Business analysis review

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vineyard_bed_breakfast_business_plan.doc

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1 1.0 Executive Summary

2 1.1 Mission

2 1.2 Objectives

2 2.0 Company Summary

2 2.1 Company Ownership

2 2.2 Start-up Summary

2 Table: Start-up

3 Table: Start-up Funding

4 Chart: Start-up

4 3.0 Services

4 4.0 Market Analysis Summary

5 4.1 Market Segmentation

5 Chart: Market Analysis (Pie)

5 Table: Market Analysis

6 4.2 Target Market Segment Strategy

6 4.3 Competition and Buying Patterns

7 5.0 Strategy and Implementation Summary

7 5.1 Competitive Edge

8 5.2 Sales Strategy

9 5.2.1 Sales Forecast

9 Chart: Sales Monthly

9 Table: Sales Forecast

10 5.3 Milestones

10 5.3 Milestones

10 Table: Milestones

10 6.0 Management Summary

10 6.1 Personnel Plan

11 Table: Personnel

11 7.0 Financial Plan

11 7.1 Important Assumptions

11 Table: General Assumptions

12 7.2 Break-even Analysis

12 7.2 Break-even Analysis

12 Table: Break-even Analysis

12 Chart: Break-even Analysis

13 7.3 Projected Profit and Loss

13 Table: Profit and Loss

14 7.4 Projected Cash Flow

14 7.4 Projected Cash Flow

14 Chart: Cash

14 Table: Cash Flow

16 7.5 Projected Balance Sheet

16 7.5 Projected Balance Sheet

16 Table: Balance Sheet

16 7.6 Business Ratios

16 Table: Ratios

1 Table: Sales Forecast

2 Table: Personnel

2 Table: Personnel

3 Table: General Assumptions

3 Table: General Assumptions

4 Table: Profit and Loss

4 Table: Profit and Loss

5 Table: Cash Flow

5 Table: Cash Flow

7 Table: Balance Sheet

7 Table: Balance Sheet

1.0 Executive Summary

The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast is a charming bed and breakfast (B&B) located in the Lorane Valley, outside of Eugene, OR. The valley is well known for its beauty and concentration of vineyards. The B&B will be set up as a sole proprietorship of Missy Stewart. The B&B will reside in The Stewart's newly renovated home. Their home is the center piece for the entire B&B experience. Each of the five rooms have their own private bath. The facility has a wonderful centralized living room for the socialization of the guests, a private garden patio, and an on-site winery on the Stewart's 10 acres of land. To top things off, every room has 65% of their walls as windows offering guests an unprecedented view of the valley.

The Market Within the hospitality industry, The Enchanted Vineyard will be competing with hotels and other B&Bs. Although The Enchanted Vineyard competes with hotels, their direct competitors are other B&Bs. Enchanted's facilities are far nicer than other B&Bs for its size. All of the smaller (less than 9 rooms) B&B are a fairly standard house converted into a B&B, nothing noteworthy. Enchanted Vineyard on the other hand is a newly renovated house and vineyard in a picturesque setting.

The Enchanted Vineyard will be targeting three distinct groups. The first is weekend getaway travelers, generally people from Eugene looking to escape for the weekend. Eugene is a wonderful town in the Willamette River valley nationally renowned for its wineries, cycling and old growth trees. This customer group is growing at 11% a year with 12,000 potential customers. The second group is out-of-town travelers which is growing at 10% with 18,000 potential customers. The last group of customers the B&B is targeting are University of Oregon travelers. The university brings thousands of visitors to Eugene whether they are professors, speakers, or parents. Once a relationship has been established with the U of O, it will be a constant stream of business. This customer group is growing at 17% with 12,000 potential customers.

Competitive Edge The Enchanted Vineyard has two distinct competitive edges that differentiates it from the competition. The first is the never-ending attention to detail and customer service. The Stewarts recognize that their mission is to ensure that their customers have the finest stay with them. Both Missy and John will do whatever it takes to ensure the customer's happiness. Their second competitive edge is the unique facility. The facility is so wonderful in part because of the actual structure which is a wonderful place to stay. It is also unique because of the location, overlooking the Lorane Valley, a beautiful area filled with wineries and vineyards.

Management Team The Enchanted Vineyard will be able to execute on its strong business model because of its management. Missy has earned her MBA providing her with invaluable business skills. While Missy was pursuing her MBA, she was on a team of five students that opened up their own service business. Lastly, Missy has spent numerous years in the B&B industry, providing her with amazing insight and experience directly related to what she is doing now.

The Enchanted Vineyard will be able to leverage its amazing facility and turn it into a beautiful, special B&B serving the Eugene community. This will be done by the passion and experience of Missy Stewart, the sole proprietor. The B&B will become profitable by year two and will earn over $77,000 in revenue by the end of year three.

1.1 Mission

The Mission of The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast is to provide the finest B&B experience. We exist to attract and maintain customers. When we adhere to this maxim, everything else will fall into place. Our services will exceed the expectations of our customers.

