Econometrics Assignment

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problem_set_1.doc

Problem set 1

Assignment Rules

1. Homework assignments must be typed. For instruction how to type equations and math objects please see notes “Typing Math in MS Word”.

2. Homework assignments must be prepared within this template. Save this file on your computer and type your answers following each question. Do not delete the questions.

3. Your assignments must be stapled.

4. No attachments are allowed. This means that all your work must be done within this word document and attaching graphs, questions or other material is prohibited.

5. Homework assignments must be submitted at the end of the lecture, in class, on the listed dates.

6. Late homework assignments will not be accepted under any circumstances, but the lowest homework score will be dropped.

7. The first homework assignment cannot be dropped.

8. All the graphs should be fully labeled, i.e. with a title, labeled axis and labeled curves.

9. In all the questions that involve calculations, you are required to show all your work. That is, you need to write the steps that you made in order to get to the solution.

10. This page must be part of the submitted homework.

1. Suppose that length of life in Japan,

image1.wmf

X

, has exponential distribution:
image2.wmf

)

(

~

b

EXP

X

. The pdf of X is given by:

image3.wmf

otherwise

0

0

,

)

(

³

î

í

ì

=

-

x

e

x

f

x

b

b

a. What is the support of

image4.wmf

X

?

b. Prove that indeed, the above function is a pdf (i.e. nonnegative on the entire support, and integrates to 1 over the entire support).

c. Show that life expectancy in Japan is

image5.wmf

b

1

)

(

=

X

E

. (Hint: use integration by parts).

d. Show that the probability that a newborn will live until the age of 100 is

image6.wmf

b

100

-

e

.

e. Suppose that only 5% of the newborns live more than the age of

image7.wmf

*

x

. Show that
image8.wmf

b

-

=

05

.

0

ln

*

x

.

2. Consider the random experiment of tossing two dice.

a. Write the sample space for this random experiment.

b. Let X be a random variable, which records the maximum of the two dice. List all the possible values of X (i.e., describe the support of X).

c. Show the probability density function of X. The best way to do this is to create a table like this:

image9.wmf

x

image10.wmf

)

(

x

f

1

image11.wmf

36

1

2

image12.wmf

36

3

d. Calculate the expected value (mean) of X.

e. Calculate the variance of X.

3. Let X be a continuous random variable, with pdf

image13.wmf

î

í

ì

£

£

-

=

otherwise

0

2

0

5

.

0

1

)

(

x

x

x

f

a. Verify that f is indeed a probability density function (i.e. it is nonnegative, and integrates to 1 over the entire support).

b. Using Excel, plot the graph of this pdf.

c. Calculate the mean of X.

d. Calculate the variance of X.

4. Let X be a random variable with mean

image14.wmf

m

and variance
image15.wmf

2

s

, and let
image16.wmf

s

m

-

=

X

Y

.

a. Using rules of expected values show that the mean of Y is 0.

b. Using the rules of variances, show that the variance of Y is 1.

5. Consider the function

image17.wmf

î

í

ì

£

£

£

£

-

-

=

otherwise

0

1

0

;

1

0

2

)

,

(

y

x

y

x

y

x

f

a. Show that

image18.wmf

)

,

(

y

x

f

is a probability density function.

b. Check whether

image19.wmf

X

and
image20.wmf

Y

are statistically independent.

6. Let X be a random variables, and a, b be some numbers. Let

image21.wmf

b

aX

Y

+

=

. Prove that: if
image22.wmf

0

>

a

, then
image23.wmf

1

)

,

(

=

Y

X

corr

, if
image24.wmf

0

<

a

then
image25.wmf

1

)

,

(

-

=

Y

X

corr

, and if
image26.wmf

0

=

a

, then
image27.wmf

0

)

,

(

=

Y

X

corr

.

7. Meteorologists study the correlation between humidity H, and temperature. Some measure the temperature in Fahrenheit F, while others use Celsius C, where

image28.wmf

(

)

32

9

5

-

=

F

C

.

a. Show that two researchers, who use the same data, but measure temperature in different units, will nevertheless find the same correlation between humidity and temperature. In other words, show that

image29.wmf

(

)

(

)

C

H

corr

F

H

corr

,

,

=

b. Will the researchers get the same covariance if they use different units? Prove your answer.

c. Based on your answers to a and b, should researchers report covariance or correlation from their studies? Why?

8. Let

image30.wmf

1

X

and
image31.wmf

2

X

be identically distributed random variables, and thus both have the same mean
image32.wmf

m

and variance
image33.wmf

2

s

. Let
image34.wmf

X

be the average of
image35.wmf

1

X

and
image36.wmf

2

X

, that is
image37.wmf

2

1

2

1

2

1

X

X

X

+

=

.

a. Show that the mean of

image38.wmf

X

is
image39.wmf

m

.

b. Find the variance of

image40.wmf

X

.

c. Show that if

image41.wmf

1

X

and
image42.wmf

2

X

are independent, then the variance of
image43.wmf

X

is
image44.wmf

2

2

s

.

9. This question generalizes the previous one to average of any number of identically distributed random variables. Let

image45.wmf

n

X

X

,...,

1

be n identically distributed random variables with mean
image46.wmf

m

and variance
image47.wmf

2

s

. Let the average of these variables be
image48.wmf

å

=

=

n

i

i

n

X

n

X

1

1

.

a. Show that the mean of

image49.wmf

n

X

is
image50.wmf

m

.

b. Show that if

image51.wmf

n

X

X

,...,

1

are independent, then the variance of
image52.wmf

n

X

is
image53.wmf

n

2

s

.

c. What is the limit of

image54.wmf

(

)

n

X

var

as
image55.wmf

¥

®

n

, still assuming that
image56.wmf

n

X

X

,...,

1

are independent?

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