b.xlsx
Output
| Regression Analysis |
| | R² | 0.808 |
| | Adjusted R² | 0.693 | n | 9 |
| | R | 0.899 | k | 3 |
| | Std. Error | 0.221 | Dep. Var. | GDP_POP |
| ANOVA table |
| Source | SS | df | MS | F | p-value |
| Regression | 1.02862636 | 3 | 0.34287545 | 7.01 | .0306 |
| Residual | 0.24468346 | 5 | 0.04893669 |
| Total | 1.27330982 | 8 |
| Regression output | | | | | confidence interval |
| variables | coefficients | std. error | t (df=5) | p-value | 95% lower | 95% upper | VIF |
| Intercept | 36.4889 | 0.9033 | 40.396 | 1.75E-07 | 34.1669 | 38.8108 |
| DJIA | -0.00004216 | 0.00012662 | -0.333 | .7527 | -0.00036765 | 0.00028334 | 4.576 |
| TAX | -0.0371 | 0.2810 | -0.132 | .9000 | -0.7594 | 0.6851 | 3.585 |
| LAG_RATE | -0.1639 | 0.1157 | -1.417 | .2156 | -0.4613 | 0.1334 | 8.591 |
| | | | | | | | 5.584 |
| | | | | | | | mean VIF |
| Observation | GDP_POP | Predicted | Residual |
| 1 | 34.80156 | 35.05193 | -0.25037 |
| 2 | 34.89399 | 34.99539 | -0.10140 |
| 3 | 35.07400 | 34.96061 | 0.11339 |
| 4 | 35.24780 | 35.00941 | 0.23839 |
| 5 | 35.22608 | 35.10849 | 0.11759 |
| 6 | 35.29535 | 35.42486 | -0.12951 |
| 7 | 35.38864 | 35.59284 | -0.20420 |
| 8 | 35.85883 | 35.80723 | 0.05160 |
| 9 | 35.99376 | 35.82923 | 0.16452 |
| | Durbin-Watson = | 0.99 |
Sheet1
| QTR | POP | GDP | GDP_POP | DJIA | TAX | RATE | LAG_RATE |
| 2012Q1 | 281 | 9650 | 34.3416 | 11723 | 0 | 5.85 |
| 2012Q2 | 282.2 | 9821 | 34.8016 | 11338 | 0 | 6.53 | 5.85 |
| 2012Q3 | 283 | 9875 | 34.8940 | 10035 | 0 | 6.52 | 6.53 |
| 2012Q4 | 283.8 | 9954 | 35.0740 | 10899 | 0 | 6.4 | 6.52 |
| 2013Q1 | 284.5 | 10028 | 35.2478 | 10208 | 0 | 5.31 | 6.4 |
| 2013Q2 | 285.3 | 10050 | 35.2261 | 11215 | 1 | 3.97 | 5.31 |
| 2013Q3 | 286.1 | 10098 | 35.2954 | 8921 | 1 | 3.07 | 3.97 |
| 2013Q4 | 286.9 | 10153 | 35.3886 | 8436 | 1 | 1.82 | 3.07 |
| 2014Q1 | 287.6 | 10313 | 35.8588 | 8211 | 1 | 1.73 | 1.82 |
| 2014Q2 | 288.3 | 10377 | 35.9938 | 8039 | 1 | 1.75 | 1.73 |
| | | | | | | | 1.75 |
| QTR | POP | GDP | GDP_POP | DJIA | TAX | RATE | LAG_RATE |
| 2012Q2 | 282.2 | 9821 | 34.8016 | 11338 | 0 | 6.53 | 5.85 |
| 2012Q3 | 283 | 9875 | 34.8940 | 10035 | 0 | 6.52 | 6.53 |
| 2012Q4 | 283.8 | 9954 | 35.0740 | 10899 | 0 | 6.4 | 6.52 |
| 2013Q1 | 284.5 | 10028 | 35.2478 | 10208 | 0 | 5.31 | 6.4 |
| 2013Q2 | 285.3 | 10050 | 35.2261 | 11215 | 1 | 3.97 | 5.31 |
| 2013Q3 | 286.1 | 10098 | 35.2954 | 8921 | 1 | 3.07 | 3.97 |
| 2013Q4 | 286.9 | 10153 | 35.3886 | 8436 | 1 | 1.82 | 3.07 |
| 2014Q1 | 287.6 | 10313 | 35.8588 | 8211 | 1 | 1.73 | 1.82 |
| 2014Q2 | 288.3 | 10377 | 35.9938 | 8039 | 1 | 1.75 | 1.73 |
| QTR | GDP_POP | DJIA | TAX | LAG_RATE |
| 2012Q2 | 34.8016 | 11338 | 0 | 5.85 |
| 2012Q3 | 34.8940 | 10035 | 0 | 6.53 |
| 2012Q4 | 35.0740 | 10899 | 0 | 6.52 |
| 2013Q1 | 35.2478 | 10208 | 0 | 6.4 |
| 2013Q2 | 35.2261 | 11215 | 1 | 5.31 |
| 2013Q3 | 35.2954 | 8921 | 1 | 3.97 |
| 2013Q4 | 35.3886 | 8436 | 1 | 3.07 |
| 2014Q1 | 35.8588 | 8211 | 1 | 1.82 |
| 2014Q2 | 35.9938 | 8039 | 1 | 1.73 |