OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT

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DSCI 303 Session 01 - Sep 03.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

Session 01

1

Why should anyone study Operations Management?

Transformation of inputs into output/s is at the core of every business

Important for even non-OM executives across functional areas

Every business activity is a process, and OM provides a framework to understand, analyze, and improve business processes

What kind of job / business are you targeting at the end of your studies?

Let’s take some examples..

OM can help in every instance!

What knowledge, skills, and tools can help you succeed in that?

Breadth of knowledge

Ability to systematically analyze a business problem and present the findings

Ability to work with a diverse set of people

Ability to see the big picture (i.e. how the business makes money!)

http:// www.youtube.com/watch?v=DS9TqkGR2t0

Why are we here ?????????

2

How a firm creates value and makes money:

How effective Ops Mgmt. is a key to maximizing revenue and minimizing costs

Process analysis:

Process mapping, process design, management, control, and improvements

How to manage products and services:

Similarities and differences

What will we learn???

3

The course is explicitly designed to cover each of these!

Interactive lectures will introduce the main topics

Real-life examples will help us relate to these concepts

There will be pre-announced quizzes along the way

Class participation will:

Improve everyone’s learning

Improve your course grade

Homework assignments will:

Test your ability to apply the course concepts on your own

How will we achieve this ???

4

Group project will get you to:

Hone your ability to work in teams, and prepare a professional report

Present your collective findings to a managerial audience

Finally, a comprehensive final exam will give you an opportunity to showcase all your knowledge and skills acquired or augmented during the course!

How will we achieve this ???

5

In-class Quizzes:

Pre-announced on Blackboard, administered in-class

No make-up quizzes offered

Individual effort only

Each quiz carries 20 points

6 Quizzes in total, only best 5 scores will be retained

Collectively, the quizzes drive 10% of the final grade

Let’s take a closer look!

6

Homework Assignments:

Pre-scheduled, available on Blackboard from the beginning!

Submission only through Blackboard

Individual effort only

Each assignment carries 150 points

No late submissions, no make-up assignments

3 assignments in total, only best 2 scores will be retained

Collectively, the homework assignments drive 30% of the final grade

Let’s take a closer look!

7

Term (team) Project:

Will require teams of 4 students each

An announcement with instructions will be sent on Sep 15

Each team will analyze the assigned company’s business throughout the term

Each team will need to submit two interim reports, and one final report

No late submissions, no make-up project

The term project carries 200 points, and drives 20% of the final grade

Let’s take a closer look!

8

Term (team) Project Presentation

(with optional video recording & debrief):

Tied to the term project

Will be scheduled for Dec 8, 9, 10, 11

Carries 100 points, and drives 10% of the final grade

More details will be provided later on..

Let’s take a closer look!

9

Final Exam (optional, provided you act in time):

Comprehensive!

Open textbook / notes (non-electronic)

Bring your own calculator/pen/pencils (BYOCPP)

See the 1st page of course syllabus for the schedule

Will be 2-hr long

No alternate arrangements allowed except for students with a pre-certified disability

Carries 200 points, and drives 20% of the final grade (unless declared otherwise by submitting your choice before the deadline)

Let’s take a closer look!

10

Class Attendance and Participation:

Attendance:

2 points x 25 out of 27 sessions = 50 points = 5% of the final grade

Participation:

0-5 points per session, 50 points max = 5% of the final grade

Let’s take a closer look!

11

Let’s repeat..

12

Do show up in every class, better yet – do come prepared!

Do read the HWs before each class, write up your answers right after the class!

Do remain courteous to your faculty & fellow students at all times.

Do read the instructions in the syllabus and the assignments before starting.

Do leverage (in a timely manner..) all opportunities to get feedback.

Do choose your teammates wisely!

Do check your submissions before AS WELL AS after submitting!

Do follow “work hard, play hard” strategy!

Do have FUN!

How to get an A: Some do’s

13

Don’t apologize for arriving late or leaving early! Just get on with it..

Don’t let your phone ring and don’t look at your phone / tablet / laptop..

Don’t pack up your things before I actually end the class!

Don’t ever ask if you “missed anything important” during an absence!

Don’t ask about ANYTHING without checking the syllabus first!

Don’t plagiarize, else be prepared for the consequences..

Don’t get mad if you receive critical feedback.

Don’t EVER ask for a better grade just because you have always had an A!

Don’t complain about the workload saying “you know, this isn't the only class I'm taking”..

How to get an A: Some don’ts

14

Now, let’s get to know one another!

15

Amit (that’s me..):

Origin

Continents

Three lives

Education

Industries

Current interests and hobbies

16

Now, it’s your turn: Cover the following quickly:

Name, where you are from (State / Country)

One interesting fact about you that almost no one knows..

The grade that you want to score in this course..

17

Questions?

18

18

Sr. Assessment Item Points Weight

1

Knowledge of Key Operations Concepts

 In-class Quizzes (best 5 out of 6)

20 points x 5 = 100 points 10%

2

Application of Knowledge

 Homework Assignments (best 2 out of 3)

150 points X 2 = 300 points 30%

 Term Project (1)

200 points X 1 = 200 points 20%

 Final Exam* (1)

200 points X 1 = 200 points 20%

3

Presentation of Work

 Term Project Presentation (1)

100 points X 1 = 100 points 10%

4

Class Attendance and Participation

 Class Attendance (25 out of 27 )

2 points X 25 = 50 points 5%

 Class Participation (27 sessions)

0-5 points X 27 = 50 points 5%

Total: 1000 points 100%

* = Optional, provided you respond to a Blackboard assignment by the stated deadline. If so, your course

grade will be based on the rest of the assessmen ts. If no response is received by the deadline, the final

exam is mandatory. In this case, the final exam will count towards the course grade regardless of

whether you actually show up for the final or not.

