case2_spread_sheet_1.xls

Copyright

Marriott Corp./Cost
Harvard Business School Case #298-101
Case Software #XLS096
Copyright © 2010 President and Fellows of Harvard College. No part of this product may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means—electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise—without the permission of Harvard Business School.

Table A

Table A Market Value-Target Leverage Ratios and Credit Spreads for Marriott and Its Divisions
Debt Percentage in Capital Fraction of Debt at Floating Fraction of Debt at Fixed Debt Rate Premium above Government
Marriott 60% 40% 60% 1.30%
Lodging 74 50 50 1.10
Contract services 40 40 60 1.40
Restaurants 42 25 75 1.80

Table B

Table B U.S. Government Interest Rates, April 1988
Maturity Rate
30-year 8.95%
10-year 8.72
1-year 6.90

Exhibit 1

Exhibit 1 Financial History, 1978-1987 (millions of dollars except per share data)
1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987
Summary of Operations
Sales $1,174.1 $1,426.0 $1,633.9 $1,905.7 $2,458.9 $2,950.5 $3,524.9 $4,241.7 $5,266.5 $6,522.2
Earnings before interest expense and income taxes 107.1 133.5 150.3 173.3 205.5 247.9 297.7 371.3 420.5 489.4
Interest expense 23.7 27.8 46.8 52.0 71.8 62.8 61.6 75.6 60.3 90.5
Income before income taxes 83.5 105.6 103.5 121.3 133.7 185.1 236.1 295.7 360.2 398.9
Income taxes 35.4 43.8 40.6 45.2 50.2 76.7 100.8 128.3 168.5 175.9
Income from continuing operationsa 48.1 61.8 62.9 76.1 83.5 108.4 135.3 167.4 191.7 223.0
Net income 54.3 71.0 72.0 86.1 94.3 115.2 139.8 167.4 191.7 223.0
Funds from continuing operationsb 101.2 117.5 125.8 160.8 203.6 272.7 322.5 372.3 430.3 472.8
Capitalization and Returns
Total assets $1,000.3 $1,080.4 $1,214.3 $1,454.9 $2,062.6 $2,501.4 $2,904.7 $3,663.8 $4,579.3 $5,370.5
Total capitalc 826.9 891.9 977.7 1,167.50 1,634.50 2,007.50 2,330.70 2,861.40 3,561.80 4,247.80
Long-term debt 309.9 365.3 536.6 607.7 889.3 1,071.60 1,115.30 1,192.30 1,662.80 2,498.80
Shareholders’ equity 418.7 413.5 311.5 421.7 516.0 628.2 675.6 848.5 991.0 810.8
Long-term debt/total capital 37.5% 41.0% 54.9% 52.1% 54.4% 53.4% 47.9% 41.7% 46.7% 58.8%
Per Share and Other Data
Earnings per share
Continuing operationsa $0.25 $0.34 $0.45 $0.57 $0.61 $0.78 $1.00 $1.24 $1.40 $1.67
Net income 0.29 0.39 0.52 0.64 0.69 0.83 1.04 1.24 1.40 1.67
Cash dividends 0.026 0.034 0.042 0.051 0.063 0.076 0.093 0.113 0.136 0.17
Shareholders’ equity 2.28 2.58 2.49 3.22 3.89 4.67 5.25 6.48 7.59 6.82
Market price (year-end) 2.43 3.48 6.35 7.18 11.70 14.25 14.70 21.56 29.75 30.00
Shares outstanding (millions) 183.6 160.5 125.3 130.8 132.8 134.4 128.8 131.0 130.6 118.8
Return on average shareholders’ equity 13.9% 17.0% 23.8% 23.4% 20.0% 20.0% 22.1% 22.1% 20.6% 22.2%
Source: Company reports
aThe company’s theme park operations were discontinued in 1984.
bFunds provided from continuing operations consist of income from continuing operations plus depreciation, deferred income taxes, and other items not currently affecting working capital.
cTotal capital represents total assets less current liabilities.

Exhibit 2

Exhibit 2 Financial Summary by Business Segment, 1982-1987 (millions of dollars)
1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987
Lodging
Sales $1,091.7 $1,320.5 $1,640.8 $1,898.4 $2,233.1 $2,673.3
Operating profit 132.6 139.7 161.2 185.8 215.7 263.9
Identifiable assets 909.7 1,264.6 1,786.3 2,108.9 2,236.7 2,777.4
Depreciation 22.7 27.4 31.3 32.4 37.1 43.9
Capital expenditures 371.5 377.2 366.4 808.3 966.6 1,241.9
Contract Services
Sales 819.8 950.6 1,111.3 1,586.3 2,236.1 2,969.0
Operating profit 51.0 71.1 86.8 118.6 154.9 170.6
Identifiable assets 373.3 391.6 403.9 624.4 1,070.2 1,237.7
Depreciation 22.9 26.1 28.9 40.2 61.1 75.3
Capital expenditures 127.7 43.8 55.6 125.9 448.7 112.7
Restaurants
Sales 547.4 679.4 707.0 757.0 797.3 879.9
Operating profit 48.5 63.8 79.7 78.2 79.1 82.4
Identifiable assets 452.2 483.0 496.7 582.6 562.3 567.6
Depreciation 25.1 31.8 35.5 34.8 38.1 42.1
Capital expenditures 199.6 65.0 72.3 128.4 64.0 79.6
Source: Company reports

