three pages double space in intro urban studies

profilewally2020
population_growth_for_150.ppt

© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

  • The ecological footprint dvd
  • Journey to planet earth

© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

1960

World population reached 3 billion

Time Magazine

January 1960

David Lam, How the world survived the population bomb, University of Michigan Population Studies Center, 2011

In 1960 world population reached 3 billion. This was a big deal at the time, as indicated by this Time Magazine cover from January 1960. As Time pointed out, the increase from 2 billion to 3 billion took only 30 years, a very short period by historical standards. The previous billion was added in about 150 years, while the billion before that took from the beginning of the human race.

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© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

  • “The world, especially the developing world, is rapidly running out of food…. In fact, the battle to feed humanity is already lost, in the sense that we will not be able to prevent large-scale famines in the next decade or so.”
  • - Paul Ehrlich, The Population Bomb, 1968

© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

Tool-making, agriculture, and industrialization each enabled humans to sustain greater populations.

Figure 7.5

Technology Innovation

© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

Norman Borlaug, “Father of the Green Revolution” 1970 Nobel Peace Prize Winner

Discovered how to breed wheat that was disease resistant and that would grow in difficult environments.

There is no better poster boy for innovation for this address than Norman Borlaug, the American agronomist considered to be the Father of the Green Revolution, winner of the Nobel Peace Prize in 1970. Borlaug did research at the International Wheat Improvement Program in Mexico in the sixties, taking his newly developed varieties to India and Pakistan beginning in 1965.

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© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

Los Angeles

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Bombay

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Chicago

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London

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Milan

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Melbourne

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Sao Paulo

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Tokyo

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New York

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Boston

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12.pdf

European Urban Research in Global Context

Robin Hambleton

Dean College of Urban Planning and Public Affairs, University of Illinois at Chicago

Presentation to the European Urban Research Association (EURA) Conference, Warsaw, Poland 11-13 May 2006

European Urban Research in Global Context

• Prelude: Positive Urban Images

• Part 1: Global Urban Trends

• Part 2: Urban Challenges – Pointers for Research

• Part 3: Exploring the Nature of Urban Research

Positive Urban Images

Chicago

London

Sources: Getty Images

/

Melbourne Milan

Sources: Getty Images

Global Urban Trends

World Population Growth • Total world population is projected to grow from

2.5 billion in 1950 to 8.2 billion in 2030.

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

19 50

19 55

19 60

19 65

19 70

19 75

19 80

19 85

19 90

19 95

20 00

20 05

20 10

20 15

20 20

20 25

20 30

W or

ld P

op u

la tio

n (b

ill io

n s)

2.5 billion

6.5 billion

8.2 billion

Total Population

Source: United Nations World Urbanization Prospects, http://esa.un.org/unup/

1

The world goes urban in 2007 • In 2007, for the first time ever, more people will

live in urban areas than in rural areas.

0

1

2

3

4

19 50

19 55

19 60

19 65

19 70

19 75

19 80

19 85

19 90

19 95

20 00

20 05

20 10

W o

rld P

o p

u la

tio n

(b ill

io n

s)

Rural

Urban1.8 billion

0.7 billion

3.5 billion urban in 2010 3.3 billion rural in 2010

Source: United Nations World Urbanization Prospects, http://esa.un.org/unup/

2

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

19 50

19 55

19 60

19 65

19 70

19 75

19 80

19 85

19 90

19 95

20 00

20 05

20 10

20 15

20 20

20 25

20 30

W or

ld P

op ul

at io

n (b

ill io

ns )

Total Population

Rural

Urban

The future is largely urban • By 2030, there will be 5 billion people living in

urban areas (61% of the estimated world population of 8.2 billion).

8.2 billion

5.0 billion

3.2 billion

Source: United Nations World Urbanization Prospects, http://esa.un.org/unup/

3

64

51

29 17

61 55

87 80

0

20

40

60

80

100

World Europe North America Asia

U rb

an P

op ul

at io

n (%

)

1950 1975 2000 2015 2030

Urbanized populations by continent • The population is urbanizing at different rates in different

continents

Source: United Nations World Urbanization Prospects, http://esa.un.org/unup/

4

Country population projections • Projections for 2000 – 2050 suggest some countries will

grow at a spectacular rate, while some will actually decline.

