Organizational Research unit I case study and DQ Question

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four_trends.pdf

You better start swimmin’ or you’ll sink like a stone

For the times they are a-changin’ —Bob Dylan

If we have learned anything during our  collective years researching, practicing in,  and writing about the field of organization  development (OD) it is that change is a  constant phenomenon. In the 1980s we  had the Greek salad of change with alpha,  beta, gamma, and even omega in the mix  (Porras & Singh, 1986). In the 1990s it was  likened to whitewater rapids (Vaill, 1989),  in the early 2000s it had something to do  with the diminishing supply and move- ment of one’s cheese (Johnson, 1998), and  over the past decade it has been all about  managing the clash of boomers, gen xers  and gen yers in the workplace (Zemke,  Raines, & Filipczak, 2000; 2013). It is a  cliché these days to start an OD article  with a statement that organizations are  in a constant and/or increasing state of  rapid change. 

But that is because it is true. Organiza- tions are experiencing change at rates we  have never seen before. The best analogy  today might be Moore’s Law from the  world of semiconductors. It is the asser- tion that advancements in technology  double every 18–24 months. This law  has proven accurate for the past several  decades, despite several proclamations of  its death (something this concept shares  with the field OD) and has been applied  to other domains as well such as business  processes (Rawlings & Bencini, 2014) and 

digital marketing (Dragojlovic, 2016). In  the context of organizations, we would sug- gest that the rate and complexity of change  and the implications of those changes  are accelerating at a similarly exponential  pace. What matters to companies today can  quickly shift tomorrow. 

Moreover, much of this change is  being driven either directly or indirectly  by advancements in technology. It is the  socio-technical (Trist, 1978) revolution all  over again. For example, in 2013 there was  debate over allowing employees access to  social media at work (Beasley, 2013). Today  many functions have hired social media  experts (they are in very high demand  in executive search) directed at advertis- ing their products, watching for external  media impressions, and actively staffing  talent. The online traffic and opportuni- ties for impact are certainly there. Dream- grow reports that Facebook tops the social  media sites as of 2017 with 1.9 billion   visitors each month (Kallas, 2017). While  more targeted professional workplace  social media sites such as LinkedIn (peer to  peer business connections) and Glassdoor  (which features anonymous ratings and  comments regarding company reputation)  see fewer visitors, they are still at about 106  and 23 million respectively each month.  The potential for a poor senior leadership  decision or a botched change effort leaking  out to the public is beyond anything ever  imagined in the past. 

If we think about the implications of  managing complex multi-year organiza- tional culture change vis-à-vis social media, 

“Our backgrounds as social scientists puts us at an advantage at understanding the true dynamics of social systems yet our potential impact on the actions taken is diminishing. It is time to enhance our skill set in these areas and direct our academic and professional programs to focus on this as well.”

Four Trends Shaping the Future of Organizations and Organization Development

By Allan H. Church and W. Warner Burke

14 OD PRACTITIONER Vol. 49 No. 3 2017

one could argue it might be a completely  different process than in the past. The  extent to which OD practitioners are lead- ing edge regarding the impact new technol- ogies have on the nature of organizational  change is an open question. Moreover, in  the context of the HR and talent manage- ment (TM) vernacular, the term organiza- tional culture is often used interchangeably  with “employer brand” and “employee  value proposition” (EVP). Although not  particularly new (e.g., see Michaels,  Handfield-Jones, & Axelrod, 2001), these  are terms and related concepts nonetheless  that are far less familiar to OD practitioners  and probably worth some additional focus  as well on our part as a profession. 

In the past, we have written about  change in the context of helping individu- als (e.g., Burke & Noumair, 2002; Church,  2014), aligning large-scale organizational  change interventions (e.g., Burke, 2011a;  Burke & Litwin, 1992), and assess- ing the capabilities of OD practitioners  (Burke & Church, 1992; Burke, Church &  Waclawski, 1993; Church & Burke, 1993).  We have also focused on describing major  shifts in the field of OD overall (Bradford  & Burke, 2004; Burke, 1976; 1997; 2011b;  Burke & Goodstein, 1980; Church, 2001;  Church, Shull, & Burke, 2016). Some  of those changes tend to reflect perennial  swings back and forth on a pendulum  (e.g., centralization vs. decentralization,  specialist vs. generalist capability models, 

industry consolidation vs. entrepreneur- ial and niche marketplaces), but other  types of change are more significant and  long-lasting. 

