HLSS645Wk8
P A P E R
Review on Seaport and Airport Adaptation to Climate Change: A Case on Sea Level Rise and Flooding
A U T H O R S Mark Ching-Pong Poo Zaili Yang Liverpool Logistics, Offshore and Marine Research Institute, Liverpool John Moores University
Delia Dimitriu Centre for Aviation, Transport, and the Environment, Manchester Metropolitan University
Zhuohua Qu Liverpool Business School, Liverpool John Moores University
A B S T R A C T
Seaports and airports are the critical nodes of international supply chains and
thus stand on the edge of social and economic disasters. They are often affected by extreme and rough weather. Comparing all climate threats, sea level rise (SLR) and storming and flooding currently present, according to the relevant literature, the most severe impact in ports and airports. This paper aims to provide a comprehen- sive review of seaport and airport adaptation to climate change with a focus on SLR and flooding. We have summarized all related research papers and divided them into different types and described the trend of studies. After that, the study involves a comparison to analyze the synergy between previous studies in seaports and airports and provides insights for further studies to emphasize the needs and opportunities for the collaborative work that can complement the adaptation planning of and ensure the resilience of seaports and airports. Keywords: climate change, climate adaptation, transportation resilience, literature review, climate risk
Introduction ver the past few years, the focus
Oon climate change studies has switched
from mitigation to both mitigation and adaptation. As global warming brings more extreme weather, acci- dents and failures become more frequent, and losses and fatalities are more severe. In the past two decades, several serious weather-related events have caused significant economic loss and deaths. In 2005, Hurricane Katrina in the United States was one of the deadliest hurricanes (CNN Library, 2017b). In 2011, the Tohoku Japan Tsunami destroyed several provinces (CNN Library, 2017a); it was responsible for more than 15,000 deaths, and about 230,000 people lost their homes. In 2011,Missouri ex- perienced the deadliest U.S. tornadoes, which killed 161 people (Wheatley, 2013). In 2012, Louisiana,Mississippi,
Alabama, and Arkansas faced a strong and rainy Hurricane Issac, which caused $2.0 billion in terms of insured loss and left more than 644,000 peo- ple without power (Castellano et al., 2012). In 2013, a 2-mile tornado near Oklahoma City caused more than 50 deaths and destroyed many homes (Howell et al., 2013). During the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, there were more than nine hurricanes threatening North America and Carib- bean areas. Until October, hurricanes, including the most powerful, Maria, brought more than $200 billion in losses and a death toll of 103 in the United States ( Johnson, 2017). Trans- portation is highly affected by extreme weather, especially by flooding and storming. Seaports and airports are the critical nodes of international supply
March/A
chains and thus stand on the edge of social and economic disasters. It is therefore important to review the previ- ous studies and understand the research gaps for future research directions.
In previous years, there were some literature reviews in similar research areas. However, they did not focus on seaports and airports as they are affected by SLR and flooding. For examples, Jonkeren and Rietveld (2016) reviewed waterborne transport infrastructures with an economical focus, and Lee (2007) did a review with a focus on emission reduction for all transport modes. Given the similarity of seaports and airports, it is valuable and beneficial to conduct a comparative analysis on their cli- mate adaptation measures for cross fertilization.
pril 2018 Volume 52 Number 2 23
Methodology of Literature Review
To carry out a comprehensive liter- ature review of seaport and airport adaptation to climate change, we have set up a systematic analysis for searching and selection of articles. With reference to Wan et al. (2017) and Luo and Shin (2016), we can di- vide the whole data collection process into three steps: 1. online database searching, 2. article screening, and 3. final refining and analyzing.
First, we collected papers on cli- mate change adaptation of seaports and airports with a focus on flooding and storming from all of the peer- reviewed academic journals on Web of Science (All Database). It is one of the most comprehensive multi- disciplinary searching platforms for academic research (Hosseini et al., 2016; Luo & Shin, 2016; Wan et al., 2017). We used different strings, such as the combination of the elements from the sets of (flooding or flood or adapt or adaptation or resilience), (airport or seaport or port), (flooding or flood), (resilience or adapt or adap- tation), and (airport or seaport or port), as “Topic” items to perform the search process. Throughout the search process, we have used the “OR” function to finish the journals collection. The search was completed in October 2017, covering the period from 1970 to 2017; 501 relevant papers were collected.
Second, we conducted a two-stage screening process to secure the rele- vance and quality of the selected arti- cles. In the first stage, we sorted out the peer-reviewed journals and elimi- nated the book chapters, conference proceedings, editorial materials, and non-peer-reviewed journals. Peer- reviewed journal papers were chosen
24 Marine Technology Society Journa
for analysis because they are the most guaranteed type of research to be ac- cepted by the scientific community (Bergström et al., 2015). We reduced the number of articles from 501 to 383. In the second stage, we studied titles, keywords, and abstracts of the chosen 383 articles to confirm their relevance. For example, articles related to ecosystem (Hirst et al., 2016) and other climate change impacts (Tham et al., 2011), which are irrelevant to flooding and storming, were elimi- nated. After the second screening, the number of selected art icles was reduced to 105.
