Paper V

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Scenario Mutability and Need for Cognition: Appointing Blame

Your First Name Last Name

Florida International University

PSY3215

Dr. Anabelle Andon

Due date

Abstract Comment by Ryan Winter: The Abstract is a new element, so take some time to compose this paragraph. It should cover both studies and provide information about the study in general and your findings Comment by Ryan Winter: The word Abstract is centered and bolded

Research shows that Need for Cognition (NFC) and scenario mutability (how easy it is to alter the outcome of an event) can play a role in the way people interpret those outcomes. The current studies analyzed culpability assessed when a situation varied in mutability (in study one and two) and when the NFC of each subject was assessed (study two). In both studies, undergraduate participants were randomly assigned to read a scenario involving a taxi-accident in which an undesirable outcome could have been avoided (changeable) or was unavoidable (unchangeable). In both studies, the participants generated as many “If Only” statements as they could and rated how much blame the actor in the scenario deserved for the undesirable outcome. For both studies, participants assessed more blame in the changeable condition, but neither scenario nor NFC impacted counterfactual statement generation. These results suggest that the mutability of a scenario is important, but that counterfactual statements may explain how participants assess that mutability. Comment by Ryan Winter: The whole abstract is flush left (no indenting) but the right side is jagged Comment by Ryan Winter: In this course, try to keep the abstract to 150 to 200 words (this one is 156).

Keywords: need for cognition, counterfactual thinking, “If Only” statements, changeable condition, unchangeable condition Comment by Ryan Winter: The keywords are not included in the word count

General Discussion Comment by Ryan Winter: This is a new section that you have not done before. It wraps up the paper, talking about both study one and study two at the same time. Compare and contrast the papers, and then tie your results back to prior research in this area (you can refer to other papers, especially those you cited in your two literature reviews). This is a section that your parent should be able to read and get a really good idea of what your paper was about and what it found. Simple language.

Across both studies, the data collected demonstrates a significant effect of scenario condition on the assignment of blame only. In both studies one and two, participants presented with the changeable condition, where the taxi driver remained unaffected by the bridge collapse, perceived the driver to be more blameworthy than those presented with the unchangeable condition, where the driver also fell into the water along with the couple. This result is reinforced by McCloy and Byrne’s (2000) proposition that “inappropriate controllable” events will likely be regarded as highly culpable factors in the outcome of a situation. We saw this across mediums as well, as study one used a face-to-face survey while study two used online materials. The fact that both studies showed an effect for scenario argues for the robust nature of the changeable manipulation and increases our study reliability. Furthermore, Alquist et al. (2015) also suggests that events that are within an individual’s jurisdiction tend to increase counterfactual thinking and, ultimately, receive the brunt of the blame for the resulting situation.

Taking these findings into consideration, it would be reasonable to assume that participants assigned to the changeable condition should also generate more counterfactual thoughts than participants in the unchangeable condition. However, our hypothesis was not supported since the results demonstrated that there was no significant difference in the number of “If Only” thoughts produced between the changeable, neutral, and unchangeable groups in study one and the changeable and unchangeable groups in study two. A possible reason for this result may be that many of the “If Only” thoughts proposed were based on uncontrollable factors such as the collapse of the bridge and the couple’s handicap status. This counters previous findings, which propose that situations that are believed to be highly changeable generate more counterfactual thoughts than events that seem unavoidable (Alquist et al. 2015). The contradictory results might be due to differences in methodologies or the influence of different independent variables. Comment by Ryan Winter: You can summarize your findings a bit as this student did, but make sure you use plain English. I don’t need to see statistics in this section.

In regards to our NFC variable in study two, our hypothesis was not supported since we found no difference in the number of counterfactual thoughts created between high-NFC and low-NFC groups. This finding is especially surprising considering the characteristics of individuals with a high-NFC, which include engaging in effortful cognitive tasks (Strobel et al., 2015) and generating more alternative solutions to problems compared to low-NFC individuals (Curseu, 2006). However, differences in the number of “If Only” thoughts created was too insignificant to suggest a meaningful effect between the two groups. This result might explain why, contrary to our initial hypothesis, we also found no differences in the assignment of blame between the high-NFC and the low-NFC group. We predicted that participants in the high-NFC group would place more blame on the taxi driver than participants in the low-NFC group because individuals with a high-NFC were previously found to produce more counterfactual thoughts, which in turn, leads to more allocation of blame. However, since we found that participants in both groups generally produced the same number of “If Only” thoughts, it stands to reason that there would be no significant difference in the amount of blame assigned to the taxi driver. Furthermore, prior studies have found evidence to suggest that individuals with a high-NFC tend to blame societal influences instead of the perpetrator, and typically avoid punishing the criminal responsible (Sargent, 2004). Therefore, our findings contribute to the previously established notion that high-NFC and low-NFC individuals do not differ in the assignment of blame, despite their notable differences. Additionally, we found no overall interaction of NFC and scenario condition, for either dependent variable (number of counterfactual thoughts created and assignment of blame).

Certain limitations in the present study, such as a narrow pool of participants, might have implicated the results. Future studies should procure a larger and more diverse sample population in order to expand our applications to the general public. Our approach to NFC may also be improved by actually measuring the NFC (either high or low) of each individual, instead of just manipulating it. Additionally, the scenario presented might have been too difficult to relate to for most participants, which might have limited the number of counterfactual thoughts generated. Future applications of this study design might benefit from adapting a more engaging scenario and analyzing whether participants generated more counterfactual thoughts if they at some point have found themselves in a similar situation. Comment by Ryan Winter: All studies have limitations, including those from our class. Make sure to note them. You are also required to mention future studies that should be pursued to get a better idea of how your variables would work in other situations.

As free-willed beings, we can often become the victims of our own decisions. Making a wrong choice might lead us to become immersed in futile thoughts of what could have been; which is why having an in-depth understanding of the way we think and grasp situations has the potential to lead us towards a stable and more prudent method of decision-making. Analyzing our NFC and the influence of scenario mutability is an important step forward in understanding. Our findings have suggested that certain factors of an event could potentially alter the way we regard a situation, and ultimately play a role in who or what we deem culpable. We have also determined that the differences between individuals with a high-NFC and a low-NFC are less significant than previously established. Regardless of whether NFC or scenario mutability has a momentous impact on our counterfactual thinking or assignment of blame, they undoubtedly have an impact on the way we interpret situations and, ultimately, the decisions we make.