The focus of this paper is on the latter  type. The reality is we have never seen  anything like the forces facing society  today. New technology in the form of social  media, tablets and other portable devices,  new digital capabilities, and Big Data  applications, coupled with the shrinking  scope of the world thanks to globalization,  and the subsequent shifts in how and what  types of work employees desire are result- ing in a sea-change. It is hard to believe  these trends will not result in profound  shifts in the way companies organize them- selves and run their businesses. 

Thus, based on the academic and  practitioner literatures and our collective  experience in consulting and in large cor- porate settings, we thought we would take  a shot at describing where we are headed.  Overall, and in the context of the Burke- Litwin model (1992) of organization perfor- mance and change we see three major  drivers present in the external environment  that are shaping the future of organizations  and OD along with them. These drivers  are resulting in four major trends that we  see already occurring today in the business  world. Our primary concern here are the  implications of these four trends for both  organizations, the role we as OD practitio- ners need to play in helping organizations 

manage through them, and the capabilities  we need to do so going forward.

The Three Drivers of Change

Although topics such as employee engage- ment, organizational design, mission and  strategy, human capital management,  total rewards, diversity and inclusion,  and  workforce planning are all critically  important for organizations today and will  continue to be going forward depending  on the strategy of the firm, we see three key  universal drivers of change that generally  sit above these. These drivers are shaping  how organizations are organized and the  skills required for success in the future.  These should be familiar to most readers  so we will not belabor them here but they  are worth mentioning:  1. The Changing Nature of Work—i.e. 

the ways in which organizations are  literally organizing themselves (e.g.,  setting boundaries around companies,  functions, teams, and jobs), and defin- ing how people do their day-to-day  activities and connect in various social  systems (Allen & Eby, 2016; Boudreau,  Jesuthasan, & Creelman, 2015; Gulati,  2009; Worley, Zardet, Bonnet, &  Savall, 2015). 

2. The Changing Nature of Data—i.e. the  velocity, variety, veracity, and volume  (Big Data) of information both pub- lic and private coming in and out of  processes, tools and systems including  “the internet of things” (Bersin, 2012:  Church & Dutta, 2013; Guzzo, Fink,  King, Tonidanel, & Landis, 2015). 

3. The Changing Dynamics of the Work- force Itself—i.e. the shifting ethnic  and generational demographics, values  structures, expectations, and social  responsibility requirements of the new  workforce (Deal & Levinson, 2016;  Ferdman, 1999; Meister & Willyerd,  2010; Twenge, 2010; Zemke, Raines, &  Filipczak, 2000; 2013). 

While these drivers are significant, and we  have been talking about them for many  years in some cases (e.g., generational  differences), by themselves they are not 

Figure 1. Global Monthly Visitors to Popular Social Media Websites (Billions)

Source: https://www.dreamgrow.com/top-15-most-popular-social-networking-sites/ and authors’ research.

15Four Trends Shaping the Future of Organizations and Organization Development

actionable. Rather, these drivers have  produced four trends that do have conse- quences on the way organizations function  and the requirements of doing OD work  within them. 

Four Trends for the Future

Trend #1: A Shift to Platforms over Products The first major shift we see that has hap- pened already in certain sectors is one  of structure—i.e., the move to platforms  over products in form. New types of  organizational designs have emerged in  the last 5-10 years, many as a result of the  e-commerce boom, to looser, virtual, fluid,  and dynamic structures (e.g., platforms)  where the boundaries of what is and is not  part of the “firm” are less clear (Boudreau,  et al., 2015). This enables them to be more  flexible and resilient in business environ- ments. Existing brick and mortar firms  are attempting to evolve as well, but some  are having more difficulty doing so than  others given the nature of their business  models, the sophistication of their technol- ogy, and certain elements of their cultures  rooted in the need for old school face-time  relationships.

