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Health Care

Chapter 8

1

Economics of Health Care

Health care is too important to leave to the market, vs. health care is too important not to be exposed to the market

Reform is difficult

Powerful vested interests

Every dollar saved by using more cost-effective procedures is someone’s dollar of income

U.S. Emphasis on Private Health Insurance

During WWII, with wage and price controls in place, employers offered insurance as an additional benefit

Has since continued as an employee benefit

80 percent of health care costs are paid by insurance

Led to overuse & higher prices

Tendency to regulate (rather than replace) the insurance industry

LO1

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Economics of Health Care

National Issue:

People without Health Insurance

Increasing Share of Federal and State Budgets

Labor Disputes over Health Insurance

Insurance Companies Dictating Medical Care

Ethical Questions

Affordable Care Act (Obamacare)

Economics of Health Care

Health Care Industry

Hospitals, Nursing Homes, Labs, Doctors’ Offices, Drugs, Artificial Limbs, Eyeglasses

17 million employed, 850,000 physicians, over 5,800 hospitals, over one billion office visits each year

Accounts for 17.9% of GDP (5% in 1960), and 10% of total employment

Economics of Health Care

Twin Problems: Costs and Access

Controlling costs and increasing accessibility

High & Rising Health Care Costs

Price and Quantity; Demand and Supply

Absolute terms, % of GDP and per capita

Total Spending on Health Care

Insurance (80%)

Deductibles , Co-payments & cash (20%)

Medicare & Medicaid (triple as % of GDP by 2050); monthly premiums cover 25% of benefits provided

U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

Total health care expenditures

In the United States

Not adjusted for inflation

1960: $28 billion

2011: $2.7 trillion (almost 100 times the 1960 number)

U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

Gross domestic product (GDP)

A measure of the total output (and income) produced in a nation in one year

Health care expenditures

As percentage of GDP

US: 17.9%

Increased over time

Quality increases are part of rise in costs, i.e., it’s not just inflation

Figure 8-1: National health care expenditures as a percent of GDP of the Western industrialized countries and japan, 2013

U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

Are We Healthier?

Good news:

Average life expectancy increased by 6 years since 1970.

U.S. physicians and hospitals use the most advanced medical equipment and technology

More than one-half of world’s medical research is done in the U.S.

Bad News:

Many nations rank higher in life expectancy, maternal mortality and infant mortality

U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

Infant mortality rate

The number of infants who die before their first birthday per every 1,000 live births

Life expectancy

The age to which a baby born in a particular year can be expected to live on average

Table 8-3: Life expectancies and infant mortality ratesa for the western industrialized countries and Japan, 2012

Table 8-3 (cont.): Life expectancies and infant mortality ratesa for the western industrialized countries and Japan, 2012

U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

United States: (17.9% of GDP)

Lowest life expectancy, highest infant mortality rate

Japan: (10.1% of GDP)

Highest life expectancy, lowest infant mortality rate

U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

Quality of US health care varies

Infant mortality rate

Whites: 5.6

African-Americans: 13.2

Life expectancy

Whites: 78.4

African Americans: 74.3

Important factors

Income and discrimination

U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

Director of the World Health Organization

“There are 3 Americas. There is high quality health care for the rich and mediocre health care for the middle income class. However... ‘it‘s the bottom 5 percent or 10 percent, made up of Native Americans... the inner-city poor, rural blacks and Appalachia that is the third America. They have health conditions as bad as those in sub-Saharan Africa.’”

U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

Five Year Survival Rates
Prostate Cancer Breast Cancer
U.S. 98.6% 88.7%
U.K. 71.0% 81.0%
France 61.7% 80.3%
Germany 67.6% 71.7%

U.S. Health Care Expenditures and Outcomes

Summary

High and increasing health care costs in the U.S.

Our health indicators are below those of other developed nations

Health indicators vary by race and ethnicity

Why do we spend so much on health care, yet we have relatively poor outcomes?

Answer: rising costs and lack of access

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U.S. Health Care Problems

Escalating health care costs

A growing demand for health care

Waste and inefficiency

Physician sovereignty

A medical doctor’s control over the demand for medical procedures (e.g., MRIs)

Fee-for-service

The charging of a specific fee for provision of a specific health care service (e.g., X-rays; 4X)

U.S. Health Care Problems

Defensive medicine

The ordering of unnecessary tests and services by health care professionals solely to protect themselves from charges of malpractice

If a test is not ordered and the insurance company finds out, the insurance company may drop that person from its coverage

Malpractice insurance

Insurance carried by health care professionals to protect themselves from large malpractice damage awards

U.S. Health Care Problems

Third-party payment

Insurance pays 80 percent of all payments

Rapid technological change

More expensive (What’s cold and clammy and out of date?)

