5-year forecasted financial statements in Excel Workbook

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ross__stores_financials.xlsx

Ross Stores Financials

Forecasted Statements - Ross Stores Company
$ mm, except per share
Company Name Ross Stores
Ticker ROST
Share price 65.39
(in Millions)
x INCOME STATEMENT
Fiscal year 2013.01.31 A 2014.01.31 A 2015.01.31 A 2016.01.31 A 2017.01.31 A 2018.01.31 A 2019.01.31 A 2020.01.31 A 2021.01.31 A
Revenue 9,721 10,230 11,042 11,940 12,726 13,564 14,457 15,409 16,424
COR 7,011 7,361 7,938 8,577 9,157 9,754 10,394 11,079 11,811
Gross Profit 2,710 2,869 3,104 3,363 3,570 3,811 4,063 4,331 4,613
Selling, marketning and advertisement 1,438 1,526 1,615 1,739 1,874 1,995 2,119 2,260 2,413
Goodwill impairment charges 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Business realingment charges 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Operating income 1,272 1,343 1,488 1,624 1,696 1,815 1,944 2,071 2,201
Other expense 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
EBIT 1,272 1,343 1,488 1,624 1,696 1,815 1,944 2,071 2,201
Interest expense 7 0 3 13 8 8 9 9 10
Pretax profit (EBT) 1,265 1,343 1,485 1,612 1,688 1,807 1,935 2,062 2,191
Provision for income taxes 478 506 561 591 637 682 730 778 827
Net income 787 837 925 1,021 1,051 1,125 1,205 1,284 1,364
EBITDA reconciliation
Depreciation 185 206 233 275 257 288 320 353 386
Amortization 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
EBITDA 972 1,043 1,158 1,295 1,308 1,414 1,525 1,637 1,750
Growth rates & margins
Revenue growth 5.24% 7.93% 8.14% 6.58% 6.58% 6.58% 6.58% 6.58%
COR % of Revenue 72.13% 71.95% 71.89% 71.83% 71.95% 71.91% 71.90% 71.90% 71.91%
Selling, marketing & advertisement margin 14.79% 14.92% 14.63% 14.56% 14.73% 14.71% 14.66% 14.66% 14.69%
Goodwill and other intangible assets margin 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Business realingment charges margin 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tax rate 37.79% 37.68% 37.74% 36.67% 37.73% 37.73% 37.73% 37.73% 37.73%
Interest expense
Net income per share:
Basic common stock 2.53 2.24 1.97 1.80
Diluted common stock 2.51 2.21 1.94 1.77
Basic class B stock 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Diluted class B stock 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic common stock 438,000 425,761 413,553 403,034
Basic class B stock 0 0 0 0
Diluted 445,570 431,610 418,077 406,405
Dividends paid on common stock 131 110 168 192
Dividend per share common stock 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Divdends paid on class B stock 0 0 0 0
Dividend per share of class B 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
x BALANCE SHEET
Fiscal year 2013.01.31 A 2014.01.31 A 2015.01.31 A 2016.01.31 A 2017.01.31 A 2018.01.31 A 2019.01.31 A 2020.01.31 A 2021.01.31 A
Current assets
Cash & equivalents 647 423 697 762 1,126 1,168 1,356 1,587 1,900
Short-term investments 1 12 1 2 1 2 2 2 2
Accounts receivable, net 60 63 73 74 81 87 93 99 105
Inventories 1,209 1,257 1,373 1,419 1,549 1,650 1,759 1,874 1,998
Current deferred income tax 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prepaid expenses and other 74 81 107 116 124 132 140 150 160
Total current assets 2,250 2,372 2,882 3,039 3,349 3,712 4,165
Non-current assets
Property, plant & equipment, net 1,493 1,875 2,274 2,343 2,625 2,914 3,212 3,517 3,831
Goodwill 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Intangibles Net 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Long Term Investments 4 4 3 1 3 2 3 3 3
Other Long Term Assests , Total 139 148 161 153 174 179 194 206 220
Total non-current assets 2,438 2,497 2,801 3,095 3,409 3,726 4,054
Total assets 4,687 4,869 5,683 6,134 6,759 7,437 8,219
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable 808 779 1,001 946 1,082 1,114 1,208 1,276 1,366
Accrued Expenses 562 595 641 657 721 758 813 863 922
