Financial Management 2

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Evaluating Financial Performance

Chapter Two

Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.

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How can financial levers be compared to controls in a 747?

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Photo: Public domain

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Levers of Financial Performance

Return on Equity: The most popular measure of financial performance

= 11.1%

Why does this definition make sense?

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The 3 Determinants of ROE

How is this a measure of leverage?

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TABLE 2.1 ROE and Levers of Performance for 10 Diverse Companies, 2013

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Questions about Table 2.1

Differences in ROE across firms is less than differences in components. Why?

What is the role of competition in ROE differences?

Is there any reason why profit margin and asset turnover are negatively related?

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Profitability Ratios

Profit margin: The fraction of each sales dollar realized as profits

Return on assets: The combined effect of profit margin and asset turnover

Gross margin: The contribution to fixed costs and profits

Are COGS fixed or variable?

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Profitability Ratios

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Breakeven Sales

Use gross margin to calculate Stryker’s breakeven sales volume

Assume COGS are variable and operating expenses are fixed.

Stryker’s 2013 operating costs were $4,920 million.

Since 69% of sales goes to cover operating costs, breakeven sales volume = $4,920/0.69 = $7,130 million.

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You try it. Calculate breakeven sales volume for Apple Inc. for 2014.

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Gross margin=70,537/182,795=38.6%. Breakeven=18,034/0.386=$46,720.

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Turnover-Control Ratios

Asset turnover: Sales generated per dollar of assets

Inventory turnover: Number of times inventory turns over per year

Collection period: Average number of days to collect receivables

What if you don’t know credit sales?

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More Turnover-Control Ratios

Days’ sales in cash: Availability of cash relative to sales

Payables period: Average number of days to pay accounts payable

Fixed-asset turnover: Sales generated per dollar of fixed assets

What if you don’t know credit purchases?

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Turnover-Control Ratios

Does a higher fixed-asset turnover indicate higher or lower capital intensity?

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Fixed Assets vs. Current Assets

Which is likely to be more sensitive to external events, current assets or fixed assets?

What is a self-liquidating loan?

Loan to support current assets

What happens to AR and inventory when sales go up?

What happens to AR and inventory when sales go down?

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Financial Leverage

What does increased financial leverage do to ROE?

Is increased leverage a good thing?

Electricite de France vs. Google in Table 2.1?

JPMorgan Chase?

Have a look, and describe what you see, along with an explanation.

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TABLE 2.1 ROE and Levers of Performance for 10 Diverse Companies, 2013

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Leverage and Liquidity Ratios 1 Balance Sheet Ratios

Debt-to-assets ratio: Percent of assets paid for by creditors

Debt-to-equity ratio: Financing supplied by creditors for every dollar from shareholders

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Leverage and Liquidity Ratios 2 Coverage Ratios

Times interest earned: Income available in relation to interest payments

Times burden covered: Income available in relation to all debt service

Which coverage ratio is more important? Why?

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Stryker’s tax rate is $206/$1,212 = 17%

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Leverage and Liquidity Ratios 3 Market Value Leverage Ratios

Market debt-to-equity ratio: Today’s value of financial burdens compared to shareholders’ expected value

Market debt-to-assets ratio: Today’s value of financial burdens compared to value of expected future income

What if you don’t know the market value of debt?

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Leverage and Liquidity Ratios 4 Liquidity Ratios

Current ratio: Liquid assets compared to imminent debts

Acid test (Quick ratio): Very liquid assets compared to imminent debts

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ROE: The Timing Problem

Is ROE forward-looking?

Does ROE have a long-term perspective?

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ROE: The Risk Problem

Does ROE take into account business risk?

What is the impact of leverage on ROE?

Return on invested capital: A measure of return on capital independent of the amount of leverage

= 9.1%

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ROIC Is Not Distorted by Company Financing

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ROE: The Value Problem

Should we calculate return on book equity or market equity?

Earnings yield: ROE using market value of equity instead of book value

Price-to-earnings ratio: Inverse of earnings yield; commonly used measure of performance

Is this a better measure of performance than ROE?

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ROE or Market Price?

Which is the better way to measure financial performance?

Value creation for investors involves market values.

Line of sight (for managers)?

Asymmetric information, in that managers know more than investors?

External effects, economy, other stocks, etc.?

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Scatter Plots

Price-to-book vs. ROE (weighted-average)

Figures 2.1 and 2.2 coming up

Slope and dispersion (R-squared)?

Where is Stryker’s relative to others in Figure 2.1?

Where are Apple and Amazon in Figure 2.2?

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FIGURE 2.1 M/B vs. ROE for 34 Medical Technology Firms

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FIGURE 2.2 M/B vs. ROE for 87 Large Corporations

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Using Ratios Effectively

Ratio values need to be understood in context.

Usually, no “correct” values for ratios

Important to compare ratios to something else

Comparable companies

Changes in a company’s ratios over time

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FIGURE 2.3 The Levers of Performance Suggest One Road Map for Ratio Analysis

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Example of Ratio Analysis

Analyze the profitability measures

What do the various measures tell you?

What’s Stryker’s trend over time?

How does Stryker compare to the industry?

Analyze the levers of ROE

Which levers explain the changes in ROE over time?

Analyze the control ratios

Is Stryker managing assets efficiently?

How do they compare to prior performance and industry performance?

Analyze the leverage ratios

What’s the trend in their use of debt?

How do they compare to the industry?

Is their amount of leverage concerning?

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TABLE 2.2 Ratio Analysis of Stryker Corporation

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Common Size Financial Statements

Add insight in analyzing a company

Helps in recognizing trends over time

Can compare to other companies without scale effects

What do common-size figures tell you compared to typical ratios?

For example, collection period vs. AR/Assets

For example, inventory turnover vs. Inventory/Assets

What do you learn about working capital

Fraction of assets that are short-term

What do you learn about COGS?

Small changes in percentages can be large relative to net income

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TABLE 2.3 Stryker Corporation, Common-Size Balance Sheets

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TABLE 2.3 Stryker Corporation, Common-Size Income Statements

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TABLE 2.4 Definitions of Principal Ratios Appearing in Chapter

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TABLE 2.4 Definitions of Principal Ratios Appearing in Chapter (cont.)

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