Tech Plan Evaluation and Analysis

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southern_oregon_pottery_1.pdf

SOUTHERN OREGON POTTERY Business Plan Prepared by Jaclyn Hayden

BA 499 SUMMER 2015 SOUTHERN OREGON UNIVERSITY

Professor Kurt Knudsen

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Executive Summary

The following business plan covers the opening and first three years of operation for

Southern Oregon Pottery LLC, a paint your own pottery studio to be located in Medford,

Oregon. This business is to be founded by Jac Hayden with the intent of being a fun,

relaxing activity for groups and individuals in the Jackson County area. At its inception,

Southern Oregon Pottery will simply focusing on providing materials, instruction, and

space for customers to paint and decorate clay items of various sizes, styles, and prices

to be glazed and fired by the business in order to create long-lasting pieces of art that

our guests will enjoy making and enjoy for years to come.

Southern Oregon Pottery will open on May 10th, 2016. This day allows the business

about six weeks to get adjusted and acquainted with the industry and consumer base

before diving into the busy summer season where an upswing in attendance is

expected. The business will be located at 1040 Crater Lake Avenue, Suite A in Medford,

Oregon. The business will be managed by owner Jac Hayden and will have four other

company regular employees as well as one contracted bookkeeper and will be open five

days a week year round, with an exception for federal holidays.

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Table of Contents

Executive Summary………………………………………….………………………………….1

Company Description……………………...……………………………………………………4

Mission Statement………………………………………………………………………4

Form of Business………………..……………………………………………………….4

Products and Services...…………..…………………………...…………………………4

Management & Staffing............………………………………………………………….4

Geographical Information……………...………………………………………………5

Financial Status……………………….…………………………………………………5

Development to Date……………………………………...…………….………………5

Future Development………………………………………..……...………………….....5

Industry Analysis…………………………………………………………………….…………..6

Classification……………………..………………………………………………………6

Growth……………………………...………………………….………………………….6

Trends………………………………...………………………………………………...…6

Seasonality…………….………………………………………………………....………..7

Regulations & Barriers to Entry....…………………………..…………………………..7

Target Market Analysis…………………………………...…………………….……………….7

Demographics......………………………………………………………………………....8

Geographic Description……..…………………………………………………………...8

Purchasing Patterns & Buying Sensitivity……………………………………………..8

Total Market Potential………..………………………………………………...………..9

Competitive Analysis……………………………………………………….………………...….9

Direct Competition………………………………………………………………..……10

Indirect Competition…………………………………………………………………...10

Future Competition…………………………………………………………………….10

Strategic Position & Risk Assessment………………………………………………………...11

SWOT Analysis…………………………………………………………………………11

Strengths………………………………………………………………………...11

Weaknesses……………………………………………………………………...11

Opportunities………………………………………………………...…………11

Threats…………………………………………………………………………..12

Risk Assessment………………………………………………………………………...12

Managing Risk………………………………….………………………………………12

Marketing……………………………………………………………………………………….12

Radio……………………………………………………………………………………..13

Other Advertising………………………………………......…………………………...13

Marketing Costs……………………….....……………………………………………...14

Facilities & Operations……….………………………………………………………...………14

Studio Space…………………………………………………………………………….14

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Hours of Operation……………………………………………………………………14

Machinery………………………………………………………………………………16

Materials………………………………………………………………………………...16

Other Equipment & Furniture…………………………………………………...……17

Contingency Plan………………………………………………………………………18

Technology……………………………………………………………………………………...18

Internet & Phone……………………………………………………………………….18

Point of Sale…………………………………………………………………………….18

Technology Equipment Costs………………………………………………….……...19

Management & Organization…………………………………………………………………19

Management Team…………………………………………………………………….20

Other Employees……………………………………………………………………......21

Organization…………………………………………………………………………….22

Social Responsibility…………………………………………………...……………….………22

Exit Plan…………………………………………………………………..........………………....23

Financial Statements…………………………………………………………………………...24

Cash Flows………………………………………………………………………………24

Income Statement………………………….…………………………………………...25

Balance Sheet…………………………………....………………………………………26

Breakeven Analysis…………………………………………………………………….27

Ratios…………………………………………………………………………………….28

Present Value Analysis………………….……………………………………………...29

Statement of Cash Flows…………………………………………………………….....29

References………………………………………………………………………………………30

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Company Description

Southern Oregon Pottery is a paint your own pottery studio which allows customers to

paint and decorate preformed clay figurines which will later be glazed and fired to

create sturdy, long lasting pieces. The company’s physical location is in Medford,

Oregon and has a web address of southernoregonpottery.com.

Mission Statement

Southern Oregon Pottery aims to add to the rich, artistic atmosphere of southern

Oregon by providing a space for pottery and craft enthusiasts of all types to create

artwork in a relaxed and fun environment.

Form of Business

Southern Oregon Pottery will be a sole proprietorship led by owner/manager Jac

Hayden. The company will open its doors to customers on May 10th, 2016. This will give

the company 4-6 weeks before the busy season begins. The company will begin moving

into its location at 1040 Crater Lake Avenue beginning May 1st, so as to make sure all

furniture, equipment, and supplies are properly set up and working. Hourly staff will go

through three hours of art training so they can properly assist customers when the

business opens. The staff will work together to get the location set up so that they all

have a hand in opening the business together, and are comfortable working together

before working with customers.

Products and Services

Southern Oregon Pottery will have one major offering to consumers – pottery painting.

The company will provide blank, unfinished clay pieces and figurines in a variety of sizes

and styles. After being painted and decorated using products provided by Southern

Oregon Pottery, the company will complete the firing and glazing process in a timely

manner and guests will be able to pick up their pieces in one weeks’ time.

Southern Oregon will also offer private studio rentals. This will allow groups to

guarantee the entire studio to themselves for any amount of hours they book. With the

hourly fee charged for the studio rental, the sitting fee will be waived for all guests. For

an additional hourly fee, a private group can request art instruction from the company’s

salaried art instructor. This service allows for a more structured atmosphere for groups

and is ideal for parties, school groups, and clubs.

Management and Staffing

The general manager will Jac Hayden, the owner and sole proprietor. The manager is

expected to present each business day for most business hours, as well as outside of

regular business hours to assist with private studio rentals, setup and cleanup of the

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studio, and assistance in firing/glazing/cooling pottery. In addition to the manager,

there will also be an art instructor who will work full time and will lead the staff in

instruction and assistance of customers. There will also be three hourly staff members

who work 18-30 hours weekly and work on various tasks from customer assistance,

sales, group reservations, setup and cleanup, and others as required. A bookkeeper will

be contracted from a local firm to work several hours monthly with the manager to

assist in proper bookkeeping, payments, etc.

Geographical Information

Southern Oregon Pottery will be located at 1040 Crater Lake Avenue, Suite A, Medford,

Oregon. This is a central location in the city of Medford, allowing for a high volume of

car and pedestrian traffic to clearly see the business. The location features a private

parking lot shared with three other suites. Southern Oregon Pottery’s space will be on

the ground floor of the two-story building. The location is in a commercial area and

within a short distance of several other businesses, but none that would be in direct

competition with Southern Oregon Pottery.

