FIN571 Foundations of Corporate Finance WEEK 6 ASSIGNMENT Working Capital Simulation

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phases.zip

Phase 1.docx

Decisions Phase 1: 2013 - 2015

SNC is considering working with Nutrilife on a half-size contract for its herbal nutraceutical product line, with an incremental sales benefit to the top line of $2 million (a one-time 20% increase). In addition, Ayurveda Naturals, the India-based supplier of herbs for the Nutrilife contract, is offering very favorable payment terms: 2/30 net 60. In other words, SNC could lower its accounts payable liability to $153,000 by paying Ayurveda Naturals within 30 days, thereby realizing a 2% discount on raw materials.

SNC is considering an opportunity to add Atlantic Wellness, a large, successful health food chain as a new corporate customer for its herbal nutraceutical product line. Taking on this customer would immediately increase SNC's sales by $4 million per year (a one-time increase of 40%) and EBIT by $260,000. The profit margins and net working capital terms would remain the same as for SNC's existing business.

SNC is considering evaluating the payment profile of its customer base, especially focusing on customers who are chronically delinquent in paying invoices. Super Sports Centers-a national, mall-based, upscale fitness network and a key SNC customer (accounting for 20% of SNC's overall sales)-routinely takes almost 200 days to pay its invoices. That far exceeds the 90-day average collection period for SNC's other customers. If SNC drops Super Sports Centers from its customer base, sales will decrease by $2 million. However, the cash-flow measure of days sales outstanding (DSO) will quickly improve.

Sunflower Nutraceuticals is planning to review the order frequency of individual products through stock-keeping units (SKUs) over the last 12 months. Although Sunflower carries over 100 different SKUs, certain types of products ─such as vitamins for specific life stages, less popular herbs, and other products ─are not everyday purchases for most consumers, so those items take up space in the physical inventory but have a low turnover. If Sunflower eliminates these slower-moving items from the inventory, the companys sales will decrease by $1 million and EBIT will decrease by $65,000. Reducing the size of Sunflowers overall product offerings will lower the Days Sales of Inventory (DSI) to a more desirable 86 days. These changes are reflected in the assumptions provided below.

Phase 1: 2013 - 2015 Synopsis

You selected Acquire a New Customer, Leverage Supplier Discount, and Drop Poorly Selling Products and declined Tighten Accounts Receivable . Below is a synopsis of how each opportunity affected your Working Capital and Cash Flow.

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Acquire a New Customer

Taking on Atlantic Wellness as a new customer increased sales significantly but resulted in higher accounts receivable and inventory balances.

Revenue'13'14'1503K5K

Opportunity EBIT'13'14'150200400

Opportunity Free Cash Flow'13'14'150-2K-1K1K

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Leverage Supplier Discount

Selling its herbal nutraceutical line to Nutrilife enabled meaningful top-line growth. While this growth increased both the accounts receivable and inventory balances, the drain on cash flow was partially offset by increased EBIT due to the favorable contract negotiated with Ayurveda Naturals.

Revenue'13'14'1501K2K

Opportunity EBIT'13'14'150100200

Opportunity Free Cash Flow'13'14'150-1K-500500

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Drop Poorly Selling Products

Although reducing the number of SKUs that SNC carries in its product offering did have a negative impact on sales volume, the amount of cash tied up in inventory decreased significantly as a result of streamlining the SKU count

Revenue'13'14'150-1K-500

Opportunity EBIT'13'14'150-100-50

Opportunity Free Cash Flow'13'14'150-250250500

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Phase 2.docx

Decisions Phase 2: 2016 - 2018

SNC is seriously considering establishing a distribution partnership with the big-box retailer Mega-Mart, which has 2,000 stores across the United States. This opportunity could bring promising growth to SNC's top line over next three years: a 25% increase in sales in 2016, plus additional cumulative increases of 10% in 2017 and another 5% in 2018. However, because Mega-Mart uses its national, volume-based purchasing power to negotiate lower prices, the overall margins for SNC will drop from 6.5% to 6%. Nevertheless, Mega-Mart pays its invoices very promptly, which would benefit SNC by reducing DSO for the whole company by 3 days in the first year (2016) and by an additional 2 days in 2017 and beyond, for a total improvement of 5 days. Thus, the DSO will be 5 days lower than what it was at start of 2016. Going forward, the DSO would stay at this lower level.

SNC has its own, modest internet-based business. However, the company has been approached by Golden Years Nutraceuticals, a much larger online distributor of third-party brands with connections to a national healthcare website endorsed by a leading senior advocacy association. Therefore, Golden Years reaches a large-and increasing-consumer base of older Americans. This opportunity would generate an additional 10% increase in sales in 2016, followed by increases of 5% in 2017 and 3% in 2018. Increasing the percentage of SNC's business that is conducted online would decrease DSO, because internet sales are collected very quickly. Accounts receivable would decrease by 7 days in the first year and by an additional 3 days in 2017, for a total improvement of 10 days. In 2018, the DSO would decline by another 2 days-in effect, 12 days lower than at the start of 2016. Going forward, the DSO would stay at this lower level and SNC's profit margin would remain unchanged.