DSCI 303 Session 02 - Sep 08.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

Session 02

1

What is Operations and Supply Chain Management?

Operations and supply management (OSM): The design, operation, and improvement of the systems that create and deliver the firm’s primary products and services

Concerned with the management of the entire system that produces a good or delivers a service

2

Operations: One Firm

Customers

Input resources

Output products and services

Transformed resources

Materials

Information

Customers

Transforming resources

Facilities

Staff

Design

Planning and control

Operation’s performance

Operations strategy

Improvement

Operations management

Operations strategy

3

“Dominant” Transformed Resource

Material? Information? Customer?

4

Manufacturing Operations

Mining companies

Warehouses

Postal services

Container shipping line

Trucking companies

Grocery Store

Automobile Plant

Banks

Airline

Financial Analysis

Theme Park

News Service

Theatre

Telecom

Spa

Market Research

Dentist

Online Trading

Gym

Google

Hotel

Credit card company

Skydiving

Products vs. Services

Intangibility

Inseparability

Heterogeneity

Perishability

5

5

Products – Services Continuum

6

6

Products with services or Services with products?

Benefits?

Examples?

Future?

Servitization

7

Design: the processes for designing products and services through active collaboration between suppliers, customers, and the firm

Planning: the processes needed to operate an existing supply chain / firm operations strategically

Sourcing: the selection of suppliers that will deliver the goods and services needed to create and deliver the firm’s product

Making: Where the major product is produced or the service is provided

Delivering: carriers are picked to move products to warehouses and customers

Returning: the processes for receiving worn-out, defective, and excess products back from customers

Work Involved..

8

Operations: Entire Supply Chain

9

The consultancy services market – % of worldwide revenues of 40 largest consultancy firms

Marketing/sales

2

Operations and process management

31

Corporate strategy

17

IT strategy

17

Benefits/Actuarial

16

Organizational design

11

Financial

6

Operations management is fashionable!

10

10

Flow between operations

The level of the supply network

The level of the operation

Flow between processes

The level of the process

Flow between resources

Operations at Three Different Levels

11

11

Financial services

An account management centre at a large retail bank

Financial analyst advising a client at an investment bank

Furniture manufacturing

Mass production of kitchen units

Craft production of reproduction ‘antique’ furniture

Hotels

Value-for-money hotel

Lobby of an international luxury hotel

Differences within Sectors vs. between Sectors

12

12

Variation in demand

High

Low

Visibility

High

Low

Variety

High

Low

High

Volume

Low

High

What affects Operations?

The 4 Vs

13

13

High

Implications

Low repetition

Each staff member performs more of each task

Less systemization

High unit costs

Implications

High repeatability

Specialization

Capital intensive

Low unit costs

Volume

Low

High

What affects Operations?

The implications of high and low Volume in operations and processes

14

14

High

Implications

Flexible

Complex

Match customer needs

High unit costs

Implications

Well defined

Routine

Standardized

Regular

Low unit costs

Variety

High

Low

The implications of high and low Variety in operations and processes

What affects Operations?

15

15

High

Implications

Changing capacity

Anticipation

Flexibility

In touch with demand

High unit costs

Implications

Stable

Routine

Predictable

High utilization

Low unit costs

Variation in demand

High

Low

The implications of high and low Variation in operations and processes

What affects Operations?

16

16

High

Implications

Short waiting tolerance

Satisfaction governed by customer perception

Customer contact skills needed

Received variety is high

High unit costs

Implications

Time lag between production and consumption

Standardization

Low contact skills

High staff utilization

Centralization

Low unit costs

Visibility

High

Low

The implications of high and low Visibility in operations and processes

What affects Operations?

17

17

Questions?

18

DSCI 303 Session 03 - Sep 10.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

Session 03

1

Operations can make or break a firm..

2

Operations: Stakeholders

Shareholders

Directors / top management

Staff

Staff representative bodies

Regulatory bodies

Government

Suppliers

Lobby / interest groups

Customers

‘Society’

3

Triple Bottom Line

Operations Performance Objectives

4

Competitive Dimensions

Operations Performance Objectives

Competitiveness

Quality

Being RIGHT

Speed

Being FAST

Dependability

Being ON TIME

Cost

Being PRODUCTIVE

Being ABLE TO CHANGE

Flexibility

5

All objectives may not be as important!

Polar diagrams are used to indicate the relative importance of each performance objective to an operation or process.

They can also be used to indicate the difference between different products and services produced by an operation or process.

Cost

Quality

Flexibility

Dependability

Speed

6

6

Polar diagrams for

a Taxi service vs. a Bus service

(Shows the relative importance of each competitive dimension)

7

This chart was created in MS-Excel using “Radar Chart”

7

Questions?

8

DSCI 303 Session 04 - Sep 15.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

Session 04

1

Operations Strategy vs. Operations Management

2

What is strategy?

Setting broad objectives that direct an enterprise towards its overall goal.

Planning the path (in general rather than specific terms) that will achieve these goals.

Stressing long-term rather than short-term objectives.

Dealing with the total picture rather than stressing individual activities.

Being detached from, and above, the confusion and distractions of day-to-day activities.

3

What is the role of the operations function?

