Finc 495 Week 1
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Contents
The Lotto Case (or Hitting the Jackpot)
Allen B. Atkins, Roxanne Stell, & Larry Watkins 3 - 5
American Apparel, Inc. – Saved from Bankruptcy but can it sustain?
Dr Anupam Mehta 6 - 20
A Model for Running an Undergraduate Business-Focused Case Competition
Jill M. Bale, Jimmy Senteza, & Toby A. White 21 - 36
Midwest Bancshares, Inc.
Heather Muehling, & Edward C. Lawrence 37 - 53
Creating Equity Indices: A Case Exercise
Judson W. Russell, & Christopher Brockman 54 - 66
Netflix: DVD-by-Mail or Online Streaming?
Rick Long, Inchul Suh, & Toby White 67 - 82
Strategic Approach of Business Valuation
Dr. Rishma Vedd, & Nataliya Yassinski 83 - 95
Did Right Case Take a Wrong Turn?
Janet E. Mosebach, & Diana R. Franz 96 - 100
Quandary at National Health Company
N. Ahadiat, & D. Rice 101 - 107
Interest Charge Domestic International Sales Corporations – The remaining ex-
porter tax benefit
Matthew Yost, & Chris Bjornson 108 - 122
Generating Financial Statements using QuickBooks: A Group Project in Financial
Accounting
Christopher Aquino, & Lei Han 123 - 133
Investing in a Brewpub: A Capital Budgeting Analysis
Elizabeth Webb Cooper 134 - 137
New Mexico National Bank, a bank with growth in mind (A)
Dr. James F. Cotter 138 - 154
A Case Study: Ethical Implications of friendly takeovers: A Financial Manager’s
Story
Barbara Tarasovich 155 - 165
Drug Revolution/Grace Pharmaceuticals Joint Venture
Karen M. Hogan, & Gerard T. Olson 166 - 170
From Jail Time to Swagger, Romance and Machoism: Changing the Image of the
Minivan
Mary Catherine Colley 171 - 185
3
The Lotto Case (Hitting the Jackpot)
Allen B. Atkins, Roxanne Stell, & Larry Watkins
Bob, Chad and Dylan had been dream-
ing of this day for the past six years; ever
since they first met in an introductory
economics course in college. For several
years they had been pooling their money
and buying Arizona Lottery tickets
dreaming that one day they would win
big. They realized that the lottery was
considered by many to be a voluntary
tax on the statistically challenged. But
miraculously they now sat at their favor-
ite local “watering hole” holding the
winning ticket that meant they would
split “The Pick” jackpot of $6 million.
What a great feeling! Now they just
needed to decide if they wanted to take
their winnings as a lump sum now or to
be paid over the next twenty in install-
ments.
Bob had been a political science major in
college but things hadn’t worked out as
he anticipated when he was a student.
He had entered the job market at what
looked now to be the bottom of the eco-
nomic downturn following the housing
crisis in the U.S. Bob believes he did not
start his job search soon enough and
found suitable openings virtually nonex-
istent. He was currently working part-
time at an organic farm and still living at
home which cramped his style consider-
ably. He has $150,000 in college related
loans (7% interest rate) which he cannot
service based on his annual taxable in-
come of $15,000. His share of the jackpot
would allow him to be debt free and
change his life for the better without
doubt.
Chad had been more fortunate than Bob.
He had applied himself in college and
earned a master of accounting degree
with an emphasis in taxation. After
graduation he immediately went to
work for one of the international ac-
counting firms and was now earning a
taxable income of $100,000 in spite of the
economic issues facing his friend Bob
and the country as a whole. He too had
debt but not from student loans. Chad
had purchased a very nice home in An-
them, Arizona for approximately 50% of
what it had sold for three years earlier
when built. He had a $250,000 mortgage
on the home, at a 4% interest rate, which
he saw little reason to pay off since he
anticipated significant inflation in the
near future.
Of the three friends Dylan was by far the
most successful. Dylan had majored in
finance and had excelled. When he
graduated, although he had several at-
tractive offers in the financial services
industry, he decided to go into the fami-
ly business. The company which his fa-
ther and uncle had started nearly 50
years ago had done amazingly well in
the downturn and since he was the only
child/nephew they were rewarding him
handsomely. He had been reluctant to
tell Bob but he was on track to receive to-
tal compensation (including bonuses)
that yielded a taxable income of $300,000
this year. Unlike his friend Bob, Dylan
was frugal and had taken on zero debt.
He was pleased with the trio’s good for-
tune but he didn’t think the windfall
would change his life all that much.
A few days later when the euphoria of
winning was subsiding the three friends
met again at the same establishment. All
4
were obviously in good spirits and were
looking forward to presenting their win-
ning ticket to Arizona Lottery officials.
Chad started the conversation by telling
Bob and Dylan that he had taken the ini-
tiative of doing some basic research on
how “The Pick” worked and what the
payout options were. Bob, proud of his
forethought, produced an article he had
saved years earlier from the Arizona Dai-
ly Star with the headline “Lump-sum
Lotto Payout is Best, Experts Say.” Bob
excitedly told his buddies that the ex-
perts were local CPAs and that clearly
the lump-sum payout was “the way to
go.” Dylan said he wanted to hear what
Chad had found out since he had gone
to the effort of looking into the specifics.
Chad (being a tax accountant) had pre-
pared a summary of his research which
follows:
A percentage of the proceeds from the sale of
Lotto tickets are allocated to a prize pool.
The size of the Jackpot that is prominently
advertised, six million dollars in this in-
stance, is actually only an estimate. The ad-
vertised amount is the sum of the estimated
annuity1 payments, without consideration of
the time value of money, which Lotto officials
believe can be purchased from the prize pool.
If the winner chooses the annuity payout
multiple insurance companies submit bids.
Officials award the bid to the insurance
company that offers the largest annual pay-
ments in return for the prize pool amount.
The insurance company with the best bid
typically offers a rate that is near the long-
1 The term annuity is actually a misnomer. Since
the payments are made by the insurance compa-
ny at the beginning of each of twenty periods it
is an annuity due.
term U.S. Treasury Bonds rate (currently
3%). If the winner chooses the Lump Sum
payout they simply receive the prize pool
amount; the amount that would have been
used to buy the annuity.
After reading the summary Bob said he
didn’t see how this related to the deci-
sion that had to be made since he didn’t
see anything that changed the preferred
option being that the lump-sum payout
is best. Chad acknowledged that Bob
was probably correct but he still wanted
to “run the numbers” and suggested that
Bob and Dylan should do the same.
Chad reminded them that they needed
to consider the tax consequences of the
payout schema and then provided the
following schedule of federal income tax
rates and reminded them that the state
tax rate was an additional 5%.
Bob rolled his eyes but said he would get
right on it. Dylan thanked Chad for the
information and they agreed to meet
again tomorrow to decide on the best
course of action.
Questions:
1. Is there necessarily one best deci-
sion for the group regarding the
payout options? If so what is it
and why?
2. What might be the reason(s) that
Chad does not want to pay off his
debt? Do you concur?
3. Prepare a personal analysis of the
payout options for Bob, Chad and
Dylan. Designate the preferred
option for each individual and
explain why.
4. What non-financial factors might
enter into the decision for the
winners?
5
References
Atkins, Allen B. and Edward A. Dyl,
“The LOTTO Jackpot: Should You Take
the Lump Sum or the Annuity?” Finan-
cial Practice and Education, Vol. 5, No. 2,
Fall/Winter, 1995, 107-111.
Authors
Allen B. Atkins, Ph.D., Professor of Fi-
nance, Northern Arizona University, al-
Roxanne Stell, Ph.D., Professor of Mar-
keting, Northern Arizona University,
Larry Watkins, Ph.D., CPA, Professor of
Accounting, Northern Arizona Universi-
Taxable Income Bracket* Federal Tax Rate
$0 to 8,500$ 10%
8,500 to 34,500 15%
34,500 to 83,600 25%
83,600 to 174,400 28%
174,400 to 379,150 33%
379,150 to and over 35%
* Assumes individual filing status
6
American Apparel, Inc. – Saved from Bankruptcy but can it sustain? Dr Anupam Mehta
Abstract
American Apparel, Inc, which was once the fastest growing retailer of America, is
now striving to save its bleeding bottom line. With the possible bankruptcy looming
on the American Apparel heads and huge pile of loans to pay, it is battling to get on
the operating profits necessary for its very existence. The present case depicts the
struggle of founder and CEO Dov Charney to revive the company with his recovery
mechanism, inventory management, strengthening online & offline sales and crush-
ing operating expenses to fight against the quarter by quarter losses, negative EPS
and decreasing margins. This case gives an opportunity to the students to analyze
and evaluate the financially troubled company’s performance along with applying
the Altman’s Z score. At the end of the case students need to decide: whether the
CEO Dov Charney’s recovery plan is able to improve the financial performance of
the company? What are the trends of growth and earnings? Does the company have
sufficient liquidity and profitability to meet the requirements of massive debt and
gather refinance options? Does the company survive bankruptcy?
Keywords: American Apparel, Bankruptcy, Z score, Profitability, Retails sector, fi-
nancial performance, Ratio analysis
Introduction
With a cumulative loss of $41 million for
the first three quarters in 2012, Ameri-
can Apparel, once the “Label of the Year:
American Apparel”, “The fashion sensa-
tion of 2008” (The Guardian, 2008) is
struggling to stay afloat, after going into
deep financial troubles in 2009 and was
on the verge of bankruptcy in 2011. The
company’s net profit slipped to $1 mil-
lion in 2009 from $15 million in 2007 and
down to annual net losses of $86 million
& $39 millions in 2010 and 2011 respec-
tively. Dov Charney, the CEO and
Founder of American Apparel, who built
the company from a small retailer to a
massive vertically integrated manufac-
turer, distributor and retailer, is now
burdened with massive debt load, falling
share prices and decreasing margins. Till
now, Dov Charney’s efforts have been
able to sustain the company in spite of
losses and pull up the investors for its
sinking company, while enhancing the
sales from $533 million in 2010 to $547
million in 2011 and further building up
to $444 million (first three quarters in
2012) with effective inventory manage-
ment and expansion plans. But, continu-
ous losses pressurized him to improve
the profitability and deliver the financial
results or it will run out of options soon.
7
Figure 1 Stock Performance for 2006-2011
(Source: American Apparel, Inc., 2011)
Company background
As of July 31, 2012, American Apparel
had approximately 10,000 employees
and operated 251 retail stores in 20 coun-
tries, including the United States, Cana-
da, Mexico, Brazil, United Kingdom, Ire-
land, Austria, Belgium, France,
Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain,
Sweden, Switzerland, Australia, Japan,
South Korea and China. American Ap-
parel operates a global e-commerce site
that serves over 60 countries worldwide
at http://www.americanapparel.net. In
addition, American Apparel also oper-
ates a leading wholesale business that
supplies high quality T-shirts and other
casual wear to distributors and screen
printers. It is also one of the few clothing
companies exporting "Made in the USA"
goods. The American Apparel is head-
quartered in Downtown, Los Angeles,
where, from a single building they con-
trol the dyeing, finishing, designing,
sewing, cutting, marketing and distribu-
tion of the company's product. CEO Dov
is very passionate about the company,
and involved in every stage of manufac-
turing. He is known for the sexual con-
troversies and various sexual lawsuits.
The CEO Dov is also, famous for his use
of provocative models for advertise-
ments. Apart from these controversies,
Dov is having a very strong fashion
sense. In 2004, he was named Ernst &
Young's Entrepreneur of the Year and
Apparel Magazine's Man of the Year
(www.americanapparel.net, 1997).
American Apparel’s Mission statement
Company’s Long-term goal: to become
the #1 destination for basics – be the first
name that fashion-conscious consumers
think of for t-shirts, sweatpants, under-
wear, socks, and other basic apparel.
(www.americanapparel.net., n.d.)
The rise of American Apparel
The CEO Dov Charney with his vertical
integration business model converted
the company to America’s fastest retailer
in 2008. During the year, the company
made wide spread expansion and
launched stores across the globe with
new launches in Australia, Belgium,
Brazil, China, and Spain. The company
expanded 78 net store openings and 3
store moves. The company got strong
comparable store sales results: 22%,
8
Achieved EBITDA of $70.1 million and
EPS of $0.33 by significantly expanding
the manufacturing operations. The com-
pany was basking on the glory of signifi-
cant store growth and strong compara-
ble store sales performance. By the end
of 2008, the company has 260 stores in 19
countries, nearly 10,000 employees and
$545 million in revenues and a five year
compound annual growth rate of 46%
(American Apparel, Inc., 2008). The
company has a biggest competitive ad-
vantage of bringing the fashion changes
quickly, as the entire process is governed
in one building right from, cloth, cutting,
and delivery of final product. By the end
of 2008, the company was able to build a
unique brand which was fashionable
and low on prices.
Major setback to the profitability
In 2009, despite the company’s ability to
build a unique brand and having built a
wide network of stores across the globe,
the company started struggling to sus-
tain. Although, year 2008 was good in
terms of revenues and over all expan-
sion, beginning 2009, the company faced
several difficulties. The long run probe
into the employment of illegal immi-
grants, and forced termination of bulk of
its employees, brutally affected the per-
formance of the company. Immigration
crackdown forced American Apparel to
fire 1,800 workers, most of whom are La-
tino immigrants (Daily 49ER, 2009). As a
result, the company’s profits reduced
from $14 million in 2008 to $1 million in
2009, with EPS reduced from 0.33$ to
0.02$ in just one year and the operating
margins decreased from 6.6% to 4.4%.
The forced terminations of several em-
ployees impacted the performance of
2010 as well.
"We suffered the after-effects of a major
labor disruption resulting from an im-
migration intervention in 2009. The dis-
ruption of our 2010 production schedule
resulted in significantly higher produc-
tion costs per unit and late deliveries of
products to our stores and to our whole-
sale clients," said acting president Tom
Casey. "In addition, we encountered ex-
traordinarily challenging world-wide
economic conditions. We also experi-
enced higher yarn and fabric costs in the
second half of 2010" (American Apparel,
Inc., 2011).
Liquidity crisis and production losses
A significant decrease in the net cash
flow from operating activities, was ob-
served from December 31, 2009 ($45.2
million) to December 31, 2010 (- $32 mil-
lion). Meanwhile, the revenue during the
period fell nearly 5% as compared to
previous year, with total retail sales fell
just over 10%, wholesales sales dropped
6%, while online consumer sales shrunk
by 4.4% (Proactive investors, 2009). In
2011 things became worse, when the
company, with a long term mission of
becoming the number one destination
for garments, started to feel the difficulty
even to stay afloat. In its annual report
company specified that its operations are
at risk and raised substantial doubt that
the company may able to continue as a
going concern. As the crisis grew, the
company desperately looked for new in-
vestors.
“If the company is not able to timely,
successfully or efficiently implement the
strategies that the company is pursuing
to improve its operating performance
and financial position, obtain alternative
sources of capital or otherwise meet its
liquidity needs, the company may need
9
to voluntarily seek protection under
Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy
Code,” DealBook (2011).
Recovery plan
On the blink of bankruptcy, the CEO
Dov Charney secured $14.9 million in
additional financing and gave life line to
the company. Dov, in his upbeat spirits,
made an extensive plan for the recovery
of the company through improving the
operating performance, over hauling of
the entire process of inventory manage-
ment and severely trying to crush the
cost while focusing on getting the re-
quired EBIT quarter by quarter in order
to meet the requirements of heavy debt
that it has taken.
According to Dov Charney, "We contin-
ue to make meaningful progress in im-
proving inventory efficiency lower car-
rying costs and reduce working capital
requirements over the long-term. These
efforts, together with other operating
performance improvements will assist in
our near-term refinancing efforts" (Inves-
tors.americanapparel.net, 2012).
The expansion and renewed focus on
sales enhancements resulted into total
net sales increase by 15% to $56.3 million
in December 2011. For the same period,
comparable store sales increased 12%
and wholesale net sales increased 25%.
The Gross operating margin as well im-
proved.
“Our sales exceeded plan in all channels
and we saw good progress in our whole-
sale channel across a broad spectrum of
customers. Our retail sales increases
were also broad based with notably
large increases in the US, in all Asian
markets, and in Australia. Our product
is resonating well with our customers
both in stores and online. During the
quarter we opened three new stores in
the UK, including one in Westfield, Lon-
don and two store-in-store locations at
the venerable Selfridges department
store chain. We are excited about our
progress in 2011 and expect to build on
our recent successes in the coming year”
said Dov Charney (American Apparel,
Inc., 2012).
The strategy of building both online and
offline stores was continued in 2012 as
well. In April 2012, it launched a new
online store,
www.store.americanapparel.com.hk,
serving Hong Kong, while continued to
build brand offline and online.
Figure 2: Recent Stock Performance
(Source: Yahoo Finance, 2012)
10
Figure 3: Quarterly results
(Source: Google Finance, 2012)
Burdened under Debt
In spite of some improvements, the
overall financial figures were still nega-
tive, making CEO Dov Charney to fur-
ther increase debt or refinance, else it
would go bankrupt. This time again Dov
was able to arrange the investors and
managed to get the major loans extend-
ed/refinanced till 2015 During July 2012,
the company announced it has replaced
its existing $75 million senior credit facil-
ity that was due to expire in July 2012
with a three year $80 million Senior
Credit Facility also extended the maturi-
ty date of the Second Lien Loan by two
years to December 31, 2015
(Americanapparel.net.,2012).
“I’ve never seen a company get so many
lifelines. Dov must be very charming,”
said the retail analyst. (Retailgeeks.com,
2012)
The growing liabilities, the high interest
rates and inability to generate profits
and once again resorting to the lenders
for further loan, resulted into a total lia-
bilities increasing to $ 319 million at the
end of the third quarter of 2012 as com-
pared to $13,877 in equity. But it seems
Dov, is unshattered with the loans, all he
wants to somehow keep the company
floating. He believes that once the com-
pany is able to hit the numbers, the in-
terest payment can be made easily.
Concern and challenges
“There’s obviously a level of sexiness
and excitement that (Charney) portrays,
and passion for the brand” retail con-
sultant said. “If the numbers aren’t that
positive, as they’re not, investors are
probably buying a vision and a promise
that, things will get better”
(Retailgeeks.com, 2012). Although the ef-
forts of Dov Charney have managed to
get investors till now, some analysts be-
lieve that the company has done noth-
ing, except buying some time from its
latest financing. With huge liabilities, the
company has to show the results in
numbers otherwise it may have to face
the bankruptcy. No wonder, the compa-
ny is having tough time to save its bleed-
ing bottom line. With the sword of liabil-
ities dangling on Dov Charney’s head,
he fears, whether the recovery plan will
able to enhance the profitability of the
company? What are the key financial in-
dicators that need to be further empha-
sized, in order to pay back the liabilities,
and generate further refinance, if re-
quired? Having survived on the blink of
bankruptcy, would American Apparel
be able to pass through the crisis or is it a
sure short candidate of business failure?
11
Specific Assignment Questions
1. Has the recovery plan of Dov
Charney able to improve the financial
performance of the company?
2. Do you think company can sur-
vive? Apply the Atman Z –score to fur-
ther strengthen your conclusions.
3. How good are the operating mar-
gins and EBIT of the company?
Notes: 1 Altman’s Z score
“Z” Score Component Definitions
1. X1=Working capital/ total Assets
2. X2=Retained earnings / Total As-
sets
3. X3=EBIT/Total Assets
4. X4=Equity value/ total book debt
5. X5=Sales/Total Assets
Z score is calculated to find out the fu-
ture viability and chances of bankruptcy
Z = 1.2X1 + 1.4X2 + 3.3X3 + 0.6X4 + 1.0X5
Altman defined a “problematic area”
which is between 1.81 and 2.99. Firms,
with z-scores within this range, are con-
sidered uncertain about credit risk and
considered marginal cases to be watched
with attention. Firms with Z scores be-
low 1.81 indicate failed firms. Although,
the cut-off point was set at 2.675, Altman
advocates using the lower bound of the
zone-of-ignorance (1.81) as a more realis-
tic cutoff Z-Score. So if Z < 1.81, then the
company has a high probability of de-
fault. Altman, E., (1968)
When using this model Altman conclud-
ed:
Z-score < 1.81 = high probability of bank-
ruptcy.
Z-score > 3.0 = low probability of bank-
ruptcy.
Z-score 1.81- 3.0 = indeterminate. (Al-
Rawi, K. et al., 2008)
References
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man Equation For Bankruptcy Predic-
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Study), International Business & Eco-
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(Number 7), p.118.
Altman, E., (1968) Financial Ratios, Dis-
criminant Analysis and the Prediction
of Corporate Bankruptcy, Journal of
Finance, September.
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13
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http://www.wwd.com/retail-
news/financial/american-apparel-
losses-narrow-
5795784/print...(Accessed:12th July
2012).
Yahoo Finance (2012) American Apparel
Inc Common Stock (NYSE MKT). (im-
age online) Available at:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=APP
&t=1y&l=on&z=l&q=l&c= (Accessed:
11th Dec 2012)
14
Exhibit 1: Annual Cash Flow statement for year ending 2011
(Source: American Apparel, Inc. (2011) annual report on form 10-k for the year ended December 31, 2011)
American Apparel, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(Amounts in Thousands)
2011 2010 2009
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Cash received from customers 542,930$ 532,601$ 559,089$
Cash paid to suppliers, employees and others (534,497) (559,386) (488,858)
Income taxes (paid) refunded (866) 698 (16,901)
Interest paid (5,535) (6,456) (8,609)
Other 273 173 482
Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities 2,305 (32,370) 45,203
CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Capital expenditures (11,070) (15,701) (20,889)
Proceeds from sale of fixed assets 311 39 -
Net cash used in investing activities (10,759) (15,662) (20,889)
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Cash overdraft (1,407) (404) 1,307
(Repayments) borrowing under revolving credit
facilities, net (6,874) 50,852 (43,590)
Net proceeds from issuance of common stock and
purchase rights 21,710 - -
Payment of debt issuance costs (1,881) - (5,003)
Proceeds from sale of treasury stock - 1,650 -
Payment of payroll statutory tax withholding on
stock-based compensation associated with issuance
of common stock (759) (2,051) -
Borrowings of subordinated notes payable to related
party - - 4,000
Repayments under subordinated notes payable to
related party - - (3,250)
Borrowings under term loans and notes payable, net
of $5,000 discount - - 75,074
Repayment of term loans and notes payable (13) (15) (51,183)
Proceeds from equipment lease financing 3,100 - -
Repayment of equipment lease obligations (1,294) (1,860) (2,826)
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities 12,582 48,172 (25,471)
EFFECT OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE CHANGES ON CASH (1,491) (1,530) (1,165)
NET INCREASE (DECREASE) IN CASH 2,637 (1,390) (2,322)
CASH, beginning of period 7,656 9,046 11,368
CASH, end of period 10,293$ 7,656$ 9,046$
For the Years ended December 31,
15
Exhibit 2: Annual Balance sheet as on 31st Dec, 2011
(Source: American Apparel, Inc. (2011) Annual Report on Form 10-K for the Year Ended December 31, 2011)
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(Amounts in thousands, except per share amounts)
December 31,
2011 2010
ASSETS
CURRENT ASSETS:
Cash 10,293$ 7,656$
Trade accounts receivable, net of allowances of $2,195 and
$2,630 at December 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively 20,939 16,688
Prepaid expenses and other current assets 7,631 9,401
Inventories, net 185,764 178,052
Income taxes receivable and prepaid income taxes 5,955 4,114
Deferred income taxes, net of valuation allowance of
$12,003 and $9,661 at December 31, 2011 and 2010,
respectively 148 626
Total current assets 230,730 216,537
PROPERTY AND EQUIPMENT, net 67,438 85,400
DEFERRED INCOME TAXES, net of valuation allowance of
$61,770 and $42,318 at December 31, 2011 and 2010,
respectively 1,529 1,695
OTHER ASSETS, net 25,024 24,318
TOTAL ASSETS 324,721$ 327,950$
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
CURRENT LIABILITIES:
Cash overdraft 1,921$ 3,328$
Revolving credit facilities and current portion of
long-term debt, net of unamortized discount of $16,012 at
December 31, 2010 50,375 138,478
Accounts payable 33,920 31,534
Accrued expenses and other current liabilities 43,725 39,028
Fair value of warrants 9,633 993
Income taxes payable 2,445 230
Deferred income tax liability, current 150 -
Current portion of capital lease obligations 1,181 560
Total current liabilities 143,350 214,151
LONG-TERM DEBT, net of unamortized discount of $20,183 at
December 31, 2011 97,142 444
SUBORDINATED NOTES PAYABLE TO RELATED PARTY - 4,611
CAPITAL LEASE OBLIGATIONS, net of current portion 1,726 542
DEFERRED TAX LIABILITY 96 260
DEFERRED RENT, net of current portion 22,231 24,924
OTHER LONG-TERM LIABILITIES 12,046 7,994
TOTAL LIABILITIES 276,591 252,926
16
Exhibit 3: Consolidated Statements of Operations and Comprehensive (Loss) Income
for year ending Dec, 2011.
(Source: American Apparel, Inc. (2011) Annual Report on Form 10-K for the Year Ended December 31, 2011)
Years Ended December 31,
2011 2010 2009
Net sales 547,336$ 532,989$ 558,775$
Cost of sales 252,436 253,080 238,863
Gross profit 294,900 279,909 319,912
Selling expenses 209,841 218,198 198,518
General and administrative expenses (including
related party charges of $919, $822 and $790 for
the years ended December 31, 2011, 2010 and
2009, respectively) 104,085 103,167 93,636
Retail store impairment 4,267 8,597 3,343
(Loss) income from operations (23,293) (50,053) 24,415
Interest expense (including related party
interest expense of $64, $266 and $271 for the
years ended December 31, 2011, 2010 and 2009,
respectively) 33,167 23,752 22,627
Foreign currency transaction loss (gain) 1,679 (686) (2,920)
Unrealized (gain) loss on change in fair value
of warrants and purchase rights (23,467) 993 -
Loss on extinguishment of debt 3,114 - -
Other (income) expense (193) 39 (220)
(Loss) income before income taxes (37,593) (74,151) 4,928
Income tax provision 1,721 12,164 3,816
Net (loss) income (39,314)$ (86,315)$ 1,112$
Basic (loss) earnings per share (0.42)$ (1.21)$ 0.02$
Diluted (loss) earnings per share (0.42)$ (1.21)$ 0.01$
Weighted average basic shares outstanding 92,599 71,626 71,026
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding 92,599 71,626 76,864
Net (loss) income (from above) (39,314)$ (86,315)$ 1,112$
Other comprehensive (loss) income item:
Foreign currency translation, net of tax (188) (1,085) 620
Other comprehensive (loss) income, net of tax (188) (1,085) 620
Comprehensive (loss) income (39,502)$ (87,400)$ 1,732$
American Apparel, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Operations and Comprehensive (Loss) Income
(Amounts in thousands, except per share amounts)
17
Exhibit 4: Quarterly Reports - Balance Sheet
(Source: American Apparel, Inc. (2012) American Apparel, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2012
.
September 30, 2012 December 31, 2011*
ASSETS
CURRENT ASSETS
Cash 7,186$ 10,293$
Trade accounts receivable 25,951 20,939
Prepaid expenses and other current assets 10,800 7,631
Inventories, net 180,879 185,764
Restricted cash 5,928 -
Income taxes receivable and prepaid income taxes 1,475 5,955
Deferred income taxes, net of valuation allowance
of $12,003 at both September 30, 2012 and December
31, 2011 639 148
Total current assets 232,858 230,730
PROPERTY AND EQUIPMENT, net 65,959 67,438
DEFERRED INCOME TAXES, net of valuation allowance
of $61,770 at both September 30, 2012 and December
31, 2011 1,559 1,529
OTHER ASSETS, net 33,269 25,024
TOTAL ASSETS 333,645$ 324,721$
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
CURRENT LIABILITIES
Cash overdraft 2,625$ 1,921$
Revolving credit facilities and current portion of
long-term debt 71,586 50,375
Accounts payable 37,247 33,920
Accrued expenses and other current liabilities 38,750 43,725
Fair value of warrant liability 28,455 9,633
Income taxes payable 389 2,445
Deferred income tax liability, current 697 150
Current portion of capital lease obligations 1,017 1,181
Total current liabilities 180,766 143,350
LONG-TERM DEBT, net of unamortized discount of
$29,959 and $20,183 at September 30, 2012 and
December 31, 2011, respectively 103,964 97,142
CAPITAL LEASE OBLIGATIONS, net of current portion 1,083 1,726
DEFERRED TAX LIABILITY 108 96
DEFERRED RENT, net of current portion 21,597 22,231
OTHER LONG-TERM LIABILITIES 12,250 12,046
TOTAL LIABILITIES 319,768 276,591
COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES
STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
shares outstanding at December 31, 2011 11 11
Additional paid-in capital 173,787 166,486
Accumulated other comprehensive loss (2,735) (3,356)
Accumulated deficit (155,029) (112,854)
Less: Treasury stock, 304 shares at cost (2,157) (2,157)
TOTAL STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY 13,877 48,130
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY 333,645$ 324,721$
American Apparel, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
(Amounts and shares in thousands, except per share amounts)
(unaudited)
18
Exhibit 5: Quarterly Reports - Income Statement
American Apparel, Inc. (2012) American Apparel, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2012
2012 2011 2012 2011
Net sales 162,160$ 140,889$ 444,282$ 389,760$
Cost of sales 76,960 65,898 209,990 178,705
Gross profit 85,200 74,991 234,292 211,055
Selling expenses 58,017 52,283 168,258 152,536
General and administrative expenses
(including related party charges of $332
and $177 for the three months ended
September 30, 2012 and 2011,
respectively, and $883 and $628 for the
nine months ended September 30, 2012 and
2011, respectively) 22,566 24,552 71,792 77,025
Retail store impairment - 784 129 2,436
Income (loss) from operations 4,617 (2,628) (5,887) (20,942)
Interest expense 10,454 8,832 30,274 23,715
Foreign currency transaction (gain) loss (685) 1,855 141 780
Unrealized loss (gain) on change in fair
value of warrants and purchase rights 13,312 (6,101) 15,340 (21,201)
(Gain) loss on extinguishment of debt - - (11,588) 3,114
Other expense (income) 36 (186) 188 (240)
Loss before income taxes (18,500) (7,028) (40,242) (27,110)
Income tax provision 512 166 1,933 1,042
Net loss (19,012)$ (7,194)$ (42,175)$ (28,152)$
Basic and diluted loss per share (0.18)$ (0.07)$ (0.40)$ (0.32)$
Weighted average basic and diluted shares
outstanding 106,248 102,279 105,960 88,614
Net loss (from above) (19,012)$ (7,194)$ (42,175)$ (28,152)$
Other comprehensive income (loss) item:
Foreign currency translation, net of
tax 1,073 (1,279) 622 135
Other comprehensive income (loss),
net of tax 1,073 (1,279) 622 135
Comprehensive loss (17,939)$ (8,473)$ (41,553)$ (28,017)$
American Apparel, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations and Comprehensive Loss
(Amounts and shares in thousands, except per share amounts)
(unaudited)
Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30,
19
Exhibit 6: Quarterly Reports: Cash Flow Statement
American Apparel, Inc. (2012) American Apparel, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2012
2012 2011 2012 2011
Net sales 162,160$ 140,889$ 444,282$ 389,760$
Cost of sales 76,960 65,898 209,990 178,705
Gross profit 85,200 74,991 234,292 211,055
Selling expenses 58,017 52,283 168,258 152,536
General and administrative expenses
(including related party charges of $332
and $177 for the three months ended
September 30, 2012 and 2011,
respectively, and $883 and $628 for the
nine months ended September 30, 2012 and
2011, respectively) 22,566 24,552 71,792 77,025
Retail store impairment - 784 129 2,436
Income (loss) from operations 4,617 (2,628) (5,887) (20,942)
Interest expense 10,454 8,832 30,274 23,715
Foreign currency transaction (gain) loss (685) 1,855 141 780
Unrealized loss (gain) on change in fair
value of warrants and purchase rights 13,312 (6,101) 15,340 (21,201)
(Gain) loss on extinguishment of debt - - (11,588) 3,114
Other expense (income) 36 (186) 188 (240)
Loss before income taxes (18,500) (7,028) (40,242) (27,110)
Income tax provision 512 166 1,933 1,042
Net loss (19,012)$ (7,194)$ (42,175)$ (28,152)$
Basic and diluted loss per share (0.18)$ (0.07)$ (0.40)$ (0.32)$
Weighted average basic and diluted shares
outstanding 106,248 102,279 105,960 88,614
Net loss (from above) (19,012)$ (7,194)$ (42,175)$ (28,152)$
Other comprehensive income (loss) item:
Foreign currency translation, net of
tax 1,073 (1,279) 622 135
Other comprehensive income (loss),
net of tax 1,073 (1,279) 622 135
Comprehensive loss (17,939)$ (8,473)$ (41,553)$ (28,017)$
American Apparel, Inc. and Subsidiaries
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations and Comprehensive Loss
(Amounts and shares in thousands, except per share amounts)
(unaudited)
Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30,
20
Exhibit 6: Quarterly Reports - Total Debts
American Apparel, Inc. (2012) American Apparel, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2012
Author
Dr Anupam Mehta, Assistant Professor, Institute of Management Technology, Du-
bai, UAE, [email protected]
* This case has been compiled from published sources. It is intended for class room discussion rather
than to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of a management situation.
Lender
Description of Debt Name Interest Rate September 30, 2012
(a) 90-day LIBOR
of 0.47% plus
9.0% plus unused
facility fee
ranging (0.375%
-1.00%) and for
the brand name:
Crystal (b) 90-day LIBOR
Financial of 0.47% plus
Revolving credit facility LLC 19.75% 35,576$
90-day LIBOR of
0.47% plus 9.0%
plus unused
Crystal facility fee
Term loan from private Financial ranging (0.375%
investment firm LLC -1.00%) 30,000
Bank's prime
Revolving credit facility Bank of rate of 3% plus
(Canada) Montreal 4% 5,901
Term loan from private
investment firm, net of Lion
discount and including Capital From 15.0% to
interest paid-in-kind LLP 18.00% 103,614
Other 459
23
individual
leases
ranging
between From 5.0% to
Capital lease obligations $1-$511 18.00% 2,100
Cash overdraft 2,625
Total debt including cash
overdraft 180,275$
21
A Model for Running an Undergraduate Business-Focused
Case Competition
Jill M. Bale, Jimmy Senteza, & Toby A. White
Abstract
A case competition complements the curricular objectives of various programs in
this era of mission-driven business school accreditation. We provide a model for
conducting a case competition at a business school in a manner that integrates cur-
riculum objectives with learning outcomes, and without imposing greatly on time
constraints of faculty. Based on our experiences for running this competition for
three years at a small, mid-western university, we recommend a four-phase sequen-
tial description of the process: planning, execution, assessment, and feedback. Even
though the framework presented here is performed as an extra-curricular activity,
with minor modifications, it can be integrated into an ongoing standard undergrad-
uate-level course.
Introduction
There has been considerable attention
given to pedagogical studies that lead to
enhanced student learning in business
courses; however, these studies have
predominantly focused on methods and
tools to be used in the classroom (see
Rassuli and Manzer, 2005, Lam, 2007,
Santos, Vega, and Barkoulas, 2007).
While it is essential to develop basic
skills in the classroom, faculty should al-
so consider opportunities that are avail-
able outside the classroom. In this pa-
per, we provide a framework for a case
competition structure that intentionally
connects faculty and students in a way
that not only reinforces in-class learning
but also assists students in developing
skills essential for their future careers in
business. We present a structure for
conducting a business case competition
for undergraduates at a business school
that does not impose greatly on the
many academic activities faculty and
students choose to participate in during
a given term. The ideal case competition
integrates the undergraduate course cur-
riculum with real life experiences, while
achieving many positive outcomes.
In reviewing materials available in the
public domain on business case competi-
tions in the US, it is evident that they
have typically been a graduate school
phenomenon, pitting MBA students
against each other for prize money
and/or recognition. For example, several
highly ranked graduate schools such as
Boston University, George Washington
University, Columbia, NYU, Wake For-
est, and Wharton participate in intercol-
legiate case competitions. The competi-
tions are typically designed to encourage
contestants to provide workable solu-
tions to key business problems, to deal
with social enterprise or environmental
issues, or to develop a completely new
product or service.
There are also many national and re-
gional competitions organized by insti-
tutions such as Global Science Entrepre-
neurship, the Center for
Entrepreneurship, the Collegiate Entre-
22
preneur Organization, and the Neely En-
trepreneurship Center. These competi-
tions provide students the opportunity
to pitch their business concepts to a pan-
el of judges that are often veteran entre-
preneurs themselves.
At the undergraduate level, national and
international competitions like the IMA
Case Competition (Richtermeyer, 2007),
The Edward Jones Challenge (Umble,
Umble, and Artz, 2008) and The Travel-
ers’ Case Competition offer unique expe-
riences to undergraduate business stu-
dents. These competitions frequently
feature the elevator pitch concept, where
contestants must summarize the most
essential aspects of a business within the
time that it would take to ride up an ele-
vator. Student participants, often from
college entrepreneurship clubs, compete
for cash prizes and get an opportunity to
have their business ideas reviewed by
potential future employers.
The case competition described here
uniquely provides an opportunity for
undergraduate students to apply con-
cepts they have recently seen in their
coursework to ‘real world’ business
problems. While the competitions intro-
duced above are mostly a forum to de-
velop and present immediately usable
solutions for specifically identified prob-
lems, we make more of a deliberate at-
tempt to complement or harness tradi-
tional class pedagogy. Thus, our
objective is similar to that enacted by the
Northeastern University College of
Business Internal Business Case Compe-
tition (IBCC); that is, it “provides stu-
dents the opportunity to hone their ana-
lytical, critical thinking and presentation
skills by taking their course work from
the classroom to a competitive arena”
(Northeastern University, 2011). Fur-
thermore, the case competition intro-
duced here does provide undergraduate
students the needed preparation to par-
ticipate in the national, regional, and
graduate case competitions described
above.
I. Motivations and Learning Outcomes
There are several motivations for using
extracurricular case competitions. A key
motivation is increased interaction be-
tween faculty and students. In most
typical undergraduate academic envi-
ronments, faculty/student interaction
occurs primarily in the classroom or
during office hours, as relates to a par-
ticular class or perhaps with respect to
advising.
Frankel and Swanson (2002) tested the
impact of faculty-student interaction
outside the classroom and found that if
a professor had positive student encoun-
ters, then he/she was more likely to
show greater interest in student learning
by making additional effort to “encour-
age, strengthen, and praise students to
support appropriate behaviors” (p. 91).
In addition to greater faculty interest,
students benefit from team-based com-
petitions in several ways. Umble, Umble
and Artz (2008) noted that team-based
competitions achieve six student out-
comes through, “(1) providing an active
learning experience, (2) reinforcing im-
portant class concepts, (3) helping stu-
dents relate course concepts to the real
world, (4) enhancing critical thinking
skills, (5) providing an opportunity to
work in a team, and (6) enhancing the
overall learning experience (p.1).”
23
Another motivation of case competitions
relates to accreditation. The Association
to Advance Collegiate Schools of Busi-
ness (AACSB) accreditation standard
number 14 requires that students
demonstrate both general and manage-
ment-specific goals. General goals in-
clude “such learning areas as communi-
cation abilities, problem-solving abilities,
ethical reasoning skills, and language
abilities. . .[while management-specific
goals] relate to expectations for learning
accomplishment in areas that directly re-
late to management tasks and form the
business portion of degree require-
ments.” (p. 61). Furthermore, AACSB
requires that for each goal adopted by a
business school, the school must have
multiple assessment measures that
demonstrate achievement of those goals.
Case competitions may be valuable to
institutions that struggle with assessing
specific goals since such competitions
enhance the overall learning experience.
A final motivation for case competitions
relates to career placement for students.
Smith and Hanlon (2009) noted that
“perhaps the most important benefit
students earn by participating [in case
competitions] is the resume line. Stu-
dents report that this is the most dis-
cussed item in interviews for internships
and full-time positions, and is a great
opportunity to distinguish themselves
from other job applicants” (p. 1). Em-
ployers value the outcomes achieved
through case competitions. A 2010 sur-
vey conducted by the National Associa-
tion of Colleges and Employers (NACE)
concluded that “companies are seeking
evidence of communication and writing
skills, analytical ability and teamwork”
(Korkki, 2010). When examining what
skills are needed for success in business,
Coplin (2002) reported that employers
rank teamwork skills as one of the most
important skills learned in college.
There is little doubt that the extracur-
ricular case competition adds value to a
business program; however, resources
are limited and creating the competition
structure can be time consuming. In
choosing to participate in a case compe-
tition, faculty must weigh the imposing
needs of developing a case problem, so-
liciting student groups interested in
competing, committing office time to an-
swering questions, listening to and eval-
uating student presentations, and re-
viewing submitted reports against their
standard obligations of scholarship,
teaching, and service.
To minimize faculty time commitments
associated with a case competition, we
create a template for running a case
competition. The competition process is
separated into four task-based phases
(planning, execution, assessment and
feedback) that need to be implemented
in progression. The rest of the paper will
present a discussion of our template for
each phase, with examples from our own
experiences shown as necessary.
II. The Planning Phase
With good planning, the case competi-
tion will likely be a positive experience
for both faculty and student participants.
The planning phase includes scheduling,
advertising and student recruitment, and
case selection. Each process is discussed
in this section of the paper.
24
A. Timing and Scheduling
Limiting the competition to a single
weekend helps to mitigate the burden of
time commitment. The most optimal
timing for the case competition may be
early in the spring semester, perhaps af-
ter the second full week of classes. The
earlier part of a semester is convenient
for students as they have just settled into
their new classes and have a relatively
low academic work load; similarly, fac-
ulty have just rolled out their class work,
attended to all advisee issues relating to
course changes, and should not yet be
overly committed. We prefer holding
the competition in the spring semester,
instead of in the fall semester, because
we have time for attending to competi-
tion details during the winter break. We
also discovered that we can promote the
competition late in the fall semester, and
not incur a large gap in time between
when applications are solicited (in De-
cember) and when the competition
commences (in January).
To condense the event into a narrow
time frame, a single weekend, using Fri-
day (or Saturday) as a work day and
Saturday (or Sunday) as a reporting day,
works well. An example of a model
weekend schedule is included in Ap-
pendix 1. Before advertising and stu-
dent recruitment occur, the schedule
should be set so that all potential student
participants can plan accordingly.
(Refer Appendix 1)
B. Advertising and Student Recruitment
Student participation is critical, espe-
cially when the competition is financially
supported through a grant or benefactor.
To encourage student participation, the
competition should be announced in re-
lated courses and through electronic
platforms like student publications and
appropriate student e-mail lists. Stu-
dents should be asked to register as a
team on official application forms. As
for group size, we recommend 3-4 indi-
viduals for both student groups and for
the participating faculty panel. Faculty
teams should anticipate questions dur-
ing this time period since many students
will want clarification of processes.
Note that if a college has a robust, active
student population, the faculty team
may consider limiting the number of
teams that participate before beginning
its recruitment process.
C. Case Selection and/or Creation
The choice and preparation of the case
study to be used in the competition is
one of the biggest planning tasks for the
faculty team. The ideal case should re-
quire students to grapple with many
gray issues, much like they would as
business consultants. Pedagogically, the
case should have a limited number of
“correct answers”, and provide oppor-
tunities for students to think both criti-
cally and creatively, drawing upon their
myriad of business courses in providing
recommendations. The ideal case should
have the potential for many non-
traditional solutions which could poten-
tially be judged favorably, if appropri-
ately supported. In other words, the
case needs to be “messy” as defined by
Carrithers, Ling and Bean (2008). Given
the desired nature of the case, a faculty
team may opt to purchase a case, work
with a local business to create a case or
simply write a case that will be used in
the competition.
25
The easiest approach is to purchase a
case from an existing vendor and use it
as is. The primary advantage of this ap-
proach is the time saved by not writing a
case from scratch. However, a disad-
vantage of this option is that infor-
mation, whether free or at a cost, may be
available online. Availability of online
information should be thoroughly re-
searched by the faculty team and, in
turn, shared with all student competitors
at the onset of the competition to ensure
equal information for all student teams.
Another approach is to solicit case stud-
ies by asking business managers (or
guest speakers) from the local communi-
ty to provide an appropriate case based
on their internal work experiences. Yin
(1994) stated that case studies based on
contemporary real-life issues are particu-
larly appropriate for, and attractive to,
students. Other advantages to this ap-
proach are: (1) students may develop a
good understanding of the subject com-
pany (if its disclosure is allowed), (2) lo-
cal case studies enhance the relationship
between the University and the local
business community, and (3) the local
business may send some of its people to
participate on the panel of judges. The
disadvantage of this approach is the pos-
sibility that the case will need to be
adapted for the needs of the competition,
which will require faculty time.
The final approach, which is also the
most time consuming, is to create an
original case for the competition. To
date, we have been through three annual
cycles of our weekend case competition.
In our first year, we created a case based
on a Midwestern company that was con-
sidering two buildings for potential ex-
pansion, one of which would cost more
to the firm but would also serve as a
cornerstone for a downtown revitaliza-
tion effort. In our second year, we
adapted a case from the Harvard Busi-
ness Review, whereby a private label
manufacturer had to decide whether or
not to expand production facilities to
meet significantly increased demand
from a single customer. In our third
year, we adapted a case from Darden
Business Publishing that focused on
whether or not Boeing should go ahead
with the development and production of
a new mid-sized fleet of airplanes, espe-
cially in the context of keeping up with
its primary competitor Airbus.
Because the case was original in year 1
and purchased in both years 2 and 3, we
noted a large difference in average plan-
ning time. In year 1, the average plan-
ning time per faculty member was 15.7
hours, while in years 2 and 3, planning
averaged 5.0 and 6.2 hours per faculty
member, respectively. There is little
doubt that the choice of approach in case
selection was a primary factor in ex-
plaining the time difference after year 1.
III. The Execution Phase
The successful execution of a case com-
petition depends heavily on the preced-
ing planning phase. At the commence-
ment of the competition, the faculty
team should meet all contestants and
share the following information with the
student teams:
1. Time schedule: The faculty team
should review the timing of main
events, and answer any questions re-
lating to competition structure.
26
2. Guidelines and expectations: Each
student group should be given expec-
tations concerning both oral presen-
tations and written reports. Rubrics
for the oral presentation and written
reports should be shared with stu-
dents at this time.
3. Random draw for presentation order:
Each group draws their presentation
time at random out of a hat.
4. Case guidance: The faculty should
discuss the nature of the case and
may choose to give students some
specific direction on which tasks are
most important to address. The facul-
ty team may also announce limited
office hours during the competition,
for which students may visit if they
have further questions.
