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Running Header: ACCEPTING BIOTECHNOLOGY: THE CASE OF GMOS IN THE… 1

ACCEPTING BIOTECHNOLOGY: THE CASE OF GMOS IN THE EU AND US 2

ACCEPTING BIOTECHNOLOGY: THE CASE OF GMOS IN THE US AND EU

Abstract

This paper assesses the controversial and highly complex topic of the acceptance of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in the EU and the US. In a comparative analysis, the three most prominent areas of research are applied to the case of genetically modified organisms, which are categorized as public opinion, lobbying, and institutional factors. The hypothesis in this analysis is that the lobbying factors affect the outcome of legislation for GMOs the most; this is based on logic as well as the proliferation of previous research regarding these particular influences. This analysis is supplemented by the quantitative analysis of a public opinion survey measuring acceptance of GMOs in the US; it tests the relationships between educational attainment, political affiliation, political ideology, and religious affiliation each with the acceptance of GMOs. The finding of the comparative analysis is that the lobbying factors, which are also closely related to the two other bodies of research, has the strongest influence of the acceptance of GMOs in a region. The survey yielded no specific conclusions other than possible relationships that existed in the data.

Table of Contents Introduction 4 The controversy over GMOs 5 Previous Research 5 Public Opinion on GMOs 7 Risk Perceptions and GMOs 9 Lobbying in GMOs 12 Lobbying in the US 12 Lobbying in the EU 14 GMO specific advocates and opposition 16 Institutional Influences 21 Precautionary Principle versus Promotion Principle 23 Product-based regulations or Process-based? 25 Research Design 28 Comparative Analysis of EU and US 28 Further Exploration into US Public Opinion 30 Survey Results 33 Assessing possible relationships in the acceptance of GMOs 34 Educational attainment 34 Political Affiliation 35 Political Ideology 36 Religious Affiliation 37 Conclusions & direction of further research 40 References 43 Appendices 47

Accepting Biotechnology: The Case of GMOs in the EU and US

Introduction

Biotechnology made its way into the agricultural world and into the food market as a new technology in the 1990s, and since has caused a great deal of controversy both at national and international levels. Genetic engineering of foods was accepted and promoted as a way to drastically improve food production and alleviate issues such as food insecurity and reducing crop loss, and to potentially revolutionize the agricultural industry. Crops were created to resist pests and droughts, and now are even being engineered to taste better and grow larger. These genetically modified organisms, as later they came to be known as, were promoted by some countries, but not all. In fact, many countries, both developing and developed, have taken action at community and governmental levels to resist genetically modified organisms from entering in their food supply.

This resistance has been driven by the uncertainty surrounding the technology, and led primarily by environmental groups and consumer activists. In countries like the US, Canada, Argentina, and China, biotechnology has been accepted and promoted. However, some countries have strict regulations in regards to GMOs because of the uncertainty of the new technology. Even still, some countries have gone to the point of banning imports, even those countries which receive food aid, as is the case in many African countries.

The most peculiar case is the difference between the EU acceptance of GMOs and the US acceptance of GMOs. Both are developed countries whose governing bodies tend to favor GMOs for economic competition in a newly arising biotechnology sector (Rosendal, 2005; Lofstedt 2002). The EU overall does not accept GMOs; however, within the EU there are significant variations in acceptance rates at the national level. In the US, the agribusiness sector is the undisputed leader in the agricultural biotechnology industry, and there has been an overall acceptance of GMOs.

The controversy over GMOs

Questions concerning GMOs entered the international political awareness as crises like the mad cow disease outbreak and other food scares occurred in Europe. Environmental and consumer activists began to label GMOs as “Frankenfoods,” often relating the new and uncertain foodstuffs to cloning (Falkner, 2007). These tactics were particularly effective in Europe, and raised questions as to whether or not GMOs were harmful to human health. No scientific evidence has confirmed these fears; yet, these fears still remain in areas where people generally do not accept genetically modified organisms. These concerns were not raised as early on in the US as it was in the EU. The remaining controversy lies with the potential effects GMOs have on allergenicity, toxicity, biodiversity and antibiotic resistance, which have been affirmed by scientists. These claims compete with the benefits presented about them initially, concerning the production, food security, and economic growth potential that this new technology could bring. These negative claims, again, have held significant influence in many European communities whereas the potential benefits have held a stronger impact in the U.S.

Previous Research

The previous political research surrounding this topic of genetically modified organisms identifies various influences in the acceptance of GMOs and the outcomes of legislation associated with it. Among these influences, the most prominent and researched factors are the risk uncertainty levels of the people in a region, the presence or absence of biotech sectors, and the use of the precautionary principle. The most prolific body of research concerns the effect that particular lobbyists have had in each region specifically, and also gives the most amount of evidence for a relationship. In each chapter, the bodies of research are assessed in greater detail.

These bodies of research on GMOs will be placed in the context of general research in which each falls, giving a holistic view to compare the differences between the EU and the US. Many comparative studies have been performed between the EU and the US with regard to the acceptance of GMOs in each region, and this tries to add to this body of research. In addition to this, the further assessment of public opinion in the US will be supplemented by a statistical analysis from a public opinion survey, using a convenience sample.

This research sets out to identify the three major influences on this acceptance of GMOs between the EU and the US, and analyze the most influential of these political forces in a general comparison. The three significant forces assessed here are public opinion, lobbying, and institutional factors; I hypothesize that the greatest influence (and therefore, difference) in the outcome of GMO legislation are the lobbying factors. Overall, there are many other factors that contribute to the public opinion and institutional forces, especially in the case of genetically modified organisms. The lobbying factors between the EU and the US demonstrate the most significant differences. Despite having institutions which would promote GMOs in order to promote economic competition, lobbyists on both anti-GMO and pro-GMO sides have successfully changed the outcome of legislation and the acceptance of GMOs depending on which lobbying sector is more prevalent in each of the regions.

Public Opinion on GMOs

Public opinion regarding the hugely complex issue of genetically engineered foods varies. The country which views GMOs most negatively is France, where 89% of the population believes that GMOs “are bad because of their potentially harmful effects on health and the environment,” (Pew Research Center, 2015). On the opposite side of the issue is the United States, where 55% of the population believes that GMOs are bad. France, although technically legal, has one of the strictest moratoriums against GMOs in the world. The United States instead has more lenient policies regarding GMOs and promotes them as a policy instead. Somewhere in the middle of these two stands Japan, where 76% of the population believes that GMOs are bad. This nation too has stricter policies regarding the existence of GMOs (Pew Research Center, 2015).

