evaluation

profilesaud.t1
intel_1.xlsx

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Intel
Income Statement
For year ended 12/31/2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 FC2015 FC2016 FC2017 FC2018 FC2019 Hist CAGR FC CAGR NOTES
Revenue $ 43,623.0 $ 53,999.0 $ 53,341.0 $ 52,708.0 $ 55,870.0 $ 59,054.6 $ 62,420.7 $ 65,978.7 $ 69,739.5 $ 73,714.6 6.38% 5.70%
COGS 15,132.0 20,242.0 20,190.0 21,187.0 20,261.0 $ 22,025.7 $ 23,281.2 $ 24,608.2 $ 26,010.9 $ 27,493.5 7.57% 5.70%
Gross profit 28,491.0 33,757.0 33,151.0 31,521.0 35,609.0 37,028.8 39,139.5 41,370.4 43,728.6 46,221.1 5.73% 5.70%
R&D 6,576.0 8,350.0 10,148.0 10,611.0 11,537.0 15.09% ERROR:#DIV/0!
Amortization of acquisition-related intangibles 18.0 260.0 308 531.0 589.0 139.17% ERROR:#DIV/0!
MG&A 6,309.0 7,670.0 8,057.0 8,088.0 8,136.0 20,669.1 21,847.2 23,092.5 24,408.8 25,800.1 6.56% 5.70%
Operating income 15,588.0 17,477.0 14,638.0 12,291.0 15,347.0 16,359.7 17,292.2 18,277.9 19,319.7 20,421.0 -0.39% 5.70%
Gain on sale of investments 348.0 112.0 141.0 471.0 411.0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 4.25% ERROR:#DIV/0!
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) 15,936.0 17,589.0 14,779.0 12,762.0 15,758.0 16,359.7 17,292.2 18,277.9 19,319.7 20,421.0 -0.28% 5.70%
Interest expense, net 109.0 192.0 94.0 (151.0) 43.00 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 -20.75% ERROR:#DIV/0!
Earnings before taxes 16,045.0 17,781.0 14,873.0 12,611.0 15,801.0 16,359.7 17,292.2 18,277.9 19,319.7 20,421.0 -0.38% 5.70%
Income tax expense 4,581.00 4,839.0 3,868.0 2,991.0 4,097.00 4,237.17 4,478.69 4,733.98 5,003.81 5,289.03 -2.75% 5.70%
Net income $ 11,464.00 $ 12,942.00 $ 11,005.00 $ 9,620.00 $ 11,704.00 $ 12,122.57 $ 12,813.55 $ 13,543.93 $ 14,315.93 $ 15,131.94 0.52% 5.70%
Intel
Balance Sheet
For year ended 12/31/2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 FC2015 FC2016 FC2017 FC2018 FC2019 Hist CAGR FC CAGR NOTES
Cash and Cash Equivalents $ 5,498.0 $ 5,065.0 $ 8,478.0 $ 5,674.0 $ 2,561.0 $ 1,086.6 $ 13,318.1 $ 25,503.0 $ 37,615.6 $ 49,626.7 -17.39% 159.97% from statement of cash flows
Short-term investments $ 11,294.0 $ 5,181.0 $ 3,999.0 $ 5,972.0 $ 2,430.0 $ 2,430.0 $ 2,430.0 $ 2,430.0 $ 2,430.0 $ 2,430.0 -31.89% 0.00%
Trading Assets $ 5,093.0 $ 4,591.0 $ 5,685.0 $ 8,441.0 $ 9,063.0 $ 9,063.0 $ 9,063.0 $ 9,063.0 $ 9,063.0 $ 9,063.0 15.50% 0.00%
Receivables, net 2,867.0 $ 3,650.0 $ 3,833.0 $ 3,582.0 $ 4,427.0 $ 4,679.3 $ 4,946.1 $ 5,228.0 $ 5,526.0 $ 5,841.0 11.47% 5.70%
