Financial management assignment (MBA)

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ratios_kellogg_mc-2.xls

Balance Sheet

Kellogg (NYSE) - K
BALANCE SHEET (US$ in millions, except per-share data)
12/31/12 12/31/11 12/31/10 12/31/09
$ Amount % $ Amount % $ Amount % $ Amount %
Assets Assets Assets Assets
Assets
Cash $ 281.00 1.9% $ 460.00 3.9% $ 444.00 3.7% $ 334.00 3.0%
Accounts Receivables $ 1,454.00 9.6% $ 1,188.00 9.9% $ 1,190.00 10.0% $ 1,093.00 9.8%
Inventory $ 1,365.00 9.0% $ 1,174.00 9.8% $ 1,056.00 8.9% $ 910.00 8.1%
Other $ 280.00 1.8% $ 247.00 2.1% $ 225.00 1.9% $ 221.00 2.0%
Total Current Assets $ 3,380.00 22.3% $ 3,069.00 25.7% $ 2,915.00 24.6% $ 2,558.00 22.8%
Net Plant/Property/Equipment $ 3,782.00 24.9% $ 3,281.00 27.5% $ 3,128.00 26.4% $ 3,010.00 26.9%
Goodwill $ 7,412.00 48.8% $ 5,077.00 42.5% $ 5,084.00 42.9% $ 5,101.00 45.5%
Other Fixed Assets $ 610.00 4.0% $ 516.00 4.3% $ 720.00 6.1% $ 531.00 4.7%
Total Non-Current Assets $ 11,804.00 77.7% $ 8,874.00 74.3% $ 8,932.00 75.4% $ 8,642.00 77.2%
Total Assets $ 15,184.00 100.0% $ 11,943.00 100.0% $ 11,847.00 100.0% $ 11,200.00 100.0%
Liabilities and Equity
Payables $ 1,448.00 9.5% $ 1,255.00 10.5% $ 1,269.00 10.7% $ 1,143.00 10.2%
Accrued Expenses,Current $ 783.00 5.2% $ 652.00 5.5% $ 558.00 4.7% $ 731.00 6.5%
Current Debt $ 1,820.00 12.0% $ 995.00 8.3% $ 996.00 8.4% $ 45.00 0.4%
Other Current Liabilities $ 472.00 3.1% $ 411.00 3.4% $ 361.00 3.0% $ 369.00 3.3%
Total Current Liabilities $ 4,523.00 29.8% $ 3,313.00 27.7% $ 3,184.00 26.9% $ 2,288.00 20.4%
Long-term Debt $ 6,082.00 40.1% $ 5,037.00 42.2% $ 4,908.00 41.4% $ 4,835.00 43.2%
Deferred Liabilities $ 523.00 3.4% $ 643.00 5.4% $ 697.00 5.9% $ 425.00 3.8%
Other $ 1,637.00 10.8% $ 1,154.00 9.7% $ 900.00 7.6% $ 1,380.00 12.3%
Total Non-Current Liabilities $ 8,242.00 54.3% $ 6,834.00 57.2% $ 6,505.00 54.9% $ 6,640.00 59.3%
Total Liabilities $ 12,765.00 84.1% $ 10,147.00 85.0% $ 9,689.00 81.8% $ 8,928.00 79.7%
Total Equity $ 2,419.00 15.9% $ 1,796.00 15.0% $ 2,158.00 18.2% $ 2,272.00 20.3%
Total liabilities and equity $ 15,184.00 100.0% $ 11,943.00 100.0% $ 11,847.00 100.0% $ 11,200.00 100.0%
Per Share Data
Common shares outstanding 1 361.27 357.3 365.6 381.38
Book Value per share 2 $ 6.70 $ 5.03 $ 5.90 $ 5.96
Market Value per share $ 55.33 $ 50.57 $ 51.08 $ 54.00
NOTES
1 millions of shares
2 = Equity/shares

Income Statement

Kellogg (NYSE) - K
INCOME STATEMENT (US$ in millions, except per-share data)
12/31/12 12/31/11 12/31/10 12/31/09
$ Amount % $ Amount % $ Amount % $ Amount %
Sales Sales Sales Sales
Total Revenue $ 14,197.00 100.0% $ 13,198.00 100.0% $ 12,397.00 100.0% $ 12,575.00 100.0%
Cost of Revenue $ 8,763.00 61.7% $ 8,046.00 61.0% $ 7,055.00 56.9% $ 7,184.00 57.1%
Operating Expenses $ 3,872.00 27.3% $ 3,725.00 28.2% $ 3,305.00 26.7% $ 3,390.00 27.0%
EBIT $ 1,562.00 11.0% $ 1,427.00 10.8% $ 2,037.00 16.4% $ 2,001.00 15.9%
Net Interest Income/Expense $ 237.00 1.7% $ 245.00 1.9% $ 254.00 2.0% $ 321.00 2.6%
Income Tax $ 363.00 2.6% $ 320.00 2.4% $ 510.00 4.1% $ 476.00 3.8%
Net Income $ 962.00 6.8% $ 862.00 6.5% $ 1,273.00 10.3% $ 1,204.00 9.6%
DPS (dividend per share) 1.74 1.67 1.56 1.43
EPS (earnings per share) 2.68 2.39 3.43 3.17
Free Cash Flow $ 1,225.00 $ 1,001.00 $ 534.00 $ 1,266.00
* See the FCF article below:
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/fundamental-analysis/09/free-cash-flow-yield.asp

