Insurance company analysis

profileAnhdon
insurance_companies.pptx

INSURANCE COMPANIES

THE COMPANIES THAT MANAGE HAZARD AND LIFE RISK

PURPOSE OF INSURANCE

RISK TRANSFER FOR A FEE

COMPENSATE INDIVDUALS AND CORPORATIONS IF A PRESPECIFIED ADVERSE EVENT OCCURS IN EXCHANGE FOR A FEE (PREMIUM)

TWO BASIC CATEGORIES OF PROTECTION

LIFE

UNTIMELY DEATH, ILLNESS, OR RETIREMENT

PROPERTY AND CASUALTY

PERSONAL INJURY AND LIABILITY DUE TO ACCIDENTS, THEFT, FIRE, OR OTHER HAZARDS

LI COMPANIES MAY OFFER BOTH LIFE AND CASUALTY AND ALSO HAVE DIVERSIFIED INTO FINANCIAL SERVICES

MUTUAL FUNDS AND REAL ESTATE AND COMMERCIAL LENDING

FAILURE OF EXOTIC FORMS OF PROTECTION A PRIMARY EVENT IN THE CREDIT CRISIS OF 2008-2009

LIFE INSURANCE COMPANIES

CONSOLIDATION IN INDUSTRY SINCE 1988

FROM OVER 2,300 TO ABOUT 1,000 TODAY

10 LARGEST U.S. LIFE INSURERS:

RANK INSURANCE COMPANY ASSETS ($BILLIONS)
1 PRUDENTIAL OF AMERICA GROUP $764.1
2 METROPOLITAN LIFE $731.6
3 AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP $529.1
4 TIAA GROUP (not-for-profit stock corporation) $487.3
5 NEW YORK LIFE GROUP (mutual) $381.0
6 HARTFORD LIFE GROUP $247.1
7 STATE FARM INSURANCE (mutual) $224.7
8 LINCOLN FINANCIAL GROUP $223.2
9 NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL GROUP (mutual) $217.5
10 ING USA LIFE GROUP $187.3

COMPARATIVE GLOBAL ASSET SIZE

BANKS ARE MUCH LARGER IN COMPARISON BY ASSET SIZE

AMERICANS ARE THE MOST INSURED PEOPLE ON EARTH

RANK INSURANCE COMPANY ASSETS DOMICILE COMMERCIAL BANK ASSETS DOMICILE
1 AXA GROUP $1,043 INDUSTRIAL COMM’L BANK OF CHINA $3,182
2 PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL $ 764 USA HSBC HOLDINGS $2,758
3 METROPOLITAN $ 732 USA CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK $2,603
4 ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI $ 569 ITALY BNP PARIBAS $2,589
5 AIG $ 529 USA MITSUBISHI $2,509
6 TIAA-CREF $ 487 USA JP MORGAN CHASE $2,477
7 MANULIFE $ 468 AGR BANK OF CHINA $2,470
8 ZURICH INSURANCE $ 409 BANK OF CHINA $2,235
9 NEW YORK LIFE $ 381 USA CREDITE AGRICOLE $2,346
10 CHINA LIFE $ 326 CHINA BARCLAY’S PLC $2,267

LIFE INSURANCE: PROBLEM OF “ADVERSE SELECTION”