Inventory $ 3,757.0 $ 4,096.0 $ 4,734.0 $ 4,172.0 $ 4,273.0 $ 4,516.6 $ 4,774.0 $ 5,046.1 $ 5,333.8 $ 5,637.8 3.27% 5.70%
Deferred tax assets $ 1,488.0 $ 1,700.0 $ 2,117.0 $ 2,594.0 $ 1,958.0 $ 1,958.0 $ 1,958.0 $ 1,958.0 $ 1,958.0 $ 1,958.0 7.10% 0.00%
Other current assets $ 1,614.0 $ 1,589.0 $ 2,512.0 $ 1,649.0 $ 3,018.0 $ 3,190.0 $ 3,371.9 $ 3,564.1 $ 3,767.2 $ 3,981.9 16.94% 5.70%
Total current assets $ 31,611.0 $ 25,872.0 $ 31,358.0 $ 32,084.0 $ 27,730.0 $ 26,923.5 $ 39,861.1 $ 52,792.2 $ 65,693.6 $ 78,538.4 -3.22% 30.69%
PP&E, gross 50,481.0 58,073.0 66,046.0 73,416.0 79,709.0 $ 86,882.81 $ 94,702.26 $ 103,225.47 $ 112,515.76 $ 122,642.18 12.10% 9.00%
Accumulated depreciation (32,582.0) (34,446.0) (38,063.0) (41,988.0) (46,471.0) $ (49,957.62) $ (54,453.80) $ (59,354.64) $ (64,696.56) $ (70,519.25) 9.28% 9.00%
PP&E, net 17,899.0 23,627.0 27,983.0 31,428.0 33,238.0 136,840.4 149,156.1 162,580.1 177,212.3 193,161.4 16.74% 9.00%
Marketable equity securities 1,008.0 562.0 4,424.0 6,221.0 7,097.0 7,097.0 7,097.0 7,097.0 7,097.0 7,097.0 62.89% 0.00%
Other long-term investments 3,026.0 889.0 493.0 1,473.0 2,023.0 $ 2,138.31 $ 2,260.19 $ 2,389.03 $ 2,525.20 $ 2,669.14 -9.58% 5.70%
Goodwill 4,531.0 9,254.0 9,710.0 10,513.0 10,861.0 $ 11,480.08 $ 12,134.44 $ 12,826.10 $ 13,557.19 $ 14,329.95 24.43% 5.70%
Identified intangible assets, net 860.0 6,267.0 6,235.0 5,150.0 4,446.0 $ 4,699.42 $ 4,967.29 $ 5,250.42 $ 5,549.70 $ 5,866.03 50.79% 5.70%
Other Long-term assets 4,251.0 4,648.0 4,148.0 5,489.0 6,561.0 $ 6,934.98 $ 7,330.27 $ 7,748.10 $ 8,189.74 $ 8,656.55 11.46% 5.70%
Total Assets 63,186.0 71,119.0 84,351.0 92,358.0 91,956.0 196,113.7 222,806.3 250,683.0 279,824.7 310,318.5 9.83% 12.16%
Short-term debt (1.95%) 38.0 247.0 312.0 281.0 1,604.0 154.89% ERROR:#DIV/0!
Accounts payable 2,290.0 2,956.0 3,023.0 2,969.0 2,748.0 2,904.6 3,070.2 3,245.2 3,430.2 3,625.7 4.66% 5.70%
Accrued compensation and benefits 2,888.0 2,948.0 2,972.0 3,123.0 3,475.0 3,637.1 3,806.7 3,984.2 4,170.0 4,364.5 4.73% 4.66%
Accrued advertising 1,007.0 1,134.0 1,015.0 1,021.0 1,092.0 1,190.3 1,297.4 1,414.2 1,541.4 1,680.2 2.05% 9.00%
Deferred income 747.0 1,929.0 1,932.0 2,096.0 2,205.0 2,330.7 2,463.5 2,604.0 2,752.4 2,909.3 31.08% 5.70%
Other accrued liabilties 2,357.0 2,814.0 3,644.0 4,078.0 4,895.0 4,895.0 4,895.0 4,895.0 4,895.0 4,895.0 20.05% 0.00%
Total current liabilities 9,327.0 12,028.0 12,898.0 13,568.0 16,019.0 14,957.7 15,532.8 16,142.5 16,789.0 17,474.6 14.48% 3.96%
Long-term income taxes payable 190.0 -0 -0
Long-term debt (4.8%) $ 2,077.0 $ 7,084.0 $ 13,136.0 $ 13,165.0 $ 12,107.0 55.38% ERROR:#DIV/0!
