E-Business Strategy

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Disintermediation & Disruption

Suling Zhang

Xiaomi Case

Smart Phone OS Market Share

“The bulk of these Android players are squarely focused on the sub-US$200 space, driven by demand at increasingly value-oriented consumers.” - IDC

Smart Phone Shipment

Hyper-competitive Smart Phone Market

Android average selling price: US$230 in third quarter, down from US$267

The strength of the long tail of regional and local vendors

8% decline in the top 5 collective share

1.4 billion smartphones to be shipped worldwide in 2015

9.8% compound annual growth rate for the 2014–2018

Average selling price of US$297 worldwide in 2014, dropping to US$241 by 2018

Each generation of flagship phones shows less and less differentiation from its predecessors

China Mobile Phone Market

(source: Statista, 2015)

China Mobile Phone Market

Largest smart phone market

37% of the global aggregate

High level of saturation

75% of users access Internet through cell phone

Slower growth (64% in 2013, 14% in 2014)

Growth spurred by consumers switching to 3G and 4G smartphones

70% of clients using 2G cell phones

58% owners in 3rd or lower cities

In Tier 1 cities consumers are attracted to sophisticated devices with a luxurious brand image

Chinese consumers tend to prefer handsets with larger display screens.

Players in China Market

Xiaomi: 14% (5.1% of world market, the 3rd largest)

Samsung: 12%

Competition:

Foreign companies’ influence in China is declining year by year as the market share of Chinese companies continues to rise.

China is Apple’s largest market (36%). Apple is planning to triple the number of Apple retail stores in the next two years.

Samsung has been the best at producing phones that are ‘good enough’,

Local companies benefit from cheaper production costs, a close partnership with local operators and providing applications tailored to Chinese consumers

Half of the top ten world manufacturers are now Chinese: Xiaomi (3rd), Lenovo (4th), Huawei (5th), Yulong (8th) and ZTE (9th).

Q: Is 2010 a right time to create Xiaomi in China?

timing by analyzing:

Customers trends: demographics, life style, values

Technology trends

Competition landscape

Questions to ask:

Can I come up with the right product and business model?

Do I have the capability to execute it?

Four Important Parties to Heed to

Supplier

Computer processors, sensors, displays, user interface devices, open source software, common functions, cloud storage and processing, open data

Combiner:

Drones

3D printing

Investor

Users:

co-innovators, esp. DIY users

market experimenters

Lobbyist

Founder Team

Founder Jun Lei

Founder of Kingsoft

Founder of Zhuoyue

Successful angel investor

11.6 million followers on Weibo

www.mi.com

Image: a hip, cool company that understands what the younger generation wants.

Chronicle of Events

2010.6: Founded in Beijing

2010.8: MIUI

2010.12: MI Chat (1 million users in 1 month)

2011.8: MI 1 Smartphone ($330), bbs.xiaomi.cn (37 million users)

2012.8: MI 2 Smartphone (11 million units sold in 11 months)

2012.11: Xiaomi Box ($50)

2013.7: Red Mi ($150)

2013.8: Hugo Barra (Google Android VP) joined Xiaomi

2013.9: MI 3 Smartphone (the World’s fastest Android smartphone)

2013.10: MI TV ($500)

2014.7: MI 4 Smartphone

2015.1: MI Note ($540)

Xiaomi Strategy

Fast growth from a niche market to a mass market

Create a blue ocean

Disrupt the market leader from all sides

Great products at affordable price customized to clients needs

Xiaomi Tactics

Quality: Tongrentang

Use same components and assemblers as the industry leaders

Customized Android system for Chinese users

Efficiency: Walmart, Costco

Operating cost around 4%

Focus on three core products

Direct sell online and social networking websites

7500 employees

Hire the best/most productive

Deliver more than the customer expected: Haidilao

What factors should be eliminated that the industry has taken for granted?

Eliminate

What factors should be reduced well below the industry standard?

Reduce

What factors should be created that the industry has never offered?

Create

What factors should be raised well beyond the industry standard?

Raise

Four Actions to create a Blue Ocean

Formulating your Blue Ocean business model

Buyer utility

Price

Finding the price which attracts the largest market

Cost

Simplify your operation

Change design

Find partner

Restructure price

Acceptance

Build an User Community

Motto: born for the fans

Initial 100 users are key

Users submit ideas, experiment with different ways of using the product and spread word-of-mouth

Sample ideas: filter calls, alert wifi free riders

Encourage interactions with users

Founder team at least 15 minutes to interact with users on forum

Engineers to interact directly with fan and feel they are working for fans

Ride the wave of social media

11m users in Xiaomi BBS, 10m in QQ space, 30m followers in Weibo, 3m followers on Wechat

Offline activities for fans:

Mi Fan Festival, Same city Mi Fan Meeting, MIPop Award

Xiaomi Marketing

Image brand: Young, Cool

Create an atmosphere of Losers’ Counterback

Good at telling stories

Use opinion leaders

Celebrity like product launch event, fans attended

Create your own language

E.g. F code, MIPop

Xiaomi Box Brothers

Xiaomi Flash Sales

MI1: 300,000 units preordered in half day

M12: 100,000 units sold in 2 minutes

Red Mi: 100,000 unites sold in 1.5 minutes

Red Mi Note: 2.2 million preorders in 3 minutes

Q: Will Flash Sales continue to work for Xiaomi?

MI Smartphone Sales Trajectory

Expansion into 6 countries: 1m Xiaomi handset in US, 1m in India

Financing History

2010.12: $40 million at valuation of $250 million

2011.12: $90 million at valuation of $1 billion

2012: $216 million at valuation of 4 billion

2013: market valuation of 10 billion

2014.12: $1.1 billion at valuation of $45 billion

Fast Rate of Innovation

Idea generation

Users generate ideas more than just beta testing and being focus groups

Research & Development: open source software, cloud computing, off-the-shelf component, specialized parts become commodities as billions of smart phones sold.

Funding: crowdfunding, abundance of VC

(Downes & Nunes, 2014)

Unconstrained Growth

The declining costs of information

Large database of standardized information on marketing, sales, and other transaction data, user feedback, performance comparison

Give consumers great leverage

Companies cannot hid behind slick marketing campaigns

Lower transaction costs for new products

Exponential growth of new transactions

Users no longer divided into pioneers, early adoption, early majority, late majority, laggards

Q: strength of brand weakens?

Xiaomi’s Evolution towards an Xiaomi Ecosystem

Build an ecosystem of related hardware connected on a single software platform with value-adding services and contents

Smart hardware: MI Band, MI air purifier, MI camcorder, MI Router, MI Mobile Charger, headsets, iHealth, wifi generator

Smart appliances: Midea

Content

Online video webites: aiQiyi and Youku

Social networking service MiChat

Movie, game studios

Games: 14Q4: monthly revenue RMB200 million

Education, domestic services, map

Operating system: MIUI

Cloud storage

Proprietary software

Goal: make another 50 Xiaomi, investing in 100 hardware companies

Q:How would the smaller companies compete?

Challenges

Optimizing sales and profits while curbing the downside risk of excess or insufficient inventory.

Patents

Stiff competition at all fronts

Xiaomi’s Patent Challenges

Global patent system

More than 100 patent disputes by smart phone suppliers by 2013

Tit-for-Tat global patent war on daily basis

patent litigation and patent purchase costs smart phone markers up to $20 billion between 2011 and 2012

Patent spending by Google & Apple exceeds R&D spending

Patent pool, cross licensing

Can Apple be disrupted by Xiaomi?

How will Xiaomi be Disrupted?