ASSIGNMENT

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earned_value-1.ppt

Earned Value Analysis

Tracking Project Progress

What Is Earned Value?

  • The dollar amount you planned to spend for the work actually completed
  • Earned Value is the budgeted cost of the work that has actually been performed/completed
  • Earned Value = Budgeted Cost of the Work Performed (BCWP)

What Is Earned Value Analysis (EVA)?

EVA enables the project progress to be tracked in terms of:

  • The work that has actually been completed

--- Compared To ---

  • The work that was scheduled to be completed

Why Is Earned Value Analysis Important?

  • EVA enables the project team to know:
  • If the project is ahead of, or behind schedule
  • How far the project is ahead of, or behind schedule
  • If the project is over or under budget
  • How much the project is over or under budget

Why Is Earned Value Analysis Important?

  • EVA enables the team to address the project’s triple constraints earlier rather than later
  • Scope – re-prioritize/reduce requirements

--- and/or ---

  • Schedule – adjust the timeline

--- and/or ---

  • Cost – request additional funding

The Components of Earned Value Analysis

  • WBS – Work Breakdown Structure
  • Identifies products to be delivered by the project
  • Products or sub-products should be broken down to what can be completed in 80 hours (“80-hour rule”), when applicable
  • Provides the basis for
  • Distinct products or sub-products – which help to provide
  • Valid estimates – which enable
  • Tracking earned value / project progress

The Components of Earned Value Analysis

  • Earned Value (EV) ---- or BCWP
  • The budgeted cost of the work actually performed
  • How much work was actually completed
  • Planned Value (PV) ---- or BCWS
  • The budgeted cost of the work scheduled to be performed
  • How much work should have been completed
  • Actual Cost (AC) ------- or ACWP
  • The actual cost of the work performed
  • How much money has been actually spent

The Components of Earned Value Analysis

  • Budget at Completion (BAC)
  • Dollar amount originally budgeted to complete the project
  • Estimate at Completion (EAC)
  • Estimate of dollar amount needed to complete the project
  • Variance at Completion (VAC)
  • Estimate of the dollar amount projected above or below budget
  • Schedule at Completion (SAC)
  • Projection of the time needed to complete the project

The Components of Earned Value Analysis

  • Schedule Variance (SV)
  • The work completed vs. the work planned to be completed
  • SV = (Earned Value – Planned Value)
  • Tells us if the project is ahead of, or behind schedule
  • Negative value means the project is behind schedule

The Components of Earned Value

  • Schedule Performance Index (SPI)
  • Utilized to forecast how long it will take to complete the project
  • SPI = (Earned Value / Planned Value)
  • Tells us if the project is ahead of, or behind schedule
  • Less than 1.00 means the project is behind schedule

The Components of Earned Value

  • Cost Variance (CV)
  • What we planned to spend on the work completed vs. what was actually spent on the work completed
  • CV = (Earned Value – Actual Cost)
  • Tells us if the project is over or under budget
  • Negative value means the project is over budget

The Components of Earned Value

  • Cost Performance Index (CPI)
  • Utilized to forecast how much it will cost to complete the project
  • CPI = (Earned Value / Actual Cost)
  • Tells us if the project is above or below budget
  • Less than 1.00 means the project is over budget

The Components of Earned Value

  • Estimate at Completion (EAC)
  • EAC = (Budget at Completion / Cost Performance Index)
  • Forecast of the total project cost
  • Variance at Completion (VAC)
  • VAC = (Budget at Completion – Estimate at Completion)
  • Forecast of how much the project will be over or under budget
  • Schedule at Completion (SAC)
  • SAC = (Scheduled Project Length / Schedule Performance Index)
  • Forecast of total project length (days, weeks, months, etc.)