Long-term deferred tax liabilities $ 926.0 $ 2,617.0 $ 3,412.0 $ 4,397.0 $ 3,775.0 $ 3,990.2 $ 4,217.6 $ 4,458.0 $ 4,712.1 $ 4,980.7 42.09% 5.70%
Other long-term liabilities $ 1,236.0
Gilbert H. Nguyen: Later 10K's put long-term income taxes payable into this section
$ 3,479.0 $ 3,702.0 $ 2,972.0 $ 3,278.0 $ 3,464.8 $ 3,662.3 $ 3,871.1 $ 4,091.7 $ 4,325.0 27.61% 5.70%
Total liabilities 13,756.0 25,208.0 33,148.0 34,102.0 35,179.0 22,412.7 23,412.8 24,471.6 25,592.9 26,780.3 26.46% 4.55%
Temporary Equity 912.0
Preferred Stock -0 -0 -0 -0 -0
Common Stock 16,178.0 17,036.0 19,464.0 21,536.0 21,781.0 21,781.0 21,781.0 21,781.0 21,781.0 21,781.0 7.72% 0.00%
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) 333.0 (781.0) (399.0) 1,243.0 666.0 704.0 744.1 786.5 831.3 878.7 18.92% 5.70%
Retained earnings 32,919.0 29,656.0 32,138.0 35,477.0 33,418.0 45,540.6 58,354.1 71,898.0 86,214.0 101,345.9 0.38% 22.14%
Total shareholders' equity 49,430.0 45,911.0 51,203.0 58,256.0 56,777.0 68,025.5 80,879.2 94,465.6 108,826.3 124,005.6 3.53% 16.20%
Total Liabilities + Shareholders' Equity 63,186.0 71,119.0 84,351.0 92,358.0 91,956.0 90,438.2 104,292.0 118,937.2 134,419.2 150,785.9 9.83% 13.63%
check for imbalance -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 105,675.5 118,514.3 131,745.8 145,405.5 159,532.5
Intel
Statement Of Cash Flows
For year ended 12/31/2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 FC2015 FC2016 FC2017 FC2018 FC2019 Hist CAGR FC CAGR NOTES
Cash flows from operations (DIRECT)
Cash collections from customers revenue - increase in receivables
LESS:
Cash paid for merchandise COGS + increase in inventory - increase in payables
Cash paid for MG&A SG&A - depreciation - increase in accruals
Cash paid for interest Interest expense adjusted for interest payable
Cash paid for income taxes Income tax expense adjusted for deferred tax liability
Net cash provided (used) by operating activities
Cash flows from operations (INDIRECT)
Net income $ 11,464.0 $ 12,942.0 $ 11,005.0 $ 9,620.0 $ 11,704.0 $ 12,122.6 $ 12,813.6 $ 13,543.9 $ 14,315.9 $ 15,131.9 0.52% 5.70% starting line
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities non-cash, add back
Depreciation expense 4,398.0 5,141.0 6,357.0 6,790.0 7,380.0 7,380.0 7,380.0 7,380.0 7,380.0 7,380.0 13.82% 0.00% non-cash, add back
Share-based compensation 917.0 1,053.0 1,102.0 1,118.0 1,148.0 5.78% non-operating, subtract if gain
Restructuring, asset impairment, and net loss on retirement of assets 67.0 96.0 -0 240.0 295.0 44.86% decrease = source
Excess tax benefit from share-based payment arrangements (65.0) (37.0) (142.0) (49.0) (122.0) 17.05% increase = use
Amortization of intangibles 240.0 923.0 1,165.0 1,242.0 1,169.0 1,169.0 1,169.0 1,169.0 1,169.0 1,169.0 48.56% 0.00% increase = source
(Gains) losses on equity method investments, net (117.0)
Gilbert H. Nguyen: This and other (gains) losses on other equity investments, net are combined in 2011 In 2012, same thing.
(112.0) (141.0) (425.0) (354.0) 31.89%
(Gains) losses on other equity investments, net (231.0) -0 -0 -0 decrease = use
(Gains) losses on divestitures -0 (164.0) -0 -0
Deferred taxes (46.0) 790.0 (242.0) (900.0) (703.0) 97.72%
Changes in assets and liabilities
Trading assets -0 -0 -0 -0 -0
Short-term Investments (not in original 10K) -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 ERROR:#DIV/0!
Deferred Tax Assets (not in original 10K) -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 ERROR:#DIV/0!
Other Current Assets (not in original 10K) (172.0) (181.8) (192.2) (203.2) (214.7) 5.70%
Accounts receivable (584.0) (678.0) (176.0) 271.0 (861.0) (252.3) (266.7) (281.9) (298.0) (315.0) 10.19% 5.70%
Inventories (806.0) (243.0) (626.0) 563.0 (98.0) (243.6) (257.4) (272.1) (287.6) (304.0) -40.95% 5.70%
Accounts payable 407.0 596.0 67.0 267.0 (249.0) 156.6 165.6 175.0 185.0 195.5 -11.56% 5.70%
Accrued compensation and benefits 161.0 (95.0) 192.0 155.0 4.0 162.1 169.6 177.5 185.8 194.5 -60.30% 4.66%
Income taxes payable and receivable 53.0 660.0 229.0 1,019.0 (286.0) 52.41%
Other assets and liabilities 834.0
Gilbert H. Nguyen: In 2012, 2011 and 2010 numbers are added with restructuring ($67 and $96).
91.0 94.0 865.0 1,391.0 -0
Gilbert Nguyen: Gilbert Nguyen: Use other accrued liability from current liabilities
-0 -0 -0 -0 13.64% ERROR:#DIV/0!
