Management Science

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mgmt_science_questions.docx

20. To select a value for alpha when using exponential smoothing

a.

use a small alpha when the series varies substantially.

b.

use a large alpha when the series has little random variability.

c.

use a value between 0 and 1

d.

All of the alternatives are true.

A company produces the financial results shown in the table below. The executives at the firm have good reason to believe that $10 million in sales will be generated in 2010. Using simple linear regression, you advise them that this will equate to…

Year

Sales Totals (in millions)

Profit Totals (in millions)

1998

$7.0

$0.15

1999

$2.0

$0.10

2000

$6.0

$0.13

2001

$4.0

$0.15

2002

$14.0

$0.25

2003

$15.0

$0.27

2004

$16.0

$0.24

2005

$12.0

$0.20

2006

$14.0

$0.27

2007

$20.0

$0.44

2008

$15.0

$0.34

2009

$7.0

$0.17

a.

$209,600 in profits.

b.

$2,096,000 in profits.

c.

$186,900 in profits.

d.

$1,869,000 in profits.

22. When the CEO asks you how sure you are of the accuracy of the result provided in Problem #21 above, you show her the r-squared value and respond…

a. “54% sure.”

b. “67% sure.”

c. “84% sure.”

d. “93% sure.”

23. Given the following linear programming problem with two non-negative variables

(X1 and X2 ), find the range of feasibility for the RHS of the second constraint shown below (hint: both constraints are binding)

Max:

Constraints:

Variables are non-negative

a. [52,780]

b. [62.4,90]

c. [52,62.4]

d. [62.4,780]

2

1

200

100

X

X

+

104

5

2

2

1

£

+

X

X

90

3

15

2

1

£

+

X

X