Operations as implementer of strategy

Operations implements strategy

Strategy

Operations

Operations drives strategy

Operations as driver of strategy

Strategy

Operations

Operations supports strategy

Operations as supporter of strategy

Strategy

Operations

4

4

Top-down perspective

What the business wants operations to do

Operations resources perspective

What operations resources can do

What day-to-day experience suggests operations should do

Bottom-up perspective

Market requirement perspective

What the market position requires operations to do

Operations strategy

The four perspectives on operations strategy

5

5

1

What you HAVE

in terms of operations capabilities

What you NEED

to ‘compete’ in the market

Operations resources

Market requirements

What you WANT

from your operations to help you ‘compete’

What you DO

to maintain your capabilities and satisfy markets

Strategic reconciliation

Reconciling market requirements and operations resources

6

6

Operations strategy at Flextronics

Operations strategic decisions

Industrial parks, with

low cost but close locations

and co-located suppliers

Market requirements

Low costs

Responsiveness

Flexibility

Flextronics

7

Operations strategy at Southwest

Operations strategic decisions

Stripped down service

One technology

Cheap airport locations

Fast turnround

Market requirements

Low prices

Reliability

Basic service

8

Competitive Dimensions

Operations Performance Objectives

Competitiveness

Quality

Being RIGHT

Speed

Being FAST

Dependability

Being ON TIME

Cost

Being PRODUCTIVE

Being ABLE TO CHANGE

Flexibility

9

Order-winning, qualifying, and less important competitive factors

Neutral

+ve

–ve

Performance

Competitive benefit

Qualifying factors

Order qualifiers: the basic criteria that permit the firms products to be considered as candidates for purchase by customers

10

10

Order-winning, qualifying, and less important competitive factors

Neutral

+ve

–ve

Performance

Competitive benefit

Order-winning factors

Order winners: the criteria that differentiates the products and services of one firm from another

11

11

Neutral

+ve

–ve

Performance

Competitive benefit

Less important factors

Order-winning, qualifying, and less important competitive factors

Less important factors: the criteria that customers hardly care about

12

12

Introduction

Growth

Maturity

Decline

Sales volume

Volume

Customers

Competitors

Variety of product/ service design

Slow growth in sales

Innovators

Few/none

Customization or frequent design changes

Rapid growth in sales volume

Early adopters

Increasing numbers

Increasingly standardized

Sales slow and level off

Bulk of market

Stable number

Emerging dominant types

Market needs largely met

Laggards

Declining numbers

Possible move to commodity standardization

The effects of the product / service life cycle

Time

13

13

6

Introduction

Growth

Maturity

Decline

Sales volume

The effects of the product / service life cycle (Continued)

Time

Likely order winners

Likely qualifiers

Dominant performance objectives

Product/ service characteristics

Quality

range

Flexibility

quality

Availability quality

Price range

Speed

dependability

quality

Low price

dependable supply

Quality

range

Cost

dependability

Low price

Dependable supply

Cost

14

14

6

Next time..

Quiz 1

Questions?

16

DSCI 303 Session 05 - Sep 17.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

Session 05

1

Quiz 1

Product & Service Design

Operations strategy

Design

Improvement

Planning and control

Process design

Supply network design

Layout

and flow

Process technology

People, jobs and organization

Product/service design

Operations management

3

3

Products, services and the processes which produce them all have to be designed.

Decisions taken during the design of a product or service will have an impact on the decisions taken during the design of the process which produces those products or services and vice versa.

Nature and purpose of the design activity

4

4

The design of products/services (WHAT) and…

…the design of processes (HOW)

Products and services should be designed in such a way that they can be created effectively.

Product/service design has an impact on the process design and vice versa.

Processes should be designed so they can create all products and services which the operation is likely to introduce.

5

5

What is designed in a product or service?

A concept

the understanding of the nature, use and value of the service or product;

A package

the group of ‘component’ products and services that provide those benefits defined in the concept;

A process

the way in which the component products and services will be created and delivered.

6

6

The stages of product / service design

Concept generation

Concept screening

Preliminary design

Evaluation and improvement

Prototyping and final design

7

7

Concept generation

Ideas from customers formally through Marketing activities

Listening to customers – on a day-to-day basis

Ideas from competitor activity – For example, reverse engineering

Ideas from staff – Especially those who meet customers every day

Ideas from research and development

Ideas from other stakeholders

8

8

Broad categories of evaluation criteria for assessing concepts

Feasibility – How difficult is it?

The criteria for screening concepts

What investment both managerial and financial, will be needed?

What return

in terms of benefits to the operation will it give?

What risks

do we run if things go wrong?

Acceptability – How worthwhile is it?

Vulnerability – What could go wrong?

Overall evaluation of the concept

Concept screening

9

9

Uncertainty regarding the final design

Certainty regarding the final design

TIME

Reduction in number of possibilities along the way

CONCEPT

FINAL DESIGN SPECIFICATON

Choice and evaluation ‘Screens’

Large number of design options

One design

10

10

Example – Square watermelons

What market-related questions would you ask before producing square watermelons commercially?

What finance-related questions would you ask before producing square watermelons commercially?

What operations-related questions would you ask before producing square watermelons commercially?

11

11

Designing Service Products

Service products are very different

Direct customer involvement introduces significant variability in the process

Questions to address:

How will this variability be addressed?

What are the implications for operational cost and the customer service experience?

12

Questions?

13

Operation management2.zip

DSCI 303 Session 06 - Sep 22.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

Session 06

1

Designing processes

There are different ‘process types’.

Process types are defined by the volume and variety of ‘items’ they process.

Process types go by different names depending on whether they produce products or services.

2

2

High

Volume

Low

High

Variety

Project

Low

Manufacturing process types

Process tasks

Process flow

Diverse/ complex

Repeated/ divided

Intermittent

Continuous

Jobbing

Batch / Cell

Mass

Contin-uous

3

3

One-off, complex, large scale, high work content ‘products’

Specially made, every one customized

Defined start and finish: time, quality and cost objectives

Many different skills have to be coordinated.

Project processes

4

4

Very small quantities: ‘one-offs’, or only a few required

Specially made. High variety, low repetition. ‘Strangers’ every one customized

Skill requirements are usually very broad

Skilled jobber, or team, complete whole product.

Jobbing processes

5

5

Higher volumes and lower variety than for jobbing

Standard products, repeating demand. But can make specials

Specialized, narrower skills

Set-ups (changeovers) at each stage of production.