Accrued Advertising (not in original 10K) 71.0 98.3 107.1 116.8 127.3 15.71%
Deferred Income (not in original 10K) 125.7 132.8 140.4 148.4 156.9 5.70%
Net cash provided (used) by operating activities 16,692.0 20,963.0 18,884.0 20,776.0 20,418.0 20,519.0 21,222.9 21,946.8 22,712.1 23,521.4 5.17% 3.47%
Cash flows from investing activities
Additions to PPE (5,207.0) (10,764.0) (11,027.0) (10,711.0) (10,105.0) (7,173.8) (7,819.5) (8,523.2) (9,290.3) (10,126.4) 18.03% 9.00%
Acquisitions, net of cash acquired (218.0) (8,721.0) (638.0) (925.0) (934.0) (619.1)
Gilbert Nguyen: Gilbert Nguyen: Goodwill
(654.4) (691.7) (731.1) (772.8) 43.87% 5.70%
Purchases of available-for-sale investments (17,675.0) (11,230.0) (8,694.0) (12,493.0) (7,007.0) -20.65%
Sale of available-for-sale investments 506.0 9,076.0 2,282.0 934.0 1,227.0 24.79%
Maturities and sales of available-for-sale investments 12,627.0
Gilbert H. Nguyen: Combined with sales of available-for-sale investments in 2010
11,029.0 5,369.0 8,336.0 8,944.0 -8.26%
Purchases of trading assets (8,944.0) (11,314.0) (16,892.0) (16,718.0) (14,397.0) -0
Gilbert Nguyen: Gilbert Nguyen: Seems to be from current assets: Trading Assets line item. Will only use this line instead of purchases and maturity and sales to calculate trading assets.

Gilbert H. Nguyen: Later 10K's put long-term income taxes payable into this section

Gilbert H. Nguyen: This and other (gains) losses on other equity investments, net are combined in 2011 In 2012, same thing.

Gilbert Nguyen: Gilbert Nguyen: Use other accrued liability from current liabilities
-0 -0 -0 -0 12.64% ERROR:#DIV/0!
Maturities and sales of trading assets 8,846.0 11,771.0 15,786.0 13,677.0 13,165.0 10.45% sale = source
Origination of loans receivable (498.0) (206.0) (216.0) (200.0) -0 -100.00%
Collection of loans receivable -0 134.0 149.0 132.0 purchase = use
Investments in non-marketable equity investments (393.0) (693.0) (475.0) (440.0) (1,377.0) 36.82%
Return of equity method investments 199.0 263.0 137.0 45.0 -100.00%
Proceeds from the sale of IM Flash Singapore... (2012) 605.0 -0
Purchaes of licensed technology and patents (815.0) (36.0) (92.0)
Proceeds from divestitures -0 50.0 -0
Other investing 218.0 304.0 369.0
Gilbert H. Nguyen: Separates out purchases of licensed technology and patents into its own section. In previous years, it was a net amount in other investing.
326.0 671.0
Gilbert H. Nguyen: Includes collections of loans receivable and return of equity method investments in this year's calculations.
32.45%
Marketable Equity Securities (not in original 10K) -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 ERROR:#DIV/0!
Other Long-term Investments (not in original 10K) (115.3) (121.9) (128.8) (136.2) (143.9) 5.70%
Identified Intangible Asset (not in original 10K)
Gilbert Nguyen: Gilbert Nguyen: Seems to be R&D from acquired businesses
(253.4) (267.9) (283.1) (299.3) (316.3) 5.70%
Other Long-term Assets (not in original 10K) (374.0) (395.3) (417.8) (441.6) (466.8) 5.70%
Net cash provided (used) by investing activities (10,539.0) (10,301.0) (14,060.0) (18,073.0) (9,905.0) (8,535.6) (9,258.9) (10,044.7) (10,898.5) (11,826.3) -1.54% 8.49%
Cash flows from financing activities issuance = source
Increase (decrease) in short-term debt, net 23.0 209.0 65.0 (31.0) 235.0 (1,604.0) -0 -0 -0 -0 78.79% -100.00% repayment = use
Proceeds from government grants 79.0 124.0 63.0 129.0 104.0 7.12%
Excess tax benefit from share-based payment arrangements 65.0 37.0 142.0 49.0 122.0 17.05%
Issuance of long-term debt -0 4,962.0 6,124.0 -0 -0 (12,107.0) -0 -0 -0 -0 ERROR:#REF!
Repayment of debt (157.0) -0 (125.0) -0 proceeds = source
Proceeds from sales of shares through employee equity incentive plans 587.0 2,045.0 2,111.0 1,588.0 1,660.0 29.68% use
Repurchase of common stock (1,736.0) (14,340.0) (5,110.0) (2,440.0) (10,792.0)
Gilbert H. Nguyen: Includes restricted stock units for previous years. In 2014, they are separated.

Gilbert H. Nguyen: Includes collections of loans receivable and return of equity method investments in this year's calculations.

Gilbert H. Nguyen: Combined with sales of available-for-sale investments in 2010

Gilbert Nguyen: Gilbert Nguyen: Goodwill
57.90%
Restricted stock unit witholdings (332.0) use
Payment of dividends to stockholders (3,503.0) (4,127.0) (4,350.0) (4,479.0) (4,409.0) 5.92%
Collateral Associated with repurchase of common stock (325.0)
Increase in liability due to collateral associated with repurchase of common stock 325.0
Other financing - 0 (10.0) (328.0) (314.0) (199.0)
Long-term Deferred Tax liabilities (not in original 10K) 215.2 227.4 240.4 254.1 268.6 5.70%
Other long-term liabilities (not in original 10K) - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 ERROR:#DIV/0!