1.2 Objectives

The objectives of The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast for the first three years of operation include:

· To create a B&B whose primary goal is to exceed customer's expectations.

· The usage of The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast by visitors every week through out the year.

· To increase our number of clients by 20% per year through superior service.

· To develop a sustainable business, surviving off its own cash flow.

2.0 Company Summary

The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast, located in the Lorane Valley, will offer a luxurious, quaint B&B for people to enjoy. The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast will have four individual rooms with private baths, a central living room/socializing area, a garden patio, and an adjoining vineyard for its guests.

2.1 Company Ownership

The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast is a sole proprietorship of Missy Stewart. The B&B uses John and Missy's home as the Inn.

2.2 Start-up Summary

The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast start-up expenses include:

· Home office equipment including: computer, copier, fax machine, extra telephone line, desk and filing cabinet.

· Extra computer for the living room with Internet access via a DSL line.

· Website creation.

· Advertising/association dues for the local B&B association.

· Remodeling of the house to add two individual bedrooms with baths, a patio and to enlarge the common areas.

Please note that the cost of the remodeling will be depreciated using the straight line method over a 30-year schedule. Although the Inn will have to finish their research into tax law, it does appear that the Inn will be allowed to depreciate the remodeling as the additions will be used only for business.

Table: Start-up

Start-up

Requirements

Start-up Expenses

Legal

$300

Stationery etc.

$300

Brochures

$300

Consultants

$300

Insurance

$600

Rent

$0

Research and Development

$0

Expensed Equipment

$0

Other

$0

Total Start-up Expenses

$1,800

Start-up Assets

Cash Required

$11,200

Start-up Inventory

$1,500

Other Current Assets

$1,500

Long-term Assets

$200,000

Total Assets

$214,200

Total Requirements

$216,000

Table: Start-up Funding

Start-up Funding

Start-up Expenses to Fund

$1,800

Start-up Assets to Fund

$214,200

Total Funding Required

$216,000

Assets

Non-cash Assets from Start-up

$203,000

Cash Requirements from Start-up

$11,200

Additional Cash Raised

$0

Cash Balance on Starting Date

$11,200

Total Assets

$214,200

Liabilities and Capital

Liabilities

Current Borrowing

$2,400

Long-term Liabilities

$10,000

Accounts Payable (Outstanding Bills)

$0

Other Current Liabilities (interest-free)

$2,000

Total Liabilities

$14,400

Capital

Planned Investment

Investor 1

$201,600

Investor 2

$0

Other

$0

Additional Investment Requirement

$0

Total Planned Investment

$201,600

Loss at Start-up (Start-up Expenses)

($1,800)

Total Capital

$199,800

Total Capital and Liabilities

$214,200

Total Funding

$216,000

Chart: Start-up

image2.emf

$0

$30,000

$60,000

$90,000

$120,000

$150,000

$180,000

$210,000

ExpensesAssetsInvestmentLoans

Start-up

3.0 Services

The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast is a small, attractive B&B that offers travelers a secluded, relaxed setting for a weekend getaway, change of scenery, sports or cultural events, family occassions, U of O events, etc. The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast has a large central gathering room that allows travelers to socialize. The customers will receive the personal attention of the Stewarts, who will meet any need a traveler has.

The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast provides a wonderful breakfast feast and can meet any dietary restriction. The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast is centrally located about 15 minutes from downtown Eugene in the heart of the Lorane Valley wine country. In fact, The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast has its own vineyard which grows grapes for local wineries and clients are encouraged to explore The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast's 10 acres of land.

4.0 Market Analysis Summary

The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast has three different target groups that it is attempting to attract. The first are people from the region that just want to get away for the weekend. They may have activities planned for the weekend, or just chose to vegetate. The second group are travelers who are passing through Eugene and prefer to stay in B&Bs instead of a hotel/motel. The last group is any customer affiliated with the local school, the University of Oregon. This group may be parents of students or visiting the University on official business and the University is the entity that sets up the reservation. While The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast will certainly get customers that fall outside of these groups, this classification should be fairly accurate.

4.1 Market Segmentation

Our customers can be broadly divided into three groups (please note it is possible to divide the customers in to much smaller groups, but we have chosen not to):

1. Weekend getaway customers. These people are from the region and are looking to get away from their life so they come to The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast to be pampered and escape.

2. Travelers. These people, for whatever reason, are passing through Eugene and prefer to stay in a B&B instead of a hotel/motel.

3. University of Oregon travelers. The University brings a large number of people through Eugene, and The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast believes that a good portion of their business will be from the University. Occassions include parent weekend, orientation, parents visiting, and graduation. Lastly, the University will often set up rooms for administrative visitors.