Note that in our first year, we gave no
general guidance on the case study in
the initial meeting. However, in our se-
cond and third years, more guidance
was given and results were slightly
higher in quality and much lower in var-
iability relative to the first year. Because
we used a published case in both the se-
cond and third year, there were teaching
notes online as well as a couple of relat-
ed web sources, all of which were shared
in the initial meeting with students.
Thus, the competition became more fo-
cused on presentation skills and writing
skills, rather than on problem-solving
skills (as in the first year).
When working on the case, students
were not restricted to a certain area, or
even required to work inside of the
business school. Also, we felt the easiest
way to communicate any key project
updates or clarifications, once the com-
petition had started, was via Black-
board©, to which all students had an op-
erating account. Blackboard© was also
utilized for each group’s final submis-
sions, which included their written re-
ports, presentation slides, and any
spreadsheets and appendices that sup-
ported their conclusions. This electronic
efficiency facilitated a smooth progres-
sion for assessment and review.
All student groups were required to
submit their written report, PowerPoint
presentation, and spreadsheet by a set
time. Presentations began 20 minutes af-
ter this deadline. A technology support
person was in the presentation room and
loaded each group’s submitted presenta-
tion slides before that group entered the
room. In addition, fellow faculty mem-
bers and administrators were invited to
watch some or all of the presentations.
Student teams were not allowed to
watch other presentations until they had
already presented.
IV. The Assessment Phase
Assessment occurs in two forms once the
competition has begun. First, the prod-
ucts created by each student team must
be assessed so that “winners” may be
determined. Second, the structure of the
competition itself must be assessed so
that improvements in processes can be
made in future years. In this section, we
will discuss both forms of assessment.
A. Student Team Assessment
It is difficult to measure student perfor-
mance consistently. However, rubrics
for both the oral presentation and writ-
ten report may assist in the process.
Griffin (2009) describes rubrics as fol-
lows. “[They are] the finest description
of what we think is important for our
27
students right now, in the service of their
learning.” (p. 13). The rubrics used in
the past three years can be found in Ap-
pendices 2A and 2B. The oral presenta-
tion rubric is a modification of a rubric
created by the University of Dayton (see
footnote on rubric). It is entirely likely
that these rubrics may need modification
as the case or the competition changes
over time.
(Refer Appendices 2A and 2B)
The adapted rubrics were shared with
students at the beginning of the competi-
tion. At this time, students were in-
formed of how the rubric scores would
be weighted. For the most recent com-
petition, we chose weights of 50% for the
oral presentation and 50% for the written
report. After each portion of the compe-
tition was completed, the faculty team
computed an average rubric score for
each team. From the two rubrics used,
the group rankings were then deter-
mined. The top six teams were recog-
nized at an awards ceremony, with the
top three teams winning various cash
prizes.
B. Assessment of Competition Structure
In addition to assessing student perfor-
mance, it is important to review the ef-
fectiveness of the competition process,
seeking opportunities for improvement.
In the three years of competition, we
identified several action steps that im-
proved the competition structure.
First, we changed our approach as to the
level of guidance provided to students
about the case study. Initially, the case
study was sent to students and little
guidance was provided, giving students
great flexibility in setting assumptions.
Although the lack of guidance may be
viewed as a positive, from an evaluation
standpoint, it was very difficult to figure
out which groups had made the most
optimal decision and why, especially
when referring directly to their support-
ing spreadsheets. Moreover, based on
the content of both their reports and
presentations, we learned the value of
stressing the need for contestants to fo-
cus on their thought processes and prob-
lem solving approaches, rather than
simply whether they got the “right an-
swer” in the end. These observations
helped us in formulating expectations
and guidelines that were communicated
succinctly in subsequent competitions.
Second, we discovered that sharing key
information concerning the oral and
written reports helped students to better
understand expectations. We created
and shared a document with students
called Points of Emphasis (see Appendix
3) that effectively summarized all the
general feedback we gave students after
the prior year’s competition and provid-
ed guidance to students concerning
presentation management and written
report structure. While such guidance
was beneficial for students, caution was
taken to avoid being overly prescriptive
to the point that team creativity may be
stifled.
(Refer Appendix 3)
Third, we extended the time given for
each student presentation and increased
the allowed length of their written re-
port. Because there were so many
groups (13 in total) participating in itera-
tion 1, the presentation times were re-
stricted to 8-10 minutes and the written
report’s maximum length was three
28
double-spaced pages. We discovered
that the time allowances and report re-
strictions stifled the effectiveness of stu-
dent performance. When we extended
presentation times to 15 minutes and al-
lowed five single-spaced pages on the
written reports, we observed, on aver-
age, more-relaxed, higher-quality
presentations and reports that contained
stronger analysis, relative to iteration 1.
Finally, we have struggled with the bal-
ance between encouraging students to
participate vs. suggesting (or requiring)
certain prerequisites, which will effec-
tively limit participation. In our first
two years of competition, advertised
prerequisite for our competition has
been a single semester of an introductory
corporate finance class (for which all
business students must take, usually
during their junior year). However, it
has become apparent that the selected
cases gave students with upper-level
business courses students a significant
advantage over students who had not.
We also discovered that since students
were allowed to self-select their own
groups, this potential gap in knowledge
from prerequisite classes could be quite
large. Although we have discussed im-
posing constraints on group formation,
we ultimately decided against it, think-
ing that such constraints would serve as
a significant disincentive for students to
participate. In general, we have ob-
served that the broader the background
of contestants in a team in terms of busi-
ness disciplines, the richer the final out-
put of that team.
From the faculty’s point of view, as-
sessment of the case competition re-
quires a significant time commitment.
Finding ways to minimize this commit-
ment is achieved through assessment of
the competition structure. We estimate
the time spent on assessment was 6.7
hours per faculty member in year 1, but
only 4.7 hours in years 2 and 5.0 hours in
year 3. This reduction in faculty time
was achieved through offering greater
guidance to students at the outset of the
competition, thus eliminating some of
the deviation in output and analyses
submitted by student teams. Further-
more, faculty who are judging for the 2nd
or 3rd times can rely on their past experi-
ences to expedite the assessment process.
For a complete breakdown of faculty
time spent per phase per iteration, see
Appendix 5.
(Refer Appendix 4 and 5)
V. The Feedback Phase
The feedback phase consists of feedback
from the faculty team to student compet-
itors as well as feedback from student
teams to participating faculty members.
In this section, we will discuss each type
of feedback flow in turn, and also men-
tion some limitations of our competition
structure.
A. Feedback from Faculty to Students
In all three years, the competition con-
cluded with an awards ceremony. Hav-
ing a formal ceremony elevated the exer-
cise and added prominence both at the
institution and potentially with the local
business community. However, before
the winners were announced, the faculty
team provided general overall feedback
to all participants. Such feedback in-
cluded the primary strengths and weak-
nesses observed from both the oral
presentations and written report, and fo-
29
cused on elements that separated the
winning teams from those who did not
place. We also provided information on
the specific nature of the case just com-
pleted. Since there were multiple solu-
tions possible, we noted that decisions
made by the groups needed to be well
supported. We also mentioned that the
winning groups achieved success based
largely on how they communicated their
results, and not just based on what their
results actually were. At the conclusion
of the faculty comments, participating
groups were encouraged to visit with
faculty members to obtain more detailed
feedback, which many groups did.
B. Feedback from Students to Faculty
Students also played a role in providing
feedback about the case competition, as
their responses contributed to the ongo-
ing assessment of process. In general,
student competitors enjoyed the compe-
tition. In all three years, faculty team
members heard from students who re-
quested more competitions since they
found the event to be a valuable oppor-
tunity to enhance their business skills.
After the initial competition, we admin-
istered an exit survey, but it focused
more on the competition’s structure and
guidelines along with the specific as-
pects of the given case. For the 2nd and
3rd years of our competition, we adminis-
tered an expanded exit survey to our
students, focusing on any improvement
in skills used during the competition
that would supplement the more typical
skills taught in the classroom. This sur-
vey can be found in Appendix 4, and
representative results are discussed be-
low.
When asked about their experience, the
most frequently observed response re-
volved around the team building aspects
of the competition. Many students com-
mented that working under time pres-
sure was a valuable experience, especial-
ly in the context of preparing them for
their future careers as potential business
consultants. Others noted their enjoy-
ment of the earlier stages of the project,
where group members had to brain-
storm for different ideas, discuss each
idea in turn, and ultimately come to a
consensus. By-products of this process,
mentioned by several students, were
conflict resolution and task allocation.
Still, other groups admitted to learning
about professionalism, both when speak-
ing in a more formal setting and when
writing a proper business memo, where
clarity, succinctness, and structure were
highly emphasized.
When asked about case content, student
responses focused mostly on broad skills
needed to be successful on the project,
such as demonstrating and enhancing
their spreadsheet skills or incorporating
qualitative and contextual factors into
their decisions. In addition, some stu-
dents commented about the research
skills that were required for success.
C. Limitations of our Competition Struc-
ture
There are three primary limitations with
respect to our model structure. First, we
did not provide feedback that is individ-
ually tailored to groups (or to the indi-
viduals within those groups). The large
number of groups and the compressed
timeframe for which the competition cy-
cle runs made it challenging for faculty
to find additional time for group feed-
30
back, although we acknowledge that this
would be quite beneficial. Second, there
is a potential ‘free rider’ problem; that is,
some students may do well just from be-
ing in a strong group, and subsequently
get both prize money and a resume
builder that does not necessarily reflect
their own individual effort and accom-
plishment. Third, partly because we
suggested a course prerequisite that is
not typically taken until one’s junior
year, there are very few students who
can participate in our competition more
than twice. Thus, it is difficult for us to
measure the extent to which their busi-
ness skills improve from their experienc-
es from prior competitions.
VI. Conclusion
In its career advice area, Monster.com
reports 100 possible interview questions,
many of which relate to team work, time
management, and problem solving. It is
clear from these questions that today’s
employers are seeking graduates who
have more than just a rudimentary
knowledge of core academic concepts.
The ability to deal with ever-changing
business situations, and find or provide
meaningful solutions is viewed quite fa-
vorably among employers, especially if
the prospective hire has satisfactorily
completed all the related, required
coursework.
Case competitions provide an oppor-
tunity to make business education mean-
ingful to business students, especially if
the competition is well organized, while
providing students an opportunity to
prepare for upcoming career challenges.
For example, competitions enable stu-
dents to deal with the challenge of deliv-
ering results under pressure, given an
enigmatic real-world business problem.
In this paper, we have provided a dis-
course of recommendations that aid
running a short undergraduate business
case competition that can seamlessly fit
into both student and faculty schedules,
while also achieving desirable business
learning outcomes. For the majority of
students and faculty who participate, the
experience is not just rewarding from an
intellectual perspective, but also an op-
portunity to develop and nurture com-
mon interests with one’s peers.
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potential- interview-
questions/article.aspx
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32
Appendix 1 : OUTLINE OF SCHEDULE FOR COMPETITION
Friday
10:00 am - 10:15 am – Copies of the competition guidelines and schedule will be distributed to each
group of students. This will be followed by a brief introductory presentation that reviews both the
schedule and guidelines. A random draw for Saturday’s presentation times will be conducted. Final-
ly, an announcement will be made as to which faculty members will be responsible for answering cer-
tain questions. LOCATION: XXX
10:15 am - 12:00 pm – Each team meets alone (at the location of their choosing) to read over the pro-
ject, and to develop their ‘plan of attack.’ Ideally this time could also be used to start doing some re-
search; this could consist of a review of both Principles of Finance I or Theory of Interest (in Actuarial
Science major) textbooks (where applicable) and/or an Internet search (relating to tax/accounting as-
pects of the problem). No faculty panel members will be present during this time.
12:00 pm - 12:30 pm – Lunch is provided to all teams. Faculty members may be present for lunch, but
will refrain from answering project-related questions until after lunch. LOCATION: XXXX
Saturday
10:00 am - 10:15 am – Details about both the written report and oral presentation will be announced.
In addition, there will be an overview of the Saturday schedule, including the stipulation that all pro-
ject-related work must be completed and submitted by 2:00p. It is now that we can be available to an-
swer any questions that teams feel comfortable asking in front of all the other teams. LOCATION:
XXXX
10:15 am - 12:00 pm – Ideally, this is the time during which teams will prepare their written report.
This is to be no more than three pages (plus any supporting tables and graphs), double-spaced, and is
to be written in the form of a memorandum to corporate management. Faculty members will be
available (again in their offices) to answer questions about the format/style of either the written report
or the presentation slides.
12:00 pm - 12:30 pm – Lunch is provided to all teams. Faculty members may be present for lunch, but
will refrain from answering project-related questions until after lunch. LOCATION: XXXX
12:30 pm - 2:00 pm – Each team returns to their separate locations; this is when the presentation slides
are developed (some team members may wish to use this time to also finish the written report if nec-
essary). Although 90 minutes does not seem like a lot of time to prepare slides, recall that this presen-
tation is to be short and succinct. Time management (under pressure) is key. If a team has adequate-
ly completed the project by lunch, there should be ample time to summarize their findings and
recommendations. Note that none of the faculty panel members will be present during this time.
ALL WRITTEN REPORTS AND SLIDE PRESENTATIONS ARE DUE AT 2:00P, REGARDLESS
OF WHEN A TEAM IS SCHEDULED TO PRESENT. SUBMISSION OF BOTH THE WRITTEN RE-
PORT AND SLIDE PRESENTATION IS TO BE DONE ELECTRONICALLY AT/BEFORE 2:00P (SO
TEAMS WILL NOT NEED TO PRINT THEIR SUBMISSION).
2:20 pm - 5:00 pm – In succession, all teams will present their findings and recommendations. Each
team will have 8 minutes to complete their talk, and depending on timing, we’ll have an additional 1-
2 minutes to ask a question or two. The talks will be scheduled exactly 10 minutes apart, so that we
can finish by 5:00p. Staying on schedule is paramount (and in extreme circumstances, talks may be
cut short if continuing on for too long). Presentations are open to the public, but other teams may
only sit in after they have given their own presentation. In the event that the room becomes too
crowded, teams that have been around the longest will be asked to leave. XXXX
5:00 pm - 5:30 pm – After all students have been dismissed, the panel of faculty judges will meet to
rank the group presentations. Ideally, individual preliminary rankings/ratings will be already done,
so this time will be used to simply pool results and discuss some of the stronger team presentations in
more detail.
Sunday
The faculty judges will individually review the written reports.
33
Monday
The faculty judges will meet briefly on Monday (perhaps during the lunch hour) to compile individu-
al ratings/rankings for the written reports. Finally, these results can be combined with those for the
oral presentations to form our overall winners.
5:00p-5:30 pm - The top 5 teams overall will be recognized, based on a 50/50 split between points as-
signed to the written report and oral presentation. However, only the top 3 teams will receive cash
awards (4th and 5th place get honorable mention). Dean (or other selected personality) will announce
all the winners at this official ceremony. LOCATION: XXXX
5:30 pm - 6:00 pm – A brief reception (with drinks and appetizers) to follow the awards ceremony.
LOCATION: XXXX
Appendix 2A: Written Rubric2
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4
Content
Grade _____
Poor; paper does
not convey stu-
dent under-
standing of all
subtleties in the
case.
Marginal; paper
conveys some
understanding of
case, but several
issues are not ad-
dressed adequate-
ly
Good; paper con-
veys an adequate
understanding of
case, but could be
stronger.
Excellent; paper
conveys case un-
derstanding in an
interesting and
complete way.
Recommendation
Grade _____
Recommendation
is not clear or is
not supported
Recommendation
is clear but sup-
port is not well
developed.
Recommendation
is clear and sup-
ported
Recommendation
is clear and com-
pletely support-
ed.
Organization
Grade _____
Writing is disor-
ganized with
poor flow
Writing is some-
what organized
but contains some
weak areas.
Writing is orga-
nized
Writing is orga-
nized, interest-
ing, and easy to
read
Mechanics
(structure, gram-
mar & spelling)
Grade_____
Careless; paper
contains many
structural,
grammatical, or
spelling errors
Marginal; paper
contains 3-5 struc-
tural, grammati-
cal or spelling er-
rors.
Good; paper con-
tains 1-2 struc-
tural, grammati-
cal or spelling
errors.
Excellent; paper
contains no struc-
tural, grammati-
cal or spelling er-
rors
2 Rubric modified from one found at: Jill M. Bale and Donna Dudney, “Assessing and Developing
Writing Skills in Finance,” Regional Business Review, Summer 2002.
34
Appendix 2B: Oral Presentation Rubric3
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4
Organization
Grade _____
Audience can-
not understand
presentation be-
cause there is no
sequence of in-
formation.
Audience has
difficulty fol-
lowing presen-
tation because
student jumps
around; loses
“big picture”
results.
Students present
information in
logical sequence
which audience
can follow.
Students present
information in
logical, interest-
ing or innova-
tive sequence
which audience
can easily fol-
low.
Mechanics
(Including presen-
tation aids)
Grade_____
Student's
presentation
had four or
more spelling
errors and/or
grammatical er-
rors.
Presentation
had three mis-
spellings and/or
grammatical er-
rors.
Presentation has
no more than
two misspellings
and/or gram-
matical errors.
Presentation has
no misspellings
or grammatical
errors.
Time Management
Grade _____
Poor time allo-
cation; group
was unable to
cover several
key points in
time allotment.
Marginal time
allocation –
group did not
cover one or two
key points in
time allotment.
Good time allo-
cation – group
covered all main
points but some
addressed hasti-
ly.
Excellent time
allocation – cov-
ered all main
points effective-
ly.
Delivery
Grade_____
Students are dif-
ficult to hear,
use excessive
filler, and/or use
non-verbal dis-
tractions.
Students use ex-
cessive filler
and/or non-
verbal distrac-
tions.
Students' voices
are clear. Very
few fillers/ non-
verbal distrac-
tions are pre-
sent.
Students use a
clear voice with
no fillers. No
non-verbal dis-
tractions occur.
Content
Knowledge
Grade_____
Students do not
communicate a
complete under-
standing of the
case.
Students com-
municate some
understanding,
but miss several
aspects of the
case.
Students com-
municate an un-
derstanding of
the case with
explanations.
Students
demonstrate full
knowledge of
case with well-
supported ex-
planations.
Appendix 3: Points of Emphasis Information Shared With Students at Initial Meet-
ing
Written Report:
1) You only have 3 pages to get your point across, so don’t spent much time re-
stating the problem; assume the judges already have familiarity.
2) Let us know your recommendation right away, preferably in the opening
paragraph. You could even have a ‘thesis statement’ at the conclusion of this
paragraph that summarizes your rationale (that will be developed).
3 Rubric modified from one found at:
http://assessment.udayton.edu/howto%20tips/Rubrics/presentation%20rubric%20-%20teach-
nology.htm
35
3) The remainder of your paper should address how your overall conclusion (al-
ready mentioned) was formed; that is, you should provide a high-level over-
view of the main points from your analysis.
4) Remember that you are a professional (e.g. a consultant or mid-level manag-
er) so that you should use a professional tone in your writing. That is, you
should avoid flower, informal language and clichés.
5) Any information that is only tangential to your main train of thought should
be relegated to appendices or attachments, rather than in your core report.
Oral Presentation:
1) Rehearse beforehand, and focus on sounding and appearing professional; that
said, business casual attire should be sufficient.
2) Although we do not require all group members to speak equally (or at all), it
might work better to have everyone participate at least in some capacity.
3) Face your audience, know the content on your slides without having to al-
ways look directly at the slides, and sound confident in what you say.
4) Don’t fill each slide with too much information; each slide should contain one
or two main ideas. You can fill in the gaps with extra spoken words.
5) The presentation should be similarly structured to the report; state your con-
clusion early on, and spend the majority of your time offering support.
Appendix 4: Exit Survey given to Students at Conclusion of Competition
1) Comment on the structure of the competition. Specifically, did you feel
that the group size was about right? Also, do you feel that the 60/40 split
between the report (+ analysis) and the presentation is about right? If not,
what would you change?
2) Comment on the timing of the competition. Was it scheduled during the
appropriate time of the semester/year? Was the length of time your group
had to spend to complete the given tasks about right? Too much? Too lit-
tle?
3) Important: What, if anything, did you learn about group work, business
writing, and public speaking?
4) Important: What, if anything, did you learn about corporate finance and
time value of money, specifically with respect to capital budgeting analy-
sis or tax/accounting considerations?
5) Was the case itself clear? Was enough information provided for you to
adequately address the recommended tasks? Would you recommend this
case, or a version of it, be used again?
36
Appendix 5: Faculty Time Spent in Each Phase by Year
Phase
Average time per faculty
member
2010 2011 2012
Planning 15.7 hours 5.0 hours 6.2 hours
Execution 12.3 hours 12.3 hours 10.0 hours
Assessment 6.7 hours 4.7 hours 5.0 hours
Feedback 3.0 hours 2.3 hours 2.2 hours
TOTAL
37.7 hours
24.3 hours
23.4 hours
Additional notes:
• Three faculty members participated in each year
• 35.4% reduction in time spent in 2011 v.2010, 3.7% reduction 2012 v.2011
• Planning differences due to choices made in case selection (published in 2011
and 2012 vs. written by faculty team in 2010)
• Assessment differences due to greater initial guidance provided to students.
Authors
Jill M. Bale, School of Accountancy, University of Nebraska–Lincoln,
Jimmy Senteza, Associate Professor, Department of Finance, College of Business
and Public Administration, Drake University, [email protected]
Toby A. White, Assistant Professor, Department of Finance/Actuarial Science, Col-
lege of Business and Public Administration, Drake University, to-
Acknowledgments
This paper was presented at the FEA (Financial Education Association) Annual Conference in Octo-
ber 2010 (@San Antonio, Texas). The authors would like to thank Roger Brooks for his generous fi-
nancial support of the Brooks Weekend Case Competition (2010-2012).
37
Midwest Bancshares, Inc.
Heather Muehling, & Edward C. Lawrence
Midwest Bancshares, Inc. (MBI) is a large multibank holding company located in Lit-
tle Rock, Arkansas. In 2013, MBI is considering acquiring a small bank in St. Louis,
Missouri by the name of Quality Bancshares. This is a very detailed case study based
on real institutions that allows students to experience the difficulty of making bank
merger or holding company acquisition decisions with missing and conflicting data.
The case introduces three of major valuation methods for determining an appropri-
ate price for acquisition. While the case does require some number crunching for
valuation purposes, students should also be encouraged to go beyond the numbers
and draw on their knowledge of organizational behavior and other functional areas
of business in their analyses and recommendations. The case is intended for an ad-
vanced undergraduate or graduate course in Commercial Bank Management.
History
Midwest Bancshares, Inc. (MBI) can trace
its roots back to 1935 when a well-
known financier, Alexander Banks, came
to Little Rock, Arkansas with $20,000 in
his pocket for the purpose of starting his
own bank. Mr. Banks was brought up in
an upper-middle class family, where the
majority of the children chose occupa-
tions within various financial sectors.
Alexander’s passion had always been
banking, which is what drove him to
strike out on his own at the age of 32 to
start a bank with a “different” kind of
philosophy.
Alexander strongly believed that many
of his fellow banking colleagues had lost
sight of the real reason why banks suc-
ceeded at this time, the customer. His
stated philosophy was as follows, “pro-
vide value-added service to our custom-
ers, whereby we eliminate any reason for
competition”. Mr. Banks promoted this
philosophy, which we call “community
banking” today, and has watched it
flourish well into the 21st century.
Where are they now?
Today, MBI operates as the parent hold-
ing company for Central Bank Midwest,
N.A., located in the Midwest. Currently,
Central Bank Midwest has over 275 loca-
tions in Missouri, Kansas, and Arkansas.
It employs approximately 3,500 people
with their headquarters located in Little
Rock, Arkansas. In addition, MBI owns
several non-banking subsidiaries that are
involved in real estate, mortgage bank-
ing, and brokerage services.
Strategic Management Plan
Midwest Bancshares is faced with both
short-term and long-term strategic is-
sues. Immediate concerns for the bank-
ing industry center on slower revenue
and deposit growth and credit quality
issues. But in longer terms, all financial
service institutions should be focused on
increased use of technology, a motivated
and well-trained employee base, and a
consistent business philosophy of part-
nering with customers. As always, bank
management is strongly focused on cre-
ating shareholder value. In order to
achieve this goal, Midwest Bancshares is
38
focusing on the following key compo-
nents of high asset quality, revenue
growth through a growing customer
base, and continual reinvestment in
people, technology, and products.
Financial Status of MBI – Year 2012
Overview
According to MBI’s most recent calendar
year-end, December 31, 2012, the com-
pany reported a slight decline in its fi-
nancial performance as compared to
previous years with combined total as-
sets of approximately $22,038M (See Ex-
hibit 1-3). However, the Company
achieved its 10th consecutive year of rec-
ord earnings in 2012, with net income of
$357 million, a 7.4% increase over net in-
come in 2011. In addition, the return on
average assets was 1.62%, and the return
on equity was 16.22%.
Balance Sheet Analysis
Overall asset quality has remained
strong for MBI throughout 2012. Net
loan charge-offs totaled 0.38%, com-
pared with 0.41% (See Exhibit 4) in the
prior year. Allowance for loan loss in-
creased by $11 million to $257 million, or
1.62% of total loans. In addition, non-
accrual loans totaled $39 million (See
Exhibit 5), higher than in the previous
year, but still only 0.27% of total loans
and a very low level compared to MBI’s
peers.
Loan Portfolio Analysis. This brings
us to the discussion of MBI’s loan
portfolio (See Exhibit 6). A bank’s
loan portfolio combined with its, de-
posit base are the keys to its contin-
ued success. Total loans grew $660
million, or 4.4%, during 2012 com-
pared to growth of $1.1 billion, or
7.5%, during 2011. The growth in 2012
came principally from personal bank-
ing, business real estate, and business
loans, which grew 8.7%, 4.6%, and
3.7%, respectively. Additionally, other
banking consolidations in a number of
the Company’s markets provided the
Company an opportunity to establish
new customer relationships.
The Company currently generates
approximately 43% of its loan portfo-
lio in Arkansas, 22% in the St. Louis
regional market, and 35% in the Kan-
sas City regional market. The portfo-
lio is diversified from a business and
real estate standpoint, with 55% in
loans to businesses and 45% in loans
to individual customers. A balanced
approach to loan portfolio manage-
ment and an aversion toward credit
concentration have enabled the Com-
pany to sustain low levels of problem
loans and loan losses.
Deposit Base Analysis. Deposits are
the primary funding source for the
Company’s loans, and are acquired
from a broad base of local markets,
including both individual and corpo-
rate customers. On a yearly average
basis, deposits decreased $634 million
(See Exhibit 7), or (3.4%), during 2012
compared to 2011. This has caused
some banks within the Company to
incur higher incremental borrowing
costs to fund asset growth. The Com-
pany has resisted raising deposit rates
in order to attract higher deposits. A
strong liquidity position has enabled
it to keep funding costs lower without
deposit growth, and still profitably
fund its loan growth.
39
Income Statement Analysis – Year 2012
As stated previously, MBI experienced a
record year in terms of earnings for 2012
(see Exhibit 2). The increase in net in-
come was a result of a 3.1% growth in
net interest income (before provision for
loan losses), a 7.0% growth in non-
interest income, and flat credit costs.
This was partially offset by non-interest
expense, which was controlled to a 2.7%
increase.
Net Interest Income. Net interest in-
come increased $30 million over last
year mainly due to annual loan
growth of $1.2 billion coupled with
increased earning assets rates. Also
loan growth was mainly funded by
maturities of investment securities,
which generally yield lower rates than
loans, thus creating a more profitable
asset mix.
Non-Interest Income. Non-interest in-
come raised to $33 million, mainly in
the areas of credit card fees, and trust
revenues.
Non-Interest Expense. Non-interest
expense was $860.8 million in 2012,
which represented a 2.7% increase
over 2011. Salaries and employee ben-
efits, the largest components of non-
interest expense, were well controlled
during 2012. Salary increases were
held to a 3.1% increase in 2012 com-
pared to a 7.5% increase in 2011, and
employee benefits decreased slightly
in 2012, compared to a 16.2% increase
in 2011. The rise in salary expense was
due to additional employee incentive
payments and merit increases. This
rise was partly offset by a reduction in
full-time equivalent employees. The
benefits decrease occurred because of
a reduction in pension plan expense,
resulting from lower service cost ben-
efits earned and increases in the value
of plan assets.
MBI’s Peer Group Evaluation
Peer Evaluation Benchmarks
Each quarter MBI receives a banking
publication distributed by a local in-
vestment firm. Within this publication,
MBI is compared to other banks with
similar asset sizes, which is called in the
industry a “Peer Group”. In most cases,
the five most commonly evaluated
benchmarks are: Return on Assets
(ROA), Return on Equity (ROE), Net In-
terest Margin (NIM), Total Equity/Total
Assets, and Average Loans/Average De-
posits (Loan-to-Deposit) (See Exhibit 8).
The ratios most commonly evaluated in
terms of a bank’s profitability levels are
ROA, ROE, and Net Interest Margin.
First, a bank’s ROA is defined as net in-
come divided by average or total assets.
This ratio measures a bank’s profits per
dollar of assets. Therefore, a bank is con-
sidered a good-performer the greater the
ROA percentage. The same is also true
for the second profitability benchmark,
ROE. ROE is the amount earned on a
company’s stock investment for a given
period, and is defined as net income di-
vided by average equity.
The last important profitability bench-
mark, NIM, is defined as net interest in-
come divided by average total assets,
where net interest income (NII) equals
interest income minus interest expense.
NIM is viewed as the “spread” on earn-
ing assets (loans and securities). Once
again, typically, the greater the spread,
the greater the bank’s profitability.
40
In terms of a bank’s balance sheet, both
Total Equity/Total Assets and Average
Loans/Average Deposits ratios are most
commonly analyzed. Total Equity/Total
Assets ratio measures a bank’s capital
adequacy. Typically, a bank with an eq-
uity ratio in the range of 8.0% -10.0% is
considered average. However, anything
substantially greater than this may be
considered over-capitalized, and any-
thing significantly lower may be consid-
ered under-capitalized.
Lastly, the Loan-to-Deposit ratio is a
measure of bank’s liquidity, indicating
the extent to which deposits are used to
meet loan demands. The lower the ratio,
the more liquidity a bank has and vice-
versa.
Peer Group Analysis – Deposit Market
Share
As of December 31, 2012:
• The Company’s deposit market share
ranks 2nd in the St. Louis Metropolitan
Statistical Area (MSA).
• The Company ranks 2nd in deposit
market share in St. Louis County,
Missouri with a 24.5% market share.
• The Company ranks 1st in deposit
market share in St. Charles County,
Missouri with a 29.5% market share.
MBI Approached by Local Investment
Firm
MBI’s business philosophy is one that
centers on its continuing need for
growth. Conner Ashton, MBI’s Chief Fi-
nancial Officer, is the man responsible
for evaluating potential acquisitions.
Approximately once a week, Mr. Ashton
is notified of a bank in some part of the
country that is putting itself up for sale
or evaluating its strategic alternatives.
Part of Mr. Ashton’s job is to analyze
these sale notices to see whether or not
they would be a good addition to MBI.
In June 2013, Quality Bancshares Com-
pany (Quality Bancshares), a one-bank
holding company located in St. Louis,
Missouri, retained a local investment
firm, Stanley, Nolls, and Company, Inc.
(Stanley), for the purpose of locating an
interested buyer for their subsidiary,
Quality Bank (Quality). On July 5, 2013,
Mr. Ashton received a formal letter from
Stanley stating Quality Bancshares inten-
tions of placing Quality onto the auction
block (See Exhibit 9) and a Confidentiali-
ty Agreement (See Exhibit 10) to sign
prior to receiving any information re-
garding Quality.
Mr. Ashton reviewed the investment
firm’s letter with MBI’s Chief Executive
Officer, Michael Easel. Mr. Easel and Mr.
Ashton agreed that Quality initially ap-
peared to be an acquisition that might fit
nicely into MBI’s current strategic man-
agement plan. Therefore, on July 6, 2013
Mr. Ashton responded by signing the
Confidentiality Agreement and return-
ing it to Stanley.
The Target – Quality Bancshares Com-
pany History
Quality was organized as a de novo in-
stitution in 1992 by a group of local
businessmen to provide personalized
banking services to small businesses
with annual sales of $10 million or less
and to individuals 55 year of age and
older (primarily as a funding source). As
Quality grew, it maintained a core de-
posit-funding base provided by its
commercial borrowers and local retail
customers. Management has kept a fo-
cus on excellence in customer service to
41
both of the Company’s market segments.
Loan growth has remained constant and
steady throughout the Company’s histo-
ry.
Ownership/Key Personnel
Al Conway, age 62, was one of the origi-
nal founders of Quality Bancshares back
in 1992. Prior to this, his career in bank-
ing was when he took his first position
with Boatmen’s Bank. For the next 18
years, Mr. Conway held several posi-
tions with Boatmen’s while also graduat-
ing from the Stonier School of Banking.
From 1992 to the present, Mr. Conway
has held the positions of President and
Chief Executive Officer for Quality
Bancshares.
In terms of ownership, Quality
Bancshares currently has 246 sharehold-
ers with 1,948,626 outstanding shares of
common stock as of April 30, 2013. Of
these shareholders, Senior Management
and Directors own approximately 75
percent. The largest shareholder among
these individuals is Mr. Conway, who
owns approximately 53 percent. The re-
maining 25 percent stock interest is dis-
tributed among individual investors.
As majority stockholder, Mr. Conway –
age 62, has decided that he is ready to
venture out and start-up his own bank.
After approximately 40 years in the
banking business, Mr. Conway has affil-
iated himself with several high-powered
local banking contacts that have agreed
to invest the necessary capital that
would be required for the initial start-
up. Even though Mr. Conway is still in
the initial planning phase, he has target-
ed Crestwood, Missouri (southern sub-
urbs of St. Louis) as the bank’s first loca-
tion site.
In terms of personnel, the bank also em-
ployed four people in key roles for their
lending, compliance, accounting, and
operation divisions. Each one of these
division manager’s had worked for
Quality for at least five years, and were
considered by Quality to be inherent to
the bank’s continued success. However,
together they only had 25 years of com-
bined banking experience.
Strategy
As stated previously, Quality Bancshares
strategy is to provide full-range banking
services coupled with outstanding cus-
tomer service to two primary targets: in-
dividuals 55 years of age and older (gen-
erally as depositors) and small
businesses with sales of $10 million or
less (loan and deposit customers). Quali-
ty’s target market is defined as business-
es and individuals within a three-mile
radius of its locations. These locations
are in the cities of St. John (northern
suburbs), Afton (southern suburbs), and
St. Charles (western suburbs).
The Bank utilizes customer calling, local
newspapers, and direct mail to attract
deposits and loans. Their current busi-
ness plan identifies a 20% annual growth
rate for loans and deposits. Manage-
ment and the board of directors have
targeted profit levels of a 4% spread be-
tween yields on loans and cost of funds,
a 1.00% ROA, and 14% ROE.
Management believes the Bank is able to
compete effectively in its market due to:
(a) personalized, expert customer ser-
vice, (b) lending officers and senior
management maintaining strong rela-
tionships with commercial customers, (c)
quick reaction to loan requests, (d) the
extensive experience of management,
42
and (e) industry consolidation, which
has resulted in fewer independent banks
addressing the Bank’s target market
niche. The Bank employs dedicated per-
sonnel at each location with experience
in the target market areas.
The Bank has always operated as a loan
driven company and increased deposits
as required by its loan portfolio. The
Bank has expanded its deposit base to
meet loan growth demands with promo-
tional activities, an infinity group target-
ed towards senior citizens, and favorable
public relations.
Financial Status of Quality Bancshares
As of April 30, 2013, Quality Bancshares
held $476 million in assets, $448M in de-
posits, and $28 million in common equi-
ty (Exhibits 11). Historical profitability
has been impacted by growth as assets
have grown from $300 million in 1999 to
$476 million in April 2013. In 2012, man-
agement focused on improving profits,
reporting net income of $3.4 million with
an ROE of 11.94% (Exhibit 12). For the
four months-ended April 30, 2013, the
Company earned $1.3 million (annual-
ized represents earnings of $3.9 million),
a ROE of 14.78% (Exhibit 13).
Over the past five years (2008-2012), the
Company has experienced the following
compound growth rates: Assets- 29.9%,
Loans- 31.4%, Deposits- 29.0%, Equity-
16.8%, Net Interest Income- 24.2%, and
Net Income- 23.0%. While the Company
has been experiencing these strong
growth rates, management has contin-
ued to focus on asset quality.
Balance Sheet Analysis
As of 4/30/13, the Company appears to
have a relatively strong balance sheet.
According to Exhibit 11, total assets have
continued to rise for the last three years
with an all-time high in the first 4
months of 2013. The Company has no
long-term debt and no intangible assets.
Loan Portfolio Analysis. Quality’s
lending strategy is primarily a small
business focus with borrowers in a
variety of industries and generally
within a three-mile radius from each
branch (Exhibit 14). Their loan portfo-
lio is composed of real estate secured
loans, as well as unsecured lines of
credit and working capital lines to
private owner-operated businesses in
St. Louis.
Traditionally, a majority of Quality’s
loan portfolio has used real estate as
an integral component of a credit’s
underlying source of collateral. Man-
agement expects real estate to contin-
ue to be a major factor in future loan
relationships, but is also trying to re-
spond to the marketplace’s competi-
tive pressures to develop a wider ar-
ray of customers and further
diversification in the portfolio.
In terms of Quality’s lending person-
nel, it is currently made up of experi-
enced lenders and loan referrals from
the Company’s board members. The
Company has also increased its focus
on customer retention to avoid having
to continually seek new lending rela-
tionships.
Taking a look at Quality’s loan portfo-
lio, the Company has been able to
grow consistently over the last five
years (2008-2012). According to
4/30/13 financial statements (Exhibit
11) the Company has reached an all
time high of $338 million in loans. In
43
terms of the Company’s loan/deposit
mix, the commercial mortgage loan
balance carries the most weight at
45%, while residential mortgage loans
are the next in line with only 19.3% of
total loans (Exhibit 14).
Non-performing assets totaled $4.0
million (Exhibit 15), or 0.84% of total
assets at December 31, 2012 compared
to $4.1 million, or 1.03% at December
31, 2011 and $800,000, or 0.27% at De-
cember 31, 2010. What was the cause
for the large dollar increase? In 2011,
Quality took actions to “call” a loan in
the amount of $3 million dollars for
one of its largest commercial custom-
ers. Subsequently, the bank seized a
commercial strip mall that had been
placed as collateral for the loan. The
asset was placed on the books as a
foreclosed non-performing asset, also
known as other real estate owned
(OREO), while Quality continues to
look for an interested buyer.
Deposit Analysis. Quality’s retail de-
posit customers are the primary fund-
ing source and tend to be long stand-
ing depositors living in the Bank’s
branch market area, which are gener-
ally the West and Northwest county
areas of St. Louis. Due to its relatively
young franchise and strong loan
growth, Quality has been fairly ag-
gressive in attracting funding.
Quality had total deposits of $429 mil-
lion at April 30, 2013 (Exhibit 16). Of
this amount, $284 million, or 66.3%,
consisted of certificates of deposits.
This large percentage is due to Quali-
ty’s typical customer being 55 years or
older in age. In addition, a concern of
the Bank has been its level of CDs
over $100,000 – which consists of ap-
proximately 6% of total deposits and
tend to be made up of city, county,
and local government depositors
within the Company’s primary mar-
kets, which prefer to conduct business
with banks headquartered in their ar-
eas.
A deposit base consisting primarily of
time deposits tends to be highly inter-
est rate sensitive. Likewise, the more
interest sensitive a specific pool of
customer funds are, the more difficult
it is to minimize deposit interest ex-
pense. Consequently, management
has made a point to try and limit the-
se types of deposits in the future.
Income Statement Analysis
Quality has experienced inconsistent
earnings for the last three years. As of
fiscal year-end (FYE) December 31, 2012,
Quality reported a net income of $3.4
million compared to $986 million in FYE
2011 and $1.6 million in FYE 2010.
Net Interest Income. Net interest in-
come prior to provisions has sus-
tained its largest increase as of De-
cember 31, 2009 with a reported total
of $15.2 million, or a 35.6% increase
over 2008. This significant increase is
due to a 23.96% growth rate in interest
income, while maintaining level inter-
est expenses.
Non-Interest Income. Non-interest in-
come has consistently increased over
the last three fiscal year-ends. As of
December 31, 2012, it reached an all-
time high of $970 thousand. At this
same time period, the ratio for non-
interest income to total revenues was
6.0%, down from 2011 of 6.86%.
44
Non-Interest Expense. Like non-
interest income, non-interest expense
has also continued to rise for the last
three fiscal year-ends. As of December
31, 2012, non-interest expense was re-
ported as $9.5 million, a 8.9% increase
from 2011.
Financial Projections
In preparation for Mr. Ashton’s presen-
tation to Mr. Easel concerning his final
recommendation, projected financial
statements were performed on Quality
Bancshares for 2013-2016 (Exhibits 17
and 18). These statements incorporated
key assumptions about the growth po-
tential for loans and deposits (Exhibit
19). In particular, the assumptions antic-
ipated strong growth in commercial
loans combined with large increases in
the demand deposits of commercial cus-
tomers.
Bank Valuation
Prior to making a purchase decision, Mr.
Ashton requested that the Corporate Fi-
nance Department compile a list of
banks that had acquired institutions sim-
ilar to Quality’s asset size (Exhibit 20).
By requesting this information, Connor
was hoping to see what other banks
were paying for a transaction of this size.
In order to gauge this, two forms of bank
valuations are generally analyzed:
Price/Earnings Approach (P/E) and Mar-
ket-to-Book Approach (Price/Book).
A bank’s P/E ratio reflects the value that
the bank’s earnings (EPS) command in
the marketplace. Therefore, a high P/E
ratio is preferred since the higher a
firm’s P/E ratio, the more highly its earn-
ings are valued by investors.
The second valuation approach,
Price/Book, compares the stock market
value of the bank to its book value as a
percentage. Alternatively, one can com-
pare the stock price per share to the book
value per share to get a ratio (e.g. 2 to 1).
A market-to-book relationship greater
than 100% implies that the firm is creat-
ing value, while a ratio less than 100%
suggests the firm is destroying value. At
the time of this merger proposal, the av-
erage range for these types of ratios was
typically between 150 to 200 percent
with some very attractive transactions
approaching 250%.
Market Competition and
Demographics
Expansion in St. Louis Market
Quality Bancshares operates in two sep-
arate areas of the greater St. Louis Met-
ropolitan Area through its two branches
in St. Louis County and its one branch in
St. Charles County. The Greater St. Louis
area is a bi-state region comprising 12
counties, five in Illinois and seven in
Missouri. A number of Fortune 500
companies are headquartered in St. Lou-
is, where affordable housing, good uni-
versities, a strong job market, and high
quality of life make it an attractive place
to live.
St. Louis Metropolitan Statistical Area
(MSA) Highlights:
• The St. Louis MSA has a population of
2.6 million and is expected to grow
2.45% until 2020 and be ranked 20th
among all U.S. MSA’s with 2.9 million
residents
• 77% of the St. Louis MSA lives in Mis-
souri and the balance in Illinois
45
• Labor force of nearly 1.4 million peo-
ple
• Median household income of $46,262
ranking 88th of 315 U.S. MSA’s.
• Households with annual incomes in
excess of $150,000 make up 3.9% of all
St. Louis County households. That
percentage is expected to grow to
4.3% of households over the next five
years.
• 53rd in 2012 per capita income, ex-
pected to improve to number 43 by
2035.
• 97% of firms have less than 100 em-
ployees.
• Seven Fortune 500 companies are
headquarters in St. Louis, which ranks
fourth among all U.S. metropolitan
areas. The 7 companies are Anheuser-
Busch-In-Bev, Express Scripts, Boeing
Defense Systems, BJC Health Systems,
Emerson Electric, Monsanto, and
Nestlé Purina PetCare Company.
• In addition, St. Louis is home to near-
ly 150,000 business firms.
• 23.9% of population has at least a
bachelor degree. The U.S. average is
23.0%.
St. Charles County Highlights
• St. Charles County has a population
of 278,000, and is expected to grow
14.6% to 2016.
• Median household income of $53,734.
• St. Charles has grown from a bed-
room community of St. Louis to hav-
ing its own business base, and experi-
enced a very high rate of growth.
Sources: The Regional Commerce and
Growth Association, Missouri Works
Labor Market Information, U.S. Census
Bureau, and SNL Securities.
Future Outlook
In the 4th quarter of 2012, Quality’s man-
agement set out on a three-year strategic
plan aimed at continuing the Bank’s
strong loan and asset growth record,
while improving profitability through a
combination of operating efficiency,
margin improvement, and fee income
growth.
Quality Bancshares improvement in
earnings is the result of a focus on net in-
terest margins between approximately
3.8% and 4.0%. These margins are above
those of the recent past and this im-
provement is the result of the Compa-
ny’s elimination of the holding company
debt, improved pricing of loans, and its
continued core deposit growth. The
Bank is also expecting an increase in its
efficiency ratio, driven primarily by the
fact that it should be able to grow its
earnings asset base without adding addi-
tional employees.
These levels of growth are in part the re-
sult of continued consolidation in the St.
Louis marketplace, growing reputation
of the Bank as a customer-oriented busi-
ness lender, additional lending capacity
resulting from this year’s preferred stock
offering, and the cumulative effect of re-
tained earnings.
Financing the Acquisition
One of the last steps that Mr. Ashton
was contemplating was how MBI would
finance the acquisition. As Mr. Ashton
looked over the specifics of the acquisi-
tion he said to him “The asking price
46
they have requested is 200% of book
value or a 2 to 1 ratio. Is that price rea-
sonable? And if so, how should we go
about financing this transaction? In the
past we have usually issued 100% stock
to avoid the reduction in potential earn-
ings. However, maybe this time since the
acquisition is so small we could pay
100% cash? Or what about borrowing a
portion of the amount needed? The
Federal Home Loan Bank has assured
me that they would lend us the money at
an 8% interest rate amortized over a ten-
year period. Or I guess I could even do a
combination of all three? Of course, I
need to figure out what would be in the
best interest of MBI, plus allow for some
sort of increased shareholder value for
Quality.”
Weighing the Facts – Yes or No?
Once due diligence was performed by
Midwest Bancshares audit staff, it was
now time for Mr. Ashton to make a deci-
sion. Before doing so, he sat down with
his Assistant Treasurer, Kate Long, as he
had done a hundred times in the past to
lay out a pro versus con checklist for the
potential acquisition (Exhibit 21). With
all of the variables to be considered such
as asset quality, customer base, retail lo-
cations, etc., this last step acted as a final
guide in determining Mr. Ashton’s final
decision.