Finally, we carefully conducted a full-text review for the refined 105 arti- cles. As a result, the articles that have no focus on flooding and storming im- pact on transportation were also elim- inated. After the final refining process, 88 articles remained. We analyzed the articles by the distribution of their publication years, authors, journals, regions, transportation modes, and research methods. We identified research interests and the correspond- ing trends of different research themes. Furthermore, we analyzed the connec- tion of leading authors through their collaborative papers. Finally, we com- pared the studies on seaports and
l
airports to guide the directions of fur- ther studies.
Analysis of Studies Study Trends
The refined 88 journal articles are distributed from 1985 to 2017 and represented in Figure 1. The earliest refined journal is from 1985; 2012, 2015, and 2016 are the years with the highest number of journal articles, such as 12, 16, and 17, respectively. The number of corresponding papers is increasing rapidly. In the period of 2008–2012, the number of articles is four times more than that of 2003– 2007, whereas in the period of 2013– 2017, the number of articles doubles compared to that of 2008–2012 and is more than the total before 2013. Such growth clearly indicates the im- portance and urgency of the research topic and well reflects the fact that climate change involving both mitiga- tion and adaptation is of high priority as both a national and international research agenda. It is foreseen that there will be more studies and relevant outcomes and publications in this field in the next decade, given the increasing effect of climate change on transporta- tion and our social welfare.
FIGURE 1
Distribution by publication year.
Distribution by Journals After assessing the trend of studies,
we need to assess the articles by the prospect of journals. We list the top journals, indicating more than two articles, in Table 1. Among all articles, Climatic Change is the most contribut- ed to journal as it published six journal articles that were related to the topic. Other leading journals include Journal of Coastal Research, Natural Hazards, Coastal Engineering Journal, Journal of Geophysical Research, Ocean and Coastal Management, Ocean Engineering, Re- gional Environmental Change, Revista de Gestão Costeira Integrada, and Sus- tainability Science. If the journals con- tain the same number of articles, we list them by alphabetic order in the journal list. It is clearly seen that the topic has diversified features and at- tracts attention and interest from a wider audience encompassing coastal research, geographical science, ocean engineering, and environmental and sustainability studies.
Distribution by Authors This section evaluates the distribu-
tion of the leading authors. Table 2 shows the top authors. Among all articles, Austin Becker and Robert Nicholls are the most contributive scholars in the field. There are also 15 more authors contributing more than two articles. Analyzing their affiliations could also help us to iden- tify the strong research groups/labs in the world in the investigated area. Sta- tistical analysis of the papers of multi- ple authors from different research groups indicates that, so far, there is no significant critical mass being formed from the listed leading authors, which reveals that studies in the field are being carried out rather individu- ally and the issues are being tackled from different perspectives based on
the expertise possessed by different groups. Therefore, it shows a good potential to integrate complementary expertise from the leading authors to match the diversified features of
March/A
climate adaptation research, involving hazard analysis, impact assessment, risk modeling, resilience engineering, geographical studies, and environmen- tal and sustainability science.
TABLE 2
Top 17 authors.
No.
Author Name
pril 2018 Vol
No. of Articles
1
Becker, Austin4
2
Nicholls, Robert4
3
Corfee-Morlot, Jan3
4
Fischer, Martin3
5
Hallegatte, Stéphane3
6
Chhetri, Prem2
7
El-Raey, Mohamed2
8
Esteban, Miguel2
9
Frihy, Omran El Sayed2
10
Gekara, Victor Ovaro2
11
Hanson, Susan2
12
Herweijer, Celine2
13
Ng, Adolf K.Y.2
14
Nursey-Bray, Melissa2
15
Pugh, D.T.2
16
Ranger, Nicola2
17
Schwegler, Ben2
TABLE 1
Top 10 journals.
No.
Journal Title
ume
No. of Articles
1
Climatic Change6
2
Journal of Coastal Research4
3
Natural Hazards4
4
Coastal Engineering Journal2
5
Journal of Geophysical Research2
6
Ocean and Coastal Management2
7
Ocean Engineering2
8
Regional Environmental Change2
9
Revista de Gestão Costeira Integrada2
10
Sustainability Science2
52 Number 2 25
Distribution by Regions Apart from assessing the authorship
of the journal articles, we investigate the regions of studies through analysis of the authors’ affiliations.We evaluate the regions by the locations of the first authors’ institutions, and the result is shown in Figure 2. Europe occupies 32%, involving 28 articles. It is followed by North America, Africa, Asia, Ocea- nia, Latin America, and the Caribbean. In general, European and American academic institutions (49% of the total) remain in a world-leading posi- tion in climate change adaptation, with a focus on flooding and storming. This knowledge provides useful insights as to where the possible best practices and solutions to storming and flooding in seaports and airports are located in the world currently.