Common Stock (not in original 10K) - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 ERROR:#DIV/0!
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (not in original 10K) 38.0 40.1 42.4 44.8 47.4 5.70%
Net cash provided (used) by financing activities (4,642.0) (11,100.0) (1,408.0) (5,498.0) (13,611.0) (13,457.9) 267.6 282.8 298.9 316.0 30.86% -60.86%
Effect of exchange rate fluctuations on cash and cash equiv. -0 5.0 (3.0) (9.0) (15.0)
Net increase in cash 1,511.0 (433.0) 3,413.0 (2,804.0) (3,113.0) (1,474.4) 12,231.6 12,184.9 12,112.6 12,011.1 19.81% 68.94%
Cash, beginning of year 3,987.0 5,498.0 5,065.0 8,478.0 5,674.0 2,561.0 1,086.6 13,318.1 25,503.0 37,615.6 9.22% 95.77% feeds the balance sheet cash figure
Cash, end of year $ 5,498.0 $ 5,065.0 $ 8,478.0 $ 5,674.0 $ 2,561.0 $ 1,086.6 $ 13,318.1 $ 25,503.0 $ 37,615.6 $ 49,626.7 -17.39% 159.97%
Noncash investing and financing activities
Issuance of common stock for PP&E
NOTES
Common-size Income Statement 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 FC2015 FC2016 FC2017 FC2018 FC2019
Revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
COGS 34.69% 37.49% 37.85% 40.20% 36.26% 37.30% 37.30% 37.30% 37.30% 37.30%
Gross profit 65.31% 62.51% 62.15% 59.80% 63.74% 62.70% 62.70% 62.70% 62.70% 62.70%
R&D 15.07% 15.46% 19.02% 20.13% 20.65% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Amortization of acquisition-related intangibles 0.04% 0.48% 0.58% 1.01% 1.05% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
MG&A 14.46% 14.20% 15.10% 15.34% 14.56% 35.00% 35.00% 35.00% 35.00% 35.00%
Operating income 35.73% 32.37% 27.44% 23.32% 27.47% 27.70% 27.70% 27.70% 27.70% 27.70%
Gain on sale of investments 0.80% 0.21% 0.26% 0.89% 0.74% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) 36.53% 32.57% 27.71% 24.21% 28.20% 27.70% 27.70% 27.70% 27.70% 27.70%
Interest expense, net 0.25% 0.36% 0.18% -0.29% 0.08% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Earnings before taxes 36.78% 32.93% 27.88% 23.93% 28.28% 27.70% 27.70% 27.70% 27.70% 27.70%
Income tax expense 10.50% 8.96% 7.25% 5.67% 7.33% 7.18% 7.18% 7.18% 7.18% 7.18%
Net income 26.28% 23.97% 20.63% 18.25% 20.95% 20.53% 20.53% 20.53% 20.53% 20.53%
NOTES
Common-size Balance Sheet 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 FC2015 FC2016 FC2017 FC2018 FC2019
Cash and Cash Equivalents 9% 7% 10% 6% 3% 1% 6% 10% 13% 16%
Short-term investments 18% 7% 5% 6% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Trading Assets 8% 6% 7% 9% 10% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3%
Receivables, net 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Inventory 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Deferred tax assets 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Other current assets 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Total current assets 50% 36% 37% 35% 30% 14% 18% 21% 23% 25%
PP&E, gross 80% 82% 78% 79% 87% 44% 43% 41% 40% 40%
Accumulated depreciation -52% -48% -45% -45% -51% -25% -24% -24% -23% -23%
PP&E, net 28% 33% 33% 34% 36% 70% 67% 65% 63% 62%
Marketable equity securities 2% 1% 5% 7% 8% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Other long-term investments 5% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Goodwill 7% 13% 12% 11% 12% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Identified intangible assets, net 1% 9% 7% 6% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Other Long-term assets 7% 7% 5% 6% 7% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Assets 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Short-term debt 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Accounts payable 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Accrued compensation and benefits 5% 4% 4% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Accrued advertising 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Deferred income 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Other accrued liabilties 3.73% 3.96% 4.32% 4.42% 5.32% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Total current liabilities 15% 17% 15% 15% 17% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6%
Long-term income taxes payable 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Long-term debt 3% 10% 16% 14% 13% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Long-term deferred tax liabilities 1% 4% 4% 5% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Other long-term liabilities 2% 5% 4% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Total liabilities 22% 35% 39% 37% 38% 11% 11% 10% 9% 9%
Temporary Equity 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Preferred Stock 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Common Stock 26% 24% 23% 23% 24% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7%
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) 1% -1% -0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Retained earnings 52% 42% 38% 38% 36% 23% 26% 29% 31% 33%
Total shareholders' equity 78% 65% 61% 63% 62% 35% 36% 38% 39% 40%
Total Liabilities + Shareholders' Equity 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 46% 47% 47% 48% 49%
NOTES
Growth of Income Statement Items 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 FC2015 FC2016 FC2017 FC2018 FC2019 GeoAvg Hist GeoAvg FC
Revenue 23.8% -1.2% -1.2% 6.0% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 6% 6%
COGS 33.8% -0.3% 4.9% -4.4% 8.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 8% 6%
Gross profit 18.5% -1.8% -4.9% 13.0% 4.0% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 6% 5%
R&D 27.0% 21.5% 4.6% 8.7% -100.0% ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! 15% ERROR:#DIV/0!