Accrued income taxes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Short-term debt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other Current Liabilities, net 54 18 17 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total current liabilities 1,423 1,393 1,659 1,603 1,803 1,872 2,020 2,140 2,288
Non-current liabilities
Long-term debt 150 150 396 396 439 459 494 524 560
Other long-term liabilities 0 0 280 268 601 627 672 719 766
Deferred Income Tax 331 346 74 130 110 132 134 146 153
Total non-current liabilities 481 496 749 794 1,150 1,218 1,299 1,390 1,479
Total liabilities 1,904 1,890 2,408 2,397 2,953 3,090 3,320 3,529 3,768
Common stock, shares issued 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Class B common stock, shares issued: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Additional paid in capital 864 933 1,014 1,122 1,227 1,339 1,464 1,595 1,738
Retained earnings 989 1,191 1,422 1,575 1,775 2,023 2,338 2,722 3,169
Treasury common stock shares
Svetislav Pejcic: Svetislav Pejcic: At cost: 143,124,384 in 2015 138,856,786 in 2014
(92) (122) (161) (230) (275) (321) (367) (413) (459)
Other Equity , Total 1 0 0 0 0 (0) (0) (0) (0)
Total Ross Stores stockholders' equity 1,767 2,007 2,279 2,472 2,730 3,044 3,438 3,908 4,451
Noncontrolling interest in subsidiaries 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total stockholders' equity 1,767 2,007 2,279 2,472 2,730 3,044 3,438 3,908 4,451
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity 3,671 3,897 4,687 4,869 5,683 6,134 6,758 7,437 8,219
0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Balance check 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
x ASSETS
Fiscal year 2013.01.31 A 2014.01.31 A 2015.01.31 A 2016.01.31 A 2017.01.31 A 2018.01.31 A 2019.01.31 A 2020.01.31 A 2021.01.31 A
Short-term investments
Beginning of period 1 0 1 2 2 2
Increases / (decreases) (1) 1 0 (0) 0 0
End of period 1 0 1 2 2 2 2
STI as % of sales 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Accounts receivable, net
Beginning of period 60 63 73 74 81 87 93 99
Increases / (decreases) 3 11 0 8 5 6 6 6
End of period 60 63 73 74 81 87 93 99 105
AR as % of sales 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%
Inventories
Beginning of period 1,209 1,257 1,373 1,419 1,549 1,650 1,759 1,874
Increases / (decreases) 48 116 46 130 101 108 116 124
End of period 1,209 1,257 1,373 1,419 1,549 1,650 1,759 1,874 1,998
Inv as % of COR 17.1% 17.3% 16.5% 16.9% 16.9% 16.9% 16.9% 16.9%
Current deferred income tax
Beginning of period 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Increases / (decreases) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
End of period 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prepaid expenses and other
Beginning of period 74 81 107 116 124 132 140 150
Increases / (decreases) 7 26 9 7 8 9 9 10
End of period 74 81 107 116 124 132 140 150 160
PP Exp as % of COR 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
Property, plant & equipment, net
Beginning of period 1493 1875 2274 2343 2625 2914 3212 3517
Plus capital expenditures 588 631 344 539 577 618 659 700
Less depreciation 206 233 275 257 288 320 353 386
End of period 1875 2274 2343 2625 2914 3212 3517 3831
Capex:
Capital additions 588 631 344 539 577 618 659 700
Capital additions as % of operating income 44% 42% 21% 32% 32% 32% 32% 32%
CapEx as % of Net PPE 31% 28% 15% 21% 20% 19% 19% 18%
Depreciation and amortization:
Depreciation 206 233 275 257 288 320 353 386
Depreciation as % of Capex 35% 37% 80% 48% 50% 52% 54% 55%
Depreciation as % of PP&E 11.0% 10.2% 11.7% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11%
Depreciation as % of Sales 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Amortization 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Amortization as % of Capex 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Amortization as % of intangible assets 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Amortization as % of sales 0.000% 0.000% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Goodwill
Beginning of period 0 0 0 0 0 0
Increases / (decreases) (net of impairments) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Impairments (2015) 0 0 0 0 0 0
