stat exam 2

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Name: _______________

ID: _______________

Online Exam II

Online Exam II

· There are 4 parts:

Part A: Select the correct answer for the following questions (1-10)

Part B: Fill in the blank questions (11-20)

Part C: Answer the following questions (21-24)

Part D: Work Problem (25-36) **All work must be shown step by step**

· Two different ways to submit your answer sheet

1. Scan your answer sheet and place it in ONE FILE at drop-box. (preferable)

2. Use MS-Word and place it in a drop-box.

· **Excel is not acceptable for this test

· **Deadline: Monday, October 20, 2014 by noon

· **All work must be shown step by step in order to receive credit

Part A: Multiple Choice (1–10)

____1. The cumulative probability distribution of a random variable X gives the probability

that X is _______ to , some spacified value of X.

a. Greater than or equal c. Less than or equal

b. Equal d. None of the above

_____2. What is the probability of P(-1.4 < Z < 0.6)?

a. 0.9254 c. 0.3427

b. 0.6449 d. 0.9788

_____3. By using the binomial table, if the sample size is 20 and p equals to 0.70, what is the

value for P(X18)?

a. 0.0279 c. 0.1820

b. 0.0375 d. 0.1789

_____4. In a standard normal distribution, what is the area which lies between Z = -1.72 and

Z = 2.53?

a. 0.8948 c. 0.9516

b. 0.9123 d. 0.8604

_____5. What is the value for 95% confidence interval for if = 7.3, x = 84.2, and n = 40.

a. 81.93786.463 c. 74.09379.337

b. 68.76772.033 d. 61.36466.846

_____6. The __________ is the smallest level of significance at which H0 can be rejected.

a. value of α c. p value

b. probability of committing of Type I error d. value of 1- α

_____7. Given: H0: µ = 10, Ha: µ ≠ 10, n = 12, α = 0.01, and the computed test statistic is 2.394, the p value for the test is ____________________.

a. between 0.02 and 0.01 c. between 0.025 and 0.01

b. between 0.05 and 0.02 d. none of the above

_____8. We say that sample results are significant when _____________________.

a. H0 is not rejected

b. H0 is rejected

c. is smaller than the p value

d. the computed value of the test statistic falls in the acceptance region

_____9. We commit a Type 1 error if we _________ a true null hypothesis.

a. fail to reject c. reject

b. accept d. compute

_____10. You perform a hypothesis test about a population mean on the basis of the following information: the sampled population is normally distributed, s = 100, n = 25, = 225, α = 0.05, H1: µ > 220. The critical value of the test statistic is ______________.

a. 2.0639 c. 1.7081

b. 1.7109 d. 1.96

Part B: Fill in the blank Questions number (11-20)

11. The purpose of hypothesis testing is to aid the manager or researcher in reaching a (an) __________________ concerning a (an) _______________ by examining the data contained in a (an) _______________ from that ____________________.

12. A hypothesis may be defined simply as __________________________________________.

13. There are two statistical hypotheses. They are the _________________ hypothesis and the _________________ hypothesis.

14. A Type I error occurs when the investigator _____________________________.

15. Values of the test statistic that separate the acceptance region from the rejection are called _________________ values.

16. The probability of obtaining a value of the test statistic as extreme as or more extreme than that actually obtained, given that the tested null hypothesis is true, is called ____________ for the ________________test.

17. When one is testing H0: µ= µ0 on the basis of data from a sample of size n from a normally distributed population with a known variance of σ2, the test statistic is ____________________________________________________.

18. The null hypothesis contains a statement of __________________________________.

19. The statement µ ≥ 0 is an inappropriate statement for the ____________ hypothesis.

20. The null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis are ____________ of each other.

Part C: Answer the following questions (21-24)

21. Explain the differences between discrete random variable and continuous random variable.

22. What are the characteristics of discrete probability distribution?

23. When should the z-test be used and when should t-test be used?

24. Explain the following concept:

a. Central Limit Theorem

b. Type I error and Type II error

Part D: Must show all your work step by step in order to receive the full credit; Excel is not allowed. (25-36)

