentage of women in legislative branches, the predicted
probability of adopting public policies addressing violence against women increases steadily.
At 0% of Women in Parliaments (%), the predicted probability is 0.513% and it increases to
0.560% when the percentage reaches 10%. If the percentage of women in parliaments
increases to 30%, the predicted probability reaches 0.612%. At the extreme value, the
predicted probabilities are over 0.793% if the percentage of women in parliaments exceeds
50%.
Other control variables also have a similar degree of substantive effects on the adoption of
public policies concerning violence against women. For instance, when Women’s CSO
participation and Women’s Property Rights increase from -3 to 4 and -5 to 5, the predicted
probabilities increase from 0.298% to 0.924% and from 0.214% to 1.081% respectively. Also,
countries ratifying the CEDAW have around 0.605% predicted probability, while non-
member states have lower than 0.398% predicted probability. In addition, when a country has
the lowest Legislative Corrupt Activities, the predicted probability of adopting public policies
about violence against women is 1.019%. However, if Legislative Corrupt Activities reaches
over 0, the predicted probabilities decrease to 0.596%.
Figure 5-4: Predicted Probabilities based on the Categorical Variables
Figure 5-4—continued
Note: Predicted Probabilities are presented with 95% confidence intervals with the normal
density of each variable. Predicted Probabilities are estimated while all other variables are
held at their observed values.
Figure 5-4 presents the estimated predicted probabilities according to the different values of
the three categorical variables: Government System, Legal System, and Geopolitical Regions.
Put it simply, the predicted probabilities demonstrate that the statistically significant
categorical variables in Model 2 in Figure 5-2 are also substantially meaningful.
First, related to Government System, countries having a semi-presidential system have
0.476% predicted probability of adopting public policies addressing violence against women,
while countries with a presidential system and parliamentary system have 0.646% and
0.607% predicted probabilities. Regarding Legal System, the predicted probability in
countries with English Common Law system is 0.661%, and that in countries with
Scandinavian Commercial Code is 0.482%. Lastly, Sub-Saharan African countries tend to
adopt public policies combating violence against women with 0.368% predicted probability,
while East and South Asian countries have 0.880% and 1.117% predicted probabilities
respectively.
Figure 5-5: Estimations with the Interaction Term
Between Women in Parliaments (%) and CEDAW (%)
Note: Point estimates of variables are presented with 95% confidence intervals, visualized
based on the dotwhisker package developed by Solt and Hu (2015). See Table 5-2a in
Appendix for the detailed information about the result.
Next, to evaluate the conditional relationship between Women in Parliaments (%) and
CEDAW (%) on the implementation of public policies addressing violence against women, I
estimate a pooled event history model with a random effect of Women in Parliaments (%) by
different types of public policies. As in Chapter 4 about the adoption of laws concerning
violence against women, the interaction term between the percentage of women in
parliaments and the proliferation of global norms about women’s rights measured by CEDAW
(%) is not statistically significant at any level of p-value.
In terms of control variables, as the results from Model 1 and Model in Figure 5-2, GDP per
capita, the Polyarchy Index (V-Dem), Women’s CSO Participation, Women’s Property Rights,
and Ratification of CEDAW, Legislature Corrupt Activities, and Regional Diffusion (%) have
statistically significant impacts on the log-odds of adopting such public policies. In addition,
the semi-presidential government system is negatively associated with the adoption of
violence against women public policies, even after the inclusion of the interaction term.
SubSaharan African countries are less likely to adopt such policies, while South Asian
countries are more likely to adopt them.
Figure 5-6: Average Marginal Effects of CEDAW (%) by Women in Parliaments (%)
Note: Average Marginal Effects are presented with 95% confidence intervals with kernel
density of Women in Parliaments (%) and CEDAW (%). Average Marginal Effects are
estimated while all other variables are held at their observed values.
As in Chapter 4, I graph estimated average marginal effects of Women in Parliaments (%)
and CEDAW (%) in Figure 5-6. It shows that those two variables are not conditioned by each
other. First, even though the point estimates of the average marginal effects of CEDAW (%)
increase with the increase in the percentage of women in parliaments, each point estimate is
not statistically different from each other. In addition, the point estimates of the average
marginal effects of Women in Parliaments (%) are not statistically different from 0 until
CEDAW (%) reaches around 81%. Although the average marginal effects increase when
CEDAW (%) increases from 81% to 100%, the changes of the average marginal effects of
Women in Parliaments (%) are very marginal at best.
As a whole, the empirical results support the link between women’s descriptive
representation in legislative branches and women’s substantive representation in public policy
outcomes concerning violence against women. This relationship is not only statistically
significant in the pooled event history models with the random effects of Women in
Parliaments (%) by types of public policies, but also substantially meaningful with regard to
the predicted probability of implementing public policies about violence against women.
However, the conditional relationship between women’s descriptive representation and the
proliferation of global norms on women’s rights is not statistically and substantively
significant.
The empirical results on independent variables from Figure 5-2 and Figure 5-5 are
consistently in pooled event history analyses in repeated events context (Table 5-3a in
Appendix) with the consideration of the number of public policies by 20 types of public
policies. To be specific, the influence of women’s descriptive representation in parliaments on
the implementation of public policies is statistically significant, but the interaction term
between Women in Parliaments (%) and CEDAW (%) is not.
