financial model project
Overview
Final Exam Overview of Concepts Used Section 1 1.) Proforma – Income statement 2.) Amortization schedule 3.) Solver use/ Goal seek Section 2 4.) Solver use / Goal seek 5.) Using Max/Min functions 6.) Straddle option strategy Section 3 7.) V-look up 8.) Data Tables
Pro Forma Income Statements
| Information Section | Proposed Recommendation | ||||||
| Table 1 | Table 5 | ||||||
| Historical Information | Pro Forma Income Statement | ||||||
| Total donations raised since April 2005 | $ 12,300,000 | Demand Scenarios | 1 | No change in demand | |||
| Water bottles sold to date | 246,000,000 | UNITS SOLD | 22,363,636 | ||||
| Years | 11 | SPU | $ 2.25 | ||||
| Average bottles sold per year | 22,363,636 | Total Revenue | $ 50,318,181.00 | ||||
| TOTAL DONATION | $ 2,236,363.60 | ||||||
| Table 2 | NET REV | $ 48,081,817.40 | |||||
| Key Pricing Structure for Ethos Water | NET Margin | 95.56% | |||||
| Current | Proposed | % increase | |||||
| Price per bottle | $ 1.95 | $ 2.25 | 15.38% | ||||
| Donation flat amount | $ 0.05 | $ 0.10 | 100% | ||||
| Donation percentage of selling price | 2.56% | 4.44% | 73.33% | ||||
| Table 3 | |||||||
| Yearly Demand Scenario Table | |||||||
| 1 | No change in demand | 0.00% | |||||
| 2 | Decrease in demand | -10% | |||||
| 3 | Increased demand | 10% | |||||
| Average Bottles Sold per Year | |||||||
| 1 | No change in demand | 22,363,636 | |||||
| 2 | Decrease in demand | 20,127,273 | |||||
| 3 | Increased demand | 24,600,000 | |||||
| Table 4 | |||||||
| Base Case Income Statement | |||||||
| Demand Scenarios | 1 | No change in demand | |||||
| UNITS SOLD | 22,363,636 | ||||||
| SPU | $ 1.95 | ||||||
| Total Revenue | $ 43,609,090.20 | ||||||
| TOTAL DONATION | $ 1,118,181.80 | ||||||
| NET REV | 42,490,908 | ||||||
| NET Margin | 97.44% | ||||||
Key Stats Implications
| Comparison of Key Stats | ||||
| Current | Proposed | Difference | % Change | |
| Demand Scenarios | 1 | 1 | No change in demand | |
| UNITS SOLD | 22,363,636 | 22,363,636 | - 0 | 0.00% |
| SPU | $ 1.95 | $ 2.25 | $ 0.30 | 15.38% |
| Total Revenue | $ 43,609,090.20 | $ 50,318,181.00 | $ 6,709,090.80 | 15.38% |
| TOTAL DONATION | $ 1,118,181.80 | $ 2,236,363.60 | $ 1,118,181.80 | 100.00% |
| NET REV | $ 42,490,908.40 | $ 48,081,817.40 | $ 5,590,909.00 | 13.16% Administrator: Like stock returns… (End/Beg) -1 |
| NET Margin | 97.44% | 95.56% | -1.88% | -1.93% |
Current Ethos Water @ $1.95
$1,118,181.80
$42,490,908.40
TOTAL DONATION NET REV 1118181.8 42490908.399999999Proposed Ethos Water @ $2.25
TOTAL DONATION NET REV
