Week 1 Assignment - Due in 1 hour
Finance 330 Week 1 Readings
Read chapters 1 and 9 from Finance: Financial Markets, Business Finance, and Asset Management, by Frank J. Fabozzi and Pamela Peterson Drake, John Wiley & Sons, 2009.
Also, please read the following sections from Chapter 3:
· Cash Flow Analysis
· Usefulness of Cash Flow for Financial Analysis
These resources can be access through the UMUC LIbrary at the links below.
http://ezproxy.umuc.edu/login?url=http://library.books24x7.com.ezproxy.umuc.edu/library.asp?^B&bookID=31876&chunkid=217195949&rowid=81&refid=VGX8U
Introduction to Financial Management – Module 1
In this section, we address three important subjects in financial management. First, we critically examine the question of what is the proper goal of the firm. Second, we examine the key interactions between the firm and the various market entities. Third, we discuss some of the generally recognized fundamental principals of financial management that form the foundations of financial management analyses and decision making.
The Goal of the Firm
To measure the financial performance of a firm, it is necessary to establish a fundamental goal against which to evaluate financial performance and financial decision making. In determining a "proper" financial goal for the firm, three essential requirements should be satisfied. First, the goal must be theoretically sound; second, it must be quantitative; and third, it must be easy to apply in practice.
A review of current economic and business theory reveals two potential goals for a firm. Traditional economic theory espouses maximizing profit, and modern finance theory advocates maximizing shareholder wealth. Logically, there can be only one goal for evaluating financial performance, therefore we must examine each proposed goal against the above-listed requirements to determine which is superior.
In comparing our two candidates, it is apparent that both goals are quantitative and relatively easy to measure and apply in decision making. The profit maximization goal would be quantitatively measured based on accounting profit—total revenues generated less total costs incurred. The goal of maximizing shareholder wealth would be measured by calculating the market capitalization value—the number of shares of stock outstanding times the current market price per share.
When examined from the perspective of theoretical validity, however, the goal of profit maximization exhibits several significant weaknesses. Although this goal does stress the efficient use of capital resources, by itself it is too narrow, in that it assumes away many of the financially significant complexities of the real world. Specifically, the profit maximization goal has the following two major weaknesses.
1. It assumes away the inherent uncertainty of the expected returns (e.g., it ignores any consideration of risk).
2. It disregards the timing differences as to when the profits are received (e.g., it ignores the time value of money).
As we shall see later, both of these weaknesses are critical considerations for proper financial decision making and cannot be disregarded. Conversely, the maximization of shareholder wealth goal does implicitly assume consideration of the time value of money, risk, and all the other factors that are not directly profit related, but that should be considered in rational financial decision making. Therefore, we conclude that maximizing shareholder wealth is the superior primary goal for all businesses.
The Firm and Its Financial Environment
Fundamental to understanding finance is recognizing that the firm is the primary creator of wealth, which it does by interacting with various sectors of the marketplace. To explain how these basic interactions create wealth, we will develop a simplified transaction model of the firm. This model will begin with a new startup company and trace the basic cash transactions and the resulting counterflows of securities, goods, and services until a sustained profit generation is achieved. In our simplified model, the worldwide marketplace will consist of the following players:
· the firm—the creator of value-added wealth
· the investors—the source of capital
· the supply market—the source of materials, equipment, and required services
· the labor market—the source of labor
· the customers—the purchasers of the firm's goods and services
· the government—the controller of taxes
Here are the firm's step-by-step activities that lead to the sustained generation of wealth.
The Fundamental Principles of Finance
A set of principles of finance has been established, tested over the years, and become accepted as the basic philosophical foundation upon which to build or test financial theories, concepts, and formulas. These principles can be found in many texts, form the paradigm of financial theory, and are widely used in today's business practices and academic research.
Various other academics and practitioners differ on the exact number of principles and their precise wording. Most of these differences relate to wording and to the lower-priority principles, where it is arguable as to whether or not the subject is of sufficient merit to warrant being called a principle of finance. Of most significance for our study of finance, however, is the almost universal acceptance by all recognized authorities of the three core financial principles described below.
1. Risk-return tradeoff—This principle states that rational investors or financial managers will not accept additional risk in an investment unless they are compensated with an acceptable corresponding additional expected return.
This principle will be a key factor in the later development of valuation formulae for stocks, bonds, and capital project analysis.
2. Time value of money—This principle states that a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow because the dollar received today can be reinvested to earn money today.
This fundamental concept leads to the financial convention of bringing future expected cash flows back to the present for comparable evaluation. This concept will be significant in the later development of valuations of future payments, annuities, perpetuities, stocks, bonds, and project analysis.
3. Measure cash, not profit—According to this principle, cash flows, or cash received less cash disbursed, are the proper measures of wealth. Cash is tangible; only cash in hand can be spent or invested. Profits are intangible, an accounting concept, and cannot be spent or invested
Cash flows, or more specifically free cash flows, are the base currency for all financial analysis and decision making related to maximizing wealth, be it future payments, annuities, perpetuities, stocks, bonds, or project return.
These core principles are referenced repeatedly throughout the study of finance and explicitly used in developing advanced financial theories, concepts, and formulas. We encourage you to refer back to these definitions from time to time to reinforce your understanding of exactly how the principles apply.
To summarize these principles, you could combine them into this one-sentence philosophic financial analysis mission statement: The key determinant for most financial decision making is the net value of the incrementally generated free cash flow stream after proper discounting for the time value of money and adjustment to compensate for risk.
Standard Financial Reporting – Module 1
In this section, we address one of the essentials of financial management—the ability of management to measure and report their firm's financial performance and cash flow in a standard and consistent manner. Finance students must have at least a working knowledge of the three standard financial statements—the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement—because they are the primary sources of information regarding a firm's financial performance.
In addition to understanding financial performance, as presented in the financial statements, you must also understand and be able to measure the firm's free cash flows. Referring back to core financial principal 3, "Measure cash, not profit," you must be able to reconcile the difference between the two accrual-based accounting statement reports, the income statement and balance sheet, and the calculation of free cash flows. We stress principle 3 because the discipline of finance uses cash exclusively in analysis and decision making.
The Standard Financial Statements
Three basic financial statements, together, suffice to report the financial health of the firm. These statements are prepared in accordance with Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) pronouncements and Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), and normally are independently audited for conformance with these requirements. Each statement serves a specific purpose. The purpose of the income statement is to report the firm's net income or loss over a set period of time—usually a month, a quarter, or a year. The purpose of the balance sheet is to show the firm's assets, liabilities, and residual or owners' equity at a certain time. The purpose of the free cash flow statement is to show the net change in actual cash, or the free cash flow, generation or loss, over a period of time.
Reemphasizing, the income statement and cash flow statements, respectively, report earnings and cash generated during a period of time, and the balance sheet reports asset, liability, and equity positions at a specific time. Again, the income and cash generation represents the flow of activity between two balance sheet positions. We will now describe each of these three standard financial statements and illustrate them in a minipresentation.
The Income Statement—Measuring a Firm's Profits and Losses
The income statement reports the firm's net income or net loss (profit or loss) results obtained from operating the business over a set period of time, typically a month, quarter, or year. Other common names for the income statement are the profit and loss statement (P&L) and the earnings statement. The income statement begins by identifying all sources of revenue for the period and then sequentially subtracts all the costs that were incurred in generating that revenue. Normally, the income statement comprises five major categories, one related to revenue and four related to costs and expenses as shown below:
1. revenues—the proceeds from selling the product(s) or services(s)
2. costs—the costs of producing or acquiring the product(s) or service(s)
3. period expenses—the expenses incurred in marketing, administration, and R&D
4. interest—the financing costs of debt financing
5. taxes—the taxes owed based on a firm's taxable income
Here is a minipresentation of the development of a financial income statement.
The Balance Sheet—Measuring a Firm's Book Value
The balance sheet provides a snapshot of the firm's financial position at a specific time and presents the firm's asset holdings, liability obligations, and owners' residual equity as of that time. It is important to recognize that the balance sheet is an algebraic equation that relates and balances the three components—assets, liabilities, and equity. In traditional accounting format, the fundamental accounting equation is presented as follows:
Assets = liabilities + equities
Succinctly, this equation states that at any point in time the value of the firm's assets must be exactly equal to the value of its liabilities and equity. For a more intuitive understanding, it is sometimes helpful to algebraically rearrange this equation to read as follows:
Assets – liabilities = equities
Interpreting the rearranged equation, we can now more clearly interpret the meaning of equity. Equity is the residual value the owners can claim after the value of all the liability obligations has been subtracted from the value of the firm's assets. It is important to note that the balance sheet measures "book" value and is not intended to represent the current market value of the firm. Under the accounting rules, the balance sheet records the value of all assets, liabilities, and equities at their historical purchase cost at the time of acquisition.