Table 5-1: Lists of Countries Adopting Violence Against Women Laws
without Female Legislators
Country
Japan
Australia
Denmark
Egypt
India
Iraq
Thailand
Gabon
Morocco
Senegal
Central African Republic
Year
1908
1924
1930
1937
1953
1959
1960
1963
1963
1965
1966
Sexual Violence
Sexual Violence, Stalking Sexual
Violence
Violence Against Women
Violence Against Women
Violence Against Women
Violence Against Women
Violence Against Women
Female Genital Mutilation
Shelter
Long Term Support
Table 5-1—continued
Chad 1967 Child, Early, and Forced Marriage
Laws
Policies
Bulgaria
France
1968
1972
Child, Early, and Forced Marriage
Police training,
Prevention Campaign,
Health Training,
Justice Training,
Integrated Service
Oman
Nigeria
Bangladesh
Iceland
1974
1976
1980
1982
Violence Against Women,
Trafficking
New Forms of Violence
Justice Protocol
Shelter, Hotline
Kuwait 1983 Violence Against Women,
Domestic/Intimate Partner Violence
Shelter
Jamaica 1985
Shelter
Angola 1986 Psychosocial Counseling,
United Arab Emirates
Tajikistan
1987
1995
Sexual Violence
Justice Protocols
Psychosocial Counseling
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Qatar
Bahrain
1999
2004
2005
Violence Against Women,
Sexual Violence
Sexual Violence
Prevention Campaign,
Burma/Myanmar 2005 Trafficking
Non-Formal Education
Kyrgyzstan 2006 Violence Against Women,
Trafficking
Prevention Campaign
Saudi Arabia 2008 Shelter
Note: The information about forms of violence targeted by each law and policy is based on
the Global Database on Violence against Women
Rather than concluding only with the empirical analysis, I further examine potential reasons
why some countries with no female representatives in legislative adopt laws and policies
addressing violence against women by investigating some individual cases. Moreover, the
limitations of laws and policies introduced without the presence of women in parliaments will
be examined. Table 5-1 shows the list of countries adopting and implementing laws or any
types of public policies without female legislators in their legislative branches. Twenty-nine
countries across different geopolitical regions adopted violence against women laws and
public policies despite no presence of women in decision-making institutions.
However, the laws and public policies adopted without supports from female
representatives have their limitations in details of the clauses concerning violence against
women and have been criticized due to the light sentences on violence against women.
Continuously questioned by women’s non-governmental organizations and the committee of
the CEDAW, the Japanese Penal Code of 1908 is one of the typical cases of violence against
women laws with flaws. Two main articles related to sexual violence in the Penal Code of
1908 are below.
Article 177 (Rape): A person who, through assault or intimidation, forcibly commits
sexual intercourse with a female of not less than thirteen years of age commits the
crime of rape and shall be punished by imprisonment with work for a definite term of
not less than 3 years. The same shall apply to a person who commits sexual
intercourse with a female under thirteen years of age.
Article 178 (Quasi Forcible Indecency; Quasi Rape): (1) A person who commits an
indecent act upon a male or female by taking advantage of loss of consciousness or
inability to resist, or by causing a loss of consciousness or inability to resist, shall be
punished […].
The committee of the CEDAW has expressed concern about the Penal Code. Especially, the
fact that the crime of sexual violence is only prosecuted based on complaints from the victim.
Moreover, it has also been pointed out that the penalty for rape is lenient, and that incest and
martial rape are not explicitly defined as a form of violence against women in the Japanese
Penal Code. The Committee also has raised its concern about the low age of sexual consent
and urged Japan to raise the minimum age of sexual consent.
Those kinds of limitations are also observed in Sub-Saharan, North African, and middle east
countries. For instance, the Central African Republic adopted the “Ordinance No.66/16
Abolishing the Practice of Female Circumcision” in 1966. However, even though it shows the
governmental recognition of the fact that FGM tends to entail harmful consequences to the
physical and mental health of women and girls, it has been regarded that this ordinance
imposed any associated criminal penalty for incidents of FGM. Also, Nigeria implemented
the Legal Aid Council to provide free legal counseling services for abused women from
violence against women, but it has been revealed that the Legal Aid Council has failed to help
the victims access judicial remedies (Enemo 2020).
Among countries located in North Africa and the Middle East, Egypt, Iraq, Qatar, and
United Arab Emirates are typical examples. Egypt and Iraq early adopted laws penalizing
violence against women. They early adopted the Egyptian Penal Code and Iraqi Family Law
in 1937 and 1959 respectively, but the Committee of the CEDAW has continuously urged
those countries to modify and revise clauses concerning violence against women. The
Committee said that the Egyptian Panel Code lacks a holistic approach to the prevention and
elimination of the problem of violence against women including domestic and intimate
partner violence, martial rape, and other forms of violence against women.8 In addition, even
if the Iraqi Family Law issued in 1959 has been considered among the best laws in North
Africa and the Middle East, the problem of the child, early and forced marriage is not legally
recognized under the Iraqi Law. Similarly, the penal codes of the United Arab Emirates and of
Qatar have been criticized due to their lack of detailed definitions of the forms of violence
against women.
On the contrary, the early adopted laws and policies in European countries such as the
Danish Criminal Code and French gender equality policies related to violence against women
have been regarded as successful laws and policies combating violence against women by
scholars and the committee of the CEDAW. Among European countries, active feminist
movements have played a crucial role in the adoption of violence against women laws and
policies despite no presence of women in legislative branches. For instance, since the 1970s,
the feminist movement has been rallying public opinion against violence against women
(Corradi & Stöckl 2016). The women’s liberation movement in France in the early 1970s
strived to make changes in laws and policies, and to lead the government to take concrete
action dealing with women’s rights and termination of violence against women (Greenwald
1996). Also, in Denmark, the major women’s movement led by the Danish Women’s Society
urges the Danish government to revise the Danish constitution and to ensure women’s rights
to vote.