Chart: Market Analysis (Pie)

image3.emf

Weekend-Getaway Customers

Travelers

University of Oregon Travelers

Market Analysis (Pie)

Table: Market Analysis

Market Analysis

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Potential Customers

Growth

CAGR

Weekend-Getaway Customers

11%

12,000

13,320

14,785

16,411

18,216

11.00%

Travelers

10%

18,000

19,800

21,780

23,958

26,354

10.00%

University of Oregon Travelers

17%

12,000

14,040

16,427

19,220

22,487

17.00%

Total

12.41%

42,000

47,160

52,992

59,589

67,057

12.41%

4.2 Target Market Segment Strategy

The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast intends to target these three customer groups as they make up the largest population of people who utilize B&Bs. The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast has a three pronged strategy that will work for all three groups:

· Association membership and advertising. A large number of visitors will look to regional B&B associations for information about the different B&Bs in the area. Most associations publish a guide to the local B&Bs and The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast wants to be in this guide. One of the other perks of membership is visibility on the associations website with a link to ours. Additionally, we will be a member of the Chamber of Commerce because people will typically inquire with the local Chamber when planning a vacation.

· Website. The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast will have a full-service website that allows the visitor to view the B&B, read details about what it has to offer, provide information on regional activities, and even allow the visitor to book a reservation. With the growing use of the Internet, the Web has become an indispensable tool for planning vacations to areas that are not close enough to check out in person.

· Strategic relationship with the University of Oregon. The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast will develop a partnership with the University so when the school is in need of finding rooms for guests they will use The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast. We will also be advertising with the University so when students are searching for places for their parents to stay, they will come across The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast in a school related publication and feel more comfortable with booking a reservation sight unseen because of the trust bond they have formed with the University.

4.3 Competition and Buying Patterns

Competition comes in several forms:

1. Other B&Bs. Typically B&Bs have a set of unique features, something that makes them stand out. Some B&Bs will create uniqueness down to the level of different rooms within the B&B. The size of a B&Bs range from one or two room (traditionally called a home stay) to a country inn with 30 rooms. On average most B&Bs have only a couple of rooms and are often booked up in advance. Particularly during special events, demand outstrips supply for the B&Bs. The B&Bs differentiate themselves by personal service offerings and the general ambiance of the Inn. Finally, B&Bs usually have a very nice sit down breakfast for their guests. This is not a simple continental breakfast of juice, coffee, and a bagel, but an elaborate spread of gourmet food such as quiche, a portabello mushroom, fresh roasted garlic and sun-dried tomato omelette, or some sort of fresh smoked fish. Guests of B&Bs are looking not just for a room to sleep in but the whole experience in staying in a lovely setting, with interesting people to chat with and people present to pamper them in any way possible.

2. Hotels/motels. These facilities are generally much more sterile in character relative to B&Bs. The rooms are typically the same throughout the facility (unlike B&Bs where each room is typically different). The guests of hotels generally use the hotel as a place to stay at night. The operator will usually see the guest when they check in and when they check out. This differs from a B&B where the guests are encouraged to spend time in communal rooms and socialize with the operators and the other guests. Breakfasts, if included, are sparse. The typical guests are looking for a room to stay in at night and not much more than that.

5.0 Strategy and Implementation Summary

The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast will be using advertising and membership in associations to drive in prospective customers. They will also use their website as a complete source of information about the B&B. Missy will then turn these leads into customers through unsurpassed attentiveness in one-on-one phone inquiries/conversations.

5.1 Competitive Edge

The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast's two competitive advantages are:

· Attention to personalized service. While anyone at a B&B should reasonably expect good service, there are ways of setting yourself apart. This will be done through the unrelenting pursuit of personal attention. In the Eugene area there are several larger (more than six rooms) B&Bs that offer outstanding service, but it is not personal. The service is provided by employees, not the owner. At The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast all interactions with the customer will be with Missy or John who see it as their duty to do whatever it takes to make the customer feel at home. The feeling of personal attention, or more accurately defined as a sense of person concern, really adds a positive dimension to the B&B experience. Not only will the Stewarts be offering personal concern, but they will be providing the concern, not some employee.

· Uniqueness and beauty of the facility. The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast will be housed in the Stewart's home. The Stewarts will be renovating their farm house to accommodate their new guests. They will be building two more bedrooms with private baths, a patio, and enlarging the common area. One unique aspect of The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast is the setting within the Lorane Valley region, known for its outstanding wine production housing both vineyards and wineries. To compliment this setting, The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast will have a large outside patio allowing guests to spend relaxing time outside with a nice view of the valley. Guests can also wander through The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast's own vineyard. Each room in the B&B is 65% glass overlooking the hillside and vineyard. There is not a room in the house that doesn't have a breath-taking view.

5.2 Sales Strategy

The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast's sales strategy will be two pronged:

1. Personal attention in regard to calls of inquiry. It is Missy's strategy to be willing to spend a fair amount of time on the phone to prospective clients. While most B&Bs will be pleasant on the phone and willing to answer any question, the sooner they are off the phone, the sooner they can get back to the work they were previously doing. Missy has the attitude that the more time she can spend on the phone with inquiries, the more likely she will be able to turn them into customers.