Those companies that are moving  to platform models, however, are becom- ing less and less focused on a total qual- ity management (TQM) style production  mindset and directing energies instead  toward an adaptive service approach. Gulati  (2009) talks about this shift in terms of the  need for “customer centricity” while oth- ers have focused on the concept of design  thinking (Brown, 2008). Whatever the  term, it represents a fundamental shift in  how people conceptualize work, how they  operate and involve the customer (or con- sumer), and the face they present externally  to the marketplace (remember the EVP and  employer brand ideas mentioned earlier).  However, one of the cornerstones of design  thinking and creating resilient organiza- tions is embracing a systems point of  view—something with which OD practitio- ners should be quite familiar. 

Our thinking here regarding the  shift to platforms over products emerged  from a recent analysis of the application 

of traditional OD applications to other  types of organizations (i.e., those in the  government sector). In a special issue of  the OD Practitioner, Burke (2017) wrote  about “those other organizations.” The  question he explored was whether OD,  having emerged in the 1950s and 1960s  largely from business-industrial organiza- tions such as the Harwood Manufacturing  Corporation, General Mills, and Humble  Oil, and therefore had (and still does) a  social technology based on tightly coupled  systems with top-down management, was  applicable to federal and state government  organizations and healthcare organiza- tions. After a review of the relevant change  literature he concluded that the process  of OD, e.g., involving people in decision  making that directly affects their work and  degree of commitment, worked effectively  regardless of organizational type. The  difference was in the content. For business- industry, the content primarily for OD work  is strategy—figuring out customer needs,  how to beat the competitor, and supplying  those needs. In government organizations,  the primary content concerns time, that is,  long-term vs short-term. In healthcare, the  primary issue is the conflict for a physician  in charge of a clinic; hospital department, 

etc., that is, following the professional code,  e.g., Hippocratic Oath, vs. following the  needs of the organization itself—achieving  financial goals and matters of budget. 

These organizations-business- indus- trial, government, and healthcare—with  their variations of hierarchy and inter- dependence, primary characteristics of  a tightly coupled system (Burke, 2014),  have been around for a long time and are  familiar to us. But what about the newer  organizations of today, especially those in  the “platform” category? Is “normal” OD  appropriate for change efforts in these  organizations? Let us briefly explore this  question. The Internet has changed our  work significantly, destroying things, e.g.,  the telegram, and creating others—the so- called platform organization we mentioned  earlier. Even though in cyberspace, certain  organizations today provide a platform,  a place on the internet for transactions  to occur. Of this ilk, perhaps the easiest  to understand is eBay. This organization  provides a site (platform) on the internet  for people, i.e. eBay customers who want to  sell something they no longer need or want  anymore, say, a baby crib, to anyone who  needs a crib (think garage sale) and will  not have to pay a fortune for it. The price is 

Figure 2. Four Trends for the Future

OD PRACTITIONER Vol. 49 No. 3 201716

agreed to by the two parties and the seller  ships the crib to the buyer. eBay makes its  money from a percentage of the deal. Other  platform organizations include Facebook,  LinkedIn, Twitter, and Uber. 

What makes these organizations  unique and reflective of the future is the  combination of the central headquarters,  if you will, and a huge network composed  of transactions on the platform provided  by the company. But these transactions are  independent of the company. Headquarters  does not control them. A platform organi- zation is therefore at least two organiza- tions—a central command that attempts to  operate like most any other business, that  is, having a CEO at the top of a hierarchy  and having interdependent functions such  as finance, marketing, operations, human  resources, etc., and a network of dispersed  customers and constituents that has no  hierarchy nor little or no interdependence.  In other words, these two organizations  are somewhat antithetical, one, headquar- ters, being a tightly coupled system, and  the other, a network of customers, being a  loosely coupled system. From an OD stand- point one works with these two systems  very differently (see Burke, 2014).