8 United Nations, Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination against
Women (CEDAW). 19 January 2001. Considerations of Reports of States Parties. Egypt.
As a consequence, the active women’s movement in Denmark contributes to the provision of
equal opportunity laws during the 1920s and the adoption of clauses addressing violence
against women in the Danish Criminal Code (Griffin & Braidotti 2002).
5.3. Conclusion
In a nutshell, by employing pooled event history analysis (PEHA), I demonstrated that the
increased women’s descriptive representation in legislative branches has both statistically and
substantially significant impacts on the implementation of public policies addressing violence
against women. The conducive impacts of women’s descriptive representation on the
implementation of such public policies are not heterogeneous according to the various types
of policies concerning violence against women. As in Chapter 4, the percentage of women in
legislative branches and the percentage of countries ratifying CEDAW are not conditioned by
each other. Those relationships are consistently robust in various model specifications with
different combinations of independent and control variables, meaning that the findings are not
the results of arbitrary modeling strategies.
Moreover, by examining countries that adopted and implemented violence against women
laws and policies without supports from female legislators in legislative branches, I find that
the laws and public policies adopted and implemented without supports from female
legislators in Asian, MENA, and Sub-Saharan countries have non-negligible limitations in
terms of details of clauses and sentence. On the contrary, in Western European countries such
as Denmark and France, the adoption and implementation of successful violence against
women laws and public policies are rooted in the active feminist movements.
CHAPTER 6
THE INFLUENCE OF WOMEN’S DESCRIPTIVE REPRESENTATION:
THE CASE OF SOUTH KOREA
In Chapter 6, I relying on the South Korean case further examine how the presence of female
legislators affect the adoption and implementation of laws and public policies addressing
violence against women with the focus on the bills proposed in the Korean National
Assembly from 1948 (the start of the 1st Congress) to 2020 (the end of the 20th Congress). To
be specific, I will test the relationship between gender of individual legislators and
sponsorship on violence against women bills, and the interaction between gender and
partisanship of legislators will be studied. In addition, when do male legislators sponsor such
bills will be examined with a focus on the role of their previous experience of sponsoring bills
with female legislators. Moreover, I will examine whether bills sponsored by a higher
percentage of female legislators and by female legislators from different political parties
enjoy a higher probability of being passed or not.
To test the above-mentioned relationships and hypotheses, I rely on South Korea’s case. To
reiterate, although South Korea’s legislative politics on women’s issues especially violence
against women have not received much academic attention by the existing literature on
Women and Politics, South Korea is an ideal case to examine such relationships and
hypotheses, for several reasons. First, there are analytical advantages stemming from the bill
sponsorship record existing through the whole period of observation. The data availability
related to proposed bills from the 1st Congress enables me to fully understand the influence of
gender, and the interaction between gender and partisanship of individual legislators. Second,
considering that Tsebelis (2002) demonstrates that executive dominance over legislative
bodies on agenda-setting has been frequently observed in parliamentary democracies unlike
presidential democracies, South Korea which is a presidential democracy is a valuable case
where the Korean National Assembly plays an important role in shaping legislative agenda on
violence against women. In addition, South Korea is a country where both women’s
descriptive and substantive representation in terms of violence against women laws and
policies have progressed dramatically in a relatively short period, which provides enough
variations to be examined.
6.1. Data
6.1.1. Dependent Variables
As dependent variables, I use two binary variables: Bill Sponsorship and Bill Success.
To build Bill Sponsorship, I, first, collected all information about each bill proposed in the
Korean National Assembly from 1948 (the start of 1st Congress) to 2020 (the end of 20th
Congress) based on the Bill Information System developed by the Korean National Assembly.
The Bill Information System provides detailed information about proposed bills such as their
proposed date, lists of sponsors, contents of each bill, and results of each bill. In total, 85,860
bills have been proposed from the 1st Congress to 20th Congress. Then, I, relying on keywords
related to violence against women, classify whether each bill is a bill addressing violence
against women.
To be specific, first, I drop all bills proposed not by legislators. In the dataset, 63,374 bills
among 85,860 bills have been proposed by legislators. Next, I select bills with titles including
the following keywords: feminicide, forced sterilization, stalking, trafficking, violence against
women and girls, domestic and intimate partner violence, sexual violence, sexual harassment,
female genital mutilation, child, early and forced marriage, protection of women and children,
and victims of violence against women. Thrid, I also select bills with contents including the
above-mentioned keywords.9 Lastly, given that this approach might include bills not related to
violence against women, I review the selected bills to exclude bills not relevant to violence
against women.
As a result, 1,916 bills among 85,860 bills are categorized into the violence against
women bills. After the session of the 14th Congress when 4 bills concerning violence against
women were proposed, the number of violence against women bills proposed has increased.
The number reaches 503 in the 19th Congress, and 855 in the 20th Congress. To build Bill
Sponsorship, I assign 0 to “Bill ID – Individual Legislators” observations when legislators
sponsor violence against women bills. Otherwise, 1 is assigned to observations.