The differences and similarities in public opinion trends between the EU and the US are important to assess. In the EU, citizens “do not see the benefits of genetically modified organisms, consider genetically modified foods to be probably unsafe or even harmful and are not in favour of development of genetically modified food,” (Europa, 2010). Additionally, research demonstrates that people “feel somewhat strongly about biotechnology,” and overall have a greater awareness and salience regarding the topic than the US (Europa, 2010). The US generally has a low knowledge on the subject, and is not considered a salient political subject (Durant & Legge, 2005). Demographics such as religiosity and political ideology have been found to be a great influence of public opinion on GMOs, both in the EU and the US (Europa, 2010; Durant & Legge, 2005). On a left to right spectrum of political ideology, research suggests that the farther right on the spectrum, the greater the acceptance of GMOs. Additionally, as religiosity decreases, the acceptance of GMOs increases (Europa, 2010; Durant & Legge, 2005). So, although there are not significant differences in the public acceptance of GMOs (the US still has a majority public opinion that is opposed to GMOs) there is a significant difference in salience between the EU and the US. The differences between the EU and US regarding public opinion, as well as their respective regulatory choices, points to the further discussion of public opinion on this issue, and the possible factors that could contribute to these wide variations.

At the heart of contemporary public opinion research is how individuals process information to form opinions about different political issues. Factors that contribute to an individual’s decision-making process involve cultural values, religious values and ideologies, education, and social and economic status, as well as any other demographic. These values and experiences translate into public opinion when people with shared values act (Iyengar, 2011). In addition, the way in which public opinion is influenced by the media and the framing of information is examined. The availability of information and the use of heuristics influences individual perception and accumulation of information, based on both the frequency of the information received as well as the way in which it is presented (ie: positively or negatively) (Iyengar, 2011; Gowda, 1999). There is significant research that demonstrates that the way in which information is manipulated by the media influences public opinion (Iyengar, 2011) and instances where media attention focuses on particular subjects over others proves to become important political issues for the public. These factors influence political decision-making, and thus public opinion.

Since both the EU and the US are democratic, the idea is that public opinion influences the outcomes of legislation. In the EU where member states vote on the passing of EC legislation and the US where it is considered to be a representative democracy, public opinion should translate into legislation which is in agreement with the desires of the people. Public opinion, therefore, idealistically has a significant influence on the outcome and passage of legislation.

In contrast, there is research that demonstrates that public opinion actually has very little influence on legislation, which is important to discuss. In an analysis performed by Gilens and Page, (2014, p. 564-581) “When the preferences of economic elites and the stands of organized interest groups are controlled for, the preferences of the average American appear to have only a minuscule, near-zero, statistically non-significant impact upon public policy,” which contradicts much of the accepted literature discussed earlier; however, it also does not account for the fact that much of public opinion is solely influenced by elite opinions on separate political issues (Iyengar, 2011, p. 245; McCanne, 2014). Furthermore, the way in which risk is perceived by individuals adds to the public perception of risk, and influences the importance of risk regulation by the government (Rosendal, 2005; Wohlers, 2010). These general concepts expressed and addressed by general public opinion research is applicable to the case of GMO legislation.

Risk perceptions and GMOs

Risk assessment and uncertainty tolerance levels are important gauges in how the public will respond to new technologies, and in this case, new agricultural technology. These factors strongly influence public opinion, which, in turn, influence regulatory measures that are put in place by government actors (Anker, 2009; Wohlers 2010). These concepts are considered to evaluate the cultural aspects of a society. Uncertainty tolerance levels are a measure of how “members of a society cope with anxiety by minimizing uncertainty” (Wohlers, 2010). Risk perceptions are a complex measure of how people perceive and have predispositions toward risk. The research on this topic categorizes risk perception as balanced, cautious opportunistic or indifferent. The uncertainty levels and risk perceptions of a nation are affected by what the culture as a whole values, and are used together in this theory. Strict and potentially ban-prone policies with respect to GMO legislation are correlated with political cultures with low uncertainty tolerance levels and cautious risk perceptions of their legislatures (Wohlers, 2010; Anker, 2009). Nations which fall under this category are primarily in the EU. In line with the cautious risk perception, the threat to the human health and the environment of the society is considered high risk and the belief is that there is little to gain when gambling. Law makers generally emphasize the risks of GMOs and downplay the potential benefits associated with GMOs in these areas. On the other hand, nations with high uncertainty tolerance levels, like the US, followed a mostly opportunistic risk perception model. Policymakers exaggerate the benefits and see little threat in the flaws of GMOs; this results in more lenient regulatory processes.

Public opinion in a nation is very important, and public opinion in terms of the use of GMOs is certainly influenced by public knowledge of the subject. Much of the research shows that both types of countries, ones with strict regulations on GMOs as well as ones with more lenient regulations on GMOs, had low public knowledge overall. In a study performed by Wohler (2010), each nation had different perceptions of the risks and benefits of GMOs, leading the majorities of the populations to vary in their opinions. However, throughout the research it is also evident that public knowledge increased, largely in part to the anti-GMO food campaigns throughout the 90s in the US, as well as the Mad Cow Disease outbreaks in Europe. In a study performed by Shanahan, Scheufele, and Lee, the authors show that high negative media coverage of GMOs from 1998 to 2000 resulted in increased public knowledge and more negativity toward GMOs (2001). Public knowledge of the issue rose from more than half who reported to have little or no knowledge of GMOs, to more than half reporting “at least some knowledge” of GMOs (Shanahan et al, 2001). As public knowledge increased, public opinion on GMOs became more pessimistic, and lead to more stringent legislation—even in countries which prior to the anti-GMO campaigns and the Mad Cow Disease outbreak had viewed GMOs more favorably (see also Anker; Shanahan). These studies show that public opinion and knowledge about GMOs are influenced by the media reporting of an issue, and the way people receive the information being given to them. This, in turn, influences the passing of legislation as discussed earlier.

Altogether, although public opinion is an excellent indicator of public knowledge and assessment of values and risk perception, it seems to be that it does not necessarily translate to appropriate legislation, and is itself influenced by outside factors like the media. Although it probably influences the acceptance of GMOs, there are many other factors to take into account. These public values do play an important role in the other two aspects of this analysis.

Lobbying in GMOs

Lobbying is the act of trying to influence legislation, regulation or any form of political action taken by government or representative officials. This most often manifests itself in the development of groups which lobby for particular interests, groups, or ideals; therefore, interest group politics and lobbying are almost synonymous, particularly in strong democratic regimes (Cigler, 1995; Mazey, 1993). These groups then create a cohesive mission and present to government officials and other political figures their particular interests; there is significant variation in the ways in which interest groups tend to go about this, and it varies also at which level of government they present their interests to. Although interest groups have a variety of purposes, they are most actively seen in the legislative process by physically appearing when drafting occurs, attempting to inform both active legislators and the public of where their interests lie (Petracca, 1992; Mazey, 1993). Actually passing legislation consists of many steps as well as several political actors, including the public, interest groups, campaign finances, and the administration in power. By assessing the influences of lobbying on the outcome of legislation, it will highlight complexities associated with interest groups in democracies, the government actors, and how these relate to the level of acceptance of GMOs in the EU and the US.

