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unit3_financial_analysis_toolkit_1-mba6016-2.xlsx

C3 Took Kit

Name: Stanley Thompson
MBA 6016
Tool Kit for Analysis of Financial Statements
Financial statements are analyzed by calculating certain key ratios and then comparing them with the ratios of other firms and by examining the trends in ratios over time. We can also combine ratios to make the analysis more revealing, those indicated below are exceptionally useful for this type of analysis.
RATIO ANALYSIS (Section 3.1)
*AMAZON Fiscal Years starts and ends on Jan 31, such that FY13 represents Jan 31,2012 to Jan31, 2013
Input Data:
2013 2012
Year-end common stock price $398.79 $250.87
Year-end shares outstanding (in thousands) 459,000 454,000
Tax rate
After-tax cost of capital
Lease payments (in thousands) $1,011,000 $588,000
Required sinking fund payments $0 $0
Balance Sheets
(in thousands of dollars)
Assets 2013 2012
Cash and equivalents $8,658,000 $8,084,000 * Added to cash and quivalents prepaid expense and deferred income taxes
Short-term investments $3,789,000 $3,364,000 2013 2012
Accounts receivable $4,767,000 $3,817,000 69,701 49,411 prepaid expenses and other
Inventories $7,411,000 $6,031,000 103,736 49,931 deferred income taxes
Total current assets $24,625,000 $21,296,000
Net plant and equipment $10,949,000 $7,060,000
Total assets $40,159,000 $32,555,000 * Added to Total assets goodwill and other assets
2013 2012
Liabilities and equity 2,655,000 2,552,000 Goodwill
Accounts payable $15,133,000 $13,318,000 1,930,000 1,647,000 Other Assets
Notes payable $0 $0
Accruals $7,847,000 $5,684,000
Total current liabilities $22,980,000 $19,002,000
Long-term bonds and other long-term liabilities $7,433,000 $5,361,000 2013 2012
Total liabilities $30,413,000 $24,363,000 9,573,000 8,347,000 additional paid-in capital
Preferred stock (2,00,000 shares: none issued) $0 $0 -1,837,000 -1,837,000 treasury stock
Common stock (459,000,000 shares oustanding 2013 and 454,000,000 outstanding in 2012 $5,000 $5,000 -185000 -239,000 accumulated other comprehensive loss
Retained earnings $2,190,000 $1,916,000
Total common equity $9,746,000 $8,192,000 * Added to Total Common equity additional paid-in capital, treasuary stock, and accumulated other comprehensive income
Total liabilities and equity $40,159,000 $32,555,000
Income Statements
(in thousands of dollars)
2013 2012
Net sales $74,452,000.0 $61,093,000.0
Operating costs $73,707,000.0 $60,417,000.0
Earnings before interest, taxes, depr. & amort. (EBITDA) $745,000.0 $676,000.0
Depreciation $0.0 $0.0
Amortization $0.0 $0.0
Depreciation and amortization $0.0 $0.0
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) $576,000.0 $481,000.0 * EBIT consists of other income and interest income
Less interest -$141,000.0 -$92,000.0 2013 2012
Earnings before taxes (EBT) $435,000.0 $389,000.0 -136000 -80000 other income/(expense)
Taxes $161,000.0 $428,000.0 38000 40000 interest income
Net income before preferred dividends $274,000.0 -$39,000.0 -71000 -155000 Equity-method investment activity, net of tax
Preferred dividends $0.0 $0.0
Net income available to common stockholders $274,000.0 -$39,000.0
Common dividends $0.0 $0.0
Addition to retained earnings $274,000.0 -$39,000.0
Calculated Data: Operating Performance and Cash Flows
2013 2012
Net operating working capital (NOWC) ($2,144,000.0) ($1,070,000.0)
Total operating capital $8,805,000.0 $5,990,000.0
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) $576,000.0 $481,000.0
Net Cash Flow (Net income + Depreciation) $274,000.0 ($39,000.0)
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) $576,000.0 $481,000.0
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ($2,239,000.0) N/A
Calculated Data: Per-share Information
2013 2012
Earnings per share (EPS) $0.60 -$0.09
Dividends per share (DPS) $0.00 $0.00
Book value per share (BVPS) $21.23 $18.04
Cash flow per share (CFPS) $0.60 ($0.09)
Free cash flow per share (FCFPS) ($4.88) N/A
LIQUIDITY RATIOS (Section 3.2) Industry
2013 2012 Average
Liquidity ratios
Current Ratio 1.07 1.12 2.22
Quick Ratio 0.75 0.80 1.3
ASSET MANAGEMENT RATIOS (Section 3.3) Industry
2013 2012 Average
Asset Management ratios
Inventory Turnover 10.05 10.13 4.78
Days Sales Outstanding 23.4 22.80
Christopher Buzzard: To calculate the DSO ratio, a 365-day accounting year was used.
25.6 *Industry leader
Fixed Asset Turnover 6.80 8.65 1.89 *Industry leader
Total Asset Turnover 1.85 1.88 0.63
DEBT MANAGEMENT RATIOS (Section 3.4) Industry
2013 2012 Average
Debt Management ratios
Debt Ratio 75.73% 74.84% 39.30% *Industry leader
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 3.12 2.97 0.65 *Industry leader
Market Debt Ratio 14.25% 17.62% 24.40 *Industry leader
Times Interest Earned 4.09 5.23 196.79 *Incorrect for 2013 and 2012 as interest combined is income not expense
EBITDA Coverage Ratio 2.02
Brigham: (EBITDA + Lease Payments) / (Interest + Loan Payments + Lease Payments)
2.55 N/A
PROFITABILITY RATIOS (Section 3.5) Industry
2013 2012 Average
Profitability ratios
Profit Margin 0.37% -0.06% 19.96%
Basic Earning Power 1.43% 1.48% 17.63% *Industry leader
Return on Assets 0.68% -0.12% 12.56%
Return on Equity 2.81% -0.48% 19.43%
MARKET VALUE RATIOS (Section 3.6) Industry
2013 2012 Average
Market Value ratios
Price-to Earnings Ratio 668.05 -2920.38 25.77 *NVIDIA doesn't account for depreciation in their 10-K statements Same P/E P/CF Ratio because there is no depreciation
Price-to-Cash Flow Ratio 668.05 -2920.38
Christopher Buzzard: P/CF ratio is calculated by dividing the price by the net cash flow per share.