TOTAL DONATION NET REV 2236363.6 48081817.399999999
DATA TABLE
| DATA TABLE | |||||||||||||||
| Affect on demand | |||||||||||||||
| Normal Units Sold | 22,363,636 | Net Revenue | 43,273,635.66 | 0% | -5% | -10% | -15% | -20% | -25% | -30% | -35% | -40% | -45% | -50% | |
| Affect on demand | -10% | Price | $ 1.80 | $ 38,018,181 | $ 36,117,272 | $ 34,216,363 | $ 32,315,454 | $ 30,414,545 | $ 28,513,636 | $ 26,612,727 | $ 24,711,818 | $ 22,810,909 | $ 20,910,000 | $ 19,009,091 | |
| New Output | 20,127,272.40 | $ 1.85 | $ 39,136,363 | $ 37,179,545 | $ 35,222,727 | $ 33,265,909 | $ 31,309,090 | $ 29,352,272 | $ 27,395,454 | $ 25,438,636 | $ 23,481,818 | $ 21,525,000 | $ 19,568,182 | ||
| Selling price | $ 2.25 | $ 1.90 | $ 40,254,545 | $ 38,241,818 | $ 36,229,090 | $ 34,216,363 | $ 32,203,636 | $ 30,190,909 | $ 28,178,181 | $ 26,165,454 | $ 24,152,727 | $ 22,140,000 | $ 20,127,272 | ||
| Total Revenue | 45,286,362.90 | $ 1.95 | $ 41,372,727 | $ 39,304,090 | $ 37,235,454 | $ 35,166,818 | $ 33,098,181 | $ 31,029,545 | $ 28,960,909 | $ 26,892,272 | $ 24,823,636 | $ 22,755,000 | $ 20,686,363 | ||
| Donation | $ 0.10 | $ 2.00 | $ 42,490,908 | $ 40,366,363 | $ 38,241,818 | $ 36,117,272 | $ 33,992,727 | $ 31,868,181 | $ 29,743,636 | $ 27,619,090 | $ 25,494,545 | $ 23,370,000 | $ 21,245,454 | ||
| Total Donation | 2,012,727.24 | $ 2.05 | $ 43,609,090 | $ 41,428,636 | $ 39,248,181 | $ 37,067,727 | $ 34,887,272 | $ 32,706,818 | $ 30,526,363 | $ 28,345,909 | $ 26,165,454 | $ 23,985,000 | $ 21,804,545 | ||
| Net Revenue | 43,273,635.66 | $ 2.10 | $ 44,727,272 | $ 42,490,908 | $ 40,254,545 | $ 38,018,181 | $ 35,781,818 | $ 33,545,454 | $ 31,309,090 | $ 29,072,727 | $ 26,836,363 | $ 24,600,000 | $ 22,363,636 | ||
| $ 2.15 | $ 45,845,454 | $ 43,553,181 | $ 41,260,908 | $ 38,968,636 | $ 36,676,363 | $ 34,384,090 | $ 32,091,818 | $ 29,799,545 | $ 27,507,272 | $ 25,215,000 | $ 22,922,727 | ||||
| Base Case Net Revenue | $ 2.20 | $ 46,963,636 | $ 44,615,454 | $ 42,267,272 | $ 39,919,090 | $ 37,570,908 | $ 35,222,727 | $ 32,874,545 | $ 30,526,363 | $ 28,178,181 | $ 25,830,000 | $ 23,481,818 | |||
| $ 42,490,908.40 | $ 2.25 | $ 48,081,817 | $ 45,677,727 | $ 43,273,636 | $ 40,869,545 | $ 38,465,454 | $ 36,061,363 | $ 33,657,272 | $ 31,253,181 | $ 28,849,090 | $ 26,445,000 | $ 24,040,909 | |||
| $ 2.30 | $ 49,199,999 | $ 46,739,999 | $ 44,279,999 | $ 41,819,999 | $ 39,359,999 | $ 36,899,999 | $ 34,439,999 | $ 31,979,999 | $ 29,520,000 | $ 27,060,000 | $ 24,600,000 | ||||
| $ 2.35 | $ 50,318,181 | $ 47,802,272 | $ 45,286,363 | $ 42,770,454 | $ 40,254,545 | $ 37,738,636 | $ 35,222,727 | $ 32,706,818 | $ 30,190,909 | $ 27,675,000 | $ 25,159,091 | ||||