Lobbying in the US

In the system of the United States, although the Congress creates and writes the laws, the bureaucracy is responsible for implementing and somewhat defining the ambiguous laws. Bureaucracies often encounter such ambiguity in the writing of the law that they try to balance their own interests with the interests of stakeholders. Interest group theory demonstrates that interest groups indirectly influence passed regulations by having influence on the bureaucracy. Primarily, the interest groups offer outside resources that are not governmental in nature, like influencing public opinion through education of the public, which in turn allows them to influence the bureaucracy. Since the bureaucracies do not have the same political clout of other branches and do not have the same level of democratic backing, bureaucracies tend to be more receptive to the interests of interest groups (Cigler 1995; Yackee, 2006). These relationships can often form coalitions between industries and government officials (or government bodies in some cases), enabling them to gain wider support from the public and stronger influence in terms of legislative action (Cigler, 1995, p. 259). Therefore, interest groups influence both the public through education of issues as well as influence legislation through developing political relationships, creating a win-win for all actors involved.

Aside from the bureaucracy and their role in implementing policy, passing legislation consists of more than the mere implementation of it; what makes it to the table in Congress is a separate set of issues that are important to discuss on this topic of GMOs. As discussed earlier, public opinion can influence the success of legislation, but there have been studies to disprove this. Studies on interest group influence also show a lack of influence. One such study says, “Over-all, net interest group alignments are not significantly related to the preferences of average citizens. The net alignments of the most influential, business oriented groups are negatively related to the average citizen’s wishes,” demonstrating that although interest groups have influence, the influence does not necessarily relate to the public’s interests (Martin Gilens and Benjamin I. Page, 2014).

The role and influence that lobbying has on legislation can also depend on the administration in power. Although lobbyists can ultimately influence individual actors, if a President does not favor groups and their interests, Presidents have the ability to steer away from these interests (Cigler, 1995, p. 303). Additionally, because the bureaucracy is essentially influenced by the executive branch, the bureaucracy also follows the President’s wishes; ultimately, this highlights that the greater significance is on how the administration in power will influence passing of legislation and not the lobbyists. The relationships between interest groups and government change, and therefore the political power of the whole system will shift as well (Petracca, 1992, p. 17).

Interested parties and individuals also influence the legislative process through campaign contributions. This highly controversial issue, particularly in the US, has transformed into a robust area of research on both sides of the issue. Some literature says that campaign finances enable people or organizations with money to have greater access to Congress people and/or committees, which in turn allows them to have greater influence on the outcome of legislation (Hojnacki and Kimball, 2001). There is also ample evidence to demonstrate that this is not the case, and that instead no relationship exists between campaign contributions and legislation (Petracca, 1992). The US has fewer regulations regarding campaigns contributions than most other nations, whereas the EU has significant time and quantity regulations on campaign contributions. This draws a significant difference between the capabilities that lobbyists have to influence legislation in the US and the EU.

Lobbying in the EU

In the European Union, most of the theories on lobbying in politics and through institutions are applicable and similar. The actual influence of interest parties is debatable but still strong, the institutional conflicts make the process complicated, and campaign contributions play a role. In the instances of campaign finance, the situation is not as severe as in the US; however, the institutional and administrative conflicts that arise in terms of the influence of lobbying become increasingly more complicated.

Because the EU is a supranational government, and only works with the participation from each individual member state, member states have significant control over the outcome of legislation. This is significant in terms of lobbying capabilities in this institution because if lobbyists are capable of influencing the officials representing each individual state, then they can influence legislation. If interested in influencing the outcome of the European Commission legislation (the separate institutions will be explored in depth in the institutional section), interest groups focus on the officials who draft legislative proposals (Mazey, 1993, p. 10). Because of the officials’ receptivity and accessibility at this level, it is easy for interest groups to be heard at this level and to have a say, particularly if their interests involve expert opinions (Mazey, 1993, p. 10). Additionally, lobbyists seek to influence the European Court of Justice; by bringing forward individual cases to be assessed by the EC of Justice, organized interests are assessed, and since it overrides any national legislation. National lobbying is easier to manage, but that EC law can override national law if interest groups are facing issues at the national level, demonstrating various ways for interest groups to act. This has created a proliferation in EC lobbying as opposed to national lobbying, especially in the case of women’s rights, and environmental advocacy, which is applicable to this research (Mazey, 1993; Pierce, 1992).

In the EU, however, money is not as much of a driving force in campaigns as it is in the US; they have stricter regulations on spending during campaigns, as well as grants that help with other costs of campaigns that are not always directly associated with campaigning (European Parliament, 2015). These funds are to be used explicitly for European parties and do not include paying for national parties. At the national level, campaign finance varies. This changes the influence that lobbyists are able to have; instead of supplying campaign resources as a way for lobbyists to influence government actors, some of the costs are taken care of and therefore have less of an influence in this respect of lobbying.

On the other hand, there are a significant number of factors that conflict with the influence of interest groups. First of all, the EC policy agenda is highly uncertain, and with the amount of people and agencies that are involved in the legislative processes and drafting, additional items tend to arise out of necessity (Mazey 11, 1993). The nature of lobbying in the EU is therefore, a “multi-lateral operation which requires interest groups to co-ordinate national and EC-level strategies,” and highly unpredictable (Mazey, 16, 1993). Lobbying involves many different institutions and actors, which complicates the ability for interest groups to influence the legislation. As suggested earlier, the general research that interest groups are not always in line with the public further proves this point (see page ).

Overall, lobbying can influence the outcome of legislation, and in many instances has done so; the contributing factors between each of the players are complex and vary depending on the situation. Lobbying for and against GMOs seems to have had interesting consequences in the EU and the US.

GMO specific advocates and opposition

Biotech sectors, which would promote the use of GMOs and less stringent regulations, are a particularly influential advocate on the outcome of GMO legislation. Researchers who analyze the influence of these companies in the EU and the US point toward several differences. In the EU, there are several countries with tremendous industries in niche and traditional farming—they concentrate on organically grown foods and regional specialties. The public here generally sees GMOs as a threat to their current way of living, as well as their cultural identity and superiority in food quality (Kurzer, 2007b). This not only shapes popular opinion, but it does not allow for a large presence of biotech industries in these nations. Anti-GMO groups are favorable in these countries or areas, and due to the public’s receptiveness toward the claims of environmental hazards and human health risks, people tend to vote to deny production of GMOs (Kurzer, 2007b).

In countries where there is a significant presence of the biotech sector, for example, the US, tend to vote for approvals of GMO production and scale down the legislation imposing stricter regulations on GMOs (Rosendal, 2005). The most puzzling question that these researchers tried to answer within this research is how the countries which have a substantial mix of both anti-GMO blocs and biotech sectors vote. Research found that when there was this strong presence of the opposite sides of the issue, that the countries either voted inconsistently on the issue (as in the EU), or they supported GMO production (Rosendal, 2005; Falkner, 2006; Bernauer, 2003).