Batch Processes

6

6

Higher volumes than batch

Standard, repeat products (‘runners’)

No set-ups, or almost instantaneous ones.

Low and/or narrow skills

Mass (line) processes

7

7

Extremely high volumes and low variety: often single product

Standard, repeat products (‘runners’)

Highly capital-intensive and automated

Few changeovers required

Difficult and expensive to start and stop the process.

Continuous processes

8

8

Volume

Low

High

Variety

Low

High

Service process types

Process tasks

Process flow

Diverse/ complex

Repeated/ divided

Intermittent

Continuous

Professional service

Service shop

Mass service

9

9

Professional service

High levels of customer (client) contact.

Clients spend a considerable time in the service process.

High levels of customization with service processes being highly adaptable.

Contact staff are given high levels of discretion in servicing customers.

People-based rather than equipment-based.

10

10

Medium levels of volumes of customers

Medium, or mixed, levels of customer contact

Medium, or mixed, levels of customization

Medium, or mixed, levels of staff discretion.

Service shops

11

11

High levels of volumes of customers

Low to medium levels of customer contact

Low, or mixed, levels of customization

Low, or mixed, levels of staff discretion.

Mass service

12

12

All the options:

13

13

Variety

Volume

Deviating from the ‘natural’ diagonal..

None

None

The ‘natural’ line of fit of process to volume/variety characteristics

Project

Jobbing

Batch

Mass

Continuous

Manufacturing operations process types

Professional

service

Service

shop

Mass

service

Service operations process types

More process flexibility than is needed so high cost

Less process flexibility than is needed so high cost

14

14

9

Questions?

15

DSCI 303 Session 07 - Sep 24.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

Session 07

1

Throughput (TH) = Work In Process (WIP) x Cycle Time (CT)

Little’s law (a really quite useful law)

Cycle time = 2 mins

Throughput time = ?

WIP = 10

Throughput time = 10 × 2 mins

Throughput time = 20 mins

2

2

Throughput time and capacity utilization

0

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Capacity utilization

Low

X

X

X

High utilization but long throughput times

Low utilization but short throughput times

Reduce process variability

High

10 mins

30 mins

Arrival frequency (demand)

Processing time

Utilization = 33.33 % Q = 0

Average length of queue

X

Utilization = 50 % Q = 0

20 mins

X

10 mins

Utilization = 100 % Q = 0

X

Utilization = 100 % Q = infinity

9 mins

X

5–15 mins

5–15 mins

Arrival frequency (demand)

Processing time

Utilization = <100% % Q = >0

Process throughput time

(or inventory)

3

3

Term Project

What?

How?

When?

Where?

4

4

Homework 1 can be submitted on Blackboard

from Sep 26

& is due by 6 pm on Oct 3

Questions?

6

DSCI 303 Session 08 - Sep 29.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

Session 08

1

The relative positioning of transforming resources

Layout design involves..

The allocation of tasks to transforming resources

The flow of transformed resources

2

2

Layout types: Fixed-position layout

3

3

Layout types: Functional layout

4

4

Layout types: Cell layout

5

5

Layout types: Product layout

6

6

Regular flow more important

Regular flow more feasible

Layout types – impact of volume and variety

Low

Volume

High

High

Variety

Low

Fixed-position layout

Functional layout

Cell layout

Product layout

Flow becomes continuous

Flow is intermittent

7

7

Service functional types

Mass services

Service shops

Manufacturing functional types

Continuous processes

Mass processes

Batch processes

Basic layout types

Fixed-position layout

Functional layout

Cell layout

Product layout

Process and layout types..

Jobbing processes

Professional services

Project processes

8

8

Cost implications of layout types

Volume

Costs

Use product

Use

cell

Use functional

Use fixed-position

Fixed-position

Functional

Cell

Product

9

9

9

1 every 15 minutes

15

15

15

15

1 every 15 minutes

30

30

30

30

Product Layout: ‘Long and thin’ versus ‘short and fat’ layouts

1 every 15 minutes

60

60

60

60

Short -fat process

Long-thin process

A 60 minute task with a required cycle time of 15 minutes

10

10

Product Layout: ‘Long and thin’ versus ‘short and fat’ layouts

11

Advantages of long-thin processes

Controlled flow

Simple materials handling

Lower capital requirement (no duplication)

Greater efficiency

Higher space utilization

Advantages of short-fat processes

Higher mix flexibility

Higher volume flexibility

Greater robustness

Less monotonous

Higher ownership

Long and short describes the number of stages

Fat and thin describes the amount of work at each stage

11

Next time..

Quiz 2

12

Homework 1 is due by 6 pm on Oct 3

Questions?

14

DSCI 303 Session 09 - Oct 01.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

Session 09

1

Quiz 2

Supply Chain Design: Key Questions

What is a SUPPLY CHAIN?

Why should an organization take a total supply network perspective?

What is involved in configuring a supply network?

What type of supply network is appropriate?

Where should an operation be located?

3

3

Customers..

Suppliers..

What is a Supply Chain?

The Firm

Supply…CHAIN..

2nd tier..

1st tier..

1st tier..

2nd tier..

Upstream..

Downstream..

4

4

An example..

5

Plastic homeware manufacturer

First tier suppliers

Packaging supplier

Plastic stockist

First tier customers

Wholesaler

Second tier suppliers

Ink supplier

Cardboard company

Chemical company

Second tier customers

Retailer

Retailer

Direct supply

Information

5

Why take a total supply network perspective?

Looking at the whole supply chain allows a firm:

To identify significant linkages / risks involved

To focus on long-term issues

To understand the sources of competitive advantages and disadvantages

To decide on the extent of vertical integration

6

6

What is involved in configuring a Supply Chain?