At some level, the CEO of Uber,  Travis Kalanick understands that drivers  are independent. He and his colleagues  at headquarters have hired hundreds of  social and data scientists (see Trend #4)  to entice drivers to work longer hours and  have monetary targets for their work day.  These enticements are, of course, based  on corporate goals not those of the driv- ers, thus, commitment is problematical.  The extensive article in the New York Times demonstrated quite dramatically this two- system conflict (Scheiber, 2017). Uber driv- ers, after all, are contractors not employees.  However, they are not selected to join as  contractors in any systematic way either,  which has resulted in all sorts of problems  (Church & Silzer, 2016). Instead, they are  bound by stipulations within a contract,  but otherwise they are independent, free  to decide their own working hours and to  some extent their geographical domain.  They pay a price, literally, for this freedom,  e.g., paying for their vehicle, maintenance  and insurance costs, and the cost of fuel. 

And the long-range future is not rosy.  Kalanick and his executive colleagues are  moving slowly but ever so deliberately  toward driverless vehicles. In the mean- time, intergroup conflict will remain for  the two systems. 

The practice of OD for these platform  organizations will need to be done with  a true systems mindset. It will need to  be accommodative in approach with an  emphasis on common goals across the two  systems. It will also need to adapt as well  to different types of work contexts and con- structs. For example, imagine conducting  a cultural or engagement audit of such a  firm. Would you include the drivers as part  of the survey effort? And if so, would you  expect them to be able to answer the same  types of questions as the primary organi- zation? Should they consider themselves  as part of the organization or not? What  if their engagement levels are lower—is  that expected, is that acceptable? Similarly,  how would performance management play  out there? If you were focused on apply- ing a dialogic model of OD (e.g., Bushe &  Marshak, 2009) how would you account  for the lack of interaction between drivers  in 1000s of disparate locations and the  formal organization? Communications are  executed in short bursts through hand- held devices. Clearly, for OD practitioners  we must be more agile in our approach to  working with organizations and change  than ever before.

Trend #2: A Shift to Digital Over Mechanical The second major shift occurring in orga- nizations today is a focus on the digital  over the mechanical (or the mechanistic)  ways of doing business. As technology  becomes increasingly integrated into our  lives, the need for agility and speed in the  way businesses respond to information  demands that they adopt a digital mindset  and set of processes. While the first step in  this direction is often to create formal dedi- cated roles (e.g., a chief digital officer, an  eCommerce group, a digital marketeering  function, etc.), the bigger challenges lie in  the need to transform the entire business  end-to-end to reflect a truly digital focus.  This means everything from integrating 

digital technology across all of one’s exist- ing processes (e.g., people, culture, and  structure) as well as building new capabili- ties and infrastructure which have never  existed before in their business models.  Unfortunately, this is far from easy and  many traditional organizations are simply  not ready to make the transition. Research  conducted by MIT Sloan Management  Review and Deloitte (Kane, et. al., 2016),  for example, has indicated that while 90%  of executives anticipate their industries will  be disrupted by digital trends to a great or  moderate extent, only 44% say their organi- zations are appropriately prepared for these  challenges today. 

One of the most intriguing aspects for  us in watching this digital transformation  occur (beyond the need for greater clarity  in the construct definition itself ) is that  it is again forcing organizations to think  and operate at the systems level. While  most of the authors currently writing  about the challenges of going digital are  not grounded in the OD space, they are  in fact promoting the concept of systems  thinking whether intentionally or not. In  its most basic form we are simply talking  about inputs, throughputs, and outputs as  described in classic social psychological  theory (Katz & Kahn, 1978). This is encour- aging to say the least. The biggest differ- ences that we see with the current focus,  however, is in (1) the nature of those inputs  (i.e. data of a completely different nature  along with products and/or services), and  (2) the speed and direction of that flow  throughout the system. 

In traditional mechanistic models of  organizations, the process flow follows a  more simplistic supply chain model. Raw  materials enter the system, are transformed  along the way into goods or services, and a  product (material or knowledge) is deliv- ered. In the digital world data is generated  about the data collected along with the  process itself, and the feedback loops that  occur at every stage along the way are at  least as important if not more so than the  output itself. They represent end-to-end  systems and at higher velocities, depth,  and reciprocity between organizational  sub-systems than ever before. In other  words, fully digital organizations are in the 

17Four Trends Shaping the Future of Organizations and Organization Development

unique position of being able to generate,  collect, synthesize, and process informa- tion real time that allows them to pivot and  adjust their delivery models. This results  in ultimate flexibility (or at least that is the  goal most hope to achieve with a digital  transformation). While feedback loops have  always been a key component of process  systems and double-loop learning has its  roots in OD (Argyris, 1977), the digital  focus has taken this thinking to the next  level in organizations.