| $ 2.40 | $ 51,436,363 | $ 48,864,545 | $ 46,292,727 | $ 43,720,908 | $ 41,149,090 | $ 38,577,272 | $ 36,005,454 | $ 33,433,636 | $ 30,861,818 | $ 28,290,000 | $ 25,718,181 | ||||
| $ 2.45 | $ 52,554,545 | $ 49,926,817 | $ 47,299,090 | $ 44,671,363 | $ 42,043,636 | $ 39,415,908 | $ 36,788,181 | $ 34,160,454 | $ 31,532,727 | $ 28,905,000 | $ 26,277,272 | ||||
| $ 2.50 | $ 53,672,726 | $ 50,989,090 | $ 48,305,454 | $ 45,621,817 | $ 42,938,181 | $ 40,254,545 | $ 37,570,908 | $ 34,887,272 | $ 32,203,636 | $ 29,520,000 | $ 26,836,363 | ||||
| $ 2.55 | $ 54,790,908 | $ 52,051,363 | $ 49,311,817 | $ 46,572,272 | $ 43,832,727 | $ 41,093,181 | $ 38,353,636 | $ 35,614,090 | $ 32,874,545 | $ 30,135,000 | $ 27,395,454 | ||||
| $ 2.60 | $ 55,909,090 | $ 53,113,636 | $ 50,318,181 | $ 47,522,726 | $ 44,727,272 | $ 41,931,818 | $ 39,136,363 | $ 36,340,909 | $ 33,545,454 | $ 30,750,000 | $ 27,954,545 | ||||
| $ 2.65 | $ 57,027,272 | $ 54,175,908 | $ 51,324,545 | $ 48,473,181 | $ 45,621,817 | $ 42,770,454 | $ 39,919,090 | $ 37,067,727 | $ 34,216,363 | $ 31,364,999 | $ 28,513,636 | ||||
| $ 2.70 | $ 58,145,454 | $ 55,238,181 | $ 52,330,908 | $ 49,423,636 | $ 46,516,363 | $ 43,609,090 | $ 40,701,818 | $ 37,794,545 | $ 34,887,272 | $ 31,979,999 | $ 29,072,727 | ||||
| $ 2.75 | $ 59,263,635 | $ 56,300,454 | $ 53,337,272 | $ 50,374,090 | $ 47,410,908 | $ 44,447,727 | $ 41,484,545 | $ 38,521,363 | $ 35,558,181 | $ 32,594,999 | $ 29,631,818 | ||||
| $ 2.80 | $ 60,381,817 | $ 57,362,726 | $ 54,343,635 | $ 51,324,545 | $ 48,305,454 | $ 45,286,363 | $ 42,267,272 | $ 39,248,181 | $ 36,229,090 | $ 33,209,999 | $ 30,190,909 | ||||
| $ 2.85 | $ 61,499,999 | $ 58,424,999 | $ 55,349,999 | $ 52,274,999 | $ 49,199,999 | $ 46,124,999 | $ 43,049,999 | $ 39,974,999 | $ 36,899,999 | $ 33,824,999 | $ 30,750,000 | ||||
| $ 2.90 | $ 62,618,181 | $ 59,487,272 | $ 56,356,363 | $ 53,225,454 | $ 50,094,545 | $ 46,963,636 | $ 43,832,727 | $ 40,701,818 | $ 37,570,908 | $ 34,439,999 | $ 31,309,090 | ||||
| $ 2.95 | $ 63,736,363 | $ 60,549,544 | $ 57,362,726 | $ 54,175,908 | $ 50,989,090 | $ 47,802,272 | $ 44,615,454 | $ 41,428,636 | $ 38,241,818 | $ 35,054,999 | $ 31,868,181 | ||||
| $ 3.00 | $ 64,854,544 | $ 61,611,817 | $ 58,369,090 | $ 55,126,363 | $ 51,883,636 | $ 48,640,908 | $ 45,398,181 | $ 42,155,454 | $ 38,912,727 | $ 35,669,999 | $ 32,427,272 | ||||
Note: Cells hilghlighted in yellow can vary. Cells highlighted in green denote the prices at which the proposed net revenue will be greater than the base case net revenue. The cell highlighted in purple is what I am proposing.