9 Classifying bills proposed in Korean National Assembly based on keywords in titles and
contents of bills is one of the common ways to categorize bills into specific topics. As
examples, please refer Shim (2019). All the keywords are used in Korean instead of English
given that the Bill Information System is in Korean.
Figure 6-1: Total Number of Proposed Bills and Violence Against Women Bills
Next, to build Bill Success, I categorize violence against women bills into Rejection and
Success. I assign 0 to “Bill ID” observations if bills are finally rejected. Otherwise, I assign 1.
Since 14th Congress, 797 bills about violence against women have been passed, while 1,119
bills are finally rejected. It should be noted that both the number of proposed violence against
women bills and the rate of rejection have increased.
Figure 6-2: Results of Proposed Violence Against Women Bills
6.1.2. Independent Variables
To examine whether women legislators pay more attention to the problem of violence
against women and focus on proposing bills concerning violence against women, I include
Gender (0 – male legislators, 1 – female legislators) as an independent variable when a
dependent variable is Bill Sponsorship. Moreover, to see whether the gender composition of
sponsors influences the probability of Bill Success, the percent of female sponsors of each
violence against women bills is employed as an independent variable when Bill Success is a
dependent variable. In addition, a binary independent variable indicating whether each
violence against women bills is sponsored by female legislators from different political
parties is included. Individual characteristics including gender and partisanship of legislators
are collected based on the information posted on the Korean National Assembly open-access
website.
In addition, I include Partisanship as an independent variable when Bill Sponsorship
is employed as a dependent variable to evaluate the conditional influence of Gender
according to individual legislators’ partisanships. In South Korea, 87 political parties had
seats in the Korean National Assembly from the 1st Congress to 20th Congress. The 87
political parties are categorized into Center Right, Center Left, and Left political parties. If
individual legislators are not involved in any political party, they are assigned to the
Independent category.
Lastly, in terms of Bill Success, I include a binary variable indicating whether a bill is
sponsored by female legislators from different political parties to see whether women can
overcome marginalization and gendered expectations of performance by sponsoring with
other female legislators or not. I assign 1 to “Bill Id” observations if a bill is sponsored by
female legislators from different political parties. Otherwise, I assign 0.
6.1.3. Control Variables
To prevent coefficient estimations from being biased due to the omitted variable bias, a series
of control variables according to the two dependent variables are controlled. In terms of Bill
Sponsorship, I first control Seniority of legislators. Previous literature on the seniority of
legislators has demonstrated that more senior lawmakers tend to have higher legislative
effectiveness (Taylor 2019; Volden & Wiseman 2014). On the contrary, some Korean case
studies have revealed that more senior members are likely to focus on the issues of unification
and national security, and to propose fewer bills (Jeong & Jang 2013; Ka 2009). Therefore,
rather than disregarding the potential impacts of the seniority of legislators, I include
Seniority as one of the control variables. It is an ordinal variable ranging from 1 to 9
according to the times of being elected.
Second, given that South Korea has a two-tiered electoral system composed of a
district tier (single-member district) and a party tier (proportional representation), Electoral
Tier of legislators is controlled. I assign 0 to “Bill ID – Individual Legislators” observations if
legislators were elected from single-member districts; otherwise, 1 is assigned. The inclusion
of Electoral Tier is based on the rationale that lawmakers elected from single-member
districts tend to focus on the specific problems and issues related to their districts rather than
more general issues such as the problems of violence against women to increase the
probability of being re-elected.
In addition, Electoral Cycle and Congress are also controlled. It is expected that
legislators are more likely to propose or sponsor bills right before the next election because
voters tend to weigh more legislators’ active participation in bill proposal or sponsorship
during such period. To control the anticipated positive impact of Electoral Cycle, 1 is
assigned to “Bill ID – Individual Legislators” observations if a bill was proposed one year
before the general elections; otherwise, 0 is assigned. Congress is a binary variable for each
congress session. The inclusion of Congress enables me to control unobserved and
unmeasured each congressspecific influence on the probability of sponsoring bills about
violence against women.
Related to the other dependent variable, Bill Success, I control Electoral Cycle, total
Number of Sponsors, Total Number of Bills per session, Center Left Party Control, and the %
of Sponsors from Dominant Party. Number of Sponsors and % of Sponsors from Dominant
Party are controlled with a natural expectation that those two variables have positive
relationships with the probability of Bill Success. Moreover, even though there is no concrete
theory about the association between the total number of bills proposed per session and the
probability of bills’ success, Total Number of Bills is controlled, given that previous literature
on bill success has controlled the total number of bills introduced (Senk 2020; Shim 2019).
Center Left Party Control is also included as one of the control variables to parcel out the
potential influence of different party controls in the Korean National Assembly. In addition, I
also control whether each bill is sponsored by legislators from different political parties or not
with the binary variable named Sponsored by Legislators from Different Parties.
I should note that observations before the 13th Congress are not included in the dataset
considering the fact that violence against women bills have been proposed since the 14th
Congress. In addition, given that 14th Congress started in 1992, and the period of military
dictatorship (by Park Jeong-Hee from 1963-1979) and the two military governments (by
Chun Doo-Hwan from 1980-1988, and by Roh Taw-Woo from 1988-1993) ended with the
1992 presidential election won by Kim Young-Sam initiating Civilian Government, it enables
me to naturally control the influence of regime types. Descriptive statistics of all variables
employed in Chapter 6 are presented in Table 6-1a and Table 6-2a according to the two
dependent variables: Bill Sponsorship and Bill Success. Again, the unit of analysis is “Bill ID
– Individual Legislators,” and “Bill ID” when the dependent variables are Bill Sponsorship
and Bill Success respectively. Across all the empirical models estimated in the next section,
the mean and individual variance inflation factors (VIFs) of independent and control variables
do not exceed
2, indicating that there is no problematic multicollinearity among explanatory variables.