A Sample Project Scenario

  • Assumption: for the sake of simplicity, all screens will require the same time and effort, and all reports will require the same time and effort
  • WBS = 20 screens and 10 reports
  • Scheduled Project Length = 12 weeks
  • Cost is estimated at $3,000 per screen = $60,000
  • Cost is estimated at $2,000 per report = $20,000
  • Cost estimate to complete the project = $80,000

A Sample Project Scenario

  • At week 6 (half-way through the project) we know:
  • Planned Work and Planned Expenses:
  • 10 of the 20 screens were scheduled to have been completed
  • 5 of the 10 reports were scheduled to have been completed
  • $40,000 (50% of the money) was scheduled to have been spent
  • Actual Work Completed and Actual Expenses:
  • 4 of the 20 screens have been completed
  • 2 of the 10 reports have been completed
  • 20% of the work has been completed
  • $25,000 has been spent (actual cost)

A Sample Project Scenario

  • Half-way through the project we know:
  • BAC = $80,000 (the budget to complete 20 screens and 10 reports)
  • PV = $40,000 (we planned to complete 50% of the work)
  • Planned to complete $40,000 worth of product
  • Planned to complete 10 screens and 5 reports
  • EV = $16,000 (we completed 20% of the work)
  • Completed $16,000 worth of product
  • Completed 4 screens and 2 reports
  • AC = $25,000 (we spent approximately 30% of the budget)
  • Actual cost to complete 4 screens and 2 reports was $25,000

A Sample Project Scenario

  • Calculations
  • Cost Variance
  • CV = (EV – AC)
  • CV = ($16,000 – $25,000) = -$9,000
  • More money ($9,000) has been spent, than was planned
  • The project is currently $9,000 over budget
  • Cost Performance Index
  • CPI = (EV / AC)
  • CPI = $16,000 / $25,000 = .64
  • 1/.64 = 1.56
  • The project will cost over one-and-a-half times the original estimate

A Sample Project Scenario

  • Calculations
  • Schedule Variance
  • SV = (EV – PV)
  • SV = ($16,000 – $40,000) = -$24,000
  • The project is behind schedule
  • Schedule Performance Index
  • SPI = (EV / PV)
  • SPI = $16,000 / $40,000 = .4
  • Only 40% of the project will be completed at the end of 12 weeks
  • 1/.4 = 2.5
  • The project is projected to take 2.5 times longer than planned

Forecasts

  • Estimate at Completion
  • EAC = (BAC / CPI)
  • EAC = ($80,000 / .64) = $125,000 to complete the project
  • Variance at Completion
  • VAC = (BAC - EAC)
  • VAC = ($80,000 – 125,000) = $45,000 over budget at completion
  • Schedule at Completion
  • SAC = (Scheduled Project Length / SPI)
  • SAC = (12 weeks / .4) = 30 weeks to complete the project

Forecasts

Timeline (weeks)

Cost (thousands of dollars)

6

12

18

24

30

Actual Cost = $25,000

Planned Value = $40,000

Earned Value = $16,000

Budget at Completion

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

EAC = $125,000 SAC = 30 weeks

Cost Variance ($9,000)

Schedule Variance ($24,000)

Summary

  • The project is currently $9,000 over budget
  • At this rate, the project is forecast to be $45,000 over budget upon completion
  • The project is behind schedule
  • At this rate, only 40% of the work will be completed at the end of 12 weeks
  • The project is forecasted to take 30 weeks, as opposed to the original 12 weeks to complete development

Summary

  • Adjustments can be made to address these issues
  • Requirements can be re-prioritized
  • Utilize the 80/20 principle
  • Some “requirements” may not be needed during this phase
  • The business solution can be delivered on-time and within budget
  • Additional resources utilized
  • All requirements are satisfied
  • The project is completed on-time
  • However, the project goes over budget

Summary

  • Earned Value Analysis enables you to determine:
  • If your project is on, ahead of, or behind schedule
  • If your project is under or over budget
  • How much additional time will be needed to complete the project
  • How much additional money will be needed to complete the project
  • Earned Value Analysis enables you to:
  • Report accurate project status
  • Make the necessary adjustments earlier, rather than later, to address project issues

Timeline

(weeks)

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612182430

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Actual Cost = $25,000

Planned Value = $40,000

Earned Value = $16,000

Budget

at

Completion

EAC = $125,000

SAC = 30 weeks

Cost Variance

($9,000)

Schedule Variance

($24,000)