Finally, Mr. Ashton asked his secretary,
Judy, to hold his calls for the rest of the
afternoon. It was now time for him to
make his decision. While sitting in his
elegant leather chair, he remembered
that Heather Lowrey, a financial analyst
down the hall, was currently taking a
Bank Management course at a leading
university in the state. “What the heck!”
he said to himself. “Why not bring
Heather in here and see what she thinks.
It sure couldn’t hurt to hear someone
else’s opinion.”
Typing rampantly on her computer,
Heather was working on her latest pro-
ject for MBI. All of a sudden, from
around the corner, Mr. Ashton appeared.
“Heather, how is that Bank Management
course that you are taking coming
along?”
Heather, pleasantly surprised that she
was sharing a casual conversation with
Mr. Ashton replied, “Mr. Ashton it is
quite interesting. I never knew all that
went into your job until I took this
course. It has been fascinating!”
Mr. Ashton responded, “Well Heather
for once you are going to put your
schoolwork to the test. You are just the
person I would like to use today as a
sounding board for our most recent po-
tential acquisition. Why don’t you come
into my office and let’s have a chat.”
Student Assignment
You are to take the role of a financial an-
alyst advising Mr. Ashton and the Board
of Directors. What decision would you
recommend that MBI make? Would you
vote yes or no for the acquisition? If yes,
at what price? Any buying conditions? If
you recommend against the acquisition,
why? Support your recommendation
with a sound written analysis, including
spreadsheet calculations that you feel are
appropriate. In determining a possible
value for Quality Bancshares, you must
use at least 3 valuation methods with
one of those being a NPV type of analy-
sis based on future cash flows.
47
Exhibit 9
Stanley, Nolls
& Company, Incorporated 802 West Capitol
Little Rock,
Arkansas 72201,
(501) 895-5000
July 5, 2013
Mr. Conner Ashton
Chief Financial Officer
Midwest Bancshares, Inc.
205 West Capitol
Little Rock, Arkansas 72201
Re: Opportunity to Purchase Quality Bancshares Company
Dear Mr. Ashton:
Quality Bancshares Company has initiated a process to solicit interest in the potential sale of its sub-
sidiary, Quality Bank. Specifics regarding the branch locations will be disclosed as part of the offer-
ing package. The sale will include the transfer of certain deposits, certain loans, and other assets at-
tributable to each branch office.
Since you may have a potential interest in making an offer for this bank, please find enclosed two
copies of our standard Confidentiality Agreement form for your consideration and signature. Please
keep one original for your records and return the other to me as directed below. Upon our receipt of
such agreement, we will send you financial and other materials pertaining to the branch for your re-
view.
Once you have received and reviewed the offering package, if you have any additional requests or
questions, please direct them to me at (501) 555-5511. No contact is to be made by you to the bank.
Stanley, Nolls, and Company, Inc. reserves the right to discuss with potential purchasers at any time
the terms of any proposal submitted by such party for the purpose of clarifying such terms. Until a
Purchase and Assumption Agreement is executed by Quality Bancshares Company, Quality shall
have no obligation to any prospective purchaser with respect to the sale of its branches.
Quality Bancshares Company shall have no obligation to accept any proposal, and expressly reserves
the right, in its sole and absolute discretion, to evaluate the terms and conditions of any proposal and
reject any and all proposals in its sole discretion, without giving reasons therefore, at any time and in
any respect.
Thank you for your interest. Please send the Confidentiality Agreement by mail to my attention at
the above address or fax to (501) 555-5512.
Sincerely,
John K. Foster
First Vice President
JKF: sk
Enclosure
48
Exhibit 10 Confidentiality Agreement
This CONFIDENTIALITY AGREEMENT, (the "Agreement") is made and agreed to by
Quality Bancshares Company, Inc., a Missouri corporation ("Quality"), with offices at
1485 Grand Avenue, St. Louis, Missouri 63102, and Midwest Bancshares, Inc. ("Com-
pany"), with offices at 205 West Capitol, Little Rock, Arkansas 72201 this _______day of
____________________, 2013.
In connection with consideration of a possible transaction between Quality
and Company involving the possible sale of all assets by Quality or its wholly-
owned subsidiary, Quality has prepared financial and other information concerning
the business and affairs which is proprietary and confidential (the "Evaluation Mate-
rials"). By entering into this Agreement, without our prior written consent, except as
required by law as advised by your counsel, you and your agents and employees
will not disclose to any person that discussions or negotiations are taking place or
have taken place concerning a possible transaction involving Quality or any of the
terms, conditions or other facts with respect to any such possible transaction, includ-
ing the status thereof. By entering into this Agreement and accepting the Evaluation
Material from Quality, Company agrees that any of the Evaluation Material that may
be furnished to it by officers, directors, employees, agents or advisors ("representa-
tives") of Quality and all analyses, compilations, studies and other material prepared
by Company or its representatives containing or based in whole or in part on any of
the Evaluation Material will be kept confidential and will be used solely to evaluate
the transaction described above and subject to the following:
1. Company recognizes and acknowledges the competitive value and
confidential nature of the Evaluation Material and the damage that could result to
Quality if information contained therein were disclosed to any third party and
agrees that in no event will it use the Evaluation Material to the detriment of Quali-
ty.
2. Company agrees that it will not disclose any of the Evaluation Material
to any third party without the prior written consent of Quality; provided, however,
that any such information may be disclosed to its employees, officers, and directors
(including those of affiliates), its agents and representatives including attorneys and
accountants and state and federal financial institution regulators who need to know
such information for the purpose of evaluating the transaction described above and
who agree to keep such information confidential and to be bound by this Agreement
to the same extent as if they were parties hereto.
3. Company agrees that without the prior written consent of Quality it
will not disclose to any person the fact that discussions or negotiations are taking
place concerning a possible transaction between the parties, or any of the terms,
conditions or facts with respect to any such possible transaction including the status
thereof; provided, that Company may make such disclosure if it has received the
written opinion of its counsel that such disclosure must be made by it in order that it
not commit a violation of law (in which case it shall notify the other party and its
49
counsel within a reasonable time prior to any disclosure it proposes to make con-
cerning the reasons for, and nature of, the proposed disclosure).
4. In the event that Company or its representatives are requested in any pro-
ceedings to disclose any of the Evaluation Material, it will give Quality prompt
notice of such request so that Quality may seek an appropriate protective order. If,
in the absence of a protective order, Company or any of its representatives is
nonetheless compelled to disclose any of the Evaluation Material, Company or its
representatives may disclose such information in the proceeding without liability
hereunder; provided, however, that Company or any of its representatives gives
Quality written notice of the information to be disclosed as far in advance of its
disclosure as is practicable and, upon the request and at the expense of Quality,
uses its best efforts to obtain assurances that confidential treatment will be ac-
corded to such information.
5. The foregoing restrictions with respect to information in the Evaluation
Material shall not apply to any information which a party can demonstrate (i) is or
becomes generally available to the public other than as a result of a disclosure by
Quality or its representatives, (ii) was available to Company on a non-confidential
basis prior to its disclosure by Quality, or (iii) becomes available to Company on a
non-confidential basis from a source other than Quality or its representatives, which
source was not itself bound by a confidentiality agreement.
6. In the event that a written agreement to proceed with the transaction
which is the subject of this letter is not entered into within a reasonable time or, up-
on the request of Quality, Company agrees promptly to deliver to Quality, all copies
of all Evaluation Material and any other written documents or memoranda contain-
ing or reflecting any information in the Evaluation Material (regardless by whom
prepared); not to retain any copies, extracts, or other reproductions in whole or in
part of any such material, and to destroy all other notes and other writings whatso-
ever prepared by it or its representatives based on the information in the Evaluation
Material, such destruction to be certified in writing to Quality by the authorized of-
ficer of Company supervising such destruction.
7. Company agrees not to communicate with any debtor, guarantor,
debtors or guarantor's accountant or attorney relative to any asset or liability of
Quality without Quality’s prior consent.
8. Both acknowledges that (i) the Evaluation Material is subject to the
confidentiality provisions of 12 C.F.R. Part 309 and may contain customer infor-
mation subject to the Right to Financial Privacy Act, and (ii) any unauthorized use of
the Evaluation Material may result in the imposition of criminal penalties under 18
U.S.C. Section 641.
9. Each agrees to indemnify and hold the other party and its representa-
tives harmless from all actions, liability and damages (including attorneys' fees and
expenses of defense) resulting from the breach of the obligations set forth in this
Agreement by it or its representatives.
50
10. Each party agrees that money damages would not be a sufficient rem-
edy for any breach of this Agreement by Company or its representatives and that, in
addition to all other remedies, Quality shall be entitled to specific performance and
injunctive or other equitable relief as a remedy for any such breach; and Company
further agrees to waive, and to use its best efforts to cause its representatives to
waive, any requirement for the securing or posting of any bond in connection with
such remedy. Company agrees to be responsible for any breach of this Agreement by
any of its representatives.
11. No failure or delay by a party or any of its representatives in exercising any
right, power or privilege under this Agreement shall operate as a waiver thereof,
nor shall any single or partial exercise thereof preclude any other or further exer-
cise of any right, power or privilege hereunder.
12. In case any provision of this Agreement shall be held to be invalid, il-
legal or unenforceable, the validity, legality and enforceability of the remaining pro-
visions of the Agreement shall not in any way be affected or impaired thereby. This
Agreement shall be governed by and construed in accordance with the internal laws
of the State of Missouri, without regard to conflict of laws principals.
IN WITNESS WHEREOF, the parties have executed this Agreement as of the
date first set forth above.
QUALITY BANCSHARES COMPANY,
INC.
By: _____________________________
Al Conway
President and Chief Executive Officer
MIDWEST BANCSHARES, INC.
By: ______________________________
Conner Ashton
Chief Financial Officer
51
Exhibit 19 - Midwest Bancshares, Inc. Assumptions for Projection Model for Qual-
ity Bancshares Company
Balance Sheet Growth
Assets:
Loans:
MBI Loans YR1 (10%) YR2 (5%) YR3 (5%)
Commercial R/E YR1 (15%) YR2 (10%) YR3 (5%)
Personal R/E YR1 (5%) YR2 (5%) YR3 (5%)
Const. & Land Dev. YR1 (15%) YR2 (10%) YR3 (5%)
Consumer YR1 (5%) YR2 (5%) YR3 (5%)
Participation YR1 (15%) YR2 (10%) YR3 (5%)
Allowance for Loan Loss Maintain existing level. 1.45% of loans at end of
year three.
Bond Portfolio Run-off per GAAP report (a report written using
GAAP principles)
Earning Assets Net funds provided
Non-Earning Assets Cash & Due From is same % as MBI
Fixed assets reduced by depreciation
OREO and Other no change
Liabilities:
Deposits:
Demand Initial reduction of $4 million in Year 1, off
set by growth YR1 (5%) YR2 (8%) YR3 (10%)
Int. Bearing Demand Run-off YR1 (7%) YR2 (8%) YR3 (3%)
Money Market Savings. $2 million run-off per year, offset by growth
YR1 ($1.8 million) YR2 ($2.2 million) YR3
($3.2 million)
Time Dep < $100,000 No net change year 1. YR2 and YR3 $2.5
million growth
Time Dep > $100,000 No change
Other Borrowings $4 million Trust Preferred Capitalization
Other Liabilities No change
Equity Grows by annual earnings
Income statement
Provision for Loan Loss 40 bps of loans for all three years
Non-Interest Income:
Deposit Charges Initially down, but growing with DDA
Other Fees Grow each year – Credit Card, ATM, Brokerage,
etc.
Misc. Income No change
52
Non-Interest Expense:
Salaries & Benefits Backroom reduction of 35 FTE’s at $25M, Branch
reduction of 9 FTE’s at $25M, and Sr. Mgmt. and
Secretary reduction of $155M. 5% annual growth
Occupancy & Equip. Close MBI St. Charles branch ($175M reduc-
tion)
Other Non-Interest 20%-75% reduction in existing expenses, resulting
in $750M YR1 and 5% annual growth each year af-
ter
Taxes 35%
Exhibit 21 - Midwest Bancshares, Inc.
Corporate Finance Department
*** Inter-Office Memorandum ***
_______________________________________________________________________
DATE: July 20, 2013 FROM: Conner Ashton
TO: John Easel RE: Pros/Cons –Quality Bancshares Co.
_______________________________________________________________________
Pros
1. Quality Bancshares does not presently offer a free checking product. Current-
ly, we are growing our free checking product at approximately 15% in the
St. Louis market alone.
2. The opportunity to double the non-interest income side of the income state-
ment due to our ability to sell multiple products to this customer base.
3. The ability to tap into Quality’s niche “55 and up” customer base, which is a
loyal customer base that we think we will be able to retain.
4. Low present book value of fixed assets on balance sheet. In order to build or
replicate existing site locations, we would have to purchase real estate that
costs $1.5 million +. Increased opportunity costs. (Additionally, we are to
receive $2.5 million for our present St. Charles location that we are selling –
our location is right up the street from Quality’s).
5. The bond portfolio is short and of high quality.
6. A customer base that fits our product offerings.
7. The holding company has a very low equity base (just under 6% of assets).
8. No evidence of brokered funding.
9. Tenure of Commercial Real Estate Portfolio is structure similar to Missouri
(three to five year balloons). We would have flexibility in dealing with the
portfolio over the next three years.
10. Lending is uncomplicated. Lack of exotic deals and/or structures.
Cons
1. Loss of service charges on the non-interest bearing transactional demand ac-
counts.
53
2. Bank has twice the size business banking loans as compared to MBI. Do not
believe all such loan relationships will be pushed out. However, in most
cases we would not have approved these types of borrowers under our un-
derwriting guidelines.
3. Locations are twice the size compared to our basic branch model. Increased
unused
space and decreased efficiency.
4. Consumer CD base is higher than what we are accustomed to managing.
5. Locked into $4 million dollars of expensive funding (in regards to $4 million
preferred stock offering in 2012).
6. Lack of credit card business.
7. Lack of diversification, whereby the bank does not have any fee based lines of
business.
8. Allowance for loan loss is low compared to Midwest Bancshares standards.
9. Lack of underwriting talent.
10. Ground zero on sales and marketing techniques – not receiving any human
resource value.
11. Compliance Department is problematic. Foreseen money penalties/lender lia-
bility issues to contend with.
12. While not bad quality, loan customer base is not “typical” Midwest
Bancshares. There could be a sizeable run-off as balloons mature over the
next three years.
13. HEAVY insider involvement, not only as customers, but as a sales referral
source. Loss of this base could impact operating conditions, on both sides of
the balance sheet.
Authors
Heather Muehling , Senior Financial Analyst
Edward C. Lawrence, Professor , Finance and Banking, University of Missouri – St.
Louis
54
Creating Equity Indices: A Case Exercise
Judson W. Russell, & Christopher Brockman
Abstract
Brooks Hamilton is a recent college graduate who joins a regional money manage-
ment firm. His first assignment is to create a stock index based on local firms for his
manager to include in her presentation to clients. Eager to make a good first impres-
sion, Brooks reviews his college notes on price-weighted and market-weighted indi-
ces and then begins his work. Along the way, he encounters stock splits and constit-
uent changes and makes appropriate adjustments to his indices. He provides a
report to his manager and makes his recommendation on which index to use.
Introduction
Brooks Hamilton arrived early for his
first day of work at Rising Tide Limited,
a Charlotte, North Carolina-based re-
gional money management firm for high
net worth individuals. He was eager to
get started and make a good impression
with the portfolio manager that he
would be supporting. He found that his
portfolio manager was already in her of-
fice and she motioned for him to come in
and have a seat while she wrapped up a
call. Brooks noticed that her office was
very orderly, unlike most of the profes-
sors’ offices from his college. His man-
ager had photos on the wall which
showed her with local celebrities, busi-
ness executives, and politicians. He
could tell that she was well-connected
and accustomed to spending her day
building her business. As she completed
her call she welcomed Brooks to the
firm. She told him that many of her cli-
ents are executives’ at large firms in the
area. Much of their net worth is concen-
trated in shares of their own firm. Over
the past several months she had been
working with her clients to diversify
their holdings, but several were reluctant
to take on shares in other firms since
they were so familiar with their own
company. She wanted to create a re-
gional index that would allow her clients
to compare their less diversified holding
with an index of large companies in the
area, but she didn’t have enough time to
gather the data and create the index.
Now that Brooks was on-board, this
would be his first task. She also men-
tioned that although some analysts came
into the office a little later in the day, she
expected him to be ready to start at 7:00
AM. Brooks thought he was off to a
poor start and wanted to get back on
track to let his manager know he was a
hard worker and capable of doing the
work. Brooks asked her to provide a bit
more information about the index as he
was eager to get started. She told Brooks
to get a list of firms in the Charlotte re-
gion that were included in the Fortune
500 and to create an index of the shares
of these firms so that her clients could
see the benefit of holding a more diversi-
fied portfolio. She explained that ideally
she would like to have an index with
more firms to gain a greater level of di-
versification, but that by focusing on lo-
cal firms the benefits would be more im-
pactful for her clients. Brooks recalled
from his college investments class that
there were a few ways to create an index
55
so he asked if she wanted a price-
weighted index or a market-
capitalization weighted index. He re-
called that there was another method
called, equally-weighted index, but
wanted to stick to just the first two to get
her response. She turned the question
around and asked him to do what he
thought would be the most appropriate.
He decided to do both and let her see the
strengths and weaknesses of both ap-
proaches. She asked Brooks to have the
material ready to review the following
morning so that she could use the infor-
mation in an important client meeting
later in the week. Brooks had brought
his college investments text and notes to
work thinking that they might come in
handy. He was happy that he had as he
flipped to the section on stock indices. It
looked like it would a late night for
Brooks.
Why index?
Why do we use indices? One of the key
methods for gauging performance in the
investments field is relative value. A
portfolio manager’s skill is often meas-
ured relative to a benchmark. The ques-
tion being addressed is, did the manager
produce risk-adjusted returns in excess
of the benchmark portfolio? For in-
stance, if the Standard & Poor’s 500 in-
dex had a 12% return for the year, did
the manager’s results beat this on a risk-
adjusted basis. The term ‘risk-adjusted’
refers to a method to express the portfo-
lio return in excess of the risk-free in-
vestment adjusted by the risk of the
portfolio. A standard term for this is the
Sharpe ratio, named after William
Sharpe. The Sharpe ratio is written:
[E(rp) – rf] / σp (1)
where: E(rp) = the expected return
on the investment portfolio
rf = the risk-free rate of return
σp = the standard deviation, or
variation, in the excess returns on
the investment portfolio
Using equation (1), a portfolio manager’s
relative performance, adjusted for the
risk of the portfolio, can be determined.
The expected return on the investment
portfolio is typically the simple arithme-
tic average of returns over a period of
time. The risk-free rate of return is often
the 10-year Treasury yield. The standard
deviation of the portfolio returns is the
variability in excess returns over the ob-
servation period, or risk. This risk pro-
vides a gauge of the likelihood of actual-
ly earning the expected excess return on
the portfolio. For instance, a high stand-
ard deviation suggests that the returns of
the portfolio fluctuate a great deal and
implies that the actual return could be
significantly greater or less than the ex-
pected excess return. A low standard
deviation suggests that returns are fairly
constant and increases the likelihood of
actually receiving the expected excess re-
turn. This risk-adjustment is crucial in
creating a relative performance bench-
mark.
For example, suppose the Standard &
Poor’s 500 index had a 12% annual re-
turn and a standard deviation of excess
returns of 25%. A portfolio manager
produced a return of 15% on her portfo-
lio over the same period, but with 45%
standard deviation. If the 10-year
Treasury yield is 4%, did the portfolio
manager beat the market on a risk-
adjusted basis?
56
S&P 500:[12% - 4%] / 25% = 0.32
Portfolio Manager: [15% - 4%] / 45% = 0.24
Although the portfolio manager had a
superior return than the market, the in-
creased variability of her portfolio pro-
duced a lower Sharpe ratio, which is
roughly translated as the excess return of
the portfolio per unit of risk. Having a
benchmark for comparison is important
and Brooks knows that his manager has
her performance measured relative to
others4. Therefore, indices are important
as a gauge of relative performance and
as a standard, or benchmark, for under-
standing the performance of the market.
Before getting started on the data gather-
ing, Brooks decided to refresh his
memory of index creation and opened
his text to review global stock indices.
Global Indices
There are many indices around the
world. This case highlights a few of the
larger, more relevant, indices. One ques-
tion that is often asked at financial firms
throughout the day is “how’s the market
doing today?” We can use the perfor-
mance of an index to provide a view of
market performance. There are a few
global standards for ‘the market’. The
most common equity index in the U.S. is
the Dow Jones Industrial Average, or the
DJIA for short. The first appearance of a
Dow Jones average was on July 3, 1884.
4 Performance attribution analysis is a preferred
method of gauging the performance of a portfo-
lio manager. This technique analyzes the portfo-
lio to determine investment style, asset alloca-
tion, and security selection. The example used in
this mini-case focuses on a single measure,
Sharpe ratio, since performance attribution is be-
yond the scope of this study—which is intended
to illustrate index creation.
It consisted of the closing prices of 11
companies trading on the New York
Stock Exchange, nine railroads and two
industrials. This index was created by a
relatively small news-distributing busi-
ness that opened in a small, unpainted
room at 15 Wall Street. The business
was founded by Charles Dow, Eddie
Jones, and Charles Milford Bergstrasser
and was known as Dow, Jones & Co5.
Currently there are three main Dow in-
dices, with the DJIA being the most
widely known. The other two are the
Dow Jones Utility Index and the Dow
Jones Transportation Index. The DJIA is
comprised of 30 companies. The stocks
comprising the DJIA have changed
through time due to acquisitions and
alignment of the constituents with the
current economy.6 The DJIA is a price-
weighted index which means that the
prices of the 30 constituent firms are
summed and then this figure adjusted
by a divisor to arrive at the index value.
The divisor would normally start at 30
for a 30 stock index and then adjust to
ensure that the index is consistent
through time.
5 For a wonderful history of Wall Street the read-
er should refer to Capital Ideas, by Peter Bern-
stein. 6 The most recent constituent changes were: Sep-
tember 14, 2012, Kraft Foods, Inc. was replaced
by UnitedHealth Group. On June 8, 2009,
Citigroup, Inc. and General Motors Corp. were
replaced by Cisco Systems Inc. and The Travelers
Companies, Inc. , September 22, 2008, American
International Group, Inc. was replaced by Kraft
Foods, Inc. February 19, 2008, Altria Group, Inc.
and Honeywell International were replaced by
Bank of America Corporation and Chevron Cor-
poration.
57
Figure 1. Creating a Three-Stock Price-Weighted Index
Stock Price at Close of Day
1 2 3 4 5
Stock A 112 113 114 113 111
Stock B 34 35 33 33 36
Stock C 10 11 12 13 15
Sum 156 159 159 159 162
Divisor 3 3 3 3 3
Index Val-
ue 52 53 53 53 54
Calculation (112+34+10)/3 (113+35+11)/3 (114+33+12)/3 (113+33+13)/3 (111+36+15)/3
Source: Authors
An illustration of a price-weighted index
is shown in Figure 1. In this example,
there are three firms in the initial index
(A, B, and C). At the inception of the in-
dex the prices of the three stocks are
summed and the result is divided by
three to get the initial index value of 52.
Each day, the prices are summed and
divided by three to produce a series of
index values. The figure shows that the
index increased in value from 52 to 54, or
3.85% [(54/52) -1], over the five-day peri-
od. It is interesting to note that Stock C
increased in value by 50% over this time,
from 10 to 15. The price-weighted index
is biased towards higher priced stocks.
Therefore, Stock A has the most impact
of the three stocks in this index, followed
by Stock B and then Stock C. As the
name implies, a price-weighted index is
based on stock prices and higher prices
have the most influence over the value of
the index.
Figure 2 shows the series value over the
time period. This figure plots the index
values of 52, 53, 53, 53, and 54 over the
five-day period. With more data the
time series plot will more closely resem-
ble the line charts that we see each day
in financial periodicals.
Suppose that on day 5, after the market
closes, firm C is acquired by firm D. The
index now needs to be adjusted to ac-
commodate the higher stock price of D,
which is trading at $50 per share versus
stock C’s $15 per share. If we simply
sum A, B, and D and divide by three, the
index increases from 54 to 65.67, or more
than 21%, however this is due to a con-
stituent change rather than performance.
We see this illustrated in Panel B of Fig-
ure 3. In order to create a consistent in-
dex we need to adjust the divisor to
maintain the index value. Panel C of
Figure 3 shows the mechanics behind
this adjustment and presents the new
divisor. We sum the three stocks (A, B,
and D), then divide by the prior index
value of 54 to attain the new divisor of
3.65. We will then use 3.65 for each sub-
sequent day unless there is a change in
the index.
Figure 3 depicts that constituent changes
require an adjustment in the divisor in
order to keep the index consistent
through time for comparison purposes.
58
Another instance when a divisor ad-
justment is required is when a company
issues a stock split. A stock split adjusts
the current price either down (stock
split) or up (reverse stock split) and ad-
justs the shares either up (stock split) or
down (reverse stock split). For instance,
suppose an investor owns 200 shares of a
stock trading at $80 per share. The in-
vestor’s holding is worth $16,000 = (200 x
$80). If the company initiates a 2 for 1
(2:1) stock split, then the investor will
now have 400 shares each worth $40 per
share. That is, the number of shares
doubled and the price was halved. The
net result though is that the investor’s
holding is still worth $16,000 = (400 x
$40).
Suppose the investor owns 2,000 shares
of a stock trading at $8 per share. The
investor’s holding is worth $16,000 =
(2,000 x $8). If the firm initiates a 1 for 2
(1:2) reverse stock split, then the investor
will now have 1,000 shares each worth
$16 per share. That is, the number of
shares was halved while the price dou-
bled. The net result is that the investor’s
holding is still worth $16,000 = (1,000 x
$16). Stock splits have no initial impact
on the investor’s holding, but will have a
material impact to a price-weighted in-
dex unless the divisor is adjusted. As
you recall, when we created the three-
stock index we did not include the num-
ber of shares anywhere in our calcula-
tions. Therefore, a stock split will impact
the price per share without any corre-
sponding adjusting to shares. To ac-
commodate stock splits in an index, the
divisor is adjusted.
Going back to our original three-stock
index example, we see that on day 5,
stock A had a price of $111. If the man-
agement of stock A decided to initiate a
6 for 1 (6:1) stock split, then the price
would fall to $18.50 ($111/6). Investors
will have their number of shares increase
by a factor of six and see not change in
their holding value. However, if we re-
duce the price of A from $111 to $18.50,
the index will have a material decline in
value. Figure 4 highlights the change in
index value without the necessary divi-
sor adjustment. Panel A represents the
starting value of the index with the in-
clusion of Stock D and the adjustment
process we followed from Figure 3.
Panel B of Figure 4 shows the price ad-
justment to Stock A for the 6:1 stock
split. The price of Stock A declined from
$111 per share to one-sixth of that
amount, $18.50 per share. As Panel B
shows, when we sum Stocks A, B, and D
we see the lower value of 104.50. Divid-
ing this value by the reported divisor of
3.65 results in an index of 28.63, a 46%
decline from the prior day. We know the
stock split had no net effect on the inves-
tor’s holding so why would we accept
this disruption in an index value? To
make the index more consistent, we ad-
just the divisor. Panel C of Figure 4
shows that by creating a new divisor of
1.94 the index retains its prior value be-
fore the stock split. To attain 1.94, we
sum of the prices of A, B, and D and di-
vide by the original index value of 54 on
day 5. We continue using this new divi-
sor of 1.94 for our index until there is
another change in constituents or stock
splits.7 The most common method for
7 In addition to stock splits, adjustments need to
be made for stock dividends as these are simply
modified versions of stock splits. A stock divi-
59
creating stock indices involves the mar-
ket capitalization of the firm, share price
times shares outstanding, rather than
just the price.8 While the DJIA or Nikkei
225 are well-known examples of price-
weighted indices, the S&P 500, Nasdaq,
FTSE 100, CAC 40, Euro Stoxx 50, Hang
Seng Index, and S&P/ASX 200 all utilize
some form of market capitalization in
their construction. Just as the price-
weighted indices are biased by high
price stocks, the market capitalization
weighted indices are biased by high
market capitalization firms. Let’s refer
back to our original example which in-
cluded Stocks A, B, and C and calculate
a market capitalization index. As the
name implies, market capitalization in-
dices include both share price and shares
outstanding. The primary variable is
still share price since shares outstanding
are relatively static over short time in-
tervals. Table 5 shows the index values
from stocks A, B, and C. In this example,
Stock A has 1 share outstanding, Stock B
has 8 shares, and Stock C has 150 shares.9
To attain the index value, Figure 5 shows
dend is a payment to investors in new shares
versus a cash dividend which obviously pays in-
vestors a cash amount. For instance, a 20% stock
dividend means that an investor with 100 shares
will receive an additional 20 shares. This is in
essence a 1.2:1 stock split. 8 Some capitalization-weighted indices use free-
float rather than shares outstanding in the
weighting process while others include the total
shares outstanding. There are differences among
indices in the capitalization-weighted category to
consider. In this study, we focus on total capital-
ization. 9 The reader can make these values in millions of
shares, if desired . The values were abbreviated
to 1, 8, and 150 for tractability, but can be 1 mil-
lion, 8 million, and 150 million with no change in
index value.
that you simply sum the products of
share price and shares outstanding. For
instance, at day 1 the value is deter-
mined as follows: (112 x 1 + 34 x 8 + 10 x
150) = 1884. Just as with the price-
weighted index, we use a divisor to
bring the sum of the market capitaliza-
tions into a less unwieldy value. In this
case we could apply a divisor of 18.84 to
get an index value of 100. The divisor
was initially selected to provide a stand-
ardized starting value. After establish-
ing this initial index value at day 1, we
can determine the index value each sub-
sequent day using the divisor of 18.84 as
shown in the second calculation line of
Figure 5. For instance, to get the index
value of 108.44 in day 2, we sum the
market capitalization of the three stocks
(113 x 1 + 35 x 8 + 11 x 150) and then di-
vide by 18.84 to get 108.44. Following
this approach we see the index value in-
creasing each day over the time period
and ultimately reach a value of 140.61 at
the close of day 5. This is an index in-
crease of 40.61% over the five-day peri-
od. In contrast to the price-weighted in-
dex, which increased by 3.85%, the
market-capitalization index reflects the
bias towards the high market capitaliza-
tion of Stock C and its rapid increase in
value. Although this example is extreme
it highlights the biases between these
two indices and shows that the index re-
turns can vary widely depending on the
index method chosen. As in our prior
example, we want to see how to adjust
for changes in the constituents in the
market capitalization-weighted index. It
follows the same approach as the price-
weighted index—we adjust the divisor
in order to keep the index value con-
stant. In Figure 6 we show Stock C be-
60
ing acquired by Stock D. We’ve added
the number of shares of D to our exam-
ple and see that the divisor, which we in-
itially set at 18.84 needs to be adjusted at
the close of day 5, the acquisition day, so
that the index value remains at 140.61.
The new market capitalization for close
of day 5 is: (111 x 1 + 36 x 8 + 50 x 65) =
3649. If we divide this figure by 140.61,
we get a new divisor value of 25.95121
which we round to 25.95 in Figure 6.
This is our new divisor for day 6 and all
subsequent days until another material
change occurs to the index.10 Again, as in
our price weighted example, what
would happen if Stock A had a 6:1 stock
split at the close of day 5? The price
would fall from $111 per share to $111/6
or $18.50 per share and the number of
shares outstanding would increase from
1 to 6. In other words the market capi-
talization would remain $111 and no ad-
justment would be needed for the mar-
ket capitalization-weighted index.
Data
Having refreshed his memory of index
creation including the impact of constit-
uent change and stock splits, Brooks was
ready to get the data to complete his as-
signment. He knew that there would be
a lot work involved to present both the
market-weighted and price-weighted
indices for his manager. Knowing that
there would be a lot of manual adjust-
ments he needed to make to create the
indices, and the fact that there were only
so many hours in the evening, he decid-
10 Material events would include a share issu-
ance, share repurchase, cash dividend, company
change, rights offering, spinoffs, and mergers.
For the market capitalization-weighted index a
stock split or stock dividend is immaterial.
ed that he would do a sample of just one
month’s data and perform the calcula-
tions for both indices. By seeing both
indices over a short period of time, his
manager could see the benefits and bias-
es of both and select the method that she
thought was best. Brooks could then
work on that one approach and complete
his work on time for his manager’s
presentation. He decided to take a sam-
ple of all Fortune 500 companies in the
Charlotte, North Carolina region for July
2012. He would gather daily prices and
perform the appropriate calculations to
create the indices. As Brooks starting
gathering data he found that there were
nine Fortune 500 companies for his indi-
ces. The list of companies and their re-
spective ticker symbols are found in Fig-
ure 7.
Brooks gathered the stock information
for each of these companies and down-
loaded the data which is presented in
Figure 8. He noticed that Duke Energy
had a 1:3 reverse stock split after the
market close on July 2. He also noted
that July 4 was a U.S. holiday and the
stock market was closed. The final unu-
sual item during the month of July 2012
was that Goodrich Corporation was pur-
chased by United Technologies after the
market close on July 26. He was ready to
get busy. Exercise 1 Using the infor-
mation provided in Figure 8. Calculate
the price-weighted index for the month
of July for these companies. What ad-
justment is required for the Duke Energy
1:3 reverse stock split? How did you ac-
count for the removal of Goodrich from
the index?
Exercise 2 What is the overall change in
index value for the month of July using
61
the price-weighted index? Which stock
increased in value the most? Which de-
clined the most? Which company(ies)
appear to be influencing the price-
weighted index the most?
Exercise 3 Using the information pro-
vided in Figure 8. Calculate the market-
weighted index for the month of July for
these companies. What adjustment is
required for the Duke Energy 1:3 reverse
stock split? How did you account for the
removal of Goodrich from the index?
Exercise 4 What is the overall change in
index value for the month of July using
the market-weighted index? Which
market capitalization increased in value
the most? Which declined the most?
Which company(ies) appear to be influ-
encing the price-weighted index the
most?
Exercise 5 Given the information from
Exercises 1-4, which method should
Brooks suggest that his manager use in
her presentation to clients? Why?
Figure 2. Time Series Plot of Three-Stock, Price-Weighted Index
Source: Authors
51
51.5
52
52.5
53
53.5
54
54.5
1 2 3 4 5
62
Figure 3. Changing Constituents in a Three-Stock, Price-Weighted Index
Panel A Stock Price at Close of Day
1 2 3 4 5
Stock A 112 113 114 113 111
Stock B 34 35 33 33 36
Stock C 10 11 12 13 15
Sum 156 159 159 159 162
Divisor 3 3 3 3 3
Index Val-
ue 52 53 53 53 54
Calculation (112+34+10)/3 (113+35+11)/3 (114+33+12)/3 (113+33+13)/3 (111+36+15)/3
Panel B Stock Price at Close of Day
1 2 3 4 5
Stock A 112 113 114 113 111
Stock B 34 35 33 33 36
Stock C 10 11 12 13
Stock D 50
Sum 156 159 159 159 197
Divisor 3 3 3 3 3
Index Val-
ue 52 53 53 53 65.67
Calculation (112+34+10)/3 (113+35+11)/3 (114+33+12)/3 (113+33+13)/3 (111+36+50)/3
Panel C Stock Price at Close of Day
1 2 3 4 5
Stock A 112 113 114 113 111
Stock B 34 35 33 33 36
Stock C 10 11 12 13
Stock D 50
Sum 156 159 159 159 197
Divisor 3 3 3 3 3.65
Index Val-
ue 52 53 53 53 54
Calculation (112+34+10)/3 (113+35+11)/3 (114+33+12)/3 (113+33+13)/3 (111+36+50)/3.65
Source: Authors
63
Figure 4. Stock Split Adjustment for Price-Weighted Index
Panel A Stock Price at Close of Day
1 2 3 4 5
Stock A 112 113 114 113 111
Stock B 34 35 33 33 36
Stock C 10 11 12 13
Stock D 50
Sum 156 159 159 159 197
Divisor 3 3 3 3 3.65
Index Val-
ue 52 53 53 53 54
Calculation (112+34+10)/3 (113+35+11)/3 (114+33+12)/3 (113+33+13)/3 (111+36+50)/3.65
Panel B Stock Price at Close of Day
1 2 3 4 5
Stock A 112 113 114 113 18.50
Stock B 34 35 33 33 36
Stock C 10 11 12 13
Stock D 50
Sum 156 159 159 159 104.50
Divisor 3 3 3 3 3.65
Index Val-
ue 52 53 53 53 28.63
Calculation (112+34+10)/3 (113+35+11)/3 (114+33+12)/3 (113+33+13)/3 (18.50+36+50)/3.65
Panel C Stock Price at Close of Day
1 2 3 4 5
Stock A 112 113 114 113 18.50
Stock B 34 35 33 33 36
Stock C 10 11 12 13
Stock D 50
Sum 156 159 159 159 104.50
Divisor 3 3 3 3 1.94
Index Val-
ue 52 53 53 53 54
Calculation (112+34+10)/3 (113+35+11)/3 (114+33+12)/3 (113+33+13)/3 (18.50+36+50)/1.94
Source: Authors
64
Figure 5. Creating a Three-Stock Market Capitalization-Weighted Index
Source: Authors
Figure 6. Changing Constituents in a Three-Stock Market Capitalization-
Weighted Index
Source: Authors
Shares 1 2 3 4 5
Stock A 1 112 113 114 113 111
Stock B 8 34 35 33 33 36
Stock C 150 10 11 12 13 15
Value 1884 2043 2178 2327 2649
Calculation
(112x1) + (34x8) +
(10x150)
(113x1) + (35x8) +
(11x150)
(114x1) + (33x8) +
(12x150)
(113x1) + (33x8) +
(13x150)
(111x1) + (36x8) +
(15x150)
Index Value 100.00 108.44 115.61 123.51 140.61
divisor 18.84 18.84 18.84 18.84 18.84
Calculation 1884 = 100 (2043 / 18.84) (2178 / 18.84) (2327 / 18.84) (2649 / 18.84)
initial value = 100
Stock Price at Close of Day
Shares 1 2 3 4 5
Stock A 1 112 113 114 113 111
Stock B 8 34 35 33 33 36
Stock C 150 10 11 12 13
Stock D 65 50
Value 1884 2043 2178 2327 3649
Calculation
(112x1) + (34x8) +
(10x150)
(113x1) + (35x8) +
(11x150)
(114x1) + (33x8) +
(12x150)
(113x1) + (33x8) +
(13x150)
(111x1) + (36x8) +
(50x45)
Index Value 100.00 108.44 115.61 123.51 140.61
divisor 18.84 18.84 18.84 18.84 25.95
Calculation 1884 = 100 (2043 / 18.84) (2178 / 18.84) (2327 / 18.84) (3649 / 25.95)
initial value = 100
Stock Price at Close of Day
65
Figure 7. Fortune 500 Companies in the Charlotte, NC Region
Sources: Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance
66
Figure 8. Daily Stock Prices for Fortune 500 Companies in Charlotte, NC Region –
July 2012
Source: Bloomberg
Authors
Judson W. Russell, Ph.D., CFA, Clinical Associate Professor of Finance, University
of North Carolina Charlotte, Department of Finance, Charlotte, NC 28223,
[email protected] (Corresponding Author)
Christopher Brockman, Ph.D., UBS Associate Professor of Finance, University of
Tennessee Chattanooga, College of Business, Chattanooga, TN
67
Netflix: DVD-by-Mail or Online Streaming?
Rick Long, Inchul Suh, & Toby White
Abstract
This case study requires students to analyze the issues surrounding the decision of
Netflix to split its business into two different parts: Qwikster for its DVD-by-mail
business and Netflix for its streaming business. The case offers students a chance to
evaluate the strategic choices of top managers, as they respond to rapid changes in
technology that impact how consumers access their entertainment content. The case
focuses on various aspects of equity valuation using the free cash flow model. Specif-
ically, the case provides students an opportunity to explore the challenges of Netflix
analysts when estimating the company’s cost of capital, subscriber growth rates, and
content acquisition costs in the context of intensifying competition in the online
streaming market.
Introduction
The Situation
On Monday, September 19, 2011, Rachel
Adams, Senior Equity Analyst for
Brooks Associates, Inc., an investment
and wealth management firm, was asked
to reassess the stock of Netflix by Ken-
neth Brooks, the firm’s Managing Part-
ner. Adams was a junior analyst when
she made a buy recommendation for
Netflix in 2005. Since then, the firm’s $6
million dollar investment in Netflix in-
creased to over $77 million, making it
one of the best performing stocks under
their management. However, it still rep-
resented a drop of more than $70 million
in value from its peak position in July
2011, only two months ago. Brooks was
concerned that the recent drop had more
to do with the shift in the business mod-
el of Netflix, rather than the short-term
market correction following the recent
price hike and huge customer backlash.
He was also concerned that a further de-
cline in the stock price of Netflix could
seriously damage Brooks’ overall portfo-
lio performance this year.
I. Company Background and In-
dustry Information
A. Brief History
Founded on August 29, 1997 by Reed
Hastings and Marc Randolph, Netflix
enjoyed unprecedented growth by pri-
marily providing a subscription-based
digital video disc (DVD) movie rental
business. Through the Netflix website,
consumers were able to browse the ex-
tensive list of movies, select films they
wanted to watch, and put each movie on
their personal queue. Customers would
receive DVDs via mail, watch them, and
ship them back to receive new DVDs
without worrying about late fees.
Netflix typically allowed customers to
maintain one to four DVDs in their pos-
session at any given time depending on
their subscription package. The love af-
fair consumers had with the Netflix
DVD-by-mail business helped push the
video rental giant Blockbuster into bank-
68
ruptcy. However, by 2007, DVD-by-mail
sales started to recede, and Netflix began
to deliver movie-streaming services over
the Internet (Grover, Edwards, and
Fixmer (2011)).
As of December 31, 2010, Netflix had
over 20 million subscribers globally.
Subscribers were able to access an un-
limited amount of movies and television
programs streamed over the Internet to
their selected viewing devices including
computers, mobile devices, and televi-
sions. Subscribers in the U.S. could also
have DVDs delivered to their homes.
Netflix continued to grow and change
quickly. Revenues more than doubled in
the last five years, growing from $997
million in 2006 to $2.16 billion in 2010
(see Exhibit 1). Net income grew even
faster, from $49 million in 2006 to $161
million in 2010. Total assets grew as
well, albeit at a slower rate, from $609
million in 2006 to $982 million (Exhibit
2). However, uncertainties regarding
rapid changes in technology coupled
with the viewership shift from DVDs to
streaming caused the price of Netflix
stock to fluctuate wildly, going from
$25.03 at the beginning of 2006 to $298.73
in July 2007 before falling back to $155.19
in September 2011 (Exhibits 3 & 4).
Furthermore, 2010 was the first year
when more subscribers watched movies
and television programs through stream-
ing video than through DVDs. Netflix
expected the streaming of entertainment
video over the Internet to be the main
driver for future growth. However, in
spite of the solid growth in subscribers
and declining acquisition cost per sub-
scriber, Netflix struggled to improve the
average monthly revenue and average
gross profit per paying customer (Exhib-
its 5 & 6).
B. Company Strategy
The main strategy of Netflix (as of Sep-
tember 19, 2011) was to continue the ex-
pansion of the video streaming business,
both in the United States and globally
(Wingfield-a (2011)). The company iden-
tified four main goals for future growth.
Netflix wanted to (i) continue to im-
prove customer service, (ii) expand con-
tent offered via streaming, (iii) expand
streaming services to more types of In-
ternet devices, and (iv) continue to meet
established targets for operating mar-
gins.
Netflix executives expected the DVD
business to decline over the next 5 years
(Edwards and Grover (2011)), and only
remain viable for about 15 more years
(Smith (2011)). Netflix’s CEO Hastings
was convinced that video streaming was
becoming increasingly popular due to its
faster speed and lower overhead (Anon-
ymous (2011)). According to the Interna-
tional Telecommunications Union, the
broadband Internet subscriptions would
reach 90 million in 2011 (Exhibit 7). Us-
ing broadband connections, Netflix cus-
tomers could easily order and watch
movies instantaneously without the loss
of picture quality (Ebert (2011)).
To meet the increasing demand for
streaming services, Netflix began invest-
ing heavily toward building its stream-
ing content library while reducing its ac-
quisition of DVD content. Overall, its
content subscription costs grew from
$532 million in 2006 to $1,154 million in
2010 (Exhibit 8). Netflix was able to limit
the growth in marketing costs including
free trials, but other costs, including ful-
69
fillment expenses, technology and de-
velopment expenses, and administrative
costs, were increasing in line with sales
(Exhibit 9).
C. Competition
The entertainment video market was ex-
tremely competitive and continued to
evolve quickly. Barriers to entry had
been reduced as the industry moved to
streaming video delivery over broad-
band connections (Sherman (2011)).
Therefore, new companies were able to
enter the market without incurring huge
startup costs.
Netflix had a large number of competi-
tors, each, delivering video content to
viewers through varying forms of tech-
nology: (i) DVD rental via kiosks/stores,
(ii) DVD via mail, (iii) pay-for-play
streaming, and (iv) streaming through
monthly subscription. The competition
in the DVD rental market included
Blockbuster, Redbox, Hollywood Movies
and many other local businesses. Com-
petitors in the streaming market includ-
ed Apple (iTunes), Google (YouTube),
Hulu (Multiple owners), and Amazon
(Prime Instant Videos), plus other multi-
channel video programming distribut-
ers, such as HBO, Cinemax, Direct TV,
Time Warner, and Comcast (Exhibit 10)
(Sherman (2011), Sherr (2011), Sherr and
Murphy (2011)).
II. DVD and Streaming Services
A. Strategy
Recognizing the failure of other former
‘technology highfliers’, including AOL
and MySpace, to adapt to rapidly chang-
ing industry conditions, Netflix felt the
need to move fast, especially since Hol-
lywood studios were demanding signifi-
cantly higher fees for online rights to
movies and TV shows (Grover, Ed-
wards, and Fixner (2011)). Thus, Netflix
was forced to seek out more revenue and
put more emphasis on building their
streaming library (Sherr (2011)).
At a Board meeting in April 2011, Netflix
made the key strategic decision to sepa-
rate their DVD-by-mail and online-
streaming businesses from both pricing
and product implementation perspec-
tives (Edwards and Grover, 2011). This
decision becomes public on July 12, 2011
(Weise, 2011) with the new pricing struc-
ture taking effect on September 1, 2011
(Boudway, 2011).