Distribution by Transportation Modes
In this section, we analyze the difference between relevant studies in seaports and airports. By reviewing all of the 88 papers, we conducted the analysis by separating them into three groups: seaports, airports, and combi. This is because some regional coastal assessments have not stated that they
26 Marine Technology Society Journa
are uniquely defined by any transpor- tation mode (e.g., airports or seaports); instead, they encompass large regions involving both seaports and airports. The result is shown in Figure 3. “Combi” has the largest ratio of 57%, involving 50 articles. “Seaport” and “Airport” have 39% and 4%, respec- tively. This reveals two important pieces of information that can trigger some interesting future studies. One is that, within the context of adapta- tion to flooding and storming, there are high synergies between airports and seaports, given that 57% of the in- vestigated papers treat them together. The other is that seaports attract sig- nificantly more research attention. Re- search on the difference and similarity between airport and seaport adapta- tion planning to flooding and storm- ing is needed, and the comparative analysis between them also needs to be conducted to find the reason why adaptation research in airports is less than that in seaports. Furthermore, there is a vast difference between the two in terms of research topics. Air- ports have more research focused on operation and climate risk assessment, whereas seaports are associated with other research topics as indicated in
l
Figure 4. Research topics are detailed in the section on Distribution of Research Topics.
Distribution by Type of Research We conducted a simple division
between quantitative research and qualitative research by their basic char- acteristics. Quantitative research con- siders hard science, which consists of statistical analyses (Mugenda & Mugenda, 1999). On the other hand, qualitative research considers soft science, in which interpretation and narrative are more important through- out the whole research. The result is shown in Figure 5. Quantitative research takes an important role in these kinds of studies as it made up 59 articles and 67% in total. The re- maining is qualitative research, which consisted of 29 articles and 33% in total. The main quantitative methods used include simulation and math- ematical modeling. A simulation method is used to study the operation of a real-world or theoretical process/ system under various preset circum- stances for different purposes (e.g., numerical testing, observing behavior, optimizing performance, or explora- tion of new states). Mathematical modeling refers to those applying mathematical concepts and languages to describe and represent objective reality. Qualitative methods are con- ceptual works and case studies. Con- ceptual work includes analysis on concept issues, such as definitions, properties, theoretical framework, and conceptual modeling. A case study refers to an in-depth examina- tion of a particular person, community, or situation, which usually can be achieved via interviews. By reviewing the 88 papers, it is also found that lack of data is a common problem discussed in both qualitative and quantitative
FIGURE 3
Distribution by transportation modes.
FIGURE 2
Distribution by regions.
studies. Therefore, how to address the unavailability and uncertainty in data to support rational decision in this area remains unclear, needing solu- tions from future studies.
Distribution of Research Methods
Following the analysis in the pre- ceding section, this section analyzes the detailed research methods in the 88 papers, including the following: ■ Review ■ Survey ■ Framework ■ Modeling ■ Simulation
The studies that involve more than one method are counted multiple times. The result is shown in Figure 6. The most common method is Model- ing, representing 39 articles in total. The second and third most common methods are Framework and Review, where the numbers of articles are 32 and 29, respectively. Simulation and Review are at the bottom, relating to 10 and 4 papers, respectively.
Distribution of Research Topics In terms of research topics, we have
identified several different types: ■ Climate impact assessment (CIA) ■ Vulnerability assessment ■ Risk assessment
March/A
■ Adaptive strategies ■ Cost-benefit analysis ■ Stakeholder analysis ■ Construction ■ Operation
The definitions of CIA, vulnerabil- ity assessment, and adaptive strategies are in line with those from an Intergov- ernmental Panel on Climate Change report (IPCC, 2014). The report presents a fundamental adaptation planning framework containing such important concepts. CIA is a study describing the trend of climate change, where the impacts can be rising tem- peratures, sea level rise (SLR), and others. A vulnerability assessment for climate change is the process of identifying and quantifying the vul- nerabilities in a specific region or infrastructure. Adaptation strategies mean the case study of local and region- al transportation infrastructure by in- troducing the adaptive management of a particular region or transportation system. Besides, risk assessment re- quires the combination of studies of threat, vulnerability, and impact factors (Liu et al., 2012). Cost-benefit analysis based on the economic analysis of a sys- tem or infrastructure adaptation strate- gies means the case study of local and regional transportation infrastructure
FIGURE 4
Distribution by research interests with split of airports and seaports.
FIGURE 5
Distribution by research types.
FIGURE 6
Distribution by research methods.
pril 2018 Volume 52 Number 2 27
by introducing the adaptive manage- ment of a particular region or trans- portation system. Stakeholder analysis is a methodology to facilitate the re- formation of institutional and policy processes by accounting and often in- corporating the needs of those who have an interest in the reform under consideration (World Bank Group, 2001). Construction and operation mean the studies not in the adaptation planning process but in the postplan- ning process. Some investigated papers contain more than one topic and hence are countedmultiple times in the statis- tics in Figure 7.
The result is shown in Figure 6. The most common research method is CIA, with 44 articles in the category. It is followed by adaptation strategies, vulnerability assessment, cost-benefit analysis, risk assessment, stakeholder analysis, operation, and construction. Obviously, studies in the adaptation planning process are far more than those in the postplanning stage and dominate the research on seaports and airports adaptation to flooding and storming. This indicates that cur- rent construction and operations of airports and seaports have not yet taken into account climate adaptation significantly. Adaptation strategies are
28 Marine Technology Society Journa
made largely based on CIA, receiving more and more support from vulnera- bility assessment, risk assessment, and cost-benefit analysis to make the climate adaptation research in seaports and airports more systematically. Furthermore, stakeholder analysis shows a huge potential to grow in the next decade when more adaptation strategies are developed, requiring the balancing of different interests of multiple stakeholders for their implementation.
