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twocrjaassgn.docx
DiscussionBoardInstructions.docx
Unit3.pdf
Unit5.pdf
- Unit1.pdf
- Unit2.pdf
- Unit6.pdf
- Unit7.pdf
twocrjaassgn.docx
Assignment 1
What are the statistics used for in Criminal Justice?
What statistics are used to measure crime?
What are the three general sources of crime statistics relied on in Criminal Justice?
What are the three primary sources of crime data?
PLEASE DO NOT COPY AND PASTE YOUR ANSWERS. PARAPHRASE YOUR ANSWERS!
Assignment 2:
Define the following statistical terms:
a) Hypothesis
b) Theory
c) Variables
d) Empirical
PLEASE DO NOT COPY AND PASTE YOUR ANSWERS. PARAPHRASE YOUR ANSWERS!
DiscussionBoardInstructions.docx
Participation in this discussion forum is mandatory and an integral part of this course. All participation is graded. The idea is to create engagement in the class and stimulate intellectual conversations. The instructions are as follows. Keep all discussions within the topic, to wit; no ad hominem attacks, or personal issues should stray into this forum.
Participants should use peer reviewed works to inform their discussions. Copy and paste materials will be discounted against the student. Use sound reasoning to make your point and not simply assert opinions or personal feelings. To make an intellectually sound point, students should connect their statements to the appropriate aspects of the discussion topic.
1. You are to make four (3) post each week.
2. Your initial post (first post) is due by Wednesday of each week.
3. Your initial post MUST be at least 250 words and contain at least two scholarly references.
4. You must respond to at least three (2) times to at two of your colleague’s post. Your follow-up (Second and Third Post) must each be at least (150 words long and contain at least one scholarly reference each that is different from that in your initial (250 word) post.
5. All of your posts CANNOT all be on the same day. Thus, you must post on at least two separate day in a week.
Unit3.pdf
Unit 3
Measures of Central Tendency
Learning Objectives
Explain the purposes of measures of central tendency and interpret the information they
convey.
Calculate, explain, and compare and contrast the mode, median, and mean.
Explain the mathematical characteristics of the mean.
Select an appropriate measure of central tendency according to level of measurement and
skew.
Use SPSS to produce means, medians, and modes.
Unit Outline
Using Statistics
Introduction
The Mode
The Median
The Mean
Three Characteristics of the Mean
Choosing a Measure of Central Tendency
Using Statistics
Measures of central tendency are used to find the typical case or average score on a single
variable. They can, for example:
Identify the most commonly purchased car in the United States.
Compare public opinion on the Affordable Health Care act over time.
Measure the median income in Detroit, Michigan.
Track changes in age at first birth over time.
Introduction
There are three measures of central tendency. Each one is a way of describing a typical
case or average score in a distribution. They include:
The mode
The median
The mean
The mode of a distribution is the value that occurs most frequently.
The mode is most useful when working with nominal level variables.
The mode is the only measure of central tendency appropriate for nominal
variables.
Limitations of the mode:
Some distributions have no mode at all. This occurs when no value occurs more
than once, or when all values occur at the same frequency.
Some distributions have multiple modes. This occurs when more than one value
(but not all of the values) occur at the same frequency.
The mode for an ordinal or interval-ratio variable may not be central to the
distribution as a whole.
The mode can be found in these two distributions by identifying the value with the
highest frequency. In Example A, the mode is Protestant. In Example B. the mode is 93.
The median (Md) is always at the exact center of a distribution.
Half of the scores in a distribution are higher than the median, and half of the scores are
lower than the median.
Calculating the median
The median can be calculated for ordinal and interval-ratio level data.
Before determining the median, all of the scores must be arranged in order, from low to
high.
When there are an odd number of cases (N):
The median is the exact middle case. Find the case number of the median
by using the formula below.
Example:
The Median is 7.
When there are an even number of cases (N):
The median is the value between the two middle-most
cases. Find the case number of the median by adding the
two middle cases and dividing by two.
Find the first middle case by dividing N by 2. The first
middle case below is 7. The second middle case is the
next case. In the example below, the second middle case
is 5. Add 7 plus 5 and divide by two.