25. Work problem number 5 on page 6-13.

Determine the following probabilities by use of the table of binomial probabilities

a. P(X=1 ǀ n = 10, p = 0.40)

b. P(X = 2 ǀ n=10, p=0.70)

c. P(X ≤ 16 ǀ n = 50, p = 0.50)

d. P(X < 5 ǀ n= 10, p = 0.60)

e. P(X ≥ 8 ǀ n = 50, p = 0.80)

26. Assume that X is a binomial random variable with n = 20, and p = 0.7. Use a binomial approximation to find the following:

a. P(X = 18)

b. P(X = 15)

c. P(X ≤ 20)

d. P(X ≥ 16)

e. P(2 ≤ X ≤ 17)

27. Determine the mean, the variance, and the standard deviation of the following discrete distribution:

x

P(X=x)

0

0.112

1

0.238

2

0.014

3

0.234

28. Ten trials are conducted in a Bernoulli process in which the probability of success in a given trial is 0.4. If x = the number of successes, determine the following.

a. P (x = 5)

b. P (4 ≤ x ≤ 8)

c. P (x > 4)

29. Given the following probabilities, Find Zo: (***Please draw the graph)

a. P(z ≤ Zo) = 0.0055 b. P(Zo ≤ z ≤ 2.98) = 0.1117

c. P(-2.67≤ z ≤ Zo) = 0.9718 d. P(-Zo ≤ z ≤ Zo ) = 0.8132

e. P(z > Zo) = 0.0384 f. P(z ≥ Zo) = 0.06

30. Find the following probabilities: if μ = 160, σ = 16

a.

P (X > x) = 0.8770 b. P (X< x) = 0.12

c. P (x≤ X ≤ 204) = 0.8185 d. P (180≤ X ≤ x) = 0.0919

31. Find the following probabilities:( ****Please draw the graph)

Show your work

Please draw graph

a.

P(-1.4 < Z < 0.6)

b.

P(Z > -1.44)

c.

P(Z < 2.03)

d.

P(Z > 1.67)

e.

P(Z < 2.84)

f.

P(1.14 < Z < 2.43)

32. Find the Z scores for the following normal distribution problems.(**** Please draw the graph)

Show your work

Please draw graph

a.

µ = 604, σ = 56.8, P(X ≤ 635)

b.

µ = 48, σ2 = 144, P(X < 20)

c.

µ = 111, σ = 33.8, P(100 ≤ X ≤ 150)

d.

µ = 264, σ2 = 118.81, P(250 < X < 255)

e.

µ = 37, σ = 4.35, P(X > 35)

f.

µ = 156, σ = 11.4, P(X ≥ 170)

33. Use the following information to conduct the confidence intervals specified to estimate μ.

a. 95% confidence; =25, = 12.25, and n=60.

b. 30% confidence; =119.6, = 570.7321, and n=75.

34. Consider the following hypothesis test

Ho: µ ≥ 10

Ha: µ < 10

A sample of 50 provides a sample mean of 9.46 and sample variation of 4.

a. At α = 0.05, what is the rejection rule?

b. Compute the value of the test statistic.

c. What is the p-value?

d. What is your conclusion?

35. Work on problem number 16 on page 9-21.

Consider the following hypothesis test.

Hₒ : μ = 15

Hₐ : μ ≠ 15

A sample of 25 gives a sample mean of 14.2 and a sample satandard deviation of 5

a. At a = 0.02, what is the rejection rule

b. Compute what the value of the test statistic t.

c. What is the p-value

d. What is your conclusion

36. Work on problem number 3 on page 10-22.

A regresiion model relationg x, number of sales persons at a branch office, to y, annual sales at the office ($1000s) has been developed. The computer output from a regression analysis of the data follows

The regression equation is

Y = 80.0 + 50.0x

Predictor

Coef

Standard deviation

t-ration

Constant x

80.0

11.333

7.06

Analysis of variance source

DF

SS

MS

Regression

1

6828.6

6828.6

Error

28

2298.8

82.1

Total

29

9127.4

a. Write the estimated regression equation

b. How many branch offices were involved in the study ?

c. Compute the F statistic and test the significance of the relationship at a .05 level of significance.

d. Predict the annual sales at the Memphis branch office. This branch has 12 sales persons.

0

0

X