See below
21st Century Liquors:
Student Coaching Slides
Glen Whitman
& Shahid Ansari
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Basic Facts of the Case
- New state law allows liquor stores to stay open until 4 a.m.
- Store currently stays open until 10 p.m.
- Based on her research, Janice Wilton recommended extending hours until 4 a.m.
- Ted Radcliff asked Wilton to check her analysis and revise her recommendations if necessary.
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Economics Background
- Concept: Using marginal cost (MC) and marginal revenue (MR) to make profit-maximizing decisions
- MC = additional cost from doing one more of something
- MR = additional revenue from doing one more of something
- Do more when MR > MC. Do less when MR < MC. This will maximize profits.
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Economics Background, cont.
- MR/MC method is usually used to find profit-maximizing quantity of output.
- But it can be used for many other things.
- Here, it’s used to find how many hours to stay open.
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Accounting Background
- Contribution Margin (CM) is sales revenue minus variable cost.
- CM is usually per unit of output, but it can also be found for other cost objects.
- In this case, we use the CM/customer.
- CM/customer is the price of goods sold minus the cost of goods sold to the average customer.
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Accounting Background, cont.
- Breakeven customers for a time period = added cost for that time period divided by CM per customer.
- Safety margin = expected number of added customers minus breakeven number of added customers.
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Statistics Background
- Regression of a dependent variable Y on an independent variable X gives you an estimated equation of a line: Y = a + bX a = coefficient on intercept b = coefficient on independent variable X
- Use p-value on the intercept coefficient to see if it is statistically significant. p-value should be less than significance of .05.
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Statistics Background, cont.
- Difference of means test: determines whether two samples are likely to have come from different populations.
- In this case, are evening customers significantly different from day customers in their buying behavior?
- Use two-tail test, because the difference could go either way.
- Excel will do almost all of this for you!
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