Source: United Nations World Urbanization Prospects, http://esa.un.org/unup/

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1 India 572 1 Russian Federation - 35 2 Pakistan 162 2 Ukraine - 23 3 Nigeria 141 3 Japan - 15 4 Congo 127 4 Italy - 7 5 China 118 5 Poland - 7 6 Bangladesh 114 6 Romania - 5 7 USA 111 7 Germany - 4 8 Uganda 103 8 Belarus - 3 9 Ethiopia 102 9 Bulgaria - 3

Population increase (top nine) Population decline (top nine)

Population change 2000-2050 (millions)

Largest urban agglomerations • Some of the biggest mega-cities used to be in Europe

• But not anymore…

Source: United Nations World Urbanization Prospects, http://esa.un.org/unup/

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1 New York 12.3 1 Tokyo 36.2 2 London 8.7 2 Mumbai (Bombay) 22.6 3 Tokyo 6.9 3 Delhi 20.9 4 Paris 5.4 4 Mexico City 20.6 5 Moscow 5.4 5 São Paulo 20.0 6 Shanghai 5.3 6 New York 19.7 7 Rhine-Ruhr North 5.2 7 Dhaka 17.9 8 Buenos Aires 5.0 8 Jakarta 17.5 9 Chicago 4.9 9 Lagos 17.0 10 Calcutta 4.4 10 Calcutta 16.8

1950 (population, millions) 2015 (population, millions)

World urban population (%): 1950

Source: Data from United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects, 2001 Revision (New York: United Nations Population Division, 2002), www.unpopulation.org. Brunn et al (2003).

7

World urban population (%): 2000

Source: Data from United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects, 2001 Revision (New York: United Nations Population Division, 2002), www.unpopulation.org. Brunn et al (2003).

8

World urban population (%): 2050

Source: Data from United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects, 2001 Revision (New York: United Nations Population Division, 2002), www.unpopulation.org. Brunn et al (2003).

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Urban Challenges – Pointers for Research

The big picture

• The world is both globalizing and urbanizing

• Economic functions of cities and city regions are changing rapidly: growth of the ‘knowledge economy’

• Horizontal connectivity aided by new information and communication technologies in transforming societies

• New opportunities arise in a ‘flat world’*

• But there is great danger of a growing ‘digital divide’

*Thomas L. Friedman (2005) The World is Flat. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux

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Globalization and uneven development ‘Cities present some of the starkest…contrasts: homeless people living in cardboard boxes, next to skyscrapers…; growing gaps between [salaries and housing costs]…; enormous levels of consumption alongside great pyramids of waste…; and hitherto unseen patterns of segregation…’

Kofi A. Annan, Secretary-General, United Nations, 2001

Source: United Nations Center for Human Settlements (Habitat) (2001) Cities in a globalizing world. London: Earthscan Publications

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Mapping the challenges • Caution – cities and localities vary

• Overarching challenge – creating sustainable cities and city regions

• Cross-cutting themes: 1) Economic restructuring

2) Social needs

3) Urban environmentalism

4) City leadership, management and local democracy

5) Intergovernmental relations

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Source: Themes reflect papers submitted to the City Futures International Conference, 2004: www.uic.edu/cuppa/cityfutures

Theme 1) Economic restructuring • Re-examining theories of economic development

• From manufacturing to services

• Impact of information and communication technologies

• Changing role of human and social capital

• Significance of the ‘creative class’

• Challenge of the ‘dual labour market’ and the ‘digital divide’

• City as an entertainment machine

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Theme 2) Social needs

• Affordable housing • Access to jobs • Transport to serve all residents • Settlement patterns: geographical segregation • Urban education • Urban health • Crime, policing and community safety • Embracing the multi-cultural city

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Theme 3) Urban environmentalism

• City planning for unprecedented rapid urban growth in some continents

• Urban transport – the access/environment tradeoff

• Energy demands and consumption • Water supply and sanitation • Mixed use urban development • Urban design and green buildings • Balancing mega-projects and neighborhood

renewal

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Theme 4) City leadership, management and local democracy • Innovation in city leadership • Rethinking the roles of politicians and officers • Comparing approaches to metropolitan

governance • Enhancing the legitimacy of government through

participation • Hearing all voices and overcoming gender, class

and ethno-religious divides • Improving public/private collaboration • A new role for city regions?

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Theme 5) Intergovernmental relations

• Multi-level governance to improve competitiveness and social cohesion

• Roles and relationships – from supranational to neighborhood

• Intergovernmental fiscal flows • Powers of local authorities in relation to tax

raising and local action • Revitalizing democratic accountability at all

levels • New roles for city regions and neighborhoods

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Exploring the Nature of Urban Research

The meaning of ‘urban’

• A term used to describe towns and cities

• Used here to refer to cities, metropolitan areas, and city regions

• ‘Urban’ can also be used to describe a ‘way of life’ which may exist beyond the boundaries of urban areas*

*Louis Wirth (1938) Urbanism as a way of life. American Journal of Sociology, 44:1-24, July 1938.