Ratios

SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL RATIOS
Kellogg (NYSE) - K 2012 2011 2010 2009
12/31/12 12/31/11 12/31/10 12/31/09
Ratio Ratio Value Benchmark Ratio Value Benchmark Ratio Value Benchmark Ratio Value Benchmark
Liquidity
Current 0.75 1.22 0.93 0.92 1.12 --> CA / CL
Quick 0.45 0.59 0.57 0.58 0.72
Asset management
Inventory Turnover 6.42 6.09 6.85 6.68 7.89
Days sales in inventory 56.86 53.26 54.63 46.23
Fixed assets turnover 1.20 1.49 1.39 1.46
Total assets turnover 0.93 0.89 1.11 1.05 1.12 --> Sales / TA
Leverage (Debt Management)
Debt to total assets 0.84 0.85 0.82 0.80 --> Tot. Debt / TA
Debt to equity 5.28 1.30 5.65 4.49 3.93
Equity multiplier 6.28 3.82 6.65 5.49 4.93 --> TA / Equity
Times interest earned 6.59 5.82 8.02 6.23 --> EBIT / Interest
Profitability
Net Profit Margin 6.78% 8.44% 6.53% 10.27% 9.57% --> NI / Sales
ROA 6.34% 7.54% 7.22% 10.75% 10.75% --> NI / TA
ROE 39.77% 28.69% 48.00% 58.99% 52.99% --> NI / Equity
Market Value
Earnings per Share 2.68 2.39 3.43 3.17
Price/earnings 20.65 21.32 21.16 14.89 17.03
Market/book 8.26 4.29 10.06 8.65 9.06
Dividends
Dividends per share 1.74 1.67 1.56 1.43
Dividend payout ratio 0.39 0.41 0.31 0.31
Retention ratio 0.61 0.59 0.69 0.69
Growth Rates
Internal Growth Rate 0.04 0.04 0.08 0.08
Sustainable Growth Rate 0.32 0.39 0.68 0.58
DuPont Equation
* Explains why ROE is high or low.
In 2012 K's ROE was 39.8% vs. industry average of 28.7%. What explains this difference?
Kellogg Industry
1. Operational efficiency (ability to control costs) --> Profit margin 6.78% 8.44%
2. Debt usage (leverage efficinecy) --> Equity Multiplier 6.28 3.82
3. Asset utilization efficiency --> Total Asset Turnover 0.93 0.89
ROE = 39.8% 28.7%

Sheet1

* Assume US Corporation stock trades at $25/share on December, 31 2008 and there are 100,000,000 common stock shares outstanding
Year 2008
Liquidity 1. Current Ratio = CA / CL 1,403 / 389 = 3.61
Asset Mgmt 2. TATO = SALES / TA 1,509 / 3,112 = 0.48
Debt Mgmt 3. Total Debt = Debt / TA (389 + 454) / 3,112 = 27.1%
4. EM = TA / Equity 3,112 / 2,269 = 1.37
Profitability 5. NPM = NI / Sales 412 / 1,509 = 27.3%
6. ROE = NI / Equity 412 / 2,269 = 18.2%
7. ROA = NI / TA 412 / 3,112 = 13.2%
Market 8. MB = Price / BVpS 25 / (3,112 / 1,000) = 8.03
9. PE = Price / Earnings 25 / (1,509 / 1,000) = 16.57
Here are US Corp industry averages for selected ratios
ROE 24.5% 18.2%
NPM 35% 27.3%
TATO 0.5 0.48
EM 1.4 1.37
practice problems
Based on #2 from p. 107
Total Assets $ 10,000,000
Accounts Payable $ 2,000,000
Notes Payable $ 1,000,000
Bonds $ 3,000,000
Comm. Stock at par $ 1,000,000
Contributed capital $ 500,000
Retained earnings $ 2,500,000
Total Liab. And Equity $ 10,000,000
If the company has sales of $20 mln, how would its ROE change if the profit margin increases from the current 3% level to 7%?
15.000%
35.000%
Based on #9 from p. 109
Gulf Controls Inc. has a net profit margin of 10% and sales of $6,000,000. It's balance sheet looks like this:
Current Assets $ 1,800,000 Industry averages for selected ratios are below:
Fixed Assets $ 2,200,000
Total Assets $ 4,000,000 Net Profit Margin 6% 10% --> this is given
Total Asset Turnover 2.5 1.5 --> 6 mln of sales / 4 mln of TA
Current Liabilities $ 600,000 Equity Multiplier 1.4 1.67 ---> 4000000/(500000+1900000)
Long-term debt $ 1,000,000 (total assets / (com. Stock + ret. Earnings)
Common Stock $ 500,000 Industry ROE 21.00% 25.00%
Retained Earnings $ 1,900,000
Total Liab. & Equity $ 4,000,000 NI = 600000
ROE = 25.00%
a. find Gulf's ROE
b. what is the source of the major differences between the Gulf and "average" firm profitability?