Financial Status

To avoid taking out loans, owner and manager Jac Hayden will invest $20,000 of

personal savings derived from five years of working full time jobs and payouts from

bonds given to her since childhood. This personal investment will go to mostly to

startup costs and will additionally cover costs as needed during the businesses slower

months.

Development to Date

To ensure future success of the business, thorough research has been done on the

demand and interest for a pottery painting studio in the Jackson County area that

Southern Oregon Pottery would serve. Target market, industry, and financial analyses

have been performed and financial statements have been drafted. Needs have been

determined and secured in regards to location, supplies, and staffing.

Future Development

In the future, Southern Oregon Pottery hopes to add a delivery service that would bring

finished art right to the artist’s doorstep. This would allow for additional convenience for

the customer and as it would require a fee, additional revenue for the business. The

hope is also to add a wine bar to the establishment. This would attract a different

audience and would allow for a looser, fun atmosphere during wine service hours. When

this feature begins service, it will feature only local wines. This will attract customers who

believe heavily in keeping local funds local, as well as allow for mutual advertising

between the wineries and Southern Oregon Pottery, who would require wineries being

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served in the business to feature Southern Oregon Pottery marketing material to be

featured in their tasting rooms or on their websites.

Industry Analysis

Classification

Southern Oregon Pottery will fall into NAICS code category 451120, defined as “Pottery

(unfinished pottery to be painted by customer on premises) stores (2012 NAICS

Definition, n.d.).” Several other craft and hobby store and business types fall into this

coding as well. Very little data on the paint-your-own-pottery industry is available.

Growth

As of 2013, the crafting industry was worth $29 billion and growing (Gorry, 2013).

Several factors attribute to this, including multimedia exposure of the industry, flexibility

of the industry, and an increase of disposable income since the end/slowing of recent

recessions. Per the United States Census Bureau, there were around 100 business falling

into NAICS category 451120 in Oregon in 2012. The map below, also courtesy of the

Census Bureau, indicates that 6-12 of them were located in Jackson County. Current

research indicates that this number has not changed notably since 2012. Per a 2014

report by Jocelyn Phillips with IBISWorld, “Competition will intensify and subdue growth

as disposable income levels recover.”

("Industry Snapshot," 2015).

Despite a rise in competition, the industry actually saw a decline of .6% annually in

2009-2014. However, growth is expected to pick up marginally, by about .3% annually in

2015-19 (Phillips, 2014).

Trends

Annual revenues in the industry are projected to raise only slightly in the next few years,

and this is directly related to the rising trend of discount stores and major mainstream

retailers flooding and taking over the market. With craft stores like Michaels’ being a

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major player in the craft industry, customers have become attuned to large retailers’

pricing and are beginning to shy away from small independent stores.

Seasonality

There are few seasonal factors in the arts and crafts and hobby industries. For business

that require a significant amount of time spent on hands on labor, the busiest time

would be that when the customer is the least distracted by other time-restraining

activities like work or school. Since children and families dominate the craft-making

industry, research into local businesses proves that summer tends to be the busiest

season. July and August are projected to be Southern Oregon Pottery’s busiest months

each year.

Regulations & Barriers to Entry

Much of the regulations of this industry are directed at the protection of children. Since

nearly all arts and crafts products can be or are geared towards children, they are strictly

enforced by the Consumer Product Safety Improvement Act (CPSIA) of 2008. This

regulation “included provisions addressing, among other things, lead, phthalates, toy

safety, durable infant or toddler products, third-party testing and certification, tracking

labels, imports, ATVs, civil and criminal penalties and SaferProducts.gov, a publically-

searchable database of reports of harm ("The Consumer Product Safety," 2013).” Aside

from this and other national and state regulations that all businesses must follow to

ensure their own legality and the safety of their customers, there is little regulation

specifically to the art and craft industry. As the make-your-own-pottery industry is fairly

new and independent, few if any regulations have been set specifically for it.

The biggest barrier to entry will be pricing. Especially with the rise of discount retailers

dominating the art and craft industry, consumers will be particularly aware of beginning

and increasing pricing. When creating their own art pieces, customers will consider the

price difference in going to a specialized studio vs. a generic craft store, such as

Michael’s or JoAnn Fabrics vs. DIY projects at home. Another barrier will be startup costs.

From space rentals to expensive professional-grade equipment to labor costs, opening

any business but especially one such as an art studio would require sizeable capital.

Target Market Analysis

The paint-your-own-pottery industry has the luxury of being like much of the arts and

crafts industry in that it is accessible to almost anyone. Low cost and low skill necessity

allow it be performed by anyone who has the desire to. The activities offered at

Southern Oregon Pottery will appeal to an audience with some disposable income, an

appreciation for art, and enjoyment of working with their hands and working with

others. The prediction is that groups will come into Southern Oregon Pottery in groups

of two or more, and that there will be a significant amount of family groups visiting. This

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differentiates the business from others that focus on solo work. It is also allows for a

certain age group. Pottery painting can be enjoyed by those of almost any age, but

there is expected to be little interest from consumers over the age of 55. Most private

studio rentals are expected to be for childrens’ birthday parties and school groups. At its

inception, Southern Oregon Pottery will intend to appeal to a mostly young and familial

target market. Jackson County, Oregon has a wide number of families and a fairly young

demographic on the whole, and therefor has a very sizeable market to appeal to.

Demographics

Southern Oregon Pottery intends to pursue customers falling into one or more of the

following categories:

 Between the ages of 5-54

 Enjoys hands on work such as painting

 Personal or household income of $25,000+

 Lives in Jackson County, Oregon

Geographic Information

Southern Oregon Pottery will be located in central Medford. Guests are projected to be

willing to travel up to 30 minutes to get to this business based on its unique offerings

and the distance to any similar businesses. Butte Falls, Oregon is the only city in the

county that would fall outside of this time range, but the town of less than 500 people,

per southernoregon.com, does not have many businesses of its own, especially of an

entertainment nature. Medford is a much larger town and is known to pull many

customers from smaller surrounding towns. In total, there are eleven cities within the

county which covers a space of 2,800 square miles. Per the United States Census Bureau,

Jackson County as a whole had 210,287 citizens in 2014.

Purchasing Patterns & Buying Sensitivity

According to a U.S. Census Bureau study in 2010, 6.1% of adult U.S. citizens had

participated in painting/drawing leisure activities within in last twelve months overall.

.7% of those people participated one a month and another .7% participated two or

three times a month, .6% participated once a week and 1% participated twice or more

weekly (“Arts, Recreation, & Travel," 2014). This survey is nearly identical to a 2008

Census Bureau survey which determined that 6% of people in the U.S. participated in a

pottery leisure activity at least once in the last twelve months. “Arts and Humanities--

Selected Federal Aid Programs,” 2008). According to another Census Bureau study, these

leisure activities added up to approximately $17.7billion in revenue in 2009 (“Consumer

Expenditures,” 2014), but down to $17.3billion in 2014 with 35% of that sum going to

hobby, craft, and art supplies (Phillips, 2014).