Decide on the extent of vertical integration

Decide on the type of supply chain

Decide on where to locate the business

7

7

Vertical integration

Extent – Narrow process span

Extent – Wide process span

Direction – Upstream vertical integration

Direction – Downstream vertical integration

Wholesaler

Raw material suppliers

Component maker

Assembly operation

Retailer

Balance — should excess capacity be used to supply other companies?

8

8

Types of supply chain..

Demand Uncertainty

Supply Uncertainty

9

9

Offshoring & outsourcing: related YET different..

10

Outsourcing

Domestic supplier delivers products and/or services

Offshore outsourcing

Overseas supplier delivers products and/or services

Domestic operations

Focal operation performs activities themselves

Offshore operations

Focal operation’s overseas operation delivers products and/or services

Location of operations

Don’t own the assets

Own the assets

Domestic

International

10

Deciding where to locate..

The

operation

Supply-side factors

which vary to influence costs as location varies.

For example:

labor costs

land costs

energy costs

transportation costs

community factors

Demand-side factors

which vary to influence customer service/revenue

as location varies.

For example:

labor skills

suitability of site

Image

convenience for customers

11

11

Supply chain planning and control

First tier supplier

Second tier supplier

First tier customer

Second tier customer

End customer

Demand side

Supply side

Purchasing and supply management

Physical distribution management

Logistics

Materials management

Supply chain management

Information flow

Physical flow

12

12

Homework 1 is due by 6 pm on Oct 3

Questions?

14

DSCI 303 Session 10 - Oct 06.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

Session 10

1

Supply chain management ..

Products and services

New products and services

Delivery information

Payment request/Credit.

‘Downstream’ flow of products and services for customer

Fulfilment

‘Upstream’ flow of customer

Requirements

Long-term plans and requirements

Market research information

Individual orders

Payment

Demands for new products and services

Flow between processes

Consumer

Flow between processes

Flow between processes

Operation 1

Operation 2

Operation 3

2

2

P&G finds that retail demand for diapers is very steady

The orders placed by a firm (i.e., demand for upstream firms) should also be steady

Low demand variation should imply low safety stock

Is that what actually happens????

NO! Demand shows GREATER volatility for upstream firms!

3

The bullwhip effect:

P&G

DC

Distributor

Walmart

Target

Retailers

Supplier

Manufacturer

Factory

4

What actually happens?

Weekly demand

Weekly demand

Weekly demand

Weekly demand

Weekly demand

Bullwhip Effect: Demand and inventory variation is amplified as you go upstream in the supply chain

P&G

DC

Distributor

Walmart

Target

Retailers

Supplier

Manufacturer

Factory

Orders

0

Time

Sales from Retailer

Consumers

Orders

0

Time

Retailer’s orders to Wholesaler

Time

Wholesaler’s orders to Distributor

Orders

0

Distributor’s orders to Manufacturer

Orders

0

Time

Retailer

Wholesaler

Distributor

Manufacturer

The bullwhip effect:

Demand variation increases in magnitude as we go upstream

The more upstream we go, the more swings we encounter

5

5

The bullwhip effect:

6

6

MARKET

6

5

4

3

2

1

3rd LEVEL SUPPLIER

2nd LEVEL SUPPLIER

1st LEVEL SUPPLIER

ORIGINAL EQUIPMENT MFG.

DEMAND

PERIOD

Prodn.

Stock

Prodn.

Stock

Prodn.

Stock

Prodn.

Stock

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

3

2

1

ALL OPERATIONS HOLD ONE PERIOD’S STOCK

20

100

60

60

100

80

80

100

90

100

95

90

100

95

180

60

120

120

80

100

100

90

95

95

95

95

95

60

120

90

90

100

95

95

95

95

100

90

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

95

The bullwhip effect:

OEM

7

7

The bullwhip effect..

6

5

4

3

2

1

3rd LEVEL SUPPLIER

2nd LEVEL SUPPLIER

1st LEVEL SUPPLIER

ORIGINAL EQUIPMENT MFG.

DEMAND

PERIOD

Prodn.

Stock

Prodn.

Stock

Prodn.

Stock

Prodn.

Stock

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

Name:

DSCI 303: Quiz 3

Grading: 20 points (total)

1 point for completely filling both columns for each supply chain entity x 4 = 4 points

4 points for getting all numbers correct for each supply chain entity x 4 = 16 points

On Oct 15!

8

8

9

The bullwhip effect - Causes

Causes of bullwhip effect

Demand forecast update

Order batching

Price fluctuation

Order rationing and gaming

10

The bullwhip effect - Remedy

Improved communication across the supply chain

Better forecast

Consistent pricing

Accurate, real-time sharing of demand data (ERP systems can help)

Reduce delays (order processing delays as well as shipping delays)

Term Project: 1st Interim Report is due

by 6 pm on Oct 10

Questions?

12

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

135791113151719

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

135791113151719

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

135791113151719

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

135791113151719

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

135791113151719

Operation management 3.zip

DSCI 303 Session 11 - Oct 08.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

Session 11

1

Web-integrated enterprise resource planning (collaborative commerce, c-commerce)

Enterprise resource planning (ERP)

Manufacturing resource planning (MRPII)

Increasing integration of information systems

Increasing impact on the whole supply network

The development of ERP

Material requirements planning (MRP)

2

2

Material requirements planning

Master production schedule

Customer orders

Forecast demand

Bill of materials

Inventory records

Purchase orders

Materials plans

Works orders

Material Requirement Planning (MRP) schematic

3

3

The concept of MRP II

Design

Marketing

Operations

Finance

Central database

4

4

Integrated database

ERP integrates several systems

Purchasing and supply applications

Operations applications

Financial applications

Strategic reporting applications

Sales and marketing applications

Delivery and logistics applications

Service applications

HRM applications

Senior management and stakeholders

Employees

Suppliers

Customers

Front-office staff

Back-office staff

Employees

5

5

‘Partnership’ supply management

The character of internal operations activity

Do nothing

Do everything important

Do everything

Transactional – many suppliers

Close –

few suppliers

Type of inter-firm contact

Virtual spot trading

Long-term virtual operation

Vertically integrated operation

Traditional supply management

Supply chain relationships – by relationship

6

6

Business to Business (B2B)

Most common, all but the last link in the supply chain

E-commerce examples:

EDI networks

Business information exchanges.