Amortization Schedule Base Case
| Loan | $ 50,000,000 | ||||
| Int Rate | 5% | Payment | $ 943,561.68 | ||
| Months | 60 | ||||
| Down payment | $ - 0 | ||||
| Total Interest | $ 6,613,700.93 | ||||
| Months | BEG Principal | Interest | Payment | Principal Paid | END BAL |
| 0 | $ 50,000,000.00 | 0 | 0 | $ - 0 | $ 50,000,000.00 |
| 1 | $ 50,000,000.00 | $ 208,333.33 | $943,561.68 | $ 735,228.35 | $ 49,264,771.65 |
| 2 | $ 49,264,771.65 | $ 205,269.88 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 738,291.80 | $ 48,526,479.85 |
| 3 | $ 48,526,479.85 | $ 202,193.67 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 741,368.02 | $ 47,785,111.83 |
| 4 | $ 47,785,111.83 | $ 199,104.63 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 744,457.05 | $ 47,040,654.79 |
| 5 | $ 47,040,654.79 | $ 196,002.73 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 747,558.95 | $ 46,293,095.83 |
| 6 | $ 46,293,095.83 | $ 192,887.90 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 750,673.78 | $ 45,542,422.05 |
| 7 | $ 45,542,422.05 | $ 189,760.09 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 753,801.59 | $ 44,788,620.46 |
| 8 | $ 44,788,620.46 | $ 186,619.25 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 756,942.43 | $ 44,031,678.03 |
| 9 | $ 44,031,678.03 | $ 183,465.33 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 760,096.36 | $ 43,271,581.67 |
| 10 | $ 43,271,581.67 | $ 180,298.26 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 763,263.43 | $ 42,508,318.25 |
| 11 | $ 42,508,318.25 | $ 177,117.99 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 766,443.69 | $ 41,741,874.56 |
| 12 | $ 41,741,874.56 | $ 173,924.48 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 769,637.20 | $ 40,972,237.35 |
| 13 | $ 40,972,237.35 | $ 170,717.66 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 772,844.03 | $ 40,199,393.32 |
| 14 | $ 40,199,393.32 | $ 167,497.47 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 776,064.21 | $ 39,423,329.11 |
| 15 | $ 39,423,329.11 | $ 164,263.87 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 779,297.81 | $ 38,644,031.30 |
| 16 | $ 38,644,031.30 | $ 161,016.80 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 782,544.89 | $ 37,861,486.42 |
| 17 | $ 37,861,486.42 | $ 157,756.19 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 785,805.49 | $ 37,075,680.93 |
| 18 | $ 37,075,680.93 | $ 154,482.00 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 789,079.68 | $ 36,286,601.25 |
| 19 | $ 36,286,601.25 | $ 151,194.17 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 792,367.51 | $ 35,494,233.74 |
| 20 | $ 35,494,233.74 | $ 147,892.64 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 795,669.04 | $ 34,698,564.70 |
| 21 | $ 34,698,564.70 | $ 144,577.35 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 798,984.33 | $ 33,899,580.37 |
| 22 | $ 33,899,580.37 | $ 141,248.25 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 802,313.43 | $ 33,097,266.94 |
| 23 | $ 33,097,266.94 | $ 137,905.28 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 805,656.40 | $ 32,291,610.54 |
| 24 | $ 32,291,610.54 | $ 134,548.38 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 809,013.30 | $ 31,482,597.23 |
| 25 | $ 31,482,597.23 | $ 131,177.49 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 812,384.19 | $ 30,670,213.04 |
| 26 | $ 30,670,213.04 | $ 127,792.55 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 815,769.13 | $ 29,854,443.91 |
| 27 | $ 29,854,443.91 | $ 124,393.52 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 819,168.17 | $ 29,035,275.74 |
| 28 | $ 29,035,275.74 | $ 120,980.32 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 822,581.37 | $ 28,212,694.38 |
| 29 | $ 28,212,694.38 | $ 117,552.89 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 826,008.79 | $ 27,386,685.59 |
| 30 | $ 27,386,685.59 | $ 114,111.19 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 829,450.49 | $ 26,557,235.10 |
| 31 | $ 26,557,235.10 | $ 110,655.15 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 832,906.54 | $ 25,724,328.56 |
