statistics assignment ..

profileiamnickok
final_exam.xlsx

part 1

Historical time series analysis time (days) RandomWalk (simulated) Price Forecasting Current analysis
1 0.8564997932 final price
CurrentPrice $ 50.00 2 0.0470248087 sdev
spread $ 0.002270 3 -0.1533114511
volatility $ 0.005154 4 -1.216174797
5 0.1280317658
6 0.0029082881
7 0.9959783155
8 0.5058723702
9 -0.1036279132
10 -0.8245934157
11 0.3461529428
12 -1.3963682193
13 0.8274107246
14 -1.7176872736
15 1.1286041966
16 -1.028620862
17 -0.7211938589
18 -0.5457278863
19 -1.1754326679
20 0.2317438754
21 -0.1724456006
22 0.5813315024
23 -1.4915535313
24 1.1100265008
25 0.0792572459
26 -1.5764712722
27 -0.5699237082
28 -0.8208227951
29 -1.8967725334
30 -0.8664886295