While the implications for organi- zations with more traditional business  process models might be clear (e.g., they  are facing an uphill battle and will need  to retrofit their approaches and/or fun- damentally rethink their designs), what  are the parallel implications for our OD  efforts? First, we need to help leaders better  understand the transition to the digital  environment in the first place, and what  that means for their organizations. In some  cases this may simply be a process of edu- cation and training. In others, we may need  to find ways to help our clients learn new  knowledge, skills, and behaviors (e.g., how  to accelerate the speed of decision mak- ing, how to capitalize on information –see  Trend #3). Still in others it might require  assessing for fit and changing out the  leaders themselves to make way for more  enlightened talent (see Trend #4). 

Second, it is critical that the different  components of the organization are aligned  to support the digital transformation. As  with any large-scale OD intervention (and  the shift from traditional/mechanistic  to digital is arguably just another type of  cultural change), the degree of alignment  and congruence between the different  elements of the organizational system  need to be managed. The mission-vision,  structure, systems and process, leadership  and managerial behaviors, cultural messag- ing, climate, and employee value proposi- tions must all appropriately align (Burke &  Litwin, 1992). If an organization is moving  toward a digital mindset and yet the lead- ers do not embrace technology or the use  of data for decision-making, for example,  there will be little belief on the part of  employees that the transformation is real  or supported. This is simply OD 101.

Third, we believe that OD practitio- ners must understand and embrace the  concept of “mass customization” (Golay &  Church, 2013) as it relates to our interven- tion sets. Mass customization in OD is all  about giving employees choices within a  given set of boundaries. Given the fluid- ity of the processes needed to support and  sustain a digital organization, the OD tools  and offerings that are put in place must be  able to flex to the needs of individuals and  their contexts. For example, and build- ing on earlier implications from Trend  #1, employees are expecting there to be  choices in how their performance is man- aged, the ways in which they can receive  developmental feedback and learning,  where and how they work with others, the  mechanisms for giving feedback to their  managers or offering their opinions and  suggestions regarding the organization as a  whole, how jobs are defined, identified, and  filled, etc. We as OD practitioners need to  move away from being too systematic and  standardized in our approach to some of  these elements of organizational function- ing. In information systems terms, we  need to understand the difference between  customization and configuration. Not every  OD intervention or process needs to follow  its own unique path, nor do we want all of  them to follow the same exact path. The  answer is somewhere in-between but we  need to determine where that is. In small  companies this has never been an issue,  but in larger ones we have our work cut out  for us as organizations constantly seek to  standardize in the spirit of efficiency and  effectiveness. 

Finally, as with the first trend noted  above, we as OD practitioners need to  continue to embrace systems thinking.  We also need to embrace technology. This  means building new capabilities and skills  in the digital marketplace by translating  our traditional interventions where pos- sible into this new medium. While neither  of these should be hard, our most recent  survey of OD practitioners (Shull, Church  & Burke, 2014) suggests just the opposite.  That is, survey responses from 388 active  practitioners indicated that the value of  systems thinking was ranked 13th overall  (out of a possible list of 36) which was 

much lower than we would have expected.  Clearly there has been a shift in OD away  from having a systems perspective, which  is concerning. More troubling, however, are  the findings around our ability to embrace  technology. Specifically, the item “helping  organizations integrate technology into  the workplace” was ranked 40th and “the  development of socio-technical systems”  was ranked almost at the bottom of the  list at 56 out of 63 possible interventions  in use today. It would seem that OD is not  particularly progressive in this area.

Some might review these data and  argue this is not an issue, suggesting  instead that OD is all about human process  and social interaction. And they would be  right. However, we would contend that OD  is in some ways old school and living in the  past from a “technology” and data point  of view. As a field we need to think bigger.  We need to build our skills and develop  more agile processes and interventions  that can influence a new generation of data  and systems like never before. That is not  to say we should lose sight of the human  element. If anything, we may be the last  bastion of people focused on it! Imagine  the day when the digital transformation  reaches the next stage of its evolution and  robotics become the norm even in the  professional workforce. OD needs to stand  at the ready to support organizations, their  leaders, and their people in this trans- formation. Yet, if we are not part of the  solution we are part of the problem. It is  on us to define and embrace “doing digital  OD”—whatever that might mean.