Another aspect to this school of thought is the relationship between the biotech sector and the government, and the relationship between the green-green (anti-GMO) bloc and the government. The green-green coalition, which consists of NGOs for the environment and green-oriented industries who partner with the Green Party, exists in the EU and does not exist in the US. Furthermore, the existence of the biotech sector is strong and is opposed by virtually nothing equal to it in the US. Considering the fact that both the US and EU legislative institutions are sympathetic to the passing of GMOs, the presence of biotech sectors seem to have had a defining influence in these matters (Kurzer, 2007a). Rosendal and Bernauer acknowledge that the relationship between the green-green bloc in the EU is stronger because it has existed and capitalized on opportunity earlier than the biotech sectors in the areas, whereas DeChazournes (2011) and Kurzer (2007a) suggest the difference is willingness of the government to focus on economic pluses for corporations and put health and environmental hazards on the back burner (as in the US). Bernauer explains this phenomenon as the strength of the counterbalancing forces; the biotechnology early on “suffered from low credibility” and the anti-GMO promoted environmental and health issues which held significant influence among the population early on (2003). This way, the biotech sectors were not able to establish as large of a presence in the countries where environmental activist groups established themselves. In nations where the anti-GMO groups did not capitalize as early, the biotech sectors became more influential in legislation.

To assess the case of the EU even further, the influence of the green-green bloc was significant because of several structures set in place to allow the movement to exist. Because the EU legislature (consisting of the European Parliament and the Council) is sympathetic to the passing of GMOs for the enhancement of economic competition in the global market, significant implications on the consumer activism of the European people has been shown (Font, 2011; Schurman, 2004). Europe is not known for their ability to collectively act on a political cause, particularly since there is an overall lack of participation, and yet they effectively swayed legislation by not buying genetically engineered food (Kurzer, 2007a; Seifert, 2006). This in turn influenced the member states to not want to promote the use of GMOs; instead, the message of the health risks and the environmental hazards that the green-green bloc presented frequently and often to their individual countries was able to push action on both the legislative end as well as the public end, to change the outcome of the legislation of genetically engineered foods in their favor (Kurzer, 2007a). This demonstrates the influence that lobbying has had on the legislation in the EU.

As stated in the US analysis of lobbying, there are more lenient regulations in terms of the amount that PACs and related parties are able to donate to campaigns and this therefore highlights a powerful distinguishing factor. This is evident in the case of GMOs: the total amount of contributions given by individuals and political action committees was $126,498,021 for the agribusiness sector (OpenSecrets.org, 2014). Of this money, three-quarters of the contributions went to Republican candidates, potentially highlighting a correlation between political affiliation and promotion of GMOs, which will be tested in the other part of the research (OpenSecrets.org, 2014). The distinguishing factor here is that money holds more of an influence in the lobbying aspect in the US than it does in the EU, contributing more evidence that these interest groups play a great role in the outcome of legislation.

Overall, the lobbying influences that exist in both the US and EU are significant. General research regarding lobbying points to a strong argument for the power that interest groups can have in legislation. For the case of GMOs, the US has larger and more influential interest groups in the biotech sector, which has translated into the increased acceptance of GMOs, despite split public opinion. In the EU, social forces as well as the strong green-green coalition have decreased the acceptance of GMOs. It is also important to note that there is a general perception that GMO benefits outweigh the costs in both the institutions; this will be used for discussion later on. These differences in lobbying support the evidence that interest groups have played a substantial role in the acceptance of GMOs.

Public opinion and lobbying paints a very significant picture of the competing interests and influences at play in the case of GMOs; the most complex influence is the institutional factors that change the outcome of legislation concerning biotechnology in the EU and the US.

Institutional Influences

Tied to the influence of lobbying, institutional differences among nations can explain the differing outcomes of legislation in regards to genetically engineered crops. The US has a system of three separate and distinct branches; the judicial, the legislative, and the executive. The branches take care of their individual responsibilities, and there is no overlap among these institutions. The only overlap that exists in the US is between federal, state and local governments; however, here there is generally a hierarchy of power and designated roles that each level of government takes care of. In applying this to the case of GMOs, the federal government has allocated the assessment of GMOs to the Food and Drug Administration, the Environmental Protection Agency, and the Department of Agriculture, which are technically part of the executive branch (MCHughen, 2009; Sheingate, 2006). Over the past several years, however, several individual states have taken legislative action either for or against GMOs in their states (McHughen, 2008). So, although the federal government in the executive branch has the responsibility to assess GMOs, state level governments have shown interest in using the legislative branch to be stricter than the agencies have been in assessing GMOs. A similar phenomenon can be seen in the EU, but manifested differently.

The EU was a new concept when it was first created; a new supranational governmental institution consisting of more than one nation. This has had a tremendous influence on the outcome of policy here; there are three supranational governmental agencies whose responsibilities often coincide with responsibilities between agencies. The Council and the Parliament are legislative in nature, and the Court has judicial responsibilities. The fourth institution, the Commission, acts as both the legislator and the implementer, as opposed to the implementer being the bureaucracy in the US (Anderson, 2014). Additionally, the intergovernmental Council of Ministers consists of representatives from each member state. Aside from this, each nation has their own individual national governments which also decide what their say will be in EU matters (Tsebelis, 2001). In terms of assessing GMOs, there are numerous branches and agencies that are involved in the decision-making: from the European Parliament, the Committee on the environment, public health and food safety; from the Council of the European Union, the Employment, social policy, health and consumer affairs; from the European Commission, Health and Food Safety, and Consumer affairs; from the European Economic and Social Committee, Agriculture, rural development and environment section; from the Committee of the Regions, Commission for natural resources (NAT); and from EU agencies, European Food Safety Authority (European Parliament/Legislative Observatory, 2015). Of particular importance are the actors in the European Commission, because they take particular interest in the Directives that are passed in the EU, which is applicable to the case of GMOs.

The complexity of both institutional set ups illustrate the complexity of the interplay between institutions and what is actually implemented; various levels of government structures include many different people who act in accordance to both their individual thoughts, differing interests of their states, and (in the case of the EU) balancing all of these with an overall legislative process at a supranational level.

As part of this institutional analysis, it is important to highlight the influence of risk regulation and how it applies to genetically engineered foods. As discussed earlier, risk assessment and uncertainty tolerances are influenced heavily by cultural values; the dynamics of institutions trying to regulate in coordination with the constituencies’ values influences the way in which the legislation is actually passed. These cultural values can include anything from religiosity versus secularism to how the public deals with risk; both are instrumental in the discussion of value, but as far as GMOs are concerned, mostly risk perceptions. Risk regulation is generally defined as “the field of regulation that attempts to identify and ameliorate adverse effects on health and environment that may be posed by technology,” (Anderson, 2014). The implementation and trend toward an “anti-scientific” approach, known as the precautionary principle, has been widely accepted as a rule (Forsman, 2004).