2. Very detailed website. Missy recognizes that over 95% of her clients have Web access and 80% used the Web to research their vacations. This usage is compelling enough to have a comprehensive website that offers enough information to allow the visitor to make a decision to stay with The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast. The website will have 3D walk-through tours allowing people to see the different bedrooms as well as common areas. Online pricing and reservations are also available as well as a resource page that details the different activities in the area. While Missy would like to encourage people to call with questions, if they do not they will be able answer almost all questions with the website.

5.2.1 Sales Forecast

The first three months will be used for the renovation of the home to fully accommodate guests. Once complete the house will have five different rooms. There will be no sales activity during this time. By month four, the B&B will be ready to go. Missy will have already been advertising, become a B&B association member, as well as have formed a strategic relationship with the University so business will ramp up fairly quickly. From month five on, business will steadily grow. Beginning with month five, Missy will hire one full-time employee. This employee will perform housecleaning as well as outdoor maintenance. This will free up Missy's time so she can spend it with the clients.

Chart: Sales Monthly

image4.emf

Weekend-Getaway Customers

Travelers

University of Oregon Travelers

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

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Sales Monthly

Table: Sales Forecast

Sales Forecast

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Sales

Weekend-Getaway Customers

$11,396

$42,000

$54,000

Travelers

$13,089

$60,000

$62,000

University of Oregon Travelers

$11,265

$46,000

$49,000

Total Sales

$35,750

$148,000

$165,000

Direct Cost of Sales

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Weekend-Getaway Customers

$6,117

$22,260

$28,620

Travelers

$7,031

$31,800

$32,860

University of Oregon Travelers

$6,044

$24,380

$25,970

Subtotal Direct Cost of Sales

$19,193

$78,440

$87,450

5.3 Milestones

The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast will have several milestones early on:

1. Business plan completion. This will be done as a road map for the organization. While we do not need a business plan to raise capital, it will be an indispensable tool for the ongoing performance and improvement of the company.

2. Joining the different associations. This is, in effect, the coming out party for announcing to the world that you are a real B&B, ready for business.

3. Completion of the facility renovations.

4. Our 100th client.

Table: Milestones

Milestones

Milestone

Start Date

End Date

Budget

Manager

Department

Business Plan Completion

1/1/2001

1/1/2001

$0

ABC

Department

Join Different Associations

2/1/2001

2/1/2001

$600

ABC

Department

Completion of Facility Renovations

1/1/2001

4/1/2001

$200,000

ABC

Department

100th Client

7/1/2001

7/1/2001

$0

ABC

Department

Name me

1/1/2003

1/15/2003

$0

ABC

Department

Name me

1/1/2003

1/15/2003

$0

ABC

Department

Name me

1/1/2003

1/15/2003

$0

ABC

Department

Name me

1/1/2003

1/15/2003

$0

ABC

Department

Name me

1/1/2003

1/15/2003

$0

ABC

Department

Name me

1/1/2003

1/15/2003

$0

ABC

Department

Totals

$200,600

6.0 Management Summary

The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast is owned and operated by Missy Stewart. It will be a sole proprietorship. Missy has a degree in philosophy from Ponoma College and an MBA from University of Oregon. While Missy was pursuing her undergraduate degree, she worked in a B&B and had a wide range of responsibilities. This is the experience where she was first bit by the B&B bug. She dreamed of some day having a B&B run from her house, with the excitement of taking care of travelers.

Missy's concentration in school was in general management with the intent of someday opening her own business. Missy participated in the PACE, a group project where teams of five students worked together for two entire semesters creating their own company and then eventually selling it at the end of the year. Missy's group formed a service-based company which was an invaluable experience for the needs she would face in opening up her own B&B.

Missy's education coupled with her practical experiences has given her the ideal skill-set required for operating a B&B. The only other thing that is truly required is passion, and Missy recognized her passion over seven years ago while working at a B&B. Missy has everything needed to succeed and will fulfill her destiny.

6.1 Personnel Plan

Missy will be the sole employee from months one to five. At month five things will be getting busier and the need will develop for an additional person. This new employee will be used for house cleaning and outside maintenance. This will free up Missy's time so she can spend more time with the customers. John will be helping when possible, but John's contribution to the company will be primarily emotional and financial support of Missy's dream. John will be covering their living expenses while Missy is building the business. At some point within the first year the revenue from the B&B will exceed the mortgage payments for the remodel and at some point will cover the entire mortgage for the home.

Table: Personnel

Personnel Plan

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Missy

$3,000

$6,000

$12,000

Housekeeping/Outdoor Maintenance

$12,000

$18,000

$18,000

Total People

2

2

2

Total Payroll

$15,000

$24,000

$30,000

7.0 Financial Plan

The following sections will detail important financial information.

7.1 Important Assumptions

The following table highlights some of the important financial assumptions for The Enchanted Vineyard Bed & Breakfast.

Table: General Assumptions

General Assumptions

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Plan Month

1

2

3

Current Interest Rate

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

Long-term Interest Rate

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

Tax Rate

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

Other

0

0

0

7.2 Break-even Analysis

The Break-even Analysis indicates that monthly revenue must exceed $8,600 to break even.

