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Famines

Chapter 2

AG 201

Dr. WJ Mueller

Famines get a lot of attention

Fairly small part of the world food problem

If we solved the famine problem

The hunger problem would not be much less

Famines are:

Localized

Temporary

Severe food shortages

Almost always the result of:

Natural disaster &

Poor policy response

Famines (cont.)

Where undernutrition is a problem it does not take much of a natural disaster to create a famine

Weather

When I moved to California I asked a colleague of mine:

“What is normal weather for this time of year?”

He said:

"There is no such thing a normal, only averages.”

That is a profound statement, and helpful for our understanding of droughts and famines

The most famous famine?

The Irish Potato Famine (1840’s)

40 percent of farmers worked for others

They lived on small plots of land (landlord owned)

They grew potatoes to sustain family

Cheap

Nutritious

Grow in relatively poor soil

They also made butter for landlord (buttermilk left for them)

Irish Potato Famine (cont.)

This diet was quite nutritious

Among the tallest and healthiest laborers in Europe

Foundation for low-wage agriculture

Food exports fueled the industrial revolution of Great Britain

Irish Potato Famine (cont.)

1845-1949 – Potato Late Blight hit (weather conditions were just right)

Potatoes rotted in the ground

1 million died of starvation

1 million immigrated

Famines Created by Government Policies

Ukraine Famine (1930’s)

Chinese Famine (1950’s) “Great Leap Forward” famine

Irish potato famine caused by a free-market economy

The two above caused by centrally-planned economies

Ukraine Famine 1932-33

Soviet Union was a collectively-owned and centrally planned system (Stalin)

In other words they took away private ownership of land, factories, etc.

From farmers they took land, machinery, livestock

Consolidated them into large farms

Result

Seizure of all food and stock caused the famine

6-8 million Ukrainians died

Why?

Russians did not really like the Ukrainians

Their policies caused the problem

Not famine

Not war

It was completely man-made

Chinese Famine (1959-61)

Most destructive famine in recorded history

Mao Tse-tung – “The Great Leap Forward” (1952-1961)

A plan to convert from an agriculture society to Industrial

Moderately successful until 1958

Policies set in place to:

Further consolidate farms

Farmers were forced to work in local industries as well as the farms

Food exports were increased to pay debts

Poor weather conditions exacerbated the problem from 1959-1961

Result

30 million people died

Provinces abandoned Mao’s plan in 1961

Ag productivity rebounded

North Korea

Famine since the 1990’s

Closely aligned with the Soviet Union & China

North Korean officials played one against the other for food aid

USSR broke up and aid halted

Agriculture in terrible shape

Drought in 1995

2-3 million died

Drought

Farm workers were given a ration of grain from what they produced on the communal farms

With the drought, rations were cut to the workers by 1/3

Food for the urban areas

Reports of cannibalism of children in 2003

Still they build missiles and nuclear weapons

Southern Africa Drought

2002-2003 Drought followed by heavy rains during harvest

Food aid from USA and other countries saved millions

Zimbabwe (formerly called Rhodesia, when it was a British colony) confiscated land from white commercial farmers and gave it to indigenous supporters of the ruling party

Production dropped by 75%

Southern Africa Drought (cont.)

When I taught at Cal Poly, I had brothers from Zimbabwe in my class. Their land was confiscated and they had to leave by cover of darkness to escape. They told me some of what their families went through trying to get some of their property out of the country without being caught and killed themselves

They have since invited the farmers back. The brothers said that there was not a chance that their family would ever go back

Their agriculture is still a disaster

Famines and North Korea and Zimbabwe have continued for more than a decade

The problem is much deeper than weather

Some examples of food aid that was successful

India drought of 1967

Tsunami victims of 2004

Some not successful

Haiti earthquake victims

Haiti

Distribution went to gangs

Depressed local farm prices

Let’s see, I can pay the farmers for their goods or I can get them for free from the USA. Which should I do??

Dependence on foreign aid is a big problem

The UN World Food Program

What should be done?

Increase food availability

Distribution policies?

Pay cash or coupons for food??

What problems do you see with this?

Help them improve their farming practices

Education?

Work incentives?