Impressed by SNC's success with developing private-label products, Fountain of Youth Spas, a California-based network of exclusive day spas, has approached SNC with its own private-label product-line request. Fountain of Youth Spas would like SNC to develop a high-end, organic, age-defying nutraceutical line that spa beauticians could offer to well-heeled clientele. Overall sales would increase by 5% in 2016-and by a cumulative 4% in 2017 and 3% in 2018. This project would definitely increase SNC's overall margin by 2% but would also increase both DSO and DSI.

Phase 2: 2016 - 2018 Synopsis

You selected Pursue Big-Box Distribution, Expand Online Presence, and Develop a Private-Label Product and declined no opportunities  . Below is a synopsis of how each opportunity affected your Working Capital and Cash Flow.

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Pursue Big-Box Distribution

Taking on Mega- Mart Inc. as a customer resulted in impressive top-line growth but the company's EBIT margin declined.

Revenue'16'17'1805K10K

Opportunity EBIT'16'17'180200400

Opportunity Free Cash Flow'16'17'180-2K-1K

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Expand Online Presence

Expanding SNC's presence in online retail increased sales with little negative impact on working capital balances.

Revenue'16'17'1802K4K

Opportunity EBIT'16'17'180100200

Opportunity Free Cash Flow'16'17'180-400-200200

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Develop a Private-Label Product

Selling the private label product to Fountain of Youth Spas increased SNC's EBIT margin, only modestly resulting in increased accounts receivable and inventory balances.

Revenue'16'17'1801K2K

Opportunity EBIT'16'17'180250500

Opportunity Free Cash Flow'16'17'180-500-250250

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Phase 3.docx

Decisions Phase 3: 2019 - 2021

SNC is considering an opportunity to add a large customer, Midwest Miracles, a recently launched weight-loss center that is in a precarious financial situation because its entrepreneurial founder took on a significant debt burden. Acquiring Midwest Miracles would allow SNC to increase sales by 30% in 2019. Some analysts have forecasted a 20% probability that Midwest Miracles will declare bankruptcy, and they estimate a recovery rate for suppliers of 50%. Midwest Miracles would be willing to pay significantly higher prices for SNC's products, which can increase the EBIT margin of the whole company by almost 1%. However, Midwest Miracles is likely to take a longer-than-average time to pay its invoices. Therefore, SNC's DSO is likely to increase significantly-by 190 days.

One of SNC's main vendors is Dynasty Enterprises, based in China. Dynasty has offered SNC very advantageous payment terms: 2/10 net 30. This could reduce SNC's cost of sales by an incremental $200,000 and its accounts payable by an incremental $812,000 depending on choices made in prior phases. SNC uses this opportunity to inquire about renegotiating credit terms with its other suppliers. Most of the suppliers respond favorably, similarly offering a 3% discount for payment within 10 days, as they do not want to lose out on SNC's business.

SNC is considering adding to its client base Viva Familia, a family-oriented vitamin retail chain with medium-size outlets in most metropolitan areas in Latin America and only a few non-local brands. Therefore, SNC could distribute only a small, lower-priced selection of its product line to this company. This would provide SNC with a moderate increase in initial sales volume (an incremental rise of 3%), but the margins would be similar to those for the existing business. Because Viva Familia is willing to pay upon delivery of SNC's shipment of goods at ports, the DSO measure is essentially equivalent to the time for transit, thereby reducing SNC's overall DSO by almost 2 days. However, it would cause a minor DSI increase of 2 days.

Phase 3: 2019 - 2021 Synopsis

You selected Renegotiate Supplier Credit Terms, and Adopt a Global Expansion Strategy and declined Acquire a High-Risk Customer . Below is a synopsis of how each opportunity affected your Working Capital and Cash Flow.

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Renegotiate Supplier Credit Terms

SNC's ability to renegotiate payment terms with Dynasty Enterprises resulted in a significantly lower accounts payable balance and improved margin.

Revenue'19'20'210

Opportunity EBIT'19'20'210250500750

Opportunity Free Cash Flow'19'20'210-2K-1K1K

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Adopt a Global Expansion Strategy

Taking on Viva Familia as a new customer helped SNC grow its top line with a very modest increase in cash tied up in inventory.

Revenue'19'20'2101K2K

Opportunity EBIT'19'20'210100200

Opportunity Free Cash Flow'19'20'210-500-250250

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Phase 4.docx

Congratulations!

You've successfully completed the simulation.

Here are your final metrics:

· Sales: $28,250

· EBIT: $2,680

· Net Income: $1,454

· Free Cash Flow: $1,608

· Equity Value: $1,978

· Total Firm Value: $4,522

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