Evolution of the Studies Because of the complexity of stud-
ies, the evolution of the studies is discussed from eight perspectives with respect to the eight topics in the Distribution of Research Topics sec- tion. The directions of the research are researched in a chronological order of the eight topics one by one after the comparison of the publication year of the first paper of each topic in Table 3.
Evolution of CIA In 1985, Prasad and Reddy started
to assess the sea level fluctuation monthly and annually in India and recorded in academic journals in the
l
first time (Prasad & Reddy, 1985). In 1991, apart from SLR, Gornitz had designed coastal vulnerability index to raise high-risk coastal segments with a case study in the United States (Gornitz, 1991). A few years later, Dhaw and Forbes expanded the range of CIA from SLR to flooding and storming (Dhaw & Forbes, 1995). In 1999, Hubbert and McInnes designed a storm surge inundation model for coastal planning in Australia (Hubbert & McInnes, 1999). In 2000, Pirazzoli conducted a flooding statistical proba- bility study on the Atlantic coast of France (Pirazzoli, 2000). In 2003, Hunter made a tailor-made SLR as- sessment for seaports in Tasmania (Hunter et al., 2003). In 2009, CIA was integrated with a Geographic In- formation System (GIS) for assessing digital elevation model (DEM) to make an Integrated Coastal ZoneMan- agement Plan by Snoussi and colleagues (2009). In other words, scholars started to combine CIA with vulnerability assessment by GIS spatial analysis. In 2010, Frihy contributed to the evolu- tion by upgrading the SLR assessment from recording to forecasting its values in different scenarios (Frihy et al., 2010). In 2015, Becker combined CIA with vulnerability assessment and adaptation strategies from a whole cli- mate adaptation planning perspective (Becker et al., 2015). In 2017, there are two special assessments for sea- ports. One is for harbor operability (Sierra et al., 2017), and one is for studying extreme wind events (Repetto et al., 2017).
Evolution of Vulnerability Assessment
In the late 1990s, El-Raey and col- leagues undertook two vulnerability assessments of the coastal zone of Egypt, the Nile Delta, and Port Said
FIGURE 7
Distribution by research interests.
Governorate (El-Raey, 1997; El-Raey et al., 1999). They used remote sens- ing for GIS spatial analysis. After a decade, studies on vulnerability assess- ment arrived at a new stage. In 2008, Sterr integrated vulnerability assess- ment with adaptation strategies by clustering the assessment into a smaller region (Sterr, 2008). At the same time, GIS spatial analysis by DEM began to be widely used in vulnerability assess- ment (Gravelle & Mimura, 2008; Snoussi et al., 2009). In 2015, Akukwe and Ogbodo connected the studies of vulnerability assessment to emergency planning for setting up vulnerability indices and ranking these indices across the 13 costal zones they investi- gated (Akukwe & Ogbodo, 2015). At the same time, Musekiwa et al. (2015) set up a risk analysis table from vulner- ability assessment to connect risks and vulnerabilities. Zanetti, de Sousa, and De Freitas (2016) proposed the cli- mate change vulnerability index with a case study in Brazil.
Evolution of Risk Assessment In 2008, Reid established a frame-
work of climate risk analysis of seaports (Reid, 2008). In 2010, Briguglio connected risk assessment with adapta- tion suggestions (Briguglio, 2010). Keokhumcheng et al. (2012) assessed the flood risk in airports, using Bangkok Suvarnahumi Airport for the case study. In 2015, risk assessment became more systemic by linking to vulnerability assessment (Musekiwa et al., 2015). Furthermore, Yang et al. (2017)
developed a new risk analysis model re- cently for climate risk quantification in a situation where objective data relat- ing to risk parameters are not available.
Evolution of Cost-Benefit Analysis
In Nicholls et al., 2013 summa- rized the coastal planning experience from England andWales. They started to include cost estimation. After that, there was vulnerability assessment including cost estimation (Musekiwa et al., 2015). Genovese and Green (2015) began to predict the damage of storm surge by modeling methods in 2015, and Hoshino commenced to estimate and compare the loss caused by future storm surges with and without adaptation strategies in the Greater Tokyo area (Hoshino et al., 2016). Cost-benefit analysis was formally integrated into the ratio- na l deve lopment of adaptat ion measures.
Evolution of Adaptation Strategies The earliest article clearly present-
ing the climate change adaptation element in seaports and/or airports was published in 2008 (Sterr, 2008). Afterwards, many articles with adapta- tion measures and/or strategies were published (Briguglio, 2010; Becker et al., 2015; Hoshino et al., 2016). Between 2012 and 2013, there were several review papers published to address the use of adaptive measures. Osthorst and Mänz provided a pre- liminary typology of forms of sectoral
March/A
adaptation to climate change by litera- ture reviews (Osthorst & Mänz, 2012). At the same time, Wilby and Keenan identified evidence of different types of adjustment by following the flooding in Victoria, Australia (Wilby & Keenan, 2012). One year later, Becker et al. (2013) addressed a note for seaports on climate change adapta- tion. Furthermore, they discussed the needs and contributions of stake- holders of seaports. In Mutombo & Olcer, 2016 developed a three-tier (Policy-Management-Technology) framework for seaport infrastructure adaptation. At the same year, Burbidge stated a climate adaptation review on EUROCONTROL for European airports (Burbidge, 2016). In 2017, Becker used boundary objects, different adaptation scenarios, to stimulate ideas of storming resilience for seaports (Becker, 2017).