| 32 | $ 25,724,328.56 | $ 107,184.70 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 836,376.98 | $ 24,887,951.58 |
| 33 | $ 24,887,951.58 | $ 103,699.80 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 839,861.88 | $ 24,048,089.70 |
| 34 | $ 24,048,089.70 | $ 100,200.37 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 843,361.31 | $ 23,204,728.39 |
| 35 | $ 23,204,728.39 | $ 96,686.37 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 846,875.31 | $ 22,357,853.07 |
| 36 | $ 22,357,853.07 | $ 93,157.72 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 850,403.96 | $ 21,507,449.11 |
| 37 | $ 21,507,449.11 | $ 89,614.37 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 853,947.31 | $ 20,653,501.80 |
| 38 | $ 20,653,501.80 | $ 86,056.26 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 857,505.42 | $ 19,795,996.38 |
| 39 | $ 19,795,996.38 | $ 82,483.32 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 861,078.36 | $ 18,934,918.01 |
| 40 | $ 18,934,918.01 | $ 78,895.49 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 864,666.19 | $ 18,070,251.82 |
| 41 | $ 18,070,251.82 | $ 75,292.72 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 868,268.97 | $ 17,201,982.86 |
| 42 | $ 17,201,982.86 | $ 71,674.93 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 871,886.75 | $ 16,330,096.10 |
| 43 | $ 16,330,096.10 | $ 68,042.07 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 875,519.62 | $ 15,454,576.49 |
| 44 | $ 15,454,576.49 | $ 64,394.07 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 879,167.61 | $ 14,575,408.87 |
| 45 | $ 14,575,408.87 | $ 60,730.87 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 882,830.81 | $ 13,692,578.06 |
| 46 | $ 13,692,578.06 | $ 57,052.41 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 886,509.27 | $ 12,806,068.79 |
| 47 | $ 12,806,068.79 | $ 53,358.62 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 890,203.06 | $ 11,915,865.73 |
| 48 | $ 11,915,865.73 | $ 49,649.44 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 893,912.24 | $ 11,021,953.48 |
| 49 | $ 11,021,953.48 | $ 45,924.81 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 897,636.88 | $ 10,124,316.61 |
| 50 | $ 10,124,316.61 | $ 42,184.65 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 901,377.03 | $ 9,222,939.58 |
| 51 | $ 9,222,939.58 | $ 38,428.91 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 905,132.77 | $ 8,317,806.81 |
| 52 | $ 8,317,806.81 | $ 34,657.53 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 908,904.15 | $ 7,408,902.66 |
| 53 | $ 7,408,902.66 | $ 30,870.43 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 912,691.25 | $ 6,496,211.40 |
| 54 | $ 6,496,211.40 | $ 27,067.55 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 916,494.13 | $ 5,579,717.27 |
| 55 | $ 5,579,717.27 | $ 23,248.82 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 920,312.86 | $ 4,659,404.41 |
| 56 | $ 4,659,404.41 | $ 19,414.19 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 924,147.50 | $ 3,735,256.91 |
| 57 | $ 3,735,256.91 | $ 15,563.57 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 927,998.11 | $ 2,807,258.80 |
| 58 | $ 2,807,258.80 | $ 11,696.91 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 931,864.77 | $ 1,875,394.03 |
| 59 | $ 1,875,394.03 | $ 7,814.14 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 935,747.54 | $ 939,646.49 |
| 60 | $ 939,646.49 | $ 3,915.19 | $ 943,561.68 | $ 939,646.49 | $ 0.00 |
| TOTAL | $ 6,613,700.93 | ||||
Amortization Schedule (Solver)
| Loan | $ 50,000,000.00 | Old Payment | $ 943,561.68 | ||
| Int Rate | 5% | New Payment | $ 713,338.64 | ||
| Months | 60 | Difference | $ (230,223.04) | ||
| Down payment | $ 12,199,681.76 | ||||
| Total Interest | $ 5,000,000.00 | ||||
| Months | BEG Principal | Interest | Payment | Principal Paid | END BAL |
| 0 | $ 50,000,000.00 | 0 | 0 | $ 12,199,681.76 | $ 37,800,318.24 |
| 1 | $ 37,800,318.24 | $ 157,501.33 | $713,338.64 | $ 555,837.31 | $ 37,244,480.93 |
| 2 | $ 37,244,480.93 | $ 155,185.34 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 558,153.30 | $ 36,686,327.63 |
