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Immigration

(From Chapter 14)

5-1

From Chapter 14

1

Figure 22.1: Legal Immigration (about 1,000,000 per year)

Number of Immigrants (2009)

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55% women and 45% men

58% married

Diversity immigrants limited to 50,000 (lottery)

One-third of population growth

One-half of labor force growth

This figure illustrates legal migration based upon category of immigrants. You can see that the majority of legal immigrants are family-sponsored.

3

Number of Legal Immigrants (2009)

Total 1,130,818
1. Mexico 164,920
2. China 64,238
3. Philippines 60,029
4. India 57,304
5. Dominican Republic 49,414
6. Cuba 38,954
7. Vietnam 29,234
8. Colombia 27,849
9. South Korea 25,859
10. Haiti 24,280

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The figures in this table show the U.S legal immigrants from the top 10 countries of origin.

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Immigration in the U.S.

Currently some 21 million immigrants holding jobs in U.S.

Animosity toward immigrants permeates public policy

eligibility for welfare benefits

use English on forms and exams

President Bush proposed dual program of providing work visas for illegal immigrants already in the country

Conservatives split on issue: many opposed to any overtures to illegal workers in U.S. and others supportive of access to cheap Mexican labor

Liberals concerned with equity issues were horrified by initial House bill that would place severe sanctions on illegal immigrants, including requirement to display documentation before receiving health care

Disagreement between House and Senate killed chances for passage of immigration bill for near future

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Decision to Migrate

Escape political or religious persecution

Reunite with family members

Take advantage of superior economic opportunities (our focus)

Why do some workers leave their country?

Why do others stay put?

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There are many reasons why people immigrate to the United States (legally or illegally). Our interest continues to focus on economic immigration. Listed on this slide are some of the main drivers of economic immigration.

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Decision to Migrate

Earnings opportunities

Increase value of human capital

Magnet countries

Moving costs

Explicit and implicit

Moving expense

Green card

Decision to Migrate

Distance

Greater distance, less likelihood (cost, friends and family, trips home)

Follow beaten path

Clustering

Age

Younger (benefits and costs)

In 2005, median age for U.S. immigrant who had resided for less than one year was 25.

Other factors

Language, tax laws, “for the children”

Employment Effects of Immigration

Many immigrants are highly skilled and educated

In short run, large-scale immigration increases supply of low-skilled workers and lowers wage rate for these workers

At lower wage rate, fewer U.S. workers take low-skill jobs, and immigrants fill more of these jobs

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Employment Effects of Immigration

Fiscal impacts

Since the 1970s, the fiscal burden has exceeded taxes paid

Somewhat reversed with 1996 welfare law changes

Research findings are mixed

Reduces wages of native-born Americans not having a high school diplomas, native-born African American men, and native-born holders of doctorate degrees

Average wage impact of -3% to +2%

Employment Effects of Immigration (cont.)

In longer run, effects of immigration are less clear

Lower wages decrease business firms’ costs of production, thereby increasing profits

May encourage businesses to expand

lower prices

Larger labor force encourages expanded productivity and economic growth

Immigrants are consumers

As they purchase food, clothing, and housing, increases demand for labor to produce these goods

Immigrants, as a group, are entrepreneurial and are more likely to start up businesses than are native-born citizens

12

Immigration Facts

Illegal immigrants

Estimated from Census data

350,000 per year on average

High proportion from Mexico and Central America

Total of 12 million residing continuously in 2007, half from Mexico (40% women)

Work mainly outside of agriculture and, on average, have higher educational levels than Mexicans who legally migrate to the united States

Illegal Immigration

Employment effects

Two extreme views

Displaces domestic employment workers -for-1

Immigrant work undesirable

Increasing scarcity of domestic unskilled labor in the U.S.

Opportunities for unskilled illegal immigrants

24% of all agricultural workers

17% of all cleaning workers

14% of construction workers

12% of food preparers

Illegal Immigration

Price effects

Cheap labor keeps prices low

Construction, agriculture, landscaping, home cleaning, restaurants and lodging

Fiscal impacts can be sizeable

Taxes go to federal government, costs go to state and local governments

Schools, medical care, criminal justice system

Other concerns (criminal activity, homeland security, legal immigration, amnesty)

GALLOP June 19, 2013

Immigration Reform Proposals Garner Broad Support in U.S.

Democrats, Republicans agree on many potential immigration measures

by Frank Newport and Joy Wilke

PRINCETON, NJ -- A majority of Americans would vote for each of six different policy changes that Congress is considering as part of a comprehensive immigration reform bill. Support ranges from a high of 87% for a multifaceted pathway to citizenship that includes a long waiting period, taxes and a penalty, background checks, and learning English, to a low of 53% for a law that would vary the number of immigrants the U.S. lets into the country, depending on economic conditions.

Additionally, controversies in Congress have arisen not just over the bill's specific provisions, but also over the order in which the provisions become law, with some legislators insisting that the border security goals must be reached before other components of the bill kick in.

Regardless, immigration is not a high priority for Americans. Six percent say immigration is the nation's most important problem, putting it seventh on the list of specific problems facing the country. And when Americans were asked in a May Gallup poll about a list of 12 priorities for the president and Congress, they ranked reforming immigration last.

Legal Immigration by Major Category

Family-

Sponsored

Immigrants,

66.1%

Employment-

Based , 12.7%

Refugees,

15.7%

Diversity

Immigrants,

4.2%

Others, 1.2%