Amortization of acquisition-related intangibles 1344.4% 18.5% 72.4% 10.9% -100.0% ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! 139% ERROR:#DIV/0!
MG&A 21.6% 5.0% 0.4% 0.6% 154.0% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 7% 26%
Operating income 12.1% -16.2% -16.0% 24.9% 6.6% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% -0% 6%
Gain on sale of investments -67.8% 25.9% 234.0% -12.7% -100.0% ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! 4% ERROR:#DIV/0!
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) 10.4% -16.0% -13.6% 23.5% 3.8% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% -0% 5%
Interest expense, net 76.1% -51.0% -260.6% -128.5% -100.0% ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! -21% ERROR:#DIV/0!
Earnings before taxes 10.8% -16.4% -15.2% 25.3% 3.5% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% -0% 5%
Income tax expense 5.6% -20.1% -22.7% 37.0% 3.4% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% -3% 5%
Net income 12.9% -15.0% -12.6% 21.7% 3.6% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 1% 5%
0% 0% NOTES
Growth of Balance Sheet Items 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 FC2015 FC2016 FC2017 FC2018 FC2019 GeoAvg Hist GeoAvg FC
Cash and Cash Equivalents -7.88% 67.38% -33.07% -54.86% -57.57% 1125.71% 91.49% 47.49% 31.93% -17% 81%
Short-term investments -54.13% -22.81% 49.34% -59.31% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% -32% 0%
Trading Assets -9.86% 23.83% 48.48% 7.37% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 15% 0%
Receivables, net 27.31% 5.01% -6.55% 23.59% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 11% 6%
Inventory 9.02% 15.58% -11.87% 2.42% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 3% 6%
Deferred tax assets 14.25% 24.53% 22.53% -24.52% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 7% 0%
Other current assets -1.55% 58.09% -34.36% 83.02% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 17% 6%
Total current assets -18.16% 21.20% 2.32% -13.57% -2.91% 48.05% 32.44% 24.44% 19.55% -3% 23%
PP&E, gross 15.04% 13.73% 11.16% 8.57% 9.00% 9.00% 9.00% 9.00% 9.00% 12% 9%
Accumulated depreciation 5.72% 10.50% 10.31% 10.68% 7.50% 9.00% 9.00% 9.00% 9.00% 9% 9%
PP&E, net 32.00% 18.44% 12.31% 5.76% 311.70% 9.00% 9.00% 9.00% 9.00% 17% 42%
Marketable equity securities -44.25% 687.19% 40.62% 14.08% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 63% 0%
Other long-term investments -70.62% -44.54% 198.78% 37.34% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% -10% 6%
Goodwill 104.24% 4.93% 8.27% 3.31% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 24% 6%
Identified intangible assets, net 628.72% -0.51% -17.40% -13.67% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 51% 6%
Other Long-term assets 9.34% -10.76% 32.33% 19.53% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 11% 6%
Total Assets 12.55% 18.61% 9.49% -0.44% 113.27% 13.61% 12.51% 11.62% 10.90% 10% 28%
Short-term debt 550.00% 26.32% -9.94% 470.82% -100.00% ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! 155% ERROR:#DIV/0!
Accounts payable 29.08% 2.27% -1.79% -7.44% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5% 6%
Accrued compensation and benefits 2.08% 0.81% 5.08% 11.27% 4.66% 4.66% 4.66% 4.66% 4.66% 5% 5%
Accrued advertising 12.61% -10.49% 0.59% 6.95% 9.00% 9.00% 9.00% 9.00% 9.00% 2% 9%
Deferred income 158.23% 0.16% 8.49% 5.20% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 31% 6%
Other accrued liabilties 19.39% 29.50% 11.91% 20.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 20% 0%
Total current liabilities 28.96% 7.23% 5.19% 18.06% -6.63% 3.85% 3.93% 4.00% 4.08% 14% 2%
Long-term income taxes payable -100.00% ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0!
Long-term debt 241.07% 85.43% 0.22% -8.04% -100.00% ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! 55% ERROR:#DIV/0!
Long-term deferred tax liabilities 182.61% 30.38% 28.87% -14.15% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 42% 6%
Other long-term liabilities 181.47% 6.41% -19.72% 10.30% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 28% 6%
Total liabilities 83.25% 31.50% 2.88% 3.16% -36.29% 4.46% 4.52% 4.58% 4.64% 26% -5%
Temporary Equity ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! -100.00% ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0!