Precautionary Principle versus Promotion Principle

In the case of genetically modified food legislation, general research acknowledges the influence that the use of this precautionary principle has on the likelihood of acceptance of GMOs. Nations who use the precautionary principle in regards to regulating GMOs are more likely to hold stricter regulations and potentially ban GMOs, while those nations which do not use the precautionary principle as strictly are less likely to ban GMOs. The concept behind the precautionary principle is that “where relevant scientific evidence is insufficient” people in legislative or power positions take “precautionary” measures to ensure the safety of human, animal and plant health (Wohlers, 2010). It is the most widely accepted and employed method for environmental policy making, and in this case, Wohlers and Anker argue that several nations extend it to their food law. These nations prevent the further establishment, growth and sale of GMOs. According to Wohlers, this manifests itself by nations’ willingness to ensure that GMOs do not enter into certain food supplies—or within a predetermined amount--without proper labeling until further research concerning the health and environmental impacts of GMOs is verified. The EU is an excellent example of a set of countries which use the precautionary principle strictly. An example of this in the European Council is EC Directive 2001/18, “which governs the deliberate release of GMOs” (as cited in Anker, 2009). This directive allows for the deliberate but restricted release of GMOs into the market supply strictly for scientific experimentation.

More recently, Directive 2010/0208 (COD, 2015) was passed which “allows Member States to restrict or prohibit the cultivation of authorised GMOs in part or all of their territories on grounds other than those covered by the environmental risk assessment under the EU authorisation system and those related to avoiding the unintended presence of GMOs in other products,” (http://www.europarl.europa.eu/oeil/popups/summary.do?id=1381883&t=f&l=). This has extended the use of the precautionary principle to be applied at the national level. Prior to this Directive, the EU permitted the cultivation of GMOs within the member states and employed strict procedural regulations of GMOs. This changes the deliberate release at the supranational level to a deliberate acceptance or not of GMOs at the national level. From the inception of the European Law on GMOs, they specifically named the precautionary principle as the guiding principle to make decisions, and therefore employ it rather strictly. Now, it extends to each member state, which allows for significant variation with the EU. However, there are other countries which do not follow the precautionary principle, or do not follow it as strictly.

Other nations create regulations which are not nearly as stringent as the EU. This displays itself in the US in particular, with very few regulations on the growing of GMOs, as well as the labeling of them. Instead, the US promotes the use of biotech crops. These nations perceive that the benefits outweigh the risks in terms of selling GMO products, and claim there is still no scientific research to prove that GMO products are inherently bad for human health, the environment, or other plant-life. These nations focus on the consumer benefits, such as enhanced resistance to pests, decreased costs, and increased profit for farmers (Wohlers, 2010). The differences in research are illustrated in whether or not the US employed the precautionary principle only slightly or not at all. The “slight” use of the precautionary principle in the US has usually been in response to heavy opposition from anti-GMO lobbyist groups working in the governments—and in these cases enacted stricter labeling laws than before (Anker, 2009). According to Anker, in a 2007 Memorandum with the associations which outline the guidelines for policymaking in the US, namely the Office of Management and Budget and the Office of Science and Technology, this Memorandum “provided a principle…that includes elements of the precautionary principle.” Wohlers (2010) and Forsman (2009) argue that the US does not employ the precautionary principle at all, that their policy making exhibits a strictly scientific approach. Despite this, the researchers agree that the use of the precautionary principle influences a nation’s likelihood to ban GMOs.

Product-based regulations or Process-based?

Further institutional analysis includes the adoption of “product-based” analysis versus “process-based” analysis in terms of assessing GMOs in particular. “Product-based” regulation refers to viewing the GMO itself as a product; these governments base their analysis of a product’s use, and use the concept of substantial equivalence. Substantial equivalence is the idea that so long as the product has the same characteristics—in this case nutritional components--of the non-GMO form of the product, that it is the same (Anker, 2009). So, product-based regulation will compare the end GMO product to the same standards as a non-GMO product to make sure that it can be of use. In “process-based” regulation, the process is regulated, as opposed to the end product. The regulation of the process demonstrates that there are more stringent standards, following the process from the seed until it is sold in a store. Wohlers, Anker, and DeChazournes (2013) all agree that nations which lean toward product-based regulations tend to be nations which do not employ the precautionary principle and nations which lean toward process-based regulations are the nations which do employ the precautionary principle.

Countries like the US use the “product” form of regulating GMOs; there are less restrictions on the products, since GMOs are “generally considered to be safe” and are substantially equivalent by the nations’ standards (DeChazournes, 2013). These rulings, however, do not guarantee absolute safety (Arvanitoyannis, 2006). This manifests itself in the promotion of certain qualities of GMOs, such as “improved shelf-life, processing characteristics, flavor, nutritional properties, and agronomic characteristics such as tolerance to chemical herbicides and resistance to pests and disease” (Wohlers, 2010).

Comparatively, nations which use “process-based” regulations view GMOs differently. In legislative bodies where they use process-based assessments, like European Parliament and the European Commission in the EU, GMOs are viewed as “novel foods.” These “novel foods” are foods which have not been significantly consumed by humans (there is generally a date set by the government in order for later evaluation) and are heavily regulated to prevent human health risks (Anker, 2009). In the EU, the process is regulated, as opposed to the end product. These two regulations are substantially different, and result in very different outcomes of products which are sold in their markets.

The institutional influences that exist in the EU and the US demonstrate a great deal of influence on the acceptance of GMOs in a region. The institutional structures in place in both the EU and the US are complex; the various players at each level of the legislative process influence the differing outcomes of GMO legislation. The various agencies in the US and the departments in the EU that regulate GMOs deal with publics that have varying risk perceptions and tolerances, and in turn each employ differing risk regulation procedures. The precautionary principle employed by the EU has allowed for varying levels of acceptance among its member states, but have contributed to the overall lack of acceptance in the region; the promotion that exists within the US has contributed to the overall acceptance in the region, despite a split public opinion. Additionally, the use of the process based regulations in the EU has allowed for a low acceptance of GMOs, whereas the product based regulations have allowed for a high acceptance of GMOs in the country. Therefore, the government’s perception of GMOs as either a product or a process influences whether a nation will choose to heavily regulate them or not.

Research Design

The research design of this particular research is multi-faceted; the first part of the research was to comparatively assess the more prominent influences on the legislation of GMOs between the US and the EU. The hypothesis that was explored was that the institutional factors are the strongest influence the outcome of acceptance of GMOs. This included exploring the potential influences of public opinion, lobbying, and institutional forces, both generally and as they particularly manifested themselves in the case of genetically modified organisms. The second part of the research was to perform analysis on a public opinion survey, which is related to the attitudes toward GMO, and contributes to the public opinion in the US aspect of this research. The hypotheses between the two parts of the research do not connect; they are instead two separate tests of hypotheses.

Comparative Analysis of the EU and US

First, by assessing the various influences on the passage of GMOs in the US and EU, this research compares the competing overall public opinion, lobbying, and institutional forces that contributed to each governing body’s passage or restriction of GMOs in the case of biotechnology. This study assesses that, although the others potentially have influences that can contribute to the outcomes of legislation, and most of them are interrelated, it seems that the most influential factors are institutional in nature.