Table: Break-even Analysis

Break-even Analysis

Monthly Revenue Break-even

$8,674

Assumptions:

Average Percent Variable Cost

54%

Estimated Monthly Fixed Cost

$4,017

Chart: Break-even Analysis

image5.emf

$0

$500

$1,000

($500)

($1,000)

($1,500)

($2,000)

($2,500)

($3,000)

($3,500)

($4,000)

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

$10,000

$11,000

Break-even Analysis

7.3 Projected Profit and Loss

The following table will indicate projected profit and loss.

Table: Profit and Loss

Pro Forma Profit and Loss

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Sales

$35,750

$148,000

$165,000

Direct Cost of Sales

$19,193

$78,440

$87,450

Other

$0

$0

$0

Total Cost of Sales

$19,193

$78,440

$87,450

Gross Margin

$16,557

$69,560

$77,550

Gross Margin %

46.31%

47.00%

47.00%

Expenses

Payroll

$15,000

$24,000

$30,000

Sales and Marketing and Other Expenses

$1,800

$3,200

$3,800

Depreciation

$20,004

$20,004

$20,004

Leased Equipment

$0

$0

$2,000

Utilities

$2,400

$2,400

$2,400

Insurance

$1,470

$1,470

$1,470

mortgage

$5,280

$5,280

$5,280

Payroll Taxes

$2,250

$3,600

$4,500

Other

$0

$0

$0

Total Operating Expenses

$48,204

$59,954

$69,454

Profit Before Interest and Taxes

($31,647)

$9,606

$8,096

EBITDA

($11,643)

$29,610

$28,100

Interest Expense

$1,225

$1,265

$1,065

Taxes Incurred

$0

$2,085

$1,758

Net Profit

($32,873)

$6,256

$5,273

Net Profit/Sales

-91.95%

4.23%

3.20%

7.4 Projected Cash Flow

The following chart and table will indicate projected cash flow.

Chart: Cash

image6.emf

Net Cash Flow

Cash Balance

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

($2,000)

Month 1

Month 2

Month 3

Month 4

Month 5

Month 6

Month 7

Month 8

Month 9

Month 10

Month 11

Month 12

Cash

Table: Cash Flow

Pro Forma Cash Flow

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Cash Received

Cash from Operations

Cash Sales

$25,025

$103,600

$115,500

Cash from Receivables

$6,978

$32,634

$47,718

Subtotal Cash from Operations

$32,003

$136,234

$163,218

Additional Cash Received

Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Received

$0

$0

$0

New Current Borrowing

$2,000

$0

$0

New Other Liabilities (interest-free)

$3,800

$0

$0

New Long-term Liabilities

$0

$0

$0

Sales of Other Current Assets

$0

$0

$0

Sales of Long-term Assets

$0

$0

$0

New Investment Received

$0

$0

$0

Subtotal Cash Received

$37,803

$136,234

$163,218

Expenditures

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Expenditures from Operations

Cash Spending

$15,000

$24,000

$30,000

Bill Payments

$31,690

$102,287

$110,868

Subtotal Spent on Operations

$46,690

$126,287

$140,868

Additional Cash Spent

Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Paid Out

$0

$0

$0

Principal Repayment of Current Borrowing

$0

$1,000

$1,000

Other Liabilities Principal Repayment

$0

$0

$0

Long-term Liabilities Principal Repayment

$750

$1,000

$1,000

Purchase Other Current Assets

$0

$0

$0

Purchase Long-term Assets

$0

$6,000

$10,000

Dividends

$0

$0

$5,000

Subtotal Cash Spent

$47,440

$134,287

$157,868

Net Cash Flow

($9,637)

$1,947

$5,350

Cash Balance

$1,563

$3,510

$8,860

7.5 Projected Balance Sheet

The following table will indicate the projected balance sheet.

Table: Balance Sheet

Pro Forma Balance Sheet

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Assets

Current Assets

Cash

$1,563

$3,510

$8,860

Accounts Receivable

$3,747

$15,513

$17,295

Inventory

$3,573

$12,920

$14,404

Other Current Assets

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

Total Current Assets

$10,383

$33,443

$42,059

Long-term Assets

Long-term Assets

$200,000

$206,000

$216,000

Accumulated Depreciation

$20,004

$40,008

$60,012

Total Long-term Assets

$179,996

$165,992

$155,988

Total Assets

$190,379

$199,435

$198,047

Liabilities and Capital

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Current Liabilities

Accounts Payable

$4,001

$8,802

$9,140

Current Borrowing

$4,400

$3,400

$2,400

Other Current Liabilities

$5,800

$5,800

$5,800

Subtotal Current Liabilities

$14,201

$18,002

$17,340

Long-term Liabilities

$9,250

$8,250

$7,250

Total Liabilities

$23,451

$26,252

$24,590

Paid-in Capital

$201,600

$201,600

$201,600

Retained Earnings

($1,800)

($34,673)

($33,417)

Earnings

($32,873)

$6,256

$5,273

Total Capital

$166,927

$173,183

$173,456

Total Liabilities and Capital

$190,379

$199,435

$198,047

Net Worth

$166,927

$173,183

$173,456

7.6 Business Ratios

The business ratios reflect both a cross-sectional analysis and time-series analysis of the company's risk and profitability. The cross-sectional analysis consists of a comparison of our firm's ratios and those of the hotel and motel industry averages. The reader will note that there are some significant differences in the ratios, especially in regards to the way our company is leveraged. This is due to the fact that industry averages also include very large hotel chains that usually have much higher capital costs and investments in long-term assets. Furthermore, Enchanted Vineyards B&B has lower SG&A costs than other hotels and motels since B&Bs usually provide fewer services than larger competitors.

