Krispy kreme assignment for HIFSA SHAUKAT
The Hole Story: How Krispy Kreme became the hottest brand in America. If you've never sampled a Krispy Kreme, we should get one thing straight: These doughnuts—particularly the original glazed served hot—are amazingly good. They are loved equally by 5-year-olds and 75-year-olds; by whites, blacks, Asians, and Hispanics; by New Englanders and Southerners; by Californians and New Yorkers.
Sure, Krispy Kreme is still relatively small compared to Dunkin' Donuts. But, boy, does it have oomph. There's the power of the Krispy Kreme brand. No, it's not as recognizable as Coke or McDonald's—yet. Still, despite the fact that it is a fraction of the size of those icons and spends zilch on national advertising, the company's retro red, white, and green logo is rapidly becoming part of American popular culture.
No question that Krispy Kreme is hot, but is the company for real? Is it a great American growth story or merely a culinary flash in the pan? Those are not idle questions. Not for the many folks who have been hired by the company over the past three years, nor for the companies that supply Krispy Kreme, nor for those who have invested in its yeasty stock. But the question of Krispy Kreme's viability touches on something more significant than all that. It has to do with the American dream. It may seem grimly amusing that in a time of economic pain, corporate scandals, and troubles overseas, this company should be growing so explosively. But the Krispy Kreme story is about far more than comfort food—the company's wild success in this hard environment is a tale of shrewdness and original thinking. The man behind Krispy Kreme's dramatic ascent is its CEO, Scott Livengood (pronounced Saturday Night Live-ngood). Livengood, 50, has seen just about everything. Yes, he's at the helm of a high-end growth company, but to hear him tell it, his job is actually easier now. "Running a public company growing like this—that's nothing," he says. "I'm enjoying myself." The Krispy Kreme faithful have gathered for the company's annual meeting in the Adam's Mark Hotel. Before long, Livengood marches through the company's financial vitals. Then the fun begins. Livengood gives a year's supply of doughnuts to the oldest and to the youngest attending shareholders, and to the shareholder who has traveled the farthest (from Finland). But he spends even more time talking about the company's charitable works and, in long citations, singles out six employees who've helped their churches, Little Leagues, and communities. To the folks at Krispy Kreme, this isn't just about doughnuts; it's a calling.
Krispy Kreme brings in money three ways. It makes 65% of its revenue selling doughnuts directly to the public through its company-owned stores. Another 31% of its sales come from selling flour mix, doughnut-making machines, and sundry doughnut supplies to its 186 franchised stores. And it gets about 4% of its revenue from franchisee licenses and fees. The company also provides millions of doughnuts at a discount to charitable organizations, which then sell them for fundraising. It's hard to think of a brand that's been in more movies and TV shows—How to Lose a Guy in Ten Days, Bruce Almighty, The Sopranos, Will & Grace—than Krispy Kreme this decade. "This is a marketing company," says Bowles. "Scott Livengood once told me if a finance guy ever gets a hold of Krispy Kreme, sell every share."
Krispy Kreme's IPO in April 2000—right at the peak of the tech boom—has been a sweet success. The stock ended the first day of trading at $9.25, split adjusted, and today sells for $37 and change. That's up four times, while the market is off some 30% during the same period. Not that there haven't been a few bumps in the road. The company got major grief for entering into a $35 million lease to fund the new Illinois mixing plant back in 2001. This off-balance-sheet financing raised eyebrows during the days of Enronitis, and the company terminated the lease a year later. There have also been governance problems, like partnerships that allowed company management to invest in its stores, not enough outside directors, and loans to managers. (Those issues have since been rectified.) And Livengood has been criticized for selling some $15 million of company stock since the IPO.
Whether you think Krispy Kreme is a buy or a sell at $27 or $37 or $57, here's the thing: unless the fat police run riot across this land, Krispy Kreme is here to stay. It isn't some fly-by-night dot-com. There's 66 years of history here. It's a product that people not only love but understand. The world is always filled with unknowns, never more so than right now. With all that's wrong out there, sometimes it's easy to lose focus on the big picture. So take a second and ask yourself: Is the American dream still alive? Is Krispy Kreme for real?