Example:
2
1N
The median is 6.
Limitations of the median: Nominal variables do not have a median because their categories
cannot be ranked from low to high.
Although the median is the centermost score, it represents only one
point in the data. It may not be very representative of the other scores.
The mean is the arithmetic average of all scores in a distribution.
The mean is the most commonly used measure of central tendency, but
it can only be used for interval-ratio level data.
-A sample mean is denoted with the symbol:
-A population mean is denoted with the symbol:
Calculating the mean:
Where:
x is the sample mean
is the Summation of all the scores
x
N
x x
i
ix
N is the total number of scores
Example
Calculate the mean of these grades on homework assignments:
85, 92, 78, 86, 94, 80
85 + 92 + 78 + 86 + 94 + 80 = 515 = 85.83 = 14.31
6 6
Limitations of the mean: The mean is most appropriate for interval-ratio variables.
However, because of some useful properties of the mean, it is
sometimes calculated on ordinal variables.
The mean can be deceiving when data are skewed
Characteristics of the Mean
-The mean balances all the scores. -The mean is like a fulcrum that “balances” all scores in a distribution.
-The mean is the central point around which all scores “cancel out” each other. One low score,
cancels out a high score
The mean minimizes the variation of the scores. This is also called the “least squares” principle of the mean.
The mean is the point in a distribution around which the variation (or
differences) in scores is minimized.
The mean is closer to all of the scores in a distribution than any other
measure of central tendency.
The mean can be misleading if the distribution is skewed.
N
x x
i
0xxi
minimum 2
xxi
A “skew” occurs when an otherwise normal distribution has a few extremely high
or a few extremely low scores.
Positively skewed distributions have a few high scores that “pull” the
mean higher.
Negatively skewed distributions have a few low scores that “pull” the
mean lower.
Skewed data can best be better described with the median.
Below are two examples of skewed distributions.
In a normal distribution (unskewed, symmetrical), the mode, median and mean
will all be equal.
Choosing a Measure of Central Tendency
Two main criteria are used when choosing a measure of central tendency:
The level of measurement
For nominal variables, only the mode is possible.
For ordinal variables, the mode and median are possible,
but the median is usually preferred (except in some
inferential statistics, when the mean is used).
For interval-ratio variables, all three measures are
possible, but the mean is usually preferred (except in
cases of skewness, when the median is used).
Unit5.pdf
Unit 5: The Normal Curve
Learning Objectives
Define and explain the concept of the normal curve.
Convert empirical scores to Z scores and use Z scores and the normal curve table
(Appendix A) to find areas above, below, and between points on the curve.
Express areas under the curve in terms of probabilities.
Unit Outline
Using Statistics
Properties of the Normal Curve
Using the Normal Curve
Using the Normal Curve to Estimate Probabilities
Using Statistics
Using Statistics
Properties of the Normal Curve
Using the Normal Curve
Using the Normal Curve to Estimate Probabilities
Properties of the normal Curve
The normal curve is a theoretical model.
The normal curve is unimodal, perfectly smooth, and symmetrical; the mode, median,
and mean are the exact same value.
The normal curve is bell-shaped and has “tails” that extend infinitely in both directions.
Distances along the horizontal axis are measured in standard deviation units.
When measured in standard deviations from the mean, distances along the horizontal axis
will always encompass the same proportion of the total area under the curve.
The proportion of cases falling between the mean and one standard deviation
above the mean on one variable will be the exact same as the proportion of cases
falling between the mean and one standard deviation above the mean on a
different variable.
68.26% of the area under the normal curve is found between 1 standard deviation below
the mean, and 1 standard deviation above the mean.
95.44% of the area under the normal curve is found between 2 standard deviations below
the mean, and 2 standard deviation above the mean.
99.72% of the area under the normal curve is found between 3 standard deviations below
the mean, and 3 standard deviation above the mean.
Areas under the normal curve can be expressed as the proportion of area, the
number of cases, or the probability of a case, falling above some point, below some
point, or between two points.
Using the Normal Curve
To use the normal curve, we calculate Z scores.
Z scores are “raw” values that have been “standardized” (or converted) into
standard deviation units.