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Consumers have a lot of choices when choosing a leisure activity in Jackson County. One

of the first considerations they will make is the kind of activity they’d like to participate

in. Upon choosing an arts and crafts activity, the choices are limited down to just a few.

Consumers are particularly attuned to price in this industry and will consider the pros

and cons of spending approximately $12-25 per person on a craft project. They will also

consider that they will have to return to the store 7-10 days after their first visit in order

to pick up their wares. The amount of time and cost of traveling to the studio twice will

often play considerably into a consumer’s mind when deciding to visit Southern Oregon

Pottery, especially if the consumer lives in one of the farther corners of Jackson County,

or has a busy schedule that does not bring them near the studio often.

Total Market Potential

To determine the total market potential, meaning the potential number of times people

would come in and pay a sitting fee to participate in activities at Southern Oregon

Pottery, several numbers were calculated. All data used to determine the total market

potential was taken from the United States Census Bureau website. The most recent

data and statistical figures, ranging between years 2008 and 2014, were used. Firstly, the

number of people with in the target age range, 5-54, within Jackson County was found

to be 112,545, with a yearly population growth of just under 1%. The next step was to

determine approximately how many of these people were in households earning

$25,000 or more annually, which came to be 72.6%. This left a group of 81,708 citizens.

Using the previously noted 6% of persons participating in pottery at least once yearly, a

total of 4,902 (rounded from 4,902.48) potential customers was found. Based on

personal knowledge and research, a frequency of 1 was determined. This left a total

market potential of 4,902. This total market potential amount was used as the number

of sitting fees, not including private studio rentals, Southern Oregon Pottery would

expect in their first year of business.

Competitive Analysis

Southern Oregon Pottery has a specific business model, and faces a variety of

competitors in the Jackson County area that this business will focus on serving.

However, Southern Oregon Pottery will be the only in the area that does exactly what it

does, pottery painting and finishing in a studio-like, centrally located building. The

business will face a variety of other art-related businesses and stores throughout the

county.

Direct Competition

The main direct competitor will be HotPots, a mobile service that focuses on ceramic

painting. They are different in that they are a ‘party delivery service.’ They do not have a

brick and mortar location, and they do not offer the flexibility that Southern Oregon

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Pottery will. They also offer all of their services in packages, with minimum orders

starting in the $60 range. Southern Oregon Pottery will have the advantage of being

much more affordable, with no minimum purchase. At Southern Oregon Pottery,

customers can enjoy a fun, artistic experience for under $15 per person.

Also considered direct competitors would be businesses that sell pottery items. In

Jackson County, this would include Legends Pottery Outlet, Frank Phillips Pottery, and

Dodero Studio Ceramics.

Indirect Competition

Oregon, especially in the beautiful Jackson County area, is known as an outdoorsy,

natural-loving community. One of the biggest obstacles Southern Oregon Pottery will

face is convincing people to come inside and paint, rather than be outside with the

surrounding parks, rivers, hiking trails, etc. Potential customers only have a finite amount

of leisure time, and have to make the choice to spend it inside this business.

Once they have made the choice to visit a craft-based business, Southern Oregon

Pottery still faces some competitors. There are about ten craft businesses in Jackson

County that would be considered indirect competition, including:

 Michael’s Arts & Crafts

 Craft Warehouse

 Scrappy Craft

 JoAnn Fabrics

 Dancing Beads

Also considered indirect competition would be the approximately ten paint-your-own

pottery studios in Oregon, each well outside Jackson County. Each studio would be at

least two to six hours away by car, rendering them outside a range that would be

considered direct competition.

Future Competition

With large discount stores like Michael’s and JoAnn Fabrics dominating the market, a

large influx of small independent studios and art stores is not expected. According to a

2012 U.S. Census Bureau study based on NAICS code 451120, the number of businesses

in this sector had declined by 12% in the last five years, leaving 172 businesses. More

recent decent from IBISWorld shows that the industry overall is currently declining at a

much slower pace, approximately .6% (Phillips, 2014). The same report suggests that the

industry in 2015 will begin to slowly start increasing again, at a rate of .3%. Such a slow

rate of increased business will not cause a concerning amount, if any, of new

competition to Southern Oregon Pottery in the near future, especially considering the

state’s recent steeper-than-average decline in the industry.

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Strategic Position & Risk Assessment

Southern Oregon Pottery has the advantage of being the only business of its kind in

Southern Oregon. However, the industry is vast and faces many uncertainties as it goes

from a period of decline to a projected period of growth. This business plans to stand

out from its direct and indirect competitors is several ways:

 Unique business model unlike current competitors

 Central location in high traffic area of Medford

 Outstanding, service-oriented and art-oriented staff

 Continuing advertisement throughout Jackson County

SWOT Analysis

By determining Southern Oregon Pottery’s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and

threats, the business can strategize how to best use its best assets while avoiding the

pitfalls that other new arts and crafts and services businesses might fall into.

Strengths

 Affordable pricing that allows a large base of customers access to the business

 Large and inviting space allowing up to 36 guests; open five days a week with

private studio rentals available

 Professional art instructor on staff; all staff trained in aspects of painting and

ceramic making to better lead customers

Weaknesses

 One direct and several indirect competitors in Jackson County

 No current delivery, food or beverage services

 New business having to face established and well-known competitors

Opportunities

 Teaming up with other local businesses, such as wineries or material suppliers

 Other units in same building allow for easy expansion if and when needed

 Item delivery, extended hours, other services easily addible

Threats

 Bargain retailers like Michael’s and JoAnn Fabrics present in Medford

 Similar businesses in Oregon, with potential to expand into Jackson County

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 Large number of other leisure activities in Jackson County.

Risk Assessment

The biggest risk Southern Oregon Pottery is making is the assumption that customers

will attend the business. Although the target market has been carefully determined and

studied and data-based projections made, there is no guarantee that this kind of

business will be as successful as projected.

Furthermore, there is a significant amount of indirect competition in Jackson County,

much of which is concentrated in Medford. Some of the most threatening of these

competitors would be Michael’s, which holds 22.9% of the market share covered by

NAICS code 451120 (Phillips, 2014). The Michael’s location in Medford does offer craft

classes and lessons but not ones that focus on pottery or ceramics, nor do they have a

significant or unique collection of these items in their store. In short, they do not have

anything that would make them a direct competitor to Southern Oregon Pottery, but

their presence alone is enough to intimidate a new and comparatively small craft

business.

Managing Risk

The best way to face competition is for Southern Oregon Pottery to play up their

uniqueness. In the business’ marketing campaign, it will be prominently advertised that

a fully time, professionally trained art instructor will be on staff. Careful attention will be

paid to attendance levels and customer wants, needs, and patterns. The manager/owner

will keep up with local events and will attend or advertise at them as appropriate. The

first year of business allows for a lot of flexibility in the business and changes will be

made as needed to better suit the target customer base.

