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Chapter 4

Netflix in Two Acts: The Making of an E-Commerce Giant and the Uncertain Future of Atoms to Bits

Introduction to Netflix

Netflix started as a DVD rental business

Known for best-in-class service

Netflix rightly surmised that digital streaming is the future.

Firm was split into two.

Internet based streaming services.

Traditional DVD by mail services.

Transition from a DVD based service to Internet based video streaming business resulted in:

Drop in customer base.

Drastic fall of share prices.

To bring back profits, the firm:

Aggressively expanded the firm’s customer base, both domestically and internationally.

Sponsored the creation of critically acclaimed, original content.

Netflix: Going Public

By going public, Netflix had to disclose its financial position.

Resulted in two big competitors entering the market: Blockbuster and Walmart

Netflix maintained its lead in the market with:

Constant customer and revenue growth

Record profits

Rising stock price

Brand strength

Brands are built through customer experience.

Walmart and Blockbuster could create brand awareness but couldn’t translate that into an industry advantage.

Netflix remained segment leader as it had:

An early market entry

Effective execution

Scale from the Distribution Network and Selection

Netflix’s nationwide network of automated distribution centers collectively delivered DVDs overnight to a large percentage of the population.

Netflix’s advantage came from the scale of the firm’s selection.

Long tail: Large selection of content beneficial for Internet retailers.

Selection attracts customers.

The internet allows large-selection inventory efficiencies that offline firms can’t match.

The long tail

Products offered

Units sold

Most popular products

(offered by retailers)

The long tail (demand exists, but they are not popular enough for retailers to carry them)

Customer Base

Scale economies can be attained by leveraging the cost of an investment across increasing units of production.

Having a bigger customer base enables firms to:

Have better cost structure.

Have better profit prospects.

Offer better pricing.

Leveraging the Data Asset

User data can be leveraged to provide better customer experience and build brands.

Netflix uses a proprietary recommendation system called Cinematch, which uses software technology known as collaborative filtering.

Collaborative filtering: Classification of software that monitors trends among customers and uses this data to personalize an individual customer’s experience.

Data provided by Cinematch is a switching cost.

Churn rate: Rate at which customers leave a product or service.

Advantages of Cinematch:

Netflix could tailor recommendations based on availability of products and individual taste.

Studios found an audience for their back catalog of movies and television shows.

Atoms to Bits

In the case of Netflix, the shift from DVD-by-mail to the streaming business poses new challenges:

Content availability

Content acquisition costs

The legal and regulatory environment

Potential opportunities for revenue and expansion

Potential partners

Competitors and their motivation

The phrase represents the shift from physical products to digital products

Content Acquisition

First sale doctrine: Ruling that states that a firm can distribute physical copies of legally acquired copyright-protected products.

Allows firms to lend or rent products.

Applicable only to the atoms of the physical product and not to the bits needed in streaming.

Windowing: Content is available to a given distribution channel for a specified time window.

Under a different revenue model.

Film Release Windows

Theaters

Hospitality

DVD

VOD

Pay TV

Ad-Supported TV

Pay TV

DVD Street Date

3 months

4 months to perpetuity

5 months

10 months

28 months

8 years

Source: Reproduced by permission of Netflix, Inc. Copyright © 2009, Netflix, Inc. All rights reserved.

Original Content

Netflix is combating rivals with exclusive content by offering exclusive content of its own.

Acquiring or developing original content is an expensive proposition.

It can give a firm exclusive first-window streaming rights.

Streaming and the Data Asset

User data is used to:

Make accurate recommendations.

Improve user interface design.

Help the firm determine the appropriate cost for acquiring content.

Shape creative decisions in original program offerings.

Make better content investments.

Inform the original content investments that Netflix is making.

Create ultra-tailored audience promotions.

Availability of Netflix top 200

Netflix Top 200

(Top 100 TV Shows

+ Top 100 Movies)

Amazon.com

73

Redbox

12

Hulu Plus

27

Source: R. Hastings and D. Wells, “Letter to Shareholders,” Netflix Investor Relations Document, January 23, 2013.

Netflix Everywhere

Netflix initially wanted its content to be available on television.

Set top box was developed, but impractical.

Software platform was developed and made available to manufacturers.

Made it easier to build apps.

Allowed Netflix to be baked directly into consumer electronics products.

Risks Involved With Streaming

Streaming based business needs a robust and reliable infrastructure.

Internet service providers (ISP) are placing bandwidth caps: limitations imposed by the ISP on the total amount of data traffic that a single subscriber can consume.