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3.1 Classic Theories of Economic Development: Four Approaches

• Linear stages of growth model

• Theories and Patterns of structural change

• International-dependence revolution

• Neoclassical, free market

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• Neoclassical, free market counterrevolution

3.2 Development as Growth and Linear- Stages Theories

• A Classic Statement: Rostow’s Stages of Growth

• Harrod-Domar Growth Model (sometimes referred to as the AK model)

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referred to as the AK model)

The Harrod-Domar Model

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The Harrod-Domar Model

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Criticisms of the Stages Model

• Necessary versus sufficient conditions

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3.3 Structural-Change Models

• The Lewis two-sector model

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Figure 3.1 The Lewis Model of Modern-Sector Growth in a Two-Sector Surplus-Labor Economy

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Criticisms of the Lewis Model

• Rate of labor transfer and employment creation may not be proportional to rate of modern-sector capital accumulation

• Surplus labor in rural areas and full employment in urban?

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employment in urban?

• Institutional factors?

• Assumption of diminishing returns in modern industrial sector

Figure 3.2 The Lewis Model Modified by Laborsaving Capital Accumulation: Employment Implications

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Empirical Patterns of Development - Examples

• Switch from agriculture to industry (and services)

• Rural-urban migration and urbanization

• Steady accumulation of physical and

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• Steady accumulation of physical and human capital

• Population growth first increasing and then decreasing with decline in family size

3.4 The International-Dependence Revolution

• The neocolonial dependence model

– Legacy of colonialism, Unequal power, Core-periphery

• The false-paradigm model

– Pitfalls of using “expert” foreign advisors who misapply developed-country models

• The dualistic-development thesis

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• The dualistic-development thesis

– Superior and inferior elements can coexist; Prebisch- Singer Hypothesis

• Criticisms and limitations

– Does little to show how to achieve development in a positive sense; accumulating counterexamples

3.5 The Neoclassical Counterrevolution: Market Fundamentalism

• Challenging the Statist Model: Free Markets, Public Choice, and Market-Friendly Approaches – Free market approach

– Public choice approach

– Market-friendly approach

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– Market-friendly approach

• Main Arguments

– Denies efficiency of intervention

– Points up state owned enterprise failures

– Stresses government failures

– Traditional neoclassical growth theory - with diminishing returns, cannot sustain growth by capital accumulation alone

3.6 Classic Theories of Development: Reconciling the Differences

• Governments do fail, but so do markets; a balance is needed

• Must attend to institutional and political realities in developing world

• Development economics has no universally accepted paradigm

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paradigm

• Insights and understandings are continually evolving

• Each theory has some strengths and some weaknesses

Concepts for Review

• Autarky

• Average product

• Capital-labor ratio

• Capital-output ratio

• Center

• Dualism

• False-paradigm model

• Free market

• Free-market analysis

• Harrod-Domar growth model

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• Closed economy

• Comprador groups

• Dependence

• Dominance

model

• Lewis two-sector model

• Marginal product

• Market failure

Concepts for Review (cont’d)

• Market-friendly approach

• Necessary condition

• Neoclassical counterrevolution

• Neocolonial dependence model

• Production function

• Public-choice theory

• Self-sustaining growth

• Solow neoclassical growth model

• Stages-of-growth model of

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model

• Net savings ratio

• New political economy approach

• Open economy

• Patterns-of-development analysis

• Periphery

• Stages-of-growth model of development

• Structural-change theory

• Structural transformation

• Sufficient condition

• Surplus labor

• Underdevelopment

Appendix 3.1: Components of Economic Growth

• Capital Accumulation, investments in physical and human capital

– Increase capital stock

• Growth in population and labor force

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• Growth in population and labor force

• Technological progress

– Neutral, labor/capital-saving, labor/capital augmenting

Figure A3.1.1 Effect of Increases in Physical and Human Resources on the Production Possibility Frontier

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Figure A3.1.2 Effect of Growth of Capital Stock and Land on the Production Possibility Frontier

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Figure A3.1.3 Effect of Technological Change in the Agricultural Sector on the Production Possibility Frontier

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Figure A3.1.4 Effect of Technological Change in the Industrial Sector on the Production Possibility Frontier

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Appendix 3.2: The Solow Neoclassical Growth Model

( ),Y F K Lγ γ γ=

( )

( ) 1

( ) ( ) ( ) ( )Y t Y t A t L t αα −

=

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( ),1 or ( )Y L f K L y f k= =

y Ak α

=

( ) ( )sf k n kδ∗ ∗= +

( ) ( )k sf k n kδ∆ = − +

Appendix 3.2 The Solow Neoclassical Growth Model

( ) ( ) (A3.2.4)k sf k n kδ∆ = − +

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Appendix 3.2 The Solow Neoclassical Growth Model

( *) ( ) * (A3.2.5)sf k n kδ= +

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Figure A3.2.1 Equilibrium in the Solow Growth Model

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Figure A3.2.2 The Long-Run Effect of Changing the Saving Rate in the Solow Model

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Appendix 3.3: Endogenous Growth Theory

• Motivation for the new growth theory

• The Romer model

Y AK L K= −α α β1

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Y AK L K i i i

= −α α β1

Y AK L= + −α β α1

[ ]1 N

g n β

α β − =

− −