IBM Corporation

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IBM Corporation

In the seven years (since 1994), that Lou Gerstner has reigned over IBM, the company’s earnings per share have increased an average of 27% per year. This remarkable increase in earnings, has not gone unnoticed by the securities markets. Indeed, the company’s market value has grown from less than $30 billion to over $200 billion during this period.

Use the following financial statement data to:

1. Decompose IBM’s ROE and discuss the factors (and trends) that contribute to Big Blue’s profitability

2. Evaluate IBM’s Revenue growth, Receivables, and Gross margins and over the period (be sure to control for seasonality in your evaluation)

3. Evaluate IBM’s Earnings per Share (basic), and Identify the factors most responsible for the increase in IBM’s earnings

Write your answers in standard English. Be specific in your references, provide details of your computations, and be thorough in your explanations – I cannot read your mind.

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EXHIBIT 1

IBM

Selected Earnings Per Share Data

For the Quarters Ended:

Jun-00

Mar-00

Dec-99

Sep-99

Jun-99

Earnings Per Share (from continuing operations)

1.06

0.83

1.12

0.90

0.91

Analyst Expected Earnings Per Share

1.00

0.77

1.06

0.90

0.88

Difference

0.06

0.06

0.06

-

0.03

% Surprise

6.00%

7.79%

5.66%

0.00%

3.41%

All of the financial data in the tables that follow (except “per share figures”), are in millions.

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EXHIBIT 2

IBM

Earnings per Share*

Jun-00

Mar-00

Dec-99

Sep-99

Jun-99

Mar-99

Dec-98

Sep-98

Jun-98

Mar-98

Dec-97

Earings per Share of Common

Stock - Basic

1.10

$

0.85

$

1.16

$

0.97

$

1.32

$

0.80

$

1.27

$

0.80

$

0.77

$

0.54

$

1.08

$

Average Number of Common

Shares Outstanding - Basic

1,767.6

1,777.2

1,793.0

1,805.2

1,812.1

1,823.8

1,839.5

1,856.9

1,879.2

1,946.6

1,929.6

Average Price per Share

109.34

$

111.00

$

102.95

$

123.61

$

116.48

$

88.28

$

82.91

$

62.20

$

57.97

$

51.12

$

52.05

$

* All Data are Adjusted to Reflect

stock splits

2 for 1

stock split

5/10/99

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EXHIBIT 2 (continued)

Sep-97

Jun-97

Mar-97

Dec-96

Sep-96

Earings per Share of Common

Stock - Basic

0.69

$

0.73

$

0.59

$

0.99

$

0.62

$

Average Number of Common

Shares Outstanding - Basic

1,956.0

1,973.8

2,006.8

2,053.6

2,087.4

Average Price per Share

52.13

$

42.78

$

36.45

$

36.61

$

31.65

$

* All Data are Adjusted to Reflect

stock splits

2 for 1 stock

split 5/9/97

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EXHIBIT 3

IBM

Consolidated Statements of Income

For the Quarters Ended:

Mar-00

Dec-99

Sep-99

Jun-99

Mar-99

Dec-98

Sep-98

Jun-98

Mar-98

Dec-97

Total Revenues

19,348

$

24,182

$

21,144

$

21,905

$

20,317

$

25,131

$

20,095

$

18,823

$

17,618

$

23,723

$

Cost of Sales

12,337

15,299

13,580

13,681

13,059

15,322

12,628

11,677

11,168

14,205

Gross Margin

7,011

8,883

7,564

8,224

7,258

9,809

7,467

7,146

6,450

9,518

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

3,706

4,445

3,501

2,846

3,937

5,074

4,057

3,812

3,719

5,060

Research and Development

1,172

1,416

1,383

1,293

1,181

1,407

1,240

1,220

1,179

1,425

Total Operating Expenses

4,878

5,861

4,884

4,139

5,118

6,481

5,297

5,032

4,898

6,485

Operating Income

2,133

3,022

2,680

4,085

2,140

3,328

2,170

2,114

1,552

3,033

Other Income (Expense), net

189

134

134

155

134

187

122

130

150

173

Interest Expense

152

171

185

197

174

213

160

161

179

194

Income Before Taxes

2,170

2,985

2,629

4,043

2,100

3,302

2,132

2,083

1,523

3,012

Income Tax Expense

651

896

867

1,652

630

956

638

631

487

919

Net Income

1,519

$

2,089

$

1,762

$

2,391

$

1,470

$

2,346

$

1,494

$

1,452

$

1,036

$

2,093

$

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EXHIBIT 3 (continued)

Sep-97

Jun-97

Mar-97

Dec-96

Sep-96

Total Revenues

18,605

$

18,872

$

17,308

$

23,143

$

18,062

$

Cost of Sales

11,507

11,471

10,716

13,822

10,804

Gross Margin

7,098

7,401

6,592

9,321

7,258

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

3,932

3,958

3,684

5,093

4,175

Research and Development

1,162

1,221

1,069

1,332

1,115

Total Operating Expenses

5,094

5,179

4,753

6,425

5,290

Operating Income

2,004

2,222

1,839

2,896

1,968

Other Income (Expense), net

162

137

185

181

183

Interest Expense

183

179

172

190

172

Income Before Taxes

1,983

2,180

1,852

2,887

1,979

Income Tax Expense

624

734

657

864

694

Net Income

1,359

$

1,446

$

1,195

$

2,023

$

1,285

$

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EXHIBIT 4

1999

1998

1997

1996

Sales

87,548

$

81,667

$

78,508

$

75,947

$

Cost of Goods Sold

55,619

50,795

47,899

45,408

Gross Margin

31,929

30,872

30,609

30,539

Research and Development Expense

5,273

5,046

4,877

4,654

Other Selling, General & Administrative Expense

14,729

16,662

16,634

16,854

Total Operating Expenses

20,002

21,708

21,511

21,508

Total Operating Income

11,927

9,164

9,098

9,031

Other Income (Expense) net

557

589

657

707

Interest Expense

727

713

728

716

EBT

11,757

9,040

9,027

9,022

Tax on EBT

4,045

2,712

2,934

3,158

Net Income

7,712

6,328

6,093

5,864

For the Years Ended:

