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SCENARIOMODULE1.docx

SCENARIO MODULE 1: Event Build Up

For several years, an organization known as the Universal Adversary (UA) has acted as an umbrella organization for terrorist organizations.  They have perpetrated state-sponsored attacks against the United States and other western nations.  The UA consists of individuals dedicated to achieving their goals using their terror skills to make political statements and protest actions by governments and industry to further their political interests.

The UA has continually sought out opportunities to commit violent acts in the United States and other western nations to undermine established governments.  Some of these attacks have taken the form of single individuals attacking targets of opportunities using small arm weapons and sometimes with the use of small explosives in the form of pipe bombs.  On other occasions, the UA has used Chemical, Biological, Radiological, Nuclear, and Explosives (CBRNE) devices that are much more sophisticated to create mass casualty incidents.

On March 1, 2021, the United States received information about the whereabouts of a top UA leader.  The decision was made to conduct a pre-emptive drone strike against the UA leader while driving in a vehicle.  Appropriate officials gave the decision to mitigate this high-value target the green light.  Subsequently, the UA leader was killed in a drone strike on March 2, 2021.

On March 3, 2021, the UA rhetoric of retaliation began with increased social media platforms posting statements that “their enemies would pay."  One of the statements was very specific: "the United States government could not protect its citizens from imminent attack," and the attack is forthcoming.

On March 3, 2021, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and the Department of Justice's (DOJ) Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) sent out an alert to all of 50 states, territories, US embassies and military reservations that the UA has threatened retaliation.  The alert recommended that increased security postures be implemented, CCTV's system kept operational, suspicious activity be reported to local law enforcement authorities and the counter-terrorism offices of each state.  The alert referenced the United States Patriot Act that was enacted in October 2001.

DHS and the FBI sent a specific message to the counter-terrorism centers across the nation.  The statement advised that increased operational capabilities require information and intelligence sharing from the local level and that additional law enforcement training would be forthcoming.  If local law enforcement identified suspects related to potential attacks, they would need to inform the DHS and the FBI immediately.

All 50 states, territories, U.S. embassies, etc., took appropriate action and shared the messaging with state, county elected and appointed leaders, emergency management, law enforcement, fire departments, emergency medical service providers, hospitals, public health departments, etc.

On March 30, 2021, a posting on a web blog site frequented by UA extremists stated that an "attack is imminent".  The UA has asked their operatives to identify and attack soft targets and critical infrastructure in the United States.

Based on previous actions by the UA, there is a strong likelihood that some sort of UA attack is likely being planned.

A year has passed, and no attacks have occurred against United States interests.  Increases in security measures at airports and the implementation of No-Fly Lists and Real ID requirements have made it more difficult for terrorists to get access via the private sector airline industry into the United States.

From December 1, 2021 - February 1, 2022, residents of a community in Juarez, Mexico, started making calls to the local police about noxious odors emanating in the area.  The local police took no action, and the reports went uninvestigated.

On February 7, 2022, The Arizona Counter Terrorism Information Center (ACTIC) reached out to the Oklahoma Counter-Terrorism Center and the FBI Joint Terrorism Task Force.  The ACTIC advised they had received information and intelligence from an informant in Mexico who indicated a Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) attack was being planned by a Potential Threat Element (PTE), and that the target was somewhere in Oklahoma.  The informant couldn't provide dates, times, or locations of the attack, but the informant did state that the staging area for the terrorist group is in Juarez, Mexico.

The information provided by the informant is supplied to the Department of Homeland Security.  After considerable analysis, a determination is made to initiate an alert to state emergency managers, law enforcement, fire, EMS and others about the credible information.

On February 10, 2022, the Federal Police in Mexico is contacted by the FBI and DHS about the informant's information.  FBI agents in El Paso, TX are assigned to meet with their Federal Police counterparts in Mexico to investigate the reported information from the informant further.  The Federal Police in Juarez have actively started to engage with the local police to see if any suspicious activities were reported or arrests made that could be associated with terrorist activity.  As the Federal Police are conducting their investigation, they discover reports about noxious odors in a specific area of Juarez.

On February 11, 2022, the FBI meets their Federal Police counterparts in Juarez, Mexico.  The Federal Police inform the FBI of the reports of the noxious odors.  The team then goes to the reported location where the foul odors were reported to be coming from and discovers a large uninhabited building.  There are still lingering smells in the area that are suspicious, and a decision is made not to enter the building without proper HAZMAT equipment.

HAZMAT teams arrive, and proper PPE is issued to all law enforcement personnel.  Entry into the building is obtained, and subsequently, from the search, what appears to be precursor materials for a potential chemical agent is discovered.  In addition, in a trash pile, investigators locate a hand-written receipt for the purchase of a vehicle from a private citizen who lives in El Paso, Texas.  Investigators also discovered an advertisement for the sale of the vehicle that included a picture with its license plate in full view.  The FBI agents immediately inform other agents, the Texas State Police, the County Sheriff's office and the El Paso Police Department of the discovery.  A task force is established to further investigate the sale of the vehicle and the precursor materials located in the building in Juarez.  A Be On the Look Out (BOLO) alert is distributed to all U.S. law enforcement agencies and state counter-terrorism operation centers for the vehicle in question.

The FBI begins data-mining all information about the building in Juarez, and the vehicle from El Paso.  The Mexican Federal Police and FBI agents began to search for any witnesses, CCTV footage, and other information in Juarez about the people occupying the building.

On February 12, 2022, during shift briefing, the vehicle description and license plate number were provided to Oklahoma Highway Patrol officers.  The officers are advised that the vehicle could contain some sort of terrorist group and that they should be considered armed and dangerous.  Additionally, the officers are advised that the vehicle may contain some sort of CBRNE type of weapon or components of a weapon.  Officers are advised to use Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) if they conduct a search of the vehicle, and if they have been trained and have the proper detection equipment, they should use it prior to conducting a physical search.  Officers are advised that, if possible, the search of the vehicle should be eyesight only and that if the vehicle is stopped, an FBI forensics team would be deployed.

As a result of Presidential Policy Directive (PPD) 8: National Preparedness, all OHP officers have been issued PPE in the form of Level C capability.  The enforcement officers are also trained and equipped with the following radiological detection devices to serve their populations better.

· Personal Radiation Detector (PRD)

· Handheld Survey Meter

· Radiation Isotope Identification Device (RIID)

Key Issues

· Intelligence and law enforcement agencies identify specific information related to potential terrorist attacks against the United States.

· Through ongoing intelligence and information gathering techniques, the FBI has identified credible information that precursor agents for a chemical weapon have been found in a building in Juarez, Mexico.

· Warnings are sent to the Joint Terrorism Task Forces (JTTF), state counter terrorism fusion centers, and critical infrastructure security agencies.

· The Oklahoma Highway Patrol office has briefed the situation to their officers in the field of a suspect vehicle, color, license plate number, etc.  There is suspicion that the vehicle may contain a Weapon of Mass Destruction.

· It has been recommended that law enforcement agencies and critical infrastructure security forces start using screening, search, and detection devices.