The old pricing structure included a
$9.99/month option whereby customers
could access movies via either DVD or
streaming. The new pricing structure
would unbundle these two methods of
access. There would be a $7.99 monthly
fee for DVDs and an additional $7.99
monthly fee for online streaming. Thus,
customers who wanted to maintain both
outlets would face roughly a 60% price
increase, since $7.99*2 = $15.98/month,
which is $5.99 higher than the old com-
bined fee of $9.99 (Weise (2011), Wing-
field-a (2011)).
The price increase was primarily aimed
at improving the financial health of the
company amid the declining DVD rental
business (Wingfield-b (2011)). Thus, Net-
flix was trying to push customers into
online delivery, whereby its costs had
been historically lower and its profit
margins higher (Grover, Edwards, and
Fixner (2011)). In conjunction with an
investment plan to upgrade its content
available over the Internet, Netflix was
betting that in the long-run, the number
70
of subscribers would grow or remain
relatively stable (Smith (2011), Wing-
field-b, 2011). They also expected that
revenues would grow from the price in-
crease and costs would decline due to
the increasing number of subscribers
choosing the more cost-effective stream-
ing option (Sherr, 2011).
B. Rationale
From a delivery cost perspective, stream-
ing was much cheaper to Netflix. DVD
warehouses were expensive, as were
postal fees to ship and return DVDs
(Sherr, 2011). The cost of new deals to
acquire content for streaming had in-
creased from $64 million in 2009 to over
$400 million in 2010 (Exhibit 8) (Smith,
2011). While the gross profit margin on
their DVD business stood at a healthy
37%, the corresponding margin for the
streaming business easily exceeded that
at 65% (Grover, Edwards, and Fixmer,
2011). Initially, Netflix expected 10 mil-
lion (40%) out of its expected 25 million
subscribers in 2011 to be on a streaming-
only plan, with 3 million (12%) on a
DVD-only plan, and the remaining 12
million (48%) to have a combination
DVD/streaming plan (Wingfield-b,
2011).
C. Response
Some analysts cautioned that a hasty
move or refocus toward the streaming-
only business could be a mistake (Wing-
field-a, 2011). Studios would continue to
charge Netflix more for digital licensing
deals, especially since competition
among streaming content suppliers was
increasing rapidly (Sherman, 2011). The
Hollywood studios had leverage on the
streaming side, but had no ability to
raise prices on the DVD side. Streamed
movies were subject to deals the studios
struck with TV cable networks like HBO
and Showtime and could not be a part of
the Netflix catalog until they had run
their course on these networks. In con-
trast, Netflix owned the rights to the
DVDs and rented them out earlier, since
they were not subject to any timing or
broadcast restrictions (Smith, 2011).
The Netflix streaming content consisted
mostly of mainstream films, and was
relative weaker on smaller, independent
films (Ebert (2011)). It also did not have
many newer titles (Smith, 2011), since
these were often blocked for a proba-
tionary period so as to not cannibalize
the studio’s DVD sales or viewership on
premium cable TV networks (Wingfield-
a, 2011). Customers complained that the
streaming service of Netflix did not pro-
vide enough watchable content when
compared to their DVD library (Ebert,
2011). Netflix anticipated that increased
investment in upgrading their streaming
content would ultimately lure more sub-
scribers (Sherr, 2011), Wingfield-b, 2011).
Renegotiations, however, with content
providers Sony, Disney, and others
turned out to be increasingly challenging
(Edwards and Grover, 2011). Netflix
previously had a deal with cable net-
work Starz, but talks to renew the deal
had broken off due to Starz demanding a
price that was 10 times higher than what
was agreed upon three years earlier
(Sherr (2011), Sherr and Murphy, 2011)).
Thus, Starz would no longer allow Net-
flix to stream films it licensed from Sony
and Disney (Sherman, 2011). To replace
this expiring deal, Netflix sought out a
licensing deal with Discovery Commu-
nications, which owned programming
71
rights for the Discovery Channel, TLC,
and the Science Channel, and was in ne-
gotiation for a new deal with Dream-
Works studio (Sherr and Murphy, 2011).
III. Decision to Form Qwikster
In July 2011, Netflix was one of the hot-
test U.S. stocks, and was widely ex-
pected to continue its ascent, especially
due to its aggressive plans to expand in-
to international markets (U.K./Ireland
and Latin America), and its increased fo-
cus on streaming (relative to DVDs-by-
mail). In fact, one analyst predicted the
stock would hit $1,000 within the next 5
to 7 years (Constable (2011)). By Sun-
day, September 18, 2011, only 17 days af-
ter their new pricing structure had gone
into effect, Netflix stock was down 55-
60% from its peak price achieved two
months earlier (Grover, Edwards, and
Fixmer (2011), Sherr (2011)). One reason
for the decline was that Netflix had un-
derestimated the number of subscribers
that would lapse due to the price and
administrative changes (Sherman (2011),
Sherr (2011)). As a result, Netflix CEO
Reed Hastings issued a public letter (Ex-
hibit 11) that was part-apology (for the
price increase, and the manner in which
it was communicated to customers), but
also part-rationalization (i.e., so as to
sway public opinion) (Edwards and
Grover (2011)). In addition, the letter in-
cluded the announcement that Netflix
was officially separating their DVD
business from their streaming business,
and renaming the DVD business
‘Qwikster’ (Smith (2011)).
IV. Subsequent Analyses
Rachel Adams understood the challenge
that Netflix was facing. Although she
agreed with CEO Reed Hasting’s push
toward the streaming business, she real-
ized that a thorough analysis of the risks
and returns for both its streaming and
DVD services was necessary in order to
make a strategic decision on Netflix
stock within the next two days. Recog-
nizing that she did not have much time,
due to the Netflix stock price being so
volatile the past few weeks, Adams be-
gan collecting data and reading recent
industry reports. She also wondered
whether Netflix should be viewed as a
media company or as a technology com-
pany, given the diverse set of firms that
it encountered in the marketplace. Feel-
ing a great sense of urgency, Adams de-
cided to begin her analysis by estimating
the future subscriber growth and content
acquisition costs. For a more complete
list of questions and issues that Ms. Ad-
ams and Brooks Associates needs to ad-
dress before making a recommendation,
see Section V on the next page.
V. Case Questions
The following list of questions covers the
majority of issues that Rachel Adams
would seek to address in her analysis of
Netflix, during the week of September
19, 2011, before she could offer her rec-
ommendation regarding Netflix stock.
The same list of questions can be ad-
dressed by students and faculty who de-
cide to adapt this case. Questions 1 and
2 have been identified as the most essen-
tial, if one wishes to adapt an abbreviat-
ed list, and for each of these, a brief list
of possible answers is provided. Ques-
tions 3-6 focus on additional quantitative
applications, whereas Questions 7-10 fo-
cus on more qualitative issues. Note that
Exhibits 1-11 are needed to help answer
72
many of these questions, and appear on
p.11-20.
1. What is the right mix of investment
and strategic focus for Netflix when
allocating fixed resources to either
the legacy DVD-by-mail business or
the relatively more trendy online
streaming business?
Possible answers include: Focus ex-
clusively on the DVD-by-mail busi-
ness, focus exclusively on the online
streaming business, or specify a per-
centage of investment into each of the
two businesses.
2. Recommend whether Brooks should
buy more, sell, or continue to hold
Netflix stock.
Possible answers include: Sell your
full holding immediately, sell a por-
tion of your holding now and wait
until the end of the year to decide
whether or not to sell the rest, con-
tinue to hold the same amount as be-
fore, or invest even more heavily in
the company.
3. Analyze trends in both the history of
Netflix stock performance and
growth rates in subscriber counts.
4. Evaluate the revenue and expense
streams for Netflix, and any interac-
tion between these two measures, in
the context of the recent shift in cor-
porate strategy.
5. Perform a prospective FCF-based
valuation analysis. Do you agree
with the strategy of Netflix to split
the company’s business into two sep-
arate segments?
6. Discuss whether the overall compa-
ny-level estimate for ‘cost of capital’
will vary from the estimates for each
of the two business types separately.
7. What motivated Netflix to split its
business into Qwikster for DVDs and
Netflix for streaming?
8. Discuss how Netflix might improve
the processes of both communicating
key product changes to consumers,
and/or networking with cable TV
channels, TV providers, and Holly-
wood studios.
9. Assess the impact of key competitors
on the future outlook of Netflix, and
the changing cost structure of these
companies when paying for up-
grades in the quality and quantity of
content offered online.
10. What other qualitative issues may
have a substantial impact on the fu-
ture viability of Netflix and both the
DVD and streaming access models?
References
Anonymous, 2011, July 13, Overheard:
Divide and Conquer, Wall Street
Journal, p.C.16.
Boudway, I, 2011, August 29, Seven
Days: Netflix price change, Bloom-
berg Business week 4243, 18.
Constable, S, 2011, July 17, Five Stocks
You’ll Wish You’d Bought in January,
Wall Street Journal, p.A.1.
Ebert, R, 2011, October 3, Don’t Bash My
Netflix, Bloomberg Business week
4248, 113.
Edwards, C., & Grover, R, 2011, October
24, Companies & Industries: Netflix -
CEO Reed Hastings’ abrupt turna-
bouts have alienated customers and
Wall Street, Bloomberg Businessweek
4251, 21-22.
Grover, R., Edwards, C., & Fixmer, A,
2011, September 26, Can Netflix Find
73
its Future by Abandoning Its Past?
Bloomberg Business week 4247, 29-30.
Sherman, A, 2011, October 17, Media:
Netflix Keeps Missing the Bull’s-Eye,
Bloomberg Businessweek 4250, 30.
Sherr, I, 2011, September 16, New Netflix
Pricing Gets Thumbs Down – Stock
Calls 19% As Customers Leave, Wall
Street Journal, p.B.1.
Sherr, I., & Murphy, M, 2011, September
22, Netflix Expands Its Discovery
Pact, Wall Street Journal, p.B.10.
Smith, E, 2011, September 20, Netflix
CEO Unbowed – Ignoring Customers’
Anger, Company Says Separating
DVD Business Is Essential, Wall Street
Journal, p.B.1.
Weise, K, 2011, July 18, Briefs: Netflix
Debuting new prices, Bloomberg
Business week 4238, 24.
Wingfield, N, 2011, July 13, Corporate
News: Netflix Plays Down DVDs –
Price of Basic Streaming-Disc Service
to Increase 60%, Angering Customers,
Wall Street Journal, p.B.2.
Wingfield, N, 2011, July 26, Earnings:
Netflix Warns Price Rise Will Clip
Growth, Wall Street Journal, p.B.9.
Exhibit 1. NetFlix Inc. – Income Statement (in millions of dollars)
Fiscal Year Ends in December
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Sales 996.7 1,205.3 1,371.2 1,670.3 2,162.6
Cost of Sales 469.8 561.2 668.0 821.7 1,018.7
Gross Profit 526.8 644.1 703.1 848.5 1,144.0
SG&A Expenses 306.8 342.2 339.2 403.6 527.7
EBITDA 220.1 301.9 363.9 444.9 616.2
Depreciation 157.1 225.0 242.2 257.5 338.7
EBIT 62.9 77.0 121.7 187.4 277.5
Interest Expense - - 2.5 6.5 19.6
Non-operating Expense 15.9 27.5 18.8 11.3 9.8
Special Items 1.5 7.0 (6.5) - -
Pretax Income 80.3 111.5 131.5 192.2 267.7
Total Taxes 31.2 44.5 48.5 76.3 106.8
Net Income 49.1 67.0 83.0 115.9 160.9
Source: Company Reports.
74
Exhibit 2. NetFlix Inc.– Balance Sheet (in millions of dollars, except for share values)
Fiscal Year Ends in December
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Cash 400.4 387.4 297.3 320.2 350.4
Current Content Library - - 18.7 37.3 181.0
Other Current Assets 10.6 16.0 13.3 23.8 47.4
Total Current Assets 428.4 416.5 361.4 411.0 641.0
Property and Equipment 160.4 209.8 223.5 240.5 309.5
Intangibles 1.0 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.6
Deferred Charges - - - 6.0 5.5
Other Investments - - 5.7 - -
Total Assets 608.8 647.0 617.9 679.7 982.1
Debt - Current Portion - - 1.2 1.4 2.1
Accrued Expense 29.9 36.5 31.4 33.4 36.5
Accounts Payable 93.9 104.4 100.3 91.5 222.8
Deferred Revenue 69.7 71.7 83.1 100.1 127.2
Total Current Liabilities 193.4 212.6 216.0 226.4 388.6
Long-term Debt - - 38.0 236.6 234.1
Other Non-current Liabilities - 3.7 16.8 17.7 69.2
Total Liabilities 194.6 216.3 270.8 480.6 691.9
Preferred Stock - Total - - - - -
Common Equity 414.2 430.7 347.2 199.1 290.2
Total Stockholders' Equity 414.2 430.7 347.2 199.1 290.2
Shares Outstanding 68.6 64.9 58.9 53.4 52.8
Stock Price - FY Close 25.9 26.6 29.9 55.1 175.7
Source: Company Reports.
75
Exhibit 3. NetFlix Inc. Stock Performance, Jan. 2005 – Sep. 2011
Data Source: Bloomberg
Exhibit 4. NetFlix Inc. Subscriber Growth and Fiscal Year-End Stock Price
Data Source: Company Reports
76
Exhibit 5. NetFlix Inc. – Subscriber Data (in thousands, except for subscriber acquisition cost)
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Total subscribers
6,316
7,479
9,390
12,268
20,010
Free subscribers
162
153
226
376
1,742
Paid subscribers
6,154
7326
9,164
11,892
18,268
Gross subscriber additions
5,250
5,340
6,859
9,332
16,301
Net subscriber additions
2,137
1,163
1,911
2,878
7,742
Acquisition cost per subscriber
$ 42.94
$ 40.86
$ 29.12
$ 25.48
$ 18.03
Source: Company Reports
Exhibit 6. NetFlix Inc. – Average Monthly Subscriber Revenue and Gross Profit
Data Source: Company Reports
77
Exhibit 7. Broadband Internet Subscriptions vs. Cable TV Subscriptions in the U.S. (in millions)
*Expected
Data Source: International Telecommunications Union (Broadband) / National Cable &
Telecommunications Association (Cable TV)
78
Exhibit 8. NetFlix Inc. – Acquisition of Content Library and Capital Expenditures (in millions of
dollars)
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Acquisition of streaming
content library
- - 48.3 64.2 406.2
Acquisition of DVD content
library
169.5 223.4 162.8 193.0 123.9
Purchases of property and
equipment
27.3 44.3 43.8 45.9 33.8
Amortization of content li-
brary
141.2 203.4 209.8 219.5 300.6
Depreciation and amortiza-
tion of PPE
15.9 21.4 32.5 38.0 38.1
Source: Company Reports
Exhibit 9. NetFlix Inc. – Other Operating Data (in millions of dollars)
2006
2007 2008 2009 2010
Cost of subscription 532.6 664.4 761.1 909.5 1,154.1
Fulfillment expenses 94.4 121.8 149.1 169.8 203.2
Marketing costs including
free trials
225.5 218.3 199.7 237.7 293.8
Technology and develop-
ment expense
48.4 71.4 89.9 114.5 163.3
General and administrative
costs
36.2 52.5 49.7 51.3 70.6
Interest expenses 15.9 20.3 2.5 6.5 19.6
Proceeds from sale of DVDs 12.9 21.6 18.4 11.2 12.9
Gain on disposal of DVDs 4.8 7.2 6.3 4.6 6.1
Source: Company Reports
79
Exhibit 10. NetFlix Inc. – Competitor Data (in millions of dollars)
Company Time Warner Cable Dish Network Coinstar Inc.
Income Statement
2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010
Sales 17,868.0 18,868.0 11,664.2 12,640.7 1,144.8 1,436.4
Cost of Sales 8,555.0 8,941.0 7,022.8 7,386.9 793.4 1,000.9
Gross Profit 9,313.0 9,927.0 4,641.4 5,253.8 351.3 435.5
SG&A 2,830.0 3,057.0 1,953.4 2,103.6 155.1 159.9
EBITDA 6,483.0 6,870.0 2,688.0 3,150.2 196.2 275.6
Depreciation 3,085.0 3,129.0 940.0 984.0 99.8 117.5
EBIT 3,398.0 3,741.0 1,748.0 2,166.3 96.5 158.1
Interest Expense 1,311.0 1,397.0 408.1 471.9 34.3 34.9
Special Items (127.0) (52.0) (361.0) (225.5) (13.2) (14.9)
Pretax Income 1,912.0 2,196.0 1,012.8 1,542.2 48.2 108.9
Total Taxes 820.0 883.0 377.4 557.5 19.0 43.0
Net Income 1,070.0 1,308.0 635.5 984.7 53.6 51.0
Balance Sheet
2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010
Cash 1,048.0 3,047.0 2,139.3 2,940.4 192.3 183.4
Receivables 663.0 718.0 779.9 786.1 61.4 26.0
Inventory 0.0 0.0 296.0 487.6 104.4 140.3
Total Current Assets 2,102.0 4,340.0 3,476.0 4,573.4 390.7 488.4
PP&E 13,919.0 13,873.0 3,042.3 3,232.3 400.3 444.7
Intangibles 26,477.0 26,314.0 1,391.4 1,391.4 315.4 277.3
Total Assets 43,694.0 45,822.0 8,295.3 9,632.2 1,222.8 1,282.7
Debt - Current Portion 0.0 0.0 26.5 1,030.9 33.2 197.9
Accounts Payable 478.0 529.0 520.3 400.8 118.9 161.6
Taxes Payable 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.6 2.3
Total Current Liabili-
ties
2,958.0 3,086.0 3,287.3 4,499.3 374.6 633.3
Total Long Term Debt 22,631.0 23,421.0 6,470.0 5,484.0 429.2 165.4
Deferred LT Taxes 8,957.0 9,637.0 312.8 567.7 0.0 0.0
Total Liabilities 35,005.0 36,605.0 10,387.0 10,765.6 810.4 812.7
Preferred Stock - Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.9
Common Equity 8,685.0 9,210.0 (2,092.2) (1,133.9) 412.4 443.1
Total Stockholders'
Equity
8,685.0 9,210.0 (2,092.2) (1,133.9) 412.4 470.0
Shares Outstanding 352.5 348.3 447.2 443.2 31.1 31.8
Stock Price - FY Close 41.39 66.03 20.77 19.66 27.78 56.44
Source: Company Reports
80
Exhibit 10. NetFlix Inc. – Competitor Data (in millions of dollars), continued
Company Apple Inc. Amazon.com Google
Income Statement
2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010
Sales 42,905.0 65,225.0 24,509.0 34,204.0 23,650.6 29,321.0
Cost of Sales 24,999.0 38,609.0 18,594.0 26,009.0 7,337.9 9,036.0
Gross Profit 17,906.0 26,616.0 5,915.0 8,195.0 16,312.7 20,285.0
SG&A 5,482.0 7,299.0 4,300.0 6,131.0 6,468.0 8,523.0
EBITDA 12,424.0 19,317.0 1,615.0 2,064.0 9,844.7 11,762.0
Depreciation 684.0 932.0 432.0 657.0 1,506.2 1,381.0
EBIT 11,740.0 18,385.0 1,183.0 1,407.0 8,338.5 10,381.0
Interest Expense 0.0 0.0 34.0 39.0 0.0 0.0
Special Items 0.0 0.0 (51.0) 0.0 (26.3) 0.0
Pretax Income 12,066.0 18,540.0 1,155.0 1,504.0 8,381.2 10,796.0
Total Taxes 3,831.0 4,527.0 253.0 352.0 1,860.7 2,291.0
Net Income 8,235.0 14,013.0 902.0 1,152.0 6,520.4 8,505.0
Balance Sheet
2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010
Cash 23,464.0 25,620.0 6,366.0 8,762.0 24,484.8 34,975.0
Receivables 5,057.0 9,924.0 836.0 1,324.0 3,201.7 5,002.0
Inventory 455.0 1,051.0 2,171.0 3,202.0 0.0 0.0
Total Current Assets 31,555.0 41,678.0 9,797.0 13,747.0 29,167.0 41,562.0
PP&E 2,954.0 4,768.0 1,290.0 2,414.0 4,844.6 7,759.0
Intangibles 559.0 1,083.0 1,801.0 1,912.0 5,677.5 7,300.0
Total Assets 47,501.0 75,183.0 13,813.0 18,797.0 40,496.8 57,851.0
Debt - Current Portion 0.0 0.0 141.0 224.0 0.0 0.0
Accounts Payable 5,601.0 12,015.0 5,605.0 8,051.0 215.9 483.0
Taxes Payable 430.0 210.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 37.0
Total Current Liabili-
ties
11,506.0 20,722.0 7,364.0 10,372.0 2,747.5 9,996.0
Total Long Term Debt 0.0 0.0 252.0 641.0 0.0 0.0
Deferred LT Taxes 2,216.0 4,300.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Liabilities 15,861.0 27,392.0 8,556.0 11,933.0 4,492.6 11,610.0
Preferred Stock - Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Common Equity 31,640.0 47,791.0 5,257.0 6,864.0 36,004.2 46,241.0
Total Stockholders'
Equity
31,640.0 47,791.0 5,257.0 6,864.0 36,004.2 46,241.0
Shares Outstanding 899.8 916.0 444.0 451.0 317.8 321.3
Stock Price - FY Close 185.35 283.75 134.52 180.00 619.98 593.97
Source: Company Reports
81
Exhibit 11. NetFlix Inc. – CEO’s Announcement to Split DVD & Streaming Services
An Explanation and Some Reflections, Sunday, September 18, 2011
I messed up. I owe everyone an explanation.
It is clear from the feedback over the past two months that many members felt we lacked respect and
humility in the way we announced the separation of DVD and streaming, and the price changes. That
was certainly not our intent, and I offer my sincere apology. I’ll try to explain how this happened.
For the past five years, my greatest fear at Netflix has been that we wouldn't make the leap from suc-
cess in DVDs to success in streaming. Most companies that are great at something – like AOL dialup
or Borders bookstores – do not become great at new things people want (streaming for us) because
they are afraid to hurt their initial business. Eventually these companies realize their error of not fo-
cusing enough on the new thing, and then the company fights desperately and hopelessly to recover.
Companies rarely die from moving too fast, and they frequently die from moving too slowly.
When Netflix is evolving rapidly, however, I need to be extra-communicative. This is the key thing I
got wrong.
In hindsight, I slid into arrogance based upon past success. We have done very well for a long time by
steadily improving our service, without doing much CEO communication. Inside Netflix I say, “Ac-
tions speak louder than words,” and we should just keep improving our service.
But now I see that given the huge changes we have been recently making, I should have personally
given a full justification to our members of why we are separating DVD and streaming, and charging
for both. It wouldn’t have changed the price increase, but it would have been the right thing to do.
So here is what we are doing and why:
Many members love our DVD service, as I do, because nearly every movie ever made is published on
DVD, plus lots of TV series. We want to advertise the breadth of our incredible DVD offering so that
as many people as possible know it still exists, and it is a great option for those who want the huge
and comprehensive selection on DVD. DVD by mail may not last forever, but we want it to last as
long as possible.
I also love our streaming service because it is integrated into my TV, and I can watch anytime I want.
The benefits of our streaming service are really quite different from the benefits of DVD by mail. We
feel we need to focus on rapid improvement as streaming technology and the market evolve, without
having to maintain compatibility with our DVD by mail service.
So we realized that streaming and DVD by mail are becoming two quite different businesses, with
very different cost structures, different benefits that need to be marketed differently, and we need to
let each grow and operate independently. It’s hard for me to write this after over 10 years of mailing
DVDs with pride, but we think it is necessary and best: In a few weeks, we will rename our DVD by
mail service to “Qwikster”. We chose the name Qwikster because it refers to quick delivery. We will
keep the name “Netflix” for streaming.
Qwikster will be the same website and DVD service that everyone is used to. It is just a new name,
and DVD members will go to qwikster.com to access their DVD queues and choose movies. One im-
provement we will make at launch is to add a video games upgrade option, similar to our upgrade
option for Blu-ray, for those who want to rent Wii, PS3 and Xbox 360 games. Members have been ask-
ing for video games for many years, and now that DVD by mail has its own team, we are finally get-
ting it done. Other improvements will follow. Another advantage of separate websites is simplicity
for our members. Each website will be focused on just one thing (DVDs or streaming) and will be
even easier to use. A negative of the renaming and separation is that the Qwikster.com and Net-
flix.com websites will not be integrated. So if you subscribe to both services, and if you need to
change your credit card or email address, you would need to do it in two places. Similarly, if you rate
or review a movie on Qwikster, it doesn’t show up on Netflix, and vice-versa.
82
There are no pricing changes (we’re done with that!). Members who subscribe to both services will
have two entries on their credit card statements, one for Qwikster and one for Netflix. The total will
be the same as the current charges.
Andy Rendich, who has been working on our DVD service for 12 years, and leading it for the last 4
years, will be the CEO of Qwikster. Andy and I made a short welcome video. (You’ll probably say we
should avoid going into movie making after watching it.) We will let you know in a few weeks when
the Qwikster.com website is up and ready. It is merely a renamed version of the Netflix DVD website,
but with the addition of video games. You won’t have to do anything special if you subscribe to our
DVD by mail service.
For me the Netflix red envelope has always been a source of joy. The new envelope is still that distinc-
tive red, but now it will have a Qwikster logo. I know that logo will grow on me over time, but still, it
is hard. I imagine it will be the same for many of you. We’ll also return to marketing our DVD by mail
service, with its amazing selection, now with the Qwikster brand.
Some members will likely feel that we shouldn’t split the businesses, and that we shouldn’t rename
our DVD by mail service. Our view is with this split of the businesses, we will be better at streaming,
and we will be better at DVD by mail. It is possible we are moving too fast – it is hard to say. But go-
ing forward, Qwikster will continue to run the best DVD by mail service ever, throughout the United
States. Netflix will offer the best streaming service for TV shows and movies, hopefully on a global
basis. The additional streaming content we have coming in the next few months is substantial, and we
are always working to improve our service further.
I want to acknowledge and thank our many members that stuck with us, and to apologize again to
those members, both current and former, who felt we treated them thoughtlessly. Both the Qwikster
and Netflix teams will work hard to regain your trust. We know it will not be overnight. Actions
speak louder than words. But words help people to understand actions.
Respectfully yours, -Reed Hastings, Co-Founder and CEO, Netflix
Source: Netflix US & Canada Blog (http://blog.netflix.com/2011/09/explanation-and-some-
reflections.html)
Authors
Rick Long, College of Business and Public Administration, Drake University,
Inchul Suh, College of Business and Public Administration, Drake University,
Toby White, College of Business and Public Administration, Drake University, Des
Moines, IA 50311, [email protected] (Corresponding Author)
Acknowledgment
The authors constructed this case solely to provide the basis for class discussion rather than to illus-
trate either effective or ineffective handling of a managerial situation. All people, places and financial
data are fictionalized with the exception of direct quotations from publically available documents.
83
Strategic Approach of Business Valuation
Dr. Rishma Vedd, & Nataliya Yassinski
Abstract
A comprehensive financial statement analysis and valuation framework that inte-
grates strategy, industry, financial reporting, and business valuation draw an under-
standing of the company performance and provide a basis for making reasonable
valuation estimates. The fundamental financial statement analysis uses various tools
and techniques for business valuation. Topics include profitability analysis, evaluat-
ing sustainable growth, cash flow analysis and prospective analysis using various
business valuation models such as income, market and cost approach.
Introduction
The Hershey Company is one of the
leaders in the Confectioners Industry
(Yahoo Finance, The Hershey Compa-
ny). The company is organized into two
business units; these are the chocolate
business unit and the sweets and re-
freshment business unit. The company
manufactures, markets, sells, and dis-
tributes along with its subsidiaries,
chocolate candy, sugar confectionery,
gum and mint, baking and pantry, and
snacks throughout the world. The com-
pany’s iconic brands are Hershey’s,
Reese’s, Hershey’s Kisses, Hershey’s
Bliss, Twizzlers, Almond Joy, Mounds,
York, Kit Kat, and Pieces. The company
is organized around geographic regions,
and the company’s key region is the
United States, the Americas, Asia, Eu-
rope, the Middle East, and Africa. The
company exports to approximately 70
countries worldwide. Sales representa-
tives and food brokers sell a significant
amount of the Hershey Company’s
products to wholesale distributors, chain
grocery stores, mass merchandisers,
chain drug stores, vending companies,
wholesale clubs, convenience stores, dol-
lar stores, concessionaires and depart-
ment stores. The business was founded
in 1894 by Milton S. Hershey and is
headquartered in Hershey, Pennsylvania
(The Hershey Company, Annual Report,
2012).
Business Analysis and Industry Analy-
sis
Business analysis links firm’s economics
and strategy and analysis of its financial
statements, with the objective of gaining
insights about the firm’s profitability
and risk. The process of assessing strat-
egy analysis has five major blocks. This
Hershey’s business and industry analy-
sis is demonstrated Chart 1.
Environment Analysis (PEST)
Environment analysis is a part of strate-
gic analysis. The broader business envi-
ronment affects the level of profitability
that a company can expect to achieve.
This includes global economic forces,
quality and cost of labor, government
regulations, and borrowing procedures.
Understanding the environment and
competitive forces within an industry
helps with evaluating the quality of a
particular firm’s strategy and profitabil-
ity.
84
Environmental factors, such as political,
economic, social, and technological, af-
fect the Hershey Company’s activities.
Among many legal governmental laws
and regulations that applied to the con-
fectionary industry, the most important
is the pricing practices. This is influ-
enced by price floor legislation for choc-
olate and other ingredients. The FDA re-
quirement for nutritional information is also a
requirement that all food companies are
subject to. Still another challenge for this
and other corporations are legal chal-
lenges in the U.S. and in other nations.
The Hershey Company, as it mentioned
in its own annual report, became a sub-
ject to a law suit in Canada for its pricing
practices and reached an agreement to
settle the suit with $5.3 million in liabil-
ity (Annual Report, 2012). Any changes
in food or drug laws anywhere Hershey
does can alter the affect its business.
Lastly, child labor laws in Africa have a
significant impact on chocolate produc-
tion. An investor has filed a law suit in
November of 2012 against the Hershey
Company because the company is al-
leged to have received cacao from sup-
pliers who used child labor (Milford,
McCarty, & Church, 2012).
The company’s revenue and profitability
relies on spending levels and impulse
purchases. The aspects are heavily de-
pending on macroeconomic conditions,
consumer confidence, employment, and
availability of consumer credit (The Her-
shey Company, Annual Report, 2012).
One factor that that can mitigate the fluc-
tuation in the main ingredient of choco-
late, cocoa is securing new sources for
the commodity that are reliable. Her-
shey is finding new sources that include
Jamaica.
The Hershey founder, Milton S. Her-
shey, established a responsible citizen-
ship model for the company, and the
company is continuing his legacy and
corporate social responsibility by manu-
facturing high-quality Hershey products,
operating the business with a social re-
sponsibility, and adjusting the business
operations up to the environmental sus-
tainability level. The company has es-
tablished its environment, community,
workplace, and marketplace goals, and
reports their achievements through its
corporate social responsibility (“CSR”)
report in 2009, 2010, and 2011. The other
issue that the company is facing is the
increasing national focus on obesity.
Hershey as part of the confectionary in-
dustry is challenged to increase sales as
well as maintain its reputation as a so-
cially responsible corporate citizen.
The company invests considerable re-
sources in technology to efficiently oper-
ate its business. Included in this effort to
be more efficient are cutting edge agri-
cultural practices which include im-
proved milking machines and improve-
ments to their distribution. Hershey is
utilizing RFID to better track their prod-
ucts to the marketplace. This critical fac-
tor of the industry environment enables
the company to manage manufacturing,
financial, logistic, sales, marketing, and
administrative processes in the compa-
ny.
85
Chart 1: Hershey’s business and industry analysis
Environment Analysis
(PEST Analysis)
Industry Analysis
(Porter's Five Forces)
Competative
Advantage
SWOT Analysis
Business strategy
• Profit Drivers
• Key Risks
86
Chart 2: Environmental Analysis
Accounting Analysis
The next critical step is accounting
analysis. Accounting analysis identi-
fies accounting principles and meth-
ods used to prepare financial state-
ments and the ability to adjust these in
order to increase their relevance and
reliability. One of the steps is to make
adjustments. Adjustments for ac-
counting distortions enable financial
reports to better reflect economic reali-
ty.
This step requires:
Among the common adjustments there
can be these infrequent items:
• Discontinued operations
• Extraordinary items
• Changes in accounting princi-
ples
• Impairment losses on long-lived
assets
• Restructuring and other charges
• Changes in estimates
• Gains/losses from peripheral ac-
tivities
• Items in other comprehensive
income (on balance sheet).
All of these elements can be found in
the Hershey Company’s notes to con-
solidated financial statements, item 8
• Factors:
• Innovantions
• Information system
• Communication
• Factors:
• Consumer behavior
• Lifestyle trends
• Consumerism
• Factors:
• Economic enviroment
• Umemployment rate
• Inflation
• Factors:
• Political development
• Tax Laws
• FDA regulations
Political Economic
TechnologicalSocial
87
of the form 10-K, and management’s
discussion and analysis of financial
conditions and results of operations
(MD&A), item 7 of the form 10-K. The
following information is found in the
MD&A and notes of the Hershey
Company’s 10-K:
As part of the Project Next Century
program, production will transition
from the Company's century-old facili-
ty at 19 East Chocolate Avenue in Her-
shey, Pennsylvania, to an expanded
West Hershey facility, which was built
in 1992 (The Hershey Company, An-
nual Report, 2012).
The company completed an impair-
ment evaluation of goodwill and other
intangible assets associated with Go-
drej Hershey Ltd. Based on this eval-
uation, the firm recorded a non-cash
goodwill impairment charge of $44.7
million, including a reduction to re-
flect the share of the charge associated
with the noncontrolling interests (The
Hershey Company, Annual Report,
2012).
In addition, the Hershey Company
completed three-year supply chain
transformation program (the "global
supply chain transformation pro-
gram"). Manufacturing facilities in
Naugatuck, Connecticut and Smiths
Falls, Ontario have been closed and
are offered for sale. The carrying value
of these properties was $6.9 million as
of December 31, 2011. The fair value of
these properties was estimated based
on the expected sales proceeds. Actual
proceeds from the sale of these proper-
ties could differ from expected pro-
ceeds which could cause additional
charges or credits in 2012 or subse-
quent years (The Hershey Company,
Annual Report, 2012).
Some of the important nonrecurring
charges were:
1. Next Century Program
a. $39,280 thousand recorded in
cost of sales during 2011 relat-
ed primarily to accelerated
depreciation of fixed assets
b. $13,644 thousand recorded in
cost of sales during 2010 relat-
ed primarily to accelerated
depreciation of fixed assets
2. Global Supply Chain Trans-
formation Program
a. $5,816 thousand recorded in
2011 was due to a decline in
the estimated net realizable
value of two properties being
held for sale
b. $10,136 thousand recorded in
cost of sales during 2009 relat-
ed to start-up costs and the ac-
celerated depreciation of fixed
assets over the estimated re-
maining useful life (The Her-
shey Company, Annual Re-
port, 2012).
The Next Century Program and the
Global Supply Chain Transformation
Program have future potential benefits
for the Hershey Company. Both pro-
grams incurred the charges (credits)
associated with business realignment
initiatives and the impairment record-
ed during 2011 in amount of $(886)
thousand, 2010 in the amount of
$83,433 thousand, and 2009 in the
amount of $82,875 thousand that is re-
flected in the company’s income
statement.
88
Financial Analysis
Financial analysis analyzes and evalu-
ates financial risk, ratios and profita-
bility. The Hershey’s financial analy-
sis determines the company’s
profitability, financial strength, man-
agement’s efficiency, liquidi-
ty/solvency and cash flow predictabil-
ity.
Common-size financial statement ra-
tio analysis
By comparing consecutive balance
sheets, income statements, and state-
ments of cash flows side by side, and
reviewing those changes in individual
categories on a year-to-year basis, fi-
nancial analysts may be able to under-
stand the historical record and future
trends of a company. In this “trend”
analysis, we need to focus on:
• Absolute direction, speed and ex-
tent of a trend
• Relative direction, speed and trend
among different components
Two popular techniques of compara-
tive analysis are:
• Year-to-year change analysis
• Index number trend series analysis
In a common-size balance sheet, each
component of the balance sheet is ex-
pressed as a percentage of total assets.
In a common-size income statement,
each item is expressed as a percentage
of sales.
Prospective Analysis
Another key component of the frame-
work for analysis is a prospective
analysis. Prospective analysis allows
the company to improve its business
strategy and maintain its sustainability
and for investors to make proper deci-
sions about their investments. Dis-
counted dividends, abnormal earn-
ings, and discounted cash flow
methods are used to perform prospec-
tive analysis. The widely used ap-
proach is discounted cash flow meth-
od.
Identify key accounting policy
Assess accounting flexbility
Identify potential red flags
Undo any distortions and noise
89
The following financial ratios help to evaluate the company’s previous performance:
Liquidity The company's ability to meet its short-term obligations
Current Ratio Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
Quick Ratio (Total Current Assets – Inventories)/ Total Current Liabilities
Average Collection Period Average Accounts Receivable/(Total Sales/365)
Days Inventory Held Days in a year/Inventory Turnover
Leverage The company's ability to meet its liabilities in the long term
Financial Leverage Index Return on Assets/Return on Equity
Debt/Assets (Short Term Debt + Long Term Debt)/Total Assets
Debt/Equity (Short Term Debt + Long Term Debt)/Total Equity
Operating Efficiency The assessment of operating management
Accounts Receivable Turno-
ver Annual Credit Sales/Average Receivables
Inventory Turnover Cost of goods sold/Average Inventory
Total Asset Turnover Sales/Average Total Assets
Profitability The indication of the company's market share (rising, stable, falling)
Gross Profit Margin (Sales – Cost of Sales)/Sales
Return on Assets (ROA) Profit after taxes/Total Assets
Return on Equity (ROE) Profit after taxes/Shareholders’ Equity
Market Measures The assessment of investment opportunity
Price/Earnings Current Market Price per Share/After-tax Earnings per Share
Dividend Payout Cash Dividends Paid/Net Income
The Hershey Company demonstrated over three years’ results from 2009 to 2011 the
following integration of environmental analysis:
New product introductions
Consumer- driven
approach
Core brand investments
Strong financial
performanc e
Improve market share
Cost savings
initiatives
90
Prospective analysis uses the financial statement data to forecast future earnings,
cash flow and valuation of the business. One of the key approaches to perform
business valuation is the discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis.
Free Cash Flow for business valuation is a different approach from the statement of
cash flow.
Sales
- Operating Expenses
Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Dep. & Amort. (EBITDA)
- Depreciation and amortization
Operating Profit (EBIT)
* (1 - Average Tax Rate)
Operating Profits After Tax
+ Depreciation and amortization
- Capital Expenditures
- Additions to Working Capital
Free Cash Flows
Next is to assess the Hershey’s cost of capital (WACC). WACC has the following
formula:
Rd = Rd 1 * (1 - Marginal corporate tax rate)
Rd 1 - company's debt rate
Marginal corporate tax rate = Income tax expense / Pretax income
Re = Rf + β * Rm
Rf - risk free rate (20-year U.S. Treasury Bond
Rm - equity risk premium
WACC = (Rd * D) + (Re * (E/(D+E)))
Rd - Cost of Debt Re - Cost of equity
91
This table consists of essential data for determining the Hershey’s WACC:
Cost of Equity:
Re = Rf + β *Rm
Rf or Risk Free Rate (20-year
U.S.Treasury)
2.89
Rm or Equity risk premium 6%
β or Beta risk 0.12
Cost of Debt:
Rd = Rd1(1- Marginal corporate tax
rate)
Rd1 or Company’s before tax rate 5.11%
Marginal corporate tax rate 35%
Equity/(Debt+Equity) Equity and Debt may be applied as a book value or a
market value
Debt/(Debt+Equity) Debt and Equity may be applied as a book value or a
market value
Cost of Capital (WACC) Cost of Equity and percentile of the company’s equity
in the last projected year (Equity/(Debt+Equity)
Cost of Debt and percentile of the company’s debt in
the last projected year (Debt/(Debt+Equity)
Company’s Growth Rate (g) 3%
Nominal growth rate in the economy 2.5%
Terminal Value (TV) TV=(FCFF(last est. year)*(1+g))/(WACC-g)
Present Value Factor
(PV Factor)
PV Factor = 1/(1+r)n, r = rate of return, n = number of
periods
Present Value (PV) PV = FCFF * PV Factor
Company Value The sum of PV forecasted years
Company Value without Long-term
Debt
Subtract the current portion of the long-term debt
from the Company Value
Projected Price Stock The Company Value without Long-term Debt divided
by the number of outstanding shares;
Provide the factors that indicate why the stock price is
lower or higher than the current stock price
The Hershey Company has the following five-year goals:
• Revenue growth from $6.5 billion in 2012 to $10 billion in 2017
• International revenue growth by 25%
• An increase in growth margin up to 43%
92
Stock market participation is gradually improved from 2009, and it is now comparable to the prere-
cession 2007 level. The chart below demonstrates this trend on the stock market from 2009 to 2013:
The Hershey Company has significantly improved its performance on the stock market from $30.30 in
2009 up to $87.57 in 2013, and it is reflected on the following graph:
Requirements:
1. Provide an environmental analysis
for the Hershey Company by using
the template (see Environment Analy-
sis section).
93
2. Identify the key items that need to
be adjusted based on the information
provided and the information from
the MD&A section of the Hershey 10-
K for 2011 to financial statements.
3. Determine the appropriate financial
ratios for forecasted balance sheet and
income statement, and provide a brief
trend analysis.
4. Determine the value of stock using
discounted cash flow and write brief
summary based on your analysis.
References
Bloomberg Businessweek News. (2012).
Hershey sets long-term growth goals.
Retrieved February 3, 2013.
Milford, P., McCarty, D., & Church, S.
(2012). Hershey Investor Sues for Rec-
ords on African Child Labor. Bloomberg.
Retrieved February 2, 2013, from
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012
-11-01/hershey-investor-sues-for-
records-on-african-child-labor.html
The Hershey Company. (2012). Hershey
Co 10-K Annual Report: Filed Period
12/31/2012. Retrieved from
http://www.thehersheycompany.com/i
nvestors/financial-reports/sec-
filings.aspx
Yahoo Finance. (n.d.). Profile: The Her-
shey Company. Retrieved January 27,
2013, from
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=HSY%
2C+&ql=1
Appendix A: Reported Income Statement
For the years ended December 31, 2011 2010 2009
In thousands of dollars except per share amounts
Net Sales 6,080,788$ 5,671,009$ 5,298,668$
Costs and Expenses:
Cost of sales 3,548,896 3,255,801 3,245,531
Selling, marketing and administrative 1,477,750 1,426,477 1,208,672
Business realignment and impairment (credits) charges, net (886) 83,433 82,875
Total costs and expenses 5,025,760 4,765,711 4,537,078
Income before Interest and Income Taxes 1,055,028 905,298 761,590
Interest expense, net 92,183 96,434 90,459
Income before Income Taxes 962,845 808,864 671,131
Provision for income taxes 333,883 299,065 235,137
Net Income 628,962$ 509,799$ 435,994$
THE HERSHEY COMPANY
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
Source SEC 10-K February 2012, REPORTED
94
Appendix B: Forecasted Balance Sheet
Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
ASSETS
Cash and Marketable Securities 253,605$ 884,642$ 693,686$ 890,174$ 1,060,046 1,168,303 1,571,668 1,783,021
Accounts Receivable 410,390 390,061 399,499 423,306 441,130 463,450 484,972 508,476
Inventory 519,712 533,622 648,953 634,013 687,836 708,682 748,714 781,353
Other Current Assets 201,727 231,610 309,381 309,381 309,381 309,381 309,381 309,381
Total Current Assets 1,385,434 2,039,935 2,051,519 2,256,874 2,498,393 2,649,815 3,114,734 3,382,231
Property, plant, and equipment (PP&E) 3,242,868 3,330,279 3,602,994 3,950,364 4,322,834 4,722,219 5,150,463 5,609,650
Accumulated depreciation (1,838,101) (1,873,417) (1,989,561) (2,174,204) (2,376,648) (2,598,181) (2,840,181) (3,104,127)
Net property, plant, and equipment 1,404,767 1,456,862 1,613,433 1,776,160 1,946,186 2,124,038 2,310,282 2,505,524
Other assets 884,830 874,505 805,924 805,924 805,924 805,924 805,924 805,924
Total Long-Term Assets 2,289,597 2,331,367 2,419,357 2,582,084 2,752,110 2,929,962 3,116,206 3,311,448
Total Assets 3,675,031$ 4,371,302$ 4,470,876$ 4,838,959$ 5,250,503 5,579,777 6,230,940 6,693,679
LIABILITIES
Accounts Payable 287,935 410,655 420,017 445,348 463,947 487,500 510,099 534,842
Current portion of long-term debt 15,247 261,392 97,593 97,600 250,200 200 250,200 500,100
Accrued expenses 108,633 120,258 117,939 127,704 131,697 139,072 145,167 152,389
Income taxes & other 498,813 543,011 564,794 595,473 625,972 658,488 695,958 726,516
Total Current Liabilities 910,628 1,335,316 1,200,343 1,266,125 1,471,816 1,285,260 1,601,424 1,913,847
Deffered income taxes and other liabilities 501,334 494,461 617,276 617,276 617,276 617,276 617,276 617,276
Long-Term Debt 1,502,730 1,541,825 1,748,500 1,650,900 1,400,700 1,400,500 1,150,300 650,200
Total long-Term Liabilities 2,004,064 2,036,286 2,365,776 2,268,176 2,017,976 2,017,776 1,767,576 1,267,476
Total Liabilities 2,914,692$ 3,371,602$ 3,566,119$ 3,534,301$ 3,489,792 3,303,036 3,369,000 3,181,323
STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
Common Stock (3,782,692) (3,809,883) (4,285,657) (4,285,657) (4,285,657) (4,285,657) (4,285,657) (4,285,657)
Additional paid-in capital 394,678 434,865 490,817 490,817 490,817 490,817 490,817 490,817
Retained earnings 4,148,353 4,374,718 4,699,597 5,099,497 5,555,551 6,071,581 6,656,781 7,307,196
Total Shareholders' Equity 760,339 999,700 904,757 1,304,657 1,760,711 2,276,741 2,861,941 3,512,356
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity 3,675,031$ 4,371,302$ 4,470,876$ 4,838,959$ 5,250,503 5,579,777 6,230,940 6,693,679
THE HERSHEY COMPANY
STANDARDIZED, ADJUSTED, & FORECASTED BALANCE SHEETS
95
Appendix C: Forecasted Statement of Income
Authors
Dr. Rishma Vedd, Professor and Associate Department Chair, California State University, Northridge, CA,
Nataliya Yassinski, Accounting & Information System, California State University, Northridge, Northridge,
Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Sales 5,298,668$ 5,671,009$ 6,080,788$ 6,520,177$ 6,991,316$ 7,496,498$ 8,038,184$ 8,619,012$
Cost of Sales 3,063,120 3,058,685 3,333,133 3,573,980 3,832,231 4,109,143 4,406,063 4,724,439
Gross Profit 2,235,548 2,612,324 2,747,655 2,946,197 3,159,085 3,387,356 3,632,121 3,894,573
SG&A 1,202,552 1,424,984 1,472,789 1,579,211 1,693,322 1,815,679 1,946,878 2,087,556
Depreciation and amortization expense 172,275 183,472 170,667 184,643 202,445 221,533 242,000 263,946
Interest Expense 90,459 96,434 92,183 94,375 89,386 84,396 71,606 71,596
Income before tax 770,262 907,434 1,012,016 1,087,968 1,173,932 1,265,747 1,371,638 1,471,475
Income tax expense 269,833 335,536 350,945 377,284 407,094 438,934 475,654 510,275
Income (loss) from extraordinary items and
discontinued operations - - - - - - - -
Net Income 500,429 571,898 661,071 710,685 766,838 826,814 895,984 961,200
THE HERSHEY COMPANY STANDARDIZED, ADJUSTED, & FORECASTED STATEMENT OF INCOME
96
Did Right Case Take a Wrong Turn?