Assets
Assets represent the historical value of all the resources the firm owns. There are three categories of assets in the balance sheet. These assets are listed in sequence based on the amount of time that is expected to pass before they can be converted to cash.
1. Current assets, by definition, have an expected conversion life of less than one year. Included in current assets are cash, marketable securities, accounts receivable, inventories, and prepaid expenses. All of these assets are considered to be liquid, which means they can quickly be converted into cash if required.
2. Fixed or long-term assets, by definition, have an expected conversion life of more than one year. Included in fixed assets are equipment, buildings, and land. These assets are considered nonliquid because normally they cannot be quickly converted into cash.
3. Other assets is a default category that includes all the firm's remaining assets not otherwise included in the current assets or fixed assets categories. Typical examples of other assets are patents, long-term investments in securities, and goodwill.
Liabilities
Liabilities represent legal financial obligations of the firm. There are two major categories of liabilities in the balance sheet. They are listed in sequence based on the amount of time that is expected to pass before they can be liquidated through the payment of cash. These obligations are normally incurred either from trade credit received from suppliers in the course of normal business or from the firm's use of debt financing to procure company assets.
1. Current liabilities, by definition, have an expected conversion life of less than one year. Included in current liabilities are accounts payable, taxes payable, and short-term debt financing obligations that must be paid within one year.
2. Long-term liabilities, by definition, have an expected conversion life of more than one year. Included in long-term liabilities are long-term notes and long-term bond obligations.
Equity
Equity includes the stockholders' investment in the firm, both capital at par and additional paid-in capital, and the cumulative profits and losses retained in the business from its inception up to the date of the balance sheet.
Here is a little presentation on developing a balance sheet.
The Cash Flow Statement and the Concept of Free Cash Flows
Although an income statement measures a company's profits, as stated earlier, the reported profits are not the same as cash. Accounting profit, or book profit, is calculated on a noncash accounting accrual basis where revenues and expenses are matched in time and certain noncash transactions such as depreciation and amortization are recorded. Under these accounting rules, revenue is earned and cost incurred whether or not the actual cash has been received or disbursed in that period. Therefore, in finance we require a method to translate the accrual-based accounting profit back to its cash component. The statement that converts the accrual-based accounting statements into a cash basis is called the free cash flow statement.
By definition, the free cash flows that are generated from the firm's operations and investments in assets must always be equal to the free cash flows paid to or received from the company's investor financing. Therefore, free cash flows can be calculated from two perspectives, the operating perspective and the financing perspective.
Calculating Free Cash Flows: An Operating Perspective
A firm's free cash flows, from an operating perspective, are the after-tax cash flows generated from operations, less the firm's after-tax cash flow investments in assets. The firm's free cash flows for a given period can be calculated from an operations perspective using the following three-step process:
1. Calculate the firm's after-tax cash flows from operations.
2. Subtract any investment (increase) in net operating working capital.
3. Subtract any investments in fixed assets (plant and equipment) and other assets.
Yields operating-perspective free cash flow
An example of an operating free cash flow.
Calculating Free Cash Flows: A Financing Perspective
A firm's free cash flows from a financing perspective are simply the net cash flows received by the firm's investors, or if negative, the cash flows the investors are paying into the firm. In the latter situation, where the investors are putting money into the firm, it is because the firm's free cash flow from operations is negative, which in turn requires an additional infusion of capital from the investors to maintain the firm as a going concern. The firm's free cash flows for a given period can be calculated from an investment perspective using the following two-part process:
Part 1. Calculations related to debt financing
Step 1 Calculate the interest payments to creditors. Step 2 Add any decrease in debt principal. Step 3 Subtract any increase in debt principal.
Part 2. Calculations related to equity financing
Step 4 Add any dividends paid to stockholders. Step 5 Add any decrease in stock. Step 6 Subtract any increase in stock. ______________________________________________________ Yields Financing-perspective free cash flow
An example of free cash flow from a financing perspective.
As a final reinforcement when calculating free cash flows, remember that the free cash flow from an operating perspective must equal the free cash flow from a financing perspective. This identity can be used as one validity check to assure that your calculations are correct.
An Excel worksheet for the calculation of free cash flow.
Lesson 1: Value Investing
Lesson 3: What are balance sheet and margin of safety?
Watch the following video by Preston Pysh
Lesson 4: What is a share
Watch the following video by Preston Pysh
Lesson 26: What is a cash flow statement?
Watch the following video by Preston Pysh
https://youtu.be/35ucnSHf2m4?list=UULTdCY-fNXc1GqzIuflK-OQ
Lesson 33: What is goodwill on a balance sheet?
https://youtu.be/Dl9ysfotNzY?list=UULTdCY-fNXc1GqzIuflK-OQ
Lesson 27: How to read a cash flow statement?
Watch the following video by Preston Pysh
https://youtu.be/IHWIzDcWWT8?list=UULTdCY-fNXc1GqzIuflK-OQ
Chapter 3: Basics of Financial Analysis
Read the following section from Chapter 3:
· Financial Ratio Analysis
Financial Ratio Analysis
In financial ratio analysis, we select the relevant information—primarily the financial statement data—and evaluate it. We show how to incorporate market data and economic data in the analysis of financial ratios. Finally, we show how to interpret financial ratio analysis, identifying the pitfalls that occur when it's not done properly.
Ratios and Their Classification
A financial ratio is a comparison between one bit of financial information and another. Consider the ratio of current assets to current liabilities, which we refer to as the current ratio. This ratio is a comparison between assets that can be readily turned into cash—current assets—and the obligations that are due in the near future—current liabilities. A current ratio of 2, or 2:1, means that we have twice as much in current assets as we need to satisfy obligations due in the near future.
Ratios can be classified according to the way they are constructed and the financial characteristic they are describing. For example, we will see that the current ratio is constructed as a coverage ratio (the ratio of current assets—available funds—to current liabilities—the obligation) that we use to describe a firm's liquidity (its ability to meet its immediate needs).
There are as many different financial ratios as there are possible combinations of items appearing on the income statement, balance sheet, and statement of cash flows. We can classify ratios according to the financial characteristic that they capture.
When we assess a firm's operating performance, a concern is whether the company is applying its assets in an efficient and profitable manner. When an investor assesses a firm's financial condition, a concern is whether the company is able to meet its financial obligations. The investor can use financial ratios to evaluate five aspects of operating performance and financial condition:
1. Return on investment
2. Liquidity
3. Profitability
4. Activity
5. Financial leverage
There are several ratios reflecting each of the five aspects of a firm's operating performance and financial condition. We apply these ratios to the Fictitious Corporation, whose balance sheets, income statements, and statement of cash flows for two years are shown in Tables 3.1 and3.2, and 3.3, respectively. We refer to the most recent fiscal year for which financial statements are available as the “current year.” The “prior year” is the fiscal year prior to the current year.
