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mcr2e_chapter_11_slides.pptx

Managing Customer Relationships: A Strategic Framework

Chapter 11

Optimizing around the Customer:

Measuring the Success of Customer-Based Initiatives

Course Title Instructor

Managing Customer Relationships: A Strategic Framework, Second Edition

Don Peppers and Martha Rogers

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Chapter 11 Preview

Managing Customer Relationships: A Strategic Framework, Second Edition

Don Peppers and Martha Rogers

Measuring Customer Value

Customer Equity

Customer Loyalty and Customer Equity

Factors in Customer Equity

Return on Customer

Creating, Harvesting, and Destroying Value

Measuring Return on Customer

Predictive Modeling

Leading Indicators of LTV Change

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Measuring Customer Value

Managing Customer Relationships: A Strategic Framework, Second Edition

Don Peppers and Martha Rogers

Short-term: immediate sales

Long-term: changes in customer’s predisposition toward company

Balance required

Too aggressively pursuing short-term sales threatens long-term value

Investing too much in great service threatens short-term value (i.e., funds required to produce that great service)

To strike a balance, measure customer equity, or customer lifetime value

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Customer Equity

Managing Customer Relationships: A Strategic Framework, Second Edition

Don Peppers and Martha Rogers

The principal economic asset

The sum of all current and future customers’ LTV = firm’s total economic value

Describes effectiveness of customer strategies and implementation

However, most companies look at quarterly balance sheets as the primary measure of economic assets – which only measures short-term value

Prospects, as well as current customers, are included in customer lifetime value (or equity)

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Customer Equity and Customer Loyalty

Managing Customer Relationships: A Strategic Framework, Second Edition

Don Peppers and Martha Rogers

Difficult to measure customer loyalty/customer retention

Defining retention:

A progressive variable – a volume dial, not an on-off switch

A multifaceted variable – one possibly composed of multiple relationships across business units

Distinguish customer attrition and customer defection

Attrition: results from circumstance outside company’s control (retirement, moves out of area)

Defection: customer chooses to move business to the competition

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Factors in Customer Equity

Acquire more customers

Acquire customers who are more valuable

Increase profit per customer

Reduce servicing costs per customer; sell customers additional products or services

Increase the propensity of customers to refer other customers

Reduce the rate of customer attrition

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Return on Customer

Managing Customer Relationships: A Strategic Framework, Second Edition

Don Peppers and Martha Rogers

Measures how well an enterprise is using customers to create value – both short term and long term

Analogous to return on investment (which measures how efficiently an enterprise uses capital to create value)

Return on Customer = Total Shareholder Return

Just as with TSR, if ROC is less than cost of capital, it’s not worth the investment

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Creating, Harvesting, and Destroying Value

Managing Customer Relationships: A Strategic Framework, Second Edition

Don Peppers and Martha Rogers

Value creators

Combination of short-term and long-term value created by customers is greater than cost of capital

Future earnings likely to grow

Value harvesters

Harvesting customer profits from customer equity they already have, but are not increasing customer equity

Future earnings likely to decline

Value destroyers

ROC is below zero – likely showing a profit by offering deep discounts

Future earnings will certainly decline

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Measuring ROC

Managing Customer Relationships: A Strategic Framework, Second Edition

Don Peppers and Martha Rogers

Two major steps:

Measure the marketing activities and analyze their effect on customer acquisition, retention, and growth

Estimate customer LTV and total equity of all customers at a certain time point

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Predictive Modeling

Managing Customer Relationships: A Strategic Framework, Second Edition

Don Peppers and Martha Rogers

Devise an equation for LTV that includes any data on measurable behaviors

Identify the most predictive variables currently available

Generate a second equation for LTV to predict individual customer’s LTV rather than using data to calculate it retrospectively

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Leading Indicators for LTV Change

Managing Customer Relationships: A Strategic Framework, Second Edition

Don Peppers and Martha Rogers

Lifetime value drivers

Cross-selling rate, share of customer, influence on other customers

Lifestyle changes

Professional/career moves, address changes, marital status changes, children added to household, education level, health

Business and consumer

Behavioral cues

Signing up for different plan, buying product upgrades, signing up for an e-mail newsletter

Customer attitudes

Surveys, market research, RSx tool

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