Evolution of Stakeholder Analysis After developing adaptation strate-
gies for several years since 2008, Becker et al. and Peirson et al. stated the importance of stakeholders’ partic- ipation in the whole adaptation plan- ning for seaports in 2013 (Becker et al., 2013) and especially for estuaries in 2015 (Peirson et al., 2015), respec- tively. Moreover, Burbidge recorded the consultation of European aviation stakeholders in climate change adapta- tion for airports in 2016. In 2014, Nursey-Bray studied how the port governance on negotiating climate adaptive management for facilitating
TABLE 3
The earliest years for different research interests.
CIA
Vulnerability Assessment
Risk Assessment
Cost-Benefit Analysis
Adaptation Strategies
Stakeholder Analysis
pril 2018
Construction
Volume 52 Num
Operation
1985
19972008
2013
2008
2013
2016
2015
ber 2 29
regional, national and transnational networks, and governance flows (Nursey-Bray, 2014).
Evolution of Construction In terms of construction in the
postplanning process, the previous articles focused on new construction methods as one of adaptation mea- sures. In 2016, Becker et al. developed a way to estimate climate sensitive con- struction materials applied to seaport protection (Becker et al., 2016). At the same year, Chow et al. designed a new coastal structural concept for climate change adaptation in Hong Kong and undertook a relevant cost- benefit analysis (Chow et al., 2016).
Evolution of Operation As far as seaport and airport opera-
tions for climate adaptation, previous articles focused on extreme weather operations. In 2015, Herath et al. inte- grated spatial and temporal down- scaling approaches to develop an intensity-duration-frequency model for assessing subdaily rainfall extremes for the Perth airport area (Herath et al., 2015). In 2016, Chhetri et al. used the container terminal operations simula- tor to simulate extreme weather event impacts on port operation (Chhetri et al., 2016). At the same year, Dun and Wilkinson invented a network graph approach to increase the resil- ience of air traffic networks (Dunn & Wilkinson, 2016).
Comparison of Airport and Seaport Climate Adaptation Studies
All “combi” articles were eliminated to ease the comparison of airports and seaports; there were 38 articles in this category. The distribution of transpor- tation mode is shown in Figure 7. There were more contributions in sea- ports than those in airports. Seaports
30 Marine Technology Society Journa
were 89%with 34 articles, and airports were only 11% with four articles.
Conclusion This review paper discloses and
allows scholars in the relevant areas to access the information on the trends and the characteristics of studies on seaport and airport adaptation to cli- mate change with a particular focus on SLR and flooding. It describes the evolution of the studies of different research topics and shows the needs for a future research agenda along with the statistical analysis with respect to different criteria.
Studies of related topics developed rapidly in the previous decade. Re- search interests have been expanded from CIA, vulnerability assessment, and risk assessment to adaptation strategies and other specific studies, including cost-benefit analysis, con- struction, and operation. We can fore- see that there will be more studies in more specific topics. Except the mentioned categories, land use plan- ning (Morel et al., 2013) and manage- ment issues (Lam et al., 2013; Burbidge, 2016) will be among the new areas of specific studies. Also, storming and wind impacts have not been assessed comprehensively due to the complex- ity of wind forecasting. So, this area also has a great potential for further analysis.
Compared to seaports, airports attract fewer or no studies on some research topics within the context of their adaptation to flooding and storming. Obviously, there is a high demand for relevant studies to be carried out to ensure the climate resil- ience of airports, probably by referen- cing the studies undertaken in seaports given their similarity and synergy. Furthermore, more seaport studies in
l
postplanning operations are expected. From the evolution analysis of each re- search topic, the established solutions to date have so far been largely piece- meal, at the level of individual research topics, despite the fact that more and more studies start to combine multiple topics together. Integrating all the re- search topics, from both planning and postplanning perspectives for an integrated climate adaptation frame- work, is highly desirable but requires the support of creating new models and methods in each topic and a holis- tic mechanism to combine the sup- porting models and methods in a systematic manner.
Another relevant emerging re- search area is the connection between climate adaptation and emergency management, which was initiated by Akukwe and Ogbodo in 2015. Well-established research in emer- gency management and relief logis- tic (Mostafavi & Inman, 2016; Hong et al., 2015, 2013; Meng et al., 2017; Bozorgi-Amiri et al., 2013) can be combined with risk-based climate adaptation planning to enhance the resilience of seaports and airport indi- vidually or in a combined way.
Corresponding Author: Zaili Yang Liverpool Logistics, Offshore and Marine Research Institute, Liverpool John Moores University R229a, James Parsons Building, Byrom Street, Liverpool, L3 3AF, United Kingdom Email: [email protected]
References Akukwe, T.I., & Ogbodo, C. 2015. Spatial
analysis of vulnerability to flooding in port
harcourt Metropolis, Nigeria. SAGE OPEN.