|
Table 3.1: Fictitious Corporation Balance Sheets for Years Ending December 31 (in thousands) Open table as spreadsheet |
||
|
|
Current Year |
Prior Year |
|
|
||
|
Assets |
|
|
|
Cash |
$400 |
$200 |
|
Marketable securities |
200 |
0 |
|
Accounts receivable |
600 |
800 |
|
Inventories |
1,800 |
1,000 |
|
Total current assets |
$3,000 |
$2,000 |
|
Gross plant and equipment |
$11,000 |
$10,000 |
|
Accumulated depreciation |
(4,000) |
(3,000) |
|
Net plant and equipment |
7,000 |
7,000 |
|
Intangible assets |
1,000 |
1,000 |
|
Total assets |
$11,000 |
$10,000 |
|
Liabilities and Shareholder Equity |
|
|
|
Accounts payable |
$500 |
$400 |
|
Other current liabilities |
500 |
200 |
|
Long‐term debt |
4,000 |
5,000 |
|
Total liabilities |
$5,000 |
$5,600 |
|
Common stock, $1 par value; Authorized 2,000,000 shares Issued 1,500,000 and 1,200,000 shares |
1,500 |
1,200 |
|
Additional paid‐in capital |
1,500 |
800 |
|
Retained earnings |
3,000 |
2,400 |
|
Total shareholders' equity |
6,000 |
4,400 |
|
Total liabilities and shareholder equity |
$11,000 |
$10,000 |
|
Table 3.2: Fictitious Corporation Income Statements for Years Ending December 31 (in thousands) Open table as spreadsheet |
||
|
|
Current Year |
Prior Year |
|
|
||
|
Sales |
$10,000 |
$9,000 |
|
Cost of goods sold |
(6,500) |
(6,000) |
|
Gross profit |
$3,500 |
$3,000 |
|
Lease expense |
(1,000) |
1,000) |
|
Administrative expense |
(500) |
(500) |
|
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) |
$2,000 |
$2,000 |
|
Interest |
(400) |
(500) |
|
Earnings before taxes |
$1,600 |
$1,500 |
|
Taxes |
(400) |
(500) |
|
Net income |
$1,200 |
$1,000 |
|
Preferred dividends |
(100) |
(100) |
|
Earnings available to common shareholders |
$1,100 |
$900 |
|
Common dividends |
(500) |
(400) |
|
Retained earnings |
$600 |
$500 |
|
Table 3.3: Fictitious Company Statement of Cash Flows, Years Ended December 31 (in thousands) Open table as spreadsheet |
||
|
|
Current Year |
Prior Year |
|
|
||
|
Cash flow from (used for) operating activities |
|
|
|
Net income |
$1,200 |
$1,000 |
|
Add or deduct adjustments to cash basis: |
|
|
|
Change in accounts receivables |
$200 |
$(200) |
|
Change in accounts payable |
100 |
400 |
|
Change in marketable securities |
(200) |
200 |
|
Change in inventories |
(800) |
(600) |
|
Change in other current liabilities |
300 |
0 |
|
Depreciation |
1,000 |
1,000 |
|
Cash flow from operations |
$1,800 |
$1,800 |
|
Cash flow from (used for) investing activities |
|
|
|
Purchase of plant and equipment |
$(1,000) |
$0 |
|
Cash flow from (used for) investing activities |
$(1,000) |
$0 |
|
Cash flow from (used for) financing activities |
|
|
|
Sale of common stock |
$1,000 |
$0 |
|
Repayment of long‐term debt |
(1,000) |
(1,500) |
|
Payment of preferred dividends |
(100) |
(100) |
|
Payment of common dividends |
(500) |
(400) |
|
Cash flow from (used for) financing activities |
(600) |
(1,900) |
|
Increase (decrease) in cash flow |
$200 |
$(100) |
|
Cash at the beginning of the year |
200 |
300 |
|
Cash at the end of the year |
$400 |
$200 |
The ratios we introduce here are by no means the only ones that can be formed using financial data, though they are some of the more commonly used. After becoming comfortable with the tools of financial analysis, an investor will be able to create ratios that serve a particular evaluation objective.
Return‐on‐Investment Ratios
Return‐on‐investment ratios compare measures of benefits, such as earnings or net income, with measures of investment. For example, if an investor wants to evaluate how well the firm uses its assets in its operations, he could calculate the return on assets—sometimes called thebasic earning power ratio—as the ratio of earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) (also known as operating earnings) to total assets:
For Fictitious Corporation, for the current year,
For every dollar invested in assets, Fictitious earned about 18 cents in the current year. This measure deals with earnings from operations; it does not consider how these operations are financed.
Another return‐on‐assets ratio uses net income—operating earnings less interest and taxes—instead of earnings before interest and taxes:
(In actual application the same term, return on assets, is often used to describe both ratios. It is only in the actual context or through an examination of the numbers themselves that we know which return ratio is presented. We use two different terms to describe these two return‐on‐asset ratios in this chapter simply to avoid any confusion.)
For Fictitious in the current year:
Thus, without taking into consideration how assets are financed, the return on assets for Fictitious is 18%. Taking into consideration how assets are financed, the return on assets is 11%. The difference is due to Fictitious financing part of its total assets with debt, incurring interest of $400,000 in the current year; hence, the return‐on‐assets ratio excludes taxes of $400,000 in the current year from earnings in the numerator.
If we look at Fictitious's liabilities and equities, we see that the assets are financed in part by liabilities ($1 million short term, $4 million long term) and in part by equity ($800,000 preferred stock, $5.2 million common stock). Investors may not be interested in the return the firm gets from its total investment (debt plus equity), but rather shareholders are interested in the return the firm can generate on their investment. The return on equity is the ratio of the net income shareholders receive to their equity in the stock:
For Fictitious Corporation, there is only one type of shareholder: common. For the current year,
Recap: Return‐on‐Investment Ratios
The return‐on‐investment ratios for Fictitious Corporation for the current year are:
|
Basic earning power |
= 18.18% |
|
Return on assets |
= 10.91% |
|
Return on equity |
= 20.00% |
These return‐on‐investment ratios indicate: These ratios do not provide information on:
· Fictitious earns over 18% from operations, or about 11% overall, from its assets.
· Shareholders earn 20% from their investment (measured in book value terms).
· Whether this return is due to the profit margins (that is, due to costs and revenues) or to how efficiently Fictitious uses its assets.
· The return shareholders earn on their actual investment in the firm, that is, what shareholders earn relative to their actual investment, not the book value of their investment. For example, $100 may be invested in the stock, but its value according to the balance sheet may be greater than or, more likely, less than $100.
Du Pont System
The returns on investment ratios provides a “bottom line” on the performance of a company, but do not tell us anything about the “why” behind this performance. For an understanding of the “why,” an investor must dig a bit deeper into the financial statements. A method that is useful in examining the source of performance is the Du Pont system. The Du Pont system is a method of breaking down return ratios into their components to determine which areas are responsible for a firm's performance. To see how it is used, let us take a closer look at the first definition of the return on assets:
Suppose the return on assets changes from 20% in one period to 10% the next period. We do not know whether this decreased return is due to a less efficient use of the firm's assets—that is, lower activity—or to less effective management of expenses (i.e., lower profit margins). A lower return on assets could be due to lower activity, lower margins, or both. Because an investor is interested in evaluating past operating performance to evaluate different aspects of the management of the firm and to predict future performance, knowing the source of these returns is valuable.
Let us take a closer look at the return on assets and break it down into its components: measures of activity and profit margin. We do this by relating both the numerator and the denominator to sales activity. Divide both the numerator and the denominator of the basic earning power by revenues:
which is equivalent to
This says that the earning power of the company is related to profitability (in this case, operating profit) and a measure of activity (total asset turnover).
When analyzing a change in the company's basic earning power, an investor could look at this breakdown to see the change in its components: operating profit margin and total asset turnover.
This method of analyzing return ratios in terms of profit margin and turnover ratios, referred to as the Du Pont System, is credited to the E.I. Du Pont Corporation, whose management developed a system of breaking down return ratios into their components.
Let's look at the return on assets of Fictitious for the two years. Its returns on assets were 20% in the prior year and 18.18% in the current year. We can decompose the firm's returns on assets for the two years to obtain:
|
Year |
Basic Earning Power |
Operating Profit Margin |
Total Asset Turnover |
|
|
|||
|
Prior |
20.00% |
22.22% |
0.9000 times |
|
Current |
18.18 |
20.00 |
0.9091 times |
We see that operating profit margin declined over the two years, yet asset turnover improved slightly, from 0.9000 to 0.9091. Therefore, the return‐on‐assets decline is attributable to lower profit margins.
The return on assets can be broken down into its components in a similar manner:
or
The basic earning power ratio relates to the return on assets. Recognizing that
then
The ratio of earnings before taxes to earnings before interest and taxes reflects the interest burden of the company, where as the term (1 − tax rate) reflects the company's tax burden. Therefore,
or
The breakdown of a return‐on‐equity ratio requires a bit more decomposition because instead of total assets as the denominator, the denominator in the return is shareholders’ equity. Because activity ratios reflect the use of all of the assets, not just the proportion financed by equity, we need to adjust the activity ratio by the proportion that assets are financed by equity (i.e., the ratio of the book value of shareholders’ equity to total assets):
The ratio of total assets to shareholders’ equity is referred to as the equity multiplier. The equity multiplier, therefore, captures the effects of how a company finances its assets, referred to as its financial leverage. Multiplying the total asset turnover ratio by the equity multiplier allows us to break down the return‐on‐equity ratios into three components: profit margin, asset turnover, and financial leverage. For example, the return on equity can be broken down into three parts:
Applying this breakdown to Fictitious for the two years:
|
Year |
Return on Equity |
Net Profit Margin |
Total Asset Turnover |
Total Debt to Assets |
Equity Multiplier |
|
|
|||||
|
Prior |
22.73% |
11.11% |
0.9000 times |
56.00% |
2.2727 |
|
Current |
20.00 |
12.00 |
0.9091 |
45.45% |
1.8332 |
The return on equity decreased over the two years because of a lower operating profit margin and less use of financial leverage.
