Understanding DCF analysis and applications of bond and stock valuation

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incase12_5th_edition.xlsx

CASE 11

CASE 12 Instructor Version Copyright 2014 Health Administration Press
11/26/14
GULF SHORES SURGERY CENTERS
Time Value Analysis
Case 12 deals with basic time value analysis concepts of a surgery center facing
alternative investment opportunities.
There is no student version of the model because the objective is for students to
attempt basic calculations themselves. The key to student success in this case
lies in correct calculations and interpretation of the data.
Choice of bank:
Compounding Nominal Effective
Periods Interest Annual
Bank Product Compounding per Year Rate Rate
Sun Trust Saving account Daily 365 4.00% 4.0808%
CD Monthly 12 6.00% 6.1678%
Term loan Quarterly 4 8.00% 8.2432%
BankSouth Saving account Weekly 52 4.10% 4.1835%
CD Annual 1 6.10% 6.1000%
Term loan Semiannual 2 8.06% 8.2224%
Invest donations in different installments over 12 years
First method:
Lump sum donation in year 0 $250,000
Annual donation in years 1-6 $75,000
Annual donation in years 7-12 $150,000
EAR for CDs 6.1678%
FV in 12 years of lump sum donation today $512,688
FV in 6 years of first annuity $525,364
FV in 12 years of first annuity $752,345
FV in 12 years of second annuity $1,050,729
Total $2,315,761
Second method:
Year Donation
0 $250,000
1 $75,000
2 $75,000
3 $75,000
4 $75,000
5 $75,000
6 $75,000
7 $150,000
8 $150,000
9 $150,000
10 $150,000
11 $150,000
12 $150,000
NPV of all cash flows $1,129,226
FV in 12 years of NPV $2,315,761
Borrow lump sum of $250,000 and repay in equal installments over 5 years
Effective
Annual Years to Lump Sum Annual
Bank Product Compounding Rate Repay Loan Payments
BankSouth Term loan Semiannual 8.22% 5 $250,000 $62,982
Beginning BankSouth Repayment Remaining
Year Amount Payments Interest of Principal Balance
1 $250,000 $62,982 $20,556 $42,426 $207,574
2 $207,574 $62,982 $17,068 $45,914 $161,660
3 $161,660 $62,982 $13,292 $49,689 $111,971
4 $111,971 $62,982 $9,207 $53,775 $58,196
5 $58,196 $62,982 $4,785 $58,196 $0
Total $64,908 $250,000
Borrow lump sum of $250,000 and repay in different installments over 7 years
Annual
Year Cash Flows
0 $250,000 Loan
1 ($25,000) First installment
2 ($50,000) Second installment
3 ($75,000) Third installment
4 x
5 x
6 x
7 x
Effective NPV of FV of Annual
Annual Year 0-3 NPV in Payment
Bank Product Compounding Rate Cashflows 3 Years in Yrs 4-7
BankSouth Term loan Semiannual 8.22% $125,037 $158,486 $48,087
Proof:
Annual
Year Cash Flows
0 $250,000
1 ($25,000)
2 ($50,000)
3 ($75,000)
4 ($48,087)
5 ($48,087)
6 ($48,087)
7 ($48,087)
NPV $0
Invest cash in different installments over 7 years
Renovation costs in current dollars $14,500,000
Renovation cost inflation rate 3.5%
Year Cash flows
0 $15,000,000
1 $5,000,000
2 $5,000,000
3 $5,000,000
4 $5,000,000
5 $6,342,668
6 $6,342,668
7 $6,342,668
8 ($19,093,731)
9 ($19,762,012)
10 ($20,453,682)
11 ($21,169,561)
NPV $0
How to use Goal seek to find the year 5, 6, and 7 cash flows that make the NPV = 0:
Note the formulae in cells B125, B126, and B127, the years for which we need to calculate the annual
cash flows.
In cell B141 below, insert a zero. Cells B125-127 change to $0 and B133 changes to ($13,303,172).
$19,028,005
Go to Data / What-If Analysis / Goal Seek, input the following values, and push ok:
Set cell: B133
To value: 0
By changing: B141
The values in cells B125-127 changes to $6,342,668 and cell B133 changes to $0. In this way, Goal Seek
finds the values of the cash flows in years 5, 6, and 7 that make NPV=$0.
END