THOSE CUSTOMERS WHO APPLY FOR INSURANCE TEND TO BE THOSE MOST LIKELY AT RISK

INSURANCE COMPANIES CALCULATE PREMIUMS BASED ON PROBABILITY OF A CLAIM PLUS MARGIN

STATISTICAL PROBLEM IF MORE INSUREDS ENTER THE MARKET

ACTUARIES ARE THOSE WHO COMPILE PROBABILITIES OF CLAIM

BALANCE SHEETS – LIFE INSURANCE COMPANIES

ASSETS ($ billions)
BONDS $ 2,629.0 45.6%
PREFERRED STOCK $ 8.3 0.1%
COMMON STOCK $ 73.1 1.3%
MORTGAGE LOANS $ 345.4 6.0%
REAL ESTATE $ 21.7 0.4%
CONTRACT LOANS $ 130.4 2.3%
CASH & SHORT TERM INVESTMENTS $ 110.7 1.9%
OTHER INVESTED ASSETS $ 139.6 2.4%
PREMIUMS DUE $ 25.1 0.4%
ACCRUED INVESTMENT INCOME $ 34.6 0.6%
SEPARATE ACCOUNT ASSETS $ 2,069.8 35.9%
OTHER ASSETS $ 182.3 3.2%
TOTAL $ 5,770.0 100.0%
LIABILITIES
NEW POLICY RESERVES $ 2,605.0 45.1%
POLICY CLAIMS $ 43.3 0.8%
DEPOSIT-TYPE CONTRACTS $ 280.3 4.9%
OTHER LIABILITIES $ 435.8 7.6%
SEPARATE ACCOUNT BUSINESS $ 2,067.2 35.8%
TOTAL CAPITAL AND SURPLUS $ 338.4 5.9%
TOTAL $ 5,770.0 100.0%

BALANCE SHEETS – LIFE INSURANCE COMPANIES

LIABILITIES

ASSETS

NEW POLICY RESERVES POLICY CLAIMS DEPOSIT-TYPE CONTRACTS OTHER LIABILITIES SEPARATE ACCOUNT BUSINESS TOTAL CAPITAL AND SURPLUS 0.45147313691507801 7.5043327556325815E-3 4.8578856152512999E-2 7.5528596187175043E-2 0.35826689774696702 5.864818024263431E-2

BONDS PREFERRED STOCK COMMON STOCK MORTGAGE LOANS REAL ESTATE CONTRACT LOANS CASH & SHORT TERM INVESTMENTS OTHER INVESTED ASSETS PREMIUMS DUE ACCRUED INVESTMENT INCOME SEPARATE ACCOUNT ASSETS OTHER ASSETS 0.45563258232235704 1.4384748700173311E-3 1.266897746967071E-2 5.9861351819757359E-2 3.7608318890814557E-3 2.2599653379549393E-2 1.9185441941074525E-2 2.4194107452339686E-2 4.350086655112652E-3 5.9965337954939347E-3 0.35871750433275568 3.1594454072790296E-2

BALANCE SHEET DETAIL

THE NEED TO MATCH ASSETS WITH POTENTIAL CLAIM MATURITIES

IN GENERAL, LONG-TERM TO LONG-TERM

ASSETS

HEAVY INVESTMENT IN LONG-TERM CORPORATE BONDS AND U.S. T-BONDS

LOANS ESPECIALLY LOANS AGAINST INSURANCE POLICIES

LIABILITIES

POLICY RESERVES – EXPECTED ACTUARIAL-BASED FUTURE CLAIMS AGAINST POLICIES INCLUDING DEATH BENEFITS, ENDOWMENT VALUES, AND SURRENDER VALUE OF POLICIES

DEPOSIT-TYPE CONTRACTS SUCH AS ANNUITIES CERTAIN AND GIC

SEPARATE ACCOUNT BUSINESS – FUNDS INVESTED SEPARATELY FROM THE COMPANY’S OTHER ASSETS INCLUDING INVESTMENTS TO FUND ASSET FLUCTUATION RESERVES

The asset valuation reserve (AVR) absorbs both realized and unrealized, credit-related capital gains and losses. The AVR consists of a default component, which provides for credit-related losses on fixed-income assets, and an equity component, which provides for all types of equity investments.

8

INSURANCE COMPANY REGULATION

HISTORICALLY REGULATION ON STATE-BY-STATE BASIS

FEDERAL REGULATION POSSIBLE AFTER SUPREME COURT RULING United States v. South-Eastern Underwriters Association

McCARRAN-FERGUSON ACT 1945 UPHOLDS STATE REGULATORY CONTROL

INSURANCE COMPANY INSOLVENCIES – MID 1970’s TO 1980’S

NAIC – ESTABLISHED BASIC CAPITALIZATION AND LIQUIDITY STANDARDS

GRAMM-LEACH-BLILEY ACT 1999 – SET UNIFORM MINIMUM CAPITAL STANDARDS

DODD-FRANK ACT 2010 – ESTABLISHED CERTAIN CONSUMER PROTECTIONS

United States v. South-Eastern Underwriters Association (1944), holding that insurance was subject to certain federal legislation such as the federal antitrust statute. Narrow ruling opened the door to federal regulation.