6.2. Empirical Analysis
6.2.1. Modeling Strategy
Given the nature of the two binary dependent variables, Bill Sponsorship and Bill Success,
logistic regression is applied to examine the influence of independent variables on both
dependent variables. In addition, robust standard errors are estimated instead of normal
standard errors.
6.2.2. Empirical Results
Figure 6-3: Estimations from Logistic Regression on Bill Sponsorship
Note: Point estimates of variables are presented with 95% confidence intervals, visualized
based on the dotwhisker package developed by Solt and Hu (2015). See Table 6-3a in
Appendix for the detailed information about the result.
To examine the influence of gender, partisanship, and the experience of cosponsorship
with female legislators on the probability of sponsoring bills related to violence against
women, I start by estimating two logistic regression models on Bill Sponsorship. Model 1 is
estimated with a full set of independent and control variables, while Model 2 is estimated
based on the split-sample which only includes male legislators. Detailed information about
estimated coefficients and robust standard errors can be found in Table 6-3a in Appendix.
Both Model 1 and Model 2 have similar results on each independent and control
variable, the results reveal that female legislators (Gender = 1), partisanship in the Center-
Left party, previous experience of cosponsorship with female legislators, and PR-elected
legislators have a statistically significant positive relationship with the log-odds of sponsoring
bills about violence against women at the level of p < 0.001. On the contrary, partisanship in
the Left party, seniority, electoral cycle, and Congresses after the 15th Congress have a
statistically significant relationship with the dependent variables at the level of p < 0.001 in
negative directions. In addition, non-partisanship is not statistically significant at any level of
p-value.
In Model 1, first of all, the estimated coefficient of Gender is 0.374, meaning that
women legislators have 0.374 higher log odds of sponsoring violence against women bills
than male counterparts have. It is consistent with an expectation that women legislators tend
to pay more attention to the problem of violence against women and empirical findings from
the two previous chapters that a higher percentage of women legislators in parliaments leads
countries to adopt violence against women laws and public policies.
Figure 6-3 also demonstrates that legislators involved in the Center-Left political
party are more likely to sponsor bills about violence against women, while legislators from
the Left political party are less likely to sponsor such bills. The estimated coefficients are
0.127 and 0.228, indicating that being a legislator involved in the Center-Left party or Left
party, versus involved in the Center-Right party, increases the log-odds of sponsoring
violence against women bills by 0.127 or decreases the log-odds by 0.228 respectively.
In terms of the previous experience of cosponsorship with female legislators, the
estimated coefficient is 0.408 in Model 1. This result supports the argument that having
experience of cosponsorship with female legislators leads legislators to pay more attention to
women’s rights and integrity. This relationship is consistent in Model 2 where only male
legislators are included in the sample, which provides empirical evidence that the legislative
behaviors of male legislators can be influenced by working with female counterparts.
The results presented in Figure 6-3 also reveal other interesting findings related to
control variables: Seniority, Electoral Tier, Electoral Cycle, and Congress. First, Seniority in
both Model 1 and Model 2 is statistically significant with a negative sign at the level of p <
0.001. This finding is not consistent with the previous findings on the conducive impacts of
seniority on legislative effectiveness and sponsorship especially in the U.S. context. For
instance, Volden and Wiseman (2014) through their authoritative study of members’ influence
in lawmaking demonstrate that seniority is strongly and positively related to legislative
effectiveness (see also, Taylor (2019)). Unlike the previous literature on seniority in the U.S.
context, this result provides empirical supports for the findings in the Korean context. It has
been revealed that more senior members are more likely to focus on the issues of national
security and unification (Ka 2009) and generally tend to propose fewer bills (Jeong & Jang
2013).
Electoral Tier is statistically significant at the level of p < 0.05, meaning that legislators
elected through the PR electoral system are more likely to sponsor bills about violence
against women. It is consistent with my expectation that PR-elected legislators pay more
attention to general issues including women’s rights rather than district-specific bills. In
addition, Electoral Cycle has a statistically significant negative relationship with the log-odds
of sponsoring such bills in both Model 1 and Model 2. Even though this relationship is not
anticipated, it is not a nonsensical finding because legislators tend to focus on their election
campaigns to maximize their probability of being re-elected. Given that PR-elected legislators
are usually not being nominated by their political parties again, this explanation can be
applied to both PR-elected and SMD-elected legislators.
Lastly, related to Congress, it is revealed that, compared to 14th Congress which is the
baseline of the Congress variable, 16th, 17th, 18th, 19th, and 20th Congresses are negatively
statistically significant at the level of p < 0.001. Also, the estimated coefficients are getting
bigger with negative signs. It means that the log-odds of sponsoring bills addressing violence
against women getting smaller. This finding can be explained by the increasing intensity of
gender conflicts, the backlash against feminist movements in South Korea, and legislators’
risk aversion. In South Korea, gender conflict has become visible largely due to the changes
since the 1990s: the spread of individualism and gender equality, the dramatic increase in
women’s economic and social activities, and active feminist movements supporting the
reform of the patriarchal culture (J. K. Lee 2013).
