Forecasting and Business Analysis

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copy_of_correlations.xls

Introduction

Forecasting and Business Analysis
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Correlation Analysis Correlation models tell you how strong the linear relationship is between two variables. The statistic used is the coefficient of correlation denoted r (Rho). This is used mainly for understanding and can take values from -1 to +1 to measure the degree of association.  
Y
X
Correlation Analysis The chart on the left shows a simple relationship between X and Y. Correlation analysis can help show the strength of the relationship and also if the relationship is positive or negative. Using Excel for Correlation Analysis Excel can be used to calculate an individual correlation or a correlation matrix. The matrix is a table of correlations between a number of variables. This worksheet shows how to calculate a single correlation coefficient using the CORREL function in Excel and also how to create a correlation matrix using the Analysis ToolPak.

Correlation Example

Value $ Land Area Rooms Building Area
$155,500 694 5 124
$160,000 465 5 134
$163,500 794 6 119
$172,000 696 5 120
$175,000 715 5 133
$212,000 634 8 234
$218,000 918 6 164
$225,000 695 8 204
$250,000 922 7 181
$265,000 801 7 158
$275,000 348 6 175
$310,000 695 7 220
Value $ Land Area Rooms Building Area
Value $ 1
Land Area 0.00045 1
Rooms 0.60722 0.19927 1
Building Area 0.70607 -0.04193 0.86599 1
0.8659925633
The Excel Correlation Function in Analysis Tools You can automatically calculate a correlation matrix in Excel using the Correlation function in the Analysis ToolPak. Open the ToolPak using Tools - Data Analysis. When you open the ToolPak you will see a long list of statistical methods that you can access. Go down the list and click Correlation. A screen will appear a little like that below. (It may vary depending upon the version of Excel you are using). The Input range is the data array of all input variables. If this includes a label in the first row of your data, you should check the Labels in First Row box. In this case the data is organised by columns. You need to select an output range where the output appears. When it is all entered - click Okay and the Correlation Matrix will be calculated.
The Excel Correl Function The Correl function is CORREL(array1,array2). This returns a single correlation between array1 and array2. In cell 21B above is the function for calculating the correlation between Rooms and Building Area. Note that labels are not used - this is a mathematical function only. See HELP for details.