Trend #3: A Shift to Insights over Data The third major shift concerns the use of  data. As might be expected from the dis- cussion above these new types of organi- zational forms (e.g., digital platforms) are  producing volumes of data. While the use  of data is nothing new in organizations,  the expectations for how data is harnessed  and used is changing dramatically. More  specifically, and as alluded to earlier, the  collection and processing of this informa- tion alone is not enough. In today’s busi- ness landscape organizations are focusing  increasingly on generating insights from 

OD PRACTITIONER Vol. 49 No. 3 201718

that data. Insights that will inform business  decisions, drive specific actions, and help  set future business directions. In fact, the  combination of the digital transformation  and the need to generate insights from the  massive amounts of data being generated  comes together in the Big Data phenomena  (Church & Dutta, 2013; Guzzo, et al., 2015).  This is where the science of analytics meets  business strategy, statistical modeling, and  workforce planning. It is no wonder then  that organizations are also hiring chief data  scientists (along with chief digital officers). 

The reasons for why businesses might  want to link various sources of informa- tion and identify potential relationships  is clear (and again is not entirely new).  What is new is the sheer volume, variety,  veracity, and velocity of the data available  to mine, and the resulting technology  infrastructure and capabilities required to  appropriately model and leverage it into  meaningful insights.

As for OD practitioners and their data  analytic capabilities, we have raised the red  flag on this gap in skills before (Church  & Dutta, 2013; Church, Shull, & Burke,  2016). There is a critical need on the part  of current practitioners to be able to ana- lyze large sets of data, find the relevant and  actionable insights, and weave them into  a compelling story for the organization.  Today this is simply not likely to be the case  with your average ODer. While OD has his- torically been grounded in action-research  and data-driven methods (e.g., Burke,  1994; Nadler, 1977; Waclawski & Church,  2002), and one could argue that qualitative  or quantitative data is at the core of 50% or  more of the classic OD consulting model  (Church, 2017), the fundamental signifi- cance of the role of data has changed. 

There is pressure from clients not only  on demonstrating the ROI of our existing 

efforts in OD, but also to integrate and  synthesize disparate data sources to find  new solutions based on connections we  never even thought would exist. Is much  of the “values-free analytics” work done  a-theoretically? The answer is yes. Just  because a relationship is identified statisti- cally does not always mean it makes sense  or is the right thing to do philosophically  for an organization’s culture or its employ- ees (Church, 2017). Is the lack of attention  to theoretical models, frameworks, and cul- tural contexts stopping organizations from 

turning to people with deep analytical skills  to determine the solutions to their prob- lems vs. relying on others (e.g., OD) who  might have a more informed point of view?  The answer is no, it is not stopping them  one bit. After all they are data scientists and  we are OD people. We have got to fix this.

If you have not already experienced  this issue, you probably soon will. We are  hearing about OD (and other) profession- als finding themselves competing with  practitioners from other disciplines such as  economics, finance, information technol- ogy, and statistics where their skills at deep  analytics and modeling are significantly  better. Even Industrial-Organizational  psychologists, who generally have a more  reliably consistent level of analytic capabil- ity are having their qualifications come  under-fire when it comes to Big Data appli- cations (Church & Rotolo, 2015; Guzzo, et  al., 2015). 

We believe many practitioners today  are woefully ill-equipped to remain cur- rent in the Big Data digital world. This  is an area we believe OD professionals  need to step-up their game now, as well as  ensure professional doctoral and masters  programs in the field lay the appropriate  groundwork for future entrants before  it is too late. If we do not act soon, other 

professional groups will soon eclipse us  as the key providers of insights regarding  how organizations operate and what levers  to pull to drive change. We are losing our  seat at the table in this regard when in fact  we have more context and knowledge about  what should make organizations work than  most others. Remember, in our study of  current OD practitioners only 29% cited  using statistics and research methods in  their toolkits. As we have stated elsewhere,  while this can still be done in the context  of new OD philosophical approaches to   collaborative and adaptive consulting  efforts (e.g., Bushe & Marshak, 2009),  the analysis and insights skills them- selves today are lacking.

