Presentation
n What kind of currency risk does the Brazilian project pose to Nodal?
A risk, in this case, can be said to be any occurrence that can possibly hinder Nodal
from achieving its financial objectives. For instance, fluctuations in currency exchange
risks can result in failure by the organization to achieve said objectives. Nodal is facing
risks that are related to the currency used in the Brazilian market. Exchange rate
fluctuations are a form of economic exposure. As noted earlier, in the Brazilian
commercial real estate contracts may only be done using the real and Nodal uses dollars
in all of its other transactions. The dollar is one of the world’s strongest currencies. Also,
dollar is often stable and in recent years, the real has been increasingly stable as well.
Adding to that is the fact that Brazil has also becoming additionally resilient to changes
in the political environment. However, things could take a negative spin and the Brazilian
currency could depreciate against the dollar. Should the Brazilian currency depreciate
against the dollar then it would mean that organization might suffer losses a factor that
may hinder it from achieving its organizational objectives. For instance, when such
automatic changes in the economy as recession occurs the government is compelled to
lower taxes imposed on the consumers. The main objective of lowering the taxes is to
increase the amount of disposable income available to the consumers so as to increase
their purchasing power and hence increase the aggregate demand, which can possibly
help the economy to recover from recession. Should this occur in the Brazilian market, it
would mean that the Brazilian currency will depreciate against the dollar and hence the
organization will be the risk of failing to hit its financial objectives in terms of the
targeted profitability.
Along with the exchange rate risk, Nodal will also have to deal with the remittance
process, which as explained earlier is not an easy task. All foreign investors have to
register with the Central Bank of Brazil to be able to remit funds back to their home
country.
It is worth noting that the government is responsible for the economic growth of the
country and hence it is obligated to make discretionary decisions to manipulate the
economy in an attempt to ascertain economic growth. For instance, a government may
undertake discretionary contractionary fiscal and monetary policies as a course of action
to manipulate the economy. According to Mankiw (2014),
discretionary contractionary fiscal and monetary policies reduce the amount of disposable
income available to the consumers so as to reduce their purchasing power and hence
control the inflationary effect that is being experienced in the country. Though this may
work for the economy of the country, it can adversely affect Nodal Corporation should
the Brazilian government affect it. Reducing the purchasing power of the consumers will
mean that the consumers ’ability to afford industrial buildings will be reduced and hence
this will affect the market share available to the Nodal.
Another currency risk the Brazilian project poses is operating risk due to the fixed
assets they will own. Real estate is not a liquid asset. In the event that the company needs
to get sell their Brazilian property, it could take months or even years to convert to cash.
This subjects Nodal to a major operational risk. The rent earned from this property had to
be converted to dollars that meant the firm would face foreign exchange risk here as well.
n What are the primary management methods to be considered?
The primary management methods to be considered are as follow:
-The company could choose to do nothing and face the possibility of all risks
involved.
-They could also choose to use forward contracts.
-Another option is to use currency put options.
-They could also use currency adjustment clause to have their clients share in the
currency risk on both positive and negative changes of the exchange rate.
-Finally, Nodal could use currency swap.