End of period 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goodwill as % of COR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Intangibles Net
Beginning of period 0 0 0 0 0 0
amort 0 0 0 0 0 0
Increases / (decreases) 0 0 0 0 0 0
End of period 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other intangibles as % of COR 0.0% 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Long Term Investments
Beginning of period 3 1 3 2 3 3
Increases / (decreases) (2) 2 (0) 0 0 0
End of period 3 1 3 2 3 3 3
OA as % of COR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Other Long Term Assests , Total
Svetislav Pejcic: Svetislav Pejcic: accounts for all the following erred tax assets: Post-retirement benefit obligations Accrued expenses and other reserves Stock-based compensation Derivative instruments Pension Lease financing obligation Accrued trade promotion reserves Net operating loss carryforwards Capital loss carryforwards Other Gross deferred tax assets Valuation allowance
Beginning of period 139 148 161 153 174 179 194 206
Increases / (decreases) 9 13 (8) 21 5 15 11 14
End of period 139 148 161 153 174 179 194 206 220
Other Long Term Assets as % to Sales 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%
x LIABILITIES
Fiscal year 2013.01.31 A 2014.01.31 A 2015.01.31 A 2016.01.31 A 2017.01.31 A 2018.01.31 A 2019.01.31 A 2020.01.31 A 2021.01.31 A
Accounts payable
Beginning of period 808 779 1,001 946 1,082 1,114 1,208 1,276
Increases / (decreases) (28) 221 (55) 136 32 94 69 90
End of period 808 779 1,001 946 1,082 1,114 1,208 1,276 1,366
Accounts payable as % of COR 10.6% 12.6% 11.0% 11.8% 11.4% 11.6% 11.5% 11.6%
Accrued Expenses
Beginning of period 562 595 641 657 721 758 813 863
Increases / (decreases) 34 46 16 64 37 55 51 59
End of period 562 595 641 657 721 758 813 863 922
Accrued liabilities as % of COR 8.1% 8.1% 7.7% 7.9% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8%
Accrued income taxes
Beginning of period 0 0 0 0 0 0
Increases / (decreases) 0 0 0 0 0 0
End of period 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TP as % of sales 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TP as % of tax expense 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Short-term debt
Beginning of period 0 0 0 0 0 0
Increases / (decreases) 0 0 0 0 0 0
End of period 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Short term debt as % of COR 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Short term debt as % total liab 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Short term debt as % total assets 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Other Current Liabilities, net
Beginning of period 17 0 0 0 0 0
Increases / (decreases) (17) 0 0 0 0 0
End of period 17 0 0 0 0 0 0
Curr portion of LT debt as % of LT debt 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Curr portion of LT debt as % of total debt 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Long-term debt
Beginning of period 150 150 396 396 439 459 494 524
Increases / (decreases) 0 246 0 43 20 35 30 36
End of period 150 150 396 396 439 459 494 524 560
Debt as % Sales 1% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Interest rate as a percent of operating income 0.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
Interest rate as a percent of Debt 0.7% 3.2% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
Other long-term liabilities
Beginning of period 0 0 280 268 601 627 672 719
Increases / (decreases) 0 280 (11) 333 26 44 48 47
End of period 0 0 280 268 601 627 672 719 766
Other long-term liabilities % of operating income 0.0% 18.8% 16.5% 37% 37% 37% 37% 37%
Other long-term liabilities % of total Liab 0.0% 11.6% 11.2% 20.4% 20.3% 20.2% 20.4% 20.3%
Deferred Income Tax
Beginning of period 331 346 74 130 110 132 134 146
Increases / (decreases) 15 (273) 56 (20) 22 2 13 7
End of period 331 346 74 130 110 132 134 146 153
Deferred Income Tax as a % of EBT 25.8% 5.0% 8.1% 6.5% 7.3% 6.9% 7.1% 7.0%
x STOCKHOLDER EQUITY