The investor can decompose the return on equity further by breaking out the equity's share of before‐tax earnings (represented by the ratio of earnings before and after interest) and tax retention percentage. Consider the example in Figure 3.1(a), in which we provide a Du Pont breakdown of the return on equity for Microsoft Corporation for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2006. The return on equity of 31.486% can be broken down into three and then five components, as shown in this figure. We can also use this breakdown to compare the return on equity for the 2005 and 2006 fiscal years shown in Figure 3.1(b). As you can see, the return on equity improved from 2005 to 2006 and, using this breakdown, we can see that this was due primarily to the improvement in the asset turnover and the increased financial leverage.
Figure 3.1: The DuPont System Applied to Microsoft Corporation
This decomposition allows the investor to take a closer look at the factors that are controllable by a company's management (e.g., asset turnover) and those that are not controllable (e.g., tax retention). The breakdowns lead the investor to information on both the balance sheet and the income statement. And this is not the only breakdown of the return ratios—further decomposition is possible.
Liquidity
Liquidity reflects the ability of a firm to meet its short‐term obligations using those assets that are most readily converted into cash. Assets that may be converted into cash in a short period of time are referred to as liquid assets; they are listed in financial statements as current assets. Current assets are often referred to as working capital, since they represent the resources needed for the day‐to‐day operations of the firm's long‐term capital investments. Current assets are used to satisfy short‐term obligations, or current liabilities. The amount by which current assets exceed current liabilities is referred to as the net working capital.
Operating Cycle
How much liquidity a firm needs depends on its operating cycle. The operating cycle is the duration from the time cash is invested in goods and services to the time that investment produces cash. For example, a firm that produces and sells goods has an operating cycle comprising four phases: The four phases make up the cycle of cash use and generation. The operating cycle would be somewhat different for companies that produce services rather than goods, but the idea is the same—the operating cycle is the length of time it takes to generate cash through the investment of cash.
1. Purchase raw materials and produce goods, investing in inventory.
2. Sell goods, generating sales, which may or may not be for cash.
3. Extend credit, creating accounts receivable.
4. Collect accounts receivable, generating cash.
What does the operating cycle have to do with liquidity? The longer the operating cycle, the more current assets are needed (relative to current liabilities) since it takes longer to convert inventories and receivables into cash. In other words, the longer the operating cycle, the greater the amount of net working capital required.
To measure the length of an operating cycle we need to know:
· The time it takes to convert the investment in inventory into sales (that is, cash → inventory → sales → accounts receivable).
· The time it takes to collect sales on credit (that is, accounts receivable → cash).
We can estimate the operating cycle for Fictitious Corporation for the current year, using the balance sheet and income statement data. The number of days Fictitious ties up funds in inventory is determined by the total amount of money represented in inventory and the average day's cost of goods sold. The current investment in inventory—that is, the money “tied up” in inventory—is the ending balance of inventory on the balance sheet. The average day's cost of goods sold is the cost of goods sold on an average day in the year, which can be estimated by dividing the cost of goods sold (which is found on the income statement) by the number of days in the year. The average day's cost of goods sold for the current year is
In other words, Fictitious incurs, on average, a cost of producing goods sold of $17,808 per day.
Fictitious has $1.8 million of inventory on hand at the end of the year. How many days’ worth of goods sold is this? One way to look at this is to imagine that Fictitious stopped buying more raw materials and just finished producing whatever was on hand in inventory, using available raw materials and work‐in‐process. How long would it take Fictitious to run out of inventory?
We compute the days sales in inventory (DSI), also known as the number of days of inventory, by calculating the ratio of the amount of inventory on hand (in dollars) to the average day's cost of goods sold (in dollars per day):
In other words, Fictitious has approximately 101 days of goods on hand at the end of the current year. If sales continued at the same price, it would take Fictitious 101 days to run out of inventory.
If the ending inventory is representative of the inventory throughout the year, then it takes about 101 days to convert the investment in inventory into sold goods. Why worry about whether the year‐end inventory is representative of inventory at any day throughout the year? Well, if inventory at the end of the fiscal year‐end is lower than on any other day of the year, we have understated the DSI. Indeed, in practice most companies try to choose fiscal year‐ends that coincide with the slow period of their business. That means the ending balance of inventory would be lower than the typical daily inventory of the year. To get a better picture of the firm, we could, for example, look at quarterly financial statements and take averages of quarterly inventory balances. However, here for simplicity we make a note of the problem of representatives and deal with it later in the discussion of financial ratios.
It should be noted that as an attempt to make the inventory figure more representative, some suggest taking the average of the beginning and ending inventory amounts. This does nothing to remedy the representativeness problem because the beginning inventory is simply the ending inventory from the previous year and, like the ending value from the current year, is measured at the low point of the operating cycle. A preferred method, if data is available, is to calculate the average inventory for the four quarters of the fiscal year.
We can extend the same logic for calculating the number of days between a sale—when an account receivable is created—and the time it is collected in cash. If we assume that Fictitious sells all goods on credit, we can first calculate the average credit sales per day and then figure out how many days’ worth of credit sales are represented by the ending balance of receivables.
The average credit sales per day are
Therefore, Fictitious generates $27,397 of credit sales per day. With an ending balance of accounts receivable of $600,000, the days sales outstanding (DSO), also known as the number of days of credit, in this ending balance is calculated by taking the ratio of the balance in the accounts receivable account to the credit sales per day:
If the ending balance of receivables at the end of the year is representative of the receivables on any day throughout the year, then it takes, on average, approximately 22 days to collect the accounts receivable. In other words, it takes 22 days for a sale to become cash.
Using what we have determined for the inventory cycle and cash cycle, we see that for Fictitious
We also need to look at the liabilities on the balance sheet to see how long it takes a firm to pay its short‐term obligations. We can apply the same logic to accounts payable as we did to accounts receivable and inventories. How long does it take a firm, on average, to go from creating a payable (buying on credit) to paying for it in cash?
First, we need to determine the amount of an average day's purchases on credit. If we assume all the Fictitious purchases are made on credit, then the total purchases for the year would be the cost of goods sold less any amounts included in cost of goods sold that are not purchases. For example, depreciation is included in the cost of goods sold yet is not a purchase. Since we do not have a breakdown on the company's cost of goods sold showing how much was paid for in cash and how much was on credit, let us assume for simplicity that purchases are equal to cost of goods sold less depreciation. The average day's purchases then become
The days payables outstanding (DPO), also known as the number of days of purchases, represented in the ending balance in accounts payable is calculated as the ratio of the balance in the accounts payable account to the average day's purchases:
For Fictitious in the current year,
This means that on average Fictitious takes 33 days to pay out cash for a purchase.
The operating cycle tells us how long it takes to convert an investment in cash back into cash (by way of inventory and accounts receivable). The number of days of payables tells us how long it takes to pay on purchases made to create the inventory. If we put these two pieces of information together, we can see how long, on net, we tie up cash. The difference between the operating cycle and the number of days of purchases is the cash conversion cycle (CCC), also known as the net operating cycle:
Or, substituting for the operating cycle,
The cash conversion cycle for Fictitious in the current year is
The CCC is how long it takes for the firm to get cash back from its investments in inventory and accounts receivable, considering that purchases may be made on credit. By not paying for purchases immediately (that is, using trade credit), the firm reduces its liquidity needs. Therefore, the longer the net operating cycle, the greater the required liquidity.
Measures of Liquidity
The investor can describe a firm's ability to meet its current obligations in several ways. The current ratio indicates the firm's ability to meet or cover its current liabilities using its current assets:
For the Fictitious Corporation, the current ratio for the current year is the ratio of current assets, $3 million, to current liabilities, the sum of accounts payable and other current liabilities, or $1 million.
The current ratio of 3.0 indicates that Fictitious has three times as much as it needs to cover its current obligations during the year. However, the current ratio groups all current asset accounts together, assuming they are all as easily converted to cash. Even though, by definition, current assets can be transformed into cash within a year, not all current assets can be transformed into cash in a short period of time.