Table: Ratios

Ratio Analysis

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Industry Profile

Sales Growth

n.a.

313.99%

11.49%

5.90%

Percent of Total Assets

Accounts Receivable

1.97%

7.78%

8.73%

5.00%

Inventory

1.88%

6.48%

7.27%

1.00%

Other Current Assets

0.79%

0.75%

0.76%

26.00%

Total Current Assets

5.45%

16.77%

21.24%

32.00%

Long-term Assets

94.55%

83.23%

78.76%

68.00%

Total Assets

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

Current Liabilities

7.46%

9.03%

8.76%

19.40%

Long-term Liabilities

4.86%

4.14%

3.66%

34.60%

Total Liabilities

12.32%

13.16%

12.42%

54.00%

Net Worth

87.68%

86.84%

87.58%

46.00%

Percent of Sales

Sales

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

Gross Margin

46.31%

47.00%

47.00%

0.00%

Selling, General & Administrative Expenses

138.22%

42.64%

43.67%

75.10%

Advertising Expenses

5.03%

1.22%

1.09%

1.90%

Profit Before Interest and Taxes

-88.52%

6.49%

4.91%

2.50%

Main Ratios

Current

0.73

1.86

2.43

1.45

Quick

0.48

1.14

1.59

1.05

Total Debt to Total Assets

12.32%

13.16%

12.42%

54.00%

Pre-tax Return on Net Worth

-19.69%

4.82%

4.05%

1.70%

Pre-tax Return on Assets

-17.27%

4.18%

3.55%

3.70%

Additional Ratios

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Net Profit Margin

-91.95%

4.23%

3.20%

n.a

Return on Equity

-19.69%

3.61%

3.04%

n.a

Activity Ratios

Accounts Receivable Turnover

2.86

2.86

2.86

n.a

Collection Days

55

79

121

n.a

Inventory Turnover

8.85

9.51

6.40

n.a

Accounts Payable Turnover

8.92

12.17

12.17

n.a

Payment Days

27

22

29

n.a

Total Asset Turnover

0.19

0.74

0.83

n.a

Debt Ratios

Debt to Net Worth

0.14

0.15

0.14

n.a

Current Liab. to Liab.

0.61

0.69

0.71

n.a

Liquidity Ratios

Net Working Capital

($3,819)