Business to Consumer (B2C)

Retail operations

Catalogue operations, etc.

E-commerce examples:

Internet retailers

Amazon.com, etc.

Consumer to Business (C2B)

Consumers ‘offer’, business responds

E-commerce examples:

Some airline ticket operators

Priceline.com, etc.

Supply chain relationships – by entities

Trading ‘swap’ and auction transactions

E-commerce examples:

Specialist ‘collector’ sites

Ebay.com, etc.

Consumer to Consumer (C2C)

Business

Consumer

To…

Business

Consumer

From…

7

7

Logistics-System Design Matrix

Modes of transport

8

Term Project: 1st Interim Report is due

by 6 pm on Oct 10

Next time (Wed)..

Quiz 3

10

Questions?

11

DSCI 303 Session 12 - Oct 15.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

Session 12

1

The bullwhip effect..

6

5

4

3

2

1

3rd LEVEL SUPPLIER

2nd LEVEL SUPPLIER

1st LEVEL SUPPLIER

ORIGINAL EQUIPMENT MFG.

DEMAND

PERIOD

Prodn.

Stock

Prodn.

Stock

Prodn.

Stock

Prodn.

Stock

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

Name:

DSCI 303: Quiz 3

Grading: 20 points (total)

1 point for completely filling both columns for each supply chain entity x 4 = 4 points

4 points for getting all numbers correct for each supply chain entity x 4 = 16 points

Today is Oct 15!

2

Quiz 3

Operation or process

Input

Output

Compare / replan

Intervention

Plans

A simple model of planning and control

Monitor

4

4

Planning is deciding

Control is

what activities should take place in the operation

when they should take place

what resources should be allocated to them

understanding what is actually happening in the operation

deciding whether there is a significant deviation from what should be happening

(if there is a deviation) changing resources in order to affect the operation’s activities.

Planning and control (Continued)

5

5

Planning: P:D ratio

6

The P:D ratio of an operation indicates how long the customer has to wait for the service or product as compared with the total time to carry out all the activities to make the service or product available to the customer

Cust-omer

Obtain resources

Create

Deliver

Design

P = D

Design, resource, create and deliver to order

Cust-omer

Create

Deliver

Obtain resources

Design

D

P

Design, create and deliver to order

Examples: advertising agency, construction project

Examples: website development, custom furniture production

Lower volume

Higher variety

Higher volume

Lower variety

4

Planning: P:D ratio

7

The P:D ratio of an operation indicates how long the customer has to wait for the service or product as compared with the total time to carry out all the activities to make the service or product available to the customer

Cust-omer

Cust-omer

Lower volume

Higher variety

Higher volume

Lower variety

Create

Deliver

Obtain resources

Choose

D

P

Create and deliver to order

Examples: hair blow-dry bar, house builder with standard designs

Deliver

Obtain resources

Choose

D

Create

Create

P

Examples: internet retail fulfilment, assemble to order computers (e.g. Dell)

Partially create and deliver to order

4

Planning: P:D ratio

8

The P:D ratio of an operation indicates how long the customer has to wait for the service or product as compared with the total time to carry out all the activities to make the service or product available to the customer

Cust-omer

Cust-omer

Lower volume

Higher variety

Higher volume

Lower variety

Deliver

Obtain resources

Choose

D

Create

P

Create to stock

Examples: domestic appliance production

Deliver

Obtain resources

Choose

D

Create

P

Collect/choose from stock

Examples: collect retailer (e.g. IKEA), vending machines

4

Process: any part of an organization that takes inputs and transforms them into outputs

Cycle time: the average successive time between completions of successive units

Utilization: the ratio of the time that a resource is actually activated relative to the time that it is available for use

Process Analysis

9

4

Single-stage Process

Stage 1

Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Multi-stage Process

Types of processes:

10

4

Multi-stage process with buffer..

11

Process flowcharting: the use of a diagram to present the major elements of a process

The basic elements can include tasks or operations, flows of materials or customers, decision points, and storage areas or queues

Process Flowcharting:

12

4

Gambling at a slot machine..

Gambling at a slot machine begins with someone inserting a silver dollar in the slot machine. The coin moves to the payout bucket (used for payout whenever someone wins a jackpot) if the payout bucket is not full. If it is full, the coin moves to the winnings bucket. The player is obviously not aware of this coin movement. After inserting the coin, the gambler pulls the arm on the slot machine to play. If the player wins a prize, the slot machine activates the payout from the payout bucket, and then pays out the winnings. Then (regardless of the outcome – win or lose), the player decides whether to play again or not. If the player wants to play again, the process starts all over again. If not, the player quits.

13

(Imperfect) Process chart for a slot machine

14

Questions?

15

DSCI 303 Session 13 - Oct 20.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

Session 13

1

Process flowcharting: the use of a diagram to present the major elements of a process

The basic elements can include tasks or operations, flows of materials or customers, decision points, and storage areas or queues

Process Flowcharting:

2

4

Process Flowcharting Example 1: Waking up

Process Description:

For Andy, the process of waking up starts when his alarm rings. When the alarm rings, Andy has to decide whether he is ready to get up or not. If he is ready to get up, he gets out of the bed, and the process of waking up comes to an end. If he is not ready to get up, he hits the snooze button on the alarm, and goes back to sleep for 5 minutes. This process continues until Andy wakes up.