| 3 | $ 36,686,327.63 | $ 152,859.70 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 560,478.94 | $ 36,125,848.69 |
| 4 | $ 36,125,848.69 | $ 150,524.37 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 562,814.27 | $ 35,563,034.43 |
| 5 | $ 35,563,034.43 | $ 148,179.31 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 565,159.33 | $ 34,997,875.10 |
| 6 | $ 34,997,875.10 | $ 145,824.48 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 567,514.16 | $ 34,430,360.94 |
| 7 | $ 34,430,360.94 | $ 143,459.84 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 569,878.80 | $ 33,860,482.14 |
| 8 | $ 33,860,482.14 | $ 141,085.34 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 572,253.30 | $ 33,288,228.85 |
| 9 | $ 33,288,228.85 | $ 138,700.95 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 574,637.68 | $ 32,713,591.16 |
| 10 | $ 32,713,591.16 | $ 136,306.63 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 577,032.01 | $ 32,136,559.15 |
| 11 | $ 32,136,559.15 | $ 133,902.33 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 579,436.31 | $ 31,557,122.85 |
| 12 | $ 31,557,122.85 | $ 131,488.01 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 581,850.63 | $ 30,975,272.22 |
| 13 | $ 30,975,272.22 | $ 129,063.63 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 584,275.00 | $ 30,390,997.22 |
| 14 | $ 30,390,997.22 | $ 126,629.16 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 586,709.48 | $ 29,804,287.74 |
| 15 | $ 29,804,287.74 | $ 124,184.53 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 589,154.11 | $ 29,215,133.63 |
| 16 | $ 29,215,133.63 | $ 121,729.72 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 591,608.91 | $ 28,623,524.72 |
| 17 | $ 28,623,524.72 | $ 119,264.69 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 594,073.95 | $ 28,029,450.76 |
| 18 | $ 28,029,450.76 | $ 116,789.38 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 596,549.26 | $ 27,432,901.51 |
| 19 | $ 27,432,901.51 | $ 114,303.76 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 599,034.88 | $ 26,833,866.62 |
| 20 | $ 26,833,866.62 | $ 111,807.78 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 601,530.86 | $ 26,232,335.76 |
| 21 | $ 26,232,335.76 | $ 109,301.40 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 604,037.24 | $ 25,628,298.53 |
| 22 | $ 25,628,298.53 | $ 106,784.58 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 606,554.06 | $ 25,021,744.47 |
| 23 | $ 25,021,744.47 | $ 104,257.27 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 609,081.37 | $ 24,412,663.10 |
| 24 | $ 24,412,663.10 | $ 101,719.43 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 611,619.21 | $ 23,801,043.89 |
| 25 | $ 23,801,043.89 | $ 99,171.02 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 614,167.62 | $ 23,186,876.27 |
| 26 | $ 23,186,876.27 | $ 96,611.98 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 616,726.65 | $ 22,570,149.62 |
| 27 | $ 22,570,149.62 | $ 94,042.29 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 619,296.35 | $ 21,950,853.27 |
| 28 | $ 21,950,853.27 | $ 91,461.89 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 621,876.75 | $ 21,328,976.52 |
| 29 | $ 21,328,976.52 | $ 88,870.74 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 624,467.90 | $ 20,704,508.62 |
| 30 | $ 20,704,508.62 | $ 86,268.79 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 627,069.85 | $ 20,077,438.77 |
| 31 | $ 20,077,438.77 | $ 83,655.99 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 629,682.64 | $ 19,447,756.12 |
| 32 | $ 19,447,756.12 | $ 81,032.32 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 632,306.32 | $ 18,815,449.80 |
| 33 | $ 18,815,449.80 | $ 78,397.71 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 634,940.93 | $ 18,180,508.87 |
| 34 | $ 18,180,508.87 | $ 75,752.12 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 637,586.52 | $ 17,542,922.36 |
| 35 | $ 17,542,922.36 | $ 73,095.51 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 640,243.13 | $ 16,902,679.23 |
| 36 | $ 16,902,679.23 | $ 70,427.83 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 642,910.81 | $ 16,259,768.42 |