$15,441

$24,718

n.a

Interest Coverage

-25.83

7.59

7.60

n.a

Additional Ratios

Assets to Sales

5.33

1.35

1.20

n.a

Current Debt/Total Assets

7%

9%

9%

n.a

Acid Test

0.22

0.28

0.60

n.a

Sales/Net Worth

0.21

0.85

0.95

n.a

Dividend Payout

0.00

0.00

0.95

n.a

Table: Sales Forecast

Sales Forecast

Month 1

Month 2

Month 3

Month 4

Month 5

Month 6

Month 7

Month 8

Month 9

Month 10

Month 11

Month 12

Sales

Weekend-Getaway Customers

0%

$0

$0

$0

$654

$745

$784

$804

$1,245

$1,587

$1,874

$2,245

$1,458

Travelers

0%

$0

$0

$0

$654

$702

$754

$815

$1,345

$1,698

$1,985

$2,458

$2,678

University of Oregon Travelers

0%

$0

$0

$0

$598

$965

$654

$712

$800

$1,874

$1,787

$1,987

$1,888

Total Sales

$0

$0

$0

$1,906

$2,412

$2,192

$2,331

$3,390

$5,159

$5,646

$6,690

$6,024

Direct Cost of Sales

Month 1

Month 2

Month 3

Month 4

Month 5

Month 6

Month 7

Month 8

Month 9

Month 10

Month 11

Month 12

Weekend-Getaway Customers

$0

$0

$0

$340

$387

$423

$434

$671

$856

$1,010

$1,211

$786

Travelers

$0

$0

$0

$340

$365

$407

$439

$725

$916

$1,070

$1,325

$1,444

University of Oregon Travelers

$0

$0

$0

$311

$502

$353

$384

$431

$1,010

$964

$1,071

$1,018

Subtotal Direct Cost of Sales

$0

$0

$0

$991

$1,254

$1,182

$1,257

$1,828

$2,782

$3,044

$3,607

$3,248

Table: Personnel

Personnel Plan

Month 1

Month 2

Month 3

Month 4

Month 5

Month 6

Month 7

Month 8

Month 9

Month 10

Month 11

Month 12

Missy

0%

$250

$250

$250

$250

$250

$250

$250

$250

$250

$250

$250

$250

Housekeeping/Outdoor Maintenance

0%

$0

$0

$0

$0

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

Total People

1

1

1

1

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

Total Payroll

$250

$250

$250

$250

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

Table: General Assumptions

General Assumptions

Month 1

Month 2

Month 3

Month 4

Month 5

Month 6

Month 7

Month 8

Month 9

Month 10

Month 11

Month 12

Plan Month

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

Current Interest Rate

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

Long-term Interest Rate

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

10.00%

Tax Rate

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

25.00%

Other

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Table: Profit and Loss

Pro Forma Profit and Loss

Month 1

Month 2

Month 3

Month 4

Month 5

Month 6

Month 7

Month 8

Month 9

Month 10

Month 11

Month 12

Sales

$0

$0

$0

$1,906

$2,412

$2,192

$2,331

$3,390

$5,159

$5,646

$6,690

$6,024

Direct Cost of Sales

$0

$0

$0

$991

$1,254

$1,182

$1,257

$1,828

$2,782

$3,044

$3,607

$3,248

Other

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Total Cost of Sales

$0

$0

$0

$991

$1,254

$1,182

$1,257

$1,828

$2,782

$3,044

$3,607

$3,248

Gross Margin

$0

$0

$0

$915

$1,158

$1,010

$1,074

$1,562

$2,377

$2,602

$3,083

$2,776

Gross Margin %

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

48.01%

48.01%

46.08%

46.08%

46.08%

46.08%

46.08%

46.08%

46.08%

Expenses

Payroll

$250

$250

$250

$250

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

Sales and Marketing and Other Expenses

$150

$150

$150

$150

$150

$150

$150

$150

$150

$150

$150

$150

Depreciation

$1,667

$1,667

$1,667

$1,667

$1,667

$1,667

$1,667

$1,667

$1,667

$1,667

$1,667

$1,667

Leased Equipment

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Utilities

$200

$200

$200

$200

$200

$200

$200

$200

$200

$200

$200

$200

Insurance

$150

$120

$120

$120

$120

$120

$120

$120

$120

$120

$120

$120

mortgage

$440

$440

$440

$440

$440

$440

$440

$440

$440

$440

$440

$440

Payroll Taxes

15%

$38

$38

$38

$38

$263

$263

$263

$263

$263

$263

$263

$263

Other

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Total Operating Expenses

$2,895

$2,865

$2,865

$2,865

$4,590

$4,590

$4,590

$4,590

$4,590

$4,590

$4,590

$4,590

Profit Before Interest and Taxes

($2,895)

($2,865)

($2,865)

($1,950)

($3,432)

($3,579)

($3,515)

($3,027)

($2,212)

($1,988)

($1,507)

($1,814)

EBITDA

($1,228)

($1,198)

($1,198)

($283)

($1,765)

($1,912)

($1,848)

($1,360)

($545)

($321)

$160

($147)

Interest Expense

$103

$103

$103

$103

$102

$101

$101

$100

$99

$98

$98

$114

Taxes Incurred

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Net Profit

($2,998)

($2,968)

($2,968)

($2,052)

($3,533)

($3,681)

($3,616)

($3,127)

($2,311)

($2,086)

($1,605)

($1,927)

Net Profit/Sales

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

-107.67%

-146.49%

-167.91%

-155.12%

-92.25%

-44.80%

-36.95%

-23.98%

-32.00%

Table: Cash Flow

Pro Forma Cash Flow

Month 1

Month 2

Month 3

Month 4

Month 5

Month 6

Month 7

Month 8

Month 9

Month 10

Month 11

Month 12

Cash Received

Cash from Operations

Cash Sales

$0

$0

$0

$1,334

$1,688

$1,534

$1,632

$2,373

$3,611

$3,952

$4,683

$4,217

Cash from Receivables

$0

$0

$0

$0

$19

$577

$721

$659

$710

$1,035

$1,553

$1,704

Subtotal Cash from Operations

$0

$0

$0

$1,334

$1,707

$2,111

$2,353

$3,032

$4,321

$4,987

$6,236

$5,921

Additional Cash Received

Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Received

0.00%

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

New Current Borrowing

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$2,000

New Other Liabilities (interest-free)

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$3,800

$0

$0

$0

New Long-term Liabilities

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Sales of Other Current Assets

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Sales of Long-term Assets

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

New Investment Received

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Subtotal Cash Received

$0

$0

$0

$1,334

$1,707

$2,111

$2,353

$3,032

$8,121

$4,987

$6,236

$7,921

Expenditures

Month 1

Month 2

Month 3

Month 4

Month 5

Month 6

Month 7

Month 8

Month 9

Month 10

Month 11

Month 12

Expenditures from Operations

Cash Spending

$250

$250

$250

$250

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

$1,750

Bill Payments

$36

$1,080

$1,051

$1,084

$2,062

$2,398

$2,384

$2,650

$3,774

$5,086

$4,634

$5,451

Subtotal Spent on Operations

$286

$1,330

$1,301

$1,334

$3,812

$4,148

$4,134

$4,400

$5,524

$6,836

$6,384

$7,201

Additional Cash Spent

Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Paid Out

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Principal Repayment of Current Borrowing

