week 3
#1-5
| A teacher gives you a surprise quiz with 10 multiple choice questions, each with 4 possible answers. | ||||||||||||
| You answer all the questions by randomly guessing. | ||||||||||||
| Let X = # of correct answers in 10 questions. | ||||||||||||
| 1 | Determine whether this experiment is binomial or hypergeometric and explain your reasoning? (4 points) | |||||||||||
| 2 | Construct the probability distribution table for this experiment. (20 points) | |||||||||||
| 1 | FIXED NUMBER OF TRIALS, n=10 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Each trials has two possible outcomes: right or wrong | |||||||||||
| 3 | Find the arithmetic mean. (4 points) | 3 | Assume the trials are independent | |||||||||
| 4 | Probabilities are constant, p=1/4 | |||||||||||
| 4 | Find the variance and standard deviation. (8 points) | |||||||||||
| 5 | Find the probability of guessing at least 7 correct. (4 points) | |||||||||||
| X | P(X) | |||||||||||
| 0 | 0.0563135147 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 0.1877117157 | |||||||||||
| 2 | 0.2815675735 | |||||||||||
| 3 | 0.2502822876 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 0.1459980011 | |||||||||||
| 5 | 0.0583992004 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 0.0162220001 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 0.0030899048 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 0.0003862381 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 0.0000286102 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 0.0000009537 | |||||||||||
| 1 | ||||||||||||
| MEAN | 2.5 | |||||||||||
| VAR | 1.9 | |||||||||||
| SD | 1.4 | |||||||||||
| P(X>=) | 0.0035057068 | <.05 | AT LEAST7 |
HISTOGRAM
P(X) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5.6313514709472684E-2 0.18771171569824219 0.28156757354736339 0.25028228759765631 0.14599800109863281 5.8399200439453146E-2 1.6222000122070326E-2 3.0899047851562543E-3 3.862380981445312E-4 2.861022949218752E-5 9.5367431640625E-7X
P(X)
#6-10
| A shipment of 30 items contains 6 that are defective. | |||
| You are to randomly select 5 different items and test them. | |||
| Let x = the number of defective items among five. | |||
| 6 | Determine whether this experiment is binomial or hypergeometric and explain your reasoning? (4 points) | ||
| 7 | Construct the probability distribution table for the experiment. (20 points) | ||
| 8 | Find the arithmetic mean. (4 points) | ||
| 9 | Find the variance and standard deviation. (8 points) | ||
| 10 | If you accept the shipment only if all the selected items are good, | ||
| what is the probability of rejecting the shipment? | |||
| what is the probability of accepting the shipment? (4 points) | |||
| X | P(X) | (X-mean)^2 | |
| 0 | 0.2982611258 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0.4473916888 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0.2130436613 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0.0387352111 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0.0025262094 | 9 | |
| 5 | 0.0000421035 | 16 | |
| MEAN | SUM(X*P(X)) | 1 | |
| VAR | SUM((X-mean)^2*P(X)) | 0.7 | |
| SD | sqrt(var) | 0.8 |
#11-15
| It is estimated that 15% of the US population has pet allergies. | 12 | |||||||||||
| Suppose that 80 people are randomly selected. | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Find the mean and standard deviation for the number of people with pet allergies in groups of 80, | MEAN | 12 | |||||||||
| assuming the 15% rate is correct. (4 points) | SD | |||||||||||
| 12 | Find the probability that exactly 12 people in a group of 80 people have pet allergies. (4 points) | |||||||||||
| 13 | Find the probability that 10 or fewer people in a group of 80 have pet allergies. (4 points) | |||||||||||
| 14 | Find the probability that at least 11 people in a group of 80 have pet allergies. (4 points) | |||||||||||
| 15 | Find the probability that 10 to 20 people in a group of 80 have pet allergies. (4 points) |