Statistical Problem Solving homework

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ma_2025_project_1_example.doc

MA 2025 Project 1 Example

Description

A statistical study was done on average temperatures in Fort Wayne for the month of November.

Statistical Tools Summary

· Created a time series plot of the temperature data over time (sec. 1.1)

· Calculated a five-number summary of the temperature data (sec. 1.2)

· Determined the form of the relationship between time and temperature based on the creation of a scatterplot (sec. 2.1)

· Determined the direction and strength of the relationship between time (X) and temperature (Y) based on the calculation of a Pearson correlation coefficient (sec. 2.2)

· Determined the linear regression equation for time (X) and temperature (Y), calculated R-squared, and interpreted it by giving a non-statistical explanation (sec. 2.3)

Data set

Day in November

Daily average temp in FTW

1

42

2

40

3

36

4

34

5

32

6

34

7

41

8

38

9

44

10

59

11

60

12

46

13

29

14

32

15

34

16

38

17

40

18

40

19

42

20

47

21

44

22

46

23

42

24

31

25

35

www.wunderground.com

Findings

The time series plot of the temperature data over time:

image1.wmf

2

4

2

2

2

0

1

8

1

6

1

4

1

2

1

0

8

6

4

2

6

0

5

5

5

0

4

5

4

0

3

5

3

0

D

a

y

i

n

N

o

v

e

m

b

e

r

D

a

i

l

y

a

v

e

r

a

g

e

t

e

m

p

i

n

F

T

W

T

i

m

e

S

e

r

i

e

s

P

l

o

t

o

f

D

a

i

l

y

a

v

e

r

a

g

e

t

e

m

p

i

n

F

T

W

The five-number summary of the temperature data:

Minimum Q1 Median Q3 Maximum

29.00 34.00 40.00 44.00 60.00

The form, direction, and strength of the relationship between time and temperature based on the creation of a scatterplot and the calculation of a Pearson correlation coefficient:

image2.wmf

2

5

2

0

1

5

1

0

5

0

6

0

5

5

5

0

4

5

4

0

3

5

3

0

D

a

y

i

n

N

o

v

e

m

b

e

r

D

a

i

l

y

a

v

e

r

a

g

e

t

e

m

p

i

n

F

T

W

S

c

a

t

t

e

r

p

l

o

t

o

f

D

a

i

l

y

a

v

e

r

a

g

e

t

e

m

p

i

n

F

T

W

v

s

D

a

y

i

n

N

o

v

e

m

b

e

r

Form: linear

Direction: positive

Strength: weak, r = 0.032

The linear regression equation for time (X) and temperature (Y), calculated R-squared, and a non-statistical explanation:

Daily average temp in FTW = 39.8 + 0.033 Day in November

R-Squared = 0.1%

Explanation: 0.1% of temperature is determined by the day of the month

Conclusions

The time series plot showed a distinct increase and sharp decrease in the middle of the month. The day of the month had almost no influence on the average temperature.

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