5(1):2158244015575558. https://doi.org/
10.1177/2158244015575558.
Becker, A. 2017. Using boundary objects
to stimulate transformational thinking:
Storm resilience for the Port of Providence,
Rhode Island (USA). Sustain Sci. 12(3):
477-501. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-
016-0416-y.
Becker, A., Acciaro, M., Asariotis, R., Cabrera,
E., Cretegny, L., Crist, P., … Song, D.W.
2013. A note on climate change adaptation for
seaports: A challenge for global ports, a chal-
lenge for global society. Climatic Change.
120(4):683-95. https://doi.org/10.1007/
s10584-013-0843-z.
Becker, A., Matson, P., Fischer, M., &
Mastrandrea, M.D. 2015. Towards seaport
resilience for climate change adaptation
Stakeholder perceptions of hurricane impacts
in Gulfport (MS) and Providence (RI).
Prog Plann. 99:1-49. https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.progress.2013.11.002.
Becker, A., Matson, P., Fischer, M., &
Mastrandrea, M.D. 2016. A method to esti-
mate climate-critical construction materials
applied to seaport protection. Global Environ
Chang. 40:125-36. https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.gloenvcha.2016.07.008.
Bergström, J., Winsen, R., & Henriqson, E.
2015. On the rationale of resilience in the
domain of safety: A literature review. Reliab
Eng Syst Safe. 141:131-41. https://doi.org/
10.1016/j.ress.2015.03.008.
Bozorgi-Amiri, A., Jabalameli, M.S., &
Al-e-Hashem, S.M.J.M. 2013. Amulti-objective
robust stochastic programming model for
disaster relief logistics under uncertainty. OR
Spectrum. 35(4):905-33. https://doi.org/
10.1007/s00291-011-0268-x.
Briguglio, L.P. 2010. Defining and assessing
the risk of being harmed by climate change.
Int J Clim Chang Str. 2(1):23-34. https://
doi.org/10.1108/17568691011020238.
Burbidge, R. 2016. Adapting European air-
ports to a changing climate. Transp Res Proc.
14:14-23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trpro.
2016.05.036.
Castellano, A., Ludka, A., & Ng, C. 2012.
Hurricane Isaac 2012: Storm Makes Landfall
in Louisiana [Online]. Available at: https://
abcnews.go.com/US/hurricane-isaac-spread-
200-miles/story?id=17092364 (accessed 14
September 2017).
Chhetri, P., Jayatilleke, G.B., Gekara, V.O.,
Manzoni, A., & Corbitt, B. 2016. Container
terminal operations simulator (CTOS)-
Simulating the impact of extreme weather
events on port operation. Eur J Transp Infrast.
16(1):195-213.
Chow, A., Leung, T., & Lee, F. 2016. Benefit-
cost analysis on coastal structures design for
climate change adaptation in Hong Kong.
Coast Eng J. 59(2):1740005-1-1740005-25.
CNNLibrary. 2017a. 2011 Japan Earthquake-
Tsunami Fast Facts. [Online]. Available at:
https://edition.cnn.com/2013/07/17/world/
asia/japan-earthquake—tsunami-fast-facts/
index.html (accessed 17 September 2017).
CNN Library. 2017b. Hurricane Katrina
statistics fast facts. [Online]. Available at:
http://edition.cnn.com/2013/08/23/us/
hurricane-katrina-statistics-fast-facts/index.
html (accessed 14 September 2017).
Dhaw, J., & Forbes, D. 1995. The postglacial
relative sea-level lowstand in Newfoundland.
Can J Earth Sci. 32(9):1308-30. https://doi.
org/10.1139/e95-107.
Dunn, S., & Wilkinson, S. 2016. Increasing
the resilience of air traffic networks using a
network graph theory approach. Transport
Res E-Log. 90:9-50. https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.tre.2015.09.011.
El-Raey, M. 1997. Vulnerability assessment
of the coastal zone of the Nile delta of Egypt,
to the impacts of sea level rise. Ocean Coast
Manage. 37(1):29-40. https://doi.org/10.1016/
S0964-5691(97)00056-2.
El-Raey,M., Frihy,O., Nasr, S.,&Dewidar, K.
1999. Vulnerability assessment of sea level rise
over Port Said Governorate, Egypt. Environ
Monit Assess. 56(2):113-28. https://doi.org/
10.1023/A:1005946819600.
Frihy, O.E.S., Deabes, E.A., Shereet, S.M.,
& Abdalla, F.A. 2010. Alexandria-Nile Delta
March/A
coast, Egypt: Update and future projection
of relative sea-level rise. Environ Earth Sci.
61(2):253-73. https://doi.org/10.1007/
s12665-009-0340-x.
Genovese, E., & Green, C. 2015. Assessment
of storm surge damage to coastal settlements in
Southeast Florida. J Risk Res. 18(4):407-27.
https://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2014.
896400.
Gornitz, V. 1991. The postglacial relative sea-
level lowstand in Newfoundland. Global
Planet Change. 3(4):379-98. https://doi.org/
10.1016/0921-8181(91)90118-G.
