Project in International Finance

profileneedassignmenthelp
feras.pdf

1  |  P a g e                 A s s e s s m e n t   B r i e f i n g   f o r   S t u d e n t s    

UWBS038g Assessment Briefing for Students

Assessment brief number (and title where applicable): Module leader: Seng Kiong, Kok email address: [email protected]

Academic Year: 2013 / 14

PGB1

Module assessment detail (approved at validation as amended by module modification)

Module code & title 7FC002 International Finance Module Learning outcomes: Tick (√)

if tested here

LO1 Critical  evaluation  of  International  Financial  Markets   LO2 Critical  evaluation  and  application  of  International  Financial  Instruments ü LO3 Critical  evaluation  and  application  of  International  Financial  strategies ü LO4 Assessment types Weightings

(%)

Group Report and Oral Presentation 30 Individual Report 70 ü Assessment type, weighting and LOs tested by this assessment indicated in the shaded area above by a √

Important requirements Mode of Working: Individual Presentation Format: Report Method of Submission: Paper Submission to MX student Office Mark required to pass this coursework: 50%/ (Complete following detail) Hand in date & time Monday 13th January 2014 @ 16:00 Date & method by which you will receive feedback

Via WOLF and E-Vision

Resit/retrieval date PG Block 3 Assessment limits (in accordance with UWBS assessment tariff)

No more than: 3000 words, excluding appendices

Do clearly state your student number when submitting work but do not indicate your name. Always  keep  a  copy  of  your  work. Always keep a file of working papers (containing, for instance, working notes, copied journal article and early drafts of your work, etc.) that show the development of your work and the sources you have used. You may need to show this to tutor at some point so notes should be clear and written in English. This is an important requirement. There may be circumstances where it is difficult to arrive at a mark for your work. If this is so you may be asked to submit your file within 3 working days and possibly meet with your tutor to answer questions on your submission.

2  |  P a g e                 A s s e s s m e n t   B r i e f i n g   f o r   S t u d e n t s    

Explanation of submission requirements and further guidance

• Assessments are subject to a word limit to ensure consistency of approach across all modules. Your work should not exceed the limit indicated (excluding references and appendices). Do not feel that you have to “achieve” this word count in your work. What is important is that the work satisfies the stated learning outcomes which are articulated through the assessment criteria (see following page).

• Care is taken to ensure that work has been marked correctly. Checks are conducted by both a second lecturer and an independent expert from outside the University on batches of work.

• Your work will not be returned to you but you will receive detailed feedback explaining how your mark has been arrived at and how your work could have been improved upon.

• Always use the Harvard style referencing system. The University’s Learning Information Services have produced a series of guides covering a range of topics to support your studies and develop your academic skills including a guide to Harvard referencing http://www.wlv.ac.uk/lib/skills_for_learning/study_guides.aspx

• Expensive or elaborate bindings and covers for submissions are not required in most instances. (Refer to guidelines however in the case of dissertations).

• The Business School has a policy of anonymous marking of individual assessments which applies to most modules. You should not identify yourself directly in the work you submit and you may need to use phrases such as “the author of this assignment ….”in the detail of your submission.

Avoid academic misconduct

Warning: Collusion, plagiarism and cheating are very serious offences that can result in a student being expelled from the University. The Business School has a policy of actively identifying students who engage in academic misconduct of this nature and routinely applying detection techniques including the use of sophisticated software packages.

• Avoid Collusion. The Business School encourages group working, however to avoid collusion always work on your own when completing individual assessments. Do not let fellow students have access to your work at any stage and do not be tempted to access the work of others. Refer to your module tutor if you do not understand or you need further guidance.

• Avoid Plagiarism. You must use available and relevant literature to demonstrate your knowledge of a subject, however to avoid plagiarism you must take great care to acknowledge it properly. Plagiarism is the act of stealing someone else's work and passing it off as your own. This includes incorporating either unattributed direct quotation(s) or substantial paraphrasing from the work of another/others. For this reason it is important that you cite all the sources whose work you have drawn on and reference them fully in accordance with the Harvard referencing standard. (This includes citing any work that you may have submitted yourself previously). Extensive direct quotations in assessed work is ill advised because it represents a poor writing style, and it could lead to omission errors and a plagiarism offence could be committed accidentally.