Janet E. Mosebach, & Diana R. Franz
Abstract
This case uses a relatively simple yet relevant income tax issue, worker classification, to
introduce students to the financial reporting issues surrounding uncertain tax positions
(ASC 740-10; commonly known as FIN 48). Worker classification is not only a hot topic
in the U.S., it is being raised in tax audits and labor courts around the world. While in-
come tax regimes vary greatly around the globe, the factors used to determine whether
a worker is an independent contractor or employees are quite similar. The financial re-
porting implications can be significant due to government-mandated employee bene-
fits, penalties, and the retroactive nature of tax adjustments. This case can be used in an
intermediate financial accounting or corporate income taxation course to demonstrate
the issues surrounding ASC 740-10 and the computations necessary to record the liabil-
ity associated with it. This case can also facilitate a discussion of Schedule UTP in a tax
course.
Introduction
Justin Wei sighed at the end of a long day.
He has been the controller at Right Case,
Inc. for almost six months and was begin-
ning to feel comfortable in the role. Right
Case (a publicly-traded U.S. corporation)
manufactures and sells a wide array of of-
fice furniture and modular office systems
(better known as cubicles). Because the
firm’s domestic sales were not growing,
they expanded sales internationally four
years ago.
Right Case’s first international sales ex-
pansion was to India. Due to the growth
rate of the Indian economy, Right Case
was optimistic about their ability to ex-
pand sales into that market. But, in order
to limit the firm’s exposure and make it
easier to withdraw from the country if
necessary, the firm hesitated to hire em-
ployees in India. Instead, Right Case treat-
ed its sales force in India as independent
contractors. Sales in India took off and
three years ago Right Case expanded into
two other countries with growing econo-
mies. Because of Right Case’s success in
India and their satisfaction with inde-
pendent contractors, they structured sub-
sequent operations in other countries in
the same fashion.
The cause of Justin’s long day was a notice
from the Department of Income Tax (part
of the Government of India’s Ministry of
Finance) challenging Right Case’s treat-
ment of its Indian sales force as independ-
ent contractors. The Department of Income
Tax (DIT) claims the sales associates are
misclassified and should be treated as em-
ployees. This concerns Justin because
treating the Indian sales force as employ-
ees would mean Right Case would be re-
sponsible for paying both the employer
and employee share of employment taxes,
and providing various government-
mandated benefits to its Indian workers
retroactively to the date they started. The
97
DIT notice also indicates the entire amount
of any previously unpaid taxes and bene-
fits is subject to interest and significant
penalties.
Justin remembered being briefed about the
independent contractors when he started
at Right Case but he never actually re-
viewed the contracts. Justin recalled that
the question of worker classification was
an issue at his last employer but he was
not directly involved. He remembers hear-
ing about a list of 20 common law rules the
U.S. Internal Revenue Service (IRS) uses to
determine if a worker is an employee or
independent contractor. Before he leaves
for the day he downloads a copy of the list
and sets up a meeting with Sonny, Right
Case’s sales manager, to discuss the mat-
ter.
At their meeting the next morning, Sonny
tells Justin he cannot understand why
there is a problem because the contract be-
tween Right Case and each sales associate
clearly states in several places that the
sales associate is an independent contrac-
tor. The template contract used for the In-
dian sales force, which Justin and Sonny
review at the meeting, is relatively short
and comparable to other independent con-
tractor agreements the company entered
into in the past. The contracts entitle each
sales associate to a modest flat monthly in-
come plus commissions based on their
monthly sales, and reimbursement for all
sales-related expenses incurred by them.
The contracts are open-ended, meaning ei-
ther party can terminate the contract at
any time without penalty, because Right
Case wanted flexibility in case they decid-
ed to exit the market. The contracts also
restrict the sales associate from holding
similar sales positions with other compa-
nies while they are under contract with
Right Case. Right Case added this provi-
sion to protect their proprietary intellectu-
al property.
Sonny explains that he personally went to
India to interview each sales associate and
have them sign the contract before they
were engaged. While in India, Sonny held
a training session for the sales force, ac-
companied each sales associate on one or
two sales calls to observe and critique their
sales techniques, and made sure they each
had business cards identifying them as
Right Case representatives. Right Case al-
so provides each sales associate with a cell
phone and laptop computer loaded with
the software necessary to facilitate the
processing of sales orders, and preparation
and submission of the monthly sales re-
ports on which their commissions are
based.
Every six months Sonny returns to India to
interview and engage new sales associates
as necessary, and host a two-day retreat
for the entire sales force. On the first day
they review the previous six-month’s sales
figures, attend a sales training seminar,
and become familiar with Right Case’s
new products. On the second day, Sonny
brings in a local motivational speaker to
energize and motivate the sales force, and
treats them to a round of golf in the after-
noon. All sales associates are expected to
attend the retreat.
Based on some research Justin did before
their meeting, he discovered the DIT uses
98
basically the same common law rules used
by the IRS to differentiate between em-
ployees and independent contractors. He
decides to review the international sales
force arrangement in light of the 20 com-
mon law rules to determine why the DIT
has questioned Right Case’s classification
of the Indian sales force.
Justin is not concerned about any corpo-
rate income tax issues in India because
Right Case has been paying income tax on
their sales in India all along. What does
concern Justin is the significant cash out-
lay that will be required if Right Case has
to pay back employment taxes, income tax
withholdings, and fringe benefits for the
Indian sales force, and the fact that any
penalties owed will be significant and
non-deductible for income tax purposes.
Justin also realizes that Right Case used
this same arrangement in the other coun-
tries they expanded into three years ago
which could open the company up to simi-
lar issues in those countries.
Required
Help Justin to address these concerns by
responding to the following questions:
1. Are the sales associates representing
Right Case in India, and other coun-
tries, independent contractors or Right
Case employees? When explaining
your answer, you should specifically
address at least five of the most rele-
vant of the 20 common law factors
identified by the IRS. (NOTE: Alt-
hough worker classification factors
vary slightly from country to country,
they are remarkably similar. As a re-
sult, the IRS factors act as a proxy for
the Indian factors).
2. Based on your analysis in question 1,
what changes, if any, would you sug-
gest the company make to ensure in-
dependent contractor status going for-
ward?
3. Assuming the notice from the India
Department of Income Tax is correct,
help Justin by preparing the journal en-
try (or entries) needed for the current
year and the prior three years. Assume
that the current year is still open but
remember that a prior period adjust-
ment is required for changes affecting
years in previously issued financial
statements. Assume Right Case has an
effective income tax rate of 30% for
analysis of this issue and use the in-
formation in following Table for your
analysis. To simplify your analysis, as-
sume the financial results of the cur-
rent year and the three prior years are
the same. The financial results of the
current year are shown in the Table.
(The effective income tax rate has been
adjusted because penalties are non-
deductible.)
99
Table
Panel A: Selected Financial Information (Note: All information is annual.)
Other
U.S. India International Total
Sales $ 1,000,000 $ 600,000 $ 400,000 $ 2,000,000
Payments to independent
contractors - 60,000 40,000 100,000
Net income 40,000 24,000 16,000 80,000
Panel B: Estimate of Cost as a Percentage of Payments to Independent Contractors
Cost Component
Back income tax withholdings (average of top two rates of 20% and 30%) 25%
Back Employees Provident Fund* (12% for employer and employee) 24%
Back benefits (employer’s pension contribution) 3%
Interest and penalties 10%
Total 62%
*Similar to social security in the U.S.
4. Although this issue has not been raised in the other two countries Right Case ex-
panded into three years ago, Justin realizes that it is possible and he needs to ac-
count for this as an uncertain tax position under ASC 740-10.
a) Help Justin estimate the amount Right Case’s potential liability. You will need to
use the financial information in the Table above for your analysis.
b) Justin knows that accounting for uncertain tax positions involves a two-step de-
cision process. Assume Right Case meets the “more likely than not” criteria from
Step 1 of that decision process. Based on his prior experience dealing with the
Indian taxing authorities, Justin believes Right Case can negotiate a lower tax lia-
bility in the other countries by voluntarily raising these issues with the appropri-
ate taxing authorities. He estimates Right Case can reduce its liability to 80% of
the amount that would otherwise be due (i.e., 80% of the potential liability you
estimated in 4a above).
100
Help Justin by completing the following chart to estimate the tax benefit.
Dollar Amount
Probability that Position
will be Upheld
Cumulative
Probability
100%
Total 100%
5. Now, assume the sales force in question was the U.S. sales force instead of the inter-
national sales force. Would you recommend Right Case take advantage of the IRS’s
Voluntary Classification Settlement Program (VCSP)? What impact would this have
on Right Case’s potential ASC 740-10 disclosure, if any? Assume Right Case com-
plied with all annual Form 1099 reporting requirements and is not currently under
an employment tax audit by the IRS.
Case Appendices
Appendix A
20 common law factors identified by the IRS as relevant in determining worker classifi-
cation (as contained in the 2007 U.S. Joint Committee on Taxation report entitled “Pre-
sent Law and Background Relating to Worker Classification for Federal Tax Purposes”);
accessible at http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-utl/x-26-07.pdf.
Appendix B
Voluntary Classification Settlement Program (VCSP) information provided by the IRS;
accessible at http://www.irs.gov/Businesses/Small-Businesses-&-Self-
Employed/Voluntary-Classification-Settlement-Program.
Authors
Janet E. Mosebach, Assistant Professor of Accounting, Department of Accounting, Col-
lege of Business and Innovation, University of Toledo, Toledo, OH 43606-3390, ja-
[email protected] (Corresponding Author)
Diana R. Franz, Professor of Accounting, University of Toledo, Toledo, OH 43606-3390,
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank Crystal M. Threet at Ernst & Young, Catherine A. Sheets at Plante & Moran, and
Brian Laverty at the University of Toledo for their valuable and insightful input on this case.
101
Quandary at National Health Company
N. Ahadiat, & D. Rice
Abstract
National Health Company (NHC) became one of the nation’s leading providers of
healthcare during the early 2000s, through aggressive mergers and acquisitions. The
company provides both in and out patient care such as convalescent care, rehabilitation,
physical therapy, outpatient surgical centers, ultrasounds, mammograms, MRI’s, CT
scans, and other medical services. The company’s rapid expansion initially resulted in a
substantial amount of profit and success in the healthcare market. However it became
increasingly difficult to maintain the growth and expansion in light of the economic
climate, continued pressure from Medicare, the insurance companies to cut costs, com-
petition from other health field carriers and the concern over potential government
funded health care programs. As the NHC’s management failed to sustain the expected
growth, its management resorted to other strategies that not only maintained the expec-
tation of its shareholders, but would also allow management to keep their extravagant
life style.
In this case, we will follow the struggles and anguish faced by Karen Larson, NHC’s
Chief Financial Officer, as she battles her way through making the right financial and
corporate governance decisions and not to allow herself to be allured, by fancy titles,
avarice and greed as well as upper management pressure placed before her. We will
present not only the decisions she has to make but also the outcome of her decisions.
Background
National Health Company (NHC) is one of
the nation’s largest providers of
healthcare. It is ranked in the top ten na-
tionally in terms of size and revenue. The
company reached its ranking by expand-
ing rapidly through aggressive mergers
and acquisitions throughout the late 1990’s
through the 2006. The company had 50 fa-
cilities across the nation in 1990. By 2006
the company had purchased another 28
hospitals and 45 outpatient rehabilitation
facilities from National Health Enterprise.
In 2003, NHC purchased ReLive, a major
healthcare chain. In 2005, NHC acquired
Medical Surgical Corporation, Novacare,
Health Imaging, Horizon and several oth-
er healthcare providers, with acquisition
costs totaling approximately $2.5 billion.
The buying binge positioned the company
as one of the major players in the
healthcare industry.
As the expansions continued, the NHC’s
stockholders became accustomed to a pe-
riod during which they enjoyed double
digit growth rate in their investments.
Yet, once this growth began to truly slow
down, management and Karen Larson,
NHC’s Chief Financial Officer (“Karen”)
did not pay any heed but instead took var-
ious steps to ensure that the price of the
stock would continue to soar.
102
In December 2008, Karen was celebrating a
triumphant moment in her career. She
had been made the CFO in a company she
loved. For Karen, this moment did not
come soon enough. For 20 years, she had
set her sight on this position. She had
toiled in the trenches, putting in long
hours and sacrificing even her vacation
time in hopes of attaining her dream job.
Achieving this position was a fitting cul-
mination of her years of dedication. It was
a richly deserved reward that she cher-
ished and relished. Now Karen was too
pre-occupied with her thoughts. As she
sat huddled in the corner of her dark pris-
on cell, surrounded by belligerent, mental-
ly unstable inmates, Karen Larson’s mind
could not help but revisit the fateful day
when her plunge from the lofty perch in a
major corporation to the bowels of prison
began. Painfully, it was time for her to
trace back her steps to what had brought
her here.
The Plan
No sooner had Karen settled on her new
position, when her troubles started. Ap-
proximately nine months into her new job,
Karen Larson was lying awake, sleepless
and listless on her bed. Her thoughts
wandering around the meeting she had
earlier in the day with several other mem-
bers in upper-level management. George
Dawson (“George”), the CEO of the com-
pany had gathered all the members of up-
per-level management with direct rela-
tions to the finance and treasury
departments. George had started the
meeting with a speech about how proud
he was to be working with such trustwor-
thy and loyal associates, and how he was
very fond of everyone and how they were
all like family to him. After George’s wel-
coming introduction, the real topic of the
meeting came into play. George stated
that, “I’m sure you’re all aware of our cur-
rent financial position as a company.” Ka-
ren and everyone there nodded with the
understanding of his statement. He con-
tinued, “This recent quarter has been very
bleak, the bleakest one this company has
ever seen in its history.” Everyone contin-
ued to nod in agreement with his words.
George went on, “However, I believe our
company can pull through this stumble.
All I ask is a small favor in order to bring
the company to new heights.” A deep si-
lence swept across the room in the antici-
pation of his next words. “All I ask is that
we hide the stumble we had this quarter
from the public. Not everyone in the pub-
lic might agree with our strengths and
abilities. And if word got out that we the
giant in the healthcare industry was falter-
ing, it would hurt the company as a whole.
And we wouldn’t want that now would
we?” Whispers started out among every-
one all at once, at the notion of what was
being asked of them. George, the CEO of
the company, the one that she had looked
up to, was asking her and everyone else in
the room to commit fraud and falsify the
accounting books and records. George
started to silence the whispers, as he con-
tinued, “I will hold personal responsibility
in this act and request. All I’m asking for
is to make this one quarter look positive to
the eyes of the public. And next quarter,
I’ll ensure the company truly has a posi-
tive quarter. I’ll let you all think it over for
103
a few days, and we’ll continue this meet-
ing then.”
Over the next several days Karen agonized
over the decisions that she was going to
have to make, yet there were so many un-
answered questions. These questions con-
tinued to spin in her mind. Was she really
a part of the play to deceive the public?
And if she wasn’t, should she tell someone
about the company’s wrongdoings and the
CEO? She thought about the sincerity of
George Dawson when he stated that he
would bring the company into positive
cash flow over the next quarter, in line
with the financial markets expectations.
Then she thought about all her fellow as-
sociates, all of her friends and all of the
people who worked under her. She had
been working for NHC for over 20 years,
she had worked hard and diligently to
gain her last position as Chief Financial
Officer. She had also worked hard to gain
the trust and loyalty of her fellow associ-
ates. However, what the members of top
management had asked her to do against
the oath she had sworn when she became
a CPA, and her fiduciary duties as one of
the officers in the company. It also went
against the very morals and fibers of her
upbringings and had left her in utter tur-
moil. She continued to ponder. What
would have been the outcomes if the com-
pany had reported a loss? What would
have been the outcomes if she and those
involved did not get caught in the fraud
they were about to commit? What was
she going to do?
The Afterthought
A debate raged in Karen’s head. She
thought if she agreed to commit fraud
then the company would have no reason
to lay off any of their workers. All of the
jobs would be saved. But then what if the
jobs were saved but the investors lost their
money? She shook the thoughts out of her
head. It was only going to be this one
quarter, as far as she could tell and dared
to believe and hope for. She convinced
herself then that agreeing to commit to the
act would be the best course, especially if
everyone else in the meeting agreed to it.
She didn’t want to be the outcast, nor did
she want to disappoint everyone. She
didn’t want to constantly have to look
over her back with all the ridicules about
why she didn’t go along with the decision.
And she definitely wasn’t going to tell an-
yone for fear of losing her own position in
the company; the position that she had
worked so hard to achieve. Karen had fi-
nally decided that she was going to accept
the CEO’s plea.
The next meeting took place around Octo-
ber of 2009. The meeting room was quiet.
All her fellow upper management associ-
ates looked tired, as if they too didn’t get
very much sleep the last few days. But
they also all had a stern look; she could tell
that everyone else probably went through
a similar ordeal to her own. She could al-
so see in their eyes, as they waited for
George, that they were all going to agree
with what George had proposed a few
days earlier.
As George walked through the doors of
the meeting room, he was quick to notice
104
the deadly silence, and was quick to break
it and get down to business. He asked,
“So has everyone come to a decision?”
They all nodded their heads. “What is it
then?” George asked, “Are you with or
against me?” A short silence fell over eve-
ryone, as no one seemed willing to be the
first to admit to conspiring to the devious
plan. Then Patricia Kim the corporation’s
in-house counsel stood up and gave her
answer, “I agree to your idea George and
stand behind you and your decision all the
way.” At that moment, everyone else was
quick to chime in with similar affirma-
tions.
The rest of the meeting went into a discus-
sion of how they were going to hide this
from the public and cover their tracks to
make it difficult for an auditor to find the
deception, if one ever came to investigate.
The plan that they came up with was to
decrease a contra asset account as well as
the expense accounts, either of which
would increase earnings and correspond-
ingly the assets. In addition, they were go-
ing to create fictitious journal entries to
correspond with the generally accepted
accounting principles. Furthermore they
were going to create false documents to
support the bogus accounting entries.
After the meeting adjourned, George came
into Karen’s office and said “we are going
to be reporting all of this additional in-
come and with the capital gain NHC had
from the sale of an asset this year, I am
concerned about the inability from a cash
flow standpoint for NHC to pay its corpo-
rate income tax. We need to find a way to
offset the company’s potential tax liability,
which in part was due to a large capital
gain from the sale of an asset and I would
like you to consider some of the tax shel-
ters out there.” Karen wanting to help out
George came across a tax shelter, called
“Son of Boss”, 11which was designed to re-
duce capital gains. The transaction is a
“listed transaction” with the IRS. Howev-
er, George had made it clear that it was
necessary to defer any immediate issues
with their taxes with the Securities and
Exchange Commission (SEC) or the Inter-
nal Revenue Service (IRS) and requested
that Karen not file the listed transactions
form with the IRS. Karen complied with
this request in order to please her boss.
The Aftermath
The plan went off without a hitch. Every-
thing had gone according to plan. How-
ever, the next quarter rolled by and passed
rather quickly and still George didn’t or
couldn’t hold up his end of the bargain.
They all held another similar meeting, and
George asked to continue the plan for an-
other quarter. One quarter after another
came and passed with no end to the ac-
counting and financial subterfuges insight.
Then one day, rather unexpectedly and
11 “Son of Boss” tax shelters were designed to re-
duce federal income tax obligations from the sale of
a business or other appreciated assets. Assume
that the statute of limitations was not an issue, as in
the Supreme Court case of U.S. vs. Home Concete &
Supply, LLC, 566 U.S.___(2012). Assume that our
client’s executive offices are located in Texas in
which is a 5th Circuit case, Klamath Strategic Inv. V.
U.S. 568 F.3d 537 (5th Cir. 2009), held that the
transaction lacked any economic substance and
was nothing more than a sham.
105
without discussing it with anyone, George
sold his stocks of NHC.
Even though NHC’s business was suppos-
edly booming, the first of National Heath
Company's accounting problems started to
surface in late 2010 after George sold $85
million in stocks several days before the
company posted a large loss, the first in
the company’s history. The SEC started to
investigate whether or not George’s deci-
sion to sell his stocks was related to the
posting of a large loss. NHC hired an out-
side law firm to review George’s stock sale
in order to try to postpone the SEC’s in-
vestigation. The outside law firm con-
cluded that the sale and profit loss were
not related. This however did not ease the
SEC's suspicions. The SEC not only
looked into the stock sale but began exam-
ining the books and records of the compa-
ny along with the FBI. As the investiga-
tions progressed, various employees were
interviewed, including Karen. The FBI
and the Department of Justice met with
Karen and offered her a reduced sentence
if she would come clean with what she
knew. On the evening of June 13, 2012,
FBI agents executed search warrants at the
company's headquarters after the compa-
ny's CFO Karen agreed to wear a wire, in
which she was able to get George to talk
about the fraud.
A number of months thereafter, the Feder-
al Grand Jury issued indictments against
all upper management, including Karen
for committing fraud, for falsifying NHC’s
books and records, and for aiding and
abetting to defraud shareholders. Now,
less than a year later, Karen agreed to a
plea deal in which she would be sentenced
to 18 months in prison and a fine of
$500,000 in return for her cooperating with
the government. Had she not cooperated
with the government she could have re-
ceived 10 years.
As Karen Larson sat outside the court-
room waiting to testify for the government
against George, the government’s first de-
fendant, she began to recollect her
thoughts on her misguided actions and the
ordeals she would now have to go
through. She no longer was a CFO, she no
longer had a job, she lost her CPA license,
she lost her right to practice before the IRS,
she was facing 18 months in prison and
when she get out of prison, she could look
forward to repaying $500,000 in restitu-
tion.
What could she have done to avoid these
problems, especially of the devastating pit-
fall of languishing in prison for 18
months? How she could be so foolish, Ka-
ren muttered to herself in retrospection.
What was she thinking? How could she
possibly believe that the fraud would only
last a quarter? George was a human, not a
god. Karen sighed deeply. She had al-
lowed herself to be deceived. She had
been myopic to think that she could save
her own skin and her colleagues’ jobs
through fraud. Perhaps now, Karen
thought bitterly, she would be able to
clearly discern her misguided actions to
ensure that she never acts in that manner
again. With at least another year of her
life devoted to testifying on behalf of the
government against other defendants with
respect to the fraud committed by NHC
106
and its officers and directors and 18
months of prison time yet to serve, Karen
will certainly have sufficient time to dwell
on all her missteps.
Questions for Discussion
1. What are the laws governing the proper
practice of accounting and finance?
2. What are the protections afforded to a
whistle blower?
3. What are Karen Larson’s fiduciary du-
ties toward the company as vice presi-
dent to the CFO?
4. Aside from participating in the scheme,
what are Karen Larson’s other options
in face of the dilemma?
5. What are the pros and cons of each of
her options?
6. May the IRS impose a tax preparer pen-
alty under IRC §6694?
7. Has the Corporation violated any of the
tax laws where the IRS could impose a
penalty? If so, under what sections of
the Internal Revenue Code?
8. What ethical duties were violated by
Karen under the AICPA Statements on
Standards for Tax Services as well as
those set forth under Circular 230?
References
American Bar Association. (n.d.). Fiduci-
ary duties and potential liabilities of di-
rectors and officers in financially dis-
tressed corporations. Retrieved
February 24, 2007 from
www.abanet.org/buslaw/newsletter/000
3/materials/tip3.pdf
Burch, R. G. (2006). Director oversight and
monitoring: the standard of care and
the standard of liability post-Enron.
Copyright (c) University of Wyoming,
Wyoming Law Review 2006 (6 Wyo. L.
Rev. 481).
Healy Law Offices. (n.d.) A day in the life
of a corporate officer: A general discus-
sion of how officers and directors run
corporations. Retrieved February 25,
2007 from
http://www.healylaw.com/corp.htm#Fi
duciary
Mercer, K. C., & Tomasco, P. B. (Septem-
ber 6, 2001). Fiduciary duties of officers
and directors to creditors. Retrieved
February 24, 2007 from
http://www.brownmccarroll.com/article
s_detail.asp?ArticleID=37
Occupation Safety and Health Administra-
tion, U.S. Department of Labor (2003).
Whistleblower Protection – General. Re-
trieved February 20, 2007 from
http://www.osha.gov/OshDoc/data_Wh
istleblowerFacts/whistleblower_protecti
ons-general.pdf
Sarbanes-Oxley. (November 19, 2002).
Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. Retrieved
February 20, 2007 from
http://www.sarbanes-
ox-
ley.com/section.php?level=1&pub_id=S
arbanes-Oxley
Securities and Exchange Commission.
(June 10, 2004). Securities Act of 1933.
Retrieved February 20, 2007 from
http://www.sec.gov/divisions/corpfin/3
3act/index1933.shtml
Securities and Exchange Commission.
(June 10, 2004). Securities Exchange Act
107
of 1934. Retrieved February 20, 2007
from
http://www.sec.gov/divisions/corpfin/3
4act/index1934.shtml
Authors
N. Ahadiat, Accounting Department, College of Business Administration, California
State Polytechnic University, Pomona, CA 91768, [email protected]
D. Rice, Accounting Department, College of Business Administration, California State
Polytechnic University, Pomona, CA 91768
108
Interest Charge Domestic International Sales Corporations –
The remaining exporter tax benefit
Matthew Yost, & Chris Bjornson
Abstract
This article provides a brief history of the tax breaks given to exporters and explains
how the Interest Charge Domestic International Sales Corporation is the last benefit re-
maining to exporters. A code section by code section analysis of the Interest Charge
Domestic International Sales Corporation tax law is provided. The article then explains
what an Interest Charge Domestic International Sales Corporation is and how to use
one to save on Unites States taxes. The article provides examples of the ways the Inter-
est Charge Domestic International Sales Corporation can save taxes through setting up
a sales transaction or a commission transaction. The article concludes with a brief dis-
cussion of the case law surrounding Interest Charge Domestic International Sales Cor-
poration.
Introduction
Until the 1970, the United States econo-
my was largely a “net exporter”12 as the
U.S. economy was dominant at the time,
and the real competition for foreign im-
ports was not significant. However, be-
ginning in 1971, this position began to
change dramatically as global trade ex-
panded rapidly, along with the U.S. trade
deficit (see Exhibit 1). After increasing to
a peak deficit of $753 Billion, the recent
economic slowdown lowered the deficit
to $381 Billion for 2009, the lowest since
2001, as the U.S. economy simply con-
sumed less. Since that time, the deficit
again grew to $557 Billion in 2011, before
shrinking a bit to 535 billion in 2012. The
most current month (June 2013, see Ex-
hibit 2) showed a negative trade balance
12 U.S. Census Bureau, Foreign Trade Division.
U.S. Trade in Goods and Services – Balance of
Payments Basis. August 12, 2013.
of $34.2 Billion13. It is interesting to note
however, in this data since about the
time that the U.S. began operating in a
net trade deficit, it has been focused in
“goods” while the country continues to
expand a positive trade balance in “ser-
vices.” This truly illustrates the dynam-
ics in the development of the U.S. and
world economies.
Because of this growing trade imbalance,
the United States, since The Revenue Act
of 1971 has attempted to encourage U.S.
companies to export goods (as well as
certain services) via a host of tax benefits.
However, with the growing world econ-
omies and various trade agreements and
treaties that had been entered into
through the years, most of these benefits
have been successfully challenged by
foreign partners and subsequently re-
13 U.S. Census Bureau, Foreign Trade Division.
U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services
Highlights. August 12, 2013.
109
moved from the tax laws. After a series
of challenges and indirectly beneficial
changes to the U.S. tax code, there is one
major benefit that remains to U.S. export-
ers, the Interest Charge Domestic Inter-
national Sales Corporation (“IC-DISC”).
As will be discussed, an IC-DISC is not a
taxable entity14 and was created to allow
an exporter to essentially defer a portion
of income at a low interest charge. How-
ever, more recently with the Jobs and
Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of
2003 allowing dividends to be taxed at
the capital gains rate15 (and subsequent
extensions of this benefit) the effect is es-
sentially an immediate 20% or 15% tax
savings for S-Corp exporters and even
greater benefit for closely held C-Corp
owners, as double taxation is avoided (as
long as the IC-DISC abides by the neces-
sary regulations).
The primary purpose of this article will
be to provide a summary of the current
tax benefit that exists for exporters with
an IC-DISC, and how to take advantage
of them. This cannot be done without
first giving a history of export tax credits,
as well as other tax decisions that have
been made throughout the years. This is
an important step because it truly illus-
trates how the worldwide nature of our
economy, even dating back to the 1970’s,
has had a dramatic effect on how Con-
gress shapes the tax code, and on how
companies must also adapt to these
changes over time. Also, the analysis of
14 I.R.C. §991 15 Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act
of 2003 §302
the IC-DISC, and history of exporting tax
benefits will help pose some analysis that
will be necessary in evaluating taking
advantage of this benefit.
I History of Legislation and Exporter
Benefits
A Establishment of the DISC
The initial Domestic International Sales
Corporation (“DISC”) legislation was ac-
tually established in 1971, right around
the time the U.S. began to see its trade
surplus move to a deficit. With this legis-
lation, Code Section 991 was established,
exempting the DISC from taxes. The
DISC could essentially “defer” taxes until
the money was paid to its shareholders,
or other events occurred. 16 In practice
however, the DISCs would never actual-
ly pay a dividend, but would lend the
money back to the operating company.
The lack of dividend payment would es-
sentially create a permanent deferral of
these taxes17.
The new DISC creation was quickly chal-
lenged by foreign countries as a violation
of the General Agreement on Tariffs and
Trade (GATT) as an impermissible trade
subsidy. The initial ruling came in 1976
against the DISC setup, and then after
various challenges the final ruling came
in 1981 against the DISC treatment. In
reaction to the elimination of the DISC
benefit the United State took two steps in
revising the tax code and laws. 16 Public Law 92-178, 1971. Title V 17 History of Export Tax Benefit Legislation.
Export Assist.
http://www.exportassist.com/tax_history.html.
Retrieved 11/23/2011.
110
B 1984 Legislation Reaction
One of the steps that the U.S. took after
the GATT decision was to establish For-
eign Sales Corporations (“FSC”). These
FSC’s were created to allow companies to
exclude a portion of the income from ex-
porting goods from the United States.
These were designed in a way that the
U.S. expected them to be upheld against
fair trade challenges.
More Importantly for the purposes of
this discussion, Congress did not fully
repeal the DISC regulations, but they did
make two key modifications to the law.
The first is the limit on tax deferral to $10
million of a DISC’s export receipts. Any
amount above this $10 million is deemed
as immediately distributed, and the
shareholders of the DISC are charged
taxes, even if the cash has not changed
hands.18
The second modification was adding an
interest charge due on the amount of de-
ferred income.19 Essentially, this interest
charge due to the treasury at the base T-
Bill rate20 disallows permanent free de-
ferral of the income without distribution.
This interest charge on the deferred tax
liability is what garnered the “IC” addi-
tion to DISC’s formed after 1984. Once
the income from the DISC is distributed,
there is no longer a deferral, as the
shareholders of the DISC will be paying
taxes on that distribution, so no interest
charge is due.
18 I.R.C. §995(b)(1)(E) 19 I.R.C §995(f) 20 I.R.C §995(f)(1)(B)
It was in 1997 and into 1998 that the Eu-
ropean Union brought a challenge to the
FSC set-up, again challenging it in rela-
tion to the evolving GATT regulations.
In 1999, it was concluded that the FSC
was in violation of these agreements; it
was repealed in 2000 with the FSC Re-
peal and Extraterritorial Income Exclu-
sion Act of 2000.21 However, it is im-
portant to note that with this challenge to
FSCs there was no challenge to the IC-
DISC and these regulations were re-
tained.
C Extraterritorial Income Exclu-
sion Act and Important Effects
Outside of repealing the FSC, the Extra-
territorial Income Exclusion Act (“ETI”)
included another way for exporters to
exclude certain “qualifying foreign trade
income.”22 This was almost immediately
challenged by the EU and World Trade
Organization as a further violation of
GATT. In 2002, the trend continued as
the ETI was determined to be an illegal
trade subsidy.
After some time, and even sanctions
from the E.U. due to lack of action, the
ETI was ultimately repealed in 2004 with
The American Jobs Creation Act of 2004.
The act included certain phase out rules
that eventually fully phased out the ETI
in 2006.23
Outside of the ETI being repealed, the
Jobs Creation Act of 2004 established an-
21 The FSC Repeal and Extraterritorial Income Ex-
clusion Act of 2000 §2 22 The FSC Repeal and Extraterritorial Income Ex-
clusion Act of 2000 §3 23
The American Jobs Creation Act of 2004 §101
111
other important piece of tax legislation
for a U.S. based business. The “domestic
production activity” deduction phase in
was established with this law.24 By estab-
lishing the internal revenue code Section
199, U.S. based businesses, including ex-
porters, can essentially provide them-
selves with a 9% deduction (after full
phase in from 2010 on) on qualifying in-
come, and subject to certain restrictions.25
The domestic production activity deduc-
tion was essentially created as a com-
promise as it applies to all U.S. produc-
ers, and does not single out exporters.
Even if an exporter is taking advantage
of the benefits of the IC-DISC, domestic
production activity deduction remains a
valid deduction to be taken.
Again, with this act in 2004 the DISC
rules remained unchanged.
D Other Important Legislation
Outside of the specific export legislation,
there are a couple of additional im-
portant pieces of legislation that require
attention for the historical background.
As mentioned above, the first and most
important of these acts was the Jobs and
Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of
2003 (GTRRA) that reduced the corporate
dividends paid to individuals to the 15%
rate.26 Initially, this provision was set to
expire as of December 31, 2008. Howev-
er, in 2005, Congress passed the Tax In-
crease Prevention and Reconciliation act
of 2005. With this act, the beneficial
24
The American Jobs Creation Act of 2004 §102 25
I.R.C 199 26
Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of
2003 §302
treatment of dividends to individuals
was extended until December 31, 2010.27
More recently, the Tax Relief, Unem-
ployment Insurance Reauthorization,
and Job Creation Act of 2010 was passed
and further extended this benefit until
December 31, 2012.28 Finally, the Ameri-
can Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 extended
the treatment of Dividends.29 This act al-
so established a 20% tax rate for Capital
gains and dividends for tax payers with
incomes above $400,000 for individuals,
$425,000 for Head of Household, and
$450,000 for Married Filing Jointly.30
As has been noted before, the reduction
in tax rate of dividends in the GTRRA
and the subsequent extensions are the
primary drivers to the IC DISC benefit.
The American Taxpayer Relief Act of
2012 makes this reduction permanent.
As Congress looks toward a “Grand Bar-
gain” to lower tax rates and eliminate
many tax breaks it is possible that the tax
rate on dividends will go up. Should
congress increase the tax rate on divi-
dends, the IC DISC will continue to pro-
vide some deferral benefits; however, the
most significant benefits that the IC-DISC
provides would be eliminated.
II IC-DISC Regulations
The modern day IC-DISC is governed by
Internal Revenue Code §§ 991 – 997. The
following sections will delineate the legal
aspects of an IC-DISC, the qualifications, 27
Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation act of
2005 §102 28
Tax Relief, Unemployment Insurance Reauthoriza-
tion, and Job Creation Act of 2010 §102 29
American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 30
American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012
112
etc. before getting to some examples of
the tangible benefit that IC-DISCs can
create. In these sections, please refer to
the subheading as references. Versus cit-
ing each example all of the following are
taken from the tax code sections and ap-
plicable regulations unless otherwise
noted. Also, from this point on, as the
DISC to IC-DISC evolution has been ex-
plained, the terms DISC and IC-DISC
will be used interchangeably (the tax
code still refers to the entities as a DISC).
A IRC § 991
Code Section 991 is only one sentence,
but it is a relatively powerful one. “For
the purpose of the Taxes imposed by this
subtitle upon a DISC (as defined in sec-
tion 992(a)), a DISC shall not be subject to
the taxes imposed by this subtitle.” As
this regulation is included in the “Subti-
tle A – Income Taxes” it is essentially a
long way of saying that qualifying DISC
entities are not subject to income taxes at
the entity level.
B IC-DISC Ownership
Before delving further into the regula-
tions, there is a quick note about owner-
ship of an IC-DISC. The most advanta-
geous set-up for an IC-DISC is to have
the individual shareholders of the prima-
ry producing entity also personally own
the IC-DISC, versus the actual entity
owning the DISC. This is important to
take full advantage of the favorable divi-
dend rate, and the distribution strategy
that will be discussed later. It is assumed
through the following discussions that
the ownership of the exporter and DISC
are related in this manner.
C IRC § 992
Code Section 992 goes on to further de-
fine what qualifies a company as a DISC.
There are four primary qualifications that
a DISC must meet to qualify under these
regulations. These are:
1) 95% Qualified Gross Receipts Test -
meaning that 95% or more of the gross
receipts must be qualified export re-
ceipts (to be defined in §993);
2) 95% Qualified Gross Assets Test –
meaning that 95% of the total corpora-
tion’s assets must be qualified export
assets (to be defined in §993);
3) It must have only one class of stock
with a minimum total par value of
$2,500;
4) The corporation must make an elec-
tion to be treated as a DISC.
The IC-DISC must elect to be treated as
such by filing form 4876A 90 days before
the beginning of the tax year, and is able
to revoke the status during the first 90
days of the tax year. This section also
spells out the ways for a corporation to
get back into compliance should the
DISC fail to meet the asset or receipt
tests. This requires distribution of the
funds necessary to gain compliance, as
well as defining a “reasonable cause” for
non compliance.
A final point to be made on §992 is the
list of “ineligible corporations.” Of the 7
ineligible corporations, the primary no-
table is the last which is “an S corpora-
tion.” The IC-DISC itself must be orga-
nized as a C-Corporation. Due to the
requirement to distribute profits to make
113
the DISC a taxable entity, this is an im-
portant elimination. The primary pro-
ducing and export entity may be orga-
nized as any type of entity, and the
owner of the DISC may be any type of
organization or an individual.
D IRC §993
Code Section 993 goes into further depth
on defining what qualified export re-
ceipts and export assets are for the pur-
pose of the 95% tests.
There are 8 different types of qualified
export receipts. These range significantly
from simple gross sales from sale, ex-
change, or disposition of export property,
receipts for services on qualified sales,
specified qualifying interest and divi-
dends, engineering and architectural ser-
vices outside of the U.S., and an im-
portant allowance for the performance of
managerial services. This essentially al-
lows the DISC to not complete significant
actions, but collect a commission (as cal-
culated in the next section). This section
also notes the excluded receipts. These
definitions are explained and defined in
Regulation §1.993, which provides fur-
ther clarity such as required time frames
that payments must be made (such as
commission payments within 60 days of
the tax year close).
As far as the qualified export assets, there
are 9 varying qualifications. The most
broad and important of these is the first,
which includes “export property” that is
defined as follows:
1) Manufactured, produced, grown, or
extracted in the U.S. by a person other
than the DISC;
2) Held by or to a DISC for primary con-
sumption or disposition outside of the
U.S.;
3) Not more than 50% attributable to ar-
ticles imported into the U.S.
In addition to this, there are other assets
which one would expect to be included
such as, accounts receivable, reasonable
working capital requirements, etc. Regu-
lation §1.993 again provides further de-
lineation. One such delineation, § 1.993-
2(d)(2) allows for the commissions re-
ceived to be included as a qualifying as-
set. This section also notes excluded as-
sets, which interestingly enough also can
include property that the President de-
termines is in “short supply.”
Another importation delineation in
§993(d) is the determination of Produc-
er’s Loans. In effect, this section allows
for the DISC to loan its accumulated (un-
distributed) income back to the primary
operating company / exporter, while still
deferring the income from taxes, as it has
yet to be distributed. There are some
general restrictions or limitations that are
calculated within this subsection. These
loans do also qualify as an export asset
and the interest income is a qualified ex-
port receipt, although the interest is im-
mediately “deemed distributed,” as will
be discussed later. These producers’
loans are more important if the income of
the DISC is not distributed and deferred,
however, the current environment may
114
not make this the most advantageous
treatment of the DISC.
E IRC §994
Code Section is another relatively short
section on a standalone basis, although
the supportive regulations in §1.994-1 are
significantly detailed. In general, §994
spells out the way that a DISC can record
and calculate its income. The taxable in-
come of will be based on a price (regard-
less of actual prices charged) to result in
income which does not exceed the great-
est of:
Determination #1:
4% of the qualified export receipts on
the sale of such property by the DISC,
plus 10% of the qualifying export
promotion expenses to the DISC, or;
Determination #2:
50% of the combined taxable income
of the DISC and the person which is
attributable to the qualified export re-
ceipts as a result of the sale by the
DISC, plus 10% of the qualifying ex-
port promotional expenses to the
DISC, or;
Determination #3:
Taxable income based on the sales
price actually charged (but subject to
the rules provided in §482).
Additionally, §994 allows for regulations
to be determined to further delineate the-
se applications in the case of commis-
sions and expenses that are consistent
with the above, and these are spelled out
in Regulation §1.994-1. In the regulation,
it notes the DISC does not have to per-
form substantial economic function to
apply the sections 1&2 above. In the ex-
amples that follow, a commission pay-
ment is made using the same determina-
tion as above, but no actual sale is made
by the DISC as implied in the code. Also,
§994 further defines the export promo-
tion expenses noted above.
Another important distinction of applica-
tion of these rules is the “no loss” rule in
the regulations under §1.994-1(e), which
limits the DISC benefit. In its most sim-
ple application, in the use of a DISC, the
commission or transfer price (in the case
of an actual sale to the DISC) may not
create a combined loss on the product
when the direct costs to the producer and
DISC are considered together. Along
this line, it should be noted that
§267(f)(3)(A) does specifically eliminate a
DISC from the definition of a “controlled
group” allowing the deduction of the ex-
penses between related parties in the
DISC transaction, which otherwise
would be essentially a stepped transac-
tion to specifically avoid taxes.
The code section 482 noted above (De-
termination #3), is prevalent in the DISC
rules, as this section along with its regu-
lations, sets forth the determination of
arms length prices, etc. It also allows the
I.R.S. to re-distribute income and other
items among related parties if it deter-
mines transactions were made simply to
evade taxes. In the case of Determination
#3, the sales price and IC-DISC income
calculation may be subject to further au-
dit scrutiny if they allow for a greater
115
deduction than the first 2 prescribed
methods.
F IRC §995
This section is the one that ultimately
discusses the taxation of the DISC in-
come and its distribution to shareholders.
For practical reasons, the current tax en-
vironment incents the IC DISC to dis-
tribute its income immediately to share-
holders. However, if a distribution is not
paid, there are some factors that limit the
amount of deferral that the DISC can cre-
ate. The limitations force income to be
“Deemed Distributions” even if no divi-
dend is paid. These include various
items, among other things, interest from
producer’s loans and any taxable income
in excess of $10,000,000, essentially elim-
inating any deferral benefit over the $10
million cap and focusing on “smaller”
exporting enterprises. The section also
discusses immediately deemed distribu-
tions of illegal or boycotted country in-
come. Additionally, if the shareholder is
a C-Corp, 1/17 of the income is deemed
distributed immediately. Also, included
in this section are rules on how the de-
ferred income is to be treated if the DISC
is no longer treated as a DISC or revokes
its status.
Section f of 995 also provides the all im-
portant “Interest Charge” that garners
the IC-DISC its name. Essentially, the
regulation states that for any tax year, the
shareholder of a DISC pays the amount
of its DISC related deferred tax liability
(times) the base period T-Bill rate (the 1
year constant maturity Treasury yields -
currently 0.11%).31 For 2012, this was
0.16%32
G IRC §996
Section 996 is used to illustrate the
ordering of distribution treatment, losses,
and basis.
H IRC §997
Section 997 is again a short section,
which has special meaning for C-
corporations. In the case of a C-
corporation that owns a DISC (versus an
individual or a pass-through entity), the
distributions are treated the same as if
the distribution were made to an indi-
vidual, and have that same basis in the
hands of the recipient corporation. This
regulation essentially eliminates the
“dividends received deduction” as the
income at a DISC is already tax free and
not subject to the double taxation issue.
An additional issue with corporations
and the DISC benefit is addressed else-
where in the code under §1504(b)(7)
which disallows the inclusion of a DISC
in a consolidated return, again eliminat-
ing the possibility of total tax avoidance
on the DISC income.
I Summary
As seen even in this brief summary,
though the DISC is simple in theory,
there are hundreds of pages of regula-
tions that support the DISC, its proper
usage, and limitations. Also, hopefully
the benefit of the DISC is evident,
providing the possibility for significant
31
http://www.bankrate.com/rates/interest-
rates/treasury.aspx retrieved August 12, 2013 32
Revenue Ruling 2012-22
116
income deferral from taxes at a low inter-
est rate. Also, with the current dividend
rate environment, the deferral is a sec-
ondary benefit compared to the savings
from immediate distribution. Following
are brief examples of how to use the IC-
DISC and calculate its current benefits.
III Examples of IC-DISC Application
As mentioned earlier, the rules on
how an IC-DISC is applied and its limita-
tions are numerous, but the brief over-
simplified examples below will give a
basic understanding on how a sales
transaction or a commission transaction
would work. There are various other
items, such as allowing the DISC to have
supporting promotional expenses that
could increase the deferral; however
there is significant law built around this
that would add significant detail and
necessary understanding to properly ap-
ply.