An alternative to the current ratio is the quick ratio, also called the acid‐test ratio, which uses a slightly different set of current accounts to cover the same current liabilities as in the current ratio. In the quick ratio, the least liquid of the current asset accounts, inventory, is excluded:
We typically leave out inventories in the quick ratio because inventories are generally perceived as the least liquid of the current assets. By leaving out the least liquid asset, the quick ratio provides a more conservative view of liquidity.
For Fictitious in the current year,
Still another way to measure the firm's ability to satisfy short‐term obligations is the net working capital‐to‐sales ratio, which compares net working capital (current assets less current liabilities) with sales:
This ratio tells us the “cushion” available to meet short‐term obligations relative to sales. Consider two firms with identical working capital of $100,000, but one has sales of $500,000 and the other sales of $1,000,000. If they have identical operating cycles, this means that the firm with the greater sales has more funds flowing in and out of its current asset investments (inventories and receivables). The company with more funds flowing in and out needs a larger cushion to protect itself in case of a disruption in the cycle, such as a labor strike or unexpected delays in customer payments. The longer the operating cycle, the more of a cushion (net working capital) a firm needs for a given level of sales.
For Fictitious Corporation,
The ratio of 0.20 tells us that for every dollar of sales, Fictitious has 20 cents of net working capital to support it.
Recap: Liquidity Ratios
Operating cycle and liquidity ratio information for Fictitious using data for the current year, in summary, is
|
Days sales in inventory |
= 101 days |
|
Days sales outstanding |
= 22 days |
|
Operating cycle |
= 123 days |
|
Days payables outstanding |
= 33 days |
|
Cash conversion cycle |
= 90 days |
|
Current ratio |
= 3.0 |
|
Quick ratio |
= 1.2 |
|
Net working capital–to‐sales ratio |
= 20% |
Given the measures of time related to the current accounts—the operating cycle and the cash conversion cycle—and the three measures of liquidity—current ratio, quick ratio, and net working capital‐to‐sales ratio—we know the following about Fictitious Corporation's ability to meet its short‐term obligations:
· Inventory is less liquid than accounts receivable (comparing days of inventory with days of credit).
· Current assets are greater than needed to satisfy current liabilities in a year (from the current ratio).
· The quick ratio tells us that Fictitious can meet its short‐term obligations even without resorting to selling inventory.
· The net working capital “cushion” is 20 cents for every dollar of sales (from the net working capital‐to‐sales ratio.)
What don’t ratios tells us about liquidity? They don’t provide us with answers to the following questions:
· How liquid are the accounts receivable? How much of the accounts receivable will be collectible? Whereas we know it takes, on average, 22 days to collect, we do not know how much will never be collected.
· What is the nature of the current liabilities? How much of current liabilities consists of items that recur (such as accounts payable and wages payable) each period and how much consists of occasional items (such as income taxes payable)?
· Are there any unrecorded liabilities (such as operating leases) that are not included in current liabilities?
Profitability Ratios
Liquidity ratios indicate a firm's ability to meet its immediate obligations. Now we extend the analysis by adding profitability ratios, which help the investor gauge how well a firm is managing its expenses. Profit margin ratioscompare components of income with sales. They give the investor an idea of which factors make up a firm's income and are usually expressed as a portion of each dollar of sales. For example, the profit margin ratios we discuss here differ only in the numerator. It is in the numerator that we can evaluate performance for different aspects of the business.
For example, suppose the investor wants to evaluate how well production facilities are managed. The investor would focus on gross profit (sales less cost of goods sold), a measure of income that is the direct result of production management. Comparing gross profit with sales produces the gross profit margin,
This ratio tells us the portion of each dollar of sales that remains after deducting production expenses. For Fictitious Corporation for the current year,
For each dollar of revenues, the firm's gross profit is 35 cents. Looking at sales and cost of goods sold, we can see that the gross profit margin is affected by: Any change in gross profit margin from one period to the next is caused by one or more of those three factors. Similarly, differences in gross margin ratios among firms are the result of differences in those factors.
· Changes in sales volume, which affect cost of goods sold and sales.
· Changes in sales price, which affect revenues.
· Changes in the cost of production, which affect cost of goods sold.
To evaluate operating performance, we need to consider operating expenses in addition to the cost of goods sold. To do this, remove operating expenses (e.g., selling and general administrative expenses) from gross profit, leaving operating profit, also referred to as earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT). Therefore, the operating profit margin is
For Fictitious in the current year,
Therefore, for each dollar of revenues, Fictitious has 20 cents of operating income. The operating profit margin is affected by the same factors as gross profit margin, plus operating expenses such as: Most of these expenses are related in some way to revenues, though they are not included directly in the cost of goods sold. Therefore, the difference between the gross profit margin and the operating profit margin is due to these indirect items that are included in computing the operating profit margin.
· Office rent and lease expenses.
· Miscellaneous income (for example, income from investments).
· Advertising expenditures.
· Bad debt expense.
Both the gross profit margin and the operating profit margin reflect a company's operating performance. But they do not consider how these operations have been financed. To evaluate both operating and financing decisions, the investor must compare net income (that is, earnings after deducting interest and taxes) with revenues. The result is the net profit margin:
The net profit margin tells the investor the net income generated from each dollar of revenues; it considers financing costs that the operating profit margin does not consider. For Fictitious for the current year,
For every dollar of revenues, Fictitious generates 12 cents in profits.
Recap: Profitability Ratios
The profitability ratios for Fictitious in the current year are:
|
Gross profit margin |
= 35% |
|
Operating profit margin |
= 20% |
|
Net profit margin |
= 12% |
They indicate the following about the operating performance of Fictitious:
· Each dollar of revenues contributes 35 cents to gross profit and 20 cents to operating profit.
· Every dollar of revenues contributes 12 cents to owners’ earnings.
· By comparing the 20‐cent operating profit margin with the 12‐cent net profit margin, we see that Fictitious has 8 cents of financing costs for every dollar of revenues.
What these ratios do not indicate about profitability is the sensitivity of gross, operating, and net profit margins to:
· Changes in the sales price.
· Changes in the volume of sales.
Looking at the profitability ratios for one firm for one period gives the investor very little information that can be used to make judgments regarding future profitability. Nor do these ratios provide the investor any information about why current profitability is what it is. We need more information to make these kinds of judgments, particularly regarding the future profitability of the firm. For that, turn to activity ratios, which are measures of how well assets are being used.
Activity Ratios
Activity ratios—for the most part, turnover ratios—can be used to evaluate the benefits produced by specific assets, such as inventory or accounts receivable, or to evaluate the benefits produced by the totality of the firm's assets.
Inventory Management
The inventory turnover ratio indicates how quickly a firm has used inventory to generate the goods and services that are sold. The inventory turnover is the ratio of the cost of goods sold to inventory:
For Fictitious for the current year:
This ratio indicates that Fictitious turns over its inventory 3.61 times per year. On average, cash is invested in inventory, goods and services are produced, and these goods and services are sold 3.6 times a year. Looking back to the number of days of inventory, we see that this turnover measure is consistent with the results of that calculation: There are 101 calendar days of inventory on hand at the end of the year; dividing 365 days by 101 days, or 365/101 days, we find that inventory cycles through (from cash to sales) 3.61 times a year.
Accounts Receivable Management
In much the same way inventory turnover can be evaluated, an investor can evaluate a firm's management of its accounts receivable and its credit policy. The accounts receivable turnover ratio is a measure of how effectively a firm is using credit extended to customers. The reason for extending credit is to increase sales. The downside to extending credit is the possibility of default—customers not paying when promised. The benefit obtained from extending credit is referred to as net credit sales—sales on credit less returns and refunds.
Looking at the Fictitious Corporation income statement, we see an entry for sales, but we do not know how much of the amount stated is on credit. In the case of evaluating a firm, an investor would have an estimate of the amount of credit sales. Let us assume that the entire sales amount represents net credit sales. For Fictitious for the current year:
Therefore, almost 17 times in the year there is, on average, a cycle that begins with a sale on credit and finishes with the receipt of cash for that sale. In other words, there are 17 cycles of sales to credit to cash during the year.
The number of times accounts receivable cycle through the year is consistent with the days sales outstanding (22) that we calculated earlier—accounts receivable turn over 17 times during the year, and the average number of days of sales in the accounts receivable balance is 365 days/16.67 times = 22 days.
