Statisics 7 questions

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stats_hw1.docx

normal table

PROBABILITY

Probability of A P(A)= NF/NP

Addition rule P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B)

Multiplication rule P(A and B) = P(A) . P(B\A)

Complementary principle P(A)+P(A’)=1

Independency P(A)=P(A\B) P(B)=P(B\A)

NUMERICAL MEASURES

PCS=

outliers

2k>n

PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

1. The following is the time, in minutes, 15 employees of accounting department of East Penn Manufacturing spent commuting to work this morning. [20pts]

28 25 48 37 41 19 32 26 16 23 23 29 36 31 26

1. Organize data into stemplot. [2pts]

1. Find the standard deviation, round it to 2 decimal places. [3pts]

1. Find value of the 85th percentile L85 (or P85) and write its brief interpretation. [3pts]

1. Find Q1, Q3, IQR and test possible outliers. Draw a conclusion clearly. [5pts]

1. Organize data into classes using an interval 15-23 as the first. [2pts]

1. What is a class width w in previous part e? [1pt]

1. Use the frequency table and find the standard deviation. Round the result to two decimal places if necessary. [3pts]

1. Compare results of b) and g). Which one is exact? [1pt]

_________________________________________________________________________________

2. Use the frequency table and find the median. Round only the last result to two decimal places. [4pts]

Class

frequency

0-4

6

5-9

7

10-14

12

15-19

8

_________________________________________________________________________________

3. Grace Andrews, a stockbroker, recommends two stocks (Hewlett Packard and Citibank) to her customers. Suppose that the probability that each stock’s price will go up next year is 0.6, and that each stock’s price behavior is independent of the price behavior of the other stock. Take a number of stocks that will go up next year as the random variable X and give a complete probability distribution. [6pts]

4. A survey of executives dealt with their loyalty to the company. One of the questions was, “If you were given an offer by another company equal to or slightly better than your present position, would you remain with the company or take the other position?” The responses of the 200 executives in the survey were cross-classified with their length of service with the company. Give all results rounded to 4 decimal places.[2+3+2+3+1+5=16pts]

LENGTH OF

SERVICE

LOYALTY

< 1year

1-5 years

6-10years

>10years

total

Would remain

10

30

5

75

120

Would not remain

25

15

10

30

80

total

35

45

15

105

200

a) What is the probability that randomly chosen executive is loyal to the company?

b) What is the probability that randomly chosen executive has more than 10 years of service OR is not loyal to the company?

c) What is the probability that randomly chosen executive has less than one year of service AND is not loyal to the company?

d) Two executives are chosen randomly. What is the probability that both would remain with the company?

e) If an event A means „length of service is more than 10 years“, name its complement A‘.

f) Are events „would remain“ and „1-5 years of service“ independent? Justify your answer numerically and draw a clear conclusion.

5. Hospital records show that of patients suffering from a certain disease, 75% die of it. What is the probability that

Round both final results to four decimal places. State clearly what is a success and what is a failure.

a) of 6 randomly selected patients, exactly 4 will recover? [3pts]

b) of 5  randomly selected patients, at least one will recover? [4pts]

____________________________________________________________________________________

6. A life insurance salesman sells on the average 3 life insurance policies per week. Calculate the probability that:

Round final results to 4 decimal places, in all calculations state clearly value of .

0. in a given week he will sell 2 policies [3pts]

0. in a given month (assuming 4 weeks month) he will sell 11 policies [3pts]

7. A large group of students took a test in Physics and the final grades have a mean of 72 and a standard deviation of 14. If we can approximate the distribution of these grades by a normal distribution,

Round values of z to two decimal places, in all three parts sketch the normal curve with given data. Results of probability should be stated with 4 decimal places. [3x3=9pts]

1. what percent of the students scored above 85?

1. what is the probability that randomly selected student scored between 60 and 80?

1. What is dividing point (critical value) between top 5% of the group grades and the rest?

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