Public opinion concerning GMOs in the EU and the US are different. Also, there are significant variations in the public opinion within member states of the EU. Not only is there a relatively high rate of negative attitudes toward GMOs in the US at 55%, but the great deal of variation of public opinion within the EU points to other influences that probably have a greater affect on whether or not GMOs are accepted legislatively. That, combined with the significant research disproving public opinion influencing the success of implementing legislation, points to other influences having a larger influence on the outcome of legislation.

Lobbying poses a more complex question, considering the substantial research demonstrating probable causality between lobbying and passing legislation. In the US, campaign finances are not strictly regulated and there is a large presence of the biotech sector; however in the EU, campaign finances are more strictly regulated, and the Green party has a greater presence than the biotech sector. This, combined with the absence of the Green party in the US can attribute significant influence on the kind of legislation which is passed in each governing body. Additionally, the succession of events that ensued in each region contributed to the prevalence of each of the sectors. Anti-GMO activists managed to establish themselves earlier on through the education and mobilization of the public in light of food scares that occurred in the region. The agricultural biotechnology sector flourished earlier because they promoted the economic and social benefits of developing GMOs, and the anti-GMO groups did not establish themselves as strongly as in the EU.

There is little dispute over whether the implementation of the precautionary principle increases the likelihood of having more strict regulations and legislation, and therefore it has yielded a large body of research in for the institutional analysis. Almost all of the research points at the fact that EU evidently used the precautionary principle in coordination with a process-based regulatory framework in order to craft many of their directives for assessing food safety, including 2001/18. This directive allowed for the release of GMOs, but with strict regulation. The passing of Directive 2010/0208, which permitted the denial of GMOs at the national level based on environmental concerns, added to the employment of the precautionary principle, and allowed member states to proceed with precaution at varying levels. The US on the other hand began with a policy of promotion in coordination with product-based regulations, and although it might have taken on some aspects of precaution later on, overall has had legislation which is open to GMOs. This area had the most significant evidence to support the influence of institutional forces playing the most significant role. However, one of the major points to be made is missing from this argument.

In both the EU and the US, as stated in the introduction and the lobbying chapters, the legislative bodies are open to GMOs for the purposes of economic development and social aid; however, the differences in the outcome of legislation do not reflect similar acceptance levels of GMOs. The EU would probably not have chosen to use the precautionary principle so strictly had there not been such resistance from the public. This fact demonstrates that the lobbyists in each region had advocated for their interests, which were generally in line with public opinion, and therefore ultimately changed the acceptance levels of GMOs. Since there is a great deal of interplay between lobbyists and institutions, and the lobbyists that were most prevalent in the EU and the US respectively represented the interests that prevailed, this logically can explain the differences in the acceptance of GMOs in each region.

This analysis therefore fully supports my original hypothesis that the lobbying factors contributed the most significantly to the acceptance of GMOs. Additionally, it means that the lobbying factors are supplemented by the institutional factors and influences that occurred in each region.

Further exploration into US Public Opinion

In order to further examine the role that individual demographic factors, particularly the education levels, political affiliation and ideals, and religiosity, play into the public opinion of GMOs, a survey was created and sent out. Empirical analysis of public attitudes and knowledge toward genetically engineered foods was collected in this study via an online survey, and contains questions concerning attitudes toward, perceptions of, and knowledge of genetically modified organisms. A complete list of questions can be found in the Appendix of this paper. This survey was conducted by convenience sample due to lack of funds and access to picking a random sample. Most of the respondents, if not all, were friends, family or fellow classmates. Surveys were distributed via internet through email, Facebook, and Twitter. Considering this is a non-representative sample, this presents significant limitations because it constitutes solely people I know or have contact through the people I know, and therefore cannot be directly applicable. However, it can paint a picture of the attitudes toward this topic, even if it is not representative.

The expectations of this part of the research are that the defining influences of attitudes toward GMOs will be religiosity, political affiliation and ideology, and education level. The independent variables will be defined by education level (Q 12), political affiliation and ideology (Q 10 and 11), and religious affiliation (Q 7); the dependent variable will be measured by responses to whether risks outweigh benefits of GMOs or not (Q 5). A full list of questions can be found in the appendix of this paper. The expectations would reflect previous research: as education level increases, the acceptance of GMOs will also increase (Hallman, 2003); as you move farther right in US terms, the acceptance of GMOs increases (Hallman, 2003); as you move farther right on the political spectrum, the acceptance of GMOs increases (Hallman, 2003); and religious affiliation is related to decreased acceptance of GMOs (Hallman, 2003; Europa, 2014).

Survey Results

The survey was completed by 121 participants, aged 18 and older. Of the participants, 59.5% were between the ages of 18 and 29 (N=72), 9.9% between the ages of 30 and 41 (N=12), 5.8% between the ages of 42 and 52 (N=7), and 24.8% were 53 or older (N=30). 93 participants were female, which accounted for 76.9% of the respondents; 27 were male, accounting for 22.3% of the participants; and 1 respondent reported “other.” In terms of political ideology, the results were interesting. Of the respondents, 37.2% reported Conservative (N=45), 24.8% Liberal (N=30), 32.2% neither (N=39), and 5.8% Other (N=7). Similar to that, 33.1% reported to affiliate Republican (N=40), 18.2% Democrat (N=22), 38.8% None (N=47), and 9.9% Other (N=12). As far as educational attainment, 7.4% respondents completed High School (N=9), 38.8% had Some College (N=47), 32.2% had an Undergraduate Degree (N=39), and 21.5% had a Graduate Degree (N=26). In terms of religious affiliation, 76% of the respondents were Christian (N=92), Muslim (N=1), (N=0) Hindu, Spiritual (N=2), 1 Buddhist, 1 Atheist, 8.3% Agnostic (N=10), and 11.6% who reported “I do not have a religious affiliation” (N=14).

In terms of knowledge, most of the people reported at least “some” knowledge GMOs. 21.5% reported to “hear about it a great deal” (N=26), 42.1% reported “some” (N=51), 28.9% reported “not much” (N=35), and 7.4% reported “not at all” (N=9). When asked how much they know or understand about GMOs, 15.7% reported a lot (N=19), 37.2% some (N=45), 31.4% a little (N=38), 14.9% nothing (N=18), and 1 reported not being aware at all. Furthermore, 12.4% responded that “benefits outweighed the risks” (N=15), 47.9% said that “risks outweighed the benefits” (N=58), 29.8% had a “mixed opinion” (N=36), and 9.9% reported they were “unsure” (N=12), When asked about the likelihood of purchase given a biotechnology food to reduce pesticide applications, they reported the following: 14.9% (N=18) said “very likely,” 35.5% (N=43) “somewhat likely,” 28.1% (N=34) “not too likely,” 21.5% (N=26) “not at all likely.” When about the likelihood of purchase based off of increased freshness of food through biotechnology, 8.3% (N=10) responded “very likely,” 28.9% (N=35) “somewhat likely,” 34.7% (N=42) “not too likely,” 28.1% (N=34) “not at all likely.” The final question assessed belief in biotechnology in relation to God’s creation, and resulted in 18.2% (N=22) “definitely disagree,” 20.7% (N=25) “tend to disagree,” 34.7% (N=42) “tend to agree,” and 26.4% (N=32) “definitely agree.”