Marketing

Because Southern Oregon Pottery is the only business that does exactly what it does in

Jackson County, the business will rely heavily on word-of-mouth marketing. This would

allow the business to reach a significant audience while saving a substantial amount of

money. Advertising is very expensive in nearly any region, but especially in Jackson

County, as there are few advertising outlets available and high necessity and

competition for them, especially from small businesses like Southern Oregon Pottery.

The area is known to be largely a tight-knit, familial place filled with many independent

businesses firmly supported and upheld by their community. Aside from word of mouth,

Southern Oregon Pottery will utilize an array of marketing tactics, including:

 Radio

 Flyers

 Online

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 Public appearances & presence at community events

There will be very few if any discounts or ‘money-saving’ promotions. Southern Oregon

Pottery’s products and services have value that is impressive considering the standard

prices. The business offers accessibility to nearly anyone based and low need of skill and

low pricing. The most expensive part of Southern Oregon Pottery’s marketing efforts will

be radio advertisements.

Radio

Based on some research, radio reaches upwards of twice as many consumers as other

media sources. However, it does tend to be on the expensive side, especially in a smaller

area like Jackson County. Because of the high cost, Southern Oregon Pottery will start by

advertising on only one two radio stations, KISS FM, and Hot 98.9. According to

gaebler.com, “The estimated ad rate for the radio station is $25.00.” This estimate covers

one 30-second advertisement. Southern Oregon Pottery would intend to run two ads

per day, seven days a week for the first month of business, May 2016. In order to hit all

audience types, the ads will run at a different time each day. This alone will cost $3,000

in startup marketing costs. After the first month, Southern Oregon Pottery will cut their

radio advertising in half, going down to one ad per radio station per day. Radio

advertising is very expensive and will stop running after six months. It will be used

occasionally, especially surrounding special occasions and new product or service

launches as a way of invigorating interest in the public eye.

Other Advertising

Southern Oregon Pottery will spend another $500 in the first month on other

advertisement forms, such as locally based websites, paper flyers, and a small amount of

sponsorship of local events such as the Britt Festival and sporting events at the AT&T

fields in Medford. The business has chosen not to partake in print advertising, as this

reaches a far smaller audience and would not be worth the advertising budget dollars.

A major component of Southern Oregon Pottery’s marketing tactics will public presence.

This will also tie into the business’s efforts for community outreach and social

responsibility. The owner/manager, Jac Hayden, will make serious efforts to attend and

speak of the business at as many social community events as possible. This includes

everything from attending chamber of commerce meetings throughout the county, to

attending festivals, concerts, etc. as both an involved community member and proactive

business owner. The rest of the employees will be required to participate in local events

as well, mostly volunteer opportunities. By having staff members out in the community,

talking about the business and showing their good community spirit, word of mouth will

spread quite easily and customers will be encouraged to repeatedly visit a wholesome

local business.

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Marketing Costs

Advertising will cost $3,500 in the first month of business, and $1,800 monthly for five

months after. In the final six months of the first year of business, marketing will be cut to

$500 monthly and will stay with this budget in years two and three.

Facilities and Operations

Southern Oregon Pottery will operate from Medford, Oregon at the address 1040 Crater

Lake Avenue, Suite A in Medford, Oregon. This is a first floor space at a two-story,

single-building address. At present the other units are occupied by an insurance agency

and two other small businesses. The block the business is located on sees between

15,300 and 15,800 cars going past it each day ("Medford 2012 Traffic Volumes"). This

allows for a very high level of visibility and an opportunity for many walk-ins, or visitors

who did not originally intend to visit the business but want to “check it out.”

Studio Space

A layout of the property is located below. The space has the benefit of being centrally

located in an area close to a shopping mall, grocery and convenience stores, and several

additional amenities that locals and travelers. It is also near to a hospital. The space is

passed by thousands of cars daily is in an easily accessible, easy to find location. One big

perk to this central location is the semi-private parking. The lot and building are shared

by three other suites, but there remains ample off-street parking. At 1,125 square feet,

the space offers one large room that provides ample room for a variety of tables, chairs,

and storage space. There is also a private office, which will store the kilns and other

operational equipment. On the opposite side of the space, there is a small kitchenette

area as well as storage closet and restroom.

Hours of Operation

Southern Oregon Pottery will operate from this location five days per week. It was

determined that the business would need three hourly employees in addition to the

fulltime, salaried manager/owner and art instructor. The business will be closed

Mondays and Tuesdays. Days off were chosen through personal research and

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determining that these tended to be slower days for current pottery-painting studios. In

order to give the manager and art instructor days off while still being present every day

of operation, and to keep workweek hours reasonable, it was determined that the store

would be closed two days a week rather than just one. Hours for the remaining days are

as follows:

Wednesday & Thursday: 11am-7pm

Friday & Saturday: 11am-9pm

Sunday: 12pm-5pm

Studio hours extended as rented for private use Wednesday through Sunday only.

In a typical week, the manager will work approximately 40-50 hours, the art instructor

will work approximately 40 hours, and the other employees will work 18 or 24 hours. A

typical workweek schedule would resemble the following:

Wednesday & Thursday Friday & Saturday Sunday

Owner: 10am-6pm Owner: 10am-6pm Owner : 10am-6pm

Instructor: 12pm-8pm Instructor: 12pm-9pm Instructor: 11am-6pm

Employee 1: 10am-4pm Employee 1: 10am-4pm Employee 3: 12pm-6pm

Employee 2: 2pm-8pm Employee 2: 4pm-10pm

Employee 3: 4pm-10pm

There will be periods that the entire studio will be rented out. When the studio is

privately rented, hourly employees are expected to work alongside the manager. In the

case of the art instructor, scheduled hours may change to accommodate private hire

clients who are paying extra for instruction, in order to control labor costs and not have

excessive workweek hours. First year studio rental projects no more than 24 hours of

private studio rental total in any given month. In the case of private studio rentals, the

hourly employee who has the least scheduled hours for the given week will be selected

the private studio hours.

Private studio rentals are priced by the hour. They are to be scheduled by any employee,

but must be confirmed by the owner/manager, Jac Hayden, to ensure proper set up,

staffing, and cleanup. There will be two tiers to the private studio rental. The first comes

at $125/hour and includes:

 All sitting fees waved

 Private studio time without other guests present

 Assistance from the manager/owner and hourly employee

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The second tier comes at a price of $140/hour and includes:

 All sitting fees waved

 Private studio time without other guests present

 Individual instruction and assistance from professional Art Instruction

 Additional assistance from owner/manager and hourly employee

Private studio rentals are best suited for groups of 10-32. This type of service will not be

heavily promoted. Southern Oregon Pottery will attempt to keep their focus on normal

walk-in customers, but will happily allow for private studio rentals as requested. Because

of this lack of formal advertisement for this service, low private studio sales are

projected for Southern Oregon Pottery.