Overall Asset Management
The inventory and accounts receivable turnover ratios reflect the benefits obtained from the use of specific assets (inventory and accounts receivable). For a more general picture of the productivity of the firm, an investor can compare the sales during a period with the total assets that generated these revenues.
One way is with the total asset turnover ratio, which indicates how many times during the year the value of a firm's total assets is generated in revenues:
For Fictitious in the current year,
The turnover ratio of 0.91 indicated that in the current year, every dollar invested in total assets generates 91 cents of sales. Or, stated differently, the total assets of Fictitious turn over almost once during the year. Because total assets include both tangible and intangible assets, this turnover indicates how efficiently all assets were used.
An alternative is to focus only on fixed assets, the long‐term, tangible assets of the firm. The fixed asset turnover is the ratio of revenues to fixed assets:
For Fictitious in the current year:
Therefore, for every dollar of fixed assets, Fictitious is able to generate $1.43 of revenues.
Recap: Activity Ratios
The activity ratios for Fictitious Corporation are:
|
Inventory turnover ratio |
= 3.61 times |
|
Accounts receivable turnover ratio |
= 16.67 times |
|
Total asset turnover ratio |
= 0.91 times |
|
Fixed asset turnover ratio |
= 1.43 times |
From these ratios the investor can determine that: Here is what these ratios do not indicate about the firm's use of its assets:
· Inventory flows in and out almost four times a year (from the inventory turnover ratio).
· Accounts receivable are collected in cash, on average, 22 days after a sale (from the number of days of credit). In other words, accounts receivable flow in and out almost 17 times during the year (from the accounts receivable turnover ratio).
· The sales not made because credit policies are too stringent.
· How much of credit sales is not collectible.
· Which assets contribute most to the turnover.
Financial Leverage Ratios
A firm can finance its assets with equity or with debt. Financing with debt legally obligates the firm to pay interest and to repay the principal as promised. Equity financing does not obligate the firm to pay anything because dividends are paid at the discretion of the board of directors. There is always some risk, which we refer to as business risk, inherent in any business enterprise. But how a firm chooses to finance its operations—the particular mix of debt and equity—may add financial risk on top of business risk. Financial risk is risk associated with a firm's ability to satisfy its debt obligations, and is often measured using the extent to which debt financing is used relative to equity.
Financial leverage ratios are used to assess how much financial risk the firm has taken on. There are two types of financial leverage ratios: component percentages and coverage ratios. Component percentages compare a firm's debt with either its total capital (debt plus equity) or its equity capital. Coverage ratios reflect a firm's ability to satisfy fixed financing obligations, such as interest, principal repayment, or lease payments.
Component Percentage Ratios
A ratio that indicates the proportion of assets financed with debt is the debt‐to‐assets ratio, which compares total liabilities (Short‐term + Long‐term debt) with total assets:
For Fictitious in the current year,
This ratio indicates that 45% of the firm's assets are financed with debt (both short term and long term).
Another way to look at the financial risk is in terms of the use of debt relative to the use of equity. The debt‐to‐equity ratio indicates how the firm finances its operations with debt relative to the book value of its shareholders’ equity:
For Fictitious for the current year, using the book‐value definition:
For every one dollar of book value of shareholders’ equity, Fictitious uses 83 cents of debt.
Both of these ratios can be stated in terms of total debt, as above, or in terms of long‐term debt or even simply interest‐bearing debt. And it is not always clear in which form—total, long‐term debt, or interest‐bearing—the ratio is calculated. Additionally, it is often the case that the current portion of long‐term debt is excluded in the calculation of the long‐term versions of these debt ratios.
One problem with using a financial ratio based on the book value of equity to analyze financial risk is that there is seldom a strong relationship between the book value and market value of a stock. The distortion in values on the balance sheet is obvious by looking at the book value of equity and comparing it with the market value of equity. The book value of equity consists of:
· The proceeds to the firm of all the stock issues since it was first incorporated, less any stock repurchased by the firm.
· The accumulative earnings of the firm, less any dividends, since it was first incorporated.
Let's look at an example of the book value versus the market value of equity. IBM was incorporated in 1911, so the book value of its equity represents the sum of all its stock issued and all its earnings, less any dividends paid since 1911. As of the end of 2006, IBM's book value of equity was approximately $28.5 billion, yet its market value was $142.8 billion.
Book value generally does not give a true picture of the investment of shareholders in the firm because: Market value, on the other hand, is the value of equity as perceived by investors. It is what investors are willing to pay. So why bother with book value? For two reasons: First, it is easier to obtain the book value than the market value of a firm's securities, and second, many financial services report ratios using book value rather than market value.
· Earnings are recorded according to accounting principles, which may not reflect the true economics of transactions.
· Due to inflation, the earnings and proceeds from stock issued in the past do not reflect today's values.
However, any of the ratios presented in this chapter that use the book value of equity can be restated using the market value of equity. For example, instead of using the book value of equity in the debt‐to‐equity ratio, the market value of equity to measure the firm's financial leverage can be used.
Coverage Ratios
The ratios that compare debt to equity or debt to assets indicate the amount of financial leverage, which enables an investor to assess the financial condition of a firm. Another way of looking at the financial condition and the amount of financial leverage used by the firm is to see how well it can handle the financial burdens associated with its debt or other fixed commitments.
One measure of a firm's ability to handle financial burdens is the interest coverage ratio, also referred to as the times interest‐covered ratio. This ratio tells us how well the firm can cover or meet the interest payments associated with debt. The ratio compares the funds available to pay interest (that is, earnings before interest and taxes) with the interest expense:
The greater the interest coverage ratio, the better able the firm is to pay its interest expense. For Fictitious for the current year,
An interest coverage ratio of 5 means that the firm's earnings before interest and taxes are five times greater than its interest payments.
The interest coverage ratio provides information about a firm's ability to cover the interest related to its debt financing. However, there are other costs that do not arise from debt but that nevertheless must be considered in the same way we consider the cost of debt in a firm's financial obligations. For example, lease payments are fixed costs incurred in financing operations. Like interest payments, they represent legal obligations.
What funds are available to pay debt and debt‐like expenses? Start with EBIT and add back expenses that were deducted to arrive at EBIT. The ability of a firm to satisfy its fixed financial costs—its fixed charges—is referred to as the fixed charge coverage ratio. One definition of the fixed charge coverage considers only the lease payments:
For Fictitious for the current year,
This ratio tells us that Fictitious's earnings can cover its fixed charges (interest and lease payments) more than two times over.
What fixed charges to consider is not entirely clear‐cut. For example, if the firm is required to set aside funds to eventually or periodically retire debt—referred to as sinking funds—is the amount set aside a fixed charge? As another example, since preferred dividends represent a fixed financing charge, should they be included as a fixed charge? From the perspective of the common shareholder, the preferred dividends must be covered either to enable the payment of common dividends or to retain earnings for future growth. Because debt principal repayment and preferred stock dividends are paid on an after‐tax basis—paid out of dollars remaining after taxes are paid—this fixed charge must be converted to before‐tax dollars. The fixed charge coverage ratio can be expanded to accommodate the sinking funds and preferred stock dividends as fixed charges.
Up to now, we considered earnings before interest and taxes as funds available to meet fixed financial charges. EBIT includes noncash items such as depreciation and amortization. If an investor is trying to compare funds available to meet obligations, a better measure of available funds is cash flow from operations, as reported in the statement of cash flows. A ratio that considers cash flows from operations as funds available to cover interest payments is referred to as the cash flow interest coverage ratio.
The amount of cash flow from operations that is in the statement of cash flows is net of interest and taxes. So we have to add back interest and taxes to cash flow from operations to arrive at the cash flow amount before interest and taxes in order to determine the cash flow available to cover interest payments.
For Fictitious for the current year,
This coverage ratio indicates that, in terms of cash flows, Fictitious has 6.5 times more cash than is needed to pay its interest. This is a better picture of interest coverage than the five times reflected by EBIT. Why the difference? Because cash flow considers not just the accounting income, but noncash items as well. In the case of Fictitious, depreciation is a noncash charge that reduced EBIT but not cash flow from operations—it is added back to net income to arrive at cash flow from operations.