Assessing possible relationships in the acceptance of GMOs

The easiest way of seeing relationships between two variables is by cross-tabulation, which is why I chose to do this to test the following hypotheses. Many of these hypotheses can be related to general public opinion research, and are drawn from that; however, there has not been significant analysis performed on public opinion in relation to attitudes toward GMOs. This was one of the motivations for pursuing this aspect of the research.

Educational attainment and acceptance of GMOs. As educational attainment increases, the acceptance of risks of GMOs increases, where the independent variable is educational attainment and the acceptance of GMOs is the dependent variable.

This draws on the concepts expressed in the public opinion section of values and demographics having an influence on legislation; demographics influence values, and values constitute a significant portion of risk assessment. There was nothing explored specifically about this demographic in-depth in the literature. The results of the cross-tabulation do not demonstrate such a relationship; in fact, a majority of the respondents who perceived risks outweigh the benefits either had a graduate degree, accounting for 20.7%, or undergraduate degree, accounting for 32.8% of the responses. However, the distribution overall is relatively even, demonstrating that increasing education does not necessarily increase the likelihood of accepting risks of GMOs. (See Table B1 in Appendix B for results).

Political affiliation and acceptance of GMOs. Political affiliations influence the outcome of acceptance of risks of GMOs; the more conservative, the greater the extent of acceptance.

This hypothesis was gathered because Republicans tend to favor businesses, and agribusiness has a strong political relationship with Republicans as spoken about earlier in the campaign finance section (Page 6).

The results of the cross-tabulation demonstrate some evidence of this relationship. 13.8% of respondents that reported risks outweighed benefits were Democrats, 32.8% had no political affiliation, 10.3% were other, and 43.1% were Republican. For those who reported that benefits outweighed the risks, 20% were Democrats, 46.7% had no affiliation, 13.3% reported other, and 20% were Republican. (See Table B2 in Appendix B). There was somewhat equal distribution among the responses of “benefits outweigh risks,” but almost half of the respondents of the “risks outweigh benefits” were Republican, denoting a potential relationship between the two. However, because of the overwhelming majority of Republican respondents, this percentage could be largely explained by the non-representative nature of the sample. To assess whether or not the relationship is significant, a chi-square test was performed.

Table 1

Chi-Square on Political Affiliation

Value

df

Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

Pearson Chi-Square

9.639a

9

.380

Likelihood Ratio

9.478

9

.394

N of Valid Cases

121

Note: 8 cells (50.0%) have expected count less than 5.

The minimum expected count is 1.19.

This table suggests that the relationship is not significant, because the p-value is .380, which is greater than .05. This may be due to the non-representative nature of the survey sample.

Political ideologies and acceptance of GMOs. Political ideologies influence the outcome of the acceptance of risks of GMOs.

This, like the political affiliation question, is related to literature regarding political ideologies and tendency to promote business, as well as the role that values play in risk uncertainty tolerance (page, ). This hypothesis is further supported by previous research that exists regarding political ideology: that the more right on the political spectrum, the acceptance of GMOs increases (Hallman, 2003).

In reporting “risks outweigh benefits” 44.8% of the respondents were Conservative,

13.8% were Liberal, 32.8% were Neither, 8.6% were Other. In reporting “benefits outweigh the risks” 26.7% were Conservative, 33.3% were Liberal, 33.3% were Neither, and 6.7% were Other. (See Table B3 in Appendix B). Respondents who reported “risks outweigh benefits,” were primarily Conservative and Neither; because of the significance of the percentage of conservatives, there could be a potential relationship between political ideology and likelihood to accept risks of GMOs; however, the more likely answer is that there were just a higher number of Conservative and Neither respondents in the survey overall, translating into higher percentages. To test the significance of this relationship, the chi-square test was performed again.

Table 2

Chi-Square on Political Ideologies

Value

df

Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

Pearson Chi-Square

13.163a

9

.155

Likelihood Ratio

14.964

9

.092

N of Valid Cases

121

Note: 9 cells (56.3%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is .69.

The test again showed that there is no significant relationship between the respondents’ political ideologies and the acceptance of GMOs with a p-value of .155. This could be related to the fact that the survey is non-representative, but based off of these tests there is not necessarily a significant relationship here.

Religious affiliation and acceptance of GMOs. Religious affiliation is related to a decreased acceptance of the risks of GMOs.

This part relates to the same demographic and values-based decision-making that applies to public opinion. The idea that religious affiliation would influence public opinion on genetically modified organisms has not been researched in-depth, but religious affiliation (or lack thereof) would logically influence public opinion on something as basic as food consumption. This hypothesis is also supported by previous research regarding religiosity and acceptance of GMOs, as spoken about earlier (Hallman, 2003).

The results of the cross-tabulation revealed that those who responded that “risks outweighed the benefits,” 5.2% were Agnostic, 1.7% were Atheist, 0% were Buddhist, 79.3% were Christian, 10.9% did not have a religious affiliation, 0% were Muslim, and 3.4% were Spiritual. The respondents who reported “benefits outweighed risks” were 20% Agnostic, 0% Atheist, 0% Buddhist, 66.7% Christian, 13.3% did not affiliate, 0% Muslim, and 0% Spiritual. (See Table B4 in Appendix B for results).

Although there might be a relationship between those who affiliate religiously and those who do not in terms of their acceptance of GMOs, it is difficult to say; although almost 80% of the respondents who said that “risks outweighed benefits” were Christian, that demographic was also the overwhelming majority of the people who participated in the survey. To test if there was a significant relationship, again the chi-square test was used.

Table 3

Chi-Square on Religious Affiliation

Value

df

Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

Pearson Chi-Square

13.734a

18

.746

Likelihood Ratio

15.349

18

.638

N of Valid Cases

121

Note: 23 cells (82.1%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is .10.

This demonstrates that with a p-value of .746 that there is not a significant relationship between the respondents’ religious affiliation and the acceptance of GMOs. Although there is not a significant relationship in this survey sample, no conclusions can be made from the non-representative sample.

What matters in testing these hypotheses is that there are several instances where the independent variables can potentially influence the outcome of the acceptance of GMOs in terms of public opinion. According to the analysis, there may be a relationship between religiosity and acceptance of GMOs and the political ideologies and acceptance of GMOs; however, the results of the chi-square test on these relationships deemed them insignificant. Although the tests yielded relationships that were not significant, this is a convenience sample; further tests on the relationships between religiosity and political affiliation should be done on representative samples should be performed to see if the relationship could be significant.