• Avoid the temptation to “commission” work or to cheat in other ways. There are temptations on the internet for you to take “short cuts”. Do not be tempted to either commission work to be completed on your behalf or search for completed past academic work.

When you submit your work you will be required to sign an important declaration that the submission is your own work, any material you have used has been acknowledged and referenced, you have not allowed another student to have access to your work, the work has not been submitted previously, etc.

3  |  P a g e                 A s s e s s m e n t   B r i e f i n g   f o r   S t u d e n t s    

Assessment Brief/ Task The detailed requirements for this task are as follows:

You   will   be   given   a   notional   $250,000   which   is   to   be   used   to   trade   on   the   FOREX   futures   market.   The   objective  of  the  assignment  is  so  that  you  gain  an  understanding  of  what  factors  make  the  currency  markets   move  and  also  what  is  a  significant  movement  in  terms  of  profit  and  loss.     You   are   restricted   to   the   following   markets   and   you   should   select   just   ONE   currency   to   trade:-­‐       Futures  traded  on  the  IMM:    

• Euro/US$     • British  Pound/US$     • Japanese  Yen/US$    

  You  are  also  restricted  to  TEN  trades  in  total  (5  open  and  5  closing).  This  is  a  maximum,  not  a  minimum.   When  you  change  “direction”  or  increase  the  size  of  a  position  you  must  close  the  existing  trades  first.  This   is  to  enable  it  to  be  easier  to  verify  the  accuracy  of  your  trades.  

You  should  only  trade  the  December  2013  contracts.  You  may  begin  trading  at  any  time.  All  trading  must   finish  on  or  before  Monday  16th  December  2013  and  you  must  trade  for  a  minimum  period  of  10  working   days  (defined  as  “marking  to  market”  on  10  occasions,  i.e.  having  10  settlement  prices).  Your  written  work   must  then  be  submitted  (to  the  school  office  in  MX  Building)  by  Monday  13th  January  2013.  Please  refer  to   ‘What  should  be  included  in  the  report?’  for  more  information  on  how  to  structure  your  work.  

You  are  advised  to  spend  some  time  researching  the  assignment  and  perhaps  "paper  trade"  for  a  short  time   before  embarking  on  your  actual  trades.  If  you  haven't  begun  trading  by  Friday  the  30th  of  November  then   you  will  be  deemed  to  have  failed  the  assignment  as  you  will  then  have  insufficient  time  to  undertake  10   days  of  trading.    

You  can  however  begin  trading  at  any  time  as  long  as  you  complete  trading  by  Monday  16th  December  2013   and   trade   for   a   period   of   ten   working   days.   Note   that   the   last   day   of   trading   for   the   December   2013   contracts  is  Monday  23rd  December.  After  this  date  there  is  no  trading  and  therefore  no  prices  available.   Hence  it  is  vitally  important  that  you  commence  trading  as  soon  as  possible.  

The  details  of  each  trade  must  be  entered  on-­‐line  at:    

https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1CN_NDyG0wZDPYJtmeNJ_GmWTWW8agEwOg_Q01Y0wmOY/viewform     Note:  This  link  will  also  be  available  on  your  WOLF  topic  for  7FC002  International  Finance     You  will  be  required  to  provide  the  following  information  when  completing  the  trade  form:    

1) Student  Number   2) Type  of  Trade  (Opening  or  Closing)   3) Direction  of  Trade  (Long  or  Short)   4) Currency  Pairing   5) Number  of  Contracts   6) Current  Price  

   

4  |  P a g e                 A s s e s s m e n t   B r i e f i n g   f o r   S t u d e n t s    

  Live  futures  prices  are  also  available  on-­‐line  at  the  CME  (www.cmegroup.com).     You  should  trade  on  the  GLOBEX  prices.  GLOBEX  is  an  electronic  platform  and  so  the  price  is  constantly   changing   although   the   most   active   trading   period   is   during   office   hours   Chicago   time   (http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/city.html?n=64)  which  is  6  hours  behind  GMT.  At  around  about   11pm  (GMT)  the  prices  will  disappear  for  around  15  minutes  whilst  a  settlement  (Sett)  price  is  recorded.   This  is  the  price  used  to  undertake  the  “marking  to  market”  each  day.  

The table below shows how the prices are quoted on the CME website. You trade at the last but your marking to market takes place at the Sett.

The Sett. here refers to the Settlement Price recorded on the last trading day (here that was 4th January 2011).