A Sales Transaction
Company X – Domestic Entity that pro-
duces an export product
Company Y – IC-DISC entity owned by
the shareholders of Company X
In this example Company X would sell a
product to Y at a determined fair price of
$800; assume X’s input costs are $700.
Then Company Y would perform further
substantive actions at a cost of $200 and
then ultimately sell the good for export at
the cost of $1,000.
To compute the maximum profit that the
DISC entity may earn you must first
compute the combined income, as the
profit at the DISC may not exceed this
amount:
Y Sales Price $1,000
-X Cost $700
-Y Costs $200
Combined Income $100
The profit at the DISC will be the highest
of the 3 determinations, assuming the
amount would not create a combined
loss. Here are those calculations:
50% of the combined taxable income:
50% * $100
DISC Income $50
4% of the gross receipts method:
4%*$1,000
DISC Income $40
Section 482 Method:
Y Sales Price $1,000
-Cost of Goods Sold (Price Paid) $800
-Additional Expenses (Y) $200
Y Profit $0
Since the 50% method does not exceed
the combined income, the transfer price
that is recorded by X may be adjusted as
long as it is not below $750, computed as
follows:
Y Sales Price $1,000
-Y Expenses $200
-Y Profit $50
Total Subtractions $250
Transfer Price $750
The effect of this adjustment, allows the
DISC to record $50 of the income, while
reducing the producing entity’s income
117
by $50. This essentially would create a
deferral of that $50, as that income would
be recorded at the DISC, versus holding
all of the costs at Company X and not uti-
lizing the DISC. This is illustrated here:
Company X Sales (Transfer) Price $750
-Company X Expense $700
Total Company A Taxable Income $50
(versus initial $100)
Company Y Sales Price $1,000
-Transfer Price from X $750
-Additional Costs at Y $200
Total Y Deferred DISC Income $50
B Commission Transaction
Company A – Domestic Entity that pro-
duces an export product
Company B – IC-DISC entity owned by
the shareholders of Company A
In this example, Company A produces a
good then sells the product at a qualify-
ing export price of $1,000. Assume the di-
rect cost (COGS and direct selling ex-
penses) for A to produce these goods are
$900. Company B is set up as an IC-DISC
performing no substantive action other
than collecting the commission related to
the export sale.
Again, as before you must begin with the
calculation of total income:
Company A Sales Price $1,000
-Company A Expense $900
Total Income $100
Also, you must still determine the in-
come allowable to the DISC:
50% of the combined taxable income:
50% * $100
DISC Income $50
4% of the gross receipts method:
4%*$1,000
Disc Income $40
Section 482 Method:
The section 482 Method would not apply
here for a commission, as the 482 method
only applies when the related supplier
(Company A) had sold the property to
the DISC and the DISC then subsequent-
ly sold the property to a third party to
determine a fair price.33
Since the 50% method again produces the
larger of the two incomes and does not
create a combined loss, it may be deduct-
ed as a commission at Company A and
produce income of the same amount for
the DISC, Company B, as follows:
Company A Sales Price $1,000
-Company A Expense $900
-IC DISC Commission $50
Total Company A Taxable Income $50
Company B DISC Commission $50
The result of this transaction is a valid
deduction of $50 at the Company A level,
reducing the immediate taxable income,
and tax deferred income of $50 at the IC-
DISC level.
C Tax Savings Calculations
The above calculations both show a tax
deferral of $50 for the exporter, and $50
of income for the IC-DISC. As noted be-
33
Federal Tax Regulation §1.994-1(d)(2)
118
fore, the IC-DISC has the option to retain
these funds at an interest charge to the
treasury. In this case, assuming a general
35% rate, the savings would have an im-
mediate effect of $17.50 of tax savings for
the current year ($50 * 35%) with the time
value of money theoretically creating the
remaining benefit and offsetting the in-
terest charge. The possible changes in fu-
ture income rates do provide some un-
certainty.
However, as presented earlier, with the
evolution of the dividend laws, there can
be a much greater benefit than just defer-
ral. Recent legislation has made the cal-
culation of the benefit more complicated.
Below is a calculation that essentially
shows that versus deferring taxes, there
is an immediate benefit that can be gar-
nered by paying out the dividend. This
calculation assumes a single taxpayer
with AGI no higher than $200,000, or a
married couple with AGI no more than
$250,000.
Corporate Tax Savings (35%*$50)
$17.50
Dividend Tax Paid by Owner (15%*$50)
$7.50 (assuming all $50 of DISC
income is distributed)
Total Immediate Benefit
$10 (20% of original $50)
As noted, this benefit is immediate and
eliminates uncertainty of future tax rates,
etc. that deferral may be exposed to.
For single taxpayers earning in excess of
$200,000, married couples earning more
than $250,000 net investment income is
subject to an additional 3.8% tax. Single
taxpayers with AGI in excess of $400,000,
married couples filing jointly AGI in ex-
cess of $450,000.the capital gains rate is
now 20%. For the rest of this paper all
calculations will assume taxpayers with
AGI of $200,000 or less, but for taxpayers
with higher AGIs the rates are higher
and the benefits are lower.
D C-Corp vs. S-Corp
The above example essentially calculates
the benefit as if the exporting entity was
a privately held S-Corp and the DISC has
related individual ownership (corpora-
tion and dividend are recorded on the
same return). The effect of a DISC in this
case is an immediate 20% tax gain. As
both the dividend income and any re-
maining entity income would flow
through to a personal return, the IC-
DISC would not lower AGI, but would
effectively reduce the tax rate.
It should be noted that in the case of a C-
Corp, the effect is similar, however be-
cause of the double taxation, the savings
is essentially 30%. In theory, the profit of
$50 would be taxed first at the corporate
rate (assume 35%), then a distribution of
the remaining profits would again be
taxed at 15%. This creates an effective
tax rate of 44.75%. Compare this to the
single taxation of 15% on the DISC de-
duction; there is a 29.75% savings in this
example.34
If your primary exporting entity was
formed as a C-Corp, there is theoretically
a more significant tax benefit, there are 34
Misey, Robert R. Jr. Tax-Advantaged Planning for
Closely Held Exporters-Return of the IC-DISC. Taxes- The Tax Magainze. July, 2006
119
obviously many other factors should
play into the choice of business entity.
E Real World Effects
Theoretically, the DISC provides an easy
way for nearly immediate tax savings.
As the benefit is dependent on payment
of a dividend, the cash flow concerns are
real. In the examples above, approxi-
mately half of the producing company’s
net income was expensed in the IC-DISC
(and would ultimately have to be dis-
tributed). For strong companies, this
may be possible; however, when this
strategy is put into practice, it does raise
concerns such as maintaining creditor
covenants, as well as retaining enough
cash in the company to sustain opera-
tions and growth.
As noted the regulations do provide for
such items as “Producer’s Loans” which
allow the DISC to lend the deferred
funds back to the primary entity, while
retaining the tax deferral. Much of the
benefit results from the lower dividend
rates. While congress recently made the
lower dividend rates permanent there is
consistent talk about rewriting the IRC, a
so called “Grand Bargain.’ It is possible
that the dividends rate will be part of the
bargain. If dividends are once again
taxed at ordinary tax rates the benefit of
immediate distribution to receive lower
dividend tax rates will no longer apply.
IV Case Law
A search of IC-DISC related case law, did
not show any real challenge to the benefit
that can be garnered from the DISC regu-
lations. However, it did provide for
some very important warnings for com-
panies looking to take advantage of the
DISC.
For instance, all of the discussion that has
preceded this is an analysis of Federal tax
laws and regulations. Each state may or
may not allow the DISC deduction in the
calculation of that jurisdiction’s taxable
income. There were many cases of indi-
vidual states challenging company’s re-
turns for a deficiency after taking a de-
duction for the DISC. This was evident
in a Kentucky case of Armco, Inc. Here,
Armco argued that since Federal Law en-
couraged trade through the DISC, the
state should also be bound by this as they
have an interest in encouraging trade this
as well. Based on this argument, they
used the gross income determinations of
the Federal Tax Code for apportionment,
etc. As Kentucky has not adopted the
Federal IC-DISC regulations, Armco was
required to pay taxes on the combined
income, and was not allowed the DISC
deduction.35
The second primary reason for cases
brought by the commission against IC-
DISCs are due to qualifying circumstanc-
es, such as lack of adherence to the vari-
ous detailed regulations. Again, this
simply shows the importance of under-
standing what the rules and regulations
are, and adhering to the necessary re-
quirements. An example of this is the
case of Boeing, which made it all the way
to the United States Supreme Court, as
35Armco Inc. v. Revenue Cabinet, Commonwealth of Kentucky. Supreme Court of Kentucky, No. 87-SC- 331-DG, 748 S.W. 2d 372, March 3, 1988.
120
they affirmed the misallocation of R&D
funds in the calculation of combined tax-
able income, increasing the deferral.36
Boeing paid the tax initially and then
challenged it, but was denied the refund
request.
Finally, most of the case law revolved
around pre-1984 law, as well as FSC’s,
which are no longer available. Overall,
the case law shows the need to properly
apply the complex regulations.
V Conclusion
The I.R.S. reported in 2008 there were
1,917 IC-DISC returns filed, up steadily
from a low of 425 filed in 2004.37 This is
not a surprising rise based on the 2003
dividend benefit and subsequent exten-
sion in 2005. A more recent business
week article reported about 6,000 busi-
nesses taking advantage of the benefit.38
Even considering these statistics, it ap-
pears as if it is a tremendously under
used benefit as according to the Interna-
tional Trade Administration, there are
over 275,000 identified U.S. exporters.39
36 The Boeing Company and Consolidated Subsid-
iaries, Petitioners v. United States. U.S. Supreme
Court; 01-1209, 01-1382, 123 SCt 1099, March 4,
2003, 537 US 437, 123 SCt 1099. 37 Statistics of Income Bulletin, Summer 2011. In-
terest-Charge Domestic International Sales Cor-
porations, 2008. 38 Zerbe, Dean and Young, Jim. Save the IC-DISC
Export Tax Break. Business Week.
http://www.businessweek.com/smallbiz/content/j
ul2010/sb20100726_149647.htm. Retrieved No-
vember, 27 2011. 39 Smaller Companies Have Vast Untapped Ex-
port Potential. http://trade.gov/cs/factsheet.asp.
Retrieved December 8, 2011.
As noted in the introduction, the primary
purpose of this paper was to show how
the IC-DISC came about, and how much
of a significant advantage can be gar-
nered from it. Based on the analysis, it
seemingly provides an immediate tax
advantage on a specified amount of in-
come of 20%+. However, this benefit
comes with two major caveats. First,
there is a significant amount of detailed
law, and though at its heart it is a simple
deduction, attention to detail is needed.
This includes jurisdictional awareness, so
you can treat the DISC properly at all
levels. Secondly, exporter benefits are
extremely vulnerable to legislation, here
and abroad. It is important to be aware
of the current laws in relation to the
DISC, the dividend rate, and internation-
al challenges to the benefit.
There is clearly a risk of this benefit go-
ing away, as the continual extension of
the favorable rate has continued to be
challenged before ultimate extension.
Also, if any special dispensation is made
for DISC’s when or if the dividend law is
reversed there is risk of international
challenge as that would separate the
DISC out again and make it a special
case, similar to the previous export laws.
121
Exhibit 1
U.S. Trade in Goods and Services - Balance of Payments (BOP) Basis Value in millions of dollars
1960 through 2012
Balance Exports Imports
Period Total Goods
BOP Services Total
Goods
BOP Services Total
Goods
BOP Services
1960 3,508 4,892 -1,384 25,940 19,650 6,290 22,432 14,758 7,674
1961 4,195 5,571 -1,376 26,403 20,108 6,295 22,208 14,537 7,671
1962 3,370 4,521 -1,151 27,722 20,781 6,941 24,352 16,260 8,092
1963 4,210 5,224 -1,014 29,620 22,272 7,348 25,410 17,048 8,362
1964 6,022 6,801 -779 33,341 25,501 7,840 27,319 18,700 8,619
1965 4,664 4,951 -287 35,285 26,461 8,824 30,621 21,510 9,111
1966 2,939 3,817 -878 38,926 29,310 9,616 35,987 25,493 10,494
1967 2,604 3,800 -1,196 41,333 30,666 10,667 38,729 26,866 11,863
1968 250 635 -385 45,543 33,626 11,917 45,293 32,991 12,302
1969 91 607 -516 49,220 36,414 12,806 49,129 35,807 13,322
1970 2,254 2,603 -349 56,640 42,469 14,171 54,386 39,866 14,520
1971 -1,302 -2,260 958 59,677 43,319 16,358 60,979 45,579 15,400
1972 -5,443 -6,416 973 67,222 49,381 17,841 72,665 55,797 16,868
1973 1,900 911 989 91,242 71,410 19,832 89,342 70,499 18,843
1974 -4,293 -5,505 1,212 120,897 98,306 22,591 125,190 103,811 21,379
1975 12,404 8,903 3,501 132,585 107,088 25,497 120,181 98,185 21,996
1976 -6,082 -9,483 3,401 142,716 114,745 27,971 148,798 124,228 24,570
1977 -27,246 -31,091 3,845 152,301 120,816 31,485 179,547 151,907 27,640
1978 -29,763 -33,927 4,164 178,428 142,075 36,353 208,191 176,002 32,189
1979 -24,565 -27,568 3,003 224,131 184,439 39,692 248,696 212,007 36,689
1980 -19,407 -25,500 6,093 271,834 224,250 47,584 291,241 249,750 41,491
1981 -16,172 -28,023 11,851 294,398 237,044 57,354 310,570 265,067 45,503
1982 -24,156 -36,485 12,329 275,236 211,157 64,079 299,391 247,642 51,749
1983 -57,767 -67,102 9,335 266,106 201,799 64,307 323,874 268,901 54,973
1984 -109,072 -112,492 3,420 291,094 219,926 71,168 400,166 332,418 67,748
1985 -121,880 -122,173 294 289,070 215,915 73,155 410,950 338,088 72,862
1986 -138,538 -145,081 6,543 310,033 223,344 86,689 448,572 368,425 80,147
1987 -151,684 -159,557 7,874 348,869 250,208 98,661 500,552 409,765 90,787
1988 -114,566 -126,959 12,393 431,149 320,230 110,919 545,715 447,189 98,526
1989 -93,141 -117,749 24,607 487,003 359,916 127,087 580,144 477,665 102,479
1990 -80,864 -111,037 30,173 535,233 387,401 147,832 616,097 498,438 117,659
1991 -31,135 -76,937 45,802 578,344 414,083 164,261 609,479 491,020 118,459
1992 -39,212 -96,897 57,685 616,882 439,631 177,251 656,094 536,528 119,566
1993 -70,311 -132,451 62,141 642,863 456,943 185,920 713,174 589,394 123,780
1994 -98,493 -165,831 67,338 703,254 502,859 200,395 801,747 668,690 133,057
1995 -96,384 -174,170 77,786 794,387 575,204 219,183 890,771 749,374 141,397
1996 -104,065 -191,000 86,935 851,602 612,113 239,489 955,667 803,113 152,554
1997 -108,273 -198,428 90,155 934,453 678,366 256,087 1,042,726 876,794 165,932
1998 -166,140 -248,221 82,081 933,174 670,416 262,758 1,099,314 918,637 180,677
1999 -263,755 -337,374 73,618 967,008 698,218 268,790 1,230,764 1,035,592 195,172
2000 -377,337 -446,942 69,605 1,072,782 784,781 288,002 1,450,119 1,231,722 218,397
2001 -362,339 -422,512 60,173 1,007,725 731,189 276,537 1,370,065 1,153,701 216,364
2002 -418,165 -475,842 57,678 980,879 697,439 283,440 1,399,044 1,173,281 225,762
2003 -490,545 -542,273 51,728 1,023,937 729,816 294,121 1,514,482 1,272,089 242,393
2004 -604,897 -666,364 61,466 1,163,724 821,986 341,739 1,768,622 1,488,349 280,272
2005 -707,914 -784,133 76,219 1,288,257 911,686 376,571 1,996,171 1,695,820 300,352
2006 -752,399 -838,788 86,389 1,460,792 1,039,406 421,386 2,213,191 1,878,194 334,998
2007 -699,065 -822,743 123,677 1,652,859 1,163,605 489,255 2,351,925 1,986,347 365,577
2008 -702,302 -833,957 131,655 1,840,332 1,307,329 533,003 2,542,634 2,141,287 401,348
2009 -383,657 -510,550 126,893 1,578,187 1,069,475 508,712 1,961,844 1,580,025 381,819
2010 -499,379 -650,156 150,777 1,844,468 1,288,795 555,674 2,343,847 1,938,950 404,897
2011 -556,838 -744,139 187,301 2,112,825 1,495,853 616,973 2,669,663 2,239,991 429,672
2012 -534,656 -741,475 206,819 2,210,585 1,561,239 649,346 2,745,240 2,302,714 442,527
U.S. Census Bureau, Foreign Trade Division.
NOTE: (1) Data presented on a Balance of Payment (BOP) basis. Information on data sources and methodology
are available at www.census.gov/foreign-trade/www/press.html.
June 4, 2013
122
Exhibit 1 contd..
Authors
Matthew Yost, Fifth Third Bank, [email protected]
Chris Bjornson, Indiana University Southeast, [email protected]
123
Generating Financial Statements using QuickBooks: A Group Project in
Financial Accounting
Christopher Aquino, & Lei Han
Abstract
This case study introduces a QuickBooks project, which requires students in groups to
use the software of QuickBooks to prepare journal entries and adjusting entries and to
generate financial statements for a virtual company based on a list of hypothetical
transactions. After finishing the bookkeeping task, each team is required to audit the fi-
nancial records for another team. The project in this case study was designed for an in-
troductory-level financial accounting class, which could be easily modified to accom-
modate the needs of higher level financial accounting classes such as intermediate,
advanced, or government and not-for-profit accounting. The project helps students ob-
tain real-world hands-on experience in journalizing transactions and reinforces the con-
cepts of the accounting cycle and auditing functions by way of an active and collabora-
tive learning experience.
Key words: QuickBooks, journal entries, financial accounting
Overview
Welcome to your group project assign-
ment for this semester. Below is a brief
description of the requirements and specif-
ic instructions on how to go about accom-
plishing them. However, before you begin
you should know the importance of the
accounting function to society and how
this project fits in with it.
Accounting is much more than just journal
entries, financial statements, and a set of
complicated rules. It is a necessary part of
any well-functioning capital investment
system. Without reliable and relevant fi-
nancial information, investment dollars
would not efficiently make their way to
investment opportunities and the world
would be a much less productive place.
Unemployment would likely be higher,
products would be less dependable and
more expensive, and your options as a
consumer would be fewer. In general, the
standard of living across the planet would
be lower. These are important points to
keep in mind as you embark on this very
important active-learning project on the
development of financial statements from
corporate transactions.
Hopefully, the lessons you have learned in
class about how to properly record journal
entries and build and interpret financial
statements will help you see how im-
portant electronic accounting information
systems (AIS) such as QuickBooks are to
the business world. And by the way,
QuickBooks is definitely the “Big Dog” in
the industry with more than an 85% retail
market share in small business accounting
software40. This means you are likely to
see and/or use this software at some time
40
See description at
http://www.wikinvest.com/stock/Intuit_(INTU)
124
during your career. In other words, this
assignment has real-world implications.
Anyway, that’s enough ranting about the
value of accounting. Below are the speci-
fications for this assignment. Hope you
enjoy it!
You will be assigned (or will choose your
own teammates) to a group of four (or
fewer) students and will be responsible for
the:
� recording of a set of transactions (see
Appendix 1 for a sample of transaction
list) for your company using the Quick-
Books software,
� review of transactions and financial
statement of another group’s work (the
“audit”)
� presentation of your financial state-
ments and the findings of your “audit”,
and
� preparation of peer-evaluation and self-
evaluation forms (see Appendix 2).
Group Assignment
Assignment of group members will be
students-driven unless team cannot be ad-
equately formed by students alone and
will take place the first week after the 1st
exam in the class. At this time you should
have a good understanding of the account-
ing cycle and how financial statements are
generated from journal entries and adjust-
ing journal entries.
Each group will have up to 4 members. It
is highly recommended you choose at
least one computer savvy person and at
least one accounting expert to be a part of
your team. Just like when starting a busi-
ness, you should choose your employees
according to their skill set. Groups will
name their own companies. At the end of
week 1 (see the proposed schedule below),
each group will inform the instructor of
the group members, a group leader who
will be the primary contact with the in-
structor, and the company name. Notifica-
tion to the instructor will be made by way
of email.
Description of Tasks
Part (a)—Bookkeeping (60 points)
Each group will be provided with their
company’s general information and a de-
scription of transactions taking place dur-
ing the first month of operation. Specifi-
cally, this portion of the assignment will
include:
(1) Preparing journal entries based on
transaction information you will be given;
(2) Making all necessary adjusting journal
entries prior to reporting;
(3) Generating an adjusted trial balance
and complete set of financial statements
(including a month-end balance sheet, in-
come statement, statement of retained
earnings and statement of cash flows);
(4) Preserving the financial records and
delivering them to the transaction review
team in a timely manner;
(5) Delivering their company file to the in-
structor for documentation and grading
purposes in a timely manner.
Part (b)—Audit (20 points)
Three weeks before the end of the semes-
ter, your group will receive the financial
records of another group in the class
(hereafter referred to as “client”). These
records are to be reviewed and by your
team and all errors need to be documented
125
and submitted to the instructor. Your
grade in this area will be negatively im-
pacted if your group either misses an error
or suggests a fix that is not necessary. The
instructor will ensure there are no inter-
locking groups.
The Transaction review group is responsi-
ble for:
(1) Reviewing the transactions of the “cli-
ent”;
(2) Issuing and presenting an opinion (de-
scribing the findings of your review work)
immediately after the presentation of the
financial position of the “client” group
(see Part (c) below).
Part (c)—Presentation (10 points)
During the final week of class, each team
will present the following to the class:
(1) the financial statements for their com-
pany’s first month of operations to the
class at the end of the semester.
(2) an evaluation of the assignment (e.g.,
what we learned/didn’t learn, it was
fun/stunk, accounting is from heaven/hell,
QuickBooks is from heaven/hell, team pro-
jects are from heaven/hell, etc.) Be origi-
nal, entertaining, and honest. This is feed-
back meaning any feelings you have (other
than “no” feelings) are valid and wel-
comed.
Part (d)—Evaluations (10 points)
Each group member will be required to
complete confidential peer evaluations of
themselves and all other members of their
group upon completion of the game. It is
possible the total points earned by a group
may be divided other than equally if the
peer evaluations indicate the existence of
“free riders.” The best way to avoid this is
to participate to the fullest extent in your
team’s work and to fully support your
group members in their effort to fulfill the
requirements of the assignment.
References
Palm, C, and J. Bisman. 2010. Benchmark-
ing introductory accounting curricula:
Experience from Australia. Accounting
Education: an international journal 19 (1-
2): 179-201.
Pincus, K.V. 1997. Is teaching debits and
credits essential in elementary account-
ing? Issues in Accounting Education 12
(2): 575-579.
The Pathways Commission. 2012. Charting
a National Strategy for the Next Generation
of Accountants. Available at:
http://commons.aaahq.org/files/0b14318
188/Pathways_Commission_Final_Repo
rt_Complete.pdf
126
127
Appendix 1
Sample Transaction List
No. Date Transaction Description
1 Sep. 1 Company issues common stock 25,000 shares at $10 per share with par value of
$1 per share.
2 Sep. 1 Takes a six-month short-term loan $50,000 from the bank with the interest rate
6%, with the principal and interest paid at maturity
3 Sep. 1
Purchases a property as office space at $115,000, in which $20,000 is the cost for
the land and the remaining is the cost for the building. The estimated useful life
of the building is 30 years and the residual value is $5,000
4 Sep. 1 Rents a warehouse and prepays the first month's rent $1,000 and security deposit
$2,000
5 Sep. 1
Purchases a delivery truck for $33,000 by cash, with 5 years of estimated useful
life and $3,000 residual value. The truck is estimated to be driven for 100,000
miles.
6 Sep. 2 Issues 500 preferred stocks of par value $3 for $15 each; The annual dividend is
5%.
7 Sep. 2 Purchases supplies by cash for $2,000
8 Sep. 2 Invests $10,000 in short-term investment
9 Sep. 2 Pays for the insurance premium $3,000 for six months, starting from the current
month
10 Sep. 3 Receives cash advance $5,000 from customer Alpha for an order to be filled later
11 Sep. 3 Purchase 1: 2,000 units @ $50 from supplier A (by cash)
12 Sep. 8 Purchase 2: 500 units @ $55 from supplier B (50% paid immediately and the re-
maining is made on account)
13 Sep. 12 Sells 1,000 units priced @ $75 (sold to customer Alpha, the remaining amount is
paid in full by cash immediately)
14 Sep. 15 Purchase 3: 800 units @ $60 from supplier A (made on account)
15 Sep. 16 Lends $6,000 to a client by receiving a promissory note issued by the client with
interest rate of 6% and maturity of six months.
16 Sep. 20 Sells 1,200 units priced @ $78 (on account) to customer Beta
17 Sep. 22 Sells 500 units priced @ 80 (by cash) to customer Gamma
18 Sep. 25 5 units from the sale on Sep. 22 are returned and customer Gamma gets full re-
fund immediately
19 Sep. 29 Repurchases 100 shares at $16 each for the purpose of issuing bonus to employ-
ees at the end of the year
20 Sep. 30 Announces cash dividends to common stocks, with $0.10 per share (Ignore the
dividends to preferred stocks), to be paid at the beginning of next year
21 Sep. 30 Receives a bill from the bank for the month service charge $100
22 Sep. 30 Selling expense accrued in the month is $2,000 and paid in full
23 Sep. 30 Administrative expense for the month is $1,500 and paid in full
24 Sep. 30 Pays the utility bill for current month by cash $500
25 Sep. 30 Accrue salary expense $8,000 for the month, which will be paid at the beginning
of the next month
26 Sep. 30 Pays for the bank service charge by cash
27 Sep. 30 Receives interest in cash from the short-term investment for the month $150
28 Sep. 30 Supplies amount to $800 at the end of the month
128
Additional Info
Method to estimate bad debt expense: 3% Net Credit Sale
Depreciation method for the property: S-L
Depreciation method for the delivery truck: DDB
Perpetual inventory with: FIFO
The income tax rate: 30%
Appendix 2
Peer/Self Evaluation Form
Your Name: ____________________________ Section: __________________________
Return this completed form to me by ____________. DO NOT SEND IT BY EMAIL. This is a mandatory
part of the assignment and is worth 10 percent of your project grade.
General Instructions
Score all team members on each measure below, including yourself. Your peer evaluations will be kept con-
fidential, and will not be returned to you or shared with anyone.
On a scale of 1-10 (1=completely unsatisfactory and 10=outstanding), rate the extent to which each team
member satisfied his/her performance measures. The criteria are described below. For each team mem-
ber, add up the scores of the different performance measures to come up with a total score for each per-
son.
Performance Measure
1. Did your team members show up to all meetings prepared and ready to work? If they had to miss a
meeting after they had agreed to it, did they email or phone at least one group member to let him/her
know they wouldn’t be there?
2. Did your team members agree to task deadlines and complete their individual assignments by those
deadlines?
3. Did your team members help you in completing your tasks when you encountered problems? Did
they help you think of alternate solutions to help get the work done?
4. Did your group members volunteer for tasks assignments rather than avoid extra work?
5. Were any team members unnecessarily dictatorial in telling others what to do? Were your team mem-
bers easy and pleasant to work with? Did they contribute to a sense of harmony and cohesiveness of the
group?
6. Did your team members complete their tasks to the satisfaction of the group? Did their contributions
have to be substantially modified or supplemented by the others? Did they follow the guidelines estab-
lished for the group?
7. What is your assessment of the overall contribution of each team member, including yourself?
Rank in Group
Evaluate your group by assigning a number to each group member depending upon their level of partic-
ipation in the group projects, with “1” being the highest. Enter the ranking for each group member in the
table on the next page under “Rank in Group”.
Use a scale of 1-10 where 1=completely unsatisfactory and 10=outstanding
129
Performance Measure
You (self-
evaluation)
Team
Member 1
Team
Member 2
Team
Member 3
Team
Member 4
Group member name
(first and last):
1: Showed up at meet-
ings?
2: Met deadlines?
3: Helped in problem
solving?
4: Volunteered to per-
form extra tasks?
5: Worked well with
others?
6: Quality of contribu-
tions?
7: Overall assessment?
Total Score (sum of all
above numbers):
Rank in Group
General Comments
(optional):
Appendix 3
Setting up your company in QuickBooks
There are six steps necessary to set up your company in QuickBooks. Before you do this, you should
have (1) the QuickBooks software correctly installed and registered (online) on your computer and (2) the
file Temp Co.QBW saved on your computer somewhere where you can easily access it.
The steps necessary for setting up your company in QuickBooks are as follows:
Step 1: In the opened QuickBooks, select File->Open or Restore Company
Step 2: Select the first option “Open a company file”, click Next
Step 3: Find the file Temp Co.QBW on your computer, and click Open
Step 4: Once the company file is opened, you will see the temporary company’s name on the upper left
corner of the screen
Step 5: Select Company->Company Information, change the company’s name from Temp, Co. to your
own company’s, and click OK
Step 6: Once the company name has been changed, you will see the name in the upper left corner. This
means you have successfully completed this step.
130
Appendix 4
Creation of Portable File (4 steps)
Step 1: Click “File”, and select “Create Copy”
131
Step 2: Select “Portable company file”, and click “Finish”
132
Step 3: Click “OK”, and wait for QB to create a portable company file
133
Step 4: Record the folder where you can locate the portable company file
Authors
Christopher Aquino, MBA, CMA, CFM, Assistant Professor of Accounting, Niagara
University, [email protected]
Lei Han, Ph.D., CPA, Assistant Professor of Accounting, Niagara University,
134
Investing in a Brewpub: A Capital Budgeting Analysis
Elizabeth Webb Cooper
Abstract
Two recent college graduates own a restaurant and want to decide whether to invest in
a brewpub system, which would allow the pair to sell beer on tap to their customers.
The business owners must complete a thorough cash flow analysis of their planned in-
vestment using the concepts of operating cash flows, working capital investment and
capital expenditures. They need to have a keen understanding of relevant versus non-
relevant cash flows. Further, they must use these cash flows in order to come up with
the net present value (NPV) and internal rate of return (IRR) of the investment under
different realistic business scenarios. The pair also must use sensitivity analysis to see
how their investment decision may or may not change as a result of varying costs of
capital. In the end, the pair needs to decide whether to invest in the brewpub in light of
their full analysis.
The Case
Samantha Myers and Grant Patrick gradu-
ated from college seven years ago. Since
then, they opened a casual, American-fare
80-seat restaurant, Explore Café, close to
their college campus. Their clientele main-
ly consists of undergraduate and graduate
students from the college (thus a lot of
their business falls outside of the summer
months), and an enthusiastic group of lo-
cal residents who love to come to the res-
taurant on a regular basis year-round.
Currently the restaurant is BYOB, mean-
ing, the restaurant does not sell alcohol
but allows customers to bring in their own
bottles of wine and beer for a small “cork-
age” fee. After much consultation and
market research (costing them roughly
$2,000 and considerable time and effort),
Samantha and Grant decided that the way
to grow their small restaurant was to in-
clude a brewpub system, thus allowing the
restaurant to offer beer on tap to their cus-
tomers and do away with the BYOB label.
Samantha did some research on the cost of
a new brewpub system. She estimates that
they will need about 1,000 square feet of
space in the store to accommodate a 7 bar-
rel (bbl) system. Currently they do not
have the space available but it just so hap-
pens that the retail space next door to Ex-
plore Café is available for rent. The space
costs $3,000 per month but Samantha
thinks they can negotiate the rent down to
$2,500 per month because of their good re-
lationship with the landlord. However, the
space is not equipped to handle the brew-
pub machinery. After talking with several
contractors (with permission of the land-
lord) Samantha expects that initial con-
struction costs could be as high as
$250,000.
135
In a barrel of beer, there are 31 gallons of
beer. There are 8 pints in a gallon. Saman-
tha estimates that each seat in the restau-
rant will require about 7 barrels of beer
(best case scenario) per year. She is basing
this on the expected number of patrons
and on the number of beers each patron is
expected to order, on average, throughout
the day. She uses some scenario analysis to
also include an estimate of 5 barrels of
beer per year per seat for a worst-case sce-
nario outlook. They plan to sell 10 types of
beer but all will have the same ingredient
costs and sales price.
The cost of a high-quality brewpub system
is $300,000. This includes the heater, fer-
mentation tanks, chiller, stainless steel
beer faucets, hoses, valves, and carbonator
gauges. Samantha looks into some options
for ingredients and finds the best deal
from an outside beer retailer. The ingredi-
ents will cost $4,000 to make 10 barrels of
beer. These costs are expected to increase 5
percent per year based on projected agri-
culture prices. Based on discussions with
the brewpub machinery manufacturer,
Samantha estimates that it will cost about
$15,000 per year (after the first year of op-
erations) in maintenance expenses to keep
the machinery running properly.
Meanwhile, Grant looked into any addi-
tional costs (beyond ingredients and rent)
that the Explore Café would encounter
when they open the brewpub aspect to
their business. He figures that he would
need at least three additional servers per
day at a cost to the restaurant of $80 per
day per server (the servers earn most of
their income through tips, and servers typ-
ically work about 320 days out of the
year). They also plan to hire a person to
run the brewery machinery on a full-time
basis at a starting salary of $40,000 per
year. Generally, Grant and Samantha like
to increase server and employee salaries
by about 3 percent per year. Insurance
costs would increase since the restaurant
will now serve alcohol. Grant figures the
insurance cost will be an additional $3,000
per year with the assumption that this will
increase by 5 percent in five years (based
on his discussions with the insurance
agent) and hold steady at that new rate for
the remainder of the time. The equipment
itself will require additional utilities costs
beyond what the restaurant operates at
without the brewpub option. Grant esti-
mates that utilities costs (water and elec-
tricity) will amount to an additional
$24,000 per year over what the restaurant
currently pays in utilities expenses.
License fees and renewals were not some-
thing Grant initially thought about when
opening the brewpub but after some re-
search, he found that the Explore Café
would be required to pay a $65,000 initial
license fee before they open the doors to
the new brewpub. License renewal for the
first year of sales and every year thereafter
is expected to be $700 per year. This is the
typical cost structure for licensing fees for
this particular city.
Grant and Samantha also decided that
they would put a big effort into an adver-
tisement campaign for the new brewpub.
The pair does not do much advertising
now other than flyers at the college and
around the neighborhood and an occa-
136
sional ad in the city newspaper. With the
addition of the brewpub they plan to in-
crease advertising expenses to around
$80,000 per year to cover costs of outsourc-
ing their Internet presence (website, Face-
book, Twitter, etc.) and more substantial
ads in local newspapers. They decide to
pay a media company fee of $20,000 before
the brewpub opens to immediately rede-
sign their website and to begin advertis-
ing.
As for sale price, the pair decides to set the
price at $5 per pint during the first year of
operation. They hope to increase this price
by 3 percent each year thereafter. Saman-
tha also realizes that they will need to
store up on some inventory and receiva-
bles before they ever sell a single pint of
beer. The increased inventory and receiva-
ble investment will be, she assumes,
$10,000 just to get them started. Samantha
figures that they will unwind the invest-
ment in inventory and receivables when
the brewpub machinery’s economic life is
complete.
It seems that brewpub systems have a 10-
year economic life. They assume that they
can sell the materials from the brewpub
system once the useful life is complete.
They estimate that they can get about
$20,000 back from the scrapped material.
After talking with their accountant, they
decide to depreciate the brewpub system
using the straight-line method (down to
zero) over the usable life of the machine.
Right now, Explore Café pays a tax rate of
30 percent and this is expected to continue
for the duration of the brewpub machin-
ery’s useful life. Grant estimates the cost of
capital for the restaurant to be 8 percent
based on current and long-term loan rates.
To do
1. Estimate the annual cash flows for
the brewpub project. Use the “best
case scenario.” To do this, you will
need to calculate the annual revenues
and annual expenses for the 10-year
project, any changes in net working
capital, and any changes to capital
expenditures. Describe all assump-
tions and calculations you used to ar-
rive at the final cash flows.
2. Calculate the NPV and IRR of the
project given the information pre-
sented using the “best case scenario.”
Should Samantha and Grant go
ahead with the brewpub investment?
Why or why not?
3. What would be the impact on NPV
and IRR if the “worst case scenario”
occurs? Would this alter Grant and
Samantha’s decision whether to in-
vest in the brewpub? Describe how
you found this result (also show in
the spreadsheet).
4. Suppose they are operating under
the best case scenario and they de-
cide that in year 5 they would like to
do major renovations to the restau-
rant (a capital expense). They figure
this will cost an additional $1,000,000
in year 5. Along with the renova-
tions, they figure they could increase
the price of the beer to $7 per pint
and keep it at that price for the dura-
tion of the project. How do these
changes impact NPV and IRR? Is it
worth it for the pair to go forward
137
with the renovations? Describe how
you found this result (also show in
the spreadsheet).
5. Would there be a significant impact
to Samantha and Grant’s brewpub
decision if there were a change in the
cost of capital? Describe how you
found this result (also show in the
spreadsheet).
6. Are there any other issues that you
think might influence the pair’s in-
vestment decision? What, if any-
thing, have Samantha and Grant not
considered in their capital budgeting
analysis?
References
Hawawini, Gabriel and Claude Viallet
(2007). Finance for Executives. (4th ed.).
South-Western Cengage Learning.
Kierulff, Herbert (2012). IRR: A Blind
Guide. American Journal of Business Edu-
cation, 5(4), 417-426.
Ross, Stephen; Randolph Westerfield and
Jeffrey Jaffe (2009). Corporate Finance.
(9th ed.). McGraw-Hill Irwin.
Ryan, Patricia and Glenn Ryan (2002). In-
vestment Practices of the Fortune 1000:
How have things changed? Journal of
Business and Management, 8(4), 355-
364.
Appendix
Calculating NPV and IRR with a Spreadsheet
For NPV and IRR, the Excel functions are as follows:
= NPV
= IRR
• For NPV in Excel, you need to enter the discount rate followed by the FUTURE
cash flows, then you must subtract out the initial cash outflow.
• For IRR in Excel, the initial cash outflow is included in the array of cash flows.
You also should choose a “guess” as a starting point for the discount rate.
Example:
Year Cash Flow
0 -1000
1 500
2 700
3 650
Discount rate is .10
To solve in an Excel spreadsheet, the for-
mulas would look like this:
=NPV(.10, 500, 700, 650) – 1000
=IRR(-1000, 500, 700, 650, .10)
(Answers: NPV = $521.41 and IRR =
36.3%).
Author
Elizabeth Webb Cooper, Ph.D., Associate Professor of Finance, La Salle University,
1900 W. Olney Ave., Philadelphia, PA 19041, [email protected]
138
New Mexico National Bank, a bank with growth in mind (A)
Dr. James F. Cotter
Introduction
New Mexico National Bank is a bank with
growth in mind. Bobby Lowden, the CEO
of the bank has grown the bank rapidly in
the past and would like you to analyze the
bank as well as offer suggestions about
how he can grow the bank in the future.
New Mexico National Bank is particularly
amazing because it is a bank on the move
even in these turbulent times of 2010.
New Mexico National Bank is headquar-
tered in Albuquerque, New Mexico and
the bank has rewarded its shareholders
handsomely. New Mexico National's as-
sets had grown from $166 million in 1981
to over $24 billion in 2010. As shown in
Chart 1, the market capitalization for New
Mexico National shareholders has grown
from $40 million in 1994 to nearly $4 bil-
lion at FYE 2010.
Chart 1: Market Capitalization from 1994 to 2010
The company is lead by the long-standing
dynamic CEO Bobby Lowden who has
had a fabulous record of growth in assets,
revenues and profitability. This growth
can be attributed to New Mexico Na-
tional's focus on establishing a strong
presence in diverse and growing markets.
New Mexico National expanded from its
base of New Mexico to fast growing re-
gional markets such as Arizona, Colorado,
Texas, and Nevada. New Mexico National
Bank is the fifth largest commercial bank
in Arizona and 27th largest commercial
bank in the USA. New Mexico National
Bank is frequently the target of rumors
that it would be acquired by a larger
bank.
0.0
500.0
1,000.0
1,500.0
2,000.0
2,500.0
3,000.0
3,500.0
4,000.0
4,500.0
19941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010
Market Capitalization (A)
139
Mr. Lowden Is Seeking Advice from
Consulting Services, Inc
As a financial advisor to the bank, you
are tasked with analyzing the bank and
offering advice to the senior management
team about how the bank is doing and
what they should be doing to grow the
bank. How is the bank doing financially?
What areas of success would you identi-
fy? What problem areas do you see?
Description of the company
History of New Mexico National Bank
New Mexico National Bank, a subsidiary
of New Mexico National Bancgroup, Inc,
was established in 1981 as a bank-
holding company with $166 million in
assets. Headquartered in Albuquerque,
New Mexico, New Mexico National Bank
was a major player in the Southwest and
Texas commercial banking market with
over $24 billion in assets. Over its 27-year
history, New Mexico National’s expan-
sion was attributed to its long-term, sus-
tained growth plan and its strong pres-
ence in diverse and growing markets. In
2005, the Wall Street Journal ranked New
Mexico National No. 1 among South-
western banks for the best one, three, and
five-year average shareholder returns.
New Mexico National is the 2nd largest
bank in New Mexico with 7.7% market
share, and the 5th largest bank in Arizo-
na with 3.8% market share.
Customers
New Mexico National’s customer base
spans across over 340 branches in 5
states. Its customers are comprised of in-
dividuals, small businesses, and com-
mercial clients. Since the inception of the
bank in 1981, New Mexico National’s
customer base has grown along with its
geographic footprint. By targeting areas
where population was rising rapidly,
management was able to effectively in-
crease the size of the bank’s customer
base by acquiring dozens of small banks
in states like Arizona and Nevada. After
establishing presence in these areas, the
bank then accelerated its growth by in-
creasing its lending limits to builders. In
such ways, New Mexico National Bank
took advantage of the housing boom and
greatly increased the size of its customer
base. As of 2010, New Mexico National’s
customers are dispersed around its 197
branches locations in Arizona, 90 in Col-
orado, 21 in Texas, 20 in Nevada, and 19
in New Mexico.
Products
New Mexico National Bank conducts
general commercial banking businesses
in its respective service areas and offers a
variety of demand, savings, and time de-
posit products as well as extension of
credit through personal, commercial, and
mortgage loans. The bank also markets
other services such as wealth manage-
ment, electronic banking, and credit
cards. In addition, New Mexico National
Investment Services, New Mexico Na-
tional Bank’s wholly owned subsidiary
provides various insurance products and
annuities for sale to the public. In fact,
loans represented over 67% of New Mex-
ico National’s total sales in 2010. The
bank’s loan portfolio has over 85% of real
estate related loans. Hence New Mexico
140
National’s business is heavily risk-
weighted towards the success of the real
estate market, especially considering the
bank’s heavy presence in Arizona. The
recent past has proven challenging, but
the bank has come through relatively un-
affected by the housing downturn.
New Mexico National Bank has a great
deal of segmentation in its products and
services. There are two main revenue
driving segments - interest bearing
products and non-interest bearing prod-
ucts. Within interest bearing products
loans are the primary source of revenue
accounting for 63% of total revenue. It is
important to look at the segmentation,
which is broken down into five compo-
nents: 1) Residential real estate, 2) Real
estate construction, 3) Commercial real
estate, 4) Consumer and other, and 5)
Commercial, Financial, and Agricultural.
The other primary segments of interest
bearing products are securities and loans
held for sale. The non-interest bearing
group is broken into five primary seg-
ments: 1) Retail banking fees, 2) Wealth
management services, 3) Mortgage
warehouse fees, 4) Bank owned life in-
surance plans, and 5) Mortgage banking,
origination, and sales. These products are
heavily regulated by the New Mexico
State Banking Department and the Fed-
eral Deposit Insurance Corporation
(FDIC), as a way to protect the depositors
of New Mexico National Bank.
Management
New Mexico National’s top executives
signed change-in-control agreements in
2007 with the bank valued around $9.1
million collectively. Among the execu-
tives that signed these agreements, New
Mexico National CEO Bobby Lowden
and Patti Hill, New Mexico National’s
Chief Operating Officer. Sarah Moore
and Sandra Jansky are New Mexico Na-
tional’s chief financial officer and chief
credit officer, respectively. Due to the
condition of financial markets in 2008,
New Mexico National Bank as well as
other banks are operating under height-
ened regulatory scrutiny and have been
and will be taking steps which are ex-
pected to improve their asset quality and
capital.
Customer Relationships
New Mexico National Bank puts a major
focus on maintaining strong customer re-
lationships. In order for this to happen
New Mexico National Banks views it to
be very important to make sure that local
personnel’s time is put towards custom-
ers, not towards other aspects of the
business. In order to ensure that this is
the case New Mexico National Bank has
created a centralized operations support
system so that the local personnel do not
need to be worried with day-to-day op-
erational issue.
Besides customers who deposit money
into New Mexico National Banks, the
bank has other customers who use other
services provided for by the bank. A
large chunk of these revenue producing
customers are real estate construction
companies, and other commercial real es-
tate providers. Other examples are com-
mercial, financial and agricultural com-
141
panies in need of loans, and residences in
need of home and other consumer loans.
Competition
Competition in the financial services sec-
tor is intense, and the intensity is contin-
uing to increase. The national banks that
have greater access to capital and per-
sonnel have started to increase their
market share through the acquisition of
smaller banks that have found trouble
during the financial crisis. Examples in-
clude Wells Fargo which now owns Wa-
chovia, and Bank of America who owns
Meryl Lynch. Commercial banks are not
the only groups that New Mexico Na-
tional competes with- other significant
competitors are issuers of securities and
other interest bearing financial instru-
ments. Furthermore, niche financial ser-
vices companies such as saving and loans
associations, credit unions, mortgage
companies, and insurances companies al-
so are a source of competition.
There is a very low concentration in the
Commercial Banking in the US industry
(52211). Based on IBIS World industry
data, the largest commercial banks have
only a 12.7%, 12.2%, 8.3%, and 5.2% mar-
ket share, which if extrapolated and ana-
lyzed according to the Herfindahl index
provides a value less than 0.1, thus a low
market concentration. Neither New Mex-
ico National Bank had a market share
greater than 3.3%
Bank Overview
Web Site: http://wwwNewMexicoNationalBank.com
Incorporation: Delaware, 1974
Employees: 4,627
Exchange: NASDAQ
FYE: December
Ticker: NMNB
Chairman: Robert E. Lowden
CEO Robert E. Lowden
CFO Sarah H. Moore
How would you assess the company’s
financial performance and prospects for
the future?