Brigham: (EBITDA + Lease Payments) / (Interest + Loan Payments + Lease Payments)

Christopher Buzzard: To calculate the DSO ratio, a 365-day accounting year was used.
9.66
Price-to-EBITDA 245.70 168.48 5.13 *Industry Leader
Market-to-Book Ratio 18.78 13.90 3.59
TREND ANALYSIS, COMMON SIZE ANALYSIS, AND PERCENT CHANGE ANALYSIS (Section 3.7)
TREND ANALYSIS
Trend analysis allows you to see how a firm's results are changing over time. For instance, a firm's ROE may be slightly below the benchmark, but if it has been steadily rising over the past four years, that should be seen as a good sign.
A trend analysis and graph have been constructed on this data regarding Amazon's ROE over the past 5 years. (Nvidia and indusry average data for earlier years has been provided.)
ROE
AMAZON EBAY ALIBABA
2009 22.8% 19.7% 20.54%
2010 19.0% 12.4% 27.72%
2011 8.7% 20.0% 26.53%
2012 -0.5% 13.5% 21.76%
2013 2.8% 13.0% 54.26%
Figure 3-1 Rate of Return on Common Equity
COMMON SIZE ANALYSIS
In common size income statements, all items for a year are divided by the sales for that year.
Figure 3-2 Common Size Income Statements
Industry Composite Nvidia
2013 2013 2012
Net sales 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Operating costs 72.1% 99.0% 98.9%
Earnings before interest, taxes, depr. & amort. (EBITDA) 27.9% 1.0% 1.1%
Depreciation and amortization 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) 27.9% 0.8% 0.8%
Less interest 0.0% -0.2% -0.2%
Earnings before taxes (EBT) 27.9% 0.6% 0.6%
Taxes 7.3% 0.2% 0.7%
Net income before preferred dividends 20.6% 0.4% -0.1%
Preferred dividends 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Net income available to common stockholders (profit margin) 20.6% 0.4% -0.1%
In common sheets, all items for a year are divided by the total assets for that year.
Figure 3-3 Common Size Balance Sheets
Industry Composite Nvidia
2013 2013 2012
Assets
Cash and equivalents 13.0% 21.6% 24.8%
Short-term investments 11.5% 9.4% 10.3%
Accounts receivable 7.1% 11.9% 11.7%
Inventories 5.6% 18.5% 18.5%
Total current assets 37.2% 61.3% 65.4%
Net plant and equipment 62.8% 27.3% 21.7%
Total assets 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Liabilities and equity
Accounts payable 12.6% 37.7% 40.9%
Notes payable 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Accruals 2.3% 19.5% 17.5%
Total current liabilities 15.3% 57.2% 58.4%
Long-term bonds and other long-term liabilities 61.1% 18.5% 16.5%
Total liabilities 76.4% 75.7% 74.8%
Preferred stock 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Total common equity 23.6% 24.3% 25.2%
Total liabilities and equity 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
PERCENT CHANGE ANALYSIS
In percent change analysis, all items are divided by the that item's value in the beginning, or base, year.
Figure 3-4 Income Statement Percent Change Analysis
Base year = 2012 Percent Change in
2013
Net sales 21.9%
Operating costs 22.0%
Earnings before interest, taxes, depr. & amort. (EBITDA) 10.2%
Depreciation and amortization 0.0%
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) 19.8%
Less interest 53.3%
Earnings before taxes (EBT) 11.8%
Taxes (62.4%)
Net income before preferred dividends (802.6%)
Preferred dividends 0.0%
Net income available to common stockholders (802.6%)
Balance Sheet Percent Change Analysis (not in textbook)
Base year = 2012 Percent Change in
2013
Assets
Cash and equivalents 7.1%
Short-term investments 12.6%
Accounts receivable 24.9%
Inventories 22.9%
Total current assets 15.6%
Net plant and equipment 55.1%
Total assets 23.4%
Liabilities and equity
Accounts payable 13.6%
Notes payable 0.0%
Accruals 38.1%
Total current liabilities 20.9%
Long-term bonds and other long-term liabilities 38.6%
Total liabilities 24.8%
Preferred stock (2,00,000 shares: none issued) 0.0%
Common stock (459,000,000 shares oustanding 2013 and 454,000,000 outstanding in 2012 0.0%
Retained earnings 14.3%
Total common equity 19.0%
Total liabilities and equity 23.4%
DU PONT ANALYSIS (Section 3.8)
ROE = (Profit margin) (TA turnover) (Equity Multiplier)
AMAZON 2013 2.81% 0.37% 1.85 4.12
AMAZON 2012 -0.48% -0.06% 1.88 3.97
Industry Average 20.72% 19.96% 0.63 1.65
AMAZON 2009.0 2010.0 2011.0 2012.0 2013.0 0.2275 0.1901 0.0866 -0.0049 0.0281140980915247 EBAY

2009.0 2010.0 2011.0 2012.0 2013.0 0.1969 0.1243 0.1995 0.1354 0.1298 ALIBABA 0.2054 0.2772 0.2653 0.2176 0.5426

ROE (%)