3

4

Process Flowcharting Example 1: Waking up

Any issues?

4

4

Process Flowcharting Example 2: Bank teller

Process Description:

For a bank teller, it all starts when a customer arrives at the counter. After the customer makes a cash withdrawal request, the teller has to check the customer’s ID, available account balance, and whether such withdrawal is allowed under the bank’s policy. Only if the customer shows a valid ID, the teller will check the balance, and only if the account has the necessary balance, the teller will check whether the withdrawal request complies with the bank’s policy. If the request complies with the bank’s policy, the teller records the transaction, and then gives cash to the client. If any of the process checks (ID, balance, compliance with the bank’s policies) fail, then the withdrawal request is rejected.

5

4

Process Flowcharting Example 2: Bank teller

Any issues?

6

4

Process Flowcharting Example 3: Your Call!

Let’s make one example up!

7

4

Multi-stage process with buffer..

8

Buffer: a storage area between stages where the output of a stage is placed prior to being used in a downstream stage

Blocking: occurs when the activities in a stage must stop because there is no place to deposit the item

Starving: occurs when the activities in a stage must stop because there is no work

Bottleneck: stage that limits the capacity of the process

Buffering, Blocking, and Starving..

9

The drum, buffer, rope, concept

Stage or process B

Stage or process A

Stage or process D

Stage or process E

Buffer of inventory

Stage or process C

Bottleneck drum sets the beat

Communication rope controls prior activities

10

10

Questions?

11

DSCI 303 Session 14 - Oct 22.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

Session 14

1

What does planning involve?

2

Capacity .. means the scale of an operation.

What is capacity?

This alone does not reflect the operation’s processing capability.

Hence, we must incorporate a time dimension appropriate to the use of assets.

For example, 24,000 liters per day;

10,000 calls per day;

57 patients per session;

Etc.

3

3

Climatic

Festive

Behavioural

Political

Financial

Social

Demand varies..

Construction materials

Beverages (beer, cola)

Foods (ice-cream)

Clothing (swimwear, shoes)

Gardening items (seeds)

Fireworks

Travel services

Holidays

Tax processing

Doctors (influenza epidemic)

Sports services

Education services.

4

4

Demand fluctuations in four operations

5

5

Good forecasts are essential ..

But, so is an understanding of demand uncertainty because it allows you to judge the risks to the service level.

When demand uncertainty is high, the risks to service level of under provision of capacity are high.

Demand

Time

Only 5% chance of demand being lower than this

Demand

Time

Distribution of demand

Only 5% chance of demand being higher than this

6

6

Loading time

Equipment ‘idling’

Speed losses

Slow running equipment

Net operating time

Not worked (unplanned)

Breakdown failure

Set-up and change-overs

Total operating time

Availability losses

Operating equipment effectiveness (OEE)

Availability rate = a

= Total operating time

Loading time

Performance rate = p

= Net operating time

Total operating time

Quality rate = q

= Valuable operating time

Net operating time

Quality losses

Valuable operating time

Quality losses

7

7

How capacity is used..

Design capacity

168 hours per week

Effective capacity

109 hours per week

Planned loss of 59 hours

Actual output – 51 hours per week

Avoidable loss – 58 hours per week

Efficiency

Actual output

Effective capacity

=

Utilization

Actual output

Design capacity

=

8

8

Economies and Diseconomies of Scale

Economies of scale: as a plant gets larger, the average cost per unit drops

Lower operating and capital costs

Per unit cost of equipment drops

More specialization of labor

At some point, the plant becomes too large

Diseconomies of scale becomes a problem

9

Ways of reconciling capacity and demand

Level capacity

Demand

Capacity

Chase demand

Demand management

Capacity

Capacity

Demand

Demand

10

Absorb demand

Adjust output to match demand

Change demand

10

Considerations in Changing Capacity

Maintaining system balance

Want similar capacities at each operation

Deal with bottlenecks

Frequency of capacity additions

Cost of upgrading too frequently

Cost of upgrading too infrequently

External sources of capacity

Outsourcing

Sharing capacity

11

Pull and push philosophies..

12

12

Planning Service Capacity

Time: goods can not be stored for later use and capacity must be available to provide a service when it is needed

Location: service goods must be at the customer demand point and capacity must be located near the customer

Volatility of demand: much greater than in manufacturing

13

26

Yield Management

Yield management: the process of allocating the right type of capacity to the right type of customer at the right price and time to maximize revenue or yield

Can be a powerful approach to making demand more predictable

Has existed as long as there has been limited capacity for serving customers

Its widespread scientific application began with American Airlines’ computerized reservation system (SABRE)

14

Yield management most effective when…

Demand can be segmented by customer

Fixed costs are high and variable costs are low

Inventory is perishable

Product can be sold in advance

Demand is highly variable

15

Homework 2 can be submitted on Blackboard

from Oct 24

& is due by 6 pm on Oct 31

Questions?

17

DSCI 303 Session 15 and 16 - Oct 27 and Oct 29.pptx

DSCI-303

Operations Management

1

Sessions 15 & 16

1

What and why of inventory..

Input process

Inventory

Output process

Rate of supply from input process

Rate of demand from output process

Inventory

2

2

Inventory helps..

Maintain independence of operations

Meet variation in product demand

Allow flexibility in production scheduling

Provide a safeguard for variation in raw material delivery time

Take advantage of economic purchase-order size

3

4

Inventory considerations..