To keep on top of financials and other business figures that the staff does not have

enough formal training on, an independent bookkeeper will be contracted out to work

approximately ten hours per month. This person will work directly and only with the

owner/manager. An additional eight hours will be allotted for in March to allow for extra

time that will need to be spent getting annual taxes in order.

Machinery

One of the most important elements of a pottery business is a kiln. Southern Oregon

Pottery will function with two large-capacity kilns. The process of firing, glazing, and re-

firing takes many hours, so two kilns are necessary to manage the number of products

that will be going through the machines on a regular basis. The business will use two

Skutt KM1222-3 kilns, purchased for approximately $2,300 each. A total $5,000 startup

cost is allocated to kilns alone, as there are several costs that go along with the

purchase, setup, delivery, and accessories for the kilns. The kilns are warrantied for two

years by the manufacturer and will be purchased through clay-king.com. The small

amount of necessary additive equipment, such as heat moderators and cords, are

included in the purchase price. This machinery will be kept in the private office and is

strictly for personnel use only. All staff will go through training before being allowed to

use the machinery.

Materials

The activity to be done at Southern Oregon Pottery is simple. It is a paint-your-own-

pottery workshop. At present, this is the only service or activity offered by this business.

Several materials are needed to complete such a craft. Below are the materials that will

be used by customers and staff on a daily basis to create ceramic art, and the

retailer/supplier the items will be purchased from.

MATERIAL SUPPLIER

Smocks Kng.com

17

Paintbrushes Americanceramics.com

Paint Americanceramics.com

Unfinished Clay Pieces Wholesalemart.com

Finishing Glaze Bigceramicstore.com

The use of protective materials such as smocks, as well as use of paint, paintbrushes,

and glazing of the pieces, are included in the sitting fee. The ceramic pieces themselves

will come at four price points: $6, $12, $20, $40. Most painters will choose lower priced

items, although more experienced or creative artists will choose larger, more elaborate

and more expensive pieces. Guests typically stay at the studio for one to three hours,

and are projected to paint on average two pieces per visit. Southern Oregon Pottery will

mark up prices approximately 80-120% from what they are buying them for from the

wholesaler, so that pieces may fall into a preferable price point category. This is fairly

typical of this type of business, based on personal research.

Other Equipment & Furniture

The space at Southern Oregon Pottery allows approximately 36 people to comfortably

gather in the space, with ample walking and sitting room, as well as space for shelves to

display pieces available for purchase, art supplies, and other space as needed. The room

will be configured with several round and elongated tables. One large round table will

be used as a supply table, housing all paints and brushes while not in use. There will be

approximately 40 chairs at tables and in the office to be used as needed. Shelving units

towards the front of the store will be used for displaying items ready for pickup. An

extra work table and additional chairs will be located in the office. In the left corner of

the store, in front of the door to the office/machinery room, will be a desk where the

computer and cash register will be located. This will allow employees to view all guests

in the room while protecting valuable items at and behind the counter area. The

projected starting costs for all furniture, storage and display pieces, and small office

supplies (pens, paper, calendar, simple cash register, etc.), as well as minimal supplies for

the bathroom and kitchenette, are stated below.

ITEM (QUANTITY) COST PURCHASED FROM

Tables (8) $775 Office Max

Chairs (40) $1200 Target

Office Furniture $350 Office Max

Bookshelves for finished products $800 Home Depot

Floating shelves for unpainted pieces $500 Home Depot

Storage Cabinets $1390 Home Depot

Miscellaneous Office Supplies $100 Walmart

Studio Décor & Improvements $300 Various

18

This accounts for non-technology, non-equipment physical item startup costs of $5,415.

Approximately $500 will be spent each following year to repair and replace furniture and

equipment throughout the studio and office as needed.

Contingency Plan

Most areas have been covered in the case of emergencies or unexpected expenses. The

kilns, the most expensive equipment on the property, are covered for two years by full

warranties. Insurance covers most other potential issues. In the case of anything not

covered, a business credit card in the name of owner/manager Jac Hayden will have a

line of credit of $5400 and is to be used strictly for emergency purposes and is to be

paid off as quickly as possible by company-generated cash in order to avoid costly

interest payments.

Technology

As Southern Oregon Pottery is a craft business, technology needs are modest, and do

not require an excess of startup costs at this business. The business will use modern but

easy to use, low-tech software and hardware.

Internet & Phone

Internet service, as well as phone service, will be provided through CenturyLink.

Southern Oregon Pottery will take advantage of an advertised deal that guarantees a

rate of $68/month for three years, with an additional $118 in startup costs and services.

The manager and owner, Jac Hayden, has taken courses in web coding and design and

will serve as the company’s web master for southernoregonpottery.com. All staff

members will receive a @southernoregonpottery.com email address to which they will

be emailed their schedules and updates or newsletters on company happenings. The

domain name will be purchased through Godaddy.com for $240 per year. The business

will maintain a fairly simple but easy to navigate, informative website. Standard Wi-Fi

will be available onsite for staff and customers.

Point of Sale

Payment is accepted via cash or credit/debit card. Cash payments are to be made

through a standard register. Credit and debit card payments are rang in through a

Square card reader. All purchases are tracked through a point of sale. The manager and

art instructor will work together to create a tracking/ordering database for supplies

which will be kept on the business computer. Southern Oregon Pottery will use the

Lemon point of sale system. “Lemon POS is a configurable general Point of Sale, not

19

focused to a specific sector. It is aimed at micro, small and medium size businesses

("Lemon POS," 2015).” As Southern Oregon Pottery will start out as small business, but

certainly has the potential of growing into a larger one, this system is the perfect one for

it to grow with. One of the biggest advantages to this system is that it comes at no cost.

Once downloaded, the system is free to run. This will save Southern Oregon Pottery

upwards of $1800 plus update costs. This system also has many positive reviews from

other small businesses and is known to be simple and user friendly. Southern Oregon

Pottery staff will have to dedicate very little of their training time to learning this point

of sale system. As a free, software-only point of sale system, Lemon does not provide a

credit card reader. A Square reader will be purchased and used on all credit or debit

card transactions. “Plastic payments now account for 53 percent of consumer purchases

(Weinberg, 2014).” It is important to have a reliable credit card reader, as more than half

of sales will be conducted through it. Square, while a recent product, has tremendous

reviews from many similar small, independent businesses. Its fee is a low 2.75% per

transaction.

Technology Equipment Costs

While little technological equipment is needed at Southern Oregon Pottery, items of this

nature tend to have a significant price tag. The costs of tech items needed by the

business are listed below.

ITEM COST PURCHASED FROM

Lenovo Thinkpad X250 Laptop $836 Best Buy

HP Envy 5660 Printer $99 Best Buy

Cordless Phone $30 Walmart

Square Reader $29 Squareup.com

This leads to a total of $994 for physical technology startup costs. Technology, along

with furniture and equipment, will be displayed as ‘other operating expenses’ on the

financial statements.