Fiscal year 2013.01.31 A 2014.01.31 A 2015.01.31 A 2016.01.31 A 2017.01.31 A 2018.01.31 A 2019.01.31 A 2020.01.31 A 2021.01.31 A
Paid in Capital
Beginning of period 869 938 1,018 1,126 1,227 1,339 1,464 1,595
Stock Based Comp 47 53 71 64 71 78 81 87
Common Stock Issued Other 47 52 62 61 66 72 75 80
Common Stock Repurchased (24) (25) (25) (25) (25) (25) (25) (25)
End of period 869 938 1,018 1,126 1,227 1,339 1,464 1,595 1,738
Stk comp as % pretax profit 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
Common Issued other as % pretax profit 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
Retained earnings
Beginning of period 989 1,191 1,422 1,575 1,775 2,023 2,338 2,722
Net income 837 925 1,021 1,051 1,125 1,205 1,284 1,364
Dividends (110) (168) (192) (176) (202) (215) (225) (242)
Common Stock Repurchased (525) (525) (675) (675) (675) (675) (675) (675)
End of period 989 1,191 1,422 1,575 1,775 2,023 2,338 2,722 3,169
Dividend of common stock as % of net income 13% 18% 19% 17% 18% 18% 18% 18%
Common Issued other as % pretax profit 39% 35% 42% 39% 39% 40% 39% 39%
Treasury common stock shares
Beginning of period (92) (122) (161) (230) (275) (321) (367) (413)
Treasury Stock Other (30) (39) (69) (46) (46) (46) (46) (46)
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
End of period (122) (161) (230) (275) (321) (367) (413) (459)
Comprehensive Inc
Beginning of period 1 0 0 0 0 (0) (0) (0)
Increases / (decreases) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0)
End of period 0 0 0 0 (0) (0) (0) (0)
Non-controlling Interest
Beginning of period 0 0 0 0 0 0
Increases / (decreases) 0 0 0 0 0 0
End of period 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
x CASH FLOW STATEMENT
Fiscal year 2017.01.31 A 2018.01.31 A 2019.01.31 A 2020.01.31 A 2021.01.31 A
Cash from operating activities
Net income 1,021 1,051 1,125 1,205 1,284 1,364
Depreciation 275 257 288 320 353 386
Deferred Income Tax
Stock Based Comp 71 64 71 78 81 87
Short-term investments 1 (1) (0) 0 (0) (0)
Accounts receivable, net (0) (8) (5) (6) (6) (6)
Inventories (46) (130) (101) (108) (116) (124)
Current DTA 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prepaid expenses and other (9) (7) (8) (9) (9) (10)
Accounts payable (55) 136 32 94 69 90
Accd Exp Pay 16 64 37 55 51 59
Accrued income taxes 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 1,271 1,426 1,438 1,630 1,705 1,846
Cash from investing activities
Capex: (344) (539) (577) (618) (659) (700)
Goodwill 0 0 0 0 0 0
Intangibles Net 0 0 0 0 0 0
Long Term Investments 2 (2) 0 (0) (0) (0)
Other Long Term Assests , Total 8 (21) (5) (15) (11) (14)
Total (334) (562) (582) (634) (670) (715)
Cash from financing activities
Short-term debt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other Current Liabilities, net (17) 0 0 0 0 0
Long-term debt 0 43 20 35 30 36
Other long-term liabilities (11) 333 26 44 48 47
Deferred Income Tax 56 (20) 22 2 13 7
Pay dividends (192) (176) (202) (215) (225) (242)
Common Stock Issued Other 62 61 66 72 75 80
Treasury Stock Other (69) (46) (46) (46) (46) (46)
Common Stock Repurchased (700) (700) (700) (700) (700) (700)
Comprehensive Inc (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0)
Non-controlling interest changes 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total (871) (505) (814) (808) (805) (818)
Net change in cash during period
Svetislav Pejcic: Svetislav Pejcic: Even thought there is a negative cash flow, it balances. I have chosen to let this stay since on the 10k they have experienced this as well for the past years

Svetislav Pejcic: Svetislav Pejcic: accounts for all the following erred tax assets: Post-retirement benefit obligations Accrued expenses and other reserves Stock-based compensation Derivative instruments Pension Lease financing obligation Accrued trade promotion reserves Net operating loss carryforwards Capital loss carryforwards Other Gross deferred tax assets Valuation allowance

Svetislav Pejcic: Svetislav Pejcic: At cost: 143,124,384 in 2015 138,856,786 in 2014
67 359 42 188 231 313