You should also construct a spreadsheet to keep track of the dollar value of your portfolio daily throughout the trading period. A printed copy of this spreadsheet should be incorporated with your written work. You should end up with a time series of dollar values of the portfolio over the trading period. You must also show the following:-

• The percentage rate of return over the trading period. • The average daily percentage change in the value of your portfolio • The standard deviation of the daily percentage changes. • Information (Sharpe) ratio

Other rules include:-

• Round turn commission on futures is $25 per contract. • Margin requirements on futures contracts are as follows (initial/maintenance):-

Yen ($3465/$3150) Pound ($1650/$1500) Euro ($2475/$2250) source: cmegroup.com, 10/07/2013

5  |  P a g e                 A s s e s s m e n t   B r i e f i n g   f o r   S t u d e n t s    

• If you find that you have insufficient dollars to meet margin payments then you must close a futures position.

• No borrowing is allowed. • To minimise computation cash may not be invested overnight in the money markets or invested in

any other securities that earn a rate of return. • Before you submit your work you MUST close out all of your futures positions. You will be penalised

for fabricating trades to minimise losses and/or amplify profits. • The face value of the $/Yen future is Yen 12,500,000. • The face value of the $/£ future is £62,500. • The face value of the $/EURO future is EURO 125,000

What  should  be  included  in  the  report?  

Students  should  essentially  include  the  reasoning  behind  each  of  the  trades  and  as  this  coursework   is   a   little   different   from   others   you   may   be   confused   as   to   how   to   structure   it.   The   advice   is   to   structure  it  like  an  events  study,  linking  trade  reasoning  and  evaluation  to  the  information  that  was   considered  prior  to  trading.  These  strategies  could  take  the  form  of  new  reports  or  fundamental  and   technical  analysis  of  the  respective  currency  parings.  

Students  will  also  be  required  to  benchmark  and  critically  evaluate  the  performance  of  their  portfolio.   This  should  appear  in  the  report  under  the  heading  of  ‘Evaluation  of  Portfolio  Performance’.  

Enter  into  the  spirit  of  the  coursework.  The  list  of  trades  that  your  calculations  are  based  on  should   tally  with  the  trades  you  entered.  If  you  realised  after  the  event  that  you  made  a  mistake  then  own  up   to  it,  accept  a  mark  deduction  and  list  it  as  an  error.    Note  that  all  your  trades  will  be  recorded  online   so  please  refrain  from  fabricating/changing  trades.  Please  be  honest!     Students  will  have  to  include  the  following  tables:    

Record  of  Trades    

Date  &  Time   Trade   Currency  Contracts  Maturity  Price  

           

           

           

           

 

Errors:  

1.     2.     3.    

6  |  P a g e                 A s s e s s m e n t   B r i e f i n g   f o r   S t u d e n t s    

4.      

At   some   point   in   the   work   you   are   going   to   have   to   reveal   your   overall   result   which   I   would   like   presented  as  follows:  

  Date   Total   %  return  

     

     

     

   

Total  Gross  Profit  in  dollars  after  trading:    

Total  Net  Profit  in  dollars  after  trading:    

Percentage  return  (2  decimal  places):    

Standard  deviation  of  returns  (2  decimal  places):    

Information  Ratio  (2  decimal  places):    

 

The  “Total”  figure  here  refers  to  the  total  value  of  your  portfolio  when  the  positions  are  valued  at  the   end  of  each  day  in  the  marking  to  market  process  plus  any  cash  that  you  have.  You  only  have  one   “Total”  figure  for  each  day.  

Everything  should  tally.  The  “Profit/Loss”  referred  to  above  should  be  verifiable  by  me  from  the  list  of   trades  you  entered.  The  “Total  Gross  Profit”  figure  that  you  quote  should  then  be  the  sum  of  all  the   individual  profits  for  each  trade.  The  “Total  Net  Profit”  should  be  the  “Total  Gross  Profit”  minus  total   commission  paid.       Embed  all  tables  into  the  text.  Even  if  this  means  using  scissors  and  glue!  For  the  more  technically   adept  use  copy  and  paste  or  for  charts/images  from  webpages  you  can  use  screen  capture  function.  

The following information is important when: • Preparing for your assessment

• Checking your work before you submit it

• Interpreting feedback on your work after marking.

