Krispy kreme assignment for HIFSA SHAUKAT

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ch01krispykremecase.doc

The Hole Story: How Krispy Kreme became the hottest brand in America. If you've never sampled a Krispy Kreme, we should get one thing straight: These doughnuts—particularly the original glazed served hot—are amazingly good. They are loved equally by 5-year-olds and 75-year-olds; by whites, blacks, Asians, and Hispanics; by New Englanders and Southerners; by Californians and New Yorkers.

Sure, Krispy Kreme is still relatively small compared to Dunkin' Donuts. But, boy, does it have oomph. There's the power of the Krispy Kreme brand. No, it's not as recognizable as Coke or McDonald's—yet. Still, despite the fact that it is a fraction of the size of those icons and spends zilch on national advertising, the company's retro red, white, and green logo is rapidly becoming part of American popular culture.

No question that Krispy Kreme is hot, but is the company for real? Is it a great American growth story or merely a culinary flash in the pan? Those are not idle questions. Not for the many folks who have been hired by the company over the past three years, nor for the companies that supply Krispy Kreme, nor for those who have invested in its yeasty stock. But the question of Krispy Kreme's viability touches on something more significant than all that. It has to do with the American dream. It may seem grimly amusing that in a time of economic pain, corporate scandals, and troubles overseas, this company should be growing so explosively. But the Krispy Kreme story is about far more than comfort food—the company's wild success in this hard environment is a tale of shrewdness and original thinking. The man behind Krispy Kreme's dramatic ascent is its CEO, Scott Livengood (pronounced Saturday Night Live-ngood). Livengood, 50, has seen just about everything. Yes, he's at the helm of a high-end growth company, but to hear him tell it, his job is actually easier now. "Running a public company growing like this—that's nothing," he says. "I'm enjoying myself." The Krispy Kreme faithful have gathered for the company's annual meeting in the Adam's Mark Hotel. Before long, Livengood marches through the company's financial vitals. Then the fun begins. Livengood gives a year's supply of doughnuts to the oldest and to the youngest attending shareholders, and to the shareholder who has traveled the farthest (from Finland). But he spends even more time talking about the company's charitable works and, in long citations, singles out six employees who've helped their churches, Little Leagues, and communities. To the folks at Krispy Kreme, this isn't just about doughnuts; it's a calling.

Krispy Kreme brings in money three ways. It makes 65% of its revenue selling doughnuts directly to the public through its company-owned stores. Another 31% of its sales come from selling flour mix, doughnut-making machines, and sundry doughnut supplies to its 186 franchised stores. And it gets about 4% of its revenue from franchisee licenses and fees. The company also provides millions of doughnuts at a discount to charitable organizations, which then sell them for fundraising. It's hard to think of a brand that's been in more movies and TV shows—How to Lose a Guy in Ten Days, Bruce Almighty, The Sopranos, Will & Grace—than Krispy Kreme this decade. "This is a marketing company," says Bowles. "Scott Livengood once told me if a finance guy ever gets a hold of Krispy Kreme, sell every share."

Krispy Kreme's IPO in April 2000—right at the peak of the tech boom—has been a sweet success. The stock ended the first day of trading at $9.25, split adjusted, and today sells for $37 and change. That's up four times, while the market is off some 30% during the same period. Not that there haven't been a few bumps in the road. The company got major grief for entering into a $35 million lease to fund the new Illinois mixing plant back in 2001. This off-balance-sheet financing raised eyebrows during the days of Enronitis, and the company terminated the lease a year later. There have also been governance problems, like partnerships that allowed company management to invest in its stores, not enough outside directors, and loans to managers. (Those issues have since been rectified.) And Livengood has been criticized for selling some $15 million of company stock since the IPO.

Whether you think Krispy Kreme is a buy or a sell at $27 or $37 or $57, here's the thing: unless the fat police run riot across this land, Krispy Kreme is here to stay. It isn't some fly-by-night dot-com. There's 66 years of history here. It's a product that people not only love but understand. The world is always filled with unknowns, never more so than right now. With all that's wrong out there, sometimes it's easy to lose focus on the big picture. So take a second and ask yourself: Is the American dream still alive? Is Krispy Kreme for real?