The McCarran-Ferguson Act specifically provides that the regulation of the business of insurance by the state governments is in the public interest. Further, the Act states that no federal law should be construed to invalidate, impair or supersede any law enacted by any state government for the purpose of regulating the business of insurance, unless the federal law specifically relates to the business of insurance.

9

PROPERTY-CASUALTY INSURANCE COMPANIES

RANK COMPANY REVENUE DOMICILE
1 BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY $ 143,688 USA
2 ALLIANZ $ 134,168 GERMANY
3 MUNICH RE GROUP $ 90,137 GERMANY
4 AIG $ 71,730 USA
5 STATE FARM INSURANCE COMPANIES $ 64,305 USA
6 ZURICH INSURANCE GROUP $ 52,983 SWITZERLAND
7 MS & D INS GROUP HOLDINGS $ 47,684 JAPAN
8 TOKYO MARINE HOLDINGS $ 43,264 JAPAN
9 PEOPLE'S INS COMPANY OF CHINA $ 36,549 CHINA
10 NKSJ HOLDINGS $ 35,343 JAPAN
RANK COMPANY REVENUE
1 BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY $ 143,688
2 AIG $ 71,730
3 STATE FARM INSURANCE COMPANIES $ 64,305
4 LIBERTY MUTUAL $ 34,671
5 ALLSTATE $ 32,654
6 NATIONWIDE $ 30,698
7 TRAVELERS COMPANIES $ 25,446
8 HARTFORD FINANCIAL SERVICES $ 21,918
9 USAA $ 19,036
10 PROGRESSIVE $ 15,508

LARGEST U.S. PROPERTY-CASUALTY INSURERS

LARGEST GLOBAL PROPERTY-CASUALTY INSURERS

BALANCE SHEETS – P & C INSURANCE COMPANIES

SIMILAR CAPITAL STRUCTURE TO LIFE INSURERS BUT WITH LARGER PROPORTION OF COMMON STOCKS HELD AS ASSETS

BALANCE SHEETS – P & C INSURANCE COMPANIES

ASSETS

LIABILITIES AND SURPLUS

12

INVESTED ASSETS NET DEFERRED TAXES RE-INSURANCE PREMIUM BALANCE ACCRUED INTEREST ALL OTHER ASSETS 0.84389782403027436 1.7561494796594135E-2 2.749526963103122E-2 8.1066698202459792E-2 6.0312204351939446E-3 2.3947492904446546E-2

LOSSES AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES UNEARNED PREMIUMS OTHER LIABILITIES POLICYHOLDER'S SURPLUS 0.37677388836329234 0.127128666 0359508 0.13451986754966888 0.36157757805108798

BALANCE SHEET DETAIL

ASSETS

SHORTER TERM BONDS – COINCIDE WITH UNDERWRITING RISK

OVER 70% IN BONDS AND SECURITES, WITH THE VAST MAJORITY IN BONDS

REINSURANCE – ESSENTIALLY, INSURANCE ON INSURANCE

LIABILITIES

ALMOST 40% - LOSS RESERVES

UNEARNED PREMIUMS – PREMIUMS PAID AT THE START OF THE COVERAGE PERIOD AND BEFORE COVERAGE HAS STARTED

POLICYHOLDER’S SURPLUS (ALSO KNOWN AS CAPITAL SURPLUS) – EXTRA LIQUIDITY IN EVENT F CATASTROPHIC AND UNUSUAL CLAIMS

P & C INSURER RISKS

FREQUENCY OF LOSS - PROBABILITY OF LOSS

SEVERITY OF LOSS - SIZE OF LOSS

LONG-TAIL LOSS

LOSSES THAT OCCUR YEARS AFTER COVERAGE LAPSE, BUT FOR WHICH LIABILITY IS ESTABLISHED FOR A PRIOD DURING WHICH COVERAGE EXISTED