Consolidated Statements of Income

IBM

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EXHIBIT 5

1999

1998

1997

1996

Sales

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

Cost of Goods Sold

0.64

0.62

0.61

0.60

Gross Margin

0.36

0.38

0.39

0.40

Research and Development Expense

0.06

0.06

0.06

0.06

Other Selling, General & Administrative Expense

0.17

0.20

0.21

0.22

Total Operating Expenses

0.23

0.27

0.27

0.28

Total Operating Income

0.14

0.11

0.12

0.12

Other Income (Expense) net

0.01

0.01

0.01

0.01

Interest Expense

0.01

0.01

0.01

0.01

EBT

0.13

0.11

0.11

0.12

Tax on EBT

0.05

0.03

0.04

0.04

Net Income

0.09

0.08

0.08

0.08

Common Size Statements of Income

For the Years Ended:

IBM

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EXHIBIT 6

IBM

Consolidated Balance Sheets

For the Quarters Ended:

Mar-00

Dec-99

Sep-99

Jun-99

Mar-99

Dec-98

Sep-98

Jun-98

Mar-98

Dec-97

Assets

Cash

3606

5,831

6,026

$

7,241

$

5,356

$

5,768

$

5,869

$

5,471

$

5,889

$

7,553

$

Receivables, Inventory and Pre-Paids

35533

37,324

36,851

36,211

34,445

36,592

32,933

31,541

31,682

32,865

Total Current Assets

39,139

$

43,155

$

42,877

$

43,452

$

39,801

$

42,360

$

38,802

$

37,012

$

37,571

40,418

$

Property & Equipment (net)

16959

17,590

17,463

17,253

18,866

19,631

19,005

18,453

18,223

18,347

Investments and Other Assets

26666

26,750

25,035

22,642

23,084

24,109

21,912

21,647

22,150

22,734

Total Assets

82,764

$

87,495

$

85,375

$

83,347

$

81,751

$

86,100

$

79,719

$

77,112

$

77,944

$

81,499

$

Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity

Accounts Payable, Taxes & Accruals

21767

25,348

23,682

$

21,248

$

22,922

$

22,922

$

18,275

$

16,779

$

17,325

$

20,277

$

Debt Maturing within One Year

13844

14,230

14,096

14,713

13,905

13,905

13,237

13,271

12,667

13,230

Total Current Liabilities

35,611

$

39,578

$

37,778

$

35,961

$

36,827

$

36,827

$

31,512

$

30,050

$

29,992

$

33,507

$

Long Term Debt

14295

14124

13,807

14,330

15,508

15,508

15,239

14,590

15,029

13,696

Other Liabilities & Deferred Taxes

13340

13282

13,722

13,898

14,332

14,332

14,333

13,895

14,058

14,480

Total Liabilities

63,246

$

66,984

$

65,307

$

64,189

$

66,667

$

66,667

$

61,084

$

58,535

$

59,079

$

61,683

$

Total Shareholders Equity

19518

20,511

20,068

$

19,158

$

19,433

$

19,433

$

18,635

$

18,577

$

18,865

$

19,816

$

Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity

82,764

$

87,495

$

85,375

$

83,347

$

86,100

$

86,100

$

79,719

$

77,112

$

77,944

$

81,499

$

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EXHIBIT 6 (continued)

Sep-97

Jun-97

Mar-97

Dec-96

Assets

Cash

6,486

$

6,861

$

6,463

$

8,137

$

Receivables, Inventory and Pre-Paids

31,704

31,778

30,857

32,558

Total Current Assets

38,190

$

38,639

$

37,320

$

40,695

$

Property & Equipment (net)

17,921

17,647

17,062

17,407

Investments and Other Assets

22,182

22,533

22,145

23,030

Total Assets

78,293

$

78,819

$

76,527

$

81,132

$

Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity

Accounts Payable, Taxes & Accruals

18,072

$

18,531

$

17,998

$

21,043

$

Debt Maturing within One Year

12,518

14,028

13,243

12,957

Total Current Liabilities

30,590

$

32,559

$

31,241

$

34,000

$

Long Term Debt

13,623

11,675

10,402

9,872

Other Liabilities & Deferred Taxes

14,324

14,476

14,933

15,632

Total Liabilities

58,537

$

58,710

$

56,576

$

59,504

$

Total Shareholders Equity

19,756

$

20,109

$

19,951

$

21,628

$

Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity

78,293

$

78,819

$

76,527

$

81,132

$

Chart 1

image10.wmf

IBM

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Sep-96

Dec-96

Mar-97

Jun-97

Sep-97

Dec-97

Mar-98

Jun-98

Sep-98

Dec-98

Mar-99

Jun-99

Sep-99

Dec-99

Mar-00

Jun-00

Common Stock Price per Share

$

Chart 2

image11.wmf

IBM

$-

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

$3.50

$4.00

$4.50

$5.00

Sep-96

Nov-96

Jan-97

Mar-97

May-97

Jul-97

Sep-97

Nov-97

Jan-98

Mar-98

May-98

Jul-98

Sep-98

Nov-98

Jan-99

Mar-99

May-99

Jul-99

Sep-99

Nov-99

Jan-00

Mar-00

May-00

Earnings per Share

$

Qtly EPS

Pseudo Annual EPS