In this case, you are asked to analyze the
firm’s financial performance as of 2010
• What do you see with respect to
Capital adequacy?
• What do you see with respect to
Asset quality?
• What do you see with respect to
Management quality and decision
making?
• What do you see with respect to
Earnings and earnings quality?
• What do you see with respect to
Sensitivity to changes in interest
rates?
• Do you think that company is well
poised for future growth?
142
Balance Sheet (2005 to 2010)
New Mexico
National
Bank
New Mexico
National
Bank
New Mexico
National
Bank
New Mexico
National
Bank
New Mexico
National
Bank
New Mexico
National
Bank
All Commercial
Banks
Dollar figures in thousands 31-Dec-05 31-Dec-06 31-Dec-07 31-Dec-08 31-Dec-09 31-Dec-10 31-Dec-10
Total employees (full-time equivalent) 3,737 3,939 4,300 4,605 4,717 4,643 1,368,137
Total assets 15,804,784 16,249,551 18,884,741 21,394,976 22,730,585 25,937,048 8,837,744,666
Cash and due from depository institu-
tions
410,954 362,813 379,111 448,033 428,596 477,975 398,484,067
Interest-bearing balances 2,983 6,674 23,242 8,629 1,375 3,127 171,894,777
Securities 2,507,842 2,979,657 3,485,798 2,701,592 2,932,179 3,440,861 1,154,133,053
Federal funds sold & reverse repo
agrmts
25,000 0 246,491 649,527 621,271 2,120,831 584,807,965
Net loans & leases 11,905,017 11,833,119 13,393,641 15,830,601 16,790,079 17,235,875 4,936,346,628
Loan loss allowance 135,265 138,549 148,802 171,051 174,850 238,845 67,215,879
Bank premises and fixed assets 227,033 240,571 263,023 328,127 393,998 483,672 64,392,848
Other real estate owned 20,467 20,004 14,645 11,031 6,319 15,760 5,562,180
Goodwill and other intangibles 247,451 272,541 394,141 695,012 674,333 1,071,605 384,645,530
All other assets 461,020 540,846 707,891 731,053 883,810 1,090,469 446,111,370
Total liabilities 14,603,429 14,884,885 17,291,862 19,240,341 20,573,506 23,647,723 7,954,313,637
Total deposits 9,393,909 9,867,261 11,966,340 15,545,282 16,249,435 18,610,966 5,528,372,752
Interest-bearing deposits 7,126,690 7,924,845 9,396,649 14,226,423 15,075,088 17,669,250 4,589,325,011
Deposits held in domestic offices 9,391,785 9,865,861 11,754,731 15,268,323 15,752,852 18,119,563 4,037,283,759
Federal funds purchased & repo
agreements
2,650,985 2,211,440 2,283,934 1,292,796 1,605,672 568,721 656,407,926
Other borrowed funds 2,208,307 2,463,534 2,673,690 1,893,029 2,199,357 3,529,146 957,647,486
Subordinated debt 250,000 250,000 250,000 375,118 376,114 378,710 171,070,650
143
All other liabilities 100,228 92,650 117,898 134,116 142,928 560,180 298,565,109
Total equity capital 1,201,355 1,364,666 1,592,879 2,154,635 2,157,079 2,289,325 883,431,030
Total bank equity capital 1,201,355 1,364,666 1,592,879 2,154,635 2,157,079 2,289,325 883,431,030
Perpetual preferred stock 0 0 0 0 0 0 4,599,991
Common stock 21 22 22 22 22 22 15,466,083
Surplus 646,171 737,745 868,656 1,455,957 1,451,147 1,975,642 609,983,434
Undivided profits 555,163 626,899 724,201 698,656 705,910 313,661 253,381,521
Income Statement (2005 to 2010)
In $ Thousands
New Mexico
National
Bank
New Mexico
National
Bank
New Mexico
National
Bank
New Mexico
National
Bank
New Mexico
National
Bank
New Mexico
National
Bank
All Commercial
Banks
31-Dec-05 31-Dec-06 31-Dec-07 31-Dec-08 31-Dec-09 31-Dec-10 31-Dec-10
Number of institutions report-
ing
1 1 1 1 1 1 86
Total interest income 783,413 781,119 848,529 1,162,440 1,455,852 1,556,279 463,136,917
Total interest expense 314,030 266,392 271,243 428,280 676,261 783,272 241,211,094
Net interest income 469,383 514,727 577,286 734,160 779,591 773,007 221,925,823
Provision for loan and lease
losses
35,980 37,378 26,994 26,838 22,142 106,450 48,539,891
Total noninterest income 94,371 111,860 139,459 193,649 177,985 207,817 180,629,706
Fiduciary activities 1,082 2,188 1,425 1,528 1,074 621 24,428,837
Service charges on deposit ac-
counts
44,375 53,061 65,221 66,866 74,142 75,746 30,474,961
Trading account gains & fees 0 4,320 0 0 0 0 4,942,732
Additional noninterest income 48,914 52,291 72,813 125,255 102,769 131,450 120,783,176
Total noninterest expense 309,405 356,554 420,642 508,052 511,115 555,344 244,502,967
Salaries and employee benefits 163,156 195,030 217,049 262,850 274,264 277,124 106,384,278
144
Premises and equipment ex-
pense
70,474 82,462 90,992 106,692 115,976 130,730 29,110,896
Additional noninterest ex-
pense
75,775 79,062 112,601 138,510 120,875 147,490 109,007,793
Pre-tax net operating income 218,369 232,655 269,109 392,919 424,319 319,030 109,512,671
Securities gains (losses) 5,701 4,812 7,544 -24,654 2,274 -31,959 -328,615
Applicable income taxes 77,080 80,740 94,668 124,327 146,476 94,935 33,515,308
Income before extraordinary
items
146,990 156,727 181,985 243,938 280,117 192,136 75,668,748
Extraordinary gains - net -846 0 0 0 0 0 -963,201
Net income attributable to
bank
146,144 156,727 181,985 243,938 280,117 192,136 74,705,547
Net charge-offs 30,752 35,471 23,598 19,211 18,343 56,369 32,363,013
Cash dividends 66,032 67,044 75,535 224,421 281,727 624,573 62,732,319
145
Ratio Analysis (2005 to 2010)
New Mexico
National Bank
New Mexico
National Bank
New Mexico
National Bank
New Mexico
National Bank
New Mexico
National Bank
New Mexico
National Bank
All Commer-
cial Banks
Albuquerque,
NM
Albuquerque,
NM
Albuquerque,
NM
Albuquerque,
NM
Albuquerque,
NM
Albuquerque,
NM
Assets more
than $10B
Performance Ratios 31-Dec-05 31-Dec-06 31-Dec-07 31-Dec-08 31-Dec-09 31-Dec-10 31-Dec-10
Yield on earning assets 5.94% 5.36% 5.35% 6.31% 7.27% 7.17% 6.61%
Cost of funding earn-
ing assets
2.38% 1.83% 1.71% 2.33% 3.38% 3.61% 3.44%
Net interest margin 3.56% 3.53% 3.64% 3.99% 3.89% 3.56% 3.17%
Noninterest income to
earning assets
0.72% 0.77% 0.88% 1.05% 0.89% 0.96% 2.58%
Noninterest expense to
earning assets
2.35% 2.45% 2.65% 2.76% 2.55% 2.56% 3.49%
Net operating income
to assets
1.00% 0.96% 1.01% 1.27% 1.25% 0.88% 0.92%
Return on assets
(ROA)
1.02% 0.98% 1.04% 1.19% 1.26% 0.79% 0.91%
Pretax return on assets 1.55% 1.49% 1.59% 1.80% 1.92% 1.18% 1.31%
Return on equity
(ROE)
13.40% 12.38% 12.30% 12.38% 13.01% 8.57% 9.08%
Retained earnings to
average equity (YTD
only)
7.34% 7.09% 7.19% 0.99% -0.07% -19.28% 1.45%
Net charge-offs to
loans
0.28% 0.30% 0.19% 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.69%
Credit loss provision
to net charge-offs
117.00% 105.38% 114.39% 139.70% 120.71% 188.84% 149.99%
Earnings coverage of 8.27 7.61 12.55 21.85 24.34 7.55 4.88
146
net loan charge-offs (x)
Efficiency ratio 54.40% 56.21% 57.80% 53.51% 52.10% 55.26% 58.69%
Assets per employee ($
millions)
4.23 4.13 4.39 4.65 4.82 5.59 6.46
Cash dividends to net
income
45.18% 42.78% 41.51% 92.00% 100.57% 325.07% 83.97%
New Mexico
National Bank
New Mexico
National Bank
New Mexico
National Bank
New Mexico
National Bank
New Mexico
National Bank
New Mexico
National Bank
All Commer-
cial Banks
Albuquerque,
NM
Albuquerque,
NM
Albuquerque,
NM
Albuquerque,
NM
Albuquerque,
NM
Albuquerque,
NM
Assets more
than $10B
Performance Ratios 31-Dec-05 31-Dec-06 31-Dec-07 31-Dec-08 31-Dec-09 31-Dec-10 31-Dec-10
Condition Ratios (%)
Loss allowance to loans 1.12% 1.16% 1.10% 1.07% 1.03% 1.37% 1.34%
Loss allowance to non-
current loans
147.07% 203.32% 424.19% 475.79% 788.89% 163.90% 100.65%
Noncurrent assets plus
other real estate owned
to assets
0.71% 0.54% 0.26% 0.22% 0.13% 0.62% 0.82%
Noncurrent loans to
loans
0.76% 0.57% 0.26% 0.22% 0.13% 0.83% 1.33%
Net loans and leases to
deposits
126.73% 119.92% 111.93% 101.84% 103.33% 92.61% 89.29%
Net loans and leases to
core deposits
155.23% 143.88% 135.79% 125.92% 133.79% 119.21% 147.32%
Equity capital to assets 7.60% 8.40% 8.43% 10.07% 9.49% 8.83% 10.00%
Core capital (leverage)
ratio
6.25% 7.01% 6.64% 7.42% 6.97% 6.32% 7.03%
Tier 1 risk-based capital
ratio
7.48% 8.73% 8.16% 8.72% 8.08% 7.77% 8.66%
147
Total risk-based capital
ratio
10.56% 11.83% 10.72% 11.73% 10.75% 10.56% 11.85%
Memoranda:
Average assets 14,393,257 15,953,539 17,444,648 20,463,791 22,272,840 24,403,368 8,233,524,272
Average earning assets 13,178,091 14,562,151 15,870,653 18,411,640 20,026,043 21,711,605 7,008,583,764
Average equity 1,090,820 1,265,780 1,479,833 1,971,166 2,153,377 2,242,546 823,105,601
Average loans 11,063,128 11,971,167 12,706,939 14,897,893 16,751,119 17,131,822 4,656,763,895
148
New Mexico National Bank, a bank with growth in mind (B)
Not the real timing
The real date for the financial statements for the bank:
In fact, the financial statements presented in the (A) part of the case are not as of 2010,
but rather are for 2009. So take the financial statements as presented in part (B) (See be-
low table) that are really 2010 and re-evaluate the bank’s financial statements to identify
problem areas.
What do you see with respect to Capital adequacy?
What do you see with respect to Asset quality?
What do you see with respect to Management quality and decision making?
What do you see with respect to Earnings and earnings quality?
What do you see with respect to Sensitivity to changes in interest rates?
Do you think that company is well poised for future growth?
149
Part B
New
Mexico
National
Bank
New
Mexico
National
Bank
New
Mexico
National
Bank
New
Mexico
National
Bank
New
Mexico
National
Bank
New
Mexico
National
Bank
New
Mexico
National
Bank
All Com-
mercial
Banks
Performance and Condition Ratios 31-Dec-04 31-Dec-05 31-Dec-06 31-Dec-07 31-Dec-08 31-Dec-09 31-Dec-10 31-Dec-10
Yield on earning assets 5.94% 5.36% 5.35% 6.31% 7.27% 7.17% 6.05% 5.09%
Cost of funding earning assets 2.38% 1.83% 1.71% 2.33% 3.38% 3.61% 3.07% 2.02%
Net interest margin 3.56% 3.53% 3.64% 3.99% 3.89% 3.56% 2.99% 3.07%
Noninterest income to earning assets 0.72% 0.77% 0.88% 1.05% 0.89% 0.96% 0.78% 2.13%
Noninterest expense to earning assets 2.35% 2.45% 2.65% 2.76% 2.55% 2.56% 5.34% 3.25%
Net operating income to assets 1.00% 0.96% 1.01% 1.27% 1.25% 0.88% -3.26% 0.16%
Return on assets (ROA) 1.02% 0.98% 1.04% 1.19% 1.26% 0.79% -3.24% 0.15%
Pretax return on assets 1.55% 1.49% 1.59% 1.80% 1.92% 1.18% -4.11% 0.20%
Return on equity (ROE) 13.40% 12.38% 12.30% 12.38% 13.01% 8.57% -38.72% 1.57%
Retained earnings to average equity (YTD) 7.34% 7.09% 7.19% 0.99% -0.07% -19.28% -41.37% -1.82%
Net charge-offs to loans 0.28% 0.30% 0.19% 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 3.66% 1.44%
Credit loss provision to net charge-offs 117.00% 105.38% 114.39% 139.70% 120.71% 188.84% 112.63% 175.55%
Earnings coverage of net loan charge-offs (x) 8.27 7.61 12.55 21.85 24.34 7.55 -0.56 2.07
Efficiency ratio 54.40% 56.21% 57.80% 53.51% 52.10% 55.26% 73.18% 56.49%
Assets per employee ($ millions) 4.23 4.13 4.39 4.65 4.82 5.59 5.34 7.17
Cash dividends to net income (YTD only) 45.18% 42.78% 41.51% 92.00% 100.57% 325.07% -6.83% 216.47%
Condition Ratios (%)
Loss allowance to loans 1.12% 1.16% 1.10% 1.07% 1.03% 1.37% 1.94% 2.48%
Loss allowance to noncurrent loans 147.07% 203.32% 424.19% 475.79% 788.89% 163.90% 51.88% 82.53%
Noncurrent assets plus OREO to assets 0.71% 0.54% 0.26% 0.22% 0.13% 0.62% 2.90% 1.71%
Noncurrent loans to loans 0.76% 0.57% 0.26% 0.22% 0.13% 0.83% 3.74% 3.00%
Net loans and leases to deposits 126.73% 119.92% 111.93% 101.84% 103.33% 92.61% 86.16% 80.68%
150
Net loans and leases to core deposits 155.23% 143.88% 135.79% 125.92% 133.79% 119.21% 112.49% 125.83%
Equity capital to assets 7.60% 8.40% 8.43% 10.07% 9.49% 8.83% 5.62% 9.11%
Core capital (leverage) ratio 6.25% 7.01% 6.64% 7.42% 6.97% 6.32% 6.03% 6.89%
Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio 7.48% 8.73% 8.16% 8.72% 8.08% 7.77% 8.54% 9.13%
Total risk-based capital ratio 10.56% 11.83% 10.72% 11.73% 10.75% 10.56% 11.37% 12.55%
151
Colonial Bank, a bank with growth in mind (C)
Not the real dates and not the real bank
Epilogue
On August 14, 2009, Colonial Bank was
turned over to the FDIC. In situations such
as these, the FDIC is able to use govern-
ment funds in reserve to cover the losses
of the defaulted loans and insure the de-
posits of the Colonial Bank customers. The
losses resulting from Colonial Bank’s fail-
ure do not disappear but are instead as-
sumed by the U.S. government. Since the
purpose of the government is not to hold
onto the assets and deposits, the FDIC
formulates a deal that is of value to a po-
tential buyer and lessens the loan loss risk
created by the failed bank. The FDIC and
BB&T formulated a transaction which
would result in BB&T acquiring $22 billion
of Colonial Bank’s assets and assuming
$20 billion in deposits. This offer was a
loss sharing agreement to decrease BB&T’s
risk of substantial future losses on the ac-
quired assets
Conclusion
With increased market share, increased
cash flow from the acquired assets, and
limited risk associated with the acquired
assets, BB&T has an opportunity to create
value from this transaction. If the govern-
ment was not guaranteeing limited loan
loss risk in the transaction, BB&T would
benefit from not acquiring any additional
loan loss risk since their own loan losses
could potentially continue to increase in
such a volatile economic environment.
Considering Colonial Bank’s loan and
mortgage investments were situated in the
hardest hit markets, their failure was al-
most inevitable. Given the involvement of
the government in restructuring a package
deal for the transaction to occur, BB&T has
a great opportunity to take a low risk in-
vestment with the potential for a large re-
turn. Losses on Colonial Bank’s portfolio
will mostly likely continue, but the safety
net provided by the U.S. government elim-
inates the risk of any negative impact it
might have on BB&T’s overall market and
shareholder value.
41Colonial BancGroup Inc. was a $26 bil-
lion bank holding company headquartered
in Montgomery, Alabama, USA. Colonial
BancGroup, Inc. (BancGroup) was a finan-
cial services company that, through its
subsidiaries, provided diversified services,
including retail and commercial banking,
wealth management services, mortgage
banking and insurance.
The company ran into problems after it
was revealed that it had bought $1 billion
in mortgages from Taylor, Bean & Whita-
ker that Taylor Bean had forged, in one of
the biggest fraud cases in history.[1]
Bankgroup’s former subsidiary, Colonial
Bank, operated 346 branches in the states
of Alabama, Georgia, Florida, Nevada and
Texas. At the end of the fourth quarter of
2008, Colonial Bancgroup had a Texas ra-
tio of 53.4%, up from a figure of 25% in the
first quarter of 2008.[2]
41
Source:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colonial_Bancgroup
152
Colonial disclosed its legal problems on
August 4, 2009, stating that federal agents
had executed a search warrant at its mort-
gage warehouse lending offices in Orlan-
do, Fla. and that it had been forced to sign
a cease and desist order with the Federal
Reserve and regulators at the end of last
month in relation to its accounting practic-
es and its recognition of losses.[3][4] On Au-
gust 14 it was announced
that BB&T would buy Colonial's branches
and deposits in a deal with the
FDIC.[5] This was the biggest bank failure
of 2009.[6] On August 25 Colonial
BancGroup filed for Chapter 11 bankrupt-
cy. The bankruptcy case's name is "In re
Colonial BancGroup Inc, U.S. Bankruptcy
Court, Middle District of Alabama (Mont-
gomery), No. 09-32303".[7]
1. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20110420/a
p_on_bi_ge/us_tarp_case_trial
2. "One in eight lenders may fail, RBC
says". Reuters. February 9, 2009.
3. Press, CNN (2009-08-15). "BB&T buys
Colonial bank; 4 other banks fail - CNN
Money". Retrieved 2009-08-15.
4. Press, South Florida Business Journal
(2009-06-10). "Colonial hit with cease
and desist order". Retrieved 2009-08-15.
5. Fitzpatrick, Dan; Enrich, David; Crit-
tenden, Michael R. (August 15,
2009). "Major Bank Fails in South". The
Wall Street Journal.
6. Isidore, Chris; Pepitone, Julianne (Au-
gust 14, 2009). "BB&T buys Colonial
bank; 4 other banks fail". CNN. Re-
trieved April 30, 2010.
7. Stempel, Jonathan (August 26,
2009). "Colonial BancGroup files Chap-
ter 11". Reuters. Retrieved 27 August
2009.
153
Coloni-
al Bank
Coloni-
al Bank
Coloni-
al Bank
Coloni-
al Bank
Coloni-
al Bank
Coloni-
al Bank
Coloni-
al Bank
Coloni-
al Bank
Coloni-
al Bank
Coloni-
al Bank
All Com-
mercial
Banks
Colonial Bank 3/31/07 6/30/07 9/30/07 12/31/07 3/31/08 6/30/08 9/30/08 12/31/08 3/31/09 6/30/09 6/30/09
Yield on earning assets 7.36% 7.13% 7.19% 7.17% 6.53% 6.29% 6.20% 6.05% 4.96% 4.91% 4.60%
Cost of funding earning
assets
3.76% 3.59% 3.61% 3.61% 3.39% 3.17% 3.08% 3.07% 2.80% 2.74% 1.16%
Net interest margin 3.60% 3.54% 3.58% 3.56% 3.14% 3.12% 3.11% 2.99% 2.17% 2.18% 3.44%
Noninterest income to
earning assets
0.94% 0.96% 0.95% 0.96% 0.80% 0.87% 0.87% 0.78% 0.80% 0.52% 2.80%
Noninterest expense to
earning assets
2.57% 2.53% 2.54% 2.56% 2.77% 2.81% 2.84% 5.34% 2.96% 3.72% 3.42%
Net operating income
to assets
1.14% 1.12% 1.13% 0.88% 0.35% 0.14% -0.21% -3.26% -2.46% -5.63% 0.19%
Return on assets (ROA) 0.73% 0.93% 1.01% 0.79% 0.42% 0.18% -0.19% -3.24% -2.55% -5.70% 0.14%
Pretax return on assets 1.11% 1.41% 1.52% 1.18% 0.59% 0.22% -0.36% -4.11% -4.03% -4.97% 0.22%
Return on equity (ROE) 7.68% 9.94% 10.86% 8.57% 4.84% 1.99% -2.13% -38.72% -45.55% -115.1% 1.39%
Retained earnings to
average equity (YTD)
2.08% -22.26% -17.30% -19.28% 4.84% -1.24% -5.38% -41.37% -45.55% -115.1% -0.33%
Net charge-offs to loans 0.11% 0.14% 0.18% 0.33% 0.74% 1.18% 1.71% 3.66% 3.15% 4.08% 2.61%
Credit loss provision to
net charge-offs
50.02% 69.18% 58.53% 188.84% 105.80% 107.67% 120.26% 112.63% 195.17% 151.39% 151.18%
Earnings coverage of
net loan charge-offs X
22.39 17.45 14.29 7.55 2.04 1.29 0.87 -0.56 0 -0.34 1.71
Efficiency ratio 55.35% 54.86% 54.59% 55.26% 68.54% 68.68% 69.38% 73.18% 80.45% 101.69% 51.48%
154
Assets per employee ($ millions) 5.02 5.18 5.44 5.59 5.91 5.62 5.58 5.34 5.49 5.38 7.04
Cash dividends to net income (YTD
only)
72.91% 323.86
%
259.23
%
325.07
%
0 162.27
%
-
152.2%
-6.83% 0 0 123.52
%
Condition Ratios (%)
Loss allowance to loans 1.08% 1.02% 1.05% 1.37% 1.26% 1.41% 1.65% 1.94% 2.64% 2.96% 3.23%
Loss allowance to noncurrent loans 493.60
%
306.38
%
210.03
%
163.90
%
75.93% 75.73% 48.70% 51.88% 48.55% 32.75% 71.03%
Noncurrent assets plus OREO to as-
sets
0.20% 0.27% 0.37% 0.62% 1.23% 1.69% 2.75% 2.90% 4.17% 6.61% 2.59%
Noncurrent loans to loans 0.22% 0.33% 0.50% 0.83% 1.66% 1.87% 3.40% 3.74% 5.43% 9.03% 4.55%
Net loans and leases to deposits 96.47% 100.93
%
95.96% 92.61% 96.62% 92.53% 90.48% 86.16% 80.75% 80.87% 79.07%
Net loans and leases to core deposits 125.19
%
131.77
%
124.33
%
119.21
%
127.53
%
122.42
%
120.33
%
112.49
%
102.04
%
102.33
%
118.75
%
Equity capital to assets 9.57% 9.32% 8.96% 8.83% 8.37% 9.53% 9.42% 5.62% 5.60% 3.59% 10.61%
Core capital (leverage) ratio 6.92% 7.43% 7.01% 6.32% 6.15% 7.20% 7.20% 6.03% 5.54% 4.18% 7.84%
Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio 8.30% 8.55% 8.52% 7.77% 8.12% 9.88% 9.88% 8.54% 8.02% 6.46% 10.34%
Total risk-based capital ratio 10.95% 11.09% 11.09% 10.56% 10.81% 12.65% 12.70% 11.37% 10.78% 9.21% 13.59%
Author
Dr. James F. Cotter, Thomas Goho Chair of Finance, Schools of Business, Wake Forest University, Farrell 384, Winston-
Salem, NC 27109, [email protected]
155
A Case Study: Ethical Implications of friendly takeovers: A Financial
Manager’s Story
Barbara Tarasovich
Introduction
In 2001, Bernadette Michaels was promot-
ed to her dream job, Finance Manager at
Home and Personal Care Products, a glob-
al corporation based in the UK. As a Certi-
fied Management Accountant CMA® and
a Certified Public Accountant (CPA), Ber-
nadette was a trusted employee known for
her attention to detail. In this new role, she
would be responsible for integrating the
financial and accounting functions related
to all mergers and acquisitions. This meant
that she should be responsible for setting
the overall tone and direction for the inte-
gration of personnel, corporate cultures,
financial processes and information tech-
nology systems that track and categorize
the financial accounts of the company. As
an ethical person, Bernadette soon found
herself unprepared for the different corpo-
rate cultures she would soon encounter.
Often, the acquired firm’s approach to
compliance with financial rules and regu-
lations was at odds with what Bernadette
believed was ethical and appropriate.
During an acquisition there is a great deal
to do in a relatively short period, the con-
text is typically very unfamiliar, and there
may be a conflict between financial control
and business growth. There was intense
pressure in the company to generate
growth through acquisitions; therefore,
there was not always sufficient time to ad-
dress areas of concern related to financial
processes and controls. Periods of acquisi-
tions are hectic and there were increasing
demands placed on Bernadette’s time
from both her work colleagues and bosses.
Bernadette was aware that a good perfor-
mance on her part would be an opportuni-
ty to be noticed by her CEO and could
propel her career forward. She was also
acutely aware that a failure to prioritize
many of the new demands placed upon
her from the different companies around
the world could result in important tasks
being delayed or left undone. Bernadette
began to receive requests during the ac-
quisitions from people she had never even
heard of at the corporate headquarters.
The tax and treasury departments were
constantly calling her and she was often
forced to prioritize these requests or face
the danger that important tasks are de-
layed, or worse, never are done.
In accounting, the most important task is
to ensure that corporate assets are secure
(Frankel, 2008, Tarasovich, et.al, 2008).
Over the course of ten years, Bernadette
would be faced with four significant ac-
quisitions with a cost ranging from $1 to
$25 billion. Her company acquired a pres-
tige fragrance company, another company
that manufactured cosmetics and fra-
grances and two major food manufactur-
ers. Although due diligence was per-
formed1 by the external auditors for all the
acquisitions, the biggest challenge was to
156
ensure that the acquired companies came
together with the parent organization in
an ethically appropriate manner. This
means that the company acquired act in
accordance with the values of the parent
company. Home and Personal Care con-
ducts all operations with honesty, integrity
and openness and requires all employees
to comply with the laws and regulations of
the country in which they operate.
In a merger or acquisition transaction due
diligence is a process of verifying and con-
firming information received about the
acquired company is accurate. It is a
method companies and auditors use to
gather more information regarding the fi-
nancial statements of the acquired compa-
ny. They use this information to determine
if the company acquired is presenting fi-
nancial information fairly. The amount of
due diligence can vary depending on ma-
teriality of the acquisition and the time al-
lowed.
Bernadette had been through several inte-
grations before and knew that during the
initial period, employees of both the ac-
quired company and the acquiring com-
pany were often concerned about losing
their jobs or being moved to different job
post integration. Employees are also often
stressed or frustrated due to the additional
work required of them when two different
companies integrate. There is often also a
clash of corporate cultures and values.
Workplace ethics are especially vulnerable
during such strategic transitions. Research
shows that employees in organizations
undergoing mergers or acquisitions often
observe ethical misconduct and feel pres-
sure to engage in questionable business
practices at rates that are nearly double
those in more stable organizations
(Boatright, 2010).
Company Descriptions and Case Back-
ground
Home and Personal Care Products is a
global manufacturer of consumer products
based in the United Kingdom. The com-
pany has deep roots in markets around the
world giving it a wealth of knowledge and
international expertise about local con-
sumers. Its’ top twelve brands generate
sales of 1 billion US dollars and the top
twenty brands account for 70% of sales.
The company operates in several product
areas including skin care, deodorant, ice
cream, tea, spreads, hair care and house-
hold cleaning and is a global leader with
brands that are number one and two in
their markets. The company employs more
than 170,000 people.
The company is a conglomerate, its’ strat-
egy focuses primarily on the acquisition of
existing brands, rather than the develop-
ment and introduction of new ones. Firm
rivalries drive the acquisition strategies of
competitors, thus, several of the compa-
ny’s acquisitions were a direct result of a
competitor acquiring a similar business or
product line. Home and Personal Care
Products only targets companies with
strong market positions and financial
strength in order to develop growth and
innovation in the home and personal care
market. It has a reputation of operating
with the highest standards of corporate
behavior towards its employees, consum-
ers and society. The corporate mission in-
157
cluded the statement, “Our management
team must operate with integrity and re-
spect for the many people, organizations
and environments our business touches.”
Home and Personal Care Products places
a great importance on professionals being
resilient and agile in adapting to different
cultural norms and behaviors in different
companies. As an integration manager,
Bernadette realized early on that she
would need to adapt her management
style and organizational decisions in order
to build credibility with and gain the trust
of the newly acquired or integrated em-
ployees.
Home and Personal Care Products’ em-
ployees are also well aware of the compa-
ny’s code of business conduct. Employees
conduct operations with honesty, integrity
and openness, and with respect for the
human rights and interests of all employ-
ees. The company places great emphasis
on ensuring accounting records and sup-
porting documents accurately describe
and reflect the nature of the underlying
transactions. The company is committed
to diversity in the work environment
where everyone feels responsible for the
performance and reputation of the com-
pany.
A list of the company acquisitions are in-
cluded in Exhibit I. Two of the companies
it acquired were in the cosmetics and fra-
grance segment. The first was a manufac-
turer a pricey line of lotions and fragranc-
es found mostly in department stores and
boutiques. Several years later the compa-
ny acquired a leading manufacturer and
marketer of cosmetics and hair care prod-
ucts, as well as deodorant and other skin-
care products. The products were lower-
priced well-known lines that were sold
mostly in drugstores and supermarkets.
Finally, two food companies were ac-
quired. One company was a leading ice
cream manufacturer with some of the
more recognized brands in the United
States. The second foods company was a
global foods conglomerate a maker of
well-known brands in mayonnaise, peanut
butter, soups, and many other food cate-
gories.
In spite of the enormous pressure to
achieve the synergies forecasted in the
business case, it was important for Berna-
dette to be certain that there was no uneth-
ical behavior on the part of the project and
management team responsible for the ac-
quisition and integration of these compa-
nies. The pressures to achieve synergies
can often result in people problems, cul-
tural value, and ethical differences that
impede the smooth integration of the two
companies. Synergies in acquisitions are
not achieved in over 70% of acquisitions,
as reported in The Complete Guide to Mer-
gers and Acquisitions (Galpin and Herndon,
2008) making this a real and important
consideration in any acquisition or inte-
gration.
For each acquisition, Bernadette needed to
ensure that the newly acquired assets were
secure. In addition, she had to ensure that
the acquired companies were not employ-
ing inappropriate accounting practices in
order to inflate their sales or earnings. In
other words, that the acquiring companies
were not “cooking their books.”
158
Securing the Assets – Acquisition I
The first accounting issue she encountered
was during the acquisition of a prestige
fragrance company. The company was lo-
cated several hours away from Berna-
dette’s office, therefore, she would travel
to the location several times a week and
stay in a local hotel. In the early days of
the company acquisition, Bernadette was
the only representatives of the parent cor-
poration on site. She often felt like an out-
sider and quickly realized that one of the
critical success factors was her ability to
manage herself. She also knew she had to
begin forming relationships and talking to
the people at the new location so she
would better understand the business.
There was much uncertainty in the minds
of the employees she encountered. She
scheduled a meeting with the company
Controller as her first order of business.
Controller Jeffrey Anderson
Bernadette met the Controller, Jeffrey An-
derson, during her first week at the new
location. She came prepared for the meet-
ing with the parent company accounting
manual, chart of accounts, code of conduct
and an accounting project plan for valua-
tion of the company’s assets. These doc-
uments, however, were of little interest to
Mr. Anderson. While he was polite and
professional, his management style was
clearly dictatorial. Jeffrey Anderson had
joined the Prestige Fragrance Company
twelve years before and had worked his
way up in the company with several pro-
motions. He was a CPA with a back-
ground in a major accounting firm. He
played a key role in the company’s growth
to a $1 billion dollar public company. He
was well respected by the Board of Direc-
tors and was not happy that he would
now be part of a small division in a much
larger company. Mr. Anderson’s right
hand employee was a Financial Account-
ing Manager named Allen Carpenter. Al-
len was also a CPA and CMA and had
been with the company for ten years. Al-
len was very concerned about his future
career path now that the company had
been acquired.
Safeguarding the Assets
Bernadette knew that one of her first ac-
tions was to make sure that the assets she
had now become responsible for were se-
cure. She reviewed with Mr. Anderson her
preliminary observations of the acquired
assets and the unusually high proportion
of “Other Assets” on the balance sheet.
She knew that often items in this category
are over looked by management because
they are non-core assets. While Mr. An-
derson did provide a list of the “Other As-
sets” in the acquired balance sheet, as part
of the due diligence, it was difficult to ex-
amine and understand the nature of each
of the items on the list and their relevance
to the operations of the company. Berna-
dette was keenly aware that her lack of
expertise in the prestige fragrance indus-
try might hinder her understanding of the
underlying transactions. She was also
aware that appearing to question the new-
ly acquired company’s accounting practic-
es would not be a first step in her efforts to
ingratiate herself with the Controller and
his staff.
159
After her first meeting with Mr. Ander-
son, she conducted a more detailed exam-
ination of the “Other Assets” and found
that many marketing expenses had been
capitalized. In this business, the controver-
sial and expensive commercials, both print
and television, were used to raise consum-
ers’ awareness of the prestige fragrances.
In some cases, the company pushed the
envelope with provocative and suggestive
advertisements. These costs were material
to the financial statements, in some cases
several million dollars. Concerned about
what she discovered, Bernadette decided
to discuss the matter with Mr. Anderson.
He told her, “Since the ad campaigns were
material to the financial results, even
though the commercials had already aired,
they would benefit future sales.” He
suggested that Bernadette not worry about
the issue she found.
Bernadette was also concerned about an
account entitled “Other accrued liabilities”
as it also relied heavily on estimation and
judgment. Again, she went to the Mr.
Anderson and asked for the standing
journal entry supporting documentation
for this account. He replied, “You don’t
understand our business and the need for
proper provisions to account for legal and
other reserves. These journal entries are
standard practice and you would know
that if you understood the volatility and
uncertainty of the prestige fragrance busi-
ness.” Bernadette scheduled a meeting
with Allen to review her concerns and
gain a further understanding of the sup-
porting documentation. Allen also ex-
plained, “Our business is unique and these
are typical entries for our industry. You do
not have the background or understand-
ing of these accounts. I provided you an
excel spreadsheet supporting the balances.
What else do you need?”
Bernadette believed it was her responsibil-
ity to raise these accounting issues with
the acquisition oversight committee, com-
prised of the CFO’s and CEO’s of both
businesses. Her challenge was to review
the more conservative accounting policies
of Home and Personal Care Products and
make it clear to the CFO of the acquired
company why she did not believe these
costs should be capitalized. She was also
concerned about the lack of supporting ev-
idence of the accruals. Mr. Anderson had
been running the business for years and
surely knew the history of accruals and
provisions required to manage the busi-
ness. Bernadette’s position was difficult.
She had to challenge Mr. Anderson’s posi-
tion without alienating the acquired team
and losing the trust of both him and the
finance team.
Bernadette cancelled all her appointments
the next few days and tried to reflect upon
the main issues that had arisen during her
meeting with Mr. Anderson:
• The acquired company did not ap-
pear to comply with generally ac-
cepted accounting principles but the-
se practices had been going on for
years. Was she correct in her inter-
pretation? Were the company’s rec-
ords unfairly presenting the financial
statements?
• The company had been issues an un-
qualified audit opinion. Should she
160
pursue this investigation with the
audit team? What would be the rami-
fications on her actions with the ac-
quired company’s team? Would they
continue to trust her?
• What further details might the ac-
quired company accountants provide
that would assist Bernadette during
her investigation of the records?
Planning and Reporting – Acquisition II
Bernadette was settled in to her role as the
Financial Accounting Manager for the
combined businesses, when in 2004 Home
and Personal Care Products announced
another acquisition of a $1 billion cosmetic
and fragrance manufacturer, based in Chi-
cago. Having been through a major mer-
ger and acquisition before, this one would
be much easier. After her first meeting
with the members of the new company,
she realized this acquisition was going to
be very different.
The Challenge - The Local Planning Pro-
cess and Team
This time Bernadette‘s challenge was that
she was brought in well after the acquisi-
tion had been finalized. Although Home
and Personal Care was clearly the surviv-
ing entity and the much larger company,
the target company acquired was not re-
ceptive to a finance employee intervening
in their operations. It was already the se-
cond quarter. Bernadette had to start the
budgeting process and, at the same time,
report second quarter results for the com-
bined companies. She met with the ac-
quired company’s Controller, John Ever-
green, who was responsible for financial
planning and reporting. Mr. Evergreen
was appointed to the Controller position
only a few years earlier having spent the
majority of his career at a competitor. He
did not have a detailed budget planning
process nor did she establish ownership
with the budget stakeholders. In addition,
when Bernadette examined the list of the
plan assumptions, they had only allowed
for the best-case scenario.
Again, as the representative of the parent
company, Bernadette would be viewed as
an outsider rather than a trusted colleague
of the close-knit acquired company team.
The annual budget was a closely guarded
document that was viewed as a financial
plan and not a comprehensive business
plan. Bernadette was concerned that the
lack of a detailed planning process might
lead to earnings being inflated or losses
disregarded. She was also concerned that
most departments did not appear to be a
part of the annual budget process. When
she spoke to some of the employees, most
were not aware of the “big picture” per-
spective of the company operations. She
decided to use this as an opportunity to
show the members of the acquired com-
pany that there could be advantages of
working with her and the parent compa-
ny.
The local management team of the ac-
quired company, however, did not trust
Bernadette and some were convinced she
was a spy sent to report their activities
back to headquarters or assess potential
talent. The Assistant Controller of the or-
ganization, Laura Reinhardt, was one of
Bernadette’s main contacts in the acquired
company so she decided to take her to
161
lunch to see if she could gain a better un-
derstanding of the culture and environ-
ment. Laura’s background was with a big
four accounting firm and she was recently
promoted to Assistant Controller several
years earlier.
Bernadette began with a list of questions
for Laura such as “Who takes responsibil-
ity of the final planning figures?” “How
realistic do you believe the budget is?”
“How often do you prepare reports of
progress against the budget?” “Do you
understand the processes that you are
modeling in your budget?” Bernadette
began to realize that many of these ques-
tions were unfamiliar to Laura. Was there
a lack of control in the existing planning
process and did the budgets really reflect
local management’s goals, or were they
even involved in the process? Bernadette
looked at this situation as an opportunity
to build relationships with local manage-
ment and the senior members of the lead-
ership team. She realized her challenge
was to help them develop a realistic budg-
et which truly represented the business
and facilitated both planning and perfor-
mance monitoring. Bernadette knew that a
new financial planning process would un-
cover if the business being acquired was
mismanaged or if there were areas where
controls were weak or worse, non-existent.
Information Security – Acquisition III
Several years’ later Home and Personal
Care Products acquired a premium ice
cream manufacturer with creative flavor
names based in New Hampshire. They
needed to preserve this company’s market
niche, which was based in no small part
on the image of social responsibility and
activism. This company gave ten percent
of their profits to charity. They also creat-
ed many business opportunities for de-
pressed areas and disadvantaged people.
The company used environmentally
friendly packaging and paid a premium to
local dairy farmers who did not give their
cows growth hormones.
This time Bernadette was certain she
would have fun working on the acquisi-
tion. During her first visit there, she no-
ticed skateboards, dogs, and a very casual
laid-back atmosphere, making this corpo-
rate headquarters very different from the
one she had just left. She met with the
Controller who told her the company was
in the process of beginning the implemen-
tation of new Enterprise Resource Plan-
ning (ERP) software to manage the finan-
cials of the company. Bernadette was
concerned that the company might not re-
quire the same high-level implementation
standards as Home and Personal Care
Products, but the Controller was adamant
that the implementation was on track to
begin just one month after the acquisition.
The Controller, Paul Hammerstein, was
promoted up the ranks of the company,
having begun his career in information
technology. He witnessed the company’s
growth from a locally manufactured ice
cream brand made in a small garage, to a
brand that was now nationally recognized
as a premium ice cream. Mr. Hammerstein
explained to Bernadette during their first
meeting that the company’s information
technology infrastructure was failing to
meet the demands of the company’s recent
162
growth in sales. He was extremely con-
vincing in assuring her that “the imple-
mentation of the new system will help
reengineer our business processes and
help support the company’s dramatic
growth in sales.” He told Bernadette that,
“the new ERP system is clearly aligned
with the company’s strategy, structure and
processes, and the project was under the
control of the IT organization.” After all,
he tried to convince Bernadette that
though she understood financial processes
only an IT professional could really un-
derstand a complex ERP system like the
one they were implementing.
Bernadette had prior experience imple-
menting the ERP system and was aware
that it was often a challenging and com-
plex project. She realized during her se-
cond visit that capturing the data she need
to prepared combined financial reporting
and prepare the acquisition balance sheet
was going to be difficult. The company
began the implementation of a software
package that was not integrated with their
other operations. The IT and Accounting
implementation team was made up of
employees of the acquired company
where the culture was much more laid
back with decentralized decision making
authority. Access to the system was con-
trolled by the finance team of the acquired
company and, therefore, Bernadette could
not access user profiles. User profiles play
a significant role in security of information
allowing employees to access only infor-
mation, applications, and functionality re-
quired for their specific jobs.
When Bernadette approached the Mr.
Hammerstein, he told her not to worry
and that he had total control over the fi-
nancial statements. His financial account-
ing manager would provide all the finan-
cial reporting that she needed and the new
system, although delayed, would eventu-
ally be sufficient to comply with our com-
pany’s financial accounting policies and
procedures. He assured her that no key
personnel involved in the new system
would leave and that she would be able to
work with the employees to satisfy any is-
sues of information security. Again, Ber-
nadette faced a difficult choice. How could
she ensure the acquired company’s finan-
cial statement preparation will not be
compromised?
Acquisition IV – Authority Levels
It was now 2011, and having three major
acquisitions under her belt, Bernadette be-
lieved that she had surely seen everything.
She was promoted to Assistant Controller
of Home and Personal Care Global Prod-
ucts when a $24 billion acquisition of a
major foods manufacturer was announced.
This acquisition would make her company
one of the world’s dominant packaged
goods company. With such a significant
acquisition, she was certain that she quick-
ly would be assigned to integrate the fi-
nancials of the two businesses.
This company was also located several
hours away from the company headquar-
ters. She would again be spending her
time in a local hotel and managing the ac-
quisition while away from home. Her first
order of business was to set up a meeting
with Mark Romanowski, the company
163
Controller. Just as she had done in past
acquisitions, she went to the meeting with
her normal arsenal of company docu-
ments. Mr. Romanowski was unlike the
other Controller’s she had met in the past.
He was very receptive to her visit and
even sent her an email that said, “I would
like to arrange a two hour meeting with
you to discuss the financial policies and
procedures of your company and compare
them to our existing accounting manual.”
Bernadette was elated. Surely, this time
the acquisition would be uneventful.
During her very first meeting with Mr.
Romanowski, he provided Bernadette
with the company accounting manual and
table of authorities. He asked her to re-
view the documents and meet with him in
a few days to determine if there was any-
thing in conflict with the parent compa-
ny’s policies or procedures. Bernadette
was pleased with his cooperation. What
she was not prepared for, however, was
the very detailed Table of Authorities’
schedule he gave her. The document was
forty-five pages of detailed positions and
names of individuals who were able to
commit company resources and funds.
When she questioned the finance team and
some of the other departments, she found
that it was not well understood by either
the staff or the management. She found
that while it was well documented it was
not monitored effectively for compliance.
Bernadette decided to dig a little further
and validate some of the agreements sup-
porting the accounts payable transactions.
She knew from her past experiences that a
poorly defined table of authorities might
lead to instances of unethical supplier
agreements where the details were not
disclosed and only visible to the controller
of the acquired company. Bernadette
scheduled another meeting with Mr.
Romanowski upon completion of her re-
view. Mr. Romanowski continued to be
cooperative. He assured Bernadette that a
very detailed table of authorities was the
best way to ensure everyone in the organi-
zation would knew their authority levels
and there would never be any unauthor-
ized transactions.
Case Requirements
Acquisition I - Securing the Assets -
Prestige Fragrance Acquisition –
Q1. In the first acquisition of the Prestige
Fragrance organization, identify factors in-
fluencing the use of inappropriate or ag-
gressive accounting practices during peri-
ods of mergers or acquisitions.
Q2. Discuss the issues facing the Berna-
dette when challenging existing policies
and procedures of the acquired company.
Acquisition II – Hair and Skin Care
Manufacturer - Planning and Reporting
Q3. Once the determination was made
that the budget submitted by the acquired
company Controller was too optimistic
what actions should have been initiated by
the acquiring company’s finance team?
Q4. If the budget was prepared using on-
ly the best case scenario, what might the
acquired company finance manager have
suggested to make the budget a more real-
istic forecast?
Q5. What actions outlined in the Institute
of Management Accountants (IMA)
164
Statement of Ethical Professional Practice
might have helped identify appropriate
actions in resolving the ethics dilemmas
presented in this acquisition.
Acquisition III – Information Security -
Ice Cream Company Acquisition
Q6. What alternative actions could have
been taken to prevent the loss of key fi-
nancial information during the merger?
Q7. What actions outlined in the Institute
of Management Accountants (IMA)
Statement of Ethical Professional Practice
might have helped identify appropriate
actions in resolving the ethics dilemmas
presented in this acquisition.
Acquisition IV – Authority Levels –
Foods Manufacturer
Q8. What other actions should Bernadette
have taken when she realized that inap-
propriate or unethical actions occurred in
the acquired company?
Q9. What other risks to the business exist
when a proper table of authorities is not
well understood by business leaders?
Q10. Are there any other ethical frame-
works that may have helped Bernadette
resolved some of the ethical dilemmas in
this case?
References
Armstrong, R., & Kirk, S. (2013). HP and
autonomy: How to lose $8.8bn. FT.Com
Boatright, J.. (2010). Finance Ethics: Criti-
cal Issues in Theory and Practice (Rob-
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and Sons, Hoboken, N.J.
Flanagan, D, Kreuze, J., Smith, O., (2004).