When hospitals invest in highly specialized equipment, hospital costs must then increase

Medical experts and their patients judge hospitals by quality of physicians who are on staffs

Reputable medical doctors choose to practice at hospitals that have all the latest technology available

New pharmaceutical products

U.S. Health Care Problems

Cost shifting

The practice of recovering the unpaid costs of some patients by charging higher prices to other patients

Attitudes of patients

Any treatment should be available to us, more tests are better than less, aggressive medical treatment can cure virtually anything

Because they have insurance, they demand excessive care without much regard for cost

Rising incomes

Elasticities: price (-.2); income (1 to 1.5)

U.S. Health Care Problems

An aging population

Over 65: 3.5 times the care of others

Over 65: 12.4% of 2000 pop.; 20% in 2030

Last year of life

Unhealthy life styles

Smoking, alcohol, weight

Moral hazard problem

Consequences

Medical costs have been skyrocketing

U.S. Health Care Problems

Waste and inefficiencies

Unnecessary tests and medical procedures

Unnecessary surgeries and drugs

Extremely expensive equipment

Paperwork costs

Patients forgo cost-effective preventative health care interventions

Prenatal care; blood pressure checks

Child immunizations

Consequences of These Characteristics

Have caused medical costs to skyrocket over time

Physician sovereignty, third-party payment, and increase in tests and treatments caused by rapid technological change and defensive medicine all imply increases in demand for health care

Installation of new technology and continual replacement of “old” technology, as well as expansion of number of hospital beds and doctors, represent increase in supply of health care

Consumer advocates maintain that much of our health care expenditures are wasted on unnecessary tests and medical procedures

Paperwork costs are tremendous

End up at a point inside the PPC

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Figure 8-3: Increased demand for medical care

Because demand has increased since 1960, medical care prices have

risen as we have consumed a greater quantity of health care.

Figure 8-2: Production possibilities curve for health care

As we have moved from point A to point B, we have obtained more health care, but we have

given up other goods and services. At point C, we are using our resources inefficiently.

U.S. Health Care Problems

US hospitals, clinics, etc.

Non-profit and for-profit

Insurance companies, pharmaceutical firms

For-profit

Question:

Should healthcare be a for-profit industry?

Single-payer system

Save an estimated 15-20% of costs

U.S. Health Care Problems

Lack of access to health care

Health insurance or program

Private insurance

Purchased from a private insurance company

Through place of employment

Public health coverage

By the government: Medicare, Medicaid

Many people have no health coverage

Table 8-4: Percent of people without health insurance coverage, by race and ethnicity, 2011-12

Vocabulary of Insurance

Deductible the amount of health spending a year that you have to pay before the insurance company pays anything

Co-payment either a set amount or the percentage of the bill after the deductible has been taken out that you have to pay

Maximum out-of-pocket the most that a person or family will have to pay over a year for all covered health expenses

Public Insurance: Medicare

All those over 65 are eligible

Part A

Covers expenses incurred in hospitals

Compulsory

Financed with premiums and 1.45% payroll tax on employers and employees

Part B

Covers doctor visits

Voluntary

Financed with premiums and general tax revenue

Part D

Prescription coverage

Public Insurance: Medicaid

Covers the poor

Means tested

eligibility standards vary from state to state

No premiums are required

Some states have very small co-payments

State Children’s Health Insurance Program (SCHIP)

Health care to children in families whose income is too high to qualify for medicaid

The Affordable Health Care Act

Passed in 2010 by Obama and Congress

Goals

Achieve universal health coverage

Contain costs and apply mandates

Means

Extend heath care to the uninsured

To make health care more affordable

New policies and regulations

The Affordable Health Care Act

Prior to PPACA health insurers could

cut off dependent children from coverage under their parents’ health insurance the first year after their children reached 23,

consider, charge more for, and deny coverage for any medical condition a prospective client had prior to purchasing insurance through the company.

set annual and lifetime limits on how much they would cover.

set prior conditions by which they could rescind coverage and they were free to raise the rates of those who became ill (and therefore expensive to the company).

charge rates that were different for men and women.

Be free from most government intervention when it came to premiums, profit and the proportion of premiums taken up with administrative costs.

The Affordable Health Care Act

PPACA requires that health insurers

allow dependent children to stay on their parents health insurance through age 25,

to accept everyone without regard to health status,

charge the same to healthy and the unhealthy alike

charge the same for men and women.

no longer set lifetime limits

no longer set annual limits.

no longer rescind coverage or raise rates on the sick

How does each of these impact health care costs?

What Insurance Companies Can Still Do

They will be allowed to

charge older customers no more than three times what they charge younger ones (though younger ones typically cost one fifth or less than what older ones cost),

charge 50 percent more to tobacco users.

set up broad geographic price differences

charge more for larger families than smaller ones.