Gravelle, G., & Mimura, N. 2008. Vulnera-
bility assessment of sea-level rise in Viti Levu,
Fiji Islands. Sustain Sci. 3(2):171-80. https://
doi.org/10.1007/s11625-008-0052-2.
Herath, S.M., Sarukkalige, P.R., & Nguyen,
V.T.V. 2015. A spatial temporal downscaling
approach to development of IDF relations for
Perth airport region in the context of climate
change. Hydrolog Sci J. 61(11):2061-70.
https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2015.
1083103.
Hirst, A.J., Longmore, A.R., Ball, D., Cook,
P.L.M., & Jenkins, G.P. 2016. Linking
nitrogen sources utilised by seagrass in a
temperate marine embayment to patterns
of seagrass change during drought. Mar Ecol
Prog Ser. 549:79-88. https://doi.org/10.3354/
meps11708.
Hong, J.-D., Jeong, K.-Y., & Xie, Y. 2015. A
multi-objective approach to planning in emer-
gency logistics network design. Int J Ind
Eng-Theory. 22(4):412-25.
Hong, J.-D., Jeong, K.-Y., Xie, Y., & Seo, Y.
2013. A multi-objective approach to modeling
cost-effective, reliable and robust emergency
logistics networks. Brooklyn, NY: Northeast
Decision Sciences Institute. s. l.
Hoshino, S., Esteban, M., Mikami, T.,
Takagi, H., & Shibayama, T. 2016.
Estimation of increase in storm surge
damage due to climate change and sea level
rise in the Greater Tokyo area. Nat Hazards.
80(1):539-65. https://doi.org/10.1007/
s11069-015-1983-4.
pril 2018 Volume 52 Number 2 31
Hosseini, S., Barker, K., & Ramirez-Marquez,
J.E. 2016. A review of definitions and measures
of system resilience. Reliab Eng Syst Safe.
145:47-61. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.
2015.08.006.
Howell, G., Tuchman, G., & Ford, D.
2013. Oklahoma tornado tears massive path
of death, destruction [Online]. Available
at: https://edition.cnn.com/2013/05/20/
us/severe-weather/index.html (accessed
14 September 2017).
Hubbert, G., & McInnes, K. 1999. Trends of
southern African sea level: Statistical analysis
and interpretation. S Afr J Marine Sci. 16:9-17.
Hunter, J., Coleman, R., & Pugh, D. 2003.
The sea level at Port Arthur, Tasmania, from
1841 to the present. Geophys Res Lett.
30(7):1401. https://doi.org/10.1029/
2002GL016813.
IPCC. 2014. Climate Change 2014: Im-
pacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A:
Global and Sectoral Aspects. Cambridge,
UK: Cambridge University Press.
Johnson, D. 2017. Is This the Worst
Hurricane Season Ever? Here’s How It
Compares [Online]. Available at: https://time.
com/4952628/hurricane-season-harvey-
irma-jose-maria/ (accessed 10 October 2017).
Jonkeren, O., & Rietveld, P. 2016. Protec-
tion of critical waterborne transport infra-
structures: An economic review. Transport
Rev. 6(4):437-53. https://doi.org/10.1080/
01441647.2015.1137654.
Keokhumcheng, Y., Tingsanchali, T., &
Clementi, R.S. 2012. Flood risk assessment
in the region surrounding the Bangkok
Suvarnabhumi Airport. Journal of Water
International. 37(3):201-17.
Lam, J.S.L., Ng, A.K.Y., & Fu, X. 2013.
Stakeholder management for establishing sus-
tainable regional port governance. Res Transp
Bus Manage. 8:30-8. https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.rtbm.2013.06.001.
Lee, C. 2007. Transport and climate change:
A review. J Transp Geogr. 15(5):354-67.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2006.11.008.
32 Marine Technology Society Journa
Liu, C., Tan, C.-K., Fang, Y.-S., & Lok, T.-S.
2012. The security risk assessment methodology.
Beijing, Procedia Engineering. 43:600-9.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2012.08.106.
Luo, M., & Shin, S.-H. 2016. Half-century
research developments in maritime accidents:
Future directions. Accident Anal Prev.
Advance online publication. http://dx.doi.
org/10.1016/j.aap.2016.04.010.
Meng, Q.C., Guo, Y., Zhao, P.X., Lu, T.X.,
Wan, X.L., Rong, X.X., … Pan, W. 2017.
Optimization and simulation for airport
emergency inventory with replacement. Int J
Simul Model. 16(1):133-44. https://doi.org/
10.2507/IJSIMM16(1)CO1.
Morel, G., Lima, F.R., Martell-Flores, H.,
& Hissel, F. 2013. Tools for an integrated
systems approach to sustainable port city plan-
ning. urbe. Rev Bras Gest Urbana. 5(2):39-49.
Mostafavi, A., & Inman, A. 2016. Exploratory
analysis of the pathway towards operationaliz-
ing resilience in transportation infrastructure
management. Built Environment Project and
Asset Management. 6(1):106-18. https://doi.
org/10.1108/BEPAM-03-2015-0011.