SHORT-TAIL LOSS – LOSSES OCCURING DURING COVERAGE

LOSS RATIOS MEASURE ACTUAL LOSSES RELATIVE TO PREMIUMS EARNED PER LINE

COMBINED RATIO MEASURES ACTUAL LOSSES PLUS COMMISSION COSTS ACROSS ALL LINES RELATIVE TO ALL PREMIUMS EARNED ACROSS ALL LINES

LOSS RATIO OF < 100% MEANS PREMIUMS WERE SUFFICIENT TO COVER LOSSES. HISTORICALLY, LOSS RATIOS HAVE BEEN RISING.

14

INSURER SOLVENCY

RATIOS OF LESS THAN 100% SHOW MARGIN IN EXCESS OF CLAIMS LOSSES

LOSS RATIO =

RL = AMOUNT OF LOSSES PAID / AMOUNT OF PREMIUMS EARNED

EXPENSE RATIO =

RE = POLICY EXPENSES / AMOUNT OF LOSSES PAID

COMBINED RATIO =

RC = LR + ER + DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO (IF ANY)

COMBINED RATIO AFTER DIVIDENDS IS A MEASURE OF THE INSURER’S OVERALL PROFITABILITY

OPERATING RATIO =

RO = RC – INVESTMENT YIELD (IN %)

ASSETSLIABILITIES & CAPITAL SURPLUS

INVESTED ASSETS1,427.2$ 84.4%LOSSES AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES637.2$ 37.7%

BONDS940.6$ 55.6%UNEARNED PREMIUMS215.0$ 12.7%

PREFERRED STOCKS11.9$ 0.7%OTHER LIABILITIES227.5$ 13.5%

COMMON STOCKS256.9$ 15.2%

REAL ESTATE16.1$ 1.0%POLICYHOLDER'S SURPLUS611.5$ 36.2%

CASH & SHORT-TERM INVESTMENTS85.8$ 5.1%CAPITAL AND ASSIGNED SURPLUS251.9$ 14.9%

OTHER INVESTED ASSETS115.9$ 6.9%SURPLUS NOTES12.6$ 0.7%

NET DEFERRED TAXES29.7$ 1.8%UNASSIGNED SURPLUS347.0$ 20.5%

RE-INSURANCE46.5$ 2.7%

PREMIUM BALANCE137.1$ 8.1%

ACCRUED INTEREST10.2$ 0.6%

ALL OTHER ASSETS40.5$ 2.4%

TOTAL1,691.2$ 100.0%TOTAL1,691.2$ 100.0%

Sheet1

PROPERTY-CASUALTY INSURANCE INDUSTRY BALANCE SHEET ($ billions)
ASSETS LIABILITIES & CAPITAL SURPLUS
INVESTED ASSETS $ 1,427.2 84.4% LOSSES AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES $ 637.2 37.7%
BONDS $ 940.6 55.6% UNEARNED PREMIUMS $ 215.0 12.7%
PREFERRED STOCKS $ 11.9 0.7% OTHER LIABILITIES $ 227.5 13.5%
COMMON STOCKS $ 256.9 15.2%
REAL ESTATE $ 16.1 1.0% POLICYHOLDER'S SURPLUS $ 611.5 36.2%
CASH & SHORT-TERM INVESTMENTS $ 85.8 5.1% CAPITAL AND ASSIGNED SURPLUS $ 251.9 14.9%
OTHER INVESTED ASSETS $ 115.9 6.9% SURPLUS NOTES $ 12.6 0.7%
NET DEFERRED TAXES $ 29.7 1.8% UNASSIGNED SURPLUS $ 347.0 20.5%
RE-INSURANCE $ 46.5 2.7%
PREMIUM BALANCE $ 137.1 8.1%
ACCRUED INTEREST $ 10.2 0.6%
ALL OTHER ASSETS $ 40.5 2.4%
TOTAL $ 1,691.2 100.0% TOTAL $ 1,691.2 100.0%