Inventory = stacks of money sitting on forklifts, on shelves, and in trucks and planes while in transit

For many businesses, inventory is the largest asset on the balance sheet at any given time

Inventory is often not very liquid

It may be a good idea to try to get the inventory down as far as possible

4

Inventory affects ROA (Return on Assets)

5

Return on Assets

Profit

Total assets

Revenues  Costs

Working capital + Fixed assets

=

=

Ability to supply from stock

Obsolescence, damage, loss

Cost of funding inventory

Storage costs

Ordering costs

Amount you owe suppliers

Amount customers owe you

e.g. Automotive parts distributor

e.g. Local retail store

Single-stage inventory system

Suppliers

Suppliers

Stock

Sales operation

Central depot

Distribution

Local distribution point

Sales operation

Two-stage inventory system

Single-stage, two-stage, multi-stage inventory systems

6

e.g. Television manufacturer

Suppliers

Input stock

Stage 1

WIP

Stage 2

WIP

Stage 3

Finished goods stock

Multi-stage inventory system

6

A multi-echelon inventory system

Yarn producers

Cloth manufacturers

Garment manufacturers

Regional warehouses

Retail stores

7

7

Inventory Models

The single-period model

Used when we are making a one-time purchase of an item

Multi-period models

Fixed-order quantity model

Used when we want to maintain an item “in-stock,” and when we restock, a certain number of units must be ordered

Fixed–time period model

The item is ordered at certain intervals of time

8

The Single-Period Inventory Model

Consider the problem of deciding how many newspapers to order for a news stand

Too few papers: run out of stock, lose associated profit

Too many papers: have left over inventory, lose the amount paid on the left over papers

Probability of over/under-stock is different for each order quantity

Numbers involved drive the final order quantity..

9

The Multi-Period Models

Fixed–order quantity model

Also called the Economic Order Quantity model / Q-model

Event triggered (stock falling below certain level)

Fixed–time period model

Also called the periodic system / periodic review system / fixed-order interval system / P-model

Time triggered

10

The Multi-Period Models - comparison

11

EOQ model: Inventory over time

Time

Instantaneous deliveries of Q per period

Q

D

Inventory level

Steady and predictable demand (D)

Slope = demand rate (D)

=

Average inventory

Q

2

Order quantity = Q

12

12

EOQ model: The re-order point

400

300

200

100

Inventory level

0

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Re-order level

Re-order point

Time

Demand (D) = 100 items per week

Order lead time

13

13

EOQ model: Two alternatives..

Time

Inventory level

Plan A

Q = 400

Demand (D) = 1000 items per year

Average inventory for plan A = 200

Average inventory for plan B = 50

0.1 yr

0.4 yr

100

400

Plan B

Q = 100

14

14

EOQ Model: Inventory Costs

Holding (or carrying) costs

Costs for storage, handling, insurance, and so on

Ordering costs

Costs of placing an order

Setup (or production change) costs

Costs for arranging specific equipment setups, and so on

Shortage costs

Costs of running out

15

5

400

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

400

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

Order quantity

Costs

Economic order quantity (EOQ)

Total costs

Holding costs

Order costs

EOQ Model: Economic Order Quantity

16

16

EOQ Model Assumptions

Demand for the product is constant and uniform throughout the period

Lead time (time from ordering to receipt) is constant

Price per unit of product is constant

Inventory holding cost is based on average inventory

Ordering or setup costs are constant

All demands for the product will be satisfied

17

EOQ Model: The formula

18

12

EOQ Model: Example

19

We wish to find the economic order quantity and the reorder point given annual demand of 1,000 units, ordering cost of $5 per order, holding costs of $1.25 per unit per year, a lead time of 5 days and per unit cost of $12.50.

EOQ Model: Example

20

We wish to find the economic order quantity and the reorder point given annual demand of 1,000 units, ordering cost of $5 per order, holding costs of $1.25 per unit per year, a lead time of 5 days and per unit cost of $12.50.

EOQ changes when true costs are considered..

Original holding costs

Original total costs

Revised holding costs

Order quantity

Costs

Original EOQ

Revised EOQ

Revised order costs

Revised total costs

Original order costs

21

21

Safety stock(s) – when demand / lead-time is uncertain

Inventory level

S

Q

Time

t1

t2

d1

d2

Re-order level (ROL)

Distribution of lead-time usage

?

22

22

The probability distributions for order lead time and demand rate combine to give the lead-time usage distribution

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0

110

120

130

140

Probability

Demand rate

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0

1

2

3

4

5

Probability

Order lead time

0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1

0

Probability

100–199

Lead-time usage

120–299

300–399

400–499

500–599

600–699

700–799

23

23

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

Class C items

Class B items

Class A items

Pareto curve for stocked items

Percentage of types of items

Percentage of value of items

24

24

Homework 2 is due by 6 pm on Oct 31

Questions?

26

26

H

DS

Q

opt

2

inventory

of

unit

per

cost

storage

and

holding

Annual

H

time

Lead

L

pointP

Reorder

R

cost

setup

or

order

an

placing

of

Cost

S

quantity

Order

Q

unit

per

Cost

C

Demand

D

cost

annual

Total

TC

H

2

Q

+

S

Q

D

+

DC

=

TC

=

=

=

=

=

=

=

=

=

H

Q

S

Q

D

DC

TC

H

DS

Q

opt

2

2

unit

per

$12.50

C

days

5

L

year

per

unit

per

$1.25

H

order

per

$5

S

year

per

units

1,000

D

+

+

=

=

=

=

=

=

=

(

)

(

)

(

)

(

)

81

.

611

,

12

$

63

.

55

$

18

.

56

$

500

,

12

$

25

.

1

$

2

89

5

$

89

000

,

1

50

.

12

$

000

,

1

2

4

.

89

000

,

8

25

.

1

5

000

,

1

2

2

unit

per

$12.50

C

days

5

L

per year

unit

per

$1.25

H

order

per

$5

S

per year

units

1,000

D

=

+

+

=

+

+

=

+

+

=

=

=

=

=

=

=

=

=

=

H

Q

S

Q

D

DC

TC

units

H

DS

Q

opt