7  |  P a g e                 A s s e s s m e n t   B r i e f i n g   f o r   S t u d e n t s    

Assessment Criteria

The module learning outcomes tested by this assessment task are indicated on page 1. The precise criteria against which your work will be marked is as follows:

• Content and theory

• Secondary research

• Critical analysis

• Academic writing

• Presentation and referencing

Performance descriptors Performance descriptors indicate how marks will be arrived at against each of the above criteria. The descriptors indicate the likely characteristics of work that is marked within the percentage bands indicated.

90-100% Outstanding understanding, analysis and application of international finance theories and concepts. Outstanding evaluation and synthesis of theory and evidence. Outstanding argument comprehensively supported by the evidence. Exceptional conclusion and recommendation thoroughly supported by the evidence provided. Exceptionally structured and written piece of work fully referenced using the Harvard System.

80-89% Excellent understanding, analysis and application of international finance theories and concepts. Excellent evaluation and synthesis of theory and evidence. Excellent argument fully supported by the evidence. Excellent conclusion and recommendation fully supported by the evidence provided. Excellently structured and written piece of work fully referenced using the Harvard System.

70-79% Very good understanding, analysis and application of international finance theories and concepts. Very good evaluation and synthesis of theory and evidence. Very good, sound argument largely supported by the evidence. Very good conclusion and recommendation largely supported by the evidence provided. Very well structured and written piece of work fully referenced using the Harvard System.

60-69% Good understanding, analysis and application of international finance theories and concepts. Good evaluation and synthesis of theory and evidence. Good argument generally supported by evidence. Good conclusion and recommendation largely supported by the evidence provided. Well-structured and written piece of work fully referenced using the Harvard System.

50-59% Competent understanding, analysis and application of international finance theories and concepts. Competent evaluation and synthesis of theory and evidence. Competent argument reasonably supported by evidence. Competent conclusion and recommendation variably supported by the evidence provided. Competently structured and written piece of work fully referenced using the Harvard System.

40-49% Basic understanding, analysis and application of international finance theories and concepts. Basic evaluation and synthesis of theory and evidence. Basic argument with limited supporting evidence. Basic conclusion and recommendation with limited supporting evidence provided.

8  |  P a g e                 A s s e s s m e n t   B r i e f i n g   f o r   S t u d e n t s    

Basically structured and written piece of work fully referenced using the Harvard System.

30-39% Weak/superficial understanding, analysis and application of international finance theories and concepts. Weak evaluation and synthesis of theory and evidence. Weak argument insufficiently supported by evidence. Weak conclusion and recommendation with little support from the evidence provided. Weakly structured and written piece of work poorly referenced using the Harvard System.

20-29% Poor understanding, analysis and application of international finance theories and concepts. Poor evaluation and synthesis of theory and evidence. Poor argument not supported by the provision of evidence. Poor conclusion and recommendation with no support from the evidence provided. Poorly structured and written piece of work poorly referenced using the Harvard System.

10-19% Little to no attempt to engage with the assignment brief

0-9% No real attempt to address the assignment brief

To help you further: • Refer to the WOLF topic for contact details of your module leader/tutor, tutorial inputs,

recommended reading and other sources, etc. Resit details will also appear on WOLF. • The University’s Learning Information Services offer support and guidance to help you with

your studies and develop your academic skills http://www.wlv.ac.uk/lib/skills_for_learning/study_guides.aspx

Recommended Reading

Fama, E.F.(1970) "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work.", Journal of Finance, vol. 25, pp. 383-417. Harvey, C. R. and Huang, R. D. (1991) Volatility in the Foreign Currency Futures Market, The Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 4, No. 3, pp. 543 – 569 Jensen, M. C., Black, F. and Scholes, M. (1972) ‘‘The capital asset pricing model: some empirical tests,’’ in studies in the theory of capital markets. Michael C. Jensen, Ed. New York: Praeger, pp. 79–121

Laws and Thompson (2007) “Portfolio diversification and commodity futures” LJMU CIBEF Working papers, May 2007 Madura, J and Fox, R. (2011) International Financial Management, 2nd Ed, Cengage Learning, U.K.

Markowitz, H, M. (1991) Foundations of portfolio theory, The Journal of Finance, 46(2), 469- 477 Pilbeam, K. (2013) International Finance, 4th Ed, Palgrave Macmillian, U.K.