Management & Organization

Southern Oregon Pottery will be a sole proprietorship owned by Jac Hayden, who will

also act as general manager. The intention is for the business to start out as a fairly small

operation that will require little managerial structure outside of the owner.

Management Team

20

Southern Oregon Pottery will be a sole proprietorship owned by Jac Hayden, who will

also act as general manager. The intention is for the business to start out as a small

operation that will require little managerial structure outside of the owner. The position

of owner/manager will not be paid for the first six months while the business is

recovering from startup costs and low attendance while the business gains recognition

and a stable customer base. After six months, the starting salary for this position is

$1800/ monthly equaling $10,800 in the first six months and $21,600 annually

thereafter. The manager/owner will have the most duties and responsibilities, including

but not limited to:

 Opening/closing store

 Booking private rentals

 Bookkeeping/Checking figures

 Inventory management

 Guest assistance

 Payroll

 Hiring/Scheduling/Employee Relations

 Webmaster

 Marketing

Only one other full time staff member will be hired, who will also be salaried. This

person is intended to be a leader and manager to a lesser degree than the

owner/manager. This position will require art instruction job experience and preferably

some sort of degree or certification in relation to art. Their position will be referred to as

‘Art Instructor.’ They will have managerial power and be considered a superior to the

hourly employees without having the word ‘manager’ in their title. They will need to

have experience with pottery specifically, as this is the medium Southern Oregon Pottery

will deal in. The person who takes this position will be expected to work 40 hours per

week of regularly schedule shifts, as well as additional hours in which the studio has

been rented for private events. The position of Art Instructor will be paid $2,200

monthly, for a total of $26,400 yearly. This pay amount is considerably lower than

average, as craft artists earned a national average of $34,750 in 2012 ("Craft and Fine

Artists"). However, despite a lower starting salary this position has a litany of positive

aspects. Having a real, well-heard opinion and input on day to day operations is a huge

achievement for any person looking to further their career. Being able to teach the skills

they have honed for years on a daily basis is a rewarding and unique aspect of an

instructional job like this one. One of the most attractive features of this job that most

craft-related jobs cannot boast is the stability. “…Many, however, find it difficult to rely

21

solely on income earned from selling paintings or other works of art. Part-time and

variable work schedules are common for artists. Many also hold another job, in addition

to their work as an artist ("Craft and Fine Artists").” As Southern Oregon Pottery will

guarantee full time work and a consistent salary, the element of uncertainty is removed

from the job. The reasonable hours and days off also allow ample time for the Art

Instructor to conduct other work and create their own art in their spare time.

Other Employees

In addition to the manager and art instructor, three part time hourly workers will work

various shifts throughout each work week. These employees will not have managerial

responsibilities and will work shifts assisting guests and doing general cashiering,

greeting, cleanup, customer service, etc. These employees will work at the Oregon

minimum wage, currently $9.25/hour. Hourly employees will work no more than 25

hours per week. All hourly employees will receive training prior to the store opening so

they can better sell and master the product they are working with. Approximately three

hours training will be done by the manager and art instructor and must be complete

before employee can start working with customers. Requirements for hourly employees

include but are not limited to:

 2+ years verified prior work experience

 6 months + work experience with children and/or an artistic/craft

environment

 High school diploma

 3+ professional references

 Open schedule, availability for variety of shifts

The owner/manager and/or the art instructor will be on site at any time an hourly

employee is present. Those with managerial power will be the only ones with keys to the

studio and office. They will also supervise in the glazing/firing process performed on the

ceramic pieces. Any staff member can schedule private studio rentals but must have the

event signed off on by the owner/manager before confirming it with the customer, to

assure that the proper employees are notified and the event is properly managed.

In addition to several hourly workers in the store, an independent

bookkeeper/accountant will be hired on an hourly basis. This person will be contracted

out by the owner/general manager Jac and will deal solely with her. Hours will be based

on business needs but are projected to equate approximately ten hours per month, with

a higher allotment during tax season. The role of this contracted person will be to track

and organize finances, consult with owner to keep business financially steady, assist in

creating budgets, prepare business taxes and dues during tax season, etc. This person is

22

projected to work for $16 per hour. Per payscale.com, this is slightly above the national

average of $15.57. The manager/owner will be doing a lot of day to day bookkeeping

practices, and will meet briefly with the bookkeeper to ensure that all finances, etc. are

taken care of properly.

Organization

Southern Oregon Pottery will be open five days a week, closed only on Monday and

Tuesday. Store hours are as follows:

Wednesday & Thursday: 11am-7pm

Friday & Saturday: 11am-9pm

Sunday: 12pm-5pm

The general manager will be present each day the store is open, but may be not present

for every hour the store is open as she will be there before and/or after the store

opens/closes on most days and may be away working on things for the business or off

site at any given time. The art instructor will work every day the business is open. With

private studio hires, the client can choose to hire the studio without the art instructor,

which will call only for one or two employees and the manager to work extra hours. The

art instructor is also expected to work private studio hire events per guest request. The

manager will approve adjusted shift times that accommodate private studio hires

outside of normal business hours. This would allow the art instructor to work outside of

normal hours but still work no more than 40-45 hours per week.

Southern Oregon Pottery employees will all report directly to the general manager.

Conduct is to maintain professionalism whilst creating a fun, relaxed environment.

Employees are expected to interact freely but appropriately with all guests. Uniform for

all employees will be ‘comfortable clothing and shoes’ and a smock with the company

name and logo. The employee smocks will be a different color than the provided to

guests ones to denote their association with the company. Employment for all will be

‘at-will,’ allowing both the manager and the employee to terminate employment at any

time with or without notice. Serious infractions in company policy, to be defined in an

employee handbook, will be documented and kept in the managers’ personal records. A

third documented infraction within 90 days or fourth overall will result in termination.

Southern Oregon Pottery aims for a fun environment for guests but also for employees,

but a certain level of employee behavior and work ethic will be demanded without

exception.

Social Responsibility

In its beginning years, Southern Oregon Pottery will not have the excess income to

invest heavily financially in the community, but will pursue outreach opportunities in

23

other ways. One goal is to gather all employees together once a month, on a day the

business is not open, to volunteer locally. The general manager will be in charge of

picking where to volunteer each month, reaching out to a variety of local outlets.

Repeated failure to participate in community outreach and volunteer opportunities will

be considered an infraction for the given employee. The business will also allow local

charities, fellow businesses, and individual causes to post posters and advertisements on

a bulletin board to be featured near the cashier counter. The general manager will be

responsible for monitoring what is posted, when, and for how long. Southern Oregon

Pottery will not offer discounts or complimentary painting sessions at the studio for

charities or similar organizations, but will happily work in the connection to mutually

promote within the local community.