Mugenda, O.M., & Mugenda, A.G. 1999.
Research Methods: Quantitative and Qualita-
tive Approaches. xii ed. Nairobi, Kenya: ACTS
Press.
Musekiwa, C., Cawthra, H.C., Unterner, M.,
& Van Zyl, W. 2015. An assessment of
coastal vulnerability for the South African
coast. S Afr J Geomatics. 4(2):123-37.
Mutombo, K., & Ölçer, A. 2016. A Three-
Tier Framework for Port Infrastructure Ad-
aptation to Climate Change: Balancing
Breadth and Depth of Knowledge. Ocean
Yearbook Online. 30(1):564-77.
Nicholls, R.J., Townend, I.H., Bradbury,
A.P., Ramsbottom, D., & Day, S.A. 2013.
Planning for Long-Term Coastal Change:
Experiences from England and Wales. Ocean
Eng. 71(1):3-16.
Nursey-Bray, M. 2014. Negotiating climate
adaptive governance for sustainable transport
regimes. International J Sustain Transp.
l
10(2):76-85. https://doi.org/10.1080/
15568318.2013.855849.
Osthorst, W., & Mänz, C. 2012. Types of
cluster adaptation to climate change. Lessons
from the port and logistics sector of Northwest
Germany. Marit Policy Manag. 39(2):227-48.
https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2011.
650724.
Peirson, W., Davey, E., Jones, A., Hadwen, W.,
Bishop, K., Beger, M., … Tomlinson, R.
2015. Opportunistic management of estuaries
under climate change: A new adaptive decision-
making framework and its practical applica-
tion. J Environ Manage. 163:214-23. https://
doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2015.08.021.
Pirazzoli, P.A. 2000. Surges, atmospheric
pressure and wind change and flooding
probability on the Atlantic coast of France.
Oceanol Acta. 23(6):643-61. https://doi.org/
10.1016/S0399-1784(00)00122-5.
Prasad, K., & Reddy, B. 1985. Sea level
variations off Madras, East Coast of India.
Indian J Mar Sci. 14(4):206-9.
Reid, R.L. 2008. Risk analysis—US ports
among those deemed most vulnerable to rising
sea levels. Civil Eng. 78(6):13-4.
Repetto, M.P., Burlando, M., Solari, G.,
De Gaetano, P., & Pizzo, M. 2017. Integrated
tools for improving the resilience of seaports
under extreme wind events. Sustain Cities Soc.
32:277-94. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2017.
03.022.
Sierra, J.P., Genius, A., Lionello, P.,Mestres,M.,
Mösso, C., & Marzo, L. 2017. Modelling
the impact of climate change on harbour
operability: The Barcelona port case study.
Ocean Eng. 141:64-78. https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.oceaneng.2017.06.002.
Snoussi, M., Ouchani, T., Khouakhi, A., &
Niang-Diop, I. 2009. Impacts of sea-level rise
on the Moroccan coastal zone: Quantifying
coastal erosion and flooding in the Tangier
Bay. Geomorphology. 107(1):32-40. https://
doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2006.07.043.
Sterr, H. 2008. Assessment of Vulnerability
and Adaptation to Sea-Level Rise for the
Coastal Zone of Germany. J Coastal Res.
24(2):380-93. https://doi.org/10.2112/07A-
0011.1.
Tham, Y., Muneer, T., Levermore, G., &
Chow, D. 2011. An examination of UKCIP02
and UKCP09 solar radiation data sets for the
UK climate related to their use in building
design. Build Serv Eng Res T. 32(3):207-28.
https://doi.org/10.1177/0143624410389396.
Wan, C., Yang, Z., Zhang, D., Yan, X., &
Fan, S. 2017. Resilience in transportation
systems: A systematic review and future
directions. Transport Rev. Advance online
publication. https://doi.org/10.1080/
01441647.2017.1383532.
Wheatley, K. 2013. The May 22, 2011
Joplin, Missouri EF5 tornado [Online].
Available at: https://www.ustornadoes.com/
2013/05/22/joplin-missouri-ef5-tornado-may-
22-2011/ (accessed 14 September 2017).
Wilby, R.L., & Keenan, R. 2012. Adapting to
flood risk under climate change. Prog Phys
Geog, 36(3):348-78. https://doi.org/10.1177/
0309133312438908.
World Bank Group. 2001. What is Stake-
holder Analysis? [Online]. Available at: https://
www1.worldbank.org/publicsector/anticorrupt/
PoliticalEconomy/stakeholderanalysis.htm
(accessed 10 October 2017).
Yang, Z., Ng, A.K.Y., Lee, P.T.W., Wang,
T., Qu, Z., Rodrigues, V.S., … Lau, Y.Y.
2017. Risk and cost evaluation of port adap-
tation measures to climate change impacts.
Transport Res D-Tr E. Advance online pub-
lication. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2017.
03.004.
Zanetti, V.B., de Sousa, W.C., Jr., &
De Freitas, D.M. 2016. A climate change
vulnerability index and case study in a
Brazilian Coastal City. Sustainability. 8(8):811.
https://doi.org/10.3390/su8080811.
March/April 2018 Volume 52 Number 2 33