Economic Modelling

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data_for_section_one.xlsx
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Sheet1

obs X Det noise Y XCUBE DUM
1998Q1 4.1 337.842 4.25666 342.09866 68.921 0
1998Q2 3.3 271.874 -7.90985 263.96415 35.937 0
1998Q3 -2.1 181.478 3.72557 185.20357 -9.261 0
1998Q4 -2.8 156.096 -1.72638 154.36962 -21.952 0
1999Q1 0.1 200.002 -0.19075 199.81125 0.001 0
1999Q2 -0.8 198.976 0.61765 199.59365 -0.512 0
1999Q3 0.2 200.016 1.01855 201.03455 0.008 0
1999Q4 -1.6 191.808 4.4455 196.2535 -4.096 0
2000Q1 -1.9 186.282 0.13282 186.41482 -6.859 0
2000Q2 -0.5 199.75 2.74785 202.49785 -0.125 0
2000Q3 -0.24 199.972352 7.20066 207.173012 -0.013824 0
2000Q4 1.2 203.456 -4.25623 199.19977 1.728 0
2001Q1 0.8 201.024 2.24812 203.27212 0.512 0
2001Q2 1.3 204.394 -5.44713 198.94687 2.197 0
2001Q3 0.1 200.002 -7.30125 192.70075 0.001 0
2001Q4 2.8 243.904 -1.36558 242.53842 21.952 0
2002Q1 1.9 213.718 2.53756 216.25556 6.859 0
2002Q2 2.1 218.522 8.55204 227.07404 9.261 0
2002Q3 -3.4 121.392 -3.48214 117.90986 -39.304 0
2002Q4 -0.4 199.872 -0.18359 199.68841 -0.064 0
2003Q1 1.5 206.75 -2.85229 203.89771 3.375 0
2003Q2 -0.9 198.542 -1.94331 196.59869 -0.729 0
2003Q3 0.7 200.686 1.42689 202.11289 0.343 0
2003Q4 -4.1 62.158 8.12001 70.27801 -68.921 0
2004Q1 -1.1 197.338 -5.49302 191.84498 -1.331 0
2004Q2 -0.5 199.75 4.85287 204.60287 -0.125 0
2004Q3 0.3 200.054 14.07403 214.12803 0.027 0
2004Q4 0.2 200.016 -1.84992 198.16608 0.008 0
2005Q1 1.8 211.664 3.38198 215.04598 5.832 0
2005Q2 2 216 2.8982 218.8982 8 0
2005Q3 -0.5 199.75 -2.46091 197.28909 -0.125 0
2005Q4 -0.6 199.568 -5.78742 193.78058 -0.216 0
2006Q1 -0.3 199.946 -0.31928 199.62672 -0.027 0
2006Q2 3.7 301.306 -5.32136 295.98464 50.653 0
2006Q3 3.8 309.744 -4.48979 305.25421 54.872 0
2006Q4 4.3 359.014 4.50454 363.51854 79.507 0
2007Q1 1.1 202.662 -0.44925 202.21275 1.331 0
2007Q2 2.5 231.25 -0.18908 231.06092 15.625 0
2007Q3 3.8 309.744 2.40026 312.14426 54.872 0
2007Q4 -0.2 199.984 -3.26622 196.71778 -0.008 0
2008Q1 0.1 200.002 -3.22017 196.78183 0.001 0
2008Q2 -2.4 172.352 0.67195 173.02395 -13.824 0
2008Q3 -2.6 164.848 2.22478 167.07278 -17.576 0
2008Q4 -1.4 194.512 -4.21862 190.29338 -2.744 0
2009Q1 1.1 202.662 -0.38092 202.28108 1.331 0
2009Q2 1.2 203.456 0.08812 203.54412 1.728 0
2009Q3 1.3 204.394 -0.35995 204.03405 2.197 0
2009Q4 0.2 200.016 -4.86897 195.14703 0.008 0
2010Q1 2.2 221.296 -5.03832 216.25768 10.648 0
2010Q2 -0.5 199.75 3.08382 202.83382 -0.125 0
2010Q3 1.9 213.718 -2.0917 211.6263 6.859 0
2010Q4 -1.8 188.336 5.11324 193.44924 -5.832 0
2011Q1 -0.2 199.984 -2.88855 197.09545 -0.008 0
2011Q2 0.3 200.054 0.6839 200.7379 0.027 0
2011Q3 0.8 201.024 9.43808 210.46208 0.512 0
2011Q4 0.5 200.25 -2.83224 197.41776 0.125 0
2012Q1 1.6 208.192 -10.93135 197.26065 4.096 0
2012Q2 0.4 200.128 7.53604 207.66404 0.064 0
2012Q3 2.1 218.522 8.82113 227.34313 9.261 0
2012Q4 2.4 227.648 -2.17719 225.47081 13.824 0
2013Q1 1.6 208.192 4.04371 212.23571 4.096 0
2013Q2 3.5 285.75 2.84716 288.59716 42.875 0
2013Q3 1.4 205.488 -5.15246 450.33554 2.744 1
2013Q4 0.5 200.25 -9.6624 190.5876 0.125 0
2014Q1 1.6 208.192 -7.14915 201.04285 4.096 0
2014Q2 -0.5 199.75 -5.56731 194.18269 -0.125 0
2014Q3 0.8 201.024 1.81855 202.84255 0.512 0
2014Q4 -2.3 175.666 -12.63185 163.03415 -12.167 0
2015Q1 -2.3 175.666 6.87411 182.54011 -12.167 0
2015Q2 -2.2 178.704 -2.20995 176.49405 -10.648 0
2015Q3 -0.1 199.998 0.41077 200.40877 -0.001 0
2015Q4 -2 184 -7.56729 176.43271 -8 0
2016Q1 -1.6 191.808 -6.86339 184.94461 -4.096 0