Are These All Good For Everyone?

Preventing one person from facing an adverse consequence spreads the adverse consequence to others.

Some provisions will cost employers (who may choose to employ fewer people)

Some will simply shift costs from one group to another.

What about the promise made that Americans could keep their present health care coverage if they were happy with it?

The Affordable Health Care Act

New taxes

Higher income Medicare tax

Higher income capital gains tax

Cadillac insurance tax (40%)

Excise tax on sales of medical devices

10% tax on indoor tanning

LO5

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The Affordable Health Care Act

Objections and alternatives

Greater inefficiencies in health care (additional layers of bureaucracy)

First step to national health insurance (and nonprice rationing)

Lack of sufficient revenue sources in the future

Increased inefficient consumption as a result of increased coverage

Need to force consumers to weigh marginal benefits and costs (e.g., Singapore plan)

LO5

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Other Options for Health Care in the U.S.: From the Economic Right

Privatization & increased competition, supply side of health care

Arguments

Government has too large of an influence

Free market is efficient in equating demand and supply

Free market system for supply and demand would result in lower costs

Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.: From the Economic Right

Privatization

Of government-owned and government-run hospitals

Increase competition among hospitals

Pay more attention to the bottom line

Eliminating a great deal of inefficiency

Advertising within the health care industry

Improve competition among suppliers

Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.: From the Economic Right

Increased competition, demand side

Well-informed consumer

But, people’s choices are constrained by

Insurance coverage, the availability of providers accepting Medicare and Medicaid

Curtailment/elimination of Medicare, Medicaid

Rising health care costs: demand that is not regulated by the usual norms of frugality

Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.: From the Economic Right

Medical Savings Accounts

Insurance

The purchaser makes payments into an account that can be drawn against in times of illness

Monies not spent for medical care are returned to the insured person

Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.: From the Economic Left

Competition

Among health insurance companies—“keeps them honest”

National health insurance

Universal, single-payer, non-profit

Canadian model

Doctors, etc., paid directly by the government

Fees negotiated by industry and gov’t

Criticism: rationing and waiting periods

Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.: From the Economic Left

Socialized medicine

Similar to national health insurance

Extensive gov’t intervention in health care

British model

Doctors, etc., salaried government employees

Hospitals and clinics government-owned

Relatively little bureaucracy

Criticism: rationing and waiting periods

Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.

Managed care

Health maintenance organization (HMO)

Group practice

Contracts with insurance companies

Preferred provider organization (PPO)

Similar—contracts with insurance

A group of medical providers contract to provide the insured patient’s medical care at discounted rates

Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.

Vouchers a Better Solution than insurance?

A voucher is a token that can be used to buy only the item that the voucher specifies.

So a healthcare voucher could be used to buy only health insurance.

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Alternatives for Health Care in the U.S.

Vouchers have four advantages over public and private insurance:

Vouchers can be used with public and private insurance and result in competition between them.

Governments can set the total value of vouchers to overcome bureaucratic overproduction.

Vouchers spread the public contribution across millions of consumers.

4. By giving the buying power to patients, producers compete and provide quality service at the lowest attainable cost.

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Singapore’s Health Care System

Rated by WHO as one of the best

Spent just 3.8% of GDP on health care

Competition between hospitals

Must post prices, and government tracks performance

Increased out-of-pocket expenses (92%)

Required to save 6% of income in MediSave

Private property

Government subsidizes the poor and those whose MediSave accounts have been exhausted.

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Other Plans

Whole Foods

Each full-time employee has $1,800 per year deposited into a “wellness” account

Company pays for a high-deductible HIP that covers 100% of all medical expenses exceeding $2,500 in a given year

At most, employees are on the hook for $700 per year

The $1,800 and $700 are personal property, so employee must consider opportunity costs resulting in less spending

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Other Plans

State of Indiana

Each employee has $2,750 per year deposited into a health savings account

Company provides an insurance policy that covers 80% of medical expenses between $2,750 and $8,000 and 100% of all medical expenses exceeding $8,000 in a given year

Results showed a 35% reduction in medical expenses for those choosing this plan compared to employees choosing traditional PPO plan

Voluntary participation went from 2% in first year to 70% in second year

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Conservative versus Liberal

Liberals

Market has done a poor job of allocating medical care

Special characteristics of health care make it unlikely that the market will ever reach a fair and equitable solution

Favor policy ranging from bolstering Medicaid and Medicare to developing national health programs on the order of those in other industrialized countries

Conservatives

Strongly oppose national health programs

Expansion of the government’s role

Privatization and increased competition

Trimming of Medicare and Medicaid,

Development of medical savings accounts

Stronger role for the unregulated market