| 37 | $ 16,259,768.42 | $ 67,749.04 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 645,589.60 | $ 15,614,178.82 |
| 38 | $ 15,614,178.82 | $ 65,059.08 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 648,279.56 | $ 14,965,899.26 |
| 39 | $ 14,965,899.26 | $ 62,357.91 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 650,980.72 | $ 14,314,918.54 |
| 40 | $ 14,314,918.54 | $ 59,645.49 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 653,693.14 | $ 13,661,225.39 |
| 41 | $ 13,661,225.39 | $ 56,921.77 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 656,416.86 | $ 13,004,808.53 |
| 42 | $ 13,004,808.53 | $ 54,186.70 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 659,151.94 | $ 12,345,656.59 |
| 43 | $ 12,345,656.59 | $ 51,440.24 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 661,898.40 | $ 11,683,758.19 |
| 44 | $ 11,683,758.19 | $ 48,682.33 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 664,656.31 | $ 11,019,101.88 |
| 45 | $ 11,019,101.88 | $ 45,912.92 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 667,425.71 | $ 10,351,676.17 |
| 46 | $ 10,351,676.17 | $ 43,131.98 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 670,206.65 | $ 9,681,469.51 |
| 47 | $ 9,681,469.51 | $ 40,339.46 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 672,999.18 | $ 9,008,470.33 |
| 48 | $ 9,008,470.33 | $ 37,535.29 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 675,803.34 | $ 8,332,666.99 |
| 49 | $ 8,332,666.99 | $ 34,719.45 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 678,619.19 | $ 7,654,047.80 |
| 50 | $ 7,654,047.80 | $ 31,891.87 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 681,446.77 | $ 6,972,601.02 |
| 51 | $ 6,972,601.02 | $ 29,052.50 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 684,286.13 | $ 6,288,314.89 |
| 52 | $ 6,288,314.89 | $ 26,201.31 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 687,137.33 | $ 5,601,177.57 |
| 53 | $ 5,601,177.57 | $ 23,338.24 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 690,000.40 | $ 4,911,177.17 |
| 54 | $ 4,911,177.17 | $ 20,463.24 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 692,875.40 | $ 4,218,301.77 |
| 55 | $ 4,218,301.77 | $ 17,576.26 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 695,762.38 | $ 3,522,539.39 |
| 56 | $ 3,522,539.39 | $ 14,677.25 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 698,661.39 | $ 2,823,878.00 |
| 57 | $ 2,823,878.00 | $ 11,766.16 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 701,572.48 | $ 2,122,305.52 |
| 58 | $ 2,122,305.52 | $ 8,842.94 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 704,495.70 | $ 1,417,809.82 |
| 59 | $ 1,417,809.82 | $ 5,907.54 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 707,431.10 | $ 710,378.73 |
| 60 | $ 710,378.73 | $ 2,959.91 | $ 713,338.64 | $ 710,378.73 | -$ 0.00 |
| TOTAL | $ 5,000,000.00 | ||||
SBUX Long Straddle
| SBUX Call & Put Expiring Oct. 16, 2016 | GOAL: | VOLATILITY | ||||||||
| Number of Straddles | 1 | Price @ expiration | Long Straddle | Per Share | Long Call | Long Put | ||||
| Long Call | 35.00 | 1,308.00 | 13.08 | -435.00 | 1,743.00 | |||||
| Premium | 4.35 | 36.00 | 1,208.00 | 12.08 | -435.00 | 1,643.00 | ||||
| strike | 55 | 37.00 | 1,108.00 | 11.08 | -435.00 | 1,543.00 | ||||
| Call Break-even | 59.35 | 38.00 | 1,008.00 | 10.08 | -435.00 | 1,443.00 | ||||
| Long Put | 39.00 | 908.00 | 9.08 | -435.00 | 1,343.00 | |||||
| Premium | 2.57 | 40.00 | 808.00 | 8.08 | -435.00 | 1,243.00 | ||||
| strike | 55 | 41.00 | 708.00 | 7.08 | -435.00 | 1,143.00 | ||||
| Put Break-even | 52.43 | 42.00 | 608.00 | 6.08 | -435.00 | 1,043.00 | ||||
| 43.00 | 508.00 | 5.08 | -435.00 | 943.00 | ||||||
| Long Straddle Strategy | 44.00 | 408.00 | 4.08 | -435.00 | 843.00 | |||||
| Low Break-even | 48.08 | 45.00 | 308.00 | 3.08 | -435.00 | 743.00 | ||||
| High Break-even | 61.92 | 46.00 | 208.00 | 2.08 | -435.00 | 643.00 | ||||
| Max Loss | (692.00) | 47.00 | 108.00 | 1.08 | -435.00 | 543.00 | ||||
| Max Gain when stock drops | 4,808.00 | 48.00 | 8.00 | 0.08 | -435.00 | 443.00 | ||||
| Max Gain when stock increases | Infinite | 49.00 | -92.00 | -0.92 | -435.00 | 343.00 | ||||