Recap: Financial Leverage Ratios
Summarizing, the financial leverage ratios for Fictitious Corporation for the current year are:
|
Debt‐to‐assets ratio |
= 45.45% |
|
Debt‐to‐equity ratio |
= 83.33% |
|
Interest coverage ratio |
= 5.00 times |
|
Fixed charge coverage ratio |
= 2.14 times |
|
Cash flow interest coverage ratio |
= 6.50 times |
These ratios indicate that Fictitious uses its financial leverage as follows: These ratios do not indicate:
· Assets are 45% financed with debt, measured using book values.
· Long‐term debt is approximately two‐thirds of equity. When equity is measured in market value terms, long‐term debt is approximately one‐sixth of equity.
· What other fixed, legal commitments the firm has that are not included on the balance sheet (for example, operating leases).
· What the intentions of management are regarding taking on more debt as the existing debt matures.
Common‐Size Analysis
An investor can evaluate a company's operating performance and financial condition through ratios that relate various items of information contained in the financial statements. Another way to analyze a firm is to look at its financial data more comprehensively.
Common‐size analysis is a method of analysis in which the components of a financial statement are compared with each other. The first step in common‐size analysis is to break down a financial statement—either the balance sheet or the income statement—into its parts. The next step is to calculate the proportion that each item represents relative to some benchmark. This form of common‐size analysis is sometimes referred to as vertical common‐size analysis. Another form of common‐size analysis is horizontal common‐size analysis, which uses either an income statement or a balance sheet in a fiscal year and compares accounts to the corresponding items in another year. In common‐size analysis of the balance sheet, the benchmark is total assets. For the income statement, the benchmark is sales.
Let us see how it works by doing some common‐size financial analysis for the Fictitious Corporation. The company's balance sheet is restated in Table 3.4. This statement does not look precisely like the balance sheet we have seen before. Nevertheless, the data are the same but reorganized. Each item in the original balance sheet has been restated as a proportion of total assets for the purpose of common size analysis. Hence, we refer to this as the common‐size balance sheet.
|
Table 3.4: Fictitious Corporation Common‐Size Balance Sheets for Years Ending December 31 Open table as spreadsheet |
||||
|
|
Current Year |
|
Prior Year |
|
|
|
||||
|
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
Cash |
3.6% |
2.0% |
||
|
Marketable securities |
1.8% |
0.0% |
||
|
Accounts receivable |
5.5% |
8.0% |
||
|
Inventory |
16.4% |
10.0% |
||
|
Current assets |
27.3% |
20.0% |
||
|
Net plant and equipment |
63.5% |
70.0% |
||
|
Intangible assets |
9.2% |
10.0% |
||
|
Total assets |
100.0% |
100.0% |
||
|
Liabilities and Shareholder Equity |
||||
|
Accounts payable |
4.6% |
4.0% |
||
|
Other current liabilities |
4.6% |
1.0% |
||
|
Long‐term debt |
36.4% |
50.0% |
||
|
Total liabilities |
45.4% |
56.0% |
||
|
Shareholders’ equity |
54.6% |
44.0% |
||
|
Total liabilities and shareholder equity |
100.0% |
100.0% |
In this balance sheet, we see, for example, that in the current year cash is 3.6% of total assets, or $400,000/$11,000,000 = 0.036. The largest investment is in plant and equipment, which comprises 63.6% of total assets. On the liabilities side, that current liabilities are a small portion (9.1%) of liabilities and equity.
The common‐size balance sheet indicates in very general terms how Fictitious has raised capital and where this capital has been invested. As with financial ratios, however, the picture is not complete until trends are examined and compared with those of other firms in the same industry.
In the income statement, as with the balance sheet, the items may be restated as a proportion of sales; this statement is referred to as the common‐size income statement. The common‐size income statements for Fictitious for the two years are shown in Table 3.5. For the current year, the major costs are associated with goods sold (65%); lease expense, other expenses, interest, taxes, and dividends make up smaller portions of sales. Looking at gross profit, EBIT, and net income, these proportions are the profit margins we calculated earlier. The common‐size income statement provides information on the profitability of different aspects of the firm's business. Again, the picture is not yet complete. For a more complete picture, the investor must look at trends over time and make comparisons with other companies in the same industry.
|
Table 3.5: Fictitious Corporation Common‐Size Income Statement for Years Ending December 31 Open table as spreadsheet |
||
|
|
Current Year |
Prior Year |
|
|
||
|
Sales |
100.0% |
100.0% |
|
Cost of goods sold |
65.0% |
66.7% |
|
Gross profit |
35.0% |
33.3% |
|
Lease and administrative expenses |
15.0% |
16.7% |
|
Earnings before interest and taxes |
20.0% |
16.7% |
|
Interest expense |
4.0% |
5.6% |
|
Earnings before taxes |
16.0% |
16.7% |
|
Taxes |
4.0% |
5.7% |
|
Net income |
12.0% |
11.1% |
|
Common dividends |
6.0% |
5.6% |
|
Retained earnings |
6.0% |
5.5% |
Using Financial Ratio Analysis
Financial analysis provides information concerning a firm's operating performance and financial condition. This information is useful for an investor in evaluating the performance of the company as a whole, as well as of divisions, products, and subsidiaries. An investor must also be aware that financial analysis is also used by investors and investors to gauge the financial performance of the company.
But financial ratio analysis cannot tell the whole story and must be interpreted and used with care. Financial ratios are useful but, as noted in the discussion of each ratio, there is information that the ratios do not reveal. For example, in calculating inventory turnover we need to assume that the inventory shown on the balance sheet is representative of inventory throughout the year. Another example is in the calculation of accounts receivable turnover. We assumed that all sales were on credit. If we are on the outside looking in—that is, evaluating a firm based on its financial statements only, such as the case of a financial investor or investor—and therefore do not have data on credit sales, assumptions must be made that may or may not be correct.
In addition, there are other areas of concern that an investor should be aware of in using financial ratios:
· Limitations in the accounting data used to construct the ratios.
· Selection of an appropriate benchmark firm or firms for comparison purposes.
· Interpretation of the ratios.
· Pitfalls in forecasting future operating performance and financial condition based on past trends.
Evaluating Financial Performance
Read Evaluating Financial Performance.
· Evaluating Financial Performance
In this section, we will learn about one of the primary analytical tools commonly used to evaluate the financial performance of the firm—financial ratio analysis. Its use provides a financially sound, analytically powerful, and widely accepted approach for evaluating many critical aspects of a firm's financial performance.
Over the years, many standard financial ratio formulas have been developed and employed to evaluate various and specific aspects of a firm's financial performance. The art of this technique now rests in organizing these ratios for effective implementation, properly applying them in practice, and knowing the limitation of this technique. Because most textbooks cover this subject in detail and adequately develop the theory behind each financial ratio, in this section we will concentrate on two supplemental topics: (1) organizing the key financial ratios according to their application and (2) providing some additional perspectives regarding the uses and limitations of these techniques.
Organizing Financial Ratios by Application
The purpose of a financial ratio is to define a theoretically meaningful relationship between selected activities of the firm's financial statements that can provide insight into the firm's financial performance. Different practitioners and textbooks sometimes group the financial ratios differently. There are at least 15–20 standard financial ratios plus variations of some of them. Therefore, it is easy to lose sight of the forest for the trees.
Also, different practitioners and textbooks often group the financial ratios differently. One of the more logical and useful ways to group these ratios is by their ability to answer the following four key questions related to financial performance evaluation.
1. How liquid is the firm?
2. How effective is the firm in generating profits on its assets?
3. How is the firm financing its assets?
4. Are the shareholder returns adequate?
Using these four questions, the financial ratios can be grouped by category and be readily available to analyze a firm according to four different perspectives. Here is a detailed chart that organizes 10 key standard financial ratio formulas by the above four perspectives.
The Uses and Limitations of Financial Ratios
Who Uses Financial Ratio Analysis?
In addition to the management of the firm, a wide variety of individuals and organizations, for a variety of purposes, use financial ratios to evaluate the financial statements of publicly traded firms. The following is a list of some of the major users of financial ratios and their general purposes for doing so.