Exhibit 3

Exhibit 3 Information on Comparable Hotel and Restaurant Companies
Company and Nature of Business Arithmetic Average Returna Geometric Average Returna Equity Betab Market Leveragec 1987 Revenues ($ billions)
Marriott Corporation 22.4% 21.4% 0.97 41% $6.52
(Owns, operates, manages hotels, restaurants, airline and institutional food services)
Hilton Hotels Corporation 13.3 12.9 0.88 14 0.77
(Owns, manages, licenses hotels; operates casinos)
Holiday Corporation 28.8 26.9 1.46 79 1.66
(Owns, manages, licenses hotels, restaurants; operates casinos)
La Quinta Motor Inns -6.4 -8.6 0.38 69 0.17
(Owns, operates, licenses motor inns)
Ramada Inns 11.7 2.8 0.95 65 0.75
(Owns, operates hotels, restaurants)
Church’s Fried Chicken -3.2 -7.3 0.75 4 0.39
(Owns, franchises restaurants, gaming businesses)
Collins Foods International 20.3 17.7 0.60 10 0.57
(Operates Kentucky Fried Chicken franchise, moderately priced restaurants)
Frisch’s Restaurants 56.9 49.7 0.13 6 0.14
(Operates, franchises restaurants)
Luby’s Cafeterias 15.1 12.8 0.64 1 0.23
(Operates cafeterias)
McDonald’s 22.5 21.3 1.00 23 4.89
(Operates, franchises, services restaurants)
Wendy’s International 4.6 -1.4 1.08 21 1.05
(Operates, franchises, services restaurants)
Source: Casewriter’s estimates.
aCalculated over period 1983-1987.
bEstimated by ordinary least-squares regression using daily data over 1986-1987 period.
cBook value of debt divided by the sum of the book value of debt plus the market value of equity.

Exhibit 4

Exhibit 4 Annual Holding-Period Returns for Selected Securities and Market Indexes, 1926-1987
Arithmetic Average Geometric Average Standard Deviation
Short-Term Treasury Bill Returns
1926-1987 3.54% 3.48% 0.94%
1926-1950 1.01 1.00 0.40
1951-1975 3.67 3.66 0.56
1976-1980 7.80 7.77 0.83
1981-1985 10.32 10.30 0.75
1986 6.16 6.16 0.19
1987 5.46 5.46 0.22
Long-Term U.S. Government Bond Returns
1926-1987 4.58% 4.27% 7.58%
1926-1950 4.14 4.04 4.17
1951-1975 2.39 2.22 6.45
1976-1980 1.95 1.69 11.15
1981-1985 17.85 16.82 14.26
1986 24.44 24.44 17.30
1987 -2.69 -2.69 10.28
Long-Term, High-Grade Corporate Bond Returns
1926-1987 5.24% 4.93% 6.97%
1926-1950 4.82 4.76 3.45
1951-1975 3.05 2.86 6.04
1976-1980 2.70 2.39 10.87
1981-1985 18.96 17.83 14.17
1986 19.85 19.85 8.19
1987 -0.27 -0.27 9.64
Standard & Poor’s 500 Composite Stock Index Returns
1926-1987 12.01% 9.90% 20.55%
1926-1950 10.90 7.68 27.18
1951-1975 11.87 10.26 13.57
1976-1980 14.81 13.95 14.60
1981-1985 15.49 14.71 13.92
1986 18.47 18.47 17.94
1987 5.23 5.23 30.50
Source: Casewriter’s estimates based on data from the University of Chicago’s Center for Research in Security Prices.

Exhibit 5

Exhibit 5 Spreads between S&P 500 Composite Returns and Bond Rates, 1926-1987
Arithmetic Average Geometric Average Standard Deviation
Spread between S&P 500 Composite Returns and Short-Term Treasury Bill Returns
1926-1987 8.47% 6.42% 20.60%
1926-1950 9.89 6.68 27.18
1951-1975 8.20 6.60 13.71
1976-1980 7.01 6.18 14.60
1981-1985 5.17 4.41 14.15
1986 21.31 12.31 17.92
1987 -0.23 -0.23 30.61
Spread between S&P 500 Composite Returns and Long-Term U.S. Government Bond Returns
1926-1987 7.43% 5.63% 20.78%
1926-1950 6.76 3.64 26.94
1951-1975 9.48 8.04 14.35
1976-1980 12.86 12.26 15.58
1981-1985 -2.36 -2.11 13.70
1986 -5.97 -5.97 14.76
1987 7.92 7.92 35.35
Spread between S&P 500 Composite Returns and Long-Term, High-Grade Corporate Bond Returns
1926-1987 6.77% 4.97% 20.31%
1926-1950 6.08 2.92 26.70
1951-1975 8.82 7.40 13.15
1976-1980 12.11 11.56 15.84
1981-1985 -3.47 -3.12 13.59
1986 -1.38 -1.38 14.72
1987 5.50 5.50 34.06
Source: Casewriter’s estimates based on data from the University of Chicago’s Center for Research in Security Prices.