Gender conflict in South Korea was escalated in 1999 when the military service
incentive for men discharged from military service was held unconstitutional by Korea’s
Constitutional Court, and the issues of affirmative actions and reverse discrimination have
been fiercely debated (Ryu & Kim 2019). Recently, misandry and misogyny have emerged
especially based on online communities (Um 2016). Under the circumstance of intensified
gender conflicts, legislators who are continuously exposed to media and sensitive to public
opinions tend to behave more carefully related to women’s issues including violence against
women. Even though violence against women bills should not be regarded as affirmative
action and reverse discrimination against men, there are no strong incentives for legislators to
focus on violence against women bills while taking the risks of being negatively spotlighted
as legislators supporting only male or female voters.
Figure 6-4: Predicted Probabilities of Sponsoring Violence Against Women Bills
Figure 6-4—continued
Note: Predicted Probabilities are presented with 95% confidence intervals with the kernel or
normal density of each independent and control variable. Predicted Probabilities are estimated
while all other variables are held at their observed values.
To examine the substantive impacts of the statistically significant variables in Figure 6-3, I
estimate predicted probabilities based on each variable. Figure 6-4 presents the estimated
predicted probabilities with 95% confidence intervals while all other variables are held at
their observed values, with kernel or normal density of independent and control variables.
Overall, the statistically significant variables are not only statistically significant, but also
substantively meaningful.
Female legislators have 4.158% of sponsoring violence against women bills, while male
legislators have 2.914%. In addition, legislators involved in the Center-Left and Left political
parties have 3.370% and 2.399% of sponsoring bills about violence against women
respectively. In terms of the previous experience of cosponsoring any bills with female
colleges, the predicted probability increases from 0.337% to 1.668% when the logged
Cosponsorship with Female Legislators increases from 0 to 4. It reaches 7.621% if the
independent variable increases to 8.
The four control variables including Seniority, Electoral Tier, Electoral Cycle, and Congress
are also substantively significant. Legislators who are first elected have 4.670%, while
legislators elected five times have 1.700%. It decreases down to 1% if legislators have been
elected more than eight times. Related to Electoral Tier, the predicted probability of
PRelected legislators to sponsor bills about violence against women is 3.377% which is
0.311% higher than the probability of legislators elected from single-member districts. In
terms of Electoral Cycle, legislators have 2.544% predicted probability of sponsoring
violence against women bills during one year before the election. During normal years, they
have 3.360% predicted probability. Lastly, a dramatic decreasing tendency is observed related
to the predicted probabilities based on the value of Congress. After the 14th and 15th
Congresses, the predicted probability decreases to 1.693% in the 16th Congress and the
probabilities decrease under 0.5% after the 17th Congress.
Figure 6-5: Estimations with the Interaction Term
between Gender and Partisanship
Note: Point estimates of variables are presented with 95% confidence intervals, visualized
based on the dotwhisker package developed by Solt and Hu (2015). See Table 6-4a in
Appendix for the detailed information about the result.
To examine whether Gender has different impacts on the probability of sponsoring bills
addressing violence against women according to their partisanships, I estimate a logistic
regression model with the interaction term between Gender and Partisanship. Figure 6-5
shows the estimated coefficients with 95% confidence intervals.
The interaction term reveals an interesting finding. Gender x Center Left is statistically
significant at the level of p < 0.05 with an estimated coefficient 0.839. It supports my
expectation that the influence of the impacts of Gender on the probability of sponsoring bills
addressing violence against women is conditioned by their partisanships. Moreover, even in
the model with the interaction term, Cosponsorship with Female Legislators, Seniority,
Electoral Tier, Electoral Cycle, and Congress are statistically significant at the level of p <
0.001, as in the Model 1 in Figure 6-3. Even not presented, they are also substantively
significant in terms of predicted probabilities as in Figure 6-4.
Figure 6-6 illustrates the predicted probabilities of sponsoring bills according to individual
legislators’ gender and partisanship. In terms of predicted probabilities, male and female
legislators from the Center-Right political parties have 2.799% and 3.857%. Both predicted
probabilities increase to 3.102% and 4.616% respectively if legislators are involved in the
Center-Left political parties. This result is consistent with previous findings that female
legislators with liberal party affiliation are more likely to sponsor bills aiming to promote
women’s rights and integrity (Erickson 1997; Reynolds 2013; Shim 2019). More
interestingly, female legislators from Left political parties are substantially less likely to
sponsor violence against women bills. Given that Left political parties in South Korea have
more historically focused on labor issues and legislations rather than women’s issues
compared to the CenterRight or Center-Left political parties, the relatively low predicted
probability of sponsoring violence against women is not surprising.
Figure 6-6: Predicted Probabilities based on the Interaction Term
Note: Predicted Probabilities are presented with 95% confidence intervals with kernel density
of Partisanship. Predicted Probabilities are estimated while all other variables are held at their
observed values.
The findings on the sponsorship for bills addressing violence against women are
consistently robust in logistic regression models with the random effect of Bill Id (see Table
65a in Appendix) and other models with different combinations of independent and control
variables. It suggests that the empirical results in Figure 6-3 and Figure 6-5 are not the
product of arbitrary model specifications. Moreover, even though not presented, the
substantive impacts in terms of predicted probabilities are similar.
Figure 6-7: Estimations from Logistic Regression on Bill Success
Note: Point estimates of variables are presented with 95% confidence intervals, visualized
based on the dotwhisker package developed by Solt and Hu (2015). See Table 6-6a in
Appendix for the detailed information about the result. In this figure, % of Female Sponsors
is presented as its proportion for visualization sake.
