A Statistics Project

profileCallini47
correlation.xls

DataCopy

Variable (X-XBar)^2
27.4 24.4 0
27.2 25.5 0
24.1 23 0
22.7 20.2 0
22.1 20.1 0
18.3 17.5 0
17.5 16.1 0
17.5 13.3 0
16.8 14.7 0
16.5 13.6 0

Correlation

Correlation & Regression
Data X-Data Y-Data
Observation Ads Sales REGRESSION STATISTICS
Obs 1 20 48 Observations 10
Obs 2 15 38 Correlation coefficient (r) 0.978
Obs 3 12 33 Coefficient of determination (r-squared) 96%
Obs 4 32 65 Standard error of the estimate 3.469
Obs 5 17 40
Obs 6 8 18 REGRESSION EQUATION
Obs 7 10 25 Slope 2.017
Obs 8 16 35 Intercept 5.134
Obs 9 20 50 Sales = 5.134 + 2.017 (Ads)
Obs 10 5 12
Obs 11 PREDICTING WITH THE REGRESSION EQUATION
Obs 12 X value 20
Obs 13 Confidence Level 95%
Obs 14 Predicted Y value 45.477
Obs 15 Confidence Interval 45.477 + 2.978
Obs 16 Prediction Interval 45.477 + 8.535
Obs 17
Obs 18 HYPOTHESIS TEST FOR CORRELATION
Obs 19 Null hypothesis: Slope = 0 (no correlation)
Obs 20 Level of Significance 0.05
Obs 21 t-Statistic (computed) 13.3189
Obs 22 p-value 0.0000
Obs 23 Decision Reject the null hypothesis
Obs 24 Conclusion Conclude that correlation exists.
Obs 25
Obs 26 ANOVA SS df MS F F crit
Obs 27 Regression 2134.1544 1 2134.1544 177.3924 5.3177
Obs 28 Error 96.2456 8 12.0307
Obs 29 Total 2230.4000 9
Obs 30
Obs 31
Obs 32 CORRELATION GUIDELINES
Obs 33 Step 1: input the data (note which is the dependent variable)
Obs 34 Step 2: assess the scatter diagram for linearity (if not linear, STOP)
Obs 35 Step 3: hypothesis test for correlation (if correlation does not exist, STOP)
Obs 36 Step 4: evaluate regression statistics (if correlation is weak, reconsider its value)
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Obs 40 ©2007 DrJimMirabella.com
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&A
This is the measure of the degree of relationship between the X and Y variables. 1 is perfect, .70 to 1.00 is strong, .30 to .69 is moderate, less than .30 is weak, 0 means no correlation. The same rules apply to positive or negative correlations.
Also referred to as ALPHA. This is your tolerance for error; it is the probability of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis.
The X-data is the independent variable.
Enter up to 125 paired observations.
Enter the x-value that you want to use to predict the y-value. You should never input an X-value that is beyond the range of the data (i.e., it should be between the smallest and largest X-Data observation).
This is the predicted value using the x-value above and the regression equation.
This estimates the mean value of Y given X.
This estimates the range of values of Y for a given X and should be larger than the confidence interval.
This explains the percent of the variability in Y that can be explained by the regression equation.
This explains the degree of relationship between the dependent and independent variables.
Enter the confidence level to be used in the confidence and prediction intervals.
The X-data is the independent variable from which a prediction is made.
The Y-data is the dependent variable that is being predicted by the regression equation.
Also referred to as ALPHA. This is your tolerance for error; it is the probability of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis.
A one unit change in X results in a change in Y equal to the value of the slope.
A p-value is the probability of making a type 1 error if you reject the null hypothesis. In other words, it is the probability you would be making a mistake to reject the null.
A measure of dispersion of the data around the regression line. Similar to standard deviation, for a given prediction you would expect with 95% confidence that the prediction would be with 2 standard errors of the regression line.

ScatterDiagram

Sales = 5.134 + 2.017 (Ads)
Sales
Ads
r = 0.978 r-squared = 0.957

ScatterDiagram

20
15
12
32
17
8
10
16
20
5
Sales
48
38
33
65
40
18
25
35
50
12