KRISPY KREME DOUGHNUTS INC

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

Sales

180.880

220.243

300.715

394.354

491.549

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

Cost of Goods Sold

157.641

188.903

250.690

316.946

381.489

87.2%

85.8%

83.4%

80.4%

77.6%

Gross Profit

23.239

31.340

50.025

77.408

110.060

12.8%

14.2%

16.6%

19.6%

22.4%

SG&A

10.897

14.856

20.061

27.562

28.897

6.0%

6.7%

6.7%

7.0%

5.9%

Operating Income Before Depreciation

12.342

16.484

29.964

49.846

81.163

6.8%

7.5%

10.0%

12.6%

16.5%

Depreciation & Amortization

4.278

4.546

6.457

7.959

12.271

2.4%

2.1%

2.1%

2.0%

2.5%

Operating Profit

8.064

11.938

23.507

41.887

68.892

4.5%

5.4%

7.8%

10.6%

14.0%

Interest Expense

1.507

1.525

0.607

0.337

1.781

0.8%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%

0.4%

Non-Operating Income/Expense

-11.836

-0.807

0.883

0.996

-12.338

-0.065

-0.004

0.008

0.008

-0.016

Pretax Income

-5.279

9.606

23.783

42.546

54.773

-2.9%

4.4%

8.1%

11.1%

11.6%

Total Income Taxes

-2.112

3.650

9.058

16.168

21.295

-1.2%

1.7%

3.0%

4.1%

4.3%

Net Income

-3.167

5.956

14.725

26.378

33.478

-1.8%

2.7%

4.9%

6.7%

6.8%

KRISPY KREME DOUGHNUTS INC

ASSETS

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

Cash & Equivalents

4.313

3.183

25.129

37.196

55.179

4.6%

3.0%

14.7%

14.6%

13.4%

Net Receivables

15.607

21.228

24.733

41.216

48.282

16.7%

20.2%

14.4%

16.1%

11.8%

Inventories

9.886

9.979

12.031

16.159

24.365

10.6%

9.5%

7.0%

6.3%

5.9%

Prepaid Expenses

1.529

3.148

1.909

2.591

3.478

1.6%

3.0%

1.1%

1.0%

0.8%

Other Current Assets

2.445

3.500

3.809

4.607

9.824

2.6%

3.3%

2.2%

1.8%

2.4%

Total Current Assets

33.780

41.038

67.611

101.769

141.128

36.2%

39.1%

39.4%

39.9%

34.4%

Gross Plant, Property & Equipment

82.353

93.243

116.896

156.484

252.770

88.3%

88.8%

68.2%

61.3%

61.6%

Accumulated Depreciation

28.778

32.659

38.556

43.907

50.212

30.8%

31.1%

22.5%

17.2%

12.2%

Net Plant, Property & Equipment

53.575

60.584

78.340

112.577

202.558

57.4%

57.7%

45.7%

44.1%

49.3%

Long Term Investments

0.000

0.000

22.572

16.100

11.215

0.0%

0.0%

13.2%

6.3%

2.7%

Intangibles

0.000

0.000

0.000

16.621

48.703

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

6.5%

11.9%

Other Assets

5.957

3.336

2.970

8.309

6.883

6.4%

3.2%

1.7%

3.3%

1.7%

TOTAL ASSETS

93.312

104.958

171.493

255.376

410.487

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

LIABILITIES

Current Portion of Long term Debt

2.400

2.400

0.000

0.731

3.301

2.6%

2.3%

0.0%

0.3%

0.8%

Notes Payable

0.000

0.000

3.526

12.978

12.275

0.0%

0.0%

2.1%

5.1%

3.0%

Accounts Payable

11.536

13.106

14.697

12.095

14.055

12.4%

12.5%

8.6%

4.7%

3.4%

Taxes Payable

1.155

0.000

0.041

0.000

0.000

1.2%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Accrued Expenses

8.784

14.080

17.862

24.647

19.496

9.4%

13.4%

10.4%

9.7%

4.7%

Other Current Liabilities

1.518

0.000

2.042

2.082

10.560

1.6%

0.0%

1.2%

0.8%

2.6%

Total Current Liabilities

25.393

29.586

38.168

52.533

59.687

27.2%

28.2%

22.3%

20.6%

14.5%

Long Term Debt

18.620

20.502

0.000

3.912

57.188

20.0%

19.5%

0.0%

1.5%

13.9%

Other Long term Liabilities

25.672

27.617

7.646

15.176

77.448

27.5%

26.3%

4.5%

5.9%

18.9%

EQUITY

Common Stock

4.670

4.670

85.060

121.052

173.112

5.0%

4.4%

49.6%

47.4%

42.2%

Capital Surplus

8.706

8.258

0.000

-0.186

-0.119

9.3%

7.9%

0.0%

-0.1%

-0.0%

Retained Earnings

28.871

34.827

40.619

66.801

100.359

30.9%

33.2%

23.7%

26.2%

24.4%

Common Equity

42.247

47.755

125.679

187.667

273.352

45.3%

45.5%

73.3%

73.5%

66.6%

TOTAL EQUITY

42.247

47.755

125.679

187.667

273.352

45.3%

45.5%

73.3%

73.5%

66.6%

TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY

93.312

104.958

171.493

255.376

410.487

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

Total Employees (000)

@NA

3,016

3,200

3,632

3,913

COMMON SHARES OUTSTANDING

1.868

1.868

51.832

54.271

56.295