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Other Liabilities Principal Repayment

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Long-term Liabilities Principal Repayment

$0

$0

$0

$83

$83

$83

$83

$83

$83

$83

$83

$83

Purchase Other Current Assets

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Purchase Long-term Assets

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Dividends

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Subtotal Cash Spent

$286

$1,330

$1,301

$1,417

$3,895

$4,231

$4,218

$4,483

$5,608

$6,919

$6,467

$7,285

Net Cash Flow

($286)

($1,330)

($1,301)

($83)

($2,188)

($2,120)

($1,864)

($1,451)

$2,514

($1,932)

($232)

$636

Cash Balance

$10,914

$9,584

$8,283

$8,200

$6,012

$3,892

$2,028

$577

$3,091

$1,158

$926

$1,563

Table: Balance Sheet

Pro Forma Balance Sheet

Month 1

Month 2

Month 3

Month 4

Month 5

Month 6

Month 7

Month 8

Month 9

Month 10

Month 11

Month 12

Assets

Starting Balances

Current Assets

Cash

$11,200

$10,914

$9,584

$8,283

$8,200

$6,012

$3,892

$2,028

$577

$3,091

$1,158

$926

$1,563

Accounts Receivable

$0

$0

$0

$0

$572

$1,276

$1,357

$1,335

$1,693

$2,531

$3,190

$3,644

$3,747

Inventory

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,509

$1,379

$1,300

$1,383

$2,011

$3,060

$3,349

$3,968

$3,573

Other Current Assets

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

$1,500

Total Current Assets

$14,200

$13,914

$12,584

$11,283

$11,781

$10,168

$8,049

$6,245

$5,780

$10,181

$9,197

$10,039

$10,383

Long-term Assets

Long-term Assets

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

$200,000

Accumulated Depreciation

$0

$1,667

$3,334

$5,001

$6,668

$8,335

$10,002

$11,669

$13,336

$15,003

$16,670

$18,337

$20,004

Total Long-term Assets

$200,000

$198,333

$196,666

$194,999

$193,332

$191,665

$189,998

$188,331

$186,664

$184,997

$183,330

$181,663

$179,996

Total Assets

$214,200

$212,247

$209,250

$206,282

$205,113

$201,833

$198,047

$194,576

$192,444

$195,178

$192,527

$191,702

$190,379

Liabilities and Capital

Month 1

Month 2

Month 3

Month 4

Month 5

Month 6

Month 7

Month 8

Month 9

Month 10

Month 11

Month 12

Current Liabilities

Accounts Payable

$0

$1,045

$1,016

$1,016

$1,982

$2,319

$2,297

$2,525

$3,604

$4,933

$4,451

$5,314

$4,001

Current Borrowing

$2,400

$2,400

$2,400

$2,400

$2,400

$2,400

$2,400

$2,400

$2,400

$2,400

$2,400

$2,400

$4,400

Other Current Liabilities

$2,000

$2,000

$2,000

$2,000

$2,000

$2,000

$2,000

$2,000

$2,000

$5,800

$5,800

$5,800

$5,800

Subtotal Current Liabilities

$4,400

$5,445

$5,416

$5,416

$6,382

$6,719

$6,697

$6,925

$8,004

$13,133

$12,651

$13,514

$14,201

Long-term Liabilities

$10,000

$10,000

$10,000

$10,000

$9,917

$9,833

$9,750

$9,667

$9,583

$9,500

$9,417

$9,333

$9,250

Total Liabilities

$14,400

$15,445

$15,416

$15,416

$16,298

$16,552

$16,447

$16,592

$17,587

$22,633

$22,067

$22,847

$23,451

Paid-in Capital

$201,600

$201,600

$201,600

$201,600

$201,600

$201,600

$201,600

$201,600

$201,600

$201,600

$201,600

$201,600

$201,600

Retained Earnings

($1,800)

($1,800)

($1,800)

($1,800)

($1,800)

($1,800)

($1,800)

($1,800)

($1,800)

($1,800)

($1,800)

($1,800)

($1,800)

Earnings

$0

($2,998)

($5,966)

($8,934)

($10,986)

($14,519)

($18,200)

($21,816)

($24,943)

($27,254)

($29,341)

($30,945)

($32,873)

Total Capital

$199,800

$196,802

$193,834

$190,867

$188,814

$185,281

$181,600

$177,984

$174,857

$172,546

$170,459

$168,855

$166,927

Total Liabilities and Capital

$214,200

$212,247

$209,250

$206,282

$205,113

$201,833

$198,047

$194,576

$192,444

$195,178

$192,527

$191,702

$190,379

Net Worth

$199,800

$196,802

$193,834

$190,867

$188,814

$185,281

$181,600

$177,984

$174,857

$172,546

$170,459

$168,855

$166,927