Exit Plan

Southern Oregon will be up and running on May 10th, 2016 and will experience their

peak season shortly after this. Owner/manager Jac Hayden plans to put her entire life

savings into this business, but does not intend to own it for more than three years. After

the third year of business, Southern Oregon Pottery will still be profitable, even if only

by a very small margin. The owner/manager projects that the business can be sold for a

tidy profit over the $20,000 she put into it. Jac Hayden will be careful in selecting a

buyer for her business, and will continue to run Southern Oregon Pottery until a

preferable buyer comes along. The hope would be that an equally competent person

would step in and purchase the business and intend to run it with the same passion and

energy that the staff will have maintained over the previous three years. Southern

Oregon Pottery has the potential to become and continue to be a local institution and

with the right leadership, will certainly do so.

24

Financial Statements

Cash Flows

Southern Oregon Pottery

Pro Forma

Statement of Cash Flows

for the 12 Month Period Ending

Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19

Cash Flows from Operations

Net Income (697)$ 3,097$ 3,341$

Depreciation 994$ 1,052$ 1,052$

Changes in Working Capital

Accounts Receivable 1

-$ -$ -$

Inventories 1

-$ -$ -$

Other Current Assets 1

-$ -$ -$

Accounts Payable 2

-$ -$ -$

Other Current Liabilities 2

-$ -$ -$

Net Cash Provide by Operating Activities 297$ 4,149$ 4,393$

Cash Flows from Investing Activities

Purchases of Property and Equipment

Land -$ -$ -$

Buildings -$ -$ -$

Building/Leasehold Improvements 520$ -$ -$

Machinery & Equipment 5,000$ -$ -$

Automobiles -$ -$ -$

Office Equipment/Other -$ -$ -$

Total Property and Equipment 5,520$ -$ -$

Acquisition of Other Assets -$ -$ -$

Net Cash Used in Investing Activities 5,520$ -$ -$

Cash Flows from Financing Activities

Short-term Borrowings -$ -$ -$

Repayment of Short-term Borrowings -$ -$ -$

Long-term Borrowings -$ -$ -$

Repayment of Long-term Borrowings -$ -$ -$

Acquire (Repay) Other Liabilities -$ -$ -$

Sale of Stock 20,000$ -$ -$

Payment of Dividends -$ -$ -$

Net Cash Provided by (Used in) Financing Activities 20,000$ -$ -$

Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash 14,777$ 4,149$ 4,393$

Plus Beginning Cash -$ 14,777$ 18,926$

Ending Cash 14,777$ 18,926$ 23,319$

25

Income Statement

26

Balance Sheet

Southern Oregon Pottery

Pro Forma

Income Statement

for the 12 Month Period Ending

Sales 197,392$ 100.0% 197,986$ 100.0% 198,580$ 100.0%

Less Cost of Sales:

Material 66,343$ 33.6% 66,542$ 33.6% 66,742$ 33.6%

Labor (including benefits) -$ 0.0% -$ 0.0% -$ 0.0%

Other Cost of Sales -$ 0.0% -$ 0.0% -$ 0.0%

Total Cost of Sales 66,343$ 33.6% 66,542$ 33.6% 66,742$ 33.6%

Gross Profit 131,049$ 66.4% 131,444$ 66.4% 131,838$ 66.4%

Operating Expenses

Personnel 78,494$ 39.8% 90,540$ 45.7% 90,540$ 45.6%

Depreciation 994$ 0.5% 1,052$ 0.5% 1,052$ 0.5%

Rent 11,940$ 6.0% 11,940$ 6.0% 11,940$ 6.0%

Electric 3,600$ 1.8% 3,600$ 1.8% 3,600$ 1.8%

Land Line/Internet 932$ 0.5% 932$ 0.5% 932$ 0.5%

Paint 6,000$ 3.0% 6,018$ 3.0% 6,036$ 3.0%

Brushes/Stencils/Etc 1,160$ 0.6% 720$ 0.4% 720$ 0.4%

Glaze 2,040$ 1.0% 2,040$ 1.0% 2,040$ 1.0%

0 -$ 0.0% -$ 0.0% -$ 0.0%

Bathroom/Kitchen/Misc. 1,025$ 0.5% 900$ 0.5% 900$ 0.5%

Square CC Reader Fees 2,878$ 1.5% 2,965$ 1.5% 3,053$ 1.5%

Business License 100$ 0.1% 100$ 0.1% 100$ 0.1%

0 -$ 0.0% -$ 0.0% -$ 0.0%

Website 240$ 0.1% 240$ 0.1% 240$ 0.1%

0 -$ 0.0% -$ 0.0% -$ 0.0%

Smocks 434$ 0.2% 254$ 0.1% 254$ 0.1%

Marketing 15,500$ 7.9% 6,000$ 3.0% 6,000$ 3.0%

Other Operating Expenses 6,409$ 3.2% 500$ 0.3% 500$ 0.3%

Total Operating Expenses 131,746$ 66.7% 127,801$ 64.5% 127,907$ 64.4%

Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (697)$ -0.3% 3,643$ 1.9% 3,931$ 2.0%

Interest Expense -$ 0.0% -$ 0.0% -$ 0.0%

Other Expense (Income) -$ 0.0% -$ 0.0% -$ 0.0%

Earnings Before Taxes (697)$ -0.3% 3,643$ 1.9% 3,931$ 2.0%

Income Taxes -$ 0.0% 546$ 0.3% 590$ 0.3%

Net Income (697)$ -0.3% 3,097$ 1.6% 3,341$ 1.7%

Return on Sales -0.35% 1.56% 1.68%

Return on Assets -3.61% 13.83% 12.98%

Return on Equity -3.61% 13.83% 12.98%

Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19

27

Breakeven Analysis

Apr-16 Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19

Assets

Cash -$ 14,777$ 18,926$ 23,319$

Accounts Receivable -$ -$ -$ -$

Inventory -$ -$ -$ -$

Other Current Assets -$ -$ -$ -$

Total Current Assets -$ 14,777$ 18,926$ 23,319$

Property and Equipment

Land -$ -$ -$ -$

Buildings -$ -$ -$ -$

Building/Leasehold Improvements -$ 520$ 520$ 520$

Machinery & Equipment -$ 5,000$ 5,000$ 5,000$

Automobiles -$ -$ -$ -$

Office Equipment/Other -$ -$ -$ -$

Total Property & Equipment -$ 5,520$ 5,520$ 5,520$

less acculumlated depreciation -$ (994)$ (2,046)$ (3,098)$

Total Fixed Assets -$ 4,526$ 3,474$ 2,422$

Other Assets -$ -$ -$ -$

Total Assets -$ 19,303$ 22,400$ 25,741$

Liabilities and Equity

Accounts Payable -$ -$ -$ -$

Short-term Loans Payable -$ -$ -$ -$

Other Current Liabilities -$ -$ -$ -$

Total Current Liabilities -$ -$ -$ -$

Long-term Debt -$ -$ -$ -$

Other Liabilities -$ -$ -$ -$

Total Liabilities -$ -$ -$ -$

Equity

Stock and Paid-in Capital -$ 20,000$ 20,000$ 20,000$

Retained Earnings -$ -$ (697)$ 2,400$

Current Year Earnings -$ (697)$ 3,097$ 3,341$

Total Equity -$ 19,303$ 22,400$ 25,741$

Total Liabilities and Equity -$ 19,303$ 22,400$ 25,741$

Debt/Equity #DIV/0! 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Debt/Total Assets #DIV/0! 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Southern Oregon Pottery

