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3.1 Classic Theories of Economic Development: Four Approaches
• Linear stages of growth model
• Theories and Patterns of structural change
• International-dependence revolution
• Neoclassical, free market
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• Neoclassical, free market counterrevolution
3.2 Development as Growth and Linear- Stages Theories
• A Classic Statement: Rostow’s Stages of Growth
• Harrod-Domar Growth Model (sometimes referred to as the AK model)
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referred to as the AK model)
The Harrod-Domar Model
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The Harrod-Domar Model
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Criticisms of the Stages Model
• Necessary versus sufficient conditions
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3.3 Structural-Change Models
• The Lewis two-sector model
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Figure 3.1 The Lewis Model of Modern-Sector Growth in a Two-Sector Surplus-Labor Economy
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Criticisms of the Lewis Model
• Rate of labor transfer and employment creation may not be proportional to rate of modern-sector capital accumulation
• Surplus labor in rural areas and full employment in urban?
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employment in urban?
• Institutional factors?
• Assumption of diminishing returns in modern industrial sector
Figure 3.2 The Lewis Model Modified by Laborsaving Capital Accumulation: Employment Implications
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Empirical Patterns of Development - Examples
• Switch from agriculture to industry (and services)
• Rural-urban migration and urbanization
• Steady accumulation of physical and
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• Steady accumulation of physical and human capital
• Population growth first increasing and then decreasing with decline in family size
3.4 The International-Dependence Revolution
• The neocolonial dependence model
– Legacy of colonialism, Unequal power, Core-periphery
• The false-paradigm model
– Pitfalls of using “expert” foreign advisors who misapply developed-country models
• The dualistic-development thesis
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• The dualistic-development thesis
– Superior and inferior elements can coexist; Prebisch- Singer Hypothesis
• Criticisms and limitations
– Does little to show how to achieve development in a positive sense; accumulating counterexamples
3.5 The Neoclassical Counterrevolution: Market Fundamentalism
• Challenging the Statist Model: Free Markets, Public Choice, and Market-Friendly Approaches – Free market approach
– Public choice approach
– Market-friendly approach
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– Market-friendly approach
• Main Arguments
– Denies efficiency of intervention
– Points up state owned enterprise failures
– Stresses government failures
– Traditional neoclassical growth theory - with diminishing returns, cannot sustain growth by capital accumulation alone
3.6 Classic Theories of Development: Reconciling the Differences
• Governments do fail, but so do markets; a balance is needed
• Must attend to institutional and political realities in developing world
• Development economics has no universally accepted paradigm
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paradigm
• Insights and understandings are continually evolving
• Each theory has some strengths and some weaknesses
Concepts for Review
• Autarky
• Average product
• Capital-labor ratio
• Capital-output ratio
• Center
• Dualism
• False-paradigm model
• Free market
• Free-market analysis
• Harrod-Domar growth model
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• Closed economy
• Comprador groups
• Dependence
• Dominance
model
• Lewis two-sector model
• Marginal product
• Market failure
Concepts for Review (cont’d)
• Market-friendly approach
• Necessary condition
• Neoclassical counterrevolution
• Neocolonial dependence model
• Production function
• Public-choice theory
• Self-sustaining growth
• Solow neoclassical growth model
• Stages-of-growth model of
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model
• Net savings ratio
• New political economy approach
• Open economy
• Patterns-of-development analysis
• Periphery
• Stages-of-growth model of development
• Structural-change theory
• Structural transformation
• Sufficient condition
• Surplus labor
• Underdevelopment
Appendix 3.1: Components of Economic Growth
• Capital Accumulation, investments in physical and human capital
– Increase capital stock
• Growth in population and labor force
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• Growth in population and labor force
• Technological progress
– Neutral, labor/capital-saving, labor/capital augmenting
Figure A3.1.1 Effect of Increases in Physical and Human Resources on the Production Possibility Frontier
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Figure A3.1.2 Effect of Growth of Capital Stock and Land on the Production Possibility Frontier
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Figure A3.1.3 Effect of Technological Change in the Agricultural Sector on the Production Possibility Frontier
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Figure A3.1.4 Effect of Technological Change in the Industrial Sector on the Production Possibility Frontier
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Appendix 3.2: The Solow Neoclassical Growth Model
( ),Y F K Lγ γ γ=
( )
( ) 1
( ) ( ) ( ) ( )Y t Y t A t L t αα −
=
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( ),1 or ( )Y L f K L y f k= =
y Ak α
=
( ) ( )sf k n kδ∗ ∗= +
( ) ( )k sf k n kδ∆ = − +
Appendix 3.2 The Solow Neoclassical Growth Model
( ) ( ) (A3.2.4)k sf k n kδ∆ = − +
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Appendix 3.2 The Solow Neoclassical Growth Model
( *) ( ) * (A3.2.5)sf k n kδ= +
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Figure A3.2.1 Equilibrium in the Solow Growth Model
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Figure A3.2.2 The Long-Run Effect of Changing the Saving Rate in the Solow Model
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Appendix 3.3: Endogenous Growth Theory
• Motivation for the new growth theory
• The Romer model
Y AK L K= −α α β1
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Y AK L K i i i
= −α α β1
Y AK L= + −α β α1
[ ]1 N
g n β
α β − =
− −