|
KRISPY KREME DOUGHNUTS INC |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
|
Sales |
180.880 |
220.243 |
300.715 |
394.354 |
491.549 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
|
Cost of Goods Sold |
157.641 |
188.903 |
250.690 |
316.946 |
381.489 |
87.2% |
85.8% |
83.4% |
80.4% |
77.6% |
|
Gross Profit |
23.239 |
31.340 |
50.025 |
77.408 |
110.060 |
12.8% |
14.2% |
16.6% |
19.6% |
22.4% |
|
SG&A |
10.897 |
14.856 |
20.061 |
27.562 |
28.897 |
6.0% |
6.7% |
6.7% |
7.0% |
5.9% |
|
Operating Income Before Depreciation |
12.342 |
16.484 |
29.964 |
49.846 |
81.163 |
6.8% |
7.5% |
10.0% |
12.6% |
16.5% |
|
Depreciation & Amortization |
4.278 |
4.546 |
6.457 |
7.959 |
12.271 |
2.4% |
2.1% |
2.1% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
|
Operating Profit |
8.064 |
11.938 |
23.507 |
41.887 |
68.892 |
4.5% |
5.4% |
7.8% |
10.6% |
14.0% |
|
Interest Expense |
1.507 |
1.525 |
0.607 |
0.337 |
1.781 |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
Non-Operating Income/Expense |
-11.836 |
-0.807 |
0.883 |
0.996 |
-12.338 |
-0.065 |
-0.004 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
-0.016 |
|
Pretax Income |
-5.279 |
9.606 |
23.783 |
42.546 |
54.773 |
-2.9% |
4.4% |
8.1% |
11.1% |
11.6% |
|
Total Income Taxes |
-2.112 |
3.650 |
9.058 |
16.168 |
21.295 |
-1.2% |
1.7% |
3.0% |
4.1% |
4.3% |
|
Net Income |
-3.167 |
5.956 |
14.725 |
26.378 |
33.478 |
-1.8% |
2.7% |
4.9% |
6.7% |
6.8% |
|
KRISPY KREME DOUGHNUTS INC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ASSETS |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
|
Cash & Equivalents |
4.313 |
3.183 |
25.129 |
37.196 |
55.179 |
4.6% |
3.0% |
14.7% |
14.6% |
13.4% |
|
Net Receivables |
15.607 |
21.228 |
24.733 |
41.216 |
48.282 |
16.7% |
20.2% |
14.4% |
16.1% |
11.8% |
|
Inventories |
9.886 |
9.979 |
12.031 |
16.159 |
24.365 |
10.6% |
9.5% |
7.0% |
6.3% |
5.9% |
|
Prepaid Expenses |
1.529 |
3.148 |
1.909 |
2.591 |
3.478 |
1.6% |
3.0% |
1.1% |
1.0% |
0.8% |
|
Other Current Assets |
2.445 |
3.500 |
3.809 |
4.607 |
9.824 |
2.6% |
3.3% |
2.2% |
1.8% |
2.4% |
|
Total Current Assets |
33.780 |
41.038 |
67.611 |
101.769 |
141.128 |
36.2% |
39.1% |
39.4% |
39.9% |
34.4% |
|
Gross Plant, Property & Equipment |
82.353 |
93.243 |
116.896 |
156.484 |
252.770 |
88.3% |
88.8% |
68.2% |
61.3% |
61.6% |
|
Accumulated Depreciation |
28.778 |
32.659 |
38.556 |
43.907 |
50.212 |
30.8% |
31.1% |
22.5% |
17.2% |
12.2% |
|
Net Plant, Property & Equipment |
53.575 |
60.584 |
78.340 |
112.577 |
202.558 |
57.4% |
57.7% |
45.7% |
44.1% |
49.3% |
|
Long Term Investments |
0.000 |
0.000 |
22.572 |
16.100 |
11.215 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
13.2% |
6.3% |
2.7% |
|
Intangibles |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
16.621 |
48.703 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
6.5% |
11.9% |
|
Other Assets |
5.957 |
3.336 |
2.970 |
8.309 |
6.883 |
6.4% |
3.2% |
1.7% |
3.3% |
1.7% |
|
TOTAL ASSETS |
93.312 |
104.958 |
171.493 |
255.376 |
410.487 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
|
LIABILITIES |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current Portion of Long term Debt |
2.400 |
2.400 |
0.000 |
0.731 |
3.301 |
2.6% |
2.3% |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
Notes Payable |
0.000 |
0.000 |
3.526 |
12.978 |
12.275 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
2.1% |
5.1% |
3.0% |
|
Accounts Payable |
11.536 |
13.106 |
14.697 |
12.095 |
14.055 |
12.4% |
12.5% |
8.6% |
4.7% |
3.4% |
|
Taxes Payable |
1.155 |
0.000 |
0.041 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
1.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
|
Accrued Expenses |
8.784 |
14.080 |
17.862 |
24.647 |
19.496 |
9.4% |
13.4% |
10.4% |
9.7% |
4.7% |
|
Other Current Liabilities |
1.518 |
0.000 |
2.042 |
2.082 |
10.560 |
1.6% |
0.0% |
1.2% |
0.8% |
2.6% |
|
Total Current Liabilities |
25.393 |
29.586 |
38.168 |
52.533 |
59.687 |
27.2% |
28.2% |
22.3% |
20.6% |
14.5% |
|
Long Term Debt |
18.620 |
20.502 |
0.000 |
3.912 |
57.188 |
20.0% |
19.5% |
0.0% |
1.5% |
13.9% |
|
Other Long term Liabilities |
25.672 |
27.617 |
7.646 |
15.176 |
77.448 |
27.5% |
26.3% |
4.5% |
5.9% |
18.9% |
|
EQUITY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common Stock |
4.670 |
4.670 |
85.060 |
121.052 |
173.112 |
5.0% |
4.4% |
49.6% |
47.4% |
42.2% |
|
Capital Surplus |
8.706 |
8.258 |
0.000 |
-0.186 |
-0.119 |
9.3% |
7.9% |
0.0% |
-0.1% |
-0.0% |
|
Retained Earnings |
28.871 |
34.827 |
40.619 |
66.801 |
100.359 |
30.9% |
33.2% |
23.7% |
26.2% |
24.4% |
|
Common Equity |
42.247 |
47.755 |
125.679 |
187.667 |
273.352 |
45.3% |
45.5% |
73.3% |
73.5% |
66.6% |
|
TOTAL EQUITY |
42.247 |
47.755 |
125.679 |
187.667 |
273.352 |
45.3% |
45.5% |
73.3% |
73.5% |
66.6% |
|
TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY |
93.312 |
104.958 |
171.493 |
255.376 |
410.487 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
|
Total Employees (000) |
@NA |
3,016 |
3,200 |
3,632 |
3,913 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
COMMON SHARES OUTSTANDING |
1.868 |
1.868 |
51.832 |
54.271 |
56.295 |
|
|
|
|
|