Pro Forma

Balance Sheet

for the Period Ending

28

Ratios

Southern Oregon Pottery

Pro Forma

Breakeven Analysis

for the 12 Month Period Ending

Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19

Summary of Income Statement By Cost Type

Sales 197,392$ 197,986$ 198,580$

Variable Costs

Variable Cost of Sales 66,343$ 66,542$ 66,742$

Variable Operating Costs 11,449$ 12,654$ 12,654$

Variable Interest, Taxes and Other -$ 546$ 590$

Total Variable Costs 77,792$ 79,742$ 79,986$

Contribution to Fixed Costs 119,600$ 118,244$ 118,594$

Fixed Costs

Fixed Cost of Sales -$ -$ -$

Fixed Operating Costs 120,297$ 115,147$ 115,253$

Fixed Interest, Taxes and Other -$ -$ -$

Total Fixed Costs 120,297$ 115,147$ 115,253$

Net Profit (Loss) (697)$ 3,097$ 3,341$

Margins Analysis

Variable Cost per $ of Sales 0.39$ 0.40$ 0.40$

Amount available per $ of Sales to Pay Fixed Costs 0.61$ 0.60$ 0.60$

Contribution Margin 60.59% 59.72% 59.72%

Breakeven Analysis

Breakeven Sales based on EBIT 198,542.66$ 192,811.45$ 192,989.04$

Breakeven Sales Based on All Expenses 198,542.66$ 192,811.45$ 192,989.04$

29

Present Value Analysis

Apr-16 Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19

Short-term Solvency

Current ratio (CA/CL)

Quick ratio (CA-inventory/CL)

Cash ratio (Cash/CL)

Long-term Solvency

Total Debt ratio (TL/TA) #DIV/0! 0.00 0.00 0.00

Debt-Equity ratio (TL/TE) #DIV/0! 0.00 0.00 0.00

Equity Multiplier (TA/TE) #DIV/0! 1.00 1.00 1.00

Times Interest Earned (EBIT/interest)

Cash Coverage (EBIT+depreciation/Interest)

Asset Utilization

Inventory Turnover (CGS/inventory)

Days' Sales in Inventory (365/Inventory Turnover)

Receivable Turnover (sales/AR)

Days' Sales in receivables (365/ Receivable Turnover)

Total Asset Turnover (sales/TA) 10.23 8.84 7.71

Capital Intensity (TA/sales) 0.10 0.11 0.13

Profitability Ratios

Profit Margin (NI/sales) -0.35% 1.56% 1.68%

ROA (NI/TA) -3.61% 13.83% 12.98%

ROE (NI/TE) -3.61% 13.83% 12.98%

Dupont Identity

ROE=(Profit Margin)(TA Turnover)(Equity Mulitpler) -3.61% 13.83% 12.98%

Market Value Ratios Not computed since not publicly traded

EPS (NI/# shares)

PE ratio (price per share/EPS)

Market to Book (market value/book value)

Ratios

Southern Oregon Pottery

Pro Forma

30

Statement of Cash Flows

References

Apr-16 Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19 Apr-20 Apr-21 Apr-22 Apr-23 Apr-24 Apr-25 Apr-26

Present Value Analysis from Business Perspecitive

Cash from Operations 297$ 4,149$ 4,393$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

plus Interest Expense -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Cash from Operations for NPV 297$ 4,149$ 4,393$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Cash used for Investing Activities 5,340$ 180$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Cash from Financing Activities

New Borrowings (ST & LT) -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Repayments (ST, LT, Other Liab) -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Cash from Financing Activities -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Cash to Business for NPV Analysis (5,340)$ 117$ 4,149$ 4,393$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Present Value of Cash Flow (5,340)$ 109$ 3,624$ 3,586$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Net Present Value of Above Discount Rate Used for NPV Analysis

IRR (Internal Rate of Return)

Present Value Analysis from Primary Investor Perspecitive

Investment by Primary Investor -$

Additional Investment by Primary Investor -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Cash Received by Primary Investor -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Net Cash To Primary Investor -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Present Value of Cash Flow -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Net Present Value of Above Discount Rate Used for NPV Analysis

IRR (Internal Rate of Return)

7.00%

$0 7.00%

#NUM!

21.65%

Southern Oregon Pottery

Pro Forma

Present Value Analysis

$1,979

Southern Oregon Pottery

Pro Forma

Statement of Cash Flows Annual

for the Month Ending Total

May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 Apr-17

Cash Flows from Operations

Net Income (11,844)$ (191)$ 992$ 2,595$ 1,170$ 1,170$ 462$ 3,973$ (448)$ (266)$ 57$ 1,635$ (697)$

Depreciation 43$ 86$ 86$ 86$ 86$ 86$ 86$ 87$ 87$ 87$ 87$ 87$ 994$

Changes in Working Capital

Accounts Receivable 1

-$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Inventories 1

-$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Other Current Assets 1

-$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Accounts Payable 2

-$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Other Current Liabilities 2

-$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Net Cash Provide by Operating Activities (11,801)$ (105)$ 1,078$ 2,681$ 1,256$ 1,256$ 548$ 4,060$ (361)$ (179)$ 144$ 1,722$ 297$

Cash Flows from Investing Activities

Purchases of Property and Equipment

Land -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Buildings -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Building/Leasehold Improvements 300$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 520$

Machinery & Equipment 5,000$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ 5,000$

Automobiles -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Office Equipment/Other -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Total Property and Equipment 5,300$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 5,520$

Acquisition of Other Assets -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Net Cash Used in Investing Activities 5,300$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 20$ 5,520$

Cash Flows from Financing Activities

Short-term Borrowings -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Repayment of Short-term Borrowings -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Long-term Borrowings -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Repayment of Long-term Borrowings -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Acquire (Repay) Other Liabilities -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Sale of Stock 20,000$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ 20,000$

Payment of Dividends -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$

Net Cash Provided by (Used in) Financing Activities 20,000$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ -$ 20,000$

Net Increase (Decrease) in Cash 2,899$ (125)$ 1,058$ 2,661$ 1,236$ 1,236$ 528$ 4,040$ (381)$ (199)$ 124$ 1,702$ 14,777$

Plus Beginning Cash -$ 2,899$ 2,775$ 3,832$ 6,493$ 7,729$ 8,965$ 9,493$ 13,532$ 13,151$ 12,952$ 13,076$ -$

Ending Cash 2,899$ 2,775$ 3,832$ 6,493$ 7,729$ 8,965$ 9,493$ 13,532$ 13,151$ 12,952$ 13,076$ 14,777$ 14,777$

31

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