Trend #4: A Shift to Talent over Employees The fourth and final shift we see in orga- nizations today is one that is perhaps even  more controversial than the last, i.e. the  emphasis on talent over employees. This  trend sits front and center of the HR and  OD agenda so the implications for organi- zations and the practice of OD are imme- diately relevant. Here we are talking about  the philosophical distinction first made by  Church (2013; 2014) between the area of  talent management (i.e. a disproportion- ate focus on the few) and OD (a concerted  focus on the many). We all would agree  that OD has deep roots in the develop- ment and growth of individuals, groups,  and organizations. Following the “original”  war for talent (Michaels, et al., 2001) pre- cipitated by the dot.com boom, and more  recently the emphasis placed on changing  demographic trends in the workforce as  well as multi-generational workplaces and  how to navigate those, (e.g., Deal & Levin- son, 2016; Zemke, et al., 2000; 2013) we  are now firmly in what we might whimsi- cally call a “war for talent management.” 

The emphasis has indeed shifted in  many companies (and particularly those  with large established TM functions—see  Church, Rotolo, Ginther & Levine, 2015)  from creating a development culture in  general to focusing on methods for facili- tating talent differentiation and segmenta- tion. In short, this means directing funds  and resources to the identification and 

We believe many practitioners today are woefully ill-equipped to remain current in the Big Data digital world. This is an area we believe OD professionals need to step-up their game now, as well as ensure professional doctoral and masters programs in the field lay the appropriate groundwork for future entrants before it is too late.

19Four Trends Shaping the Future of Organizations and Organization Development

classification of people into high-potential  and non-high-potential categories for deci- sion-making. This is done to ensure that  limited resources are applied to the right  groups in the leadership pipeline (Silzer &  Church, 2010). As a result, the data-driven  OD interventions and processes we used  to use for developmental interventions  (e.g., 360 feedback, surveys, interviews,  personality measures—Waclawski &  Church, 2002) are now being deployed  more consistently for assessment and  decision-making. 

Not only does this emphasis put more  pressure on OD people to be technically  adept at using these types of tools given  there is now more weight associated with  their application, but it also challenges  the core assumptions of many practitio- ners. Some may simply refuse to engage  in efforts of any nature that will result in  the segmenting of talent into the haves  and the have nots. On top of this many  organizations are shifting away from OD  altogether. Recent survey data (Church &  Levine, 2017) from 71 large well-known  companies on their functional reporting  structures noted that 71% of their formal  OD groups, and 68% of their culture and  engagement survey teams now officially  report into the Talent Management   function. By comparison only 49% of  the diversity teams and 12% of the total  rewards (compensation and benefits)  report into TM. This suggests a poten- tial challenge when it comes to aligning  resources over time and where tradeoffs  need to be made. From our perspective,  OD practitioners need to fully understand  the ways in which our core tools can and  cannot be used and what conditions are  needed to build effective legally defensible  decision-making (TM) vs development only  (OD) processes. 

Sure, OD people can choose not to  work in such environments. They can  boycott organizations that are emphasizing  TM. But that seems like throwing out the  baby with the bathwater to us. If not us,  the work will get done by someone in HR,  and by engaging in the efforts we remain  key players in ensuring it is done well and  people are treated with dignity. It is up to  OD professionals to ensure that our values 

are manifested in how data-driven tools  and processes are used for development or  decision-making outcomes. That means  that we are on point to ensure people are  treated fairly, the process is clearly com- municated, and when differentiation does  occur there is transparency and account- ability for the how and the why. And we can  ensure that leaders are held accountable for  their actions as well.