Next, a logistic regression model with Bill Success as a dependent variable is estimated to
examine the relationship between % of Female Sponsors and Bill Success. Again, the mean
and individual variance inflation factors (VIFs) are less than 2, indicating there is no
consequential multicollinearity among explanatory variables. In addition, robust standard
errors are estimated instead of normal standard errors.
The key independent variable, % of Female Sponsors, is statistically significant at the level
of p < 0.05 with a positive sign. The estimated coefficient is 0.009, meaning that one percent
increase in % of Female Sponsors increases the log-odds of Bill Success by 0.009. It is
consistent with the argument that female legislators put more effort into bill success as one of
the ways to overcome their electoral vulnerability and gendered performance expectation
(Holman et al. 2021). On the contrary, Sponsored by Female Legislators from Different
Parties is not statistically significant at any level of p-value.
In terms of control variables, Electoral Cycle, Number of Sponsors, and Center Left Party
Control are statistically significant at the level of p < 0.05. The estimated coefficients of
Electoral Cycle and Center Left Party Control are -0.558 and -0.313. In addition, Number of
Sponsors is statistically significant with a positive sign as expected. While Total Number of
Bills is statistically significant at the level of p < 0.1, the other two variables, Sponsored by
Legislators from Different Parties and % of Sponsors from Dominant Party, are not
statistically significant at any level of p-value.
To see whether the impact of % of Female Sponsors on the Bill Success, I estimate predicted
probabilities with 95% confidence interval, while all other variables are held at their observed
values. The predicted probability of Bill Success is 27.298% when there is 0% of female
sponsors. It increases to 29.005% and to 30.774% when % of Female Sponsors reaches 10%
and 20% respectively. If 50% of total number of sponsors is composed of female legislators,
the predicted probability reaches 36.412%. At the extreme, the predicted probability increases
to 46.623%. Thus, Figure 6-8 reveals that the influence of % of Female Sponsors on the
probability of Bill Success is not only statistically significant, but also substantially
meaningful.
Figure 6-8: Predicted Probabilities of Bill Success
Note: Predicted Probabilities are presented with 95% confidence intervals with the kernel or
normal density of each independent and control variable. Predicted Probabilities are estimated
while all other variables are held at their observed values.
6.3. Conclusion
In Chapter 6, I examine the mechanisms behind the link between women’s descriptive
representation and the adoption and implementation of laws and public policies addressing
violence against women with a focus on the Korean National Assembly. Among 85,860 bills
proposed from 1st to 20th Congresses, 1,916 bills are about the issue of violence against
women. I, employing logistic regression, demonstrate that gender of individual legislators is a
driving factor of sponsoring bills addressing violence against women. To be specific, female
legislators have a higher probability of sponsoring violence against women bills compared to
male counterparts, which result is consistent with the empirical findings from Chapter 4 and
Chapter 5 conducting time-series cross-national analysis.
More interestingly, I find that there is a statistically and substantially significant relationship
between the previous experience of cosponsoring with female legislators and the male
legislators’ probabilities of sponsoring violence against women bills. This finding emphasizes
the importance of considering the influence of the increased women’s descriptive
representation on the legislative behaviors of male lawmakers. In addition, the empirical
result about the interaction term between Gender and Partisanship, which has been recently
spotlighted, has meaningful impacts on the sponsorship of bills addressing violence against
women. In the South Korean context, female legislators involved in Center Left political
parties are more likely to sponsor such bills rather than those from Center Right or Left
political parties.
Lastly, in terms of Bill Success, a higher percentage of female sponsors tends to
increase violence against women bills’ probabilities of being passed, while Sponsored by
Female Legislators from Different Parties is not correlated with the log-odds of Bill Success.
Also, I find that Electoral Cycle, Total Number of Bills, and Center Left Party Control are
statistically significant in a negative direction, while Number of Sponsors is statistically
significant in a positive direction.
CHAPTER 7
DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION
Violence against women is a prevalent problem over the globe, intimidating women’s
rights and integrity. Over 35% of women have experienced violence against women during
their lifetime (UN Women 2019). Even female politicians have suffered from violence against
women and such a pattern has been confirmed at the country level (Krook & Sanín 2020).
With the widespread problem of violence against women, it has been revealed that violence
against women imposes enormous physical and emotional costs for abused women, and even
harms national securities (Córdova & Kras 2020; Krook 2017; Kuperberg 2018). Including
various forms of violence such as intimate partner violence, trafficking, and sexual violence,
violence against women is associated with numerous health problems such as depression and
posttraumatic stress disorder (Jordan, Campbell, & Follingstad 2010), and generalized fear of
crime (Ferraro 1996).
The incredibly high rates of violence against women which have been reported throughout
the world, its fatalistic impacts on individual victims, and enormous economic and social
costs have been widely discussed not only in the United Nations General Assembly but also
by other international organizations (Reeves & Meyer 2021; Woo 2021b). Especially, the four
World Conferences on Women (Mexico City – 1975, Copenhagen – 1980, Nairobi – 1985,
and Beijing 1995) played important roles to raise the issue of violence against women. Even
if not particularly focused, the first World Conference on Women recognized and emphasized
the importance of dealing with violence against women, while the second conference adopted
the resolution on “battered women and violence in family” (Qureshi 2020). In both the third
and fourth conferences, the problem of violence against women was emphasized as an
obstacle to achieving gender equality, and development and peace.