1. Investors and investment brokers use analysis to
· evaluate alternative investments' risks versus returns
· identify trends as indicators of a firm's future performance
· identify opportunities and risks in future investment
1. Banks use analysis to
· evaluate loans to firms
· evaluate loans to individuals (personal financial statements)
· establish interest rates (higher risk equals higher interest rate)
· manage clients' investment portfolios
3. Government regulatory agencies use analysis to
· evaluate new public stock issues [Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)]
· conduct government audits [General Accounting Office (GAO)]
· establish rates for government contracting [the Defense Contract Auditing Agency (DCAA)]
4. The firm uses analysis for
· management planning
· financial planning
· credit management (who to give trade credit and on what terms)
· shareholder reporting
· evaluating potential mergers and acquisitions
· evaluating competitors
· identifying operational problems
· assuring compliance with loan covenants (normal with bank loans)
The Use of Financial Ratio Analysis
The reliability and value of the information gained from financial ratio analysis can vary significantly, depending on how it was conducted and on the quality and comparability of the financial statements, which provide the financial data. By itself, a ratio is just a number and not inherently meaningful. Stand-alone financial ratios are like stand-alone numbers. They have limited value unless associated with other references. For an obvious example, 3 by itself means little unless associated with some base, such as 3 degrees on the centigrade temperature scale.
The two basic approaches for meaningfully associating financial ratios are trend analysis and comparative analysis. In fact, it is the careful integration of trend analysis with ratio analysis that provides the single most powerful technique for evaluating financial performance. Normally, trend analysis is performed on annual or quarterly data because public companies have to report this information to the stockholders.
Of the two sources of data, the annual data are generally considered to be the more significant because of the annual audit requirement. The two approaches can also be used together to provide a more comprehensive picture of financial performance, such as "a comparative analysis of a firm's performance against the industry average over a three-year period."
The reliability of comparative financial ratio analysis is primarily a function of the accuracy and comparability of the two sets of source financial data. The analyst must be aware of the following factors.
1. Different companies may use differing, but GAAP-acceptable, accounting treatments, which can distort comparison of the financial statements and the ratios based on them.
2. Industry standards, although useful, combine many variations in accounting treatments and may also contain inaccurate or incomplete input information from industry members.
3. It should be obvious that comparing significantly differing firms over differing time periods will likely add such distortion as to render any analysis highly questionable.
In summary, the more comparable the financial statements and the more comparable the firms, the more meaningful will be the results of the financial ratio analysis—and vice versa.
Financial Ratio Limitations and Cautions
Remember that financial ratios, although important, are only one piece of the financial performance picture and are best used in conjunction with all other available financial information. In employing financial ratio analysis, it is important to be aware of their implicit weaknesses and limitations, as well as their explicit strengths. Be particularly aware of the following points in using financial ratio analysis.
1. A financial ratio is only as reliable as the accuracy of the financial data.
2. GAAP accounting allows significant variation between companies.
3. Accounting data are historical and therefore may not project current performance.
4. Industry averages can contain significant dispersion and approximations.
5. Industry classifications have problems with multi-product-line companies.
6. Many firms have pronounced seasonal and cyclical variations that can affect ratios.
7. Different fiscal year endings can affect comparability.
8. Any financial ratio evaluation is relative, not absolute.
9. Firms, to the extent possible, try to look their best at reporting time.
Financial Plans and Forecasts.
Read Financial Plans and Forecasts.
· Financial Plans and Forecasts
In this section, we examine the critical function of financial planning. Most of management's time is spent on addressing the crisis of the day and understanding and explaining the past performance of the firm to themselves and other interested parties, such as the investors and the banks. As a result, it is easy in this reaction-based environment to lose focus and direction and become vulnerable to an unexpected future shock.
One of the key marks of superior business and financial management is the ability to project future performance with reasonable accuracy and consistency, and to anticipate both future opportunities and future risks in time to prepare appropriate actions or contingencies. In this section, we expand the traditional discussion of financial planning by providing some supplemental perspectives on the benefits, types, and methods of financial planning and by addressing the issue of uncertainty in financial planning.
Direct Benefits of Financial Planning
Financial planning and forecasting have direct benefits—that is, the primary reasons they were undertaken—and often some indirect and synergistic benefits, which can also be significant. Starting with the direct benefits, there are five clear benefits to be secured from disciplined financial planning and forecasting, which are described below.
1. Financial planning provides a clear measurement of management's performance because the firm's actual financial performance can, and will, be compared against the firm's planned performance. At the end of the plan, it must be remembered that:
· Wall Street evaluates publicly traded firms on their performance to plan/forecast
· CEOs evaluate their managers on their performance to plan/forecast
2. Financial planning generates detailed financial projections of cash flow to determine future financing requirements and timing.
3. Financial planning provides management a better insight into its business operations and the expected effect of operational matters on financial performance. Properly used, this insight can identify potential future operational opportunities and risks.
4. The more uncertain the future, the greater the need for forecasting/planning. The weaker the firm's financial or competitive position, the greater the need for forecasting/planning.
5. Financial planning provides a solid benchmark to
· quantitatively explain actual versus plan variances
· quantify the expected effect of economic or operational factors
· identify bad financial planning assumptions or estimates
· continuously refine the financial planning process
Indirect Benefits of Financial Planning
In addition to the above direct benefits of projecting future financial performance and cash requirements, the planning process also generates the following synergistic benefits for the firm.
1. It develops a comprehensive, coordinated set of critical business assumptions and facts for management review.
2. It integrates economic assumptions with marketing sales plans and operating production programs to assure a coherent, comprehensive picture of the firm's strategic and tactical objectives.
3. It nondestructively develops and tests the viability of various business tactics and programs designed to achieve the firm's business strategy.
Types and Methods of Financial Planning
The various types of planning, or forecasting, are generally a function of three variables, (1) the objective of the plan, (2) the duration of the plan, and (3) the plan's requirement for accuracy and detail. While we are concentrating on financial planning, it is important to recognize that all plans/forecasts have both a business function component and a financial component. The types of planning used by most firms are summarized below.
1. Long-range planning (normally five years)
· strategic business planning
· acquisition/merger planning
· long-range business planning
· capital appropriation or project planning
1. Mid-range planning (normally one-two years)
· annual budget
· financial plan
· marketing plan
· technology plan
1. Short-range planning (normally less than one year)
· quarterly forecasts/financial projections
· monthly forecasts/financial projections
· monthly, weekly, and daily cash position projections
The Basic Methodologies of Financial Planning
There are two basic methods of financial planning and forecasting, each of which has a multitude of variations to fit a company's specific requirements and situation. The two methods are the trend and ratio method (percent-of-sales method) and the financial modeling method. The trend and ratio method is far too simplistic and inaccurate to be reliable for financial planning and is seldom used in real-world decision making. Its major weaknesses are that it assumes everything in the business varies as a constant percent of sales and that all business parameters have a linear relationship to sales. In general, this approach becomes complex as you attempt to adjust the plan to reality, and it is inferior in every respect to the alternative method of financial modeling.
Financial modeling uses powerful user-friendly computerized models and programs to model the firm's business and financial transactions. These models range from simple Excel spreadsheet models to complex custom-designed stochastic-based models. When financial planning is combined with a sound business model, this method allows rigorous and flexible financial planning to any degree of detail with superior accuracy.
Financial Planning under Conditions of Uncertainty
Uncertainties and risk are a fact of life in all financial and business planning, and they must be addressed and accounted for to the extent possible. Financial planning must be able to address uncertainty for both the anticipated potential events and for the completely unexpected events. The following are two typical methods used in financial planning to address uncertainty and risk.
1. Contingency provision—plan for a specific known or potential event
· What-if approach—Revise the base plan for a single contingency.
· BEW approach—Prepare plans for three outcomes: best, expected, and worst.
2. General uncertainty provision—plan for multiple unknown and unexpected events
· Sensitivity analysis—This form of analysis varies selected key plan parameters by percentages or dollars to project the financial impact of a significant incident without identifying the specific cause. The four major key parameters are price, sales volume, cost, and capital expenditures.
· Simulation—This approach applies probability and statistical analysis to each key variable, which in conjunction with sophisticated computerized financial models can be used to generate a probabilistic range of possible outcomes, based on thousands of simulation runs.
Lesson 29PE: Return on Equity Practical Exercise:
Watch the following video from Preston Pysh
https://youtu.be/pctzgmyrTCw?list=UULTdCY-fNXc1GqzIuflK-OQ
Lesson 29: What is return on equity? Warren Buffet’s favorite number:
Watch the following video from Preston Pysh
https://youtu.be/9DKX6Ib8agY?list=UULTdCY-fNXc1GqzIuflK-OQ
Lesson 18: Warren Buffet’s first rule: What are the current ratio and the debt to equity ration.
Watch the following video from Preston Pysh
https://youtu.be/2ngO4jtyGlk?list=UULTdCY-fNXc1GqzIuflK-OQ