Back in the 1990s, had we been asked  to design a 360-feedback system to be  used to segment talent and make decisions  about who would and who would not be  promoted we might have said no. In fact,  we did say no at least once to something  quite similar. Today, however, times have  changed. The process of 360 is no lon- ger a fad but has proven to be stable as a  measurement tool when done well and  quite ubiquitous. Organizations are using  360 now for decision-making in a variety  of ways whether that is for performance  management (Bracken & Church, 2013) or  talent management and the identification  of high-potentials (Church & Rotolo, 2013).  If the right procedures are followed in the  design and execution of the process it can  be done well for the benefit of the organiza- tion and the employees. After all, millenni- als love feedback and want to know if they  are likely to have a successful career or not  in their current company—transparency  works for them (Church & Rotolo, 2016).  From our vantage point, the keys to ensur- ing this type of work always aligns with OD  principles are making sure: (a) feedback  is always delivered to participants in some  meaningful and supportive form, (b) what  is measured is psychometrically valid and  appropriate if used for decision-making,  (c) people use the data in the right ways  and at the right times, and (d) the process  is clearly communicated and transparent to  those involved.

Conclusion

In summary, when we look to the future  of organizations and the role that OD  practitioners can and should play in them  we see the potential for real progress. As  organizational forms continue to morph  into platforms and other virtual structures, 

and the business processes themselves  become entirely digital in their end-to- end designs, the opportunity for OD to  make an impact is very tangible. Given  our grounding in the social sciences and  systems  thinking we should be one of the  best groups of professionals to help lead- ers think through the implications of these  changes on the culture, people, processes,  structure, behaviors required and other ele- ments of the entire organizational system.  While there is room to grow when it comes  to OD professionals embracing technology  in the digital age, as long as we do not lose  sight of our higher-level systems thinking  skills, there is real value to be offered from  the OD perspective. This discussion does  make us wonder though if it is time for a  return to the socio-technical model.

Our concerns for the future of OD,  and perhaps organizations as well by impli- cation, is what happens when the data anal- ysis and insights requirements outstrip our  ability to even be part of the discussion. As  leaders look to data-scientists for insights,  actions, and interventions we need to be at  the table and questioning the way the sta- tistics were run, whether certain contextual  variables were considered, what research  methods and controls were examined, etc.  Our backgrounds as social scientists puts  us at an advantage for understanding the  true dynamics of social systems yet our  potential impact on the actions taken is  diminishing. It is time to enhance our skill  set in these areas and direct our academic  and professional programs to focus on this  as well. If we do not ensure our students  have these capabilities they will be rel- egated to focusing only on the areas where  data does not have an impact. If we follow  the breadcrumbs above between platform  organizations where people are loosely con- nected and digital networks and robotics  become the norm, these changes will mean  our opportunities to influence will only  continue to decrease. 

Finally, although the core of OD is  all about development, the field is being  subsumed under the TM function in many  big organizations, and our processes and  tools are being used in other ways. Rather  than look the other way or run from these  issues we should learn the skills needed 

OD PRACTITIONER Vol. 49 No. 3 201720

to embrace them. Specifically, who better  to design a new leadership competency  assessment and help the organization  identify and select the best future leader to  develop than an OD person? Who better to  coach other talented leaders that were not  selected for a given role because of their  strengths, opportunities, and skill gaps, if  not an OD professional? We should be the  people managing both sides of the TM and  OD equation. That way we know for sure  it is being done with the right perspective  in mind.

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Allan H. Church, PhD, is Senior Vice President of Global Talent Assessment & Development at PepsiCo. Over the past 17 years he has held a variety of roles in orga- nization development and talent management in the company. Pre- viously he was with Warner Burke Associates for almost a decade, and before that at IBM. He is cur- rently on the Board of Directors of HRPS, the Conference Board’s Council of Talent Management, an Adjunct Professor at Columbia University, and Associate Editor of JABS. He has been a former Chair of the Mayflower Group. Church received his PhD in Organizational Psychology from Columbia Univer- sity, and is a Fellow of SIOP, APA and APS. He can be reached at [email protected].

W. Warner Burke, PhD, is the Edward Lee Thorndike Professor of Psychology and Education at Teachers College, Columbia Uni- versity where he has been since 1979. He has written or edited 20 books and authored well over 150 articles and book chapters. He has received many awards includ- ing the OD Network’s Lifetime Achievement Award and NASA’s Public Service Medal. He was the administrator of the ODN from 1966–1967 and executive direc- tor from 1968–1974. He helped to launch the OD Practitioner in 1968. He can be reached at wwb3@ columbia.edu.

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