However, even though there has been a global consensus on the detrimental impacts
of violence against women, still some countries do not have laws and public policies
concerning violence against women. Why do some countries adopt and implement violence
against women laws and public policies, while others do not? By employing a mixed-method
approach composed of large-N time-series cross-national analysis on 161 countries from 1908
when Japan first adopted a violence against women law to 2016 and South Korean case study
with information about proposed bills from 1948 to 2020, this dissertation with a focus on the
role of women’s descriptive representation examines potential factors leading countries to
focus on the adoption and implementation of violence against women laws and public
policies.
Throughout the three empirical chapters, this dissertation finds several interesting
findings. First, in Chapter 4, I, estimating discrete event history models with time-series
crossnational data, provide empirical evidence supporting the strong link between women’s
descriptive representation in legislative branches and the adoption of laws addressing
violence against women. Second, in Chapter 5, the relationship between women’s descriptive
representation in legislative branches and the implementation of various types of public
policies concerning violence against women is empirically supported. Additionally, by
examining countries adopting violence against women laws and public policies, it is
demonstrated that laws and public policies adopted and implemented without the presence of
women in legislative branches tend to suffer from their limitations on details in clauses and
sentences. Exceptionally, early adopted violence against women laws and public policies of
Western European countries turn out to be successful laws and policies. Despite no presence
of women in parliaments, active feminist movements and organizations in Western European
countries played crucial roles to make Western European countries adopt such laws and
policies.
Lastly, in Chapter 6, I find that gender of individual legislators is an important
determinant of sponsoring bills concerning violence against women. Also, it is demonstrated
that the previous experience of cosponsoring bills with female legislators leads male
counterparts to pay more attention to sponsoring violence against women bills. Furthermore,
by estimating logistic regression models with an interaction term between gender and
partisanship of individual legislators, I show that legislators from center-left political parties
in South Korea tend to focus on violence against women bills compared to legislators from
the center-right and left political parties. In terms of the success of proposed bills, I find a
strong association between the percentage of female sponsors in the total number of sponsors
and the proposed bills’ probabilities of being passed. The empirical findings from the three
chapters are also consistently robust in various model specifications and alternative modeling
strategies.
This dissertation contributes both the literature on Women and Politics, and the
literature on violence against women. First, the findings on the decisive influence of the
percentage of women in parliaments on the adoption and implementation of laws and public
policies addressing violence against women from the two empirical chapters with time-series
cross-national data provide strong supports for the link between women’s descriptive
representation and women’s substantive representation in terms of policy outcomes. Given the
empirical results from previous studies on this association are mixed at best because of the
lack of well-developed time-series cross-national analysis dealing with policy promotion
“from the start” (Courtemanche & Green 2017; Wängnerud 2009), the large-N time-series
cross-national analysis on 161 countries from 1908 when Japan first adopted violence against
women law to 2016 from this dissertation emphasizes the crucial role of women’s descriptive
representation in achieving women’s substantive representation.
Moreover, considering that previous literature on Women and Politics has largely
focused on Western European countries and the U.S., the South Korean case study on 85,860
bills proposed from 1948 (the start of 1st Congress) to 2020 (the end of 20th Congress)
broaden our understanding on the influence of gender on individual lawmakers’ legislative
behaviors. The empirical finding that female legislators are more likely to promote violence
against women bills rather than their male counterparts suggests that the relationship between
women’s descriptive representation and substantive representation also exists in the Asian
context. Furthermore, the statistically and substantially significant interaction term between
gender and partisanship of legislators provides empirical supports for the argument that there
are complex interactions between gender and partisanship (Reingold et al. 2021).
The South Korean case study also contributes to the literature on Women in Politics
by demonstrating that male legislators with more experience of cosponsoring bills with
female counterparts are more likely to sponsoring bills about violence against women. This
finding raises an important point that we need to consider the influence of the entrance of
women in legislative branches can also alter the legislative behaviors of male legislators.
Furthermore, this dissertation contributes to the literature on violence against women
by unveiling a series of other determinants of the adoption and implementation of laws and
public policies concerning violence against women. For instance, aside from women’s
descriptive representation, the two empirical chapters based on the time-series cross-national
data demonstrate that the level of democracy, corrupt activities in legislative branches, legal
and government systems, and geopolitical regions have statistically significant relationships
with the adoption or implementation of violence against women laws or public policies. At
the same time, the results provide partial supports for the roles of economic development and
women’s property rights. More interestingly, the increasing negative impacts of Congress
binary indicators in the South Korean case study provide a clue for the potential backlashes
against radical feminist movements.
Besides, the findings from this project suggest some potential directions for future
research related to the relationship between women’s descriptive representation and the
adoption or implementation of laws and public policies addressing violence against women.
In Chapter 5, I demonstrate that violence against women laws and public policies adopted
without supports from female representatives in legislative branches are less developed.
Given that laws and public policies are developed, introduced, and modified continuously,
studying the influence of the improved women’s descriptive representation on the changes of
the contents in laws and policies will be promising. The application of text analysis is a
feasible option to examine this relationship. In addition, with the South Korean case study, I
provide a clue for the negative impacts of intensified gender conflicts on bill sponsorship
related to violence against women. Thus, the natural future direction of this project is to
quantify the degree of gender conflicts and directly examine the influence of gender conflicts
on legislative behaviors. In addition, the varying impacts of gender conflicts according to
gender and partisanship of individual legislators will be also promising.