| Required underlying move (±) | 12.58% Administrator: Administrator: Keep in mind that this is going to be for 6months later. | 50.00 | -192.00 | -1.92 | -435.00 | 243.00 | ||||
| 51.00 | -292.00 | -2.92 | -435.00 | 143.00 | ||||||
| Graph | 52.00 | -392.00 | -3.92 | -435.00 | 43.00 | |||||
| Min price | 35 | 53.00 | -492.00 | -4.92 | -435.00 | -57.00 | ||||
| Increments | 1 | 54.00 | -592.00 | -5.92 | -435.00 | -157.00 | ||||
| 55.00 | -692.00 | -6.92 | -435.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 56.00 | -592.00 | -5.92 | -335.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 57.00 | -492.00 | -4.92 | -235.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 58.00 | -392.00 | -3.92 | -135.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 59.00 | -292.00 | -2.92 | -35.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 60.00 | -192.00 | -1.92 | 65.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 61.00 | -92.00 | -0.92 | 165.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 62.00 | 8.00 | 0.08 | 265.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 63.00 | 108.00 | 1.08 | 365.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 64.00 | 208.00 | 2.08 | 465.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 65.00 | 308.00 | 3.08 | 565.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 66.00 | 408.00 | 4.08 | 665.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 67.00 | 508.00 | 5.08 | 765.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 68.00 | 608.00 | 6.08 | 865.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 69.00 | 708.00 | 7.08 | 965.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 70.00 | 808.00 | 8.08 | 1,065.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 71.00 | 908.00 | 9.08 | 1,165.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 72.00 | 1,008.00 | 10.08 | 1,265.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 73.00 | 1,108.00 | 11.08 | 1,365.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 74.00 | 1,208.00 | 12.08 | 1,465.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 75.00 | 1,308.00 | 13.08 | 1,565.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 76.00 | 1,408.00 | 14.08 | 1,665.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 77.00 | 1,508.00 | 15.08 | 1,765.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 78.00 | 1,608.00 | 16.08 | 1,865.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 79.00 | 1,708.00 | 17.08 | 1,965.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
| 80.00 | 1,808.00 | 18.08 | 2,065.00 | -257.00 | ||||||
Long Straddle
Long Straddle 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1308 1208 1108 1008 908 808 708 608 508.00000000000006 408.00000000000006 308.00000000000006 208.00000000000006 108.00000000000006 8.0000000000000568 -91.999999999999943 -191.99999999999991 -291.99999999999989 -391.99999999999994 -491.99999999999994 -591.99999999999989 -692 -592 -492 -392 -291.99999999999994 -191.99999999999997 -91.999999999999972 8.0000000000000568 108.00000000000006 208.00000000000006 308 408 508 608 708 808 908 1008 1108 1208 1308 1407.9999999999998 1507.9999999999998 1607.9999999999998 1707.9999999999998 1808 Long Call 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -434.99999999999994 -334.99999999999994 -234.99999999999997 -134.99999999999997 -34.999999999999964 65.000000000000028 165.00000000000003 265.00000000000006 365.00000000000006 465.00000000000006 565 665 765 865 965 1065 1165 1265 1365 1465 1565 1664.9999999999998 1764.9999999999998 1864.9999999999998 1964.9999999999998 2065 Long Put 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 1743 1643 1543 1443 1343 1243 1143 1043 943 843 743 643 543 443 343 243.00000000000003 143.00000000000003 43.000000000000014 -56.999999999999986 -156.99999999999997 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257 -257Price at Expiration
Profit/Loss
References
Works Cited "Ethos® Water Fund." Starbucks Coffee Company. N.p., n.d. Web. 25 Apr. 2016. "Starbucks Corp (SBUX :)." Starbucks Corp. N.p., n.d. Web. 30 Apr. 2016.