A distribution of Z scores will have a mean of zero (0) and a standard deviation of
one (1).
Computing Z- Scores
Z scores are measured in units of standard deviation.
A score that falls one standard deviation above the mean will have a Z
score of +1.
A score that falls two standard deviations below the mean will have a
Z score of -2.
Z scores can take on fractional values; for example, a score can fall
2.75 standard deviations above the mean.
s
xx Z i
The normal curve table presents all possible areas under the normal curve for each
Z score.
For each Z score, the table provides the proportion of the area:
Between the mean and that particular Z score (the B Column)
From that Z score and away from the mean (the C Column)
Because the normal curve is symmetrical, the normal curve table only includes
positive Z scores. The areas for negative Z scores will be identical.
The total area above a mean is 0.50 (50%); the total area below a mean is 0.50
(50%). The total area under the entire curve is 1.00 (100%).
The normal curve table presents all possible areas under the normal curve for each Z
score.
For each Z score, the table provides the proportion of the area:
Between the mean and that particular Z score (the B Column)
From that Z score and away from the mean (the C Column)
Because the normal curve is symmetrical, the normal curve table only includes positive Z
scores. The areas for negative Z scores will be identical.
The total area above a mean is 0.50 (50%); the total area below a mean is 0.50 (50%).
The total area under the entire curve is 1.00 (100%).
Finding the Total Area Above or Below a Score
a. Calculate the Z score.
b. Find the Z score in the normal curve table.
c. Use the B and C columns of the table to determine the area.
Finding the Area Below a Positive Z Score*
In a distribution with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 20,
find the area below 108 by:
a) calculating the Z score (.40) (see below);
b) finding the Z score in the normal curve table; &
c) reporting the area in the B Column + .50
(.1554+.50=.6554).
Multiply by 100 to convert your answer to a
percentage (65.54%)
*scores above the mean have a Positive Z Score
Finding the Area Below a Negative Z Score*
In a distribution with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 20,
find the area below 80 by:
a) calculating the Z score (-1.00) (see below);
b) finding the Z score in the normal curve table; &
c) reporting the area in the C Column (.1587)
Multiply by 100 to convert your answer to a
percentage (15.87%)
*scores below the mean have a Negative Z Score
Finding Areas Between Two Scores
a. Calculate the Z score for both scores.
b. Find the Z scores in the normal curve table.
Use the B and C columns of the table to determine the area.
Finding the area between a Negative Z Score and a Positive Z Score.
In a distribution with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 20,
find the area between 93 and 112 by:
a) calculating the Z scores (-.35 and .60) (see below);
b) finding the Z scores in the normal curve table; &
c) reporting the sum of the areas in the B Columns
(.1368+ .2257 = .3625)
Multiply by 100 to convert your answer to a percentage (36.25
40. 20
8
20
100108
s
XX Z t
00.1 20
20
20
10080
s
XX Z t
Finding the area between two Negative Z Scores or two Positive Z Scores.
In a distribution with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 20,
find the area between 113 and 121 by:
a) calculating the Z scores (+.65 and +1.05) (see below);
b) finding the Z scores in the normal curve table; &
c) reporting the difference of the areas in the B Columns
(.3531 - .2422 = .1109) or the C Columns (.2578 - .1469 = .1109)
Multiply by 100 to convert your answer to a percentage (11.09%)
Using the Normal Curve to Estimate Probabilities
The normal curve can also describe the probability (or likelihood) that a score will
fall above, below, or between scores in a distribution.
The same steps used in the previous four slides can be used to calculate
probabilities that a value will fall above a score, below a score, or between two
scores.
Note that the probability of randomly selecting a value close to the mean (+/- 1
standard deviation) is greater than that of selecting a value further away from the
mean.
Summary
The normal curve can also describe the probability (or likelihood) that a score will
fall above, below, or between scores in a distribution.
The same steps used in the previous four slides can be used to calculate
probabilities that a value will fall above a score, below a score, or between two
scores.
Note that the probability of randomly selecting a value close to the mean (+/- 1
standard deviation) is greater than that of selecting a value further away from the
mean.