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Traditional definition of research: ‘Original investigation undertaken to gain knowledge and understanding.’*

Research: the traditional model

*UK Research Assessment Exercise. RAE 01/2005. Annex B.

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Ask questions

Advance knowledge

Research

Traditional research process 20

Ask new questions

Advance knowledge

Research

• Advances in knowledge often raise new questions requiring further research

Social scientific research and the city

• Research on the city

• Research for the city

• Interdisciplinary study to enlighten policy

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Source: Murray Stewart (ed) (1972) The City: Problems of Planning. London: Penguin

Engaged urban research: features • Partnership with urban stakeholders

• Multi-disciplinary

• Lesson drawing for policy and practice

• Strong emphasis on dissemination and policy impact

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23

Engaged urban research:

‘Original investigation undertaken to gain knowledge and understanding and influence policy and practice.’

Ask questions

Advance knowledge

Urban research

Draw lessons

Engaged urban research process

The changing role of the university • The traditional ‘European’ model of

research and teaching

• The US Land Grant university – research, teaching and service (Morrill Act, 1862)

• The modern urban university – research, teaching, engaged scholarship and a contribution to community leadership

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The redefinition of scholarship

• The scholarship of discovery

• The scholarship of integration

• The scholarship of application

• The scholarship of teaching

Source: Ernest L. Boyer (1990) Scholarship reconsidered. Priorities of the professoriate. New Jersey: Carnegie Foundation

25

The triangle of engaged scholarship

Policy and Practice

Research Education

Source: Robin Hambleton (2006) Rethinking the role of the modern urban university – insights from the USA. Milan: Politecnico di Milano

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Implications for urban research

• Scale of global changes requires a rapid expansion of engaged urban research

• New alliances need to be formed at an international level among universities, governments and cities

• European urban researchers should build bridges with scholars in other continents

• The European Urban Research Association (EURA) should receive ‘core funding’ from the EC to promote comparative urban research

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A skills agenda for urban research • Important to advance the field of comparative

urban studies

• Universities should value the four dimensions of scholarship identified by Boyer

• Crucial for urban researchers to become more skilled in engaged research including: – Comparative methods – Negotiating access/understandings – Lesson drawing – Dissemination

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Further information Sources: websites

– United Nations World Urbanization Prospects http://esa.un.org/unup

– European Urban Knowledge Network (EUKN) http://www.eukn.org

– College of Urban Planning and Public Affairs (CUPPA) City Futures International Conference http://tigger.uic.edu/cuppa/cityfutures/

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Further information Sources: published

– Ernest L. Boyer (1990) Scholarship reconsidered. Priorities of the professoriate. New Jersey: Carnegie Foundation

– Stanley D. Brunn, Jack Williams and Donald J Zeigler (eds) (2003) Cities of the World. New York: Rowman and Littlefield.

– Thomas L. Friedman (2005) The World is Flat. New York: Farrar, Strauss and Giroux

– Robin Hambleton, H.V. Savitch and M. Stewart (eds) (2003) Globalism and local democracy. Basingstoke: Palgrave

– Murray Stewart (ed) (1972) The City: Problems of planning. London: Penguin

– United Nations Center for Human Settlements (Habitat) (2001) Cities in a globalizing world. London: Earthscan

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Acknowledgements Special thanks to ChaNell Marshall and Karla Walter, Research Assistants at CUPPA, for their help in preparing this presentation.

CUPPA website: www.uic.edu/cuppa

College of Urban Planning and Public Affairs

University of Illinois at Chicago

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© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

“Urbanized societies, in which a majority of the people live crowded together in towns and cities, represent a new and fundamental step in man’s [and woman’s] social evolution.”

Kingsley Davis

© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

How Many Millions of People Live in the

World’s Largest Megacities?

© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

Water

625,000 tonnes

Fuel

9,500 tonnes

Food

2,000 tonnes

Daily Inputs

U.S. city of 1 million people

Daily Outputs

Air pollutants

950 tonnes

Rubbish

9,500

tonnes

Sewage

500,000

tonnes

13.bin

© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

The wealth gap

The richest 20% of the world’s population consumes 86% of its resources, and has 80 times the income of the poorest 20%.

Figure 7.25

© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

Millions of Discarded Tires in a Dump in Colorado, U.S.

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© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

Discarded Solid Waste Litters Beaches

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© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

Leaking Barrels of Toxic Waste at a Superfund Site in the U.S.

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© 2006 Population Reference Bureau

We will add nearly 6 million people by 2030,

an increase of 36 percent from 2000

the equivalent of two cities the size of Chicago

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