Conclusions & direction of further research

This study focused on how the influences of public opinion, lobbying, and institutional forces have played out in the legislation of GMOs in the EU and the US, hypothesizing that the greatest influence would be the lobbying forces. Although the other influences assessed do affect the outcome of GMO legislation and acceptance, the differences between the US and EU lobbying forces clearly demonstrate the strongest relationship. The variability between the two institutions was substantial and the evidence to support the influence of the employment of the precautionary principle was significant, but both sets of institutions perceived the benefits to outweigh the costs, which could not translate into such differing outcomes of acceptance.

Although I was able to explore how and why phenomena occur in this part of the research, there are substantial limitations. My personal biases can play a role in this research; because there are extensive bodies of research on all three categories of information assessed in this section, there could be additional factors that I did not take into account in the analysis. Furthermore, because this analysis is qualitative, it is difficult to actually test for accuracy whether the hypothesis set forth was given substantial evidence to be proven. It also lacks generalizability.

The survey results and tests of hypotheses demonstrate the quantitative side of the research; the most significant potential independent variables are religiosity and political affiliation according to this sample. Although my results yielded no significant relationships, the sample was a convenience sample. As with any convenience sample, the numbers are skewed, and any potential significant relationship (or lack thereof) found in these tests cannot generalized, despite the quantitative nature of the research. Additionally, the nature of the questions can result in inaccurate self-reporting, and there is a great chance that other factors exist and influence the outcomes of attitudes toward GMOs that are not represented in the survey.

Additionally, the survey only assessed the public opinion in a small area of the U.S.; this research was unable to gather and analyze public opinion from any area in the EU, which would have been ideal in making a true comparative analysis. Along the same lines, the variability of spending on campaign finances within the EU was not assessed either because of the lack of information regarding this supranational government as a whole. These two aspects that are missing from the analysis add an additional limitation to the research.

Taking the limitations into account, further research questions are pivotal for the extension of this area of research. For one, does the level of secularism in the political culture (and public opinion) of a nation influence the outcome of legislation of GMOs? Both the US and the EU place emphasis on the secular nature of politics, and perhaps countries within the EU or states within the US with less of an emphasis on secularism would change the outcome of GMO legislation. Furthermore, does the political party in power during the time of legislation affect the outcome of GMO legislation? There was not enough history or analysis covered on this research, and this could be a basis for further research.

On the survey side, areas for further research include a greater emphasis on the role that religiosity plays in individual attitudes toward GMOs. Although this survey and hypothesis testing assessed this issue, there is little information regarding this topic in either the US or the EU, and could yield an interesting aspect to this political phenomena. Additionally, this survey did not assess race or income levels, which are important demographics to explore, especially to assess the purchasing patterns that people demonstrate with GMOs.

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Appendix A

US Public Opinion Survey Questions

The survey questions were taken from the research performed by Shanahan, Scheufele, and Lee, and sent out in an online survey.

Q1: As you may know, some food products are being developed with the help of new scientific techniques. The general area is called "biotechnology" and includes tools such as genetic engineering. Biotechnology is also being used to improve crop plants. How much have you heard or read about biotechnology? Would you say you have read or heard...?

A great deal

Some

Not much

Not at all

Q2: How much would you say you know or understand about genetically modified foods?

A lot

Some

A little

Nothing, just heard term

Not aware at all

Q3: There is a growing debate over genetic engineering. Some people say it is good because it allows us to have greater control of the living organisms we share the world with--for example, to alter animals and vegetables so as to make food production more efficient. Others say it is harmful because we are tampering with nature's delicate balance and that there could be side effects that we never anticipated. Do you think that, on balance, the effect of genetic engineering will be beneficial, or that the effect will be harmful?

Benefits outweigh the risks

Risks outweigh the benefits

Mixed opinion

Not sure

Q4: All things being equal, how likely would you be to buy a variety of produce, like tomatoes or potatoes, if it had been modified by biotechnology to be protected from insect damage and required fewer pesticide applications?

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not too likely

Not at all likely

Q5: All things being equal, how likely would you be to buy a variety of produce, like tomatoes or potatoes, if it had been modified by biotechnology to taste better or fresher?

Very likely

Somewhat likely

Not too likely

Not at all likely

Q6: Do you think that the application of biotechnology tampers with God's creation?

Definitely disagree

Tend to disagree

Tend to agree

Definitely agree

Q7: How would you characterize your religious affiliation?

Christian

Muslim

Hindu

Spiritual

Buddhist

Atheist

Agnostic

I do not have a religious affiliation

Q8: What is your age?

18-29

30-41

41-52

53 or older

Q9: What is your sex?

Male

Female

Other

Q10:What would you say is your political ideology?

Conservative

Liberal

Neither

Other

Q11: What is your political affiliation?

Republican

Democrat

None

Other

Q12:What is your educational attainment thus far?

High School

Some college

Undergraduate degree

Graduate degree

Appendix B

Assessing Possible Relationships in the Acceptance of GMOs

Table B1

Educational Attainment and Acceptance of GMOs

Count

Do you think that, on balance, the effect of genetic engineering will be beneficial, or that the effect will be harmful?

Total

Benefits outweigh the risks

Mixed opinion

Not sure

Risks outweigh the benefits

What is your educational attainment thus far?

Graduate degree

3

9

2

12

26

High School

2

0

1

6

9

Some college

5

16

5

21

47

Undergraduate degree

5

11

4

19

39

Total

15

36

12

58

121

Table B2

Political Affiliation and Acceptance of GMOs

Count

Do you think that, on balance, the effect of genetic engineering will be beneficial, or that the effect will be harmful?

Total

Benefits outweigh the risks

Mixed opinion

Not sure

Risks outweigh the benefits

What is your political affiliation?

Democrat

3

7

4

8

22

None

7

18

3

19

47

Other

2

2

2

6

12

Republican

3

9

3

25

40

Total

15

36

12

58

121

Table B3

Political Ideology and Acceptance of GMOs

Count

Do you think that, on balance, the effect of genetic engineering will be beneficial, or that the effect will be harmful?

Total

Benefits outweigh the risks

Mixed opinion

Not sure

Risks outweigh the benefits

What would you say is your political ideology?

Conservative

4

11

4

26

45

Liberal

5

15

2

8

30

Neither

5

10

5

19

39

Other

1

0

1

5

7

Total

15

36

12

58

121

Table B4

Religious Affiliation and Acceptance of GMOs

Count

Do you think that, on balance, the effect of genetic engineering will be beneficial, or that the effect will be harmful?

Total

Benefits outweigh the risks

Mixed opinion

Not sure

Risks outweigh the benefits

How would you characterize your religious affiliation?

Agnostic

3

4

0

3

10

Atheist

0

0

0

1

1

Buddhist

0

1

0

0

1

Christian

10

25

11

46

92

I do not have a religious affiliation

2

5

1

6

14

Muslim

0

1

0

0

1

Spiritual

0

0

0

2

2

Total

15

36

12

58

121