Preferred Stock ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0!
Common Stock 5.30% 14.25% 10.65% 1.14% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 8% 0%
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) -334.53% -48.91% -411.53% -46.42% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 19% 6%
Retained earnings -9.91% 8.37% 10.39% -5.80% 36.28% 28.14% 23.21% 19.91% 17.55% 0% 25%
Total shareholders' equity -7.12% 11.53% 13.77% -2.54% 19.81% 18.90% 16.80% 15.20% 13.95% 4% 17%
Total Liabilities + Shareholders' Equity 12.55% 18.61% 9.49% -0.44% -1.65% 15.32% 14.04% 13.02% 12.18% 10% 10%
NOTES
Useful Ratios & Other Figures 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 FC2015 FC2016 FC2017 FC2018 FC2019 % chg Hist % chg FC
GM 0.6531 0.6251 0.6215 0.5980 0.6374 0.6270 0.6270 0.6270 0.6270 0.6270
OM 0.3573 0.3237 0.2744 0.2332 0.2747 0.2770 0.2770 0.2770 0.2770 0.2770
Pm 0.2628 0.2397 0.2063 0.1825 0.2095 0.2053 0.2053 0.2053 0.2053 0.2053
TAT 0.6904 0.7593 0.6324 0.5707 0.6076 0.3011 0.2802 0.2632 0.2492 0.2375
EM 1.2783 1.5491 1.6474 1.5854 1.6196 1.3295 1.2895 1.2591 1.2352 1.2160
ROE 0.2319 0.2819 0.2149 0.1651 0.2061 0.1782 0.1584 0.1434 0.1315 0.1220
ROA 0.1814 0.1820 0.1305 0.1042 0.1273 0.0618 0.0575 0.0540 0.0512 0.0488
d 0.3056 0.3189 0.3953 0.4656 0.3767 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0
b 0.6944 0.6811 0.6047 0.5344 0.6233 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
Alternative to Retention Ratio= Change in RE/NI (0.2719) 0.4809 0.7332 (0.1264) 0.9279 1.0031 1.0031 1.0031 1.0031
SGR 0.1611 0.1920 0.1300 0.0882 0.1285 0.1782 0.1584 0.1434 0.1315 0.1220
IGR 0.1260 0.1239 0.0789 0.0557 0.0793 0.0618 0.0575 0.0540 0.0512 0.0488
TIE 91.6094 157.2234 (84.5166) 366.4651 ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0!
DOL 5.4929 4.3146 3.7077 0.9665 0.3180 0.2770 0.2770 0.2770 0.2770
EPS 2.4206 2.7327 2.3237 2.0313 2.4713 2.5597 2.7056 2.8598 3.0228 3.1951
Days in sales in cash 23.9886 24.6718 26.2283 24.8052 28.9217 28.9217 28.9217 28.9217 28.9217 28.9217
Inventory Turnover= COGS/Avg Inv 5.1552 4.5730 4.7579 4.7983 5.0118 5.0118 5.0118 5.0118 5.0118
Receivables Turnover 16.57 14.26 14.22 13.95 12.97 12.97 12.97 12.97 12.97
Purchases $20,581 $20,828 $20,625 $20,362 $22,269 $23,539 $24,880 $26,299 $27,798
Payables turnover 7.85 6.97 6.88 7.12 7.88 7.88 7.88 7.88 7.88
Day In Inventory 70.80 79.82 76.71 76.07 72.83 72.83 72.83 72.83 72.83
Days in receivables 22.03 25.60 25.67 26.16 28.14 28.14 28.14 28.14 28.14
Operating Cycle 78.65 86.78 83.60 83.19 80.71 80.71 80.71 80.71 80.71
Days In Payable 46.52 52.39 53.02 51.24 46.32 46.32 46.32 46.32 46.32
Cash Cycle 32.13 34.39 30.58 31.95 34.38 34.38 34.38 34.38 34.38
D/E Ratio 28% 55% 65% 59% 62% 33% 29% 26% 24% 22%
ASSUMPTIONS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 FC2015 FC2016 FC2017 FC2018 FC2019
Sales growth 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70% 5.70%
COGS as % of sales 37.30% 37.30% 37.30% 37.30% 37.30%
MG&A 35% 35% 35% 35% 35%
ETR (Effective Tax Rate) constant 25% 0.28551 0.27214 0.26007 0.23717 0.25929 25.90% 25.90% 25.90% 25.90% 25.90%
Gain on sale of investments forecast as zero for all future years 0 0 0 0 0
Cash forecast on balance sheet will come from Statement of Cash Flows
PP&E grows % per year 9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
LT investments remains flat (i.e. no change)
All other assets & liabilities grow at same rate as sales
Depreciation as % of PPE, gross 57.5% 57.5% 57.5% 57.5% 57.5%
