FOR PROFESSOR DAVIDSON ONLY

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Mopps_Conditional_Tree

SNHU: DAT-520 Problem Set 5 Dustin's research
Biz positive (YR) negative (NR) MARGINAL PROB
Viable (YV) P(YV&YR) P(YV&NR) P(YV) Viable (YV)
Not viable (NV) P(NV&YR) P(NV&NR) P(NV) $0
MARGINAL PROB P(YR) P(NR) 1 Buy $0
Values given in the story problem setup (fill in the blue cells, and the cell for X%): ERROR:#N/A
positive (YR) negative (NR) MARGINAL PROB Not viable (NV)
Viable (YV) X% No research $0
Not viable (NV) ERROR:#N/A $0
MARGINAL PROB 1 ERROR:#N/A
P(YR|YV)= 60% P(NR|YV)= Don't buy
P(YR|NV)= P(NR|NV)= 70% 0
0
Conditional Probabilities:
P(YV|YR)= P(NV|YR)=
P(YV|NR)= P(NV|NR)= Viable (YV)
$0
Cost of research Buy Biz with or without research? Buy $0
ERROR:#N/A
Cost of business Rollback EV: ERROR:#N/A ERROR:#N/A
Cost of refurb on purhcase Not viable (NV)
Total cost of purchase $0 Positive research (YR) $0
ERROR:#N/A $0
Potential payout 0 ERROR:#N/A
Don't buy
$0
$0
Research
ERROR:#N/A Viable (YV)
$0
Buy $0
ERROR:#N/A
Not viable (NV)
Negative research (NR) $0
ERROR:#N/A $0
0 ERROR:#N/A
Don't buy
$0
$0
ID Name Value Prob Pred Kind NS S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 Row Col Mark
0 TreePlan 0 0 0 D 2 1 2 0 0 0 19 1 TRUE
1 0 0 D 2 3 4 0 0 0 8 5 TRUE
2 0 0 E 2 7 8 0 0 0 30 5 TRUE
3 0 1 E 2 5 6 0 0 0 4 9 TRUE
4 0 1 T 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 9 TRUE
5 3 T 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 13 TRUE
6 3 T 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 13 TRUE
7 2 D 2 9 10 0 0 0 23 9 TRUE
8 2 D 2 13 14 0 0 0 38 9 TRUE
9 0 7 E 2 11 12 0 0 0 19 13 TRUE
10 0 7 T 0 0 0 0 0 0 27 13 TRUE
11 9 T 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 17 TRUE
12 9 T 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 17 TRUE
13 0 8 E 2 15 16 0 0 0 34 13 TRUE
14 0 8 T 0 0 0 0 0 0 42 13 TRUE
15 13 T 0 0 0 0 0 0 32 17 TRUE
16 13 T 0 0 0 0 0 0 37 17 TRUE