Merger and Acquisition Opportunities,
The Internal Auditor, 61,4,55-59.
Frankel, M. (2005). Merger and Acquisi-
tion Basics. John Wiley and Sons, Ho-
boken, N.J.
Galpin, T., & Whittington, J. L. (2010).
Merger repair: A conceptual framework
for restoring Employer/Employee rela-
tionships. Journal of Behavioral and Ap-
plied Management, 12(1), 48-68
Giving Voice to Values Curriculum. Re-
trieved May 17th, 2013 from
www.givingvoicetovalues.org
Hitt, M. A., Harrison, J. S. & Ireland, R. D.
(2001). Mergers and acquisitions: A
guide to creating value for stakeholders.
Oxford, England: Oxford University
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Practice. Imanet.org. Retrieved May
17th, 2013 from
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n.aspx.
Laurence, Capron and, K. S. (2005, Jun 03).
How M&As can lead to governance
failure. Financial Times.
Tarasovich, B., Lyons, B., Gerlach, J. (2008).
After the Acquisition, Strategic Finance,
90, 4, 25-31.
Warnell, J. M. (2011). "Ask more" of busi-
ness education: Giving voice to values
for emerging leaders. Journal of Busi-
ness Ethics Education, 8, 320-325.
Werhane, P. H., & Mead, J. (2009). Cynthia
cooper and WorldCom (A). Char-
lottesville
Werhane, P. H. (1988). Two ethical issues
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Business Ethics, 7(1-2), 41.
165
Exhibit 1
Author
Barbara Tarasovich, D.P.S., C.P.A., Assistant Accounting Professor, Department of Ac-
counting and Information Systems , John F. Welch College of Business, Park Avenue,
Fairfield, CT 06825, [email protected]
166
Drug Revolution/Grace Pharmaceuticals Joint Venture
Karen M. Hogan, & Gerard T. Olson
Abstract
This case is a joint venture decision between a large fictional pharmaceutical company
called Drug Revolution and a biotech firm known as Grace Pharmaceuticals. The joint
venture is an international venture which evaluates the financial potential of a new
Type II Diabetes drug. The drug known as Zipit will be marketed both in the US and
through Europe over the course of the drug’s patented life. The students are asked to
develop detailed proforma and cash flow analyses given marketing and financial esti-
mates already known about the drug, calculate the cost of capital, compute NPVs, do a
sensitivity analysis with expected values, and discuss other investment analysis tools
available to the firm. This case is suitable for both upper level undergraduate corporate
case or mergers and acquisitions class as well as an MBA level corporate class.
Background Information
In early 2013, Kieran Gregory, President
and CEO of Drug Revolution, met with
members of a joint-venture negotiating
team to develop proposed terms of a joint
venture agreement. The venture would
combine capabilities of Drug Revolution,
Inc. and Grace Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Drug Revolution has announced that it is
interested in acquiring a 70% share to
Zipit a Liquid Filled Capsules from Grace
Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Zipit is specifically
indicated for the relief of mild to moder-
ate acute pain in adults (18 years of age or
older). Zipit is supplied as a 25mg liquid
filled capsule for oral administration. The
approved dose is 25 mg four times a day.
The product uses proprietary delivery
technology to deliver a finely dispersed,
rapidly absorbed formulation of the drug.
The mechanism of action of Zipit, like that
of other NSAIDs, is not completely under-
stood but may involve inhibition of the
cyclooxygenase (COX-1 and COX-2)
pathways. Zipit’s mechanism may also be
related to prostaglandin synthetase inhibi-
tion.
Zipit was introduced to the US market by
Grace Pharmaceuticals in 2009 after it was
approved by the FDA that same year.
While Grace Pharmaceuticals has done a
decent job of marketing Zipit, the compa-
ny doesn’t have much in the way of extra
funds or detailed distribution channels so
the sales could potentially be much higher
than what Grace has been able to achieve
at this point. Drug Revolution is looking
to acquire a 70% share in the product in
return for an upfront payment to Grace of
$25.9 million in cash.
"We are pleased to expand our portfolio
of pain products with the addition of Zipit
to our sales force of 164 reps and 78 flex
reps that today are detailing Drug Revolu-
tion’s small molecule pain medications,"
said Kieran Gregory of Drug Revolution.
"Zipit is an NSAID that we believe is dif-
ferentiated in the pain space, allowing
167
rapid absorption of the lowest available
oral dose of the drug. Zipit will have an
almost immediate positive impact on
Drug Revolution’s financials. We believe
we will have the runway to achieve signif-
icant returns for our shareholders from
this joint venture, with the Orange Book
listed patent for Zipit expiring in 2030. We
plan to utilize our sales force to promote
Zipit to pain specialists, neurologists, and
high prescribing PCPs, including those we
currently detail for our small molecule
drug in addition to current prescribers of
Zipit."
Grace Pharmaceuticals had been looking
for a partner that would contribute cash
and marketing expertise in exchange for a
share of profits in a joint venture.
The joint venture with Grace was attrac-
tive to Drug Revolution for several rea-
sons as noted above. Kieran Gregory was
eager to conclude a deal with Grace’s
board and launch the venture with Grace.
Important questions, however, had to be
addressed before consummating an
agreement.
• What was the likely NPV of the joint
venture? Gregory wanted the joint
venture to be a 70/30 balance of in-
terests between Drug Revolution
and Grace Pharmaceuticals. Initial
discussions had focused on Drug
Revolution paying a lump-sum
payment of $25.9 million for their 70
percent interest in the venture.
Rather than concentrate efforts on the next
big hit Drug Revolution had decided to
manage its R&D like a portfolio by out-
sourcing innovations through partner-
ships. Drug Revolution’s strategy was to
supplement its internal R&D with strate-
gic alliances with external companies in
order to access high-quality products in
late-stage development or recent approv-
al. Because of encouraging results of
Grace Pharmaceutical’s limited launch of
the drug, management believed that Zipit
would be launched full force in the U.S.
immediately and in Europe starting 2014.
The possible joint venture between Drug
Revolution and Grace Pharmaceuticals
would concern only the U.S. and Europe-
an markets. Depending on market condi-
tions (e.g. competition, health-care poli-
cies, patents and market need), the life
cycle of Zipit drug was estimated at 18
years including year 2013.
Market Characteristics
The target markets for Grace Pharmaceu-
ticals were patients with mild to moderate
arthritis who would be treatable with an
NSAID category drug. Drug Revolution’s
projections show that there are approxi-
mately 250 million current prescriptions
filled each year for these types of ail-
ments. Drug Revolution estimates a com-
pounded annual rate of 5 percent over the
last 10 years, driven by multiple factors
including the aging of the population and
increases in the incidence of chronic ill-
ness. They feel comfortable that the 5%
growth rate will continue in the US for the
length of the project. Europe has the same
number of prescriptions for forecasting
purposes, with the prescriptions growing
at approximately 6% annually. These
growth rates were expected to continue
into the foreseeable future.
168
Forecast of Income Statements
Since many factors vary predictably with
the volume of sales, the primary variable
forecasted was Zipit revenues. People
with aspirin-sensitive asthma or allergic
reactions due to aspirin or other NSAIDs
should not take Zipit. Prescription Zipit
should be used exactly as prescribed at
the lowest possible dose for the shortest
time needed. The team projects that after
being fully rolled out in the U.S. market
during 2013 the drug is expected to enter
the European market the following year.
It is estimated that 90 percent of the U.S.
market would be eligible for the drug,
while this ratio might be lower (85 per-
cent) for the European market. Many fac-
tors are expected to influence revenues.
• Peak penetration rate in the mar-
ket: Based on different marketing
analyses and analysts’ reports, the
best guess of market penetration
for the drug are seen in below:
Market 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Penetration 7.00% 15.00% 20.00% 35.00% 45.00% 45.00% 45.00% 45.00% 45.00%
Market 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Penetration 45.00% 45.00% 45.00% 45.00% 45.00% 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% 20.00%
• Compliance: Not all patients who use
the drug will do so faithfully, even with
a doctor strongly recommending its use.
The team believes that the most likely
compliance rate would be an average of
87 percent. (i.e. The number of actual
prescriptions filled in any given year
would be equal to (eligible prescrip-
tions)*(percent penetration)*(.87))
• Price per prescription: The annual price
of the drug per patient would depend on
many things, including how many cap-
sules the patient used and competitive
pressures on the price that could be
charged for the capsules. The joint-
venture team had worked up an esti-
mated figure of $300 as the average cost
per prescription filled.
Variable Costs:
Although the variable costs of the drug
are hard to pinpoint, they are not the
most critical variable in the success of
the drug. The team members decided
to use the industry average of 30% of
annual sales revenues to forecast varia-
ble costs each year.
Fixed Costs:
Fixed Costs which would include sales,
marketing, and general and administra-
tive expenses are projected as follows
(Note: the values are in thousands of
dollars):
169
Fixed 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Expenses 4,800 6,950 10,500 12,500 15,000 16,250 17,500 18,500 19,500
Fixed 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Expenses 20,500 21,500 23,000 22,000 22,000 22,000 22,000 22,000 22,000
Net Working Capital:
Net working capital for the joint ven-
ture is estimated to comprise a 45-day
collection period for receivables, a 90-
day period for Zipit inventory, and a 45
day period for payables. Below are the
overall changes in net working capital
for each year. (Note: the values are in
thousands of dollars):
Change 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
In NWC (100) (1,000) (1,322) (2,358) (5,777) (8,497) (7,887) (3,993) (2,178)
Change 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
In NWC (2,340) (2,025) (1,607) (1,792) (1,697) (1,242) (315) (215) (100)
Capital Expenses and Depreciation Ex-
penses:
The team forecasts capital spending of
$7.1 million, split over the first three years
of the venture (i.e. outflows of $2.5 million
in 2013, $2.6 million in 2014, and $2.0 mil-
lion in 2015). The yearly depreciation used
is show below (Note: the values are in
thousands of dollars):
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Depreciation 400 400 950 950 950 950 950 950 950
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Depreciation 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950
Cost of Capital:
The last decision that had to be made by
the Drug Revolution’s joint-venture team is
choosing a required rate of return for dis-
counting the cash flows for the joint ven-
ture. The company’s debt currently has a
yield to maturity of 10%. The tax rate ap-
propriate for the joint-venture was 30%.
Debt constitutes 30% of the cost of capital.
Preferred stock usually makes up 10% of all
capital and the average current cost of pre-
ferred is 14%. Common stock makes up
60% of all capital sources and has an aver-
age cost of 16.5%. While the firm expects
170
the drug to be a success they recognize that
most new drug ventures come with addi-
tional risks and thus have designated a risk
premium of 4.6% in addition to the calcu-
lated weighted average cost of capital.
Capital Budgeting Analysis:
1. Set up the Net Income Statement for
the joint venture.
2. Calculate the Joint-Venture’s annual
cash flows from the project.
3. Calculate the Net Present Value of the
overall joint venture prior to Drug
Revolution’s payment of $25.9 million
under a base case scenario.
4. Assuming Drug Revolution will nego-
tiate a 70% share in the venture and
that they pay a lump sum payment of
$25.9 million in 2013, what is the re-
sulting NPV to Drug Revolution un-
der the base case scenario?
5. How much will Grace end up with in-
cluding the $25.9 million cash pay-
ment under the base case scenario?
6. Should Drug Revolution enter into
this joint venture using only the base
case scenario? Explain your answer.
7. As a way of understanding how sensi-
tive their numbers are to sales fore-
casts Drug Revolution has decided to
analyze the NPV using a sensitivity
analysis based off the Total Revenue
for all sources of income line on the
proforma statement. Drug Revolution
will use a +/- 20% of Total Global Sales
to estimate how sensitive their NPV
results are to changes in total global
revenue. Determine what the NPV
for each of these scenarios would be.
8. Assume the base case is assigned a
probability of occurrence of 50%. Al-
so assume that the best and worst case
scenarios have probabilities of 10%
and 40% respectively. Given these ad-
justments what would the expected
NPV for Drug Revolution be? Should
this analysis adjust your recommen-
dations of an accept/reject decision for
Drug Revolution?
9. What are some of the other methods
that are used to evaluate investment
projects and compare them to NPV?
No specific calculations here, just a
discussion. Explain some of the po-
tential drawbacks in this specific case
with using the other investment eval-
uation methods.
10. Would it be possible to calculate the
IRR of this joint-venture? What are
the possible problems, if any, with its
calculation in this specific problem?
Authors
Karen M. Hogan, Haub School of Business, Saint Joseph’s University, 5600 City Ave,
Philadelphia, PA 19131-1395, [email protected]
Gerard T. Olson, Department of Finance, School of Business, Villanova University, Vil-
lanova PA 19085, [email protected]
171
From Jail Time to Swagger, Romance and Machoism: Changing the Im-
age of the Minivan
Mary Catherine Colley
Abstract
The minivan is considered uncool and embarrassing by most people, and even called
ugly by some. Even though a minivan is more practical, roomier, and gets better gas
mileage than an SUV, many people refuse to drive one. Thus, marketers have been chal-
lenged to change the image of the minivan in the mind of the consumer and are using
commercials focusing on specific target markets to relate to the consumers. The top four
brands which comprise 91% of the minivan market compete head to head to woo con-
sumers. Television commercials used by these brands are analyzed with regard to target
market and the topic of the commercials as it relates to the specific target markets.
Keywords: minivan, target market, brand preference
The minivan. Uncool. Embarrassing.
That’s how some people might describe it.
Practical. Lots of room. Better gas mileage
than an SUV. Better than a truck (yes you
read that right). That is how some people
who do own a minivan will describe it.
How does a marketer change the image
for those who refuse to drive one and turn
them in to potential buyers? For those
who cannot stand the thought of owning
a minivan, marketers are beginning to
understand these types of consumers and
now are utilizing commercials in ways
that help the consumer identify with the
minivan.
I. History of the Minivan
To explain the bad rap of the minivan, it is
best to know the beginnings of the
minivan’s poor image. There is no docu-
mentation of the beginning concept of the
minivan from an “uncool” factor, but one
could argue the style of the minivan did
not help its cause. The stigma attached to
minivans has driven people to purchase
SUVs and crossovers. Although the
minivan’s image may have been en-
grained in people’s minds earlier, one
commercial could have helped set the
precedence. In August 2004 Carmichael
Lynch Advertising created a commercial
for Harley Davidson which also ran dur-
ing March Madness on ESPN, ESPN2, and
ABC the same year. A Harley rider pulls
up next to a man in a minivan and says
“You in the minivan, how long you in for?
It’s time to ride.” Harley may or may not
claim the beginnings of the uncoolness of
the minivan; the birth of the SUV proba-
bly did most of the damage as well as the
bulky style of the minivan, but it certainly
did not help its image. It helped set the
tone for what driving a minivan means:
being a prisoner of the ultimate uncool
vehicle.
Regarding the Harley commercial, Tom
Watson, director of marketing for Mil-
172
waukee-based Harley claimed, “The spot
follows up on a theme which encourages
people to act now and fulfill their dreams
of owning a Harley-Davidson.” In an at-
tempt to express the feeling of freedom
that riding a Harley can bring to a rider, it
also helped convey what it meant to own
a minivan. It gives the notion that owning
a minivan is a jail sentence of which one
can only be set free when the children are
grown and leave the home.
Minivans began to lose its cool image
when SUVs hit the market.42 In addition to
its poor image, Choo and Mokhtarian43
reveal in their research that minivan own-
ers are considered calm, possibly because
they are settled into the throws of
parenthood. So when you put calm and
uncool together, it makes for one boring
vehicle; thus, possibly increasing interest
in the SUV that can seat just as many peo-
ple. The thought of owning a minivan
seems to still make some parents of young
children cringe at the thought of owning
one while others praise the space and ease
of loading and hauling young children
around town, on vacations, and to sport-
ing events.
There are people who drive and embrace
the minivan for its utility and function
and others who despise it for its style.
42 Lyneka Little, “The Man Van: A Gender Neutral Minivan for
Men? Chrysler’s New Dodge Grand Caravan RT: The Minivan
for Men,” ABC News/Money February 9, 2011
(http://abcnews.go.com/m/story?id=12866809&sid =74).
43 Sangho Choo and Patricia Mokhtarian, “What Type of Vehi-
cle Do People Drive? The Role of Attitude and Lifestyle in In-
fluencing Vehicle Type Choice,” Transportation Research Part A
Policy and Practice 38 (2004): 201-222
(http://www.uctc.net/papers/721.pdf).
Some parents refuse to own a minivan be-
cause of the status attached to it and
therefore to a possible level of inconven-
ience, opt for an SUV that looks more hip,
but may be more difficult to load and un-
load children and gets less miles to the
gallon. Haq 44 claims that marketers have
something in their favor though:
“Millenials have grown up around
minivans, driven them for their first cars
and come to appreciate them; therefore,
they should have fewer reservations when
considering a vehicle.” Toyota, Honda
and Dodge have attempted to change the
image of the minivan in the mind of their
consumers by using three different ap-
proaches in their commercials.
The one piece of intriguing information
about the minivan market is that only half
of the minivan owners have children45. So
what about the other half? Although the
thought is only people with young chil-
dren drive minivans, there is another
segment of owners that is not discussed.
Although there was no data found on the
other half of the minivan market, several
comments on discussion boards like
Bunkley’s46 2011 article “Mocked as Un-
cool, the Minivan Rises Again” revealed
that men like minivans better than trucks
for hauling. The argument is that
minivans are enclosed, items are protect- 44 Zain Haq, “Minivan Segment about to be Cool Again…No
Comment,” egmCarTech October 18, 2010
(http://www.egmcartech.com/2010/10/18/minivan-segment-
about-to-be-cool-again-no-comment/).
45 Little, The man van. 46
Nick Bunkley, “Mocked as Uncool, the Minivan Rises
Again,” The New York Times January 3, 2011
(http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/04/business/
04minivan.html).
173
ed from weather, and there is access from
the inside to what is being hauled. In ad-
dition, older people who have a need for
mobile chairs say minivans are easier to
convert for their needs47. Interestingly
enough, although half of the minivans are
not sold to young families, the focus of
minivan commercials is on either young
families or a young couple thinking about
having a family. There is some question
about the number of minivans sold to
fleet which may play into the “only half of
minivan drivers have children factor”
however, there is some research stating
older people buy minivans as well.
Marketers struggle with identifying well
with their target market to increase pur-
chase intent. The drop in the number of
companies that manufacture minivans is
advantageous for the marketers because
brand recall should be easier to accom-
plish, but the advantages stop there. Re-
cent minivan commercials are now focus-
ing on specific target markets for the
minivan.
II. Creating a Brand Personality
Mark Twain once said “You can’t depend
on your eyes when your imagination is
out of focus.” Just the appearance of the
minivan is a deterrent to many, so mar-
keters have to work with what they have
to attempt to change the image of the
minivan in the consumer’s mind. Some
consumers seem to prefer to forego some
of the conveniences and functionality of
owning a minivan just to not be associat-
ed with it; therefore, creating a personali-
47 Little, The man van.
ty for a brand can bring many positive as-
pects for the product. A few of those posi-
tive aspects include: influencing consumer
preference and usage48, stirring consumer
emotions49, encouraging the processing of
information (Biel, 1992)50, encouraging
self-expression and association51, provid-
ing a basis for product differentiation52,
and influencing brand attitudes and cog-
nitive associations53.
The concept of brand personality in re-
search has gained traction over the last
three decades and is defined by Freling,
Crosno, and Henard54 as “a brand’s ability
to appeal to consumers through the com-
bination of human characteristics associ-
ated with it.” Advertisers and marketers
know that a brand’s personality plays an
important role in consumer attitudes and
purchase intentions toward a product55.
Therefore, to improve purchase intention,
the third dimension of brand preference,
48 M. Joseph Sirgy, “Self-Concept in Consumer Behavior: A
Critical Review,” Journal of Consumer Research 9 (1982): 287-300.
49 Alexander Biel, “Converting Image into Equity,” in David.
A. Aaker and Alexander L. Biel (eds.), Brand Equity and Adver-
tising (Hillsdale: Lawrence Erlbaum, 1993): pp. 67-82.
50 Alexander Biel, “How Brand Image Drives Brand Equity,”
Journal of Advertising Research 32 (1992): RC-6-RC-12.
51Russell Belk, “Possessions and the Extended Self,” Journal of
Consumer Research 15 (1988): 139-168.
52 Jennifer L. Aaker, “The Value of Brand Equity,” The Journal of
Business Strategy 13 (1992): 27-32.
53 Traci H. Freling, and Lukas P. Forbes, “An Examination of
Brand Personality Through Methodological Triangulation,”
Journal of Brand Management 13 (2005): 148-162.
54Traci H. Freling, Jody L. Crosno, and David H. Henard,
“Brand Personality Appeal: Conceptualization and Empirical
Validation,” Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science 39
(2011): 392-406.
55 Joseph T. Plummer, “Brand Personality: A Strategic Concept
for Multinational Advertising,” In Marketing Educators Con-
ference (New York: Young and Rubicam.1985): 1-31.
174
Toyota, Honda and Dodge created brand
personalities to appeal to their target
market which is discussed when describ-
ing the commercials.
Relying on brand personality alone may
not increase purchase intent, so Freling,
Crosno, and Henard56 developed and test-
ed Brand Personality Appeal (BPA). BPA
contains major factors in a consumer’s
purchase intentions and consists of three
dimensions: favorability, originality, and
clarity. It was developed to further ad-
vance Aaker’s57 Brand Personality Scale
(BPS) to “attempt to measure consumers’
feelings regarding a brand’s personality
and how a brand personality will affect
target consumers’ purchase intentions”58.
The BPS consists of five dimensions: sin-
cerity, excitement, competence, sophisti-
cation and ruggedness59.
Just relying on one BPA dimension does
not ensure purchase intent. A product can
be seen as favorable, but it also needs to
be viewed as different from other brand
personalities. However, in addition to
these two dimensions, clarity is also im-
portant. Clarity allows the target consum-
ers to recognize the brand60. Marketers
must ensure the brand personality ap-
peals clearly to their target market. Once
56 Freling and Forbes, “ An Examination of Brand Personality
Through Methodological Triangulation” 57 Jennifer L. Aaker, “Dimensions of Brand Personality,” Journal
of Marketing Research 34 (August 1997): 347-56.
58 Traci H. Freling, Jody L. Crosno, and David H. Henard,
“Brand Personality Appeal: Conceptualization and Empirical
Validation.”
59 Jennifer L. Aaker, “Dimensions of Brand Personality”
60 Traci H. Freling, Jody L. Crosno, and David H. Henard,
“Brand Personality Appeal: Conceptualization and Empirical
Validation.”
the brand personality has been clearly set,
then the marketers can use it to build
brand preference in their target market.
As the minivan commercials mentioned
later show, Toyota Sienna is the only
brand that seemed to really focus on the
personality of the types of people (parents
in this case) that drive a minivan). An
Odyssey commercial helped to show the
lifestage or age that one of the men in the
commercial might be in by using 80s hair-
bands to show the split DVD player.
III. Building Brand Preference
Consumers are known to buy products
that represent their lifestyle and “brands
serve as identity signals for consumers”61.
When consumers choose their vehicles as
a form of self-expression, owning a
minivan is perceived as a poor option.
These days one can customize most new
vehicles such as color, navigation, leather,
sunroof, etc., but the body style of the
minivan leaves little choice. Although, at
one time, 14 minivan models existed in
the U.S., today only four models make up
91% of the minivan sales in the U.S: Hon-
da Odyssey, Dodge Caravan, Chrysler
Town and Country and the Toyota Sien-
na62. Having only four models leaves little
variety for consumers when it comes to
choosing a minivan; therefore, little dis-
tinction or opportunity for self-expression
61 Jonah Berger, and Chip Heath, “Where Consumers Diverge
from Others: Identity Signaling and Product Domains,” Journal
of Consumer Research 34 (2007): 121-34.
62 Colin Bird, “Minivan Segment Swaggers Back to Life,”
Cars.com July 9, 2010
(http://blogs.cars. com/kickingtires/2010/07/minivan-segment-
swaggers-back-to-life.html).
175
for the consumer exists. The number of
competing brands in a product category
affects the consumers’ ability to recall and
evaluate a particular brand63. Since four
models represent the majority of the
minivan purchases in the U.S., marketers
can capitalize on this small number to
build brand preference and use commer-
cials to convey the life stage its target
market.
In order to compete, they must be able to
differentiate beyond brand alone. Market-
ers want to entice those people who have
avoided the minivan because of its overall
poor image. If consumers believe their
vehicle choice to be a form of self-
expression, marketers know the minivan
needs an image makeover in order to
build brand preference. The three dimen-
sions of brand preference are: a brand’s
personal relevance, a brand’s perceived
uniqueness, and a consumer’s willingness
to pay for a particular brand64. These are
all pertinent to wooing minivan buyers.
The brand’s relevance is the degree to
which consumers perceive a brand to be
related to their identity65,66,67. The lack of
variety in style that the minivan offers 63 Kevin Keller, “Conceptualizing, Measuring, and Managing
Customer-Based Brand Equity,” Journal of Marketing, 57
(1993): 1-22.
64 Alexander Chernev, Ryan Hamilton, & David Gal, “Compet-
ing for Consumer Identity: Limits to Self-Expression and the
Perils of Lifestyle Branding,” Journal of Marketing 75 (2011): 66-
82.
65 Aaker, Dimensions of Brand Personality 66 Jennifer L, Aaker, Susan Fourner, and S. Adam Brasel, “When
good brands do bad,” Journal of Consumer Research 31 (1) (2004):
1-16.
67 Susan Fournier, “Consumers and Their Brands; Developing
Relationship Theory in Consumer Research,” Journal of Con-
sumer Research 24 (1998): 343-73.
leads to fewer ways for consumers to be
perceived as unique or different. It is dif-
ficult to be self-expressive when one’s ve-
hicle choice is mostly limited to the four
most popular models. A consumer may
have a strong need to own a minivan but
completely rejects the idea of owning one
because of the negative perception that
owning a minivan carries.
This is where marketers may have their
greatest challenge; how to make the
minivan a desirable product and also re-
flect favorably upon and personally with
the consumer. To make the product rele-
vant to the consumer, marketers focus on
the minivan’s brand attributes to relate to
a consumer’s life stage and lifestyle
throughout the commercial since “con-
sumers use brands to express and validate
their identity” 68,69;70. It also conveys the
types of customers companies are target-
ing through the use of the actors’ life stag-
es, lifestyle, and personality in the com-
mercials.
A brand’s perceived uniqueness is the se-
cond dimension of brand preference. Be-
cause minivans differentiate very little in
their external design, Honda focuses their
commercials on the many attributes that
can be found inside the minivan, such as a
split screen television, speaker systems, a
cooler, and storage. Marketers use these
68 Aaker, “Dimensions of Brand Personality” 69 Jonah Berger, and Chip Heath, “Where Consumers Diverge
from Others: Identity Signaling and Product Domains” 70
Jennifer E. Escalas, and James R. Bettman, “Self-Construal,
Reference Groups, and Brand Meaning,” Journal of Consumer
Research 32 (3) (2005): 378-89.
176
elements to convey their uniqueness. In
addition to the attributes inside the
minivan, they also attempt to convey a
unique image or personality of their
minivan. Although Toyota shows little of
the inside of the minivan, they use the hip
and cool parents singing a rap video to
convey their target market by using the
actors’ personalities. Honda uses many of
the inside attributes of the minivan and
music to set the tone for the image they
want to convey.
The third dimension, a consumer’s will-
ingness to pay for a particular brand can
relate to how strong the need is for a con-
sumer to be self-expressive via a vehicle
purchase. Marketers are attempting to
create a brand personality to build brand
preference so as to increase purchase in-
tent. The price of the minivan is not a de-
terrent itself as they are priced in approx-
imately the same range as many SUVs.
Base price for the minivan models dis-
cussed range from $27,000 for the Toyota
Sienna to $39,995 for the Chrysler Town
and Country. Therefore price does not
seem to be a factor in willingness to pay.
It appears mostly to be the image con-
sumers are not willing to pay for. This al-
so coincided with the significant drop in
the past decade in the number of
minivans sold in the U.S.
IV. Analysis of Minivan Sales
For the last decade, minivan sales have
been dropping steadily. As a part of the
overall market share for vehicles the
minivan has dropped from 6.3% in 2002 to
4% in 201071. The number of manufactur-
ers who have left the minivan market
since 2002 has dropped from 14 to 672.
Manufacturers that left the market were
GM, Ford, Hyundai, and Nissan; howev-
er, Nissan just reentered the minivan
market in 2011. In 2008 approximately
700,000 minivans were sold (including
those sold to fleet), about half of its peak
sales in 2000 of 1.371 million.73 The
minivan manufacturer players in 2008
consisted of: Toyota Sienna, Honda Odys-
sey, Dodge Caravan, and the Chrysler
Town and Country. These four minivans
comprised 91% of the minivan market74.
The number of minivans sold by the top
four brands and their market share are
shown below in Tables I and II: The Hon-
da Odyssey was the best selling minivan
in the U.S. in 2008 and 2009, taking the
crown away from the long-standing win-
ner the Dodge Caravan. The numbers rep-
resented above are assumed to be non-
fleet sales. If that assumption is not cor-
rect, then it is hard to determine actual
popularity in retail though because Bird75
explicitly states that Chrysler, with such a
large amount of market share in the
minivan sales, would not reveal how
much of their sales were to fleets. This
raises a flag because Chrysler is known to 71 Colin Bird, “Minivan Segment Swaggers Back to Life” 72 Colin Bird, “Minivan Segment Swaggers Back to Life” 73 Dee-Ann Durbin, “Minivan Sales Slow, Hit by Gas Prices and Image,”
USA Today June 6, 2008
(http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/2008-06-06-
2536673535_x.htm).
74 Bradford Wernle, “The Minivan is Dead, Right? Think
Again,” Automotive News March 31, 2008
(http://www.autoweek.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/2008033
1/FREE/ 570879605/1024).
75 Bird, “Minivan Segment Swaggers Back to Life”
177
sell a much larger percentage of their ve-
hicles to fleet.
Based upon additional research, Chrysler,
on average for all vehicles, sells 39% of
their vehicles to fleet, whereas Toyota on-
ly averages 9% of sales to fleet76. Chrysler
has also alluded to the idea that they
“would likely remake one of its two
minivans in favor of a smaller ‘people
mover’ by 2014.”77 It sounds like a move
to making a crossover; opening up the
door for the competition to take over
market share that once was owned by
Chrysler. There was no mention if it
would be the Town and Country, its
higher end minivan model, or the Dodge
Caravan.
In summary, understanding the sales and
market share of the four most popular
minivans in the U.S. helps to shed light on
why the commercials are positioned as
they are and targeted to specific consum-
ers. Past sales trends provide insight into
what the future may hold for the minivan
market and what companies are up
against when vying for market share. All
but the Chrysler Town and Country
minivan are analyzed further. The Town
and Country is considered an upscale
minivan and priced as such. The Honda
Odyssey, Toyota Sienna, and the Dodge
Caravan are competitive in pricing but are
76 Gastelu, “After a Quarter a Century, Dodge Loses Minivan
Crown to Honda” 77 Deepa Seetharaman, “Chrysler CEO Wants to 'Rethink'
Minivans,” January 18, 2011
(http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/01/19/retire-us-chrysler-
minivan-idUSTRE70H6CI20110119? pageNumber=2).
targeting different markets through the
described commercials: the single male,
the young married couple, and the middle
class couple with two young children.
V. Minivan Commercials
A. Toyota Sienna Commercial
In the past few years, four commercials
have come to light the latter part of 2010
and the first half of 2011 highlighting the
new Toyota, Honda, and Dodge Caravan
minivans. They seem to appeal to three
different target markets. The Toyota Sien-
na’s two and a half minute hip, rap vid-
eo/commercial on YouTube featuring the
song “The Swagger Wagon”* attempts to
claim that having a minivan can be cool.
As of the end of October 2013 there were
over 12.2 million views over two years
with numerous follow up commercials
and parodies on the parents in the com-
mercial due to its popularity. In addition
to the original commercial, there appears
to be over 50 official Sienna commercials
on Youtube using the actor parents in the
“Swagger Wagon”. The commercials have
titles which include “Daddy Like Peace in
the Back Seat” and “Mommy Like Being
Fashionably Frugal”. This appears to be
an attempt to not only convey the image
of the Sienna but also create a brand per-
sonality to appeal to their target market.
The original “Swagger Wagon” commer-
cial is humorous. It uses a middle class
couple with two young children, approx-
imately three and five years old. The fa-
ther is rather nerdy and thin but boasts
confidence in his ability to dress up and
have a tea party with his young daughter.
The attractive mother is shown acting as a
178
nurse to her young children and even
making cupcakes for school. The mother
remembers her college days as a cheer-
leader, even showing her in uniform,
which leads one to believe she was popu-
lar in college. This gives one the thought
that the Mom was cool in college and uses
this to communicate that she is still cool
although she drives a minivan.
As for a visual analysis of the commercial,
it shows very little of the inside of the
minivan, except the mother sitting in the
dark leather seat on second row which
does appear to give you the feeling that
there is a lot of room to relax. The focus
appears to be on the family, their status,
and their personality rather than what
tangible benefits the minivan has to offer,
although the family does stand by the
minivan on occasion.
B. Honda Odyssey Commercial
The Honda Odyssey attempts to appeal to
two different markets with two 30 second
commercials: a married or possibly single
male and a young couple. The first Odys-
sey commercial called “The Van Beck-
ons”** found on Youtube had 159,000
views as of October 2013 and has been
posted three years. The commercial in-
cludes a disheveled male approximately
30 years old leaving the grocery store at
night with a bag of groceries and a gallon
of milk. When watching the commercial it
is unclear whether he is wearing a wed-
ding ring, but according to board posts
other people believe the guy to be mar-
ried. He does appear to have apple juice
boxes and some type of sugar cereal hang-
ing out of the top of his grocery bag.
As he heads to his vehicle the lights from
a fire catch his attention. It is a black
Honda Odyssey. As the sliding door
opens the minivan changes into a growl-
ing black panther for a split second. The
commercial then flashes back to the man
just as he drops the milk. The trunk opens
which contains a big Marshall speaker
and the split double wide drop down tel-
evision is revealed; which happens to be
showing a heavy metal video on one side
and what appears to be some sort of
Godzilla movie on the other. The next
item they show is the GPS system. It
flashes back to the guy who just nods his
head a little like “Yeah, this is really cool.”
The possible vagueness of his status may
be planned as to appeal to both types of
males. This commercial appears to appeal
to the macho side of a man. For a long
time the minivan has been considered the
soccer mom car. Unlike the Sienna, the
Odyssey commercial shows the keen elec-
tronics such as the sound system, the split
screen TV, and the GPS system; items
which are more likely to catch the eye of a
man. In addition, the commercial does not
use children. There is no narrative except
at the end when it uses its slogan “The
Van Beckons Like No Other”.
The second commercial is considered the
Odyssey romance commercial*** and is
also found on Youtube. This commercial
is difficult to determine the number of
views as it has been deleted and then
added again to Youtube over the last 36
months. The commercial begins with a
young couple in their thirties leaving
what appears to be a restaurant. She is
179
wearing an engagement ring; however, it
is difficult to tell if they are engaged or
married. The narrative found underneath
the video on YouTube claims that they are
parents. Whether or not the couple is mar-
ried and has children is somewhat irrele-
vant in that it is appealing to young cou-
ples who have children or are in the early
years of their marriage and may be think-
ing of having children in the future.
At the beginning of the commercial a flash
of light captures their attention and they
are mesmerized by the minivan and they
clasp hands. The woman’s red hair is sim-
ilar in color to the minivan, apparently to
resemble love and romance. Under a full
moon, the minivan is surrounded by sev-
eral lit candelabra. This commercial dif-
fers from the Sienna in that it shows what
the inside has to offer. The van’s side door
opens and red rose petals float out. Next
we see the large drop down television
screen with a fireplace crackling. The
cooler tray opens to reveal chilled choco-
late covered strawberries. The back door
opens to reveal a large oyster which opens
and reveals many smaller oysters that
open to reveal pearls. This represents fer-
tility. Although romantic music is playing,
there is no narrative until the end, when
the voice claims “The Van Beckons Like
No Other”.
C. Dodge Caravan Commercial
This minivan is deemed the “Man Van”
by Dodge. Just like the Odyssey and the
Sienna, Dodge made some major changes
to the design of the Caravan. The Caravan
has made over 70 upgrades from the 2010
model.78 Williamson79 continues by saying
that the flat roofline gives off the person-
ality that the person driving it does not
care to have approval from anyone nor
that the driver is a soccer mom. Even Wil-
liamson80 describes the personality of the
Caravan as “chiseled” and “rugged”. The
driver’s seat is likened to a pilot’s seat on
a plane. Other seemingly masculine adjec-
tives used to describe the Caravan are:
aggressive, a little bit of attitude, sleek,
and athletic styling.81 There are also four
models “to fit specific lifestyles.”82
As of September 2012 the Dodge Caravan
commercial**** has been on YouTube for
16 months. As of the end of September
2012 the commercial had over 24,500
views. Dodge is solely marketing to the
single male without children. In the com-
mercial a man in his 30s or 40s hops into
the minivan in a Dodge showroom. He
does not have a wedding ring. The com-
mercial lasts 31 seconds, similar to the
Odyssey commercial.
The man does not speak but there is a
voiceover narrative. While children are
running around the showroom the cam-
era focuses on the man in the minivan.
The narrator mentions the horsepower,
78 Richard Williamson, “The 2011 Dodge Grand Caravan Crew
is market leader,” May 11, 2011
(http://www.projo.com/projocars/content/ca_11_dodge_carava
n_crew_05-11-11_L4MR2LT_v9. 1d5d5ce.html). 79 Williamson, “The 2011 Dodge Grand Caravan Crew is mar-
ket leader” 80 Williamson, “The 2011 Dodge Grand Caravan Crew is mar-
ket leader” 81 Nathan Adlen, “There’s more to the 2011 Dodge Caravan
than a New Nose,” Examiner.com October 28, 2010
(http://www.examiner.com/autos-in-denver/there-s-more-to-
the-2011-dodge-caravan-than-a-new-nose). 82 Adlen, “There’s more to the 2011 Dodge Caravan than a New
Nose”
180
leather trim command center, surround
sound and seating for seven in the
minivan. The black leather seats and the
command center look very manly and
nice. Just before the end of the commer-
cial, the narrator says “Wait this is a
minivan? It makes you almost want to
have kids…..almost.”
D. Compare and Contrast
Has the “swagger” had any effect on
Toyota Sienna sales? Although one cannot
definitively say there is a direct correla-
tion between sales and the commercial, it
did create a jump in sales. The Swagger
Wagon YouTube video has been out since
May of 2010. In June 2010 Sienna sales
grew 72%.83 Total sales for the brand were
up 12% for the year, giving Sienna 19% of
the minivan market share. However, be-
ing the newest designed minivan on the
market, Bird84 believes that sales may be
suffering some because of Toyota’s overall
safety record.
Except for the rap song, the commercial
gives us no other reason to believe that
driving a minivan really is cool. It at-
tempts to appeal to young, middle class
couples with children and used the video
to convey the coolness of actually driving
it. They do not try to sell you on what is
inside the minivan, but that it is cool to
drive one. This does not necessarily fit in
with Choo’s and Mokhtarian’s85 research
that people who drive minivans are calm.
Being calm and singing a rap video do not
83 Bird, “Minivan Segment Swaggers Back to Life” 84 Bird, “Minivan Segment Swaggers Back to Life” 85 Choo and Mokhtarian, “What Type of Vehicle Do People
Drive? The Role of Attitude and Lifestyle in Influencing Vehicle
Type Choice”
fit in the same category. Also many dis-
cussion boards claim minivans are practi-
cal, which also leads to the image of calm,
but definitely not cool.
The Honda Odyssey’s “The Van Beckons”
commercials were available on Youtube
approximately September of 2010. Prior to
the posting of these commercials, Odyssey
sales fell 37% in June 2010 and 7% overall
for that year to date.86 Although Odyssey
sales fell, they were still in close competi-
tion with Sienna. Kranz 87 argues that
sales may have dropped for the year be-
cause buyers were waiting to purchase
the 2011 model.
The Honda Odyssey attempts to appeal to
two groups: the young male and the
young couple. Again the commercials
were vague visually regarding the actual
marital status of each, except for the en-
gagement ring, but they are appealing to a
different market than Toyota Sienna. The
Sienna commercial includes parents who
already have children. They sell more on
the image; hoping to change the percep-
tion of being uncool if you own a
minivan. Marketers want you to think
that owning a Toyota Sienna is hip; there-
fore, hip people should buy a Sienna.
Maybe not showing much of the minivan
in the Sienna commercial was planned. If
driving a minivan is uncool, why throw it
in the face of the same consumers you are
trying to appeal to in the commercial?
86 Bird, “Minivan Segment Swaggers Back to Life” 87 Rick Kranz, “Battle of the Minivan Segment Heats Up,” Au-
tomotive News, May 26, 2010
(http://www.autonewseurope.com/article/20100526/BLOG06/10
0529895/1251).
181
The Honda Odyssey has a different ap-
proach: they are appealing to those who
may not need a minivan yet. The com-
mercial spends a lot of time showing the
tangible benefits and the inside of the Od-
yssey. They do not use any children in ei-
ther commercial and they reveal a lot
about the inside of the minivan. Marketers
try to sell the romance of the van in one
commercial and try to sell the image that
a minivan can be macho in the other
commercial using the electronics that ap-
peal to the male consumer.
The Dodge Caravan is entirely focused on
marketing to males. The commercial men-
tioned is marketing to men without chil-
dren; but could appeal to men with chil-
dren. Many articles describe the minivan
with mostly manly adjectives and try to
convey that a minivan is not boring.
Changes in the outward appearance, such
as the completely removable roof rack,
give it a sleeker appearance. It appears
that exterior changes to the Caravan aid in
marketing to men
VI. Conclusion
In summary, the three brands are using
commercials to create a personality for
their minivan and then using that person-
ality as a marketing tool to target their
specific markets and build brand prefer-
ence. The Odyssey attempts to sell the
product and the personality, where the Si-
enna attempts to sell more on just the per-
sonality. They are appealing to people in
different stages in life and to people with
different personalities. In addition, the
Odyssey is marketing to consumers who
might be interested in a minivan in the
near future, whereas the Sienna is appeal-
ing the current parents. Choo’s and
Mokhtarian’s88 research deeming minivan
owners calm seems to fit better with the
Honda’s approach in their commercial,
although the commercial appealing to the
male does use rock music.
Although a consumer may favor a brand,
it does not mean they will purchase it and
consumers have different reactions to
brands that cannot be explained by favor-
ability alone.89 The brands have set out to
distinguish themselves from the others by
not only using different attributes of the
product but by using the attributes to play
to lifestyle, life stages and personalities of
the target markets; such as using 1980s
hair band music videos and speaker sys-
tems to appeal to the 40 year old male
group. Another uses a romantic atmos-
phere to appeal to young couples, and an-
other uses a young hip, but nerdy family
with two children singing a rap song. Be-
cause the minivans differ little in their
outer appearance, playing up the attrib-
utes and creating brand personalities help
distinguish the brands.
Knowing the image of the minivan, mar-
keters have done more than just attempt
to change the image; they have created
clarity in their approach by specifically
targeting certain lifestyles, life stages, and
personalities of their target markets.
Building brand preference by creating a
brand personality allows consumers to
88 Choo and Mokhtarian, “What Type of Vehicle Do People
Drive? The Role of Attitude and Lifestyle in Influencing Vehicle
Type Choice” 89 Freling, Crosno, and Henard, “Brand Personality Appeal:
Conceptualization and Empirical Validation”
182
identify with the minivan brand that best
fits their lifestyle. A company cannot sell
on product attributes alone. Marketing to
consumers is a complex strategy.
*The Toyota Sienna “The Swagger Wag-
on” commercial can be found at:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ql-
N3F1FhW4.
** Honda Odyssey “The Van Beckons”
male commercial can be found at:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v =GYQ-
jRHeCW0
*** Honda Odyssey “The Van Beckons”
romance commercial can be found at:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_g4G
t5xc6Q&list=PLbVqxLSspfMj4ePvqGMbX
uT1ZDxXajXB8&index=5
****Dodge Caravan “Wait, this is a
minivan?” commercial can be found at:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GyKC
xz6N9bA
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185
Table I. U.S. Minivan Sales
Minivan Brand 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Dodge Grand Caravan 123,749 90,666 103,323 110,362 141,468
Chrysler Town & Country 118,563 84,558 122,275 94,320 111,744
Honda Odyssey 135,493 100,133 108,182 107,068 125,980
Toyota Sienna 115,944 84,064 98,337 111,249 114,725
Sum 479,932 359,421 432,117 425,010 493,917
Compiled from:90, 91, 92 ,93,94 ,95
Table II. U.S. Minivan Market
Share
Minivan Brand 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Dodge Grand Caravan 49%* 25% 24% 26% 29%
Chrysler Town & Country 24% 28% 22.20% 22.62%
Honda Odyssey 23% 28% 25% 25.20% 25.51%
Toyota Sienna 19% 23% 23% 26.20% 23.25%
Compiled from:96, 97, 98, 99, 100, 101
Author
Mary Catherine Colley, MBA, PhD, Associate Professor, Associate Chair, Management
and Marketing, Sorrell College of Business, Troy University, [email protected]
90 Gary Gastelu, “After a Quarter a Century, Dodge Loses Minivan Crown to Honda,” Fox News January 6, 2009
(http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,476344,00.html).
91 Dawn Kent, “Odyssey on Track to Capture Minivan Sales Crown,” Al.com December 14, 2008 (http://blog.al.com/assembly-
lines/2008/12/theres_not_much_ good_news. html).
92 RLD. “Dodge Caravan is Now the Best Selling Minivan in the World,” March 18, 2011
(http://www.redletterdodge.com/2011/03/18/dodge-grand-caravan-is-now-the-best-selling-minivan-in-the-world/).
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(http://www.goodcarbadcar.net/ 2012/01/us-minivan-truck-sales-2011-december.html).
95 Timothy Cain, “December 2012 and 2012 Year End Minivan Sales in America,” January 8, 2013
(http://www.goodcarbadcar.net/2013/01/december-2012-usa-minivan-sales-figures.html).
96 Gastelu, “After a Quarter a Century, Dodge Loses Minivan Crown to Honda” 97 Kent, “Odyssey on Track to Capture Minivan Sales Crown” 98 RLD. “Dodge Caravan is Now the Best Selling Minivan in the World” 99 Wernle, “The Minivan is Dead Right? Think again” 100 Cain, “Minivan Sales and Truck Sales in America – December 2011 and 2011 Year End” 101 Cain, “December 2012 and 2012 Year End Minivan Sales in America”
186
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