Interest expense forecast based on debt and these interest rates: ST interest = %, LT interest = %
Capital stock remains flat
Retained earnings grows based on NI & dividends paid
Dividend payout ratio remains constant
There are shares outstanding for all years (historic and forecast)
R&D Adjustment
ST interest rate 1.95% 1.95% 1.95% 1.95% 1.95%
LT Interest rate 4.80% 4.80% 4.80% 4.80% 4.80%
Accrued Advertising 9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
Shares Outstanding 4736 4736 4736 4736 4736 4736 4736 4736 4736 4736
Hist CAGR FC CAGR NOTES
CASH FLOW COMPUTATIONS 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 FC2015 FC2016 FC2017 FC2018 FC2019
Sales 53,999 53,341 52,708 55,870 59,055 62,421 65,979 69,739 73,715 1.14% 5.70%
Operating Margin 32.37% 27.44% 23.32% 27.47% 27.70% 27.70% 27.70% 27.70% 27.70% -5.32% 0.00%
Operating Income 17,477 14,638 12,291 15,347 16,360 17,292 18,278 19,320 20,421 -4.24% 5.70%
Tax Rate 27.21% 26.01% 23.72% 25.93% 25.90% 25.90% 25.90% 25.90% 25.90% -1.60% 0.00%
NOPAT 12,721 10,831 9,376 11,368 12,123 12,814 13,544 14,316 15,132 -3.68% 5.70%
Dep Exp 5,141 6,357 6,790 7,380 7,380 7,380 7,380 7,380 7,380 12.81% 0.00%
OCF 17,861.73 17,188.12 16,165.90 18,747.72 19,502.57 20,193.55 20,923.93 21,695.93 22,511.94 1.63% 3.65%
Cash For CapEx 19,435.0 11,665.0 11,636.0 11,039.0 7,792.9 8,473.8 9,214.9 10,021.4 10,899.2 -17.18% 8.75%
Cash Reinvested in non-cash, NOWC ((Ca-cash)-(CL-Non-op)) (1,183.0) 1,356.0 (1,900.0) 551.0 125.3 130.8 136.5 142.3 148.1 -177.52% 4.28%
FCFF (390.3) 4,167.1 6,429.9 7,157.7 11,584.4 11,588.9 11,572.5 11,532.3 11,464.6 -363.72% -0.26%
FCFF (390.3) 4,167.1 6,429.9 7,157.7 11,584.4 11,588.9 11,572.5 11,532.3 11,464.6 -363.72% -0.26%
Change In Debt 5,171.0 6,064.0 (31.0) 235.0 (13,711.0) -0 -0 -0 -0 -64.31% -100.00%
Interest (1-t) 139.7 69.6 (115.2) 31.9 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -38.92% ERROR:#DIV/0!
Preferred Cash Flows (Dividends) -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0
FCFE 4,641.0 10,161.6 6,514.1 7,360.9 (2,126.6) 11,588.9 11,572.5 11,532.3 11,464.6 16.62% ERROR:#NUM!
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 FC2015 FC2016 FC2017 FC2018 FC2019
VALUATION SUMMARY
FCFE Method
0 1 2 3 4 5
FCFE (2,126.6) 11,588.9 11,572.5 11,532.3 11,464.6
g
Ke
PV
Terminal Value
Equity Intrinsic Value
Per Share Value
FCFF Method
0 1 2 3 4 5
FCFF 11,584.4 11,588.9 11,572.5 11,532.3 11,464.6
g
WACC
PV
Terminal Value
Debt
Equity Intrinsic Value
Per Share Value
APV Method
0 1 2 3 4 5
FCFF 11,584.4 11,588.9 11,572.5 11,532.3 11,464.6
g
Ku
PV
Terminal Value
Total
Interest Expense -0 -0 -0 -0 -0
t
Tax savings
g
Ku
PV
Terminal Value
Total
Total of PVs
Debt
Equity Intrinsic Value
Per Share Value
P/E Valuation
Comparable P/E
Earnings Available to Common Shareholders $ 12,122.57 $ 12,813.55 $ 13,543.93 $ 14,315.93 $ 15,131.94
Implied Equity Value per Share
P/S Valuation
Comparable P/S
Revenue $ 59,054.6 $ 62,420.7 $ 65,978.7 $ 69,739.5 $ 73,714.6
Implied Equity Value per Share
EV/EBITDA Ratio Valuation
Comparable EV/EBITDA
EBITDA
Value of Operations
Non-operating Assets +
Market Value of Debt -
Intrinsic Value per Share
Bottom Up Beta D/E Ratio Revenue Beta Unlevered Beta Weight B- Weight Re-Levered Sum of Beta Relevered for Intel
Intel 0.65 55,870 0.9 0.55 0.54 0.30 0.48 0.70 1.03
Qualcomm 0.25 26,487 1.35 1.09 0.25 0.28 0.34
texas instruments 0.71 12,205 1.26 0.75 0.12 0.09 0.15
Nvidia 0.63 4,130 1.45 0.90 0.04 0.04 0